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Project Compass + New Star The Race to Win ThyssenKrupp’s $3.7 Billion Steel Production Facility. Bob Hess Cushman & Wakefield Global Business Consulting. Topics. Introduction to Cushman & Wakefield Global Consulting Project Compass + New Star strategy and specifications - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1
Project Compass + New StarThe Race to Win ThyssenKrupp’s $3.7 Billion Steel Production Facility
Bob HessCushman & Wakefield Global Business Consulting
Page 2
Topics
Introduction to Cushman & Wakefield Global Consulting
Project Compass + New Star strategy and specifications
Project evolution, site selection methodologies and results
Continue with ThyssenKrupp further Insights from: Mr. Ernst Bernsdorf, Senior Vice President, ThyssenKrupp Stainless Kai Mahnke, Vice President, ThyssenKrupp Steel USA
Page 3
$1.5 billion revenues in 2006
12,000+ employees worldwide
World’s largest privately-held real estate services firm.
Clients
Cushman & Wakefield Overview
Page 4
Engineering
BusinessStrategy& Goals
GlobalRegional
Local
MarketAccess and
FDI
Trading &Supplier
Dynamics
SupplyChain
Strategy
FinancialAnalysis
Business CaseSupport
TransportationPlanning
NetworkModeling &Simulation
Port Strategies& Feasibility
• Workforce• Business Climate• Op. Costs & Risk
Site Selection
Implementation
BuildingConstruction
Real Estate InfrastructureStrategy Execution
ManufacturingFacility Design
ContractorVendor
SelectionEnvironmental& Permitting
ExpertMaterialHandling
Technology
SiteConstructability& Due Diligence
BuildingDeveloper
orContractor
Real EstateStrategy &
Transaction
Consulting Operations
Cushman & Wakefield Global Supply Chain Services
Page 5
Project Compass Strategy and Specifications
Page 6
Project CSABrazil
New carbon slab production for NAFTA and EU
Markets
Project HerkulesGermany
Increased carbon steel production / processing
for German market
Project CompassMobile, Alabama
Carbon steel processing and stainless steel
production
Project Compass is integral to ThyssenKrupp’s global strategy to grow NAFTA market share and improve cost positions.
Strategic Importance of Compass
Page 7
Project Compass Specifications: Redefining ‘HUGE’
Facility: $3.7 billion; 3,600 acres; 7 million SF under roof
Annual steel production for two segments: Carbon: Processing / coating 4.1 million metric tons flat carbon steel Stainless: 1 metric ton melt shop; then coiled and rolled
Employment : 2,700+ employees; 75% semi- or highly skilled
Utilities: Electric: 10+ GVA Short Circuit Capacity; two 230-kV trans. lines; 300 MW
service; 107,000 MWH/month Natural gas: 1.2 million MCF per month Water supply: 10 million gallons per day
Transportation / Access Rail -- unit trains; Barge -- accessible (and reliable) inland waterway; Port -- accessible for slab unloading; Highways – heavy duty!
We began the project wondering: “Will ANY site meet these specs?”
Page 8
OR
Top Priority: Supply Chain Efficiency
Origins:Brazil/Other
Slabs: 4.1 MMT via Panamax
Ship
Unload Slabs to
Port (Mill) Barge
Unload Barge at
Mill
Load Slabs to
River Barge
Outbound Supply Chain
Inbound Supply Chain: Alabama
Coil
Stocking Point or
CustomerRail Barge Truck
OR
Inbound Supply Chain: Louisiana
Logistics costs comprise 50% of Project Compass’ annual costs.
Page 9
Leading and Managing the Experience
Unique aspects and key challenges of Project Compass/New Star: Accelerate…accelerate….accelerate (to accept slabs from Brazil)…deadlines; Diverse subject matter and large teams (market access, logistics, labor,
financials, site development, permit applications); Over 100 team members on project – numerous sub-teams around value chain of
project with different leadership/management styles and needs. High profile, with political and PR issues from day 1 – internal and external
communication plans were key to success; Time difference / travel / 7 x 24 expectations (no sleep, no vacations, no
mercy!); Magnitude – normal measures, methods, inquiries, models, etc. don’t
necessarily apply This was the “mother load” project that no one could respond to with off-the-shelf
information; Coaching states, utilities, chambers, railroads, ports, politicians, and other
stakeholders to “think unconventionally” and to make the investments to compete; and
Team motivation, skillsets, and project expansion.
…all worth it for a once in a lifetime project!
Page 10
Project Evolution and Site Selection Approach
Page 11
Search Area
Four factors determined the search area: coastal port(s) for inbound slabs, barge-navigable water ways; anticipated customer concentrations; and business climate.
Inbound Slabs
Inbound Slabs
Customer concentrations
TX
MSAR
OH
TN
IL INPA
OK
MO
LA
VA
SC
NC
WV
GAAL
MD
KY
Page 12
1. 2.
3. 4.
Sites evaluated against Critical Success Factors, and classified as Retain, Marginal or Eliminate.
RFI responses received and catalogued.
Request for Information (RFI) and sites issued to search-area states.
Site inspections and community/utilities meetings used to select Preferred Sites.
Identifying and Eliminating Sites
Page 13
Port Criteria Channel depth Distance from
open sea Rail service Berth length Storage space Inland river
access Qualified labor Steel
experience
Early Phases: Eliminating Sites and Ports
Site Criteria Electric
infrastructure Size / shape Water and rail
access Natural gas
service Topography,
wetlands, floodplains
Water supply Layout
challenges
Desktop Flaws Analysis
Sites20
eliminated
PortsTerminals
studied
Sites35
eliminated
Ports19
eliminated
Sites67 considered
Ports25 considered
Site Visits
12 sites / 6 ports
The project initially progressed through phases of parallel analysis of candidate sites and ports on both the East and Gulf coasts.
Page 14
Port Screening Methodology
Of the 25 ports analyzed for their ability to meet key Compass/New Star requirements, six appeared to present feasible options based on evaluations to date, eventually narrowed to Mobile and New Orleans.
Ports Analyzed Mobile, AL Tampa, FL Brunswick, GA Savannah, GA Burns Harbor, IN Lake Charles, LA Baton Rouge, LA South Louisiana, LA New Orleans, LA Plaquemines, LA Baltimore, MD Gulfport, MS Pascagoula, MS New York, NY Morehead City, NC Cleveland, OH Philadelphia, PA Charleston, SC Corpus Christi, TX Port Lavaca, TX Freeport, TX Houston, TX Beaumont, TX Port Arthur, TX Norfolk, VA
Philadelphia
Norfolk
New Orleans
Mobile
Baltimore
PORTSFeasible (6)
Eliminated (19)
Morehead City
TX
MS
AR
OH
TN
IL INPA
OK
MO
LA
VA
SC
NC
WV
AL
MD
KY
GA
FL
SCALE
equals 250 km
Page 15
Critical Location Factors
20-Year Total Costs(one-time and recurring)
50.0%
Quality of Life3.0%
Supply Chain Effectiveness12.5%
Ease of Implementation and Timing
7.5%
Utility Infrastructure
5.0%Skilled LaborAvailability & Quality
12.0%
Site Suitability & Quality
3.0%
Business ClimatePerceptions
7.0%
Throughout the project, candidate locations/sites were evaluated based on their performance against seven Critical Success Factors and their cost profile (20-year net present value).
% denotes decision weight
Page 16
Network/Logistics Modeling
Port and Location Strategies
Workforce Profiling and Financial Modeling
Incentive & Real Estate Negotiations
Program Management Oversight
Cushman & Wakefield and ThyssenKrupp developed working teams and methodologies to deploy a holistic business-case approach to identify the optimal location solution for Project Compass.
Site Selection/Due Diligence
Methodologies / Teams Optimal Location Solution
Optimal Solution
Business Case Development
Complete Business Case Evaluation
Page 17
2200000Site 9
2-22022-2Site 8
4020200Site 6
622-2022Site 4
8202220Site 3
10202222Site 2
12222222Site 1
00-2022-2Site 12
02-2-2020Site 11
0200-2-22Site 10
22-22000Site 7
4200200Site 5
Total Total ScoreScore
Utility Utility InfrastructureInfrastructure
Labor Labor Availability & Availability &
QualityQualityBusiness Business ClimateClimate
Site Availability Site Availability & Quality& Quality
Ease of Ease of Implementation Implementation
/ Timing/ Timing
Market Access Market Access & &
TransportationTransportation
2200000Site 9
2-22022-2Site 8
4020200Site 6
622-2022Site 4
8202220Site 3
10202222Site 2
12222222Site 1
00-2022-2Site 12
02-2-2020Site 11
0200-2-22Site 10
22-22000Site 7
4200200Site 5
Total Total ScoreScore
Utility Utility InfrastructureInfrastructure
Labor Labor Availability & Availability &
QualityQualityBusiness Business ClimateClimate
Site Availability Site Availability & Quality& Quality
Ease of Ease of Implementation Implementation
/ Timing/ Timing
Market Access Market Access & &
TransportationTransportation
Selecting 3 Finalists from 12 Preferred Sites
In three months of analysis and site visits, the 12 Preferred Sites were narrowed to three Finalists (Arkansas, Louisiana, and Alabama).
Qualitativeconditions ratings
Logistics network
modeling
Multiple executive site and port tours
Iterative business case and IRR
modeling
12 Sites in 7 States…ThyssenKrupp Stainless joins project - a ~$1 billion
expansion!!…
Investment Costs (in billions, US$)
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Finalists: Further Due Diligence & Incentives
Illustrative examples
Page 18
Refined Logistics ModelingGreater site-specificity on modes, carriers, rates, and distribution models
Key Learnings Highest logistics
costs at Osceola, AR site
Louisiana site has the most manufacturing skills, but with premium costs
Construction and permitting challenges exist at all sites, but are manageable
Incentives dialog focused on needs to achieve ‘ready to build’ site
Key Learnings Highest logistics
costs at Osceola, AR site
Louisiana site has the most manufacturing skills, but with premium costs
Construction and permitting challenges exist at all sites, but are manageable
Incentives dialog focused on needs to achieve ‘ready to build’ site
Extensive Due Diligence on Three Finalists
Labor Market AnalysisManufacturing industry presence, market-based wages, and education and training resources
Site Constructability / Permitting AnalysesSite-specific facility design, site prep cost estimation, and site conditions assessments
Incentives NegotiationsIncentives potential assessments, in-person meetings and Requests for Proposal
Extensive financial and logistics modeling, coupled with engineering and site constructability analysis, revealed Alabama and Louisiana sites as superior candidates.
Page 19
Tailoring Financial Incentives to the Sites
The final months of activity focused on development-cost estimation, environmental permitting, and problem solving through collaboration between ThyssenKrupp’s and the states’ teams…
… and tailoring incentive programs that could most impact the Project Compass/New Star business case.
Financial Incentives Prioritized based on business case impacts Means to address extraordinary development needs
(piling, grading, utility and transportation infrastructure)
Facility Design and Site Development Costing Site specific facility designs were refined based on
results of on-going site assessments Parallel wetlands, river construction and air permitting
Page 20
Final Site Selection Decision
Based on the Critical Success Factors, the sites were objectively rated on 30+ weighted qualitative factors.
The results suggested a near tie based on qualitative factors.
30+ individually weighted factors re: operating conditions, risks, timing, etc.
Unique pros and cons of the sites were nearly balanced.
The good news: Two great sites... The bad news: How do we decide?…
Illustrative examples
Page 21
Final Site Selection Decision (continued)
Ultimately, ThyssenKrupp’s internal deliberations on the sites’ merits and their long-term financial business cases yielded the selection of the Mount Vernon, Alabama site. Louisiana Highlights: Superior inbound logistics coupled with larger labor force
and deeper manufacturing presence; yet more extensive infrastructure development and higher anticipated operating costs.
Alabama Highlights: Lower long-term operating costs (e.g., electricity and labor) and less complex site development and infrastructure-improvement scenario.
The final choice between the two sites was a very challenging one for ThyssenKrupp’s leadership and project teams – due in large part to the outstanding efforts of Team Louisiana and Team Alabama.
Intangibles and the performance of economic development teams played a key role in ThyssenKrupp’s decision-making throughout the project.
Page 22
…in the end, leadership and commitment