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ACS on vinyl chloride: further clarification ACS has come up with a slight modification of its letter to the Occupational Health and Safety Administration clarifying the Society's position on the agency's proposed "no detectable level" work-place standard proposed for vinyl chloride. The position was first presented at OSHA hearings in July.
As reported last week in C&EN (Aug. 26, page 6), ACS Executive Director Robert W. Cairns explained in a letter to administrative law judge Gordon J. Myatt, who presided at the hearings, that there had been considerable misunderstanding about the Society's position. He explained that an erroneous conclusion could be drawn if either of two sentences is taken out of context.
This original version of Dr. Cairns' letter states: "We would like to submit for the record the following clarifying statement as to what these two sentences were intended to state." The final version reads: "We would like to submit for the record the following clarifying statement as to what our statement was intended to state."
In both versions the same "following clarifying statement" is made. To wit: "In the absence of knowing the tolerable limit for workers exposed to vinyl chloride, the standard should be set as low as can be detected by a currently accepted reliable analytical procedure—namely, at 1 p.p.m. At the same time, work should continue to define a threshold value so that, when it is defined, the standard may be suitably revised. Since development of the means to attain the recommended level may take time, we recommend a reasonable period for users of vinyl chloride to come into compliance."
Bear market claws most chemical stocks It's been downhill almost all the way this year for the stock market. And the shares of many major chemical producers have been no less able to fend off the onslaught of Wall Street's bears than have issues from other, currently less favored industries. Major market indexes are off by 20 to 30%.
Ironically, chemical stocks are being clawed during a year when the overall outlook for industry, at least in the short run, rarely has
been brighter. Profits for 1974's first half topped year-earlier results by close to 50%.
Higher profits bring the promise of higher dividends as well, and several chemical companies— among them Celanese, Airco, American Cyanamid, Commercial Solvents, Pennwalt, and Du Pont— have sweetened their return to shareholders in recent weeks. Consequently, some chemical stocks now are selling at prices that, compared to earlier years, are relatively low multiples of annual per-share earnings and provide holders with relatively high dividend yields. The price-earnings ratio for Celanese, for example, is about 5 and the yield almost 9%; American Cyanamid offers a p/e ratio of 7 and an 8% yield; Olin a p/e ratio of 5 and a better than 6% yield.
Chemical shares, moreover, continue to get high marks from many investment advisers and brokers. Some are voicing skepticism about the outlook for continued gains in prices and profits next year in the wake of weaknesses elsewhere in the national economy, to be sure. More typical, however, is the comment last month by Value Line Investment Survey that "this is a good time to invest in chemical stocks." And Robert J. Eastman of the New York brokerage firm Blyth Eastman Dillon says: "We foresee above-average profit growth for
Chemical stocks this year: some up, more down
Air Products Allied Chemical American
Cyanamid Celanese Diamond
Shamrock Dow Chemical Du Pont GAF W. R. Grace Hercules IMC Monsanto Nalco Pennwalt Reichhold Rohm and Haas Stauffer Union Carbide Witco
Dow Jones Industrials
N.Y. Stock
1974 PRICE Jan. 2
$ 42
49%
19% 28%
26 571/4
160y2
8% 241/2 34 373/4
541/2 291/8
211/8
73/4
733/4 423/8
33% I73/4
855
Recent
$ 40% 33%
I81/2 30%
22% 58%
112% 7%
20% 30% 40% 55% 183/4
17 16% 68 373/4
41% 281/2
672
% Change
- 3 % - 3 2
- 7 +7
- 15 +2 - 30 -19 -16 - 1 0 +6 +2 -36 -20 +115 - 8 - 1 1 +21 +61
- 2 1
Exchange Composite Index 51.98 37.18 - 2 8
chemical companies through each year of this decade, even when general economic conditions are sluggish or amidst economic distress in [other] major industries."
A few chemical issues have managed to show gains for the year to date. Witco Chemical and Reichhold Chemicals were among the handful of issues that hit new highs for the year last week.
Promising ulcer drug runs into trouble A drug that has generated much enthusiasm as an ulcer therapeutic may be on shaky ground, according to British medical scientists. In the U.S., the Food and Drug Administration has taken up the British lead and begun a safety probe of the new compound, called metiamide, but hasn't ordered a formal halt to trials in humans. However, FDA concern has, in effect, brought a halt to clinical trials in the U.S.
Even the drug's developer, SmithKline Corp., admits that it curtailed clinical trials here and abroad following a report from the British clinicians that the still-experimental compound produced a blood disorder in two of an unspecified number of patients. This disorder, reversible agranulocytosis, is characterized by an abnormally low white blood cell count.
Earlier, in animal toxicology investigations, metiamide administration produced depressed white blood cell counts in four of 68 dogs used in one study. The depression was reversible, however, and white cell counts returned to normal after the drug was withdrawn.
Metiamide has been applauded by clinicians who have worked with it as an effective treatment for peptic ulcers. The drug is a histamine H2 antagonist that prevents naturally produced histamine from initiating hypersecretion of hydrochloric acid by the gastric mucosa. Overproduction of thé acid in the stomach is thought to be a prime factor in the formation of gastric ulcers.
SmithKline is hesitant to comment on the FDA review of metiamide safety data, and FDA won't talk about the findings of its review panel, now complete, until they are presented to the FDA commissioner. So the whole question is still up in the air. But Britain's Council on the Safety of Medicine, the U.K. equivalent to FDA, has reviewed its data and decided to allow resumption of clinical trials.
Sept. 2, 1974 C&EN 5