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PTG’s Opportunity Day 3Q2019
1
AGENDA
Highlights
Industry Outlook
Business Overview
Financial Performance
1234
HighlightsHighlights2019 ASEAN Business Awards
Beat Target
Sales Volume 9M19 +20.3%
EBITDA growth +55.4%
No. 1 in B20 Sales
Volume
Max Rewards
Application
Received 3 awards
B20 Sales Volume 3Q19
32.52%
3
2019 ASEAN Business Awards
The Winner under the category of 17 Priority Integration Sectors: Energy (Large-Tier)
Outstanding Business Award in Human Resource Development or The Country Winner, Skills Development (Large-Tier)
The Outstanding Business Award for Sustainable Society or The Country Winner, Sustainable Social Enterprise (Large-Tier)
1
2
3
4
5
Outstanding Investor Relations Awards
Thailand Sustainability Investment (THSI) for 2 consecutive years
Industry Outlook
Industry Outlook2
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
WTI H-diesel price Fx
Movement of WTI, Exchange rate and HSD Retail Price
65.0 – 74.2
32.6 – 33.6 30.8 – 32.2
30 THB Diesel price cap announced in late May 18
To hit at THB 30/liter WTI was at $75/barrel and the exchange rate was at THB32.5/$ when the domestic diesel price hit THB30 cap.
Fx (THB/USD)WTI (USD/BBL)HSD Diesel Price (THB/L)
51.1 – 71.2 51.1 – 62.9
30.6 – 31.1
Source: WTI crude oil macro trend, EPPO and Company data
7
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
0
0.50.4
-0.4
0 0
0.4
-0.3
-0.6
-0.4
0
0.4 0.40.5
-0.3-0.4
0
-0.4
0.5
-0.4
0.40.3
0
0.3
-0.4
Changes of Diesel Retail Price
Month No. of time price increase
No. of time price decrease
Apr 3 1
May 1 3
Jun 2 4
Total 6 8
Diesel Price Adjustment 2Q/19 Diesel Price Adjustment 3Q/19
Month No. of time price increase
No. of time price decrease
Jul 1 2
Aug 1 3
Sep 3 2
Total 5 7 8
Unit: Baht per liter
0.3
-0.3-0.3
-0.3
-0.4
-0.3
Source: WTI crude oil macro trend, EPPO and Company data
WTIChanges of Diesel
5,383 5,958 5,582 17,216 17,545
2,706 2,821 2,807
8,095 8,383
8,088 8,778 8,389
25,310 25,929
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
Diesel Mogas
Total Consumption Retail Consumption
Unit: ML
3,793 4,273 4,008 11,839 12,372
2,247 2,426 2,409
6,788 7,198
6,040 6,699 6,417
18,627 19,570
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
Diesel Mogas
Unit: ML
Thailand Oil Consumption
-4.4% QoQ+3.7% YoY
+2.4% YoY
-4.2% QoQ+6.2% YoY
+5.1% YoY
Thailand oil consumption through
station channel declined from 2Q19
due to the seasonal factors.
The consumption of diesel in 3Q19
dropped 6.2% QoQ, while mogas
decreased only 0.7% QoQ.
The slow down in world and Thailand’s
economies resulted in the low growth
in oil consumption.
Source: Department of Energy Business
9
1,860 1,721 1,771
5,572 5,275
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
534 482 467
1,640 1,440
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
LPG Auto ConsumptionAll Channel Consumption
Unit: MLUnit: ML
Thailand LPG Consumption
+2.9% QoQ-4.8% YoY
-5.3% YoY
-3.1% QoQ-12.5% YoY
-12.2% YoY
The total consumption of LPG dropped
YoY mainly due to the decline in auto LPG
consumption.
LPG consumption in 3Q19 consisted of
26.4% of auto LPG, 56.5% of household
LPG, and 17.1% of industrial LPG
LPG auto consumption continued to
dropped as consumers switch to oil fuel.
As of 2Q19, there was 1,969 auto LPG
station decreased 73 station from 2Q18.
Source: Department of Energy Business
10
Business Overview3 Business Overview
Sales Volume by Product
Sales Volume by ChannelUnit: ML
896 1,120 1,064
2,7113,229
39 82 67
150213
935 1202 1131
2,861
3,442
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
Retails Wholesale
-5.9% QoQ
+21.0% YoY
+20.3% YoY
647 871 798
2,042 2,466288
331 333
820976
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
Diesel Mogas
Unit: ML
Retail
94%
Wholesale
6%
3Q19
Diesel
71%
Mogas
29%
3Q19
Retail
Growth -5.0% QoQ+18.8% YoY
in 3Q19 Wholesale
Growth -18.3% QoQ+71.8% YoY
in 3Q19
Diesel in 3Q19 Mogas in 3Q19
Growth -8.4% QoQ+23.3% YoY
Growth +0.6% QoQ+15.6% YoY
The decrease in oil sales volume QoQ
was from the drop of diesel sales
volume as PTG’s main sales proportion
is diesel.-5.9% QoQ
+21.0% YoY
+20.3% YoY
Oil sales volume growth beat PTG’s
target at 16 – 20% because of the
station expansion and growth in same
store sales.
12
Diesel Product
The availability of
biodiesel B10 as the
primary diesel from January 2020 onward, B10
will be replacing B7 in order to
increase the use of crude palm
oil and address Thailand's environmental problems.
B7 B10
1st
Oct 191st
Mar 201st
Jan 201st
Dec 19
Requested for
cooperation in adding B10 in gas station
Announce for B100
specification and quality
All refineries are
required to produce B10
B10 becomes
primary diesel in all gas stations
Timeline
B20 retail price is 3 baht
lower than B7 (adjusted from 5 baht)
B10 retail price is 2 baht lower than B7.
The primary diesel
1
2
Subsidization
13
*B7 and B20 become the optional fuel.
5.21% 25.27% 35.35% 36.48% 34.61% 33.15% 30.56%6.621.4
50.1
76.3
111.9
143.4165.0
-
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19
PTG others
4.61%34.48%
32.52%7.4
147.8
420.3
-50
50
150
250
350
450
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
PTG others
Unit: ML
713
Outperformed B20 Sales Volume
32.5%
31.6%
12.0%
23.8%
PTG others
3Q19
Unit: ML
14
As of September 2019, there are
713 PT service stations that
provided B20 fuel.
PTG ranked 1st in 3Q19 market
share of B20 at 32.5%.
station
Source: Department of Energy Business and Company Data
All Channel Market Share
36.9%
15.0%13.3%
11.6%
11.2%
7.0%
3.7%1.4%
3Q18
38.1%
14.1%13.3%
13.0%
11.1%
6.2%
2.7%1.5%
3Q19
36.4%
15.1%13.2%
11.8%
9.8%
7.2%
5.0%1.5%
3Q17
Total Consumption
8,109 ML
Total Consumption
8,088 ML
Total Consumption
8,389 ML
Source: Department of Energy Business & the Company data15
Retail Channel Market Share
38.5%
15.6%15.4%
11.2%
11.7%
3.9%1.6% 2.1%
3Q1940.4%
15.0%12.4%
13.2%
12.5%
4.5%1.8%
0.2%
3Q17
39.2%
15.5%14.1%
13.0%
12.2%
4.2%1.7%
0.1%
3Q18
Total Consumption
6,198 ML
Total Consumption
6,355 ML
Total Consumption
6,847 ML
Source: Department of Energy Business & the Company data16
Retail Channel Market Share
38.6%
15.5%
15.3%
11.7%
11.5%
3.9%1.6% 1.9%
9M1940.9%
15.0%12.5%
12.8%
12.3%
4.6%1.7%
0.1%
9M17
40.0%
15.4%14.0%
12.3%
12.3%
4.3%1.7%
0.2%
9M18
Total Consumption
18,699 ML
Total Consumption
19,421 ML
Total Consumption
20,791 ML
Source: Department of Energy Business & the Company data17
LPG Sales Volume
27 32 34 69 97
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
+6.6% QoQ
+29.3% YoY
Unit: ML
LPG Sales Volume Growth
Same Store Sales of 3Q19 -3.9% YoY
Station expansion 39% YoY
40.0%
PTG’s LPG sales volume in 3Q19 increased
29.3% YoY and 6.6% QoQ.
The growth of sales volume was from the
station expansion, services standard, and
PT Max Card loyalty program.
+40.0% YoY
18
YoY
21.5%
18.0%
15.1%9.4%
6.2%
2.7%
27.2%
3Q17
Auto LPG Market Share
Total Consumption
603 ML
Total Consumption
533 ML
Total Consumption
482 ML
21.5%
19.4%
16.1%
10.5%
9.7%
7.4%
15.5%
3Q19
18.4%
16.9%
16.9%10.5%
9.3%
5.0%
23.1%
3Q18
Source: Department of Energy Business & the Company data19
61
Stand AloneMixed
1031,555
COCO86%
DODO
261
14%
1,980stations
Number of Service Stations
20
Number of Networks
236
89 51
178
16
10 11
21
PT Max Card member
11.9Million members
591Touch Points
22
Palm Complex Update
Capacity
CPO RBDPO Olein B100
Palm Oil Mill plant
Refinery Dry fraction B100 plant
100% 100% 100% 92-95%
PRODUCT OUTPUT
B7 B10PPP
standard
Below0.7%
Below 0.4%
Below 0.1%
300 ppmBelow
200 ppmAverage 150 ppm
Monoglyceride
Water Content
Max Rewards Application
23
24
Max Rewards Application OLD VERSION
25
Max Rewards Application NEW VERSION
SALES VOLUME EBITDA+16-20%O I L
L P G +55-60%+40-50%
2019 TARGETS
NETWORKS
Core Business
Non-oil Business
New Business
3,000 to
3,500 MB
500 MB
500 MB
BUDGET PLAN
OIL 2,000
NON-OIL 630*
branches
*Adjusted
More than
connect dot to dot
“”
26
4 Financial Performance
Financial Performance
1,7222,529 2,333
5,444
7,399
6.40%
7.90% 8.20%
6.90%
8.30%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
Gross Profit GPM
26,745 31,844 28,485
78,58688,983
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
-10.5% QoQ+6.5% YoY
Revenue
Oil
96%
Non-oil* 4%
3Q19
Gross Profit
Oil
87.1%
CVS &
others
3.6%
LPG
4.2% F&B
5.1%
3Q19
* Non-oil includes LPG, Logistics, Max Mart, Food and Beverages, and Lubricant
-7.7% QoQ+35.5% YoY
Revenue increased due to the growth of oil
sales volume from last year.
Non-oil revenue proportion slightly increased to
3.8% because of the non-oil revenue growth of
27.3% YoY.
Marketing margin returned to normal since
there was no pressure from crude oil price
Non-oil gross profit accounted for 12.9% of
total gross profit.
+13.2% YoY +35.9% YoY
Unit: Baht Mil l ion Unit: Baht Mil l ion
28
EBITDAUnit: Baht Mil l ion
SG&A still grew at 16.2% YoY and 1.4% QoQ
due to the continuous expansion of oil and
non-oil business. PTG beat EBITDA target growth of 40 – 50%.
Net ProfitUnit: Baht Mil l ion
7161,359 1,168
2,549
3,962
3.30%4.30% 4.10%
3.20%
4.50%
-5.00%
-3.00%
-1.00%
1.00%
3.00%
5.00%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
EBITDA EBITDA margin
1426
258448
1,204
0.00%1.30% 0.90% 0.60% 1.40%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19 9M18 9M19
NI NI margin
Share profit from investments in joint-ventures
and associates rose mainly from the increase in
profit of PPPGC (Palm Complex) and AMA.
Finance cost grew 12.9% YoY due to the increase
in short-term loan to support the growth of oil
sales volume.
-3.4% QoQ+23,393.4% YoY
-14.0% QoQ+63.4% YoY
+55.4% YoY +168.8% YoY
29
Profitability Leverage Ratio
0.90%
8.30%5.00%
0.00%
29.90%
17.70%
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19
ROA ROE
1.78
1.65
1.57
3Q18 2Q19 3Q19
Interest Bearing Debt to Equity
Profitability recovered as the Company’s profit
increased from 3Q18.
However, PTG is building the non-oil businesses
to stabilize the profitability.
The leverage ratio slightly dropped from 2Q19
due to debt repayment and the matured of
debentures.
PTG effectively manages its interest bearing
debt level to be lower than 2 times.
(x)
30
Operating Cash Cycle Cash Flow
Unit: Baht Mil l ion
7.86 6.66 6.01
0.59 0.84 0.90
16.05 16.5413.83
(7.60)(9.04)
(6.92)
2017 2018 3Q19
Day in Inventory Avg. Collection Period
Avg. Payment Period Cash Cycle
PTG is in cash business with negative operating
cash cycle of 6.92 days.
2017 2018
However, the Company applies focus strategy
in business investment corresponding with the
operating cash flow.
PTG maintained the investment budget at 4,000-4,500 million baht..
Unit: Day
31
Short-term borrowing escalated to finance the
growth in oil sales volume.
PTG’s long-term borrowing increased to support
the business expansion.
PTG managed its leverage ratio by balancing
investment budget with operating cash flow.
Assets Liabilities and Equity
Unit: Baht Mil l ion
1,989 1,758 1,683
2,223 2,207 2,174
9,14311,405 11,791
2,311
2,874 3,038
17,985
20,940 21,310
2017 2018 3Q19Others Prepaid Leasehold Right & Rental
PP&E and Investment Property Investment
Inventories Cash and Cash Equivalents
5,119 5,476 6,354
2,120 1,400 2,805
4,520 6,335 4,637
5,9805,792
6,196
17,985
20,940 21,310
2017 2018 3Q19
Other Liabilities L-T Borrowing
Trade and Other Payables S-T Borrowing
Equity
Unit: Baht Mil l ion
The total assets increased mainly from the
business expansion of oil and non-oil businesses.
However, cash and cash equivalents dropped
from last year due to debt repayment and
redemption of matured debentures.
32
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