Public Opinion Survey of Tunisians · Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was conducted on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research by Tunisian owned and operated marketing

Public Opinion Survey of Tunisians

November 23 – December 3, 2017

Detailed Methodology

2

• The survey was conducted on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research by Tunisian owned andoperated marketing research firm ELKA Consulting under the supervision of Chesapeake Beach Consulting.

• Data was collected from November 23 to December 3, 2017 through face-to-face interviews by trained professional interviewers in Arabic. All data was collected on CAPI Solution tablets.

• The sample consisted of 1,202 Tunisians aged 18 and older.

• Interviews were selected using a multi-stage stratification proportionate to population sample distribution.

• Stratification was based on three stages: a proportional division among Tunisia’s 24 governorates; proportionaldivision of urban and rural categories; and proportional division by gender and age group according to themost up-to-date data from Tunisia’s National Statistics Institute collected in 2014. The sample was then post-weighted to make it proportionate to national representation by province.

• Each governorate was divided into territorial sections or districts. In each territorial section, at least onepoint of survey was selected with the overall number of points determined by population density. In eachpoint of survey, interviewers conducted no more than 10 interviews. Points of survey were distributedproportionally between rural and urban areas in every governorate and in every geographical section of thegovernorate.

• The Kish method was used to select respondents 18 years and older within randomly selected households. Theleft-hand method was used to select every third household in localities selected through an area probabilitysample. Following the field work, the data was weighted by gender and age to reflect actual populationfigures.

• The overall margin of error is plus or minus 2.88 percent at the midrange of the 95 percent confidence level.

• The information in this report has been compiled in accordance with international standards for market andsocial research methodologies.

• Figures in charts and tables may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

Political and Economic Indicators

3

Thinking about how things are going for Tunisia as a whole, how would you say things are going in our country overall these days? Are they

going in the right direction or the wrong direction?

4

45%

62%

32%30%

19% 19% 16%

47%

28%26%

21%

13%

25%

21%

13% 13%

44%

30%

61%

67%

77% 77%79%

48%

67% 68%72%

83%

71% 72%

83% 83%

11%8% 7%

3% 4% 4% 5% 5%

5% 6% 6% 3% 4% 7% 5%4%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Aug-12 Jan-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Jun-15 Nov-15 May-16 Dec-16 Apr-17 Nov-17

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer

What, in your opinion, is the SINGLE biggest problem facing Tunisia as a whole?

(Asked as a pre-coded open-ended question)

5

Nov-17 Apr-17 Dec-16 May-16 Nov-15 June-15

Economic and financial crisis 42% 30% 32% 17% 11% 17%

Unemployment 22% 44% 38% 33% 24% 39%

Terrorism 10% 6% 11% 25% 47% 20%

Corruption 9% 7% 7% 10% 3% 5%

Domestic political conflicts and tensions 4% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1%

Violence, delinquency and vandalism* 2%

Security 2% 1% 1% 5% 7% 6%

International conflicts and tensions 1% <1% <1% 0% 0% 1%

Local elections <1% <1% <1% <1% 0% 0%

Strikes and sit-ins <1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5%

Other 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 7%

Don’t know/Refused to answer 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%

*“Violence, delinquency and vandalism” were not included in any prior surveys.

What, in your opinion, is the biggest problem in your community?

6

1%

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

7%

20%

17%

42%

1%

1%

2%

2%

7%

4%

11%

13%

13%

46%

3%

3%

2%

5%

5%

7%

8%

13%

14%

41%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Don't know/Refused to answer

Other

Lack of political will to make reforms

Lack of local authority

Inadequate social services (education, healthcare,leisure/recreation)

Security (crime, terrorism, peace and order)

Corruption

Poor infrastructure

Environmental problems (cleanliness, pollution, loss ofnatural resources)

Economic problems (unemployment, high prices,poverty, low pay)

Nov-17 Apr-17 Dec-16

How would you describe the current economic situation in Tunisia: is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

7

4%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%2%

1%2%

1%

0%1%

25%

22%

24%

23%

20%

26%

14%

18%

16%

28%

17%

18%

17%

13%

23%

13%10%

12%

10%

46%

45%

37%

30%

37%

41%

33%

29%

25%

28%

22%

19%

21%

26%

32%

38%

26%

26%

21%

20%

28%

34%

41%

40%

29%

49%

52%

57%

40%

58%

60%

60%

60%

44%

47%

63%

61%

68%

5%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Mar-11

May-11

Sep-11

Jan-12

Apr-12

Aug-12

Jan-13

Jun-13

Oct-13

Feb-14

Jun-14

Sep-14

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Aug-17

Nov-17

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused to answer

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

Thinking ahead to next year, do you expect your household’s financial situation to: get much better, get somewhat better, get somewhat

worse, get much worse or stay the same?

8

8%

2%

6%

4%

5%

6%

6%

41%

28%

34%

39%

26%

29%

31%

14%

10%

7%

6%

13%

26%

25%

14%

36%

31%

29%

30%

20%

18%

13%

17%

14%

15%

18%

14%

12%

10%

7%

7%

6%

9%

5%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Aug-17

Nov-17

Get much better Get somewhat better

Stay the same Get somewhat worse

Get much worse Don't know/Refused to answer

Please tell us which answer best describes your current economic situation:

9

3%5%

3% 2%

4% 3%5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4%

6%4% 3%

9%6%

22% 21%19%

15%

20%

31%

25%28%

17%

33%

24%

25%

18%

21%24%

22%

21%18%

43% 43%47%

49% 48%44%

48%46%

48%

38%42%

46%

56%

54%

57% 57%

42%

51%

32%28% 27%

31%28%

22%19% 19%

29%

22%

28%

21%

21%

18%15%

17%

26% 26%

1% 3%

4% 3%0% 0% 3%

1% 1% 1% 1%3%

1%

2% 1% 1% 3%

1%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Mar-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Aug-12 Jan-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Jun-15 Nov-15 May-16 Dec-16 Apr-17 Nov-17

I am able to afford things like new clothes and eating out and also support other members of my family who are not able to do these things

I am able to afford things like new clothes and eating at restaurants but not often

I have enough means for survival, but I do not have enough money for extra things

I have trouble feeding myself and my family and buying even the most essential things for survival


If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy?

10

2%

8%

56%

8%

26%

3%

18%

46%

8%

25%

4%

50%

19%

6%

21%

7%

40%

25%

9%

20%

4%

42%

24%

6%

24%

7%

41%

21%

10%

21%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


Prosperity is definitely more important to me

Prosperity is somewhat more important to me

Democracy is somewhat more important to me

Democracy is definitely more important to me

Nov-17 Aug-17 Apr-17 Dec-16 May-16 Nov-15

Thinking about Tunisia’s current political system, do you believe Tunisia is a:

11

7%

11%

8%

5%

9%

10%

4%

5%

5%

5%

9%

15%

14%

26%

15%

17%

19%

22%

22%

21%

20%

17%

35%

36%

40%

36%

29%

35%

37%

41%

41%

30%

39%

37%

34%

20%

39%

38%

29%

33%

27%

28%

38%

31%

5%

5%

5%

5%

7%

8%

4%

5%

5%

7%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-13

Oct-13

Feb-14

Jun-14

Sep-14

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17

Full democracy Nearly full democracy Flawed democracyNot a democracy at all Don't know/Refused to answer

Government Performance

12

How would you rate the performance of the government: is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad, or very bad?

13

4%

1%

2%

1%

1%

3%

42%

35%

42%

38%

26%

36%

20%

34%

21%

30%

27%

22%

23%

28%

29%

24%

41%

35%

11%

3%

7%

6%

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17


Is the national government doing a very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad job on the following”

14

8%

12%

13%

16%

25%

33%

26%

30%

34%

38%

49%

43%

21%

17%

16%

18%

9%

10%

40%

31%

26%

24%

14%

11%

5%

10%

11%

4%

3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Creating jobs

Providing young people with small loans tostart small businesses

Encouraging investment in Tunisia's economy

Fighting corruption

Keeping the country safe from terrorism

Preventing violence against women


Is the national government doing a very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad job on the following:

Preventing violence against women

15

7%

16%

17%

50%

14%

4%

11%

10%

43%

33%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Very bad

Somewhat bad

Somewhat good

Very good

Nov-17 Apr-17


Keeping the country safe from terrorism

16

4%

11%

17%

57%

12%

3%

18%

18%

51%

10%

3%

14%

9%

49%

25%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Very bad

Somewhat bad

Somewhat good

Very good



Fighting corruption

17

4%

30%

28%

33%

6%

3%

37%

26%

27%

7%

4%

24%

18%

38%

16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Very bad

Somewhat bad

Somewhat good

Very good



Encouraging investment in Tunisia’s economy

18

7%

20%

27%

42%

5%

6%

31%

25%

30%

8%

11%

26%

16%

34%

13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Very bad

Somewhat bad

Somewhat good

Very good



Providing young people with small loans to start small businesses

19

9%

26%

28%

31%

7%

7%

30%

24%

31%

9%

10%

31%

17%

30%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Very bad

Somewhat bad

Somewhat good

Very good


Is the national government doing a very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad job of the following:

Creating jobs

20

3%

30%

35%

28%

4%

3%

37%

28%

26%

6%

5%

40%

21%

26%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Very bad

Somewhat bad

Somewhat good

Very good


Would you say that the national level of government does an excellent job, a good job, a fair job, not too good of a job or not a good job at all of

communicating with the public about the job functions of their office and the projects they are working on?

21

4%

26%

21%

32%

16%

2%

7%

22%

16%

32%

19%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Not a good job at all

Not too good of a job

A fair job

A good job

An excellent job

Nov-17 Apr-17

Would you say that your local government does a very good job, a good job, a fair job, a poor job or a very poor job in delivering services to you

and your community?

22

4%

30%

22%

30%

13%

1%

5%

30%

15%

27%

18%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Don't know/Refused toanswer

A very poor job

A poor job

A fair job

A good job

A very good job

Nov-17 Apr-17

In general, are the following institutions doing a lot, enough, little or nothing at all to address the needs of people like you?

23

4%

3%

6%

6%

11%

17%

73%

67%

6%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Parliament

Ministries

A lot Enough Little Nothing Don't know/Refused to answer

In general, are members of parliament doing a lot, enough, a little, or nothing to address the needs of people like you?

24

4%

2%

2%

1%

2%

4%

16%

15%

9%

10%

11%

6%

17%

25%

17%

20%

16%

11%

59%

57%

69%

64%

66%

73%

4%

2%

4%

5%

5%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17

A lot Enough Little Nothing Don't know/Refused to answer

In general, are ministries doing a lot, enough, a little, or nothing to address the needs of people like you?

25

5%

1%

3%

1%

2%

3%

18%

16%

13%

10%

10%

6%

22%

25%

26%

28%

20%

17%

51%

57%

53%

57%

64%

67%

5%

2%

5%

5%

5%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17

A lot Enough A little Nothing Don't know/Refused to answer

For the following services, please rate from 1 to 5 how satisfied you are, with 1 being very satisfied and 5 being very unsatisfied.

26

1= Very Satisfied 2 3 4 5= Very

Unsatisfied

Don’t know/

Refused to answer

Public security 34% 24% 17% 8% 17% 1%

Public transportation 28% 22% 13% 8% 26% 3%

Water supply 24% 18% 16% 9% 33% 1%

Electricity 23% 18% 13% 9% 37% 1%

Education 21% 18% 18% 10% 29% 5%

Waste management 16% 15% 15% 8% 44% 1%

Healthcare 16% 18% 18% 10% 35% 3%

Social services 13% 15% 18% 11% 38% 6%

Environmental protection 12% 15% 14% 10% 46% 3%

Transportation infrastructure 11% 11% 12% 8% 58% 1%

For the following services, please rate from 1 to 5 how satisfied you are, with 1 being very satisfied and 5 being very dissatisfied.

Public security

27

28%

34%

27%

24%

16%

17%

8%

8%

20%

17%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17

1-Very satisfied 2-Somewhat satisfied 3-Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied

4-Somewhat dissatisfied 5-Very dissatisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

<1%


Public transportation

28

22%

28%

24%

22%

14%

13%

10%

8%

29%

26%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Water supply

29

33%

24%

20%

18%

12%

16%

10%

9%

24%

33%

0%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Electricity

30

33%

23%

17%

18%

12%

13%

10%

9%

28%

37%

0%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Education

31

19%

21%

23%

18%

19%

18%

11%

10%

25%

29%

3%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Waste management

32

14%

16%

13%

15%

13%

15%

14%

8%

44%

44%

2%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Healthcare

33

14%

16%

18%

18%

18%

18%

14%

10%

34%

35%

1%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Social services

34

10%

13%

14%

15%

19%

18%

16%

11%

38%

38%

3%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Environmental protection

35

12%

12%

13%

15%

17%

14%

14%

10%

43%

46%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%


Transportation infrastructure

36

10%

11%

11%

11%

14%

12%

12%

8%

53%

58%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



<1%

I’m going to read you a list of government bodies. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or unfavorable

opinion of that government body.

37

33%

27%

33%

49%

23%

21%

21%

21%

6%

8%

7%

5%

17%

20%

20%

10%

21%

25%

20%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Independent High Authority for Elections (ISIE)

High Independent Authority of the AudiovisualCommission (HAICA)

Truth and Dignity Comission (IVD)

National Anti-Corruption Authority (INLUCC)

Favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused to answer

Policy

38

What, among the following, should be the top priority for the government?

39

*“Improving public services,” “Winning the war on terrorism” and “Youth employment/opportunities for youth” were not offered as responses in May 2016 or November 2015. “Development of southern and interior regions” and “Organizing local elections” were not options in November 2015.

Nov-17 Apr-17 Dec-16 May-16 Nov-15

Employment 29% 34% 32% 33% 29%

Living standards 18% 17% 15% 14% 18%

Corruption and transparency 9% 8% 7% 12% 6%

Economic development and reform 9% 13% 11% 12% 15%

Youth employment/Opportunities for youth* 8% 9% 10%

Security 7% 4% 5% 17% 18%

Winning the war on terrorism* 6% 3% 6%

Improving public services (health care, education, infrastructure)* 4% 4% 3%

Social reforms 4% 3% 3% 6% 6%

Development of southern and interior regions* 2% 1% 1% 1%

Improving service delivery (trash, roads, mail, etc.) 1% 2% 2% 4% 5%

Organizing local elections* 1% 1% 1% 1%

Don’t know/Refused to answer 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

What specific government policies should be enacted in order to provide more resources for the government to address this priority area ?

40

*“Make the government smaller” was not an option in November 2015. “Reduce the salaries of government employees” was not an option in this survey or in the April 2017 survey.

Nov-17 Apr-17 Dec-16 May-16 Nov-15

Reduce corruption 39% 40% 38% 40% 34%

Promote small business, entrepreneurship and expansion of private sector 20% 19% 25% 20% 16%

Reduce wasteful and unnecessary government spending 9% 9% 10% 10% 10%

Make the government smaller* 8% 5% 6% 7%

Reduce subsidies on everyday items like bread, tomato paste and fuel 7% 12% 6% 3% 7%

Improve tax collection 5% 4% 6% 6% 13%

Seek additional loans from foreign governments and banks 4% 3% 3% 2% 3%

Raise taxes 1% 2% 2% 1% 3%

Reduce the salaries of government employees* 0% 8% 6%

Other 2% 1% 2% 1% 1%

Don’t know/Refused to answer 6% 5% 4% 3% 7%

Which of the following statements best matches your own opinion of the role that religion should play in government and law making?

41

19% 20% 19% 20%23%

21%

15%

20%

21%

9%8%

16%

8%

14%

11%

18%17%

11%

51% 50%

42%46% 45%

38%

44%

32%

37%

16% 20%

15%18%

13%

24%

17%20%

23%

5% 3%7%

8%6% 5% 5%

12%

9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Feb-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Jun-15 Nov-15 May-16 Dec-16 Apr-17 Nov-17

Religion should be completely absent from government decision making

Religious views should not provide a source of justification for a policy or law

The principles of Islam should be one consideration but not the only consideration when making policy or law

Islamic texts should form the foundations of all policy and lawmaking


What is the main challenge to women’s political participation in Tunisia today?

42

<1%


Lack of opportunity 13% 12% 10%

Lack of money 12% 8% 6%

Cultural traditions 11% 16% 19%

Lack of education 10% 6% 5%

Security fears 9% 4% 3%

Family resistance 9% 7% 7%

Lack of desire to participate 6% 4% 3%

Lack of training and coaching 6% 6% 4%

Islamic law 5% 7% 5%

Lack of support* 7%

There are no challenges to women’s participation 8% 13% 17%

All of the above 4% 6% 9%

Don’t know/Refused to answer 8% 12% 7%

*“Lack of support” was not an option in November 2017 or April 2017.

Do you believe that the government is promoting policies and programs to support the rights of women?

43

29%

28%

35%

24%

16%

43%

31%

40%

39%

40%

43%

35%

12%

18%

12%

16%

20%

7%

15%

8%

9%

12%

13%

9%

14%

7%

5%

8%

9%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17

Absolutely yes Mainly yes Mainly no Not at all Don't know/Refused to answer

On National Women’s Day in August, President Beji Caid Essebsi called for amending Tunisia’s inheritance law to guarantee that sons and daughters receive equal inheritance. Would you say that you strongly support, somewhat support,

somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?

44

2%

63%

4%

6%

25%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

On National Women’s Day in August, President Beji Caid Essebsi called for amending Tunisia’s inheritance law to guarantee that sons and daughters receive equal inheritance. Would you say that you strongly support, somewhat support,

somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?(Disaggregated by gender)

45

0%

75%

3%

5%

16%

3%

52%

5%

7%

33%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%


Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

WomenMen

President Beji Caid Essebsi recently announced that he was repealing the decree banning Tunisian women from marrying non-Muslim men. Would you say that you

strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this decision?

46

3%

65%

8%

7%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

President Beji Caid Essebsi recently announced that he was repealing the decree banning Tunisian women from marrying non-Muslim men. Would you say that you

strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this decision?

47

2%

64%

8%

8%

18%

3%

65%

7%

5%

19%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

WomenMen

How familiar are you with the law countering violence against women that the Assembly of the Representatives of the People passed on July 26? Are you very familiar, somewhat familiar, somewhat unfamiliar or very unfamiliar with the

law?

48

2%

49%

6%

30%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


Very unfamiliar

Somewhat unfamiliar

Somewhat familiar

Very familiar

Would you say that you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the law countering violence against women?

49

10%

8%

4%

12%

66%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

What should the government’s first priority be regarding Tunisian youth?

50

1%

2%

4%

4%

9%

15%

66%

3%

3%

3%

5%

8%

8%

70%

1%

2%

3%

4%

9%

18%

63%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%


Address youth health and psychological issues

Encourage youth participation in political life

Encourage youth participation in public life

Institute reforms to make it easier to youth tostart businesses

Educational reform

Employment


What is the main challenge to young people’s political participation in Tunisia today?

51*“Lack of support” was not an option in November 2017 or April 2017.


Lack of hope 21% 25% 16%

Lack of money 21% 17% 14%

Lack of opportunity 13% 15% 14%

Lack of training and coaching 11% 9% 10%

Lack of education 8% 5% 5%

Lack of desire to participate 7% 5% 6%

Security fears 5% 3% 2%

There are no challenges facing youth participation 1% 2% 4%

Family resistance 1% 1% <1%

Lack of support* 11%

All of the above 9% 10% 13%

Don’t know/Refused to answer 4% 8% 4%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Politicians do not pay attention to the needs and ideas of young people.”

52

71%

70%

73%

77%

81%

25%

26%

23%

18%

15%

4%

4%

4%

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17

Agree Disagree Don't know/Refused to answer

Do you believe that the government is promoting policies and programs that help youth succeed?

53

18%

5%

10%

6%

3%

14%

28%

23%

30%

30%

27%

25%

16%

25%

23%

28%

30%

17%

28%

43%

34%

33%

35%

40%

10%

4%

3%

4%

6%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-15

Nov-15

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17

Absolutely yes Mainly yes Mainly no Not at all Don't know/Refused to answer

Decentralization and Local Elections

54

One of the provisions of the constitution adopted in 2014 was a decentralization of government, meaning that the national government would transfer certain powers and duties to local governments so that government was closer to the

citizens it is meant to serve. How knowledgeable are you about this decentralization process?

55

12%

52%

16%

14%

7%

4%

69%

9%

8%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%


Not knowledgeable at all

Not very knowledgeable

Somewhat knowledgeable

Very knowledgeable

Nov-17 Apr-17

The 2014 constitution says that the municipal and regional governments will be elected by citizens and will have the authority to choose how funds are spent in their region. Do you think that democratically-elected municipal and regional councils with the power to decide how money is spent in their region will lead

to:

56

23%

25%

26%

28%

43%

39%

42%

44%

11%

13%

9%

8%

15%

17%

15%

14%

8%

7%

8%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Economic improvement

Less corruption

Better communicationbetween government

and citizens

Better services

Yes, absolutely Mainly, yes Mainly, no Not at all Don't know/Refused

The 2014 constitution says that the municipal and regional governments will be elected by citizens and will have the authority to choose how funds are spent in their region. Do you think that democratically-elected municipal and regional councils with

the power to decide how money is spent in their region will lead to:Better services

57

13%

23%

28%

39%

39%

44%

19%

15%

8%

23%

17%

14%

7%

6%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

August-17

November-17

Yes, absolutely Mainly yes Mainly no Not at all Don't know/Refused to answer


the power to decide how money is spent in their region will lead to:Better communication between government and citizens

58

12%

26%

36%

42%

20%

9%

23%

15%

9%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

November-17



the power to decide how money is spent in their region will lead to:Less corruption

59

10%

18%

25%

33%

33%

39%

21%

17%

13%

28%

24%

17%

8%

8%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

August-17

November-17



the power to decide how money is spent in their region will lead to:Economic improvement

60

13%

21%

23%

34%

36%

43%

19%

16%

11%

25%

20%

15%

8%

7%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April-17

August-17

November-17


Tunisia will hold elections for the municipal council governments in the next year. How likely, if at all, are you to vote in those elections?

61

*From December 2016 – November 2015, this question was phrased: “Tunisia will hold elections for municipal council and regional government in the next year. How likely, if at all, are you to vote in those elections?”

42%

43%

38%

30%

43%

24%

20%

20%

23%

15%

6%

4%

7%

9%

7%

25%

29%

32%

34%

33%

3%

3%

3%

6%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Nov-15*

May-16*

Dec-16*

Apr-17

Nov-17

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/Refused to answer

For people like me, voting…

62

9%

31%

23%

37%

5%

29%

26%

40%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Doesn't really affect how the government runsthings, so for me, it's not really important to vote

Doesn't really affect how the government runsthings, but I still believe it's important to vote

Gives me some say about how government runsthings

Nov-17 Apr-17

Ordinary citizens…

63

7%

28%

65%

4%

28%

68%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%


Cannot do much to influence the government

Can do a lot to influence government, if theymake the effort

Nov-17 Apr-17

Regarding the municipal elections, are you: currently registered to vote, not registered but plan to register, not registered and do not plan to register or

ineligible to register?

64

3%

3%

28%

20%

47%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Ineligible to register

Not registered and do notplan to register

Not registered yet but planto register

Currently registered to vote

If municipal elections were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?(Asked as a pre-coded open-ended question)

65

Nov-17 Aug-17 Apr-17 Dec-16

Nidaa Tounes 12% 3% 6% 17%

Ennahda 5% 3% 5% 9%

Jebha Chaabia 5% 1% 2% 5%

Tayar Democratie 4% 1% 2% 1%

Afek Tounes 2% <1% 2% 3%

Tayar Al-Mahaba 1% <1% <1% 1%

Al-Irada 1% <1% 3% 1%

UPL 1% 1% 2% 2%

Mashroua Tounes 1% <1% 1% 1%

Tounes Awalan <1% 0% Not a party in Apr-17

Not a party in Dec-16

Other 2% 3% 2% 12%

No one 5% 7% 17%

Don’t know/Refused to answer 62% 83% 60% 48%

If you had a choice among the following parties and municipal elections were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

66

42%

4%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

6%

7%

8%

19%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Don't know/Refused to…

Other

Al Badil Ettouonsi

Al-Irada

Tounes Awalan

Union Patriotique Libre (UPL)

Mashroua Tounes

Afek Tounes

Tayar el-Mahaba

Tayar Democratie

Jebha Chaabia

Ennahda

Nidaa Tounes

Thinking about the upcoming municipal elections, are you more likely to vote for the party regardless of who the individual candidates are or are you more likely to vote for the individual candidates regardless of which

party they represent?

67

22%

32%

25%

35%

51%

46%

38%

48%

22%

22%

37%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

May-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Nov-17

Party Candidate Don't know/Refused to answer

If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a woman, which

candidate are you more likely to support?

68

16%

20%

35%

47%

44%

22%

36%

34%

41%

2%

1%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Nov-15

May-16

Nov-17

Man Woman Makes no difference to me Don't know/Refused to answer

Thinking about the upcoming municipal elections, which possible characteristic of a political party is more important to you: that the party has strong leaders or

the party has a clear platform?

69

6%

49%

17%

8%

19%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


A clear platform is definitelymore important to me

A clear platform is somewhatmore important to me

Strong leaders are somewhatmore important to me

Strong leaders are definitelymore important to me

How important is it to you that the upcoming municipal elections are held as planned in March 2018?

70

4%

12%

7%

14%

63%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Completely unimportant

Somewhat unimportant

Somewhat important

Very important

Corruption

72

In your dealings with the government, how important are personal contacts and/or relationship to get things done? Are they very important, somewhat

important, somewhat unimportant or very unimportant?

72

2%

14%

10%

16%

57%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


Very unimportant

Somewhat unimportant

Somewhat important

Very important

How much do you follow news about corruption in Tunisia? Do you follow it a great deal, a lot, somewhat, a little or not at all?

73

1%

20%

8%

30%

11%

31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Not at all

A little

Somewhat

A lot

A great deal

In the spring of this year, Prime Minister Chahed announced that he was pursuing a “war against corruption.” How satisfied are you with the government’s “war

against corruption” so far? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

74

7%

23%

15%

26%

29%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Very dissatisfied

Somewhat dissatisfied

Somewhat satisfied

Very satisfied

If somewhat satisfied or very satisfied with the government’s “war against corruption,” why do you feel that way?

(n=663; open-ended)

75

18%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

11%

15%

17%

25%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Other

It gives us hope

It achieves justive

It contributes to improvement in the country's economicsituation

He punished the corrupt people

Fighting corruption contributes to improvement in thecountry's situation

It is a good initiative

Concrete results have been achieved and corruption hasdecreased

[Prime Minister] Chahed took the first step but he mustcontinue

Satisfied with the efforts carried out by the governmentto fight corruption

The government is reducing corruption in the country

<1%

If somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied with the government’s “war against corruption,” why do you feel that way? (n=451; open-ended)

76

11%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

7%

9%

19%

47%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Other

The most corrupt have not been touched

I don’t trust them

Lack of transparency

The government is corrupt

More effort is required

Corruption still exists

He is not serious in the fight against corruption

There is no result

How familiar are you with the Administrative Reconciliation Law that the Assembly of the Representatives of the People passed on September 13? Are you very familiar, somewhat familiar, somewhat unfamiliar or very unfamiliar with

the law?

77

3%

70%

7%

14%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%


Very unfamiliar

Somewhat unfamiliar

Somewhat familiar

Very familiar

The Administrative Reconciliation Law states that amnesty would be provided to public servants who committed corruption offenses between 1955 and 2011,

provided that those officials only did so while obeying orders from superiors and derived no personal benefit from the offenses. Would you say that you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?

78

6%

42%

9%

20%

24%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

If one of Tunisia’s political parties were to adopt the platform of ManichMsamah, a protest movement that opposes the Administrative Reconciliation

Law, would that make you much more likely, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely to vote for that political party in the upcoming

municipal elections?

79

18%

30%

13%

22%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Much less likely

Somewhat less likely

Somewhat more likely

Much more likely

*The Administrative Reconciliation Law states that amnesty would be provided to public servants who committed corruption offenses between 1955 and 2011, provided that those officials only did so while obeying orders from superiors and derived no personal benefit from the offenses.

Politics

80

Prime Minister Chahed announced a government reshuffle in September. How knowledgeable are you about the reshuffle and the composition of the new

government?

81

2%

57%

6%

23%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Not knowledgeable at all

Not very knowledgeable

Somewhat knowledgeable

Very knowledgeable

Do you think the reshuffle will lead to much better government performance, somewhat better government performance, no change in the government’s performance, somewhat worse government performance, or much worse

government performance?

82

15%

7%

5%

39%

27%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Much worse

Somewhat worse

No change

Somewhat better

Much better

Do you believe that in general, government reshuffles in Tunisia result in much better government performance, somewhat better government performance, no

change in the government’s performance, somewhat worse government performance or much worse government performance?

83

11%

6%

7%

41%

27%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Much worse

Somewhat worse

No change

Somewhat better

Much better

The recent government reshuffle brought in four new ministers and one new secretary of state, all of whom had previously served under the Ben Ali regime,

into the government. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this decision?

84

12%

30%

9%

24%

25%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

In your opinion, who is the most important female opinion leader in Tunisia?(Asked as a pre-coded open-ended question)

85

57%

7%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

27%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Other

Majdouline Cherni

Maya Ksouri

Abir Moussi

Maya Jribi

Neziha Labidi

Wided Bouchamoui

Radhia Nasrawi

Sihem Bensedrine

Mehrzia Labidi

Samia Abbou

I’m going to read you a list of national figures that represent political organizations. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or unfavorable opinion of that individual.

86

8%

10%

11%

14%

15%

16%

18%

18%

34%

38%

11%

11%

17%

20%

25%

18%

18%

27%

33%

18%

4%

4%

3%

6%

5%

4%

3%

5%

3%

2%

56%

24%

31%

49%

33%

48%

24%

45%

18%

18%

21%

52%

39%

11%

23%

14%

37%

6%

12%

25%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Hechmi Hamdi

Noureddine Taboubi

Sihem Bensedrine

Moncef Marzouki

Mehdi Jomaa

Hama Hammami

Mohamed Abbou

President Beji Caid Essebsi

Prime Minister Youssef Chahed

Samia Abbou

Favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable

Unfavorable Don't know/Refused to answer

I’m going to read you a list of national figures that represent political organizations. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or unfavorable opinion of that individual.

87

3%

4%

4%

4%

6%

7%

7%

8%

8%

4%

8%

9%

7%

12%

13%

15%

12%

11%

2%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

5%

19%

32%

57%

24%

44%

29%

63%

33%

56%

72%

52%

27%

62%

35%

48%

10%

45%

20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Wafa Maklouf

Ridha Belhaj

Hafedh Caid Essebsi

Selma Elloumi

Mohsen Marzouk

Yassine Brahim

Rached Ghannouchi

Wided Bouchamoui

Slim Riahi



I’m going to read you a list of national figures who represent political organizations. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable

opinion of that individual.Prime Minister Youssef Chahed

88

22%

26%

7%

28%

16%

17%

44%

8%

21%

10%

19%

36%

4%

20%

21%

12%

18%

3%

33%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Unfavorable

Somewhat unfavorable

Somewhat favorable

Favorable


I’m going to read you a list of national figures who represent political organizations. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable

opinion of that individual.President Beji Caid Essebsi

89

7%

40%

9%

26%

17%

10%

52%

7%

18%

13%

16%

49%

5%

16%

15%

6%

45%

5%

27%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


Unfavorable

Somewhat unfavorable

Somewhat favorable

Favorable


I’m going to read you a list of political organizations. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or

unfavorable opinion of that organization.

90

2%

4%

5%

6%

7%

7%

7%

7%

8%

10%

11%

17%

20%

6%

11%

11%

8%

15%

19%

13%

16%

15%

15%

16%

25%

20%

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

4%

3%

4%

6%

4%

6%

5%

3%

32%

31%

44%

30%

41%

34%

36%

35%

59%

29%

44%

41%

25%

57%

51%

37%

54%

32%

37%

42%

39%

12%

42%

24%

12%

32%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Al-Badil Ettounsi

Tounes al-Irada

Tayar el-Mahaba

Tounes Awalan

Union Patriotique Libre (UPL)

Afek Tounes

Mashroua Tounes

Tayar Democratie

Ennahda

UTICA

Jebha Chaabia

Nidaa Tounes

UGTT



Which political party do you think is the best to:Fight corruption

91


Nidaa Tounes 19% 10% 11% 14%


Ennahda 9% 7% 8% 8%


UPL 2% 1% 2% 1%

Afek Tounes 2% 1% 2% 1%

Mashroua Tounes 2% 1% 1% 1%

Tayar Al-Mahaba 2% 1% 1% 1%

Tounes Awalan 2% Not a response choice in Aug-17

Not a party in Apr-17


Al-Irada 2% 1% 3% 1%

Al-Badil Ettounsi <1% 0% 1% Not a party in Dec-16

Other 2% 1% 1% <1%

No one 25% 54% 48% 48%


Which political party do you think is the best to:Help the national economy of Tunisia grow

92


Nidaa Tounes 18% 10% 11% 18%


Ennahda 7% 6% 7% 8%





UPL 2% 1% 4% 2%




Al-Irada 2% 1% 3% 1%

Al-Badil Ettounsi 1% <1% 1% Not a party in Dec-16

Other 1% <1% 1% <1%

No one 26% 54% 48% 42%


Which political party do you think is the best to:Fight terrorism

93


Nidaa Tounes 23% 13% 15% 19%


Ennahda 6% 6% 7% 6%




UPL 2% 1% 2% 1%

Al-Irada 2% 1% 2% 1%





Al-Badil Ettounsi 1% 0% 1% Not a party in Dec-16

Other 3% <1% 1% 2%

No one 25% 53% 48% 44%


In your opinion, what are the top three actions that a Tunisian political party could hypothetically take that would increase your trust in that political party?

(Asked as a pre-coded open ended question)

94

17%

19%

6%

7%

11%

13%

16%

25%

31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Other

Prominent political party leaders, such as the president of thepolitical party, publicly release their tax filings or declare their

assets

Hold public forums in my community

Improve living standards

Fight against corruption

Go door to door in my community to meet with citizens

Conduct charity or community service work in my community

Employment

Miscellaneous

95

96

11%

77%

12%

10%

81%

9%

3%

92%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


Tunisians should stay out of the affairs of otherMuslim countries

Tunisians should participate in conflicts inother Muslim countries


Some people say that it is okay for Tunisian citizens to participate in violent conflicts in other Muslim countries. Other people say that Tunisia has enough problems on its own and that Tunisians should stay out of the affairs of other Muslim countries in violent conflict. Which of these two

views is closest to your own?

Some people say that it is okay for Tunisian citizens to participate in violent conflicts in other Muslim countries.

Why do you feel that way?(N=60/Asked as a pre-coded open ended question)

97

26%

8%

2%

3%

3%

5%

7%

8%

18%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30%


Other

Support only neighboringcountries

Financial support

Support only Palestine

Find solutions

To be united

To help them

Support Muslims and Islam

Common interest

Other people say that Tunisia has enough problems on its own and that Tunisians should stay out of the affairs of other Muslim countries in violent conflict.

Why do you feel that way?(N=1,106/Asked as a pre-coded open ended question)

98

5%

1%

1%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

6%

6%

10%

13%

17%

26%

0% 10% 20% 30%


Other

We must avoid political crisis

We don’t have the power to solve their problems

Violence is bad

It will negatively affect Tunisia

It will bring terrorists to Tunisia

It's forbidden for a Muslim to kill Muslims

They are going to die

Each country must solve its own problems

It's not our business

To stay away from problems

Our country needs us

We have our own problems to solve

Some people in Tunisia are concerned about individuals fighting in violent conflicts abroad returning to Tunisia. What do you think the Tunisian government

should do about these individuals when they attempt to return to Tunisia?(Asked as a pre-coded open ended question)

99

13%

2%

1%

6%

6%

25%

18%

15%

15%

9%

1%

4%

6%

7%

8%

14%

14%

16%

21%

0% 10% 20% 30%


Other

Accept them

Interrogate them

Capital punishment

Administrative probation

Deport them

Put them on trial

Prison

Let them rejoin society andrehabilitate them

Nov-17 Apr-17

<1%

Demographics

100

Demographics

7%

3%

10%

27%

34%

18%

22%

78%

7%

10%

2%

38%

32%

11%

11%

21%

29%

40%

52%

48%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


More than 2,500 Dinars

1,501 to 2,500 Dinars

1,001 to 1,500 Dinars

501 to 1,000 Dinars

201 to 500 Dinars

Under 200 Dinars

No

Yes

Graduate degree

University completed

Professional training

Secondary school

Primary school

Never went to school

65+

50-64

35-49

18-34

Female

Male

101

GENDER

EDUCATION

AGE

HOME OWNERSHIP

HOUSEHOLD INCOME (MONTHLY)

<1%

Demographics

3%

1%

30%

67%

49%

51%

11%

34%

65%

94%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Other

Work

Home

Mobile phone

No

Yes

Other

English

French

Arabic

102

LANGUAGES READ

LOCATION OF INTERNET ACCESS(N=609)

INTERNET ACCESS

www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls

Center for Insights in Survey Research202.408.9450 | [email protected]

Documents

Public Opinion Survey of Tunisians · Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was conducted on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research by Tunisian owned and operated marketing