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1 PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations APRIL 25, 2012

PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

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PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations. APRIL 25, 2012. Who Is The Investing Public?. Buy Side Sell Side. Mutual FundsInvestment Banks Pension FundsBrokerage Firms BanksIndependent Analysts Investment AdvisorsCredit Rating Agencies Insurance Companies - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

1

PUR GuideJeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

APRIL 25, 2012

Page 2: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

2

Who Is The Investing Public?

Buy Side Sell Side

Mutual Funds Investment BanksPension Funds Brokerage FirmsBanks Independent AnalystsInvestment Advisors Credit Rating AgenciesInsurance CompaniesNonprofit TrustsIndividual InvestorsEmployee Stock Ownership Plans

Page 3: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

3

What Do They Have Invested in NU?

$4,013Common Equity

(Book Value)

$5,264Short and Long Term

Debt

$116Preferred

Stock

As of 12/31/11 (in millions)

Page 4: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

Let’s Look At The Common Stock First

79%10%

3% 8%

470 Institutions that file

with the SEC

38,000 registered

holders

9,000 active and retired employees in

retirement plan

177 Million SharesAs of 12/31/11

Other individual

and institutional

holders

4

Page 5: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

How Have NU Shares Done vs. the Market?

11%

-23%

7%3%

-38%

23%

12%17%

7%

-1%

9%

24%

43%

-3%

14%

4%

13%7%

13%

-30%

2%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

NU S&P 500 Dow Utilities

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 March 2012

5

Page 6: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

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Steady Dividend Growth$0

.10 $0

.15

$0.1

65

$0.1

75

$0.1

875

$0.2

0

$0.2

125

$0.2

375

$0.2

5625

$0.2

75

$0.2

9375

$0.1

25

$0.1

375

$0.00

$0.04

$0.08

$0.12

$0.16

$0.20

$0.24

$0.28

12/99-6/01

9/01-6/02

9/02-6/03

9/03-6/04

9/04-6/05

9/05-6/06

9/06-6/07

9/07-6/08

9/08-12/08

2009 2010 2011 2012(Mar.)

Quarterly Dividends Per Share

Page 7: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

Major Buy Side Institutions and Related Mutual Funds

1. Vanguard 11.1 million

2. BlackRock Fund Advisors 10.2 million

3. Wellington Management 10.1 million

4. State Street 9.7 million

5. J.P. Morgan Asset Management 8.4 million

6. BlackRock Advisors 4.3 million

7. Goldman Sachs Asset Management 3.3 million

8. Wells Fargo Advisors 3.3 million

9. Fidelity 2.8 million

10. D. E. Shaw 2.7 million

NU Shares Held 12/31/11

Index FundActively Managed FundHedge Fund

7

Page 8: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

Employee Ownership Of NU Shares

• 401(k): 702,000 shares owned by 2,437 employees/retirees choosing NU Common Share Fund as option

• ESOP: 4.07 million shares owned by approximately 8,445 employees/retirees through 3% match of 401(k) contributions

• TRAESOP/PAYSOP: 688,000 shares owned by 1,800 employees/retirees; 1980’s vintage tax-advantaged stock ownership plan

• ESPP II: 1.1 million shares bought by employees since 2001 through 5% discount (originally 15%) on share purchases

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Page 9: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

What Do Analysts Say About NU Shares?

Firm Analyst Rating Est. 2012 EPS Est. 2013 EPS Price Target

Wells Fargo Neil Kalton Buy $2.40 $2.60 $40.50

BOA/Merrill Lynch Steve Fleishman Buy $2.36 $2.55 $40.00

Williams Capital Chris Ellinghaus Buy $2.46 $2.61 $40.00

UBS Jim von Riesemann Hold $2.52 $2.58 $36.00

Wunderlich Jay Dobson Hold $2.35 $2.54 $37.00

Wellington Shields Maury May Buy $2.37 $2.55 $39.50

BMO Capital Mike Worms Hold $2.44 $2.61 $35.00

Gabelli Tim Winter Buy $2.45 N/A $35.00

Goldman Sachs Michael Lapides Buy $2.46 $2.62 $39.00

Deutsche Bank Jonathan Arnold Hold $2.35 $2.55 $36.50

ISI Group Greg Gordon Hold $2.40 $2.55 $38.50

Macquarie Andrew Weisel Hold $2.36 $2.54 $37.00

US Capital Advisors Dan Fidell Buy $2.45 $2.60 $38.00

Edward Jones Paul Franzen Buy $2.45 N/A N/A

Brean Murray Michael Gaugler Buy $2.48 $2.60 $45.00

Average $2.42 $2.55 $38.36

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Page 10: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

Price/Earnings Ratio: A Common Way To Value Stock

Price Divided By Adjusted NU Earnings

• 2011 NU Earnings $36.00/$2.38 = 15.1

• 2012 NU Earnings $36.00/$2.42 = 14.9

• 2013 Consensus NU Earnings $36.00/$2.58 = 14.0

• 2014 Consensus NU Earnings $36.00/$2.72 = 13.2

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Page 11: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

$116 Million Of Preferred Stock

• All at CL&P• All perpetual• All issued between 1947 and 1968• Interest rates range between 3.80% and 6.48%• In times of stress, subordinated to debt, ahead of common• Owned by about 1,400 holders, many individual investors

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Page 12: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

How Is Our Debt Rated?

Standard & Poor’s/Fitch Moody’sAAA AaaAA+ Aa1AA Aa2AA- Aa3A+ A1A CL&P Bonds (F), PSNH Bonds (F) A2 A- CL&P Bonds (S), PSNH Bonds (S) A3 PSNH Bonds, CL&P Bonds

CL&P Unsecured (S&F), WMECO Unsecured (S&F) Baa1BBB+ NU Unsecured (S&F) Baa2 CL&P, PSNH, WMECO, NU UnsecuredBBB CL&P Preferred (S&F) Baa3 CL&P Preferred

BB+ Ba1BB Ba2BB- Ba3B+ B1B B2B- B3CCC+ Caa1

Inve

stm

ent

Gra

deN

on-In

vest

men

tG

rade

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Page 13: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

What Kind Of Long-Term Debt Do We Have?

$2,981$513

$765

$301$390

In Millionsas of 12/31/11

Spent nuclear fuel

obligations at CL&P, WMECO

Tax-exempt bonds, notes at CL&P, PSNH,

WMECOParent

Company Notes

Taxable first mortgage bonds at CL&P, PSNH,

Yankee Gas

WMECO Unsecured

Notes

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Page 14: PUR Guide Jeffrey Kotkin, Vice President – Investor Relations

Where Is NU’s Credit Access (in millions)

$500

$300

$400

CL&P

RegulatedCompanies NU

Total = $1.2 Billion

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