25
Copyright © 2018 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. PUTTING THE “CAN” IN CANNABIS Opportunities and Insights For Can Manufacturers Rick Maturo May 21 st , 2020

PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

18

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

PUTTING THE“CAN” IN CANNABISOpportunities and Insights For Can Manufacturers

Rick Maturo

May 21st, 2020

Page 2: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

2Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

CANNABIS

MARIJUANA PLANT HEMP PLANT

CBD<0.3% / NO THCCBDTHC

Intoxicating / Non-Intoxicating Non-Intoxicating

TWO PLANTS. TWO INDUSTRIES. ONE GENUS.

Page 3: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

3Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use

Legal Adult Use

+ Active Retail

• Marijuana is still a federally illegal,

schedule I drug

• Fragmented market, limited reach

• No interstate commerce of products

• MSOs need operations in every

market they operate

• Recreational marijuana legal for

~30% of adults.

• 11 States + D.C. legal consumption

• 9 States have rec dispensaries, ME

and VT will join

• NY, NJ, CT, NH, PA likely to legalize

• COVID and Legislation could

accelerate growth

MARIJUANA: WHAT’S LEGAL? WHERE?

Page 4: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

4Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

HEMP-CBD: WHAT’S LEGAL? WHERE?• Hemp and all derivatives federally de-

scheduled Dec. ‘18 via Farm Bill

• Legal in all states with varying

conditions (e.g., <0.3% THC, Idaho

0% THC)

• Hemp now a commodity crop,

wholesale prices falling, acreage up

~28x from ‘16 to ’19

• Canadian LPs now investing heavily in

US Hemp-CBD market (e.g., Cronos =

Lord Jones; Aurora = Reliva; Canopy

= First & Free); some CPG brands in

the space / others exploring

• Looks good…but the FDA poses the

biggest barrier to growth and

existential threat

Page 5: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

5Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

Human Drugs

“… CBD product, … to diagnose, mitigate, treat, cure, or prevent

disease, is a drug…no approved OTC drugs containing CBD…“

Foods for Humans, Pets, and Other Animals

"not currently lawful to add CBD to human or animal food, …safety

concerns about the use of CBD in food."

Dietary Supplements

“…CBD products cannot lawfully be sold as dietary supplements"

Animal CBD

“…FDA has not approved, …CBD drugs for animals"

Cosmetics

“…topical product, …intended to affect the structure or function of

the body, or… for a therapeutic use…is a drug, even if it is also a

cosmetic,…must be approved as a new drug“

Vapes

"CBD-containing vape products…cannot be marketed without FDA-

approved drug applications"

Enforcement

"FDA intends to continue monitoring the marketplace,

and to initiate and expand appropriate compliance and

enforcement …continue taking action to address

violations…"

Future

"marketplace for CBD-containing products continues to

quickly evolve…critical that we protect consumers from

unsafe products…obtaining information to address

evidence gaps is essential and, to date, outside groups

have not provided the robust data and information

needed to fully inform potential paths forward.”

SUMMARY OF MARCH, 2020 FDA REPORT ON CBD FOR CONGRESS

CONTINUED FDA PROHIBITION DELAYS CHAIN FDMC RETAILER CBD

ADOPTION UNTIL AT LEAST Q4, 2020 – LIKELY LATER

Page 6: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

6Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

N=5,528

# M

AJO

R C

HA

IN S

TO

RE

S S

EL

LIN

G C

BD

FDA WARNS

CURALEAF

MCCONNEL FDA

90 / 120 DAY PLAN

& VAPING

DEATHS

COVID-19

SHELTER AT HOME

90 DAYS

PASS NO

FDA PLANFARM BILL

CVS ROLLS CBD

TO 800+

LOCATIONS

STAGNANT CHAIN BRICK & MORTAR MARKETPLACE LIMITS

CONSUMER AWARENESS OF CBD

Page 7: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

7Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

Source: Nielsen CannaUse (US) 2020 | N=27,974 Adults

Pain Management

Holistic Health

Habit Breaking

Experience Enhancement

Socialization

THC-Dom Marijuana

CBD-Dom Products

CANNABIS DOES NOT COMPETE IN A VACCUM

THC-

Dominant

Marijuana

Relaxation

Mood

Enhancement

Sleep

Mental Health

Chronic Pain

CBD-

Dominant

Marijuana

Sleep

Relaxation

Chronic Pain

Temporary Pain

Mental Health

Hemp-Derived

CBD

Sleep

Chronic Pain

Temporary Pain

Relaxation

Mental Health

Page 8: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

8Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHAT’S COMING FOR CANNABIS POST-COVID

• Marijuana - More states to legalize recreational usage

• SAFE Banking Act

• Marijuana - Federal De-schedule (MORE ACT) or STATES ACT Route?

• Hemp-CBD - FDA approval of ingestible products? HR5587?

• Acceleration of DTC / online sales of Hemp-CBD

(if no FDA / Legislative action)

Page 9: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

9Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

LEGAL MARIJUANA $11B+

HEMP-DERIVED CBD $1.3B

>>

Consumption up 16%

from Q3’ vs. Q4’ ‘19

Source: Nielsen CannaUse Study (US) 2019

2019 US SALES

Cannabinoid-

containing product

sales exceed $12B

Page 10: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

10Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

LEGAL MARIJUANA $35B

HEMP-DERIVED CBD $6B

>>

Legal cannabis

sales to reach

$41B by 2025

2025 US SALES

FORECAST

Page 11: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

11Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

2025 CATEGORY

SHARE

HEMP-CBD TO SOURCE >1/4 OF DOLLARS FROM

STRONG CAN PACKAGING CATEGORIES

35%

26%

11%10%9%6%

3%

OTCBeveragesInhalablesFoodBeauty &Personal

Care

Candy &Gum

Dog andCat

HEMP-DERIVED CBD $6B

Source: Nielsen Thinking Beyond the Buzz CBD Study (US) 2019

Page 12: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

12Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHERE ARE KEY CAN FORMATS TODAY?

HOW WILL THEY GROW?

Hemp-CBD THC-DOM Marijuana CBD-DOM Marijuana

Current

Usage %

Future

Usage %

Growth

%

Current

Usage %

Future

Usage %

Growth

%

Current

Usage %

Future

Usage %

Growth

%

Beverages 5% 24% 5.13x 5% 20% 4.09x 3% 22% 7.68x

Edibles 8% 28% 3.59x 10% 24% 2.32x 6% 27% 4.72x

Pre-Rolls 4% 16% 3.65x 8% 19% 2.31x 4% 17% 4.43x

Vapes 4% 13% 3.07x 7% 14% 1.96x 4% 13% 3.33x

Flower 5% 18% 3.50x 9% 20% 2.10x 5% 19% 4.04x

Source: Nielsen CannaUse Study (US) 2019; *Among Total US adults

Page 13: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

13Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHAT TYPES OF CONTAINERS ARE LEADING IN NIELSEN-

TRACKED CENSUS FDC CHANNELS?

DOLLAR SHARE

CONTAINER TYPE52 WK END

05/02/20

52 WK END

05/04/19

52 WK END

05/02/20

52 WK END

05/04/19

ALUMINUM $276,949 $27,050 53.20% 14.60%

GLASS $48,242 $16,986 9.30% 9.20%

PLASTIC $194,928 $141,252 37.50% 76.20%

Beverage Total $520,118 $185,287 100.00% 100.00%

Total CBD $25,217,818 $2,773,177 GROWTH = 9X

Beverage % of Total CBD 2.10% 6.70%

Page 14: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

14Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHAT CAN WE EXPECT FOR “CAN-READY” HEMP-

CBD CATEGORIES?

Segment 2020 2025

Total Hemp-Derived CBD Products $1.7BN - $2.0BN $6.0BN - $7.0BN Growth Drivers

CBD Beverages $175MM-$200MM $1.5BN - $2.0BNRTD Infused Waters, Teas, Coffees,

Energy Drinks, Fruit Juices, Powder Mix

CBD Edibles (incl. gummies) $75MM - $100MM $1.0BN - $1.25BN Gummies, Nutritional Bars,

CBD Flower / Buds $35MM - $40MM $125MM - $150MMHigh-Bio Availability, Fast-acting Effects,

Nicotine / Tobacco Cessation

CBD Pre-rolls $35MM -$40MM $125MM - $150MMHigh-Bio Availability, Fast-acting Effects,

Nicotine / Tobacco Cessation

CBD Vape Products $75MM - $100MM $300MM - $350MMHigh-Bio Availability, Fast-acting Effects,

Nicotine / Tobacco Cessation

Page 15: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

15Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

Source: Nielsen CannaUse (US) 2019

18%

52%

% HAVE

CONSUMED

% LIKELY TO

CONSUME IN

NEXT

12 MONTHS

CONVERSION

34%

MORE THAN 1/3 OF U.S.

ADULTS PLAN ON USING HEMP

CBD IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS…

…BUT 48% OF WOULD-BE

CBD USERS HAVE YET TO

EVEN TRY HEMP-CBD

Page 16: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

16Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

OPPORTUNITIES FOR CANS: BEVERAGES

• Familiarity, Ease of Use

• Seamless integration into daily beverage routine

• Wide assortment of flavor, function, and potencies for various needs and

occasions

• Broader appeal than inhalable formats – especially for lifestyle and generalist

users

*Note: the FDA does not permit hemp-CBD as an ingredient in ingestible products. **Disclaimer: Brands and products displayed for illustrative purposes only.

Page 17: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

17Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

OPPORTUNITIES FOR CANS: BEYOND BEVERAGES

• Flower

• Pre-Rolls

• Edibles (Tins)

• Vape (Tins)

*Note: the FDA does not permit hemp-CBD as an ingredient in ingestible / inhalable products. **Disclaimer: Brands and products displayed for illustrative purposes only.

Page 18: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

18Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHY CANS FIT WITH CANNABIS – SUPERIOR BRANDING

• Differentiation among a sea of “like” products

• Connect and reach specific consumer segments

• 360° branding

*Note: the FDA does not permit hemp-CBD as an ingredient in ingestible products. **Disclaimer: Brands and products displayed for illustrative purposes only.

Page 19: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

19Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHY CANS FIT WITH CANNABIS – DURABILITY AND

PROTECTION

• Prevent damage during

transport, tamper proof

• Longer shelf-life at point

of sale or in storage

facility

Image 1 Source: https://www.nugistics.io/seed-to-sale-software/

END CONSUMER

Page 20: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

20Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHY CANS FIT WITH CANNABIS – PROTECT

PRODUCT INTEGRITY

• Preserve terpenes (flavor)

and flavonoids (color)

• Protect from cannabinoid

degradation pre-sale /

post-sale storage

• Nitrogen-filled / ready to fill

can application, create

hermetically sealed

5 ENEMIES OF USABLE

CANNABIS & EXTRACTS

Page 21: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

21Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

WHY CANS FIT WITH CANNABIS:

MAKE A “GREEN” INDUSTRY “GREENER”

“…packaging used by cannabis producers includes can use as much

as 40.5 grams of plastic to secure a single one-gram joint.”

.

**Disclaimer: Brands and products displayed or mentioned are for illustrative purposes only.

Page 22: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

22Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

OTHER CAN CONSIDERATIONS LEGAL MARIJUANA AND HEMP

• Packaging laws vary by state - virtually all need to be child-proof

• Cans adhere to most laws, especially states requiring opaque packaging

• Most containers need to be resealable

• Some require multi-serve to have individual seal per serving (e.g., edibles)

• BPA-Free the norm, but need to ensure and call out in marketing to potential partners /

clients

• Laws for working with marijuana manufacturers vary by state….

best practice is to consult your legal counsel

• Hemp-CBD has few, if any packaging requirements…yet

**Disclaimer: Brands and products displayed or mentioned are for illustrative purposes only.

Page 23: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

23Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

• Current FDA stance on hemp-CBD ingestibles, including beverages, is

impeding category growth (especially in mainstream FMCG retail)

• Hemp-CBD is a more direct route in the near term, but regulated marijuana

channel could have longer-term potential

• Beverages represent the best opportunity for cans in hemp-CBD and MJ

• Greatest $ share of hemp-CBD beverages sold already utilizing aluminum can

• But don’t overlook other formats beyond beverages

• Cans can provide superior protection, product quality, and positioning to the

cannabis industry – need to inform industry

• Rules and regulations around packaging vary significantly based on market –

always consult your legal counsel before diving in

Page 24: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

24Cop

yri

gh

t ©

20

20

Th

e N

iels

en

Com

pa

ny (

US

), L

LC

. C

on

fid

en

tia

l a

nd

pro

pri

eta

ry. D

o n

ot d

istr

ibu

te.

QUESTIONS?

RICK MATURO

[email protected]

847-529-6253

Still Canna-Curious? Reach me @

Page 25: PUTTING“CAN” IN CANNABIS THE€¦ · .3 Legal Adult Use Legal Medicinal Use Legal Adult Use + Active Retail • Marijuana is still a federally illegal, schedule I drug • Fragmented

This artwork was created using Nielsen data.

Copyright © 2020 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.