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Q2 2020:COVID-19 almost grounded Finnair traffic – ramp-up has begun24 July 2020Topi Manner, Finnair
Q2 started with a drastic ramp-down of capacity
• Finnair operated c. 3% of the capacity compared to previous year• Critical flight connections for Finland were
maintained• Cargo flights supported supply security
• Only few passenger flights to Asia and North America during Q2
• Traffic program reflected travel restrictions
3
MayJan Feb Mar 16.3. Apr Jun
16 March: Finnish government announces measures, setting in motion preparations to close
the country’s borders.
ASK vs. LY*:2020/Apr: -97.0%2020/May: -97.7%2020/Jun: -96.9%
* As per Finnair Traffic Performance publications, for April, May and June respectively.
Available seat kilometres
Cargo generated the majority of Finnair’s Q2 revenue
• More than 70% of Q2's revenue was generated by cargo. Demand particularly strong in May
• 602 one-way cargo-only flights mainly to Asia
• The cargo included products needed to treat the pandemic, food and other cargo
• Freight demand also supports the launch of passenger flights, especially to Asia
4
Heavy losses in line with expectations
5
NPS = Net Promoter Score*Finnair carried in total of 0.1 million passengers in Q2/2020 and 3.9 million passenger in Q2/2019.
Capacity
-97.2%Revenue
-91.3%
Comparable operating result
-174.3 M€(47.2 M€)
NPS
40
PLF
-49.4%-points
Operating cost
-66.4%Passenger volume
-97.5%*
Operating cost(Excl. fuel)
-61.6%(In fuel combined effect of price
paid, currency and hedges totaled 23 million euros)
Paid refunds already more than 270M€
• More than 650,000 passengers have received their refunds due to cancelled flights
• Finnair canceled flights until 31 March 2021; customers received information about cancellations by 30 June
• Approx. 6,500 new applications per week
• Payments to customers more than 270 M€, c. 100 M€ backlog
• Additional resources and robotics to speed up the processing
6
Fuel costs decreased with volume
7
• Due to COVID-19, the volume of fuel consumed was lower than expected, thus, hedges put in place were partially ineffective
• Fuel price was lower than expected• As a result, volume related decline was
partially netted by fuel price (inclusive of currency and hedging)
Fuel costs Q2/20 vs. Q2/19
~23 M€
Q2 2020CurrencyQ2 2019 Volume Price Hedgingdeviation
180.6
-170.1-16.1
1.5
37.4 33.2
-147.3M€
Fuel hedges impacted Q2 result
• Finnair utilises hedge accounting according to IFRS to mitigate result volatility caused by derivatives
• Due to COVID-19, operational level was been adjusted and, thus, underlying currency and fuel price exposure was non-existent
• As the underlying risk did not exist, Finnair unwound the excess hedges, in line with IFRS. The market value of those derivatives was reclassified to financing expenses from other comprehensive income
• This increased net financing expenses (below comparable operating result) by 29 million euros in Q2
8
Fuel hedging policy aligning with normalised traffic• As the overhedged position has been unwound,
no significant net financial expense impact is expected in Q3
• In Q3, the ramp-up will also begin to normalisethe fuel consumption
• As a result, Finnair will gradually restore its hedging position • Timeframe dependent on capacity and fuel
price development
9
Successful rights issue restored equity to pre-pandemic level• Successfully executed, oversubscribed rights
issue of 500 million euros• Represents the first EMEA airline rights issue
since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic • The largest Finnish rights issue since 2015
• Equity ratio improved significantly
• Our strong ownership structure remained essentially unchanged in the rights issue
• Warm thanks to our old and new shareholders, who participated in the rights issue!
10
Cash funds at a strong level due to timely and comprehensive financing measures
11
Rights issue
Loan repayments
Other Q2 Cash funds
-315.3
Pension premium
loan
Q1 Cash funds
200.0
Comparable EBITDA
Change in
working capital
832.5
Other operating cash flow
Invest-ments
-89.2
-64.0
380.4
-45.3
10.7 850.6
-59.2
+18.1 • Rights issue and pension premium loan had a significant positive impact on cash funds
• 380M€ rights issue proceeds received in June (remaining 120M€ in July)
• 200M€ pension premium loan tranche withdrawn in June
• 163M€ cash refunds paid to customers in Q2 (total 2020 more than 270M€)
• Change in working capital is mainly related to low capacity and, as a result, paid refunds
Equity ratio, %
The equity ratio on 30 June 2020 was slightly higher than at the end of 2019 despite the declined result for the period and change in the fair value reserve as 395.4 million euros related to rights offering was received by the end of June 2020.
Gearing, %
12
Equity ratio and gearing improved significantly due to rights issue
Gearing rose significantly from year end, as interest-bearing net debt increased, due to withdrawal of pension premium loan and utilisation of revolving credit facility. Then again rights issue decreased gearing compared to Q1 level.
2019 Q1 2020
64.3
Q2 2020 Q2 2020 Pro forma*
125.5106.3
84.4
+42.1pp
25.724.9
2019 Q2 2020 Pro forma*
Q1 2020 Q2 2020
19.6
27.9+0.8pp
* Reflects rights issue’s net effect (ca. 503 M€) on share capital.
Cost savings program is proceeding well
• We aim for permanent annual cost savings of 80M€ by 2022 compared to 2019 cost level
• Savings are sought e.g. in real estate costs, aircraft leases, reward structures, sales and distribution costs, IT costs and administrative costs
• First steps have been taken and results are encouraging
13
Traffic recovery started in July
• It is estimated that after 2 - 3 years, traffic returns to the 2019 level
• In July, we have flown c. 25% of normal number of flights• More than 30 destinations• About 80 - 90 flights a day• Long-haul flights launched: Tokyo, Seoul, Hong Kong,
Shanghai, Bangkok
• We update our traffic schedule weekly with demand and travel restrictions
14
Number of routes and frequencies increases towards fall• In August, the number of daily flights increases to c. 120
• More leisure destinations
• Dublin, Edinburgh, Rome and Milan are opened
• In September, the number of daily flights is estimated to be c. 190
• Flexibility for travel day changes in reservations made from Finnair channels from 1 April to 31 August 2020
• Extension of the monitoring period for Finnair Plus levels and point expiry
15
We protect the health of our customers and staff
• Several measures to protect the health of our passengers and workforce
• Enhanced cleaning or aircraft
• Minimizing unnecessary contacts and movement in the cabin, at boarding and during disembarking
• Face masks for customers and staff
16
Outlook and guidance
17
Outlook 24 July 2020In Q3, Finnair gradually increases its capacity and will operate c. 25% of flights in July compared to the same period in 2019. Based on the current assumption, the share of flights operated increases to c. 50% in September. There are uncertainties relating to COVID-19 development and lifting of travel restrictions. As a result, the outlook remains unclear and the company does not provide revenue guidance for Q3. As ramp-up is an investment, and there are costs associated with it, and Finnair will be running with clearly reduced capacity, the comparable operating loss in Q3 will be of a similar magnitude than in Q2. Further, the company reiterates its previous guidance and states that the revenue will decrease significantly in 2020 compared to 2019 and that the comparable operating loss will be significant in the financial year 2020. In addition, Finnair's capacity will decrease significantly this year compared to 2019. Finnair updates its outlook and guidance in connection with the Q3 interim report.
18
19
Appendix
Revenue by product
Turnover declined due to flight cancellations
20
-97.9 %-87.9 %-9.5 %-100.0 %
• Passenger revenue declined significantly due to COVID-19 related cancellations and travel restrictions
• Cargo-only demand boomed in Q2, driven by the exceptional global situation
• Due to COVID-19, Aurinkomatkat cancelled all package tours between 13 March and 30 June
Q2 2019
48
69
45
642
55
14 550
0
Q2 2020
789-91.3%
Passenger revenue
Travel services
Ancillary and retail revenueCargo
Passenger revenue Q2/19 vs Q2/20 Other revenue Q2/19 vs Q2/20
21
Passenger revenue declined worldwide in all traffic categories. Cargo outperformed other revenue streams
Travel services
-39.8
Cargo
45.3
Q2 2019
47.6
54.7
Ancillary
5.5
0.049.5
Q2 2020
-5.2-39.8
147.6
-47.655.0
-62.8%
-39.3EuropeQ2 2019 AtlanticAsia Unallo-
catedDomestic Q2 2020
-3.6
641.5
-275.6 -50.8
-258.713.7
-97.9%
AncillaryCargoTravel services
• Cargo-only demand boomed in Q2, driven by the exceptional global situation. • On similar capacity June passenger revenue nearly equalled April and May combined, as we
actively follow return of travel demand and its ability to support our ramp-up plan.
Capacity was adjusted due to COVID-19 related travel restrictions and demand decline
22
Passenger revenue Q2/2019 vs Q2/2020, M€
• Passenger revenue declined significantly due to cancellations and travel restrictions
Q2 2019 ASK FX Yield, mix, other
213.5
-227.1PLF (load) Q2 2020
-615.2
641.5
0.9
13.7
-627.9
Q2 2020
164EUR/ PAX
Q2 2019
140EUR/PAX
-14.9%
Avg. fare1
Q2 2019 Q2 2020
82.5
33.1
-49.4pp
PLF, %
12,307
Q2 2019 Q2 2020345
-97.2%
ASK, mill
1) Avg. fare = Passenger revenue per revenue passengers
Costs did not decline in line with revenue
23
Comparable EBIT Q2/19 vs Q2/20
OPEX = operating expenses.
Depreciation and
impairment
Property, IT and other
expenses
Other operating income
4.5
Fuel costs
Capacity rents
Aircraft materials
and overhaul
Sales, marketing
and distribution
costs
Staff and other crew
related costs
Passenger and
handling services
Revenue
Travel services -47.6Cargo -5.2
50.2
Ancillary sales -39.8
88.8
Traffic charges
147.3
-2.3Q2
2020
Passenger revenue -627.9
Q2 2019
47.2
-720.5
15.1 31.275.5
95.1-6.4 -174.3
-221.5M€
• OPEX 253.8M€ in total• Capacity decline -97.2%• Revenue decline -91.3%• Operating costs -66.4%• OPEX excluding fuel -61.6%
24
COVID-19 impacted also unit revenue and cost
CASK development, € centsRASK development, € cents
• Unit cost (CASK) increased from 6.03 in Q2 2019 to 70.50 in Q2/2020.
• Unit revenue (RASK) increased from 6.41 in Q2 2019 to 19.92 in Q2/2020 due to Cargo only flights, which generate no available seat kilometres.
0
1
2
3
6
4
5
20
Q1 2018
6.53
Q1 2020
6.86
Q2 2019
6.266.67
Q2 2018
Q3 2018
Q4 2018
6.96
Q1 2019
Q3 2019
Q4 2019
Q2 2020
5.80
19.92
6.58 6.41 6.69
0
1
71
4
2
3
6
5
6.036.42
1.32
4.88
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q3 2018
Q4 2018
1.51
Q1 2019
4.55
Q3 2019
6.75
Q4 2019
6.06
Q1 2020
9.64
1.48
6.27
60.85
6.12 5.936.41 6.42
70.50
4.77
Q2 2019
5.11 4.52
Q2 2020
1.39
4.94
1.36 1.41
5.05
1.36
4.56
1.47
5.26
1.49
FuelCASK excl fuel
Income statementin mill, EUR Q2 2020 Q2 2019 Q1-Q2 2020 Q1-Q2 2019 2019
Revenue 68.6 789.1 629.8 1,457.3 3,097.7Other operating income 10.9 13.1 24.9 27.7 56.4
Operating expensesStaff and other crew related costs -48.1 -136.9 -184.3 -266.6 -534.7Fuel costs -33.2 -180.6 -177.1 -325.8 -687.3Capacity rents -17.8 -32.8 -47.7 -65.0 -130.2Aircraft materials and overhaul -19.5 -50.7 -59.7 -97.0 -201.2Traffic charges -11.8 -87.3 -76.4 -159.4 -331.3Sales, marketing and distribution costs 7.8 -42.3 -22.6 -84.0 -172.1Passenger and handling services -17.7 -112.8 -122.4 -235.5 -476.7Property, IT and other expenses -28.4 -32.9 -62.5 -66.2 -132.4Comparable EBITDA -89.2 125.9 -97.8 185.6 488.3Depreciation and impairment -85.1 -78.7 -167.6 -154.6 -325.4Comparable operating result -174.3 47.2 -265.4 31.0 162.8
Operating result -171.2 47.9 -266.8 30.3 160.0Financial income 15.3 1.5 24.6 2.2 4.8Financial expenses -61.4 -21.2 -150.3 -42.5 -83.6Exchange rate gains and losses 2.1 10.8 -0.8 0.5 12.7Share of results in associates and joint ventures -0.9Result before taxes -215.1 39.0 -393.3 -9.4 93.0Income taxes 43.0 -7.8 78.7 1.9 -18.4Result for the period -172.1 31.2 -314.6 -7.6 74.5