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    OPRE6364

    1

    Acce

    ptan

    ceS

    ampl

    ing

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    2

    Acc

    eptanceSam

    pling

    Accept/rejectentirelotbasedons

    ampleresults

    Created

    byDodgean

    dRomigdur

    ingWWII

    NotconsistentwithTQMofZeroD

    efects

    Doesno

    testimatethequalityofth

    elot

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    3

    Whatisaccep

    tancesampling?

    LotAccepta

    nceSampling

    ASQC

    technique,wherearandomsam

    pleis

    takenfromalot,a

    nduponth

    eresultso

    f

    appraisingthesample,thelo

    twille

    itherbe

    rejecte

    doraccepted

    Aprocedureforsentencingincomingbatches

    orlots

    ofitemswithoutdoing

    100%inspection

    Themostwidelyusedsamplingplansa

    re

    givenb

    yMilitaryS

    tandard(M

    IL-STD-10

    5E)

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    4

    Whatisaccep

    tancesampling?

    Purposes

    Determ

    inethequalitylevelofan

    incoming

    shipmentorattheendofproduction

    Judge

    whetherqua

    lityleveliswithintheleve

    l

    thatha

    sbeenpredetermined

    But!Acceptance

    sampling

    givesyou

    noidea

    aboutthe

    process

    thatis

    producingthoseitems!

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    5

    Typesofsamplingplans

    Samplingbyattributesvs.

    sampling

    by

    variables

    Incomingvs.outgoinginsp

    ection

    Rectifyingvs.non-rectifyin

    ginspection

    Whatisdonewithnonconformin

    gitemsfoun

    d

    during

    inspection

    Defectivesmaybe

    replacedbygooditems

    Single,

    double,m

    ultiplean

    dsequen

    tial

    plans

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    6

    How

    accept

    ancesampling

    w

    orks

    Attributes(gono-go

    inspectio

    n)

    Defectives-produ

    ctacceptabilityacrossrange

    Defects-numberofdefectsp

    erunit

    Variable

    (continuou

    smeasurement)

    Usuallymeasuredbymean

    andstanda

    rd

    deviation

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    7

    W

    hyus

    eacceptance

    sampling?

    Candoeither100%

    inspection,orinspect

    a

    sampleofafewitem

    stakenfromthelot

    Complete

    inspection

    Inspectingeachitemproducedtoseeif

    each

    itemmeetsthelev

    eldesired

    Usedw

    hendefectiveitemsw

    ouldbeve

    ry

    detrime

    ntalinsom

    eway

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    8

    Whynot100%ins

    pection

    ?

    Problemsw

    ith100%inspection

    Verye

    xpensive

    Cantusewhenp

    roductmustbedestroyedto

    test

    Handlingbyinspectorscaninducedefects

    Inspec

    tionmustbeverytedioussodefective

    itemsdonotslipthroughins

    pection

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    10

    TheSingle

    SamplingPlan

    Themostcommonan

    deasiestpla

    ntousebut

    not

    mostefficientinterms

    ofaveragenumberofsa

    mples

    needed

    Singlesa

    mplingplan

    N=lotsize

    n=samplesize(ra

    ndomized)

    c=acceptancenum

    ber

    d=numberofdefectiveitemsin

    sample

    Rule:Ifdc,accept

    lot;elserejectthelot

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    12

    Producers&Consum

    ersRis

    ks

    duetomista

    kensentencing

    TYPEIERROR

    =P(rejectgoodlot)

    orP

    roducersrisk

    5%iscommon

    TYPEIIERROR=P(acceptbadlo

    t)

    orC

    onsumers

    risk

    10%istypicalva

    lue

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    13

    Q

    uality

    Definitions

    Acceptancequalitylevel(AQL)

    Thesm

    allestpercentageofdefectivesth

    atwill

    maketh

    elotdefinitelyacceptable.Aquality

    levelthatisthebaselinerequirementof

    the

    customer

    RQLorLottolerance

    percentdefective(LT

    PD)

    Quality

    levelthatisunacceptabletothe

    customer

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    15

    Accep

    tancesamplingcont

    d.

    Producersrisk

    Riskas

    sociatedwithalotofacceptablequality

    rejected

    Alpha

    =Prob(c

    ommittingTy

    peIerror)

    =P(rejec

    tinglotatAQ

    Lqualitylev

    el)

    =producersrisk

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    Tak

    earandomized

    sampleofsizenfrom

    thelotof

    unk

    nownqualityp

    T

    heSing

    le

    Samplin

    g

    p

    rocedure

    Inspectallitemsinthe

    sample

    Defectivesfound=d

    d

    c

    ? No

    Yes

    Rejectlot

    Accept

    lot

    Returnlot

    tosupplier

    Do100%

    ins

    pection

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    OperatingChara

    cteristic

    (OC)Cu

    rve

    Itisagraphofthe%d

    efective(p)inalotorbatchvs.

    theproba

    bilitythatthe

    samplingplanwillacceptthelot

    Showsprobabilityoflo

    tacceptancePaasfunctionof

    lotquality

    level(p)

    Itisbasedonthesamplingplan

    Curveind

    icatesdiscrim

    inatingpow

    eroftheplan

    Aidsinse

    lectionofpla

    nsthataree

    ffectiveinreducing

    risk

    Helpstokeepthehigh

    costofinspectiondown

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    OperatingCharacteristicCu

    rve

    AQL

    LTPD

    =0.10

    =0.05

    Probabilityofacceptance,Pa

    {0.60

    0.40

    0.20

    0.020.04

    0.06

    0.08

    0.10

    0.12

    0.14

    0.16

    0.180.20

    0.80{

    Propo

    rtiondefective

    p

    1.00

    OCcu

    rveforn

    and

    c

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    21

    OC

    Curve

    Calcu

    lation

    TheWays

    ofCalculatin

    gOCCurves

    Binomialdistribution

    Hype

    rgeometricd

    istribution

    Pa=P(rdefectivesfoundin

    asampleof

    n)

    Poissonformula

    P(r)=((np)re-np)/r!

    Larsonnomogram

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    22

    OC

    CurveCalcula

    tionby

    P

    oisson

    distribution

    APoisson

    formulacan

    beused

    P(r)=((np)re-np)/r!

    =Prob(exac

    tlyrdefectivesinn)

    Poissonis

    alimit

    Limitationsofusing

    Poisson

    nN/10totalbatch

    Little

    faithinPois

    sonprobabilitycalculationwhenn

    isqu

    itesmallandpquitelarge.

    ForPoisson,Pa=P(r

    c)

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    23

    p

    Forus,Pa=P(r

    c)

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    24

    OCCurveCalculationbyBinom

    ial

    Distribution

    Notethat

    wecannotalwaysusethe

    binomial

    distributionbecause

    Binomialsarebasedonconstantprobabilities

    N

    isnotinfinite

    p

    changesas

    itemsaredra

    wnfromthe

    lot

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    25

    OCCurvebyBinomialForm

    ula

    .12

    .115

    .11

    .162

    .10

    .223

    .09

    .300

    .08

    .394

    .07

    .502

    .06

    .620

    .05

    .739

    .04

    .845

    .03

    .930

    .02

    .980

    .01

    .998

    Pd

    Pa

    Usingthisformulawithn

    =52and

    c=3andp=.01,.02,...,.1

    2wefind

    datavaluesasshownon

    theright.

    Thisgivenstheplotshow

    nbelow.

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    26

    TheIdea

    lOCC

    urve

    Idealcurve

    wouldbe

    perfectlype

    rpendicular

    from0to100%fora

    fractiondef

    ective=AQL

    Itwillaccep

    teverylotwith

    pAQLan

    drejectever

    y

    lotwithp>

    AQL

    p

    A

    QL

    1.0

    0.0P

    a

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    Properties

    ofOCCurves

    Theaccep

    tancenumbercandsam

    plesizenaremost

    important

    factorsindefiningtheOC

    curve

    Decreasin

    gtheacceptancenumberispreferred

    over

    increasing

    samplesize

    ThelargerthesamplesizethesteeperistheOC

    curve

    (i.e.,itbec

    omesmorediscriminatingbetweengo

    odand

    badlots)

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    Properties

    ofOCCurves

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    AOQ

    Curve

    0.015

    AOQL

    Average

    Outgoing

    Quality

    0.010

    0.005

    0.10

    0

    .09

    0.01

    0.02

    0.03

    0.04

    0.050.06

    0.07

    0.08

    AQL

    LTPD

    (Incoming)PercentD

    efective

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    DoubleSa

    mpling

    Plans

    Takesm

    allinitials

    ample

    If#de

    fectivesupperlimit,

    reject

    If#de

    fectivesbetweenlimits,takesecond

    sample

    Accepto

    rrejectlotbasedon2samples

    Lessinspectionth

    aninsing

    le-sampling

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    MultipleSampling

    Plans

    Advanta

    ge:Usess

    mallersam

    plesizes

    Takeinitialsample

    If#d

    efectives

    upperlimit,reject

    If#d

    efectivesb

    etweenlim

    its,re-sample

    Continuesampling

    untilaccep

    torrejectlot

    basedonallsampledata

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    SequentialSam

    pling

    Theultim

    ateexten

    sionofm

    ultiple

    sampling

    Itemsareselected

    fromalo

    toneata

    time

    Afterinspectionof

    eachsam

    pleadecision

    ismadetoaccept

    thelot,re

    jectthelo

    t,or

    toselect

    anotheritem

    InSkipLotSamplingonlyafractionofthe

    lotssubm

    ittedare

    inspected

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    35

    Choos

    ingAS

    amplin

    gMeth

    od

    Anecon

    omicdec

    ision

    Singles

    amplingp

    lans

    high

    sampling

    costs

    Double/Multiples

    amplingp

    lans

    lowsamplingcosts

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    Tak

    earandomized

    sampleofsizenfrom

    thelotof

    unk

    nownqualityp

    De

    signingThe

    SingleSampling

    plan

    Inspectallitemsinthe

    sample

    Defectivesfound=d

    d

    c

    ? No

    Yes

    Rejectlot

    Accept

    lot

    Returnlot

    tosupplier

    Do100%

    ins

    pection

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    Poiss

    ondistributionfo

    rDefects

    Poissonp

    arameter:

    =np

    P(r)=(np

    )re-np/r!=Prob(exactlyrd

    efectivesinn)

    Thisformulamaybeu

    sedtoformu

    lateequation

    s

    involvingAQL,RQL,andtogive

    n(n,c).

    Wecanu

    sePoissontablestoappr

    oximatelyso

    lve

    theseequ

    ations.Pois

    soncanapproximatebinomial

    probabilitiesifnislarg

    eandpsma

    ll.

    Q.Ifwesam

    ple50items

    fromalarge

    lot,whatisthe

    probabilitythat2ared

    efectiveifthedefectrate

    (p)=

    .02?Whatistheprobabilitythatno

    morethan3

    defectsarefoundoutofthe50?

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    Samp

    lingPlan

    DesignbyBinomia

    l

    Dis

    tribution

    Binomia

    ldistributio

    n:

    P(xdefe

    ctivesinn)=[n!/(x!(n-x))!]px(1-p

    )n-x

    Recalln!/(x!(n-x))!

    =waystochoosexin

    n

    Q

    .If4samp

    les(items)

    arechosenfroma

    populationwithad

    efectrate=

    .1,whatisthe

    probabilitythat

    a)exactly1outof4is

    defective?

    b)atm

    ost1outof4is

    defective?

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    40

    Solvingfor(n,c)

    Todesigna

    singlesamplingplanweneedtwopoints.

    Typicallythe

    searep1=AQL,p2=LTPDand

    ,

    arethe

    Producer'sR

    isk(TypeIe

    rror)andCo

    nsumer'sRis

    k(Type

    IIerror),respectively.By

    binomialformulas,nand

    care

    thesolution

    to

    Thesetwos

    imultaneous

    equationsar

    enonlinears

    othere

    isnosimple,directsolution.TheLarsonnomogram

    can

    helpushere

    .

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    41

    TheLarson

    Nomogr

    am

    Appliestos

    ingle

    samplingplan

    Basedonb

    inomial

    distribution

    Uses1-=PaatAQL

    =PaatRQL

    Canproduc

    eOC

    curve

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    De

    finitionsandT

    erms

    Reference:NISTEngineeringStatis

    ticsHandbook

    Acceptable

    QualityLev

    el(AQL):Th

    eAQLisap

    ercent

    defectivethatisthebase

    linerequirementforthequality

    oftheprodu

    cer'sproduct.Theproduc

    erwouldlike

    to

    designasamplingplans

    uchthatthereisahigh

    probabilityo

    facceptinga

    lotthathas

    adefectleve

    lless

    thanorequaltotheAQL

    .

    LotToleran

    cePercentDefective(LTPD)a

    lsoca

    lle

    d

    RQL(Rejec

    tionQuality

    Level):The

    LTPDisa

    designatedhighdefectle

    velthatwou

    ldbeunacce

    ptable

    totheconsu

    mer.Theconsumerwouldlikethesampling

    plantohave

    alowproba

    bilityofacceptingalotwitha

    defectlevelashighasth

    eLTPD.

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    TypeIError(Producer'sRisk):This

    istheproba

    bility,

    foragiven(n,c)samplin

    gplan,ofrejectingalotthathas

    adefectlevelequaltoth

    eAQL.Theproducersuffers

    whenthisoccurs,becausealotwithacceptablequality

    wasrejected.Thesymbol

    iscomm

    onlyusedforthe

    TypeIerror

    andtypicalv

    aluesfor

    rangefrom0.2to

    0.01.

    TypeIIErro

    r(Consume

    r'sRisk):Thisistheprobability,

    foragiven(n,c)samplin

    gplan,ofac

    ceptingalot

    witha

    defectlevelequaltothe

    LTPD.Thec

    onsumersuffers

    whenthisoccurs,becausealotwithunacceptable

    qualitywas

    accepted.Th

    esymbol

    iscommonly

    used

    fortheType

    IIerrorandtypicalvaluesrangefrom

    0.2to

    0.01.

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    OperatingC

    haracteristic(OC)Curv

    e:Thiscurve

    plotsthepro

    babilityofac

    ceptingthelot(Y-axis)ve

    rsus

    thelotfractionorpercentdefectives(X-axis).

    TheOCcurveistheprim

    arytoolford

    isplayingand

    investigating

    thepropertiesofasamp

    lingplan.

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    AverageOutgoingQua

    lity(AOQ):Acommon

    procedure,

    whensamplingandtestin

    gisnon-

    destructive,isto100%inspectreject

    edlotsandreplace

    alldefective

    swithgoodunits.Inthis

    case,allreje

    cted

    lotsaremadeperfectan

    dtheonlyde

    fectsleftare

    those

    inlotsthatwereaccepte

    d.

    AOQ'srefertothelong

    term

    defectlevelforthiscombinedLASPand100%

    inspectionofrejectedlotsprocess.If

    alllotscome

    in

    withadefectlevelofexactlyp,andtheOCcurve

    forthe

    chosen(n,c

    )LASPindic

    atesaproba

    bilityp

    aof

    acceptings

    uchalot,overthelongru

    ntheAOQc

    an

    easilybesh

    owntobe:

    whereNisthelotsize.

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    AverageSampleNumber(ASN):Fo

    rasinglesampling

    plan(n,c)weknoweach

    andeverylo

    thasasamp

    leof

    sizentaken

    andinspecte

    dortested.Fordouble,m

    ultiple

    andsequentialplans,the

    amountofsamplingvaries

    dependingo

    nthenumberofdefectso

    bserved.Forany

    givendouble

    ,multipleor

    sequentialplan,alongtermASN

    canbecalcu

    latedassumingalllotsco

    meinwitha

    defect

    levelofp.A

    plotoftheASN,versusth

    eincomingd

    efect

    levelp,desc

    ribesthesam

    plingefficiencyofagivenlot

    samplingscheme.

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    TheM

    IL-STD

    -105E

    approa

    ch

    AQueryfroma

    Practitioner:SelectingAQL(ac

    ceptablequalitylevels)

    I'dlikesomeguidanceonselectin

    ganacceptablequalitylevelandinspection

    levelswhenusin

    gsamplingproce

    duresandtables

    .Forexample,w

    henIuse

    MIL-STD-105E,howdoItodecidewhenIshoulduseGI,GIIorS2,S4?

    --ConfusedinColumb

    us,

    Ohio

    W.EdwardsDem

    ingobservedthatthemainpurpo

    seofMIL-STD-105wasto

    beatthevendoroverthehead.

    "Youcannotimprovethequalityintheprocessstre

    amusingthisap

    proach,"

    cautionsDonWh

    eeler,authorofUnderstandingStatisticalProcess

    Control

    (SPCPress,199

    2)."Neithercanyousuccessfullyfilteroutthebadstuff.

    Abouttheonlyplacethatthisprocedurewillhelpis

    intryingtodetermine

    whichbatcheshavealreadybeen

    screenedandwhichbatchesare

    raw,

    unscreened,run-of-the-millbadstufffromyoursup

    plier.Itaughtthe

    se

    techniquesforye

    arsbuthaverep

    entedofthiserro

    rinjudgment.Th

    eonly

    appropriatelevelsofinspectionareallornone.Anythingelseisjustplaying

    roulettewiththeproduct."

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    50

    AQLAccepta

    nceSamplingb

    y

    AttributesbyMILST

    D105E

    Determin

    elotsizeNa

    ndAQLforthetaskatha

    nd

    Decideth

    etypeofsamplingsing

    le,double,etc.

    Decideth

    estateofinspection(e.g.normal)

    Decideth

    etypeofins

    pectionlevel(usuallyII)

    LookatT

    ableKforsa

    mplesizes

    Lookatthesamplingplanstables(e.g.TableIIA)

    Readn,AcandRenumbers

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    MIL-S

    TD-105E

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    How

    /When

    wouldyouuse

    Ac

    ceptanceSampling?

    Advantagesofaccepta

    ncesampling

    Lesshandlingdama

    ges

    Fewerinspectorsto

    putonpayro

    ll

    100%inspectioncostsaretohig

    h

    100%testingwould

    taketolong

    Acceptanc

    esamplinghassomedis

    advantages

    Riskincludedincha

    nceofbadlotacceptanc

    eand

    goodlo

    trejection

    Sample

    takenprovideslessinformationthan

    100%

    inspection

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    Summary

    Thereare

    manybas

    ictermsyo

    uneedtoknow

    tobeabletounderstandaccep

    tancesampling

    SPC,Acceptalot,R

    ejectalot,C

    ompleteInsp

    ection,

    AQL,LT

    PD,SamplingPlans,Pro

    ducersRisk,

    Consum

    ersRisk,Alpha,Beta,Defect,Defectives,

    Attributes,Variables,ASN,ATI.

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    Usef

    ullink

    s

    ww.bioss.sari.ac.uk/sm

    art/unix/mseqacc/slides/fra

    mes.htm

    Accep

    tanceSamplin

    gOverviewT

    extandAudio

    http://iew3.technion.a

    c.il/sqconline/milstd105.htm

    l

    Online

    calculatorfor

    acceptances

    amplingplans

    ww.stats.uwo.ca/courses/ss316b/2002/accept_02red.pdf

    Acceptancesamplin

    gmathematicalbackground

    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