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1
Acce
ptan
ceS
ampl
ing
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Acc
eptanceSam
pling
Accept/rejectentirelotbasedons
ampleresults
Created
byDodgean
dRomigdur
ingWWII
NotconsistentwithTQMofZeroD
efects
Doesno
testimatethequalityofth
elot
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Whatisaccep
tancesampling?
LotAccepta
nceSampling
ASQC
technique,wherearandomsam
pleis
takenfromalot,a
nduponth
eresultso
f
appraisingthesample,thelo
twille
itherbe
rejecte
doraccepted
Aprocedureforsentencingincomingbatches
orlots
ofitemswithoutdoing
100%inspection
Themostwidelyusedsamplingplansa
re
givenb
yMilitaryS
tandard(M
IL-STD-10
5E)
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Whatisaccep
tancesampling?
Purposes
Determ
inethequalitylevelofan
incoming
shipmentorattheendofproduction
Judge
whetherqua
lityleveliswithintheleve
l
thatha
sbeenpredetermined
But!Acceptance
sampling
givesyou
noidea
aboutthe
process
thatis
producingthoseitems!
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Typesofsamplingplans
Samplingbyattributesvs.
sampling
by
variables
Incomingvs.outgoinginsp
ection
Rectifyingvs.non-rectifyin
ginspection
Whatisdonewithnonconformin
gitemsfoun
d
during
inspection
Defectivesmaybe
replacedbygooditems
Single,
double,m
ultiplean
dsequen
tial
plans
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How
accept
ancesampling
w
orks
Attributes(gono-go
inspectio
n)
Defectives-produ
ctacceptabilityacrossrange
Defects-numberofdefectsp
erunit
Variable
(continuou
smeasurement)
Usuallymeasuredbymean
andstanda
rd
deviation
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W
hyus
eacceptance
sampling?
Candoeither100%
inspection,orinspect
a
sampleofafewitem
stakenfromthelot
Complete
inspection
Inspectingeachitemproducedtoseeif
each
itemmeetsthelev
eldesired
Usedw
hendefectiveitemsw
ouldbeve
ry
detrime
ntalinsom
eway
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Whynot100%ins
pection
?
Problemsw
ith100%inspection
Verye
xpensive
Cantusewhenp
roductmustbedestroyedto
test
Handlingbyinspectorscaninducedefects
Inspec
tionmustbeverytedioussodefective
itemsdonotslipthroughins
pection
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TheSingle
SamplingPlan
Themostcommonan
deasiestpla
ntousebut
not
mostefficientinterms
ofaveragenumberofsa
mples
needed
Singlesa
mplingplan
N=lotsize
n=samplesize(ra
ndomized)
c=acceptancenum
ber
d=numberofdefectiveitemsin
sample
Rule:Ifdc,accept
lot;elserejectthelot
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Producers&Consum
ersRis
ks
duetomista
kensentencing
TYPEIERROR
=P(rejectgoodlot)
orP
roducersrisk
5%iscommon
TYPEIIERROR=P(acceptbadlo
t)
orC
onsumers
risk
10%istypicalva
lue
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Q
uality
Definitions
Acceptancequalitylevel(AQL)
Thesm
allestpercentageofdefectivesth
atwill
maketh
elotdefinitelyacceptable.Aquality
levelthatisthebaselinerequirementof
the
customer
RQLorLottolerance
percentdefective(LT
PD)
Quality
levelthatisunacceptabletothe
customer
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Accep
tancesamplingcont
d.
Producersrisk
Riskas
sociatedwithalotofacceptablequality
rejected
Alpha
=Prob(c
ommittingTy
peIerror)
=P(rejec
tinglotatAQ
Lqualitylev
el)
=producersrisk
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Tak
earandomized
sampleofsizenfrom
thelotof
unk
nownqualityp
T
heSing
le
Samplin
g
p
rocedure
Inspectallitemsinthe
sample
Defectivesfound=d
d
c
? No
Yes
Rejectlot
Accept
lot
Returnlot
tosupplier
Do100%
ins
pection
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OperatingChara
cteristic
(OC)Cu
rve
Itisagraphofthe%d
efective(p)inalotorbatchvs.
theproba
bilitythatthe
samplingplanwillacceptthelot
Showsprobabilityoflo
tacceptancePaasfunctionof
lotquality
level(p)
Itisbasedonthesamplingplan
Curveind
icatesdiscrim
inatingpow
eroftheplan
Aidsinse
lectionofpla
nsthataree
ffectiveinreducing
risk
Helpstokeepthehigh
costofinspectiondown
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OperatingCharacteristicCu
rve
AQL
LTPD
=0.10
=0.05
Probabilityofacceptance,Pa
{0.60
0.40
0.20
0.020.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.180.20
0.80{
Propo
rtiondefective
p
1.00
OCcu
rveforn
and
c
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OC
Curve
Calcu
lation
TheWays
ofCalculatin
gOCCurves
Binomialdistribution
Hype
rgeometricd
istribution
Pa=P(rdefectivesfoundin
asampleof
n)
Poissonformula
P(r)=((np)re-np)/r!
Larsonnomogram
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OC
CurveCalcula
tionby
P
oisson
distribution
APoisson
formulacan
beused
P(r)=((np)re-np)/r!
=Prob(exac
tlyrdefectivesinn)
Poissonis
alimit
Limitationsofusing
Poisson
nN/10totalbatch
Little
faithinPois
sonprobabilitycalculationwhenn
isqu
itesmallandpquitelarge.
ForPoisson,Pa=P(r
c)
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p
Forus,Pa=P(r
c)
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OCCurveCalculationbyBinom
ial
Distribution
Notethat
wecannotalwaysusethe
binomial
distributionbecause
Binomialsarebasedonconstantprobabilities
N
isnotinfinite
p
changesas
itemsaredra
wnfromthe
lot
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OCCurvebyBinomialForm
ula
.12
.115
.11
.162
.10
.223
.09
.300
.08
.394
.07
.502
.06
.620
.05
.739
.04
.845
.03
.930
.02
.980
.01
.998
Pd
Pa
Usingthisformulawithn
=52and
c=3andp=.01,.02,...,.1
2wefind
datavaluesasshownon
theright.
Thisgivenstheplotshow
nbelow.
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TheIdea
lOCC
urve
Idealcurve
wouldbe
perfectlype
rpendicular
from0to100%fora
fractiondef
ective=AQL
Itwillaccep
teverylotwith
pAQLan
drejectever
y
lotwithp>
AQL
p
A
QL
1.0
0.0P
a
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Properties
ofOCCurves
Theaccep
tancenumbercandsam
plesizenaremost
important
factorsindefiningtheOC
curve
Decreasin
gtheacceptancenumberispreferred
over
increasing
samplesize
ThelargerthesamplesizethesteeperistheOC
curve
(i.e.,itbec
omesmorediscriminatingbetweengo
odand
badlots)
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Properties
ofOCCurves
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AOQ
Curve
0.015
AOQL
Average
Outgoing
Quality
0.010
0.005
0.10
0
.09
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.050.06
0.07
0.08
AQL
LTPD
(Incoming)PercentD
efective
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DoubleSa
mpling
Plans
Takesm
allinitials
ample
If#de
fectivesupperlimit,
reject
If#de
fectivesbetweenlimits,takesecond
sample
Accepto
rrejectlotbasedon2samples
Lessinspectionth
aninsing
le-sampling
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MultipleSampling
Plans
Advanta
ge:Usess
mallersam
plesizes
Takeinitialsample
If#d
efectives
upperlimit,reject
If#d
efectivesb
etweenlim
its,re-sample
Continuesampling
untilaccep
torrejectlot
basedonallsampledata
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SequentialSam
pling
Theultim
ateexten
sionofm
ultiple
sampling
Itemsareselected
fromalo
toneata
time
Afterinspectionof
eachsam
pleadecision
ismadetoaccept
thelot,re
jectthelo
t,or
toselect
anotheritem
InSkipLotSamplingonlyafractionofthe
lotssubm
ittedare
inspected
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Choos
ingAS
amplin
gMeth
od
Anecon
omicdec
ision
Singles
amplingp
lans
high
sampling
costs
Double/Multiples
amplingp
lans
lowsamplingcosts
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Tak
earandomized
sampleofsizenfrom
thelotof
unk
nownqualityp
De
signingThe
SingleSampling
plan
Inspectallitemsinthe
sample
Defectivesfound=d
d
c
? No
Yes
Rejectlot
Accept
lot
Returnlot
tosupplier
Do100%
ins
pection
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Poiss
ondistributionfo
rDefects
Poissonp
arameter:
=np
P(r)=(np
)re-np/r!=Prob(exactlyrd
efectivesinn)
Thisformulamaybeu
sedtoformu
lateequation
s
involvingAQL,RQL,andtogive
n(n,c).
Wecanu
sePoissontablestoappr
oximatelyso
lve
theseequ
ations.Pois
soncanapproximatebinomial
probabilitiesifnislarg
eandpsma
ll.
Q.Ifwesam
ple50items
fromalarge
lot,whatisthe
probabilitythat2ared
efectiveifthedefectrate
(p)=
.02?Whatistheprobabilitythatno
morethan3
defectsarefoundoutofthe50?
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Samp
lingPlan
DesignbyBinomia
l
Dis
tribution
Binomia
ldistributio
n:
P(xdefe
ctivesinn)=[n!/(x!(n-x))!]px(1-p
)n-x
Recalln!/(x!(n-x))!
=waystochoosexin
n
Q
.If4samp
les(items)
arechosenfroma
populationwithad
efectrate=
.1,whatisthe
probabilitythat
a)exactly1outof4is
defective?
b)atm
ost1outof4is
defective?
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Solvingfor(n,c)
Todesigna
singlesamplingplanweneedtwopoints.
Typicallythe
searep1=AQL,p2=LTPDand
,
arethe
Producer'sR
isk(TypeIe
rror)andCo
nsumer'sRis
k(Type
IIerror),respectively.By
binomialformulas,nand
care
thesolution
to
Thesetwos
imultaneous
equationsar
enonlinears
othere
isnosimple,directsolution.TheLarsonnomogram
can
helpushere
.
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TheLarson
Nomogr
am
Appliestos
ingle
samplingplan
Basedonb
inomial
distribution
Uses1-=PaatAQL
=PaatRQL
Canproduc
eOC
curve
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De
finitionsandT
erms
Reference:NISTEngineeringStatis
ticsHandbook
Acceptable
QualityLev
el(AQL):Th
eAQLisap
ercent
defectivethatisthebase
linerequirementforthequality
oftheprodu
cer'sproduct.Theproduc
erwouldlike
to
designasamplingplans
uchthatthereisahigh
probabilityo
facceptinga
lotthathas
adefectleve
lless
thanorequaltotheAQL
.
LotToleran
cePercentDefective(LTPD)a
lsoca
lle
d
RQL(Rejec
tionQuality
Level):The
LTPDisa
designatedhighdefectle
velthatwou
ldbeunacce
ptable
totheconsu
mer.Theconsumerwouldlikethesampling
plantohave
alowproba
bilityofacceptingalotwitha
defectlevelashighasth
eLTPD.
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TypeIError(Producer'sRisk):This
istheproba
bility,
foragiven(n,c)samplin
gplan,ofrejectingalotthathas
adefectlevelequaltoth
eAQL.Theproducersuffers
whenthisoccurs,becausealotwithacceptablequality
wasrejected.Thesymbol
iscomm
onlyusedforthe
TypeIerror
andtypicalv
aluesfor
rangefrom0.2to
0.01.
TypeIIErro
r(Consume
r'sRisk):Thisistheprobability,
foragiven(n,c)samplin
gplan,ofac
ceptingalot
witha
defectlevelequaltothe
LTPD.Thec
onsumersuffers
whenthisoccurs,becausealotwithunacceptable
qualitywas
accepted.Th
esymbol
iscommonly
used
fortheType
IIerrorandtypicalvaluesrangefrom
0.2to
0.01.
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OperatingC
haracteristic(OC)Curv
e:Thiscurve
plotsthepro
babilityofac
ceptingthelot(Y-axis)ve
rsus
thelotfractionorpercentdefectives(X-axis).
TheOCcurveistheprim
arytoolford
isplayingand
investigating
thepropertiesofasamp
lingplan.
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AverageOutgoingQua
lity(AOQ):Acommon
procedure,
whensamplingandtestin
gisnon-
destructive,isto100%inspectreject
edlotsandreplace
alldefective
swithgoodunits.Inthis
case,allreje
cted
lotsaremadeperfectan
dtheonlyde
fectsleftare
those
inlotsthatwereaccepte
d.
AOQ'srefertothelong
term
defectlevelforthiscombinedLASPand100%
inspectionofrejectedlotsprocess.If
alllotscome
in
withadefectlevelofexactlyp,andtheOCcurve
forthe
chosen(n,c
)LASPindic
atesaproba
bilityp
aof
acceptings
uchalot,overthelongru
ntheAOQc
an
easilybesh
owntobe:
whereNisthelotsize.
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AverageSampleNumber(ASN):Fo
rasinglesampling
plan(n,c)weknoweach
andeverylo
thasasamp
leof
sizentaken
andinspecte
dortested.Fordouble,m
ultiple
andsequentialplans,the
amountofsamplingvaries
dependingo
nthenumberofdefectso
bserved.Forany
givendouble
,multipleor
sequentialplan,alongtermASN
canbecalcu
latedassumingalllotsco
meinwitha
defect
levelofp.A
plotoftheASN,versusth
eincomingd
efect
levelp,desc
ribesthesam
plingefficiencyofagivenlot
samplingscheme.
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TheM
IL-STD
-105E
approa
ch
AQueryfroma
Practitioner:SelectingAQL(ac
ceptablequalitylevels)
I'dlikesomeguidanceonselectin
ganacceptablequalitylevelandinspection
levelswhenusin
gsamplingproce
duresandtables
.Forexample,w
henIuse
MIL-STD-105E,howdoItodecidewhenIshoulduseGI,GIIorS2,S4?
--ConfusedinColumb
us,
Ohio
W.EdwardsDem
ingobservedthatthemainpurpo
seofMIL-STD-105wasto
beatthevendoroverthehead.
"Youcannotimprovethequalityintheprocessstre
amusingthisap
proach,"
cautionsDonWh
eeler,authorofUnderstandingStatisticalProcess
Control
(SPCPress,199
2)."Neithercanyousuccessfullyfilteroutthebadstuff.
Abouttheonlyplacethatthisprocedurewillhelpis
intryingtodetermine
whichbatcheshavealreadybeen
screenedandwhichbatchesare
raw,
unscreened,run-of-the-millbadstufffromyoursup
plier.Itaughtthe
se
techniquesforye
arsbuthaverep
entedofthiserro
rinjudgment.Th
eonly
appropriatelevelsofinspectionareallornone.Anythingelseisjustplaying
roulettewiththeproduct."
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AQLAccepta
nceSamplingb
y
AttributesbyMILST
D105E
Determin
elotsizeNa
ndAQLforthetaskatha
nd
Decideth
etypeofsamplingsing
le,double,etc.
Decideth
estateofinspection(e.g.normal)
Decideth
etypeofins
pectionlevel(usuallyII)
LookatT
ableKforsa
mplesizes
Lookatthesamplingplanstables(e.g.TableIIA)
Readn,AcandRenumbers
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MIL-S
TD-105E
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How
/When
wouldyouuse
Ac
ceptanceSampling?
Advantagesofaccepta
ncesampling
Lesshandlingdama
ges
Fewerinspectorsto
putonpayro
ll
100%inspectioncostsaretohig
h
100%testingwould
taketolong
Acceptanc
esamplinghassomedis
advantages
Riskincludedincha
nceofbadlotacceptanc
eand
goodlo
trejection
Sample
takenprovideslessinformationthan
100%
inspection
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Summary
Thereare
manybas
ictermsyo
uneedtoknow
tobeabletounderstandaccep
tancesampling
SPC,Acceptalot,R
ejectalot,C
ompleteInsp
ection,
AQL,LT
PD,SamplingPlans,Pro
ducersRisk,
Consum
ersRisk,Alpha,Beta,Defect,Defectives,
Attributes,Variables,ASN,ATI.
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Usef
ullink
s
ww.bioss.sari.ac.uk/sm
art/unix/mseqacc/slides/fra
mes.htm
Accep
tanceSamplin
gOverviewT
extandAudio
http://iew3.technion.a
c.il/sqconline/milstd105.htm
l
Online
calculatorfor
acceptances
amplingplans
ww.stats.uwo.ca/courses/ss316b/2002/accept_02red.pdf
Acceptancesamplin
gmathematicalbackground
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