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Quarterly Breakfast 08/12/20
KNOWLEDGE
To ensure your project is built asdesigned and as expected, high levels ofconstruction phase support is essentialin Vietnam.
Depending upon the project deliverymethod, there are legal and practical requirements for our construction phase support.
The structures and associated buildingsystems we design, are financialinstruments, built to provide utility andreturns to their developers & owners.Indochine provides engineering costmanagement for capital and life cyclecosts, to ensure appropriate decisions are made.
At the end of the day, the design quality of your project will be what shines through … well after approvals have been obtained and the contractors have completed their works.
Indochine Engineering offers internationalquality design, coupled with local know how.
Using BIM and Sustainable visions infusedthrough our designs, our buildings work,offering clients better returns ontheir investments.
Navigating the planning and approvalprocess requires experience, expertise,and diligence … as well as the ability toknow when to do and when to negotiate.
We have a thorough knowledge andexperience of the approvals process in Vietnam and increasingly elsewhere in ASEAN.
Our tendering processes regularlydemonstrate to clients that they areachieving the best possible prices, fortheir projects from the most qualifiedcontractors.
We provide our expertise to the market as engineering consultants for reports,audits inpections.
Due diligence, value engineering, technicalcompliance, energy surveys, and indoor air quality reports.
Our buildings work!
That means that more satisfied occupants/ tenants/guests, via a better quality environment, leading to better returns and higher asset values.
That means apartment owners enjoy theiroccupancy, retain their apartments longer, and provide superior returns to owners and investors.
BUILDINGS THAT WORK
Sustainable quality in buildings requires market leading engineering ability and experience.
Sustainability for us, goes beyondthe certification process, and is aboutdelivering buildings that are highly valued by their users and owners, for a long and healthy life, really helping to reduce environmental impact.
SUSTAINABILITY
Indochine believe that 3 significantchanges are impacting our businessglobally.
+ BIM and related technologiessuch as automation,
+ The cloud, being online, sharing,communicating, apps, and
+ Offshoring resources.
Delivery
Value
Competition
www.indoeng.com
BUILDINGS THAT WORK DESIGN
PLANNING TENDERINGCOST MANAGEMENT
CONSTRUCTION REPORTS OFFSHORE RESOURCING
Analysis
Life Cycle
Value Engineering
Due Diligence
Utilities
Negotiation
Approvals
Process
Quality
Supervision
Design Intent
Sustainable
BIM
High Value Assets
OUR CAPABILITIESMECHANICAL • ELECTRICAL • HYDRAULIC • FIRE • CIVIL • STRUCTURAL • SUSTAINABILITY • SPECIAL CONSULTANCIES
MECHANICAL ELECTRICAL PLUMBING & DRAINAGE FIRE & LIFE SAFETY LIFTS
TELECOM & DATA ELECTRONIC SECURITY PUBLIC HEALTH STRUCTURAL CIVIL
INDUSTRIAL MINING SUSTAINABILITY LEED LOTUS
LIGHTING ACOUSTICS AUDIO VISUAL INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SECURITY ASSESSMENT
www.indoeng.com
FITOUT
INFRASTRUCTURE
SUSTAINABILITY
MANUFACTURING & INDUSTRY
RETAIL
OFFICES EDUCATION HEALTHCARE
RESIDENTIALHOSPITALITY & LEISURE
www.indoeng.com
PROJECTSOFFICES • EDUCATION • HOTEL & RESORTS • RESIDENTIAL• INFRASTURCTURE • HOSPITALS • RETAIL • FACTORIES
These areas have specialist requirements over a vast spectrum of needs and solutions. We haveexperience in steel, flour, paint, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, life science projects, textiles, and oil and gas.
PEMARA FACTORY RELOCATIONBinh Duong, Vietnam - 2018
New 10,000sqm factoryA M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 7,500m²
MANUFACTURING & INDUSTRY
MANUFACTURING & INDUSTRY
ZUELLIG PHARMA TAN TAO
Warehouse
A M&E design, tender & authorship supervision
CWarehouse
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D 2014
HBI NEW HUNG YEN PHASE 1
3 storey office, workshop,cafeteria/storage and someother small buildings
A M&E design, tender & authorship supervision
C3 storey office, workshop, cafeteria/ storage and some other small buildings
B Hung Yen, Vietnam
D 2015TAEKWANG VINA FACTORY
Part A: existing building; Part B: building 1, 2, 3 and 7 to 23
A LEED & LOTUS Consultancy
CPart A: existing building; PartB: building 1, 2, 3 and 7 to 23
B Tay Ninh, Vietnam
D 2013
HANESBRANDS SEWING FACILITIES PHU BAI
Garment factory
A LEED services
CGFA/CFA: 11,774m²
B Hue, Vietnam
D 2009
COCA COLA
Renovation and/or additions to existing electrical service,renovations an additions to M&E systems
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 15,000m²
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D 2011HANESBRANDS SEWINGFACILITIES Hung Yen
www.indoeng.com
Garment factory
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 14,819m²
B Hung Yen, Vietnam
D 2010
MANUFACTURING & INDUSTRY
HEINEKEN FACTORY
Extension of a bottling plant
A A LEED Consultancy
CGFA/CFA: 38,525m²
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D 2012
BLUESCOPE STEEL FACTORY
Pre-Engineered Buildingsfactory
A M&E design, tender & supervision
CPEB factory
B Dong Nai, Vietnam
D 2003
STICKLEY FACTORY VISIP
Furniture factory
A M&E design
CFurniture factory
B Binh Duong, Vietnam
D 2004
AMANDA SEAFOOD
Seafood factory extension
A M&E design
CSeafood factory extension
B Dong Nai, Vietnam
D 2005
AVON VSIP
Cosmetic manufacturing facility
A M&E design, tender & supervision
CCosmetic manufacturing facility
B Binh Duong, Vietnam
D 2004
VINAWOO FACTORY EXPANSION
www.indoeng.com
Wood manufacturing extension
A M&E design & tender
CGFA/CFA: TBC
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D 2005
MANUFACTURING & INDUSTRY
RANBAXY PHARMACEUTICAL VSIP
Pharmaceutical production facility
A M&E design, tender & supervision
CGFA/CFA: 800m²
B Binh Duong, Vietnam
D 2001
SAINT GOBAIN HAI PHONG
Plasterboard factory
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 24,159m²
B Hai Phong, Vietnam
D 2012
ZUELLIG PHARMA AMATA
Warehousing and distribution Center at Amata industrial Zone
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 6.600m²
B Dong Nai, Vietnam
D 2004
AMANDA SEAFOOD
30 ton/day shrimp processing plant
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: TBC
B Dong Nai, Vietnam
D 2003
INTERFLOUR FLOURMILL
500 ton/day flour mill
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 20.000m²
B Ba Ria-Vung Tau, Vietnam
D 2001
ICI PAINTS VIETNAM
www.indoeng.com
Paint manufacturing -renovation
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: TBC
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D 2005
MANUFACTURING & INDUSTRY
3A PHARMACEUTICAL
www.indoeng.com
Pharmaceutical warehouse facility
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 29,000m²
B Hanoi, Vietnam
D 2005
Shoe Last Factory/ Warehouse
A M&E + C&S design
CGFA/CFA: 6,000m²
B HCMC, Vietnam
D Current
Industrial Warehouse
A Structure design
CGFA/CFA: 10,000m²
B Auckland New Zealand
D 2019
Packaging Factory/Warehouse
A M&E + C&S design
CGFA/CFA: 12,760m²
B Hanoi, Vietnam
D 2018
OAK ROAD WAREHOUSE
APP PACKAGINGYIN HWA LASTS
NPL PHARMACEUTICAL UK YOUR NEXT PROJECT HERE
???
Sterile Solutions facility
A M&E design
CGFA/CFA: 29,000m²
B United Kingdom
D 2018
Sustainable design to us, is simply good engineering. From concept phase, onwards, we provide options to clients leading to bench marking projects against relevant standards, or for formal certification against recognised rating systems such asLEED/GreenStar/Lotus.
NEXUSHo Chi Minh City, Vietnam - TBC
Mixed-use (Residential, Commercial, Hotel, Retail)
A M&E design, C&S Peer-Review, LEED Consultancy
CGFA/CFA: 133,835m²
SUSTAINABILITY
SUSTAINABILITY
LEED Platinum office
A LEED/DGNB consultancy
CGFA/CFA: 56,094m²
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D TBC
VIETINBANK HANOI
LEED Gold office
A LEED/LOTUS Consultancy
CGFA/CFA: 350,000m²
B Hanoi, Vietnam
D TBC
TAEKWANG VINA FACTORY
Part A: existing building; Part B: building 1, 2, 3 and 7 to 23
A LEED & LOTUS Consultancy
CPart A: existing building; Part B: building 1, 2, 3 and 7 to 23
B Tay Ninh, Vietnam
D 2013
HANESBRANDS FACTORY PHU BAI
www.indoeng.com
Garment factory
A LEED Services
CGFA/CFA: 11,774m²
B Hue, Vietnam
D 2009
APPLE HCMC OFFICE LEED
Enhanced Commissioning and Energy model
A LEED Consultancy
CGFA/CFA: 743m2
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D TBC
HEINEKEN FACTORY
Extension of a bottling plant
A LEED Consultancy
CExtension of a bottling plant
B Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
D 2012
DEUTSCHES HAUS
www.indoeng.com
OfficesOperationsVietnam and ASEAN are the main markets which
account for around 80% revenue.
ASEAN presence includes Myanmar,Malaysia, Laos and Cambodia.
Currently the company has plans to expandbusiness into other ASEAN markets such a Thailand, Indonesia and Singapore.
The business is diversified offering offshore service to various global partners.
The offshoring activities are conducted predominantly in Australia but also in the UK and the USA, with projects across theworld.
Services for other locations in Vietnam andASEAN are provided on a fly-in/fly-out (FIFO)basis.
Explore the various projects atwww.indoeng.com/regions
Australia
Myanmar
VietnamSri Lanka Cambodia
Malaysia
Singapore
Laos
New Zealand
REGIONS
ABOUT US
Our management teamis made up of Australianand Vietnamese directorstogether bringing anabundance of experienceon a variety of projects.
Indochine Engineering has been is an independent engineering consultancy established in Vietnam in 1999 and has been whollyowned by the directors.
Indochine Engineering aimsto be a market leadingconsultant for engineeringservices in Vietnam andASEAN.
We strive to be the bestengineers, principled,ethical, regard forothers safety, and theenvironment. To be a goodpartner and rewarded forour efforts.
Our systems add value toyour project. Extranets toshare global knowledgedata bases and businessintelligence systems tomanage marketing, humanresources, and finance.
Indochine regularlyorganize industrybreakfasts to raise anddiscuss popular issueswith our key partners. Ourbreakfasts and informalwine and engineeringevenings have becomekey networking occasionsfor the industry.
PEOPLE ORGANISATION MISSION VALUES SYSTEMS NETWORKING
www.indoeng.com
www.indoeng.com
WARREN GOODIEWarren Goodie is our Managing Director in Vietnam. He has over thirty-five yearsexperience in engineering design,construction, commissioning, project delivery, maintenance and operations obtained from within the heavy industrial, manufacturing, energy and mining sectors, and is skilled in management of multi disciplinary engineering, design and construct, and EPCM projects.
He has been involved in the provision of engineering, project and constructionservices for industrial and manufacturing developments in Australia, New Zealand,China, Malaysia and Vietnam.
Warren’s role includes ensuring the projectworks of Indochine are safely delivered and managed with the necessary diligence and are appropriately resourced to thesatisfaction of our clients.
LE NGOC HOLe Ngoc Ho is a Director, with specialist expertise in design and constructionmanagement.
Ho has 15 years experience with arefrigeration engineering degree from theFisheries University in Nha Trang. Ho hasexcelled as a project engineer, responsiblefor design and construction phases ofprojects, for a number of M&E contractors in HCM and surrounding provinces, prior tojoining Indochine Engineering.
Projects of note that he has contributedto prior to joining Indochine Engineeringinclude the following projects; Proctor &Gamble Vietnam, Bayer Vietnam, UnileverVietnam, Coats Phong Phu, Jotun PowderCoating, CU Brewery Danang, ValsparVietnam, and Chancellor Court.
LE VU PHONGLe Vu Phong is a Director with ICE, withspecialist expertise in planning approvalsand construction management.
Phong has 17 years experience in theconstruction industry and has degreesin mechanical engineering (University ofTechnology - HCMC) and in law (NationalLaw University).
Projects of note that he has contributedto prior to joining Indochine Engineeringinclude the following projects; ADB LoanHCM Environmental Improvemental Project,Holland Sponsored District 10 Pilot Project,Belgium Loan Medical Waste TreatmentProject, 2nd Medical Waste TreatmentProject, Vinh Tuong 2 Private Business,Delta Juice Vietnam, Design International(Vietnam), and Triumph International.
CARL GAYCarl Gay is our General Director, and is wellknown throughout the industry in Vietnam.
Carl has over 30 years professionalengineering experience, including 20 yearsin Vietnam.
He holds a bachelor degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Queensland, Australia, and a masters inbusiness management from APESMA/DeakinUniversity, Australia.
He is registered on the Australian NationalRegister of Professional Engineers in theareas of building services, mechanicalengineering and management.
PEOPLE
www.indoeng.com
PEOPLEIndochine Engineering has established itself as a leading multidisciplined engineering consultancy in Vietnam and SE Asia, with a strong offshoring capability using BIM and remote working capabilities.
Indochine is pleased to report that it has been acquired by Tokyu Construction Corporation.
The origin of Tokyu Construction is the urban development of Shibuya and along the Tokyuline, in Tokyo.
Whilst Indochine has been acquired in full, we will continue to provide our consultancy services to existing and new clients, helping deliver projects in Vietnam and SE Asia, and now Japan.
Mr Aoto Masaki Mr Ooya Masahiko
www.indoeng.com
PROCESS SERVICES
- Controlled Atmosphere
- Supply/Generation/Reticulation
- Hydraulics & Drainage
- Fire Systems
- Compressed Air
- Flammable and Purging Gases
- Process Water
www.indoeng.com
ELECTRICAL SERVICES
- Back up Generation
- Electronic Security
- Lightning Protection
- Cable Trays and Support
- Mains Connection
- Panels and Switchboards
- Lighting and GPO’s
- Data Cabling, Comms
www.indoeng.com
MECHANICAL SERVICES
- Fans & AHU’s
- Ventilation
- Air Filtration
- Ducts and louvres
- Refrigeration
- Chiller Systems
- Temperature Control
- Humidity Control
www.indoeng.com
HUMIDITY
Common issues caused by humidity
- Reduce raw materials lifespan
- Reduce finished product quality
- Microelectronics oxidation
- Corrosion of equipment and pipework
- Safety eg slip hazard
- Electrical Safety eg Short Circuit
- Compromise hygiene eg Bacteria
Humidity sensitive Industries include:
- Paper and Packaging
- Machining and Grinding
- Cement and concrete products
- Electronics
- Semi-conductors
- Food Processing
- Pharmaceutical
Ho Chi Minh City ranges from 70% to 80% relative humidity and average 78.3%
www.indoeng.com
HUMIDITY EFFECTS
Humidity may not seem like an obvious cause of problems, or something that could even result in production being non-compliant, but this does occur.
Many aspects of your plant and process are influenced by relative humidity.
They can cause production and processes to be less efficient, reduce predictability and reliability, and be more susceptible to producing below specification products.
Increased energy consumption Altered aesthetic presentation
Microbiological growth Chemical reactions
Poor test equipment accuracy Corrosion
Changes in electrical conductivity Effects on operators
Degradation of buildings and products Condensation
Product drying issues Moisture absorption issues
Reduced refrigeration plant efficiency Reduced productivity
Ice build up Health and Safety
Some common issues that can arise from poor humidity control are:
www.indoeng.com
GMP REQUIREMENTS
GMP compliance in pharmaceutical manufacturing requires that any process, person, environment and/or equipment with direct impact on the quality and safety of the product being produced must operate within specified limits.
Quality and consistency are key.
Consider typical conditions in areas related to Solid Dosage production:
%RH levels should be correctly maintained for the designated process and surrounding areas to ensure no humidity issues occur to either product or equipment throughout the entire process.
Production area Temperature Humidity
Weighing, Mixing 20 to 22°C 35 to 40% RH
Compression 20°C 25 to 35% RH
Pan coating 15 to 95°C 10 to 70% RH
Filling and Packing 20°C 10 to 35% RH
Storage 20 to 25°C 45% RH
www.indoeng.com
STORAGE AND WAREHOUSING
Variations in humidity is inevitable, but automated control of HVAC and humidity control systems will improve response and recovery.
It is important to consider the effects of humidity on every stored item. This can be a large and daunting task, as it is not unusual for warehouses to contain thousands of different inventory items now and in the future.
It is important to consider humidity in all areas of production beyond the product itself to mitigate the risks to product quality and safety, and potential disruption to production.
In storage and warehousing, deviations from the desired temperature and humidity conditions must be minimized, controlled, and documented.
HO CHI MINH CITY
Unit 12-01, Pearl Plaza, 561A
Dien Bien Phu Street,
Binh Thanh District
Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
BRISBANE
Suite 65, 5F, 320 Adelaide St
Brisbane, QLD, 4001, Australia
SINGAPORE
KUALA LUMPUR
YANGON
www.indoeng.com
S U S T A I N A B L E Q U A L I T Y
VIETNAM INDUSTRIAL
2020 REVIEW & OUTLOOK
Dec 2020
2020 – REGIONAL PERFORMANCE
Manufacturing salaries, 2020
7.0
4.3
2.4
5.05.9
0.7
6.1
2.7
-3.8
-7.7
-0.3
-3.6 -3.5
1.9
7.06.3
5.06.1
6.8
3.0
8.2
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Vietnam Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Philippines Singapore China
%
2019 2020E 2021E
ASEAN real GDP YoY growth
252
766
431
198
968
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Vietnam Malaysia Thailand Indonesia China
USD
/mo
nth
Source CEIC, Vinacapital, 2020
No. of established IPs, 2020
374
340
86108
323
31
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Vietnam Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Philippines CambodiaN
um
ber
of
IPs
Source Trading Economics, 2020Source Source: Invest Asia, Industrial Park Guide 2020
Regional manufacturing PMI, 9M/2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20
Po
ints
Vietnam Malaysia Thailand Indonesia China
Regional industrial production, 9M/2020
World bank’s ‘ease of doing business’, 2020Construction costs/m2, 2019
Source FX Empire, 2020
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20
%
Vietnam Malaysia Thailand China
Source Trading Economics and FX Empire, 2020
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
Vietnam (HCMC) China (Beijing &Shanghai)
India (Bangalore) Indonesia (Jakarta) Malaysia (KualaLumpur)
Basic Warehouse & Factory ($/m2) Large WH/DistributionCenter ($/m2)
Hi-Tech Factory ($/m2)
Source Turner & Townsend, International Construction Market Survey. 2019
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Ran
kin
g
World Bank Ranking Score
Source The World Bank, 2020
2020 – REGIONAL PERFORMANCE
Annual GDP growth YoY GDP growth per capita
Export categories, H1/2020Foreign demand, H1/2020
5.425.98
6.686.21
6.817.08 7.02
2.7
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M/2020
Mill
USD
%
Annual GDP Growth YoY (%) Total registered FDI (Mill USD)
Source MPI, CEIC, Vinacapital, GSO 2020
Source CEIC, Vinacapital, 2020
24.2
19.3
2.4
-6.7-8.3 -8.4
-21.2
-26.6-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Computers &parts
Rice Furniture Footwear Seafood Phones &parts
Garment Crude oil%, Y
/Y
Source World Bank, What Will Be the New Normal? 2020
17.4
10.3
2.3
-2.3
-8.8
-14.2
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
China US Korea Japan EU ASEAN%, y
/ySource World Bank, What Will Be the New Normal? 2020
2020 – NATIONAL OVERVIEW
1,9072,052 2,109 2,215
2,3892,590
2,7152,955
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M/2020
USD%
Annual GDP Growth YoY (%) GDP per Capita (USD)
Leading export categories, 9M/2020
18%
16%
11%
9%6%
4%
3%
3%2%
28%
Mobiles & spare parts
PCs & electronics
Textiles & garments
Machinery & equipment
Footwear
Wood & wood products
Transportation vehicles
Fishey
Iron & steel
Others
Leading export markets, 9M/2020
U.S. imports by source, H1/2020
Source Vinacapital: Macro-Indicators Vietnam by Numbers, 2020
23%
16%
13%10%
8%
7%
3%
2%
2%
16%U.S. China
EU ASEAN
Japan South Korea
Hong Kong India
UAE Others
Source Vinacapital: Macro-Indicators Vietnam by Numbers, 2020Source JungleScout Global Imports Report, 2020
2020 – NATIONAL OVERVIEW
Total registered FDI, 9M/2020
46.61
20.60
15.01
6.07
11.70454663 Manufacturing & processing
Energy distribution
Real estate activities
Retail, wholesale & repair
Other
Source Ministry of Planning & Investment (MOPI), 2020
Manufacturing & processing FDI, 9M/2020
Newly registered manufacturing FDI by region, 9M/2020
New projects
Newly registered
capital (US$
millions)
Existing projects
Added capital on
existing projects
(US$ millions)
Projects with
capital
contribution
Contribution
capital (US$
millions)
Total FDI (US$
millions)
614 4712.94 487 3646.26 1,165 1524.96 9884.18
61.13
34.05
4.82
North
South
Central
Source Ministry of Planning & Investment (MOPI), 2020
Newly registered manufacturing FDI by province, 9M/2020
Source Ministry of Planning & Investment (MOPI), 2020
Source Ministry of Planning & Investment (MOPI), 2020
2020 – FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI), 9M/2020
$-
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
$1,000,000,000
0
5
10
15
20
25
Ha Nam HaiPhong
TayNinh
BinhDuong
BacNinh
BacGiang
QuangNinh
BRVT ThanhHoa
DongNai
Phu Tho Ha Noi Long An Other
Mill
USD
FDI %
Manufacturing FDI % Manufacturing FDI (US$ millions)
PMI, Jan 2020 – Sep 2020
Source IHM Markit, 2020
IIP, June 2018 – June 2019
50.5 50 51 50.8 51.849
41.9
32.7
42.7
51.147.6 45.7
52.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20
Po
ints
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
%
Source Trading Economics, 2020
PMI:
• Manufacturing growth again surpassed the 50-point
threshold after Covid-19 concerns.
• Sharpest output in 14 months, due to:
• New orders increased, business confidence strengthened,
and rate of job cuts softened.
• Sep reading marked first improvement in business
conditions in 03 months.
IIP:
• Industrial production rose by 3.8% YoY in Sep 2020.
• Strongest growth in industrial output since June 2020, amid
Gov. response to Covid-19.
• In 9M/2020, industrial output rose 2.4% compared to the
same period of 2019.
• E.g. Output expanded for manufacturing (4.6% vs -0.1%).
9M/2020 – MANUFACTURING PMI & INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (IIP)
Combating COVID-19 and Market Recovery
• Robust and growing middle class and dynamic
private sector
• Stable business environment
• Continued public spending to contain pandemic
• Ramp us infrastructure spending and unfreeze real
estate market
• Bilateral and multilateral trade agreements e.g.
EVFTA promises improved market access upon the
country’s rebound
• Vietnam well positioned to bounce back and prosper
post COVID-19 e.g.
• COVID-19 to accelerate relocation wave from China
COVID-19 RESPONSE & IMPLICATIONS
Source Vinacapital, Economists Notes, 2020
Key export categories – As % of Total Exports (2019)
Resilient export model
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
High-tech
Garment & footwear
Soft commodities
Machinery & equipment
Wood & wooden products
Trasnportation vehicles
Iron & steel
Cameras & spare parts
Palstics products
Crude oil
• Export structure has resilient ‘barbell’ structure – 60% products
low-value added (e.g. garments), 40% high-value (e.g.
electronics)
• Low-end products expected to hold up well over next 02 year,
with increased demand from cost-conscious shoppers.
• High-value added products expected to surge from 2021.
Upcoming relocations due to COVID-19?
• Multinationals that produce these will be under pressure
to cut costs – prompting a shift in production to VN
• Previously companies reluctant to set up operation in VN
due to supply chains lacking depth
• FDI companies to not only establish new factories in VN,
but have greater incentive to foster development of local
supply chains
• Finally, wage inflation tends to increase after a pandemic
subsides, prompting manufacturer to leave Chine for SEA
COVID-19 TO ACCELERATE RELOCATION WAVE FROM CHINA
Supply gap
Industrial Parks (IPs) and Economic Zones (EZs)
>335 FDI projects; with
H1/2020: estimated newly registered capital totaling >US$6 billion
IP & EZ Supply
374 IPS - 114,000 ha total area
280 operational IPs: 73.7% occupancy
75 IPs under construction, site clearance and
compensation: 29,000 ha
Operational area: 77,000 ha
Source Department of Economic Zone Management (DEZM),
Ministry of Planning and Investment (MOPI), June 2020
North Economic
Zone
Central Economic
Zone
South Economic
Zone
INDUSTRIAL LAND, 9M/2020
Q2/2021 Q3 & Q4/2021 Q4/2021 & 2022
Hai Phong
200 ha
Vinhomes IZ
Thuy Nguyen IP
Vinhomes IZ
Nam Trang Cat IP
Kinh Bac City
Nam Son Hap Linh IP Bac Ninh
238 ha
TNI Holdings
Song Lo 1 IP Vinh Phuc
177 ha
Hai Phong
319 ha
VNIP
Viet Phat IPLong An
1,800 ha
2020 – KEY UPCOMING SUPPLY
North South
• Developed transportation network links
• Prime industrial land between new
infrastructure developments
• Companies moving from China
• Heavy industry focus
• Economic and industrial center of VN
• Near the biggest commercial port in VN
• Educational institutions driving skilled labor
• Diversified sector investment
2020 – NORTH V SOUTH
South Economic
Zone
SEZ Supply & Performance
Source: Savills industrial services, 2020
-
40
80
120
160
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
Dong Nai BinhDuong
BRVT Long An HCMC Tay Ninh
ha
US
$/m
2/te
rm
Occupied (ha) Vacant area (ha) Rent
Total Area (ha):
43,482
Leasable Area (ha):
27,812
No. of Projects:
125
Avg. Occupancy:
85%
Land Lease:
US$104/m2
For entire long-term land lease
Factory Lease:
US$4.4/m2
Per month
Source: Savills industrial services, 2020
Total area
(ha)
Leasable area
(ha)Projects Occupancy
Rent
(US$)
Lease
YoYOcc. YoY
Dong Nai 10,066 6,742 32 94% 98 6.52% 1.08%
Binh Duong 10,159 6,379 31 99% 107 4.90% 2.06%
Ba Ria-Vung Tau 9,327 5,711 12 79% 65 18.18% 12.86%
Long An 5,837 3,641 22 84% 123 7.89% 1.20%
HCMC 4,703 2,720 22 88% 147 0% 1.15%
Tay Ninh 3,390 2,619 6 66% 83 N/A N/A
H1/2020 – SEZ SUPPLY & PERFORMANCE
Binh Duong
Dong Nai
Tay Ninh
Long An
HCMC
Bridge
Metro Line
Ring Road
Highway
2414
6
235
20
1013
22
4
2
15
16
1
9
25
3
17
19
78
11
Dau Giay – Da Lat
Highway
HCMC – Trung
Luong
Highway
Bien Hoa – Vung
Tau Highway
Long Thanh
International AirportHCMC – Long Thanh
– Dau Giay Highway
Ben Luc – Long
Thanh Highway
HCMC – Moc
Bai Highway
HCMC – Thu Dau Mot
– Chon Thanh
Highway
7 Binh Khanh Bridge
8 Phuoc Khanh Bridge
10 Binh Tien Bridge
11 Vam Sat 2 Bridge
14 Ven song Saigon Street
23 Nguyen Huu Canh Street Upgrades
24 Nguyen Thi Thap Street Upgrades
5 Thu Thiem 2
12 Metro line 1
2 HCMC – Thu Dau Mot – Chon Thanh Highway
6 Thu Thiem 4
13 Intersection Nguyen Van Linh - Nguyen Huu Tho
18 Bien Hoa - Vung Tau Highway
22 Ring Road 2
4 Ring Road 3
15 Xa lo Hanoi Highway Expansion
16 Nhon Trach Bridge
1 Ben Luc – Long Thanh Highway
3 Ring Road 4
9 Cat Lai Bridge
25 Vam Cai Sut Bridge
19 HCMC - Moc Bai Highway
20 Tan Son Nhat Airport Expansion
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Metro line 1
18
Ring Road 2
SEZ KEY INFRASTRUCTURE
No. Company Nationality IndustryInvestment
capital (US$)Industrial park Province
1. Jinyu Tire Co., Ltd. Hong Kong Rubber products 300 mill Phuoc Dong Tay Ninh
2. Furukawa Automotive Systems Inc. Japan Electrical equipment 49 mill Binh Minh Vinh Long
3. Prime Glorious Vietnam Co., Ltd. Hong Kong Textiles & apparel 35 mill Bau Xeo Dong Nai
4. Lap Thinh Co. Ltd. China Paper products 33 millNam Tan Uyen
ExpansionBinh Duong
5. Khgears International China Machinery & equipment 30 mill Chau Duc Ba Ria-Vung Tau
6. Sung Shin Tech Vina Hong Kong Plastic products 30 mill My Phuoc 3 Binh Duong
7. Samson Industries Co. Ltd. Hong Kong Textiles & apparel 27 mill N/A Binh Duong
8. CP Vietnam Co. Ltd. Thailand Agricultural products 22 mill Binh Minh Vinh Long
9. Fu Lian (HK) Group Limited Hong Kong Textiles & apparel 20 mill Moc Bai Tay Ninh
10. Ever Giant International Limited Singapore Metal products 20 mill Bau Bang Binh Duong
9M/2020 – SEZ KEY TRANSACTIONS
Ensuring future supply
• DEZM announced 561 upcoming IPs over 201,000
ha, approved for master planning integration.
• Of these, 259 utilizing 86,500ha are yet to be
established and represent 43.1% of the total new
area.
• DEZM must
• Perfect legal frameworks for IZ development
• Strengthen management and innovation
• Enhance master planning efficiency
• Support niche projects e.g. ecological IPs,
supporting IPs, associated IPs, and combined IZ
and urban area services models.
Source Department of Economic Zones Management (DEZM), Ministry of Planning & Investment (MOPI), 2020
Labor: Quality v quantity
• Low value-added industries continue to struggle with
rising lease prices and labor costs.
• To transition to higher-value industries, VN must grow
it’s supply of skilled labor and invest in:
• Education, IT, mathematics, sciences -
NATIONALLY.
• Gov. to enforce its National Skills Development,
under the FDI Recommendation for 2020-2030
OUTLOOK – LAND SUPPLY & LABOR
Transport infrastructure competitiveness, 2018 Logistics cost/GDP, 2019
3.83.5
3.2
3.9 4.04.2 4.1
3.4
4.1
4.7
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Overallinfrastructure
Roads Railroad Ports Air transport
Po
ints
Transport infrastructure competitiveness 2018 Viet Nam Avg.
Transport infrastructure competitiveness 2018 ASEAN Avg.
14%
8%
11%
18%
25%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Global Singapore Japan China Viet Nam
• Infrastructure expanding rapidly
• Below needs of economic and social growth
• Rapid growth in urban population and freight transport –
primary drivers
• Rising demand for intercity passenger and freight
transport – Gov. upgrading expressways and railways
Quality of Vietnamese transport
infrastructure is lower than ASEAN
average at all segments.
Source FiinGroup – Vietnam logistics market 2019 industry preview
Source Vietnam Logistics Association, 2019
OUTLOOK – IMPROVING INFRASTRUCTURE
9M/2020 Summary 2021 and beyond
• Amid travel restrictions industrial property sector
activity in 2020 revolves around:
• Companies in Vietnam expanding or relocating
their production;
• Key M&A deals, and the emergence of
distressed assets and facilities for sale &
leaseback;
• Strong demand for ready-builds as suppliers are
more conservative to make long-term land lease
commitments or are relying on short term
contracts with their customers;
• Sector reliance on supply chains migrating out of
China is increasingly evident from developers.
• China + 1 model – increasingly pursued by
manufacturers;
• Resulting in greater demand for industrial space;
• Corporations seek to mitigate risk and diversify
locations;
• Industrial to be the ‘poster child’ for real estate, with
increasing enquiries and heightened capital market
activity.
“Hope is important because it can make the present
moment less difficult to bear. If we believe that
tomorrow will be better, we can bear a hardship
today.”
- Thich Nhat Hanh.
OUTLOOK – POST-COVID OPPORTUNITIES
DISCLAIMER
Although every care has been taken in preparing this proposal, Savills does not verify its accuracy. Information,
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based, and on prevailing market conditions, for which Savills does not accept responsibility.
No representations or warranties of any nature whatsoever are given, intended or implied about this proposal, any
information, opinions and forecasts contained within this proposal or the accuracy or enforceability of any documents
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any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential losses or damages arising out of or in any way connected with
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Vietnam as a Life Science manufacturing hub in Southeast Asia
Luke TreloarStrategy Managing DirectorNational Head – Healthcare and Life Sciences
December 2020
2
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(“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
+0.5%CAGR (’13-’18) +4.7%
NUMBER OF HOSPITALS
Growing healthcare needs driving the need for new healthcare construction
Hypothesis 2: Vietnam is well positioned to become a Life Science hub for Southeast Asia
Hypothesis 1: Vietnam will need to build more private hospitals to meet demand gap
165 165 169 171 200 208
1,069 1,063 1,071 1,077 1,085 1,094
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
1,234 1,228 1,240 1,248 1,285 1,302
Public
Private
6 5
1717
720
23
7 5 112
1
3
29
4
2014
4
20162015
4
1
2017
24
3
2018
32
17
3632
Phase II and II/III
Phase I and I/II
Phase IV
Phase III
NUMBER OF CLINICAL TRIALS
Sources: BMI, BCI
8,0578,848
11,743
3,3504,102
9,239
20192018 2020
Public
Private
CAGR (’18-’20) +20.72% +66.07%
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS FOR LIFE SCIENE FACILITIES
In thousand USD
Vietnam is an attractive investment destination and is uniquely positioned to become a Life Science hub for Southeast Asia
Growing healthcare needs driving the need for new healthcare construction
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10.0% 0.0% 10.0%
0-4
10-14
20-24
30-34
40-44
50-54
60-64
70-74
80+
Aging population and growing income lead to an increase in non-communicable diseases
14.0%
47.6%
34.4%
Poor
Low
income
High
income
Middle
income
Upper-
middle
income
66.2%
21.9%
6.3%
2024f
2019
96.2 million 100.4 million
4.7%
51.5%48.9%
5.6%
Income classes (2019 – 2024f)Population pyramid (2019-2024f)
Source: BMI
’24f
’11
’25f
’05
’12
’07
’16
’06
’23f
’08
’09
’10
’13
’14
’15
’22f
’19
’17
’18
’20f
’21f
DA
LY
s (
Mill
ion
)
Diseases (Historical & forecast 2019)
• Vietnam’s population is enjoying a “golden
structure”, with half the population under 30
years old.
• However, the population is expected to begin
an aging trend.
• The high income class
experiences highest growth in
the past 5 years, followed by the
upper middle and middle income
class.
• The rise in Vietnam’s non-communicable
diseases is consistent with other emerging
economies as they transition towards middle-
income status.
2019 2024
Non-communicable diseases
Communicable diseases
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18%
Rapidly changing healthcare needs in Vietnam
TOP CAUSES OF DEATH IN 2019 & PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM 2009 - 2019
17,118 13,82519,758
26,19118,227
2,045 1,257
11,044
22,489
11,387 9,391
38,005
24,002
2,614 2,054
14,367
Ischemic
heart disease
Lung cancer StrokeTuberculosis Alzheimer’s
disease
LRI* COPD Cirrhosis
86,130
107,659
2009
2019
% change
from 2009-
2019
31%
Note: *Lower respiratory infections
Source: Global Health Data Exchange
45% 25% 32% 28% 63%
Diabetes
30%
• Vietnam is moving toward the middle-income status country with higher urbanization rate and an aging trend in population.
Vietnam is rapidly transitioning from a communicable diseases market to a non-communicable diseases market. This will
change the opportunity landscape for course of treatment
52%
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firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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Total healthcare expenditure is expected to grow by 6% per annum in the next 5 years
HEALTHCARE EXPENDITURE IN VIETNAM
Vietnam’s healthcare expenditure, 2014- 2024f
38.3
14.316.7 18.7 18.8
14.4
Malaysia
3.7%
4.7%
Indonesia
4.0%
Philippines
5.2%
Singapore
3.7%
Thailand
6.0%
Vietnam
Total healthcare expenditure (% of GDP)
Total healthcare expenditure (USD bn)
Total
healthcare
per capita
(USD)
149.3 475.0 154.9 3261.4 290.1 149.0
Healthcare expenditure of selected countries, 2019
Source: Business Monitor International
Vietnam has the highest total healthcare expenditure as a percentage of GDP at 6% in 2018, which was higher than more developed
countries in the region such as Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand.
’14-19
4.3%
5.9%
‘19-’24
6.3%
7.8%
2.5% 4.3%
CAGR
Total expenditure
Public expenditure
Private expenditure
2019
51.5%
48.5%
2014
40.4%48.3%
50.2%
49.8%
2015
51.7%
2016
53.3%
44.5%46.7%
55.5%
2017
54.4%
45.6%
2018
59.6%11.7
2024f
11.8 12.213.1 13.8 14.4
19.5
Public (USDbn) Private (USDbn)
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3.0% 0.1% 1.0% 1.0%1.6%1.0%
Vietnam has one of the smallest proportions of private hospitals in the region. The country also has one of the lowest healthcare practitioner (HCP) penetration rates
15 205 368995
193
1,787
15 156
1,068463
1,094 1,026
4.7%
0.9%
0.9%
Number of private
hospitals
Singapore
Number of public
hospital
Number of physicians,
per 1,000 residents
Malaysia Thailand Philippines Vietnam Indonesia
Source: BMI, WHO, IMF
5,758 31,528 69,429 106,651 95,546 267,670
2.4 2.0
0.51.2 0.8 0.4
0.0%
1.3%
6.0% 3.8%
2.0%
0.6%
2.3%
1.8%
3.1%
2.6%
3.2%
0.5%
6.2%
21.8%
8.1%
a% CAGR (2014-19)
Hospitals, beds per
1,000 residents
2.6 2.0 2.30.9
2.7
1.1
Population 2018
(‘000 people)
Nurses, per 1,000
residents
2.9% 2.3% 4.6% 5.3%4.4%2.4%
5.8 4.3 2.6
8.3
1.3 1.3
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Demand for hospital beds will exceed supply, especially in central hospitals. The government plans to increase number of beds and relocate patients to alleviate the issue
Demand and Supply Forecast - Inpatient
Note: The figure is for both public and private establishments; Calculation methodology is included in Appendix 2
Source: BMI database, Trade press, KPMG analysis
311.7
350.1
38.4340.1
382.2
42.1
273.5
306.9
33.5
Supply of inpatient beds Demand of inpatient beds
Gap between supply and demand of inpatient beds
2018E 2021F 2023F
SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR INPATIENT 2018-2023 (‘000 BEDS)
10.9%
11%11%
4,279 4,462 4,877 5,394 5,965
31,255 31,834 32,705 33,003 33,604
4,862 5,752 5,962 6,137 6,2606,806 6,795 6,789 6,797 6,804
19,92420,856 21,068 21,402 21,740
2018e
71,401
20152014 2016 2017
67,12669,699
72,732 74,373
SUPPLY OF HOSPITAL BEDS IN PUBLIC HOSPITALS IN 5 KEY CITIES
119% 104% 114% 124% 136%
2.2%
-0.01%
6.5%
1.8%
8.6%
HANOI
HAI
PHONG
DA NANG
HCMC
CAN THO
TOTAL 5
CITIES2.6%
National
bed
occupancy
rate (%)CE
NT
RA
L
LE
VE
L
CAGR (2014-18)
Vietnam as an emerging Life Science manufacturing hub for Southeast Asia
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We assessed the Life Sciences and healthcare strength of ASEAN markets to understand the breakthrough potential for Vietnam
• 2nd largest pharma market in SE Asia
• Attractive destination for medical tourism
• ~99% of the population is covered under
public insurance schemes
• Only few active ingredients are
manufactured domestically
• Lengthy patent approval process: high
number of patent backlogs in
pharmaceutical industry
• Increase in government R&D
expenditure: from 1% in 2018 to 1.5% in
2021
• Leading vaccine developer in ASEAN region
Thailand
• Poor intellectual property (IP) protection
laws: causing high sales of counterfeit
drugs
• Low import taxes: enabling firms to prefer
import and sell rather than manufacturing
• New companies act (2017): relaxed FDI
regulations to boost domestic sector growth
Myanmar
• One of the fastest growing
economy in ASEAN countries (~9%
expected GDP growth until 2023)
• Passed new regulations in-line with
international standards (new IP
law in 2018. regulations on import in
2017)
• Majority of the population rely on
traditional medicine
Laos
• Heart of southeast Asia: ideally located to become
trading partner
• Political and economic stability
• Halal pharma industry: one of the top 5 investment
priorities
• Pro-business policies: country’s National health
strategic plan focuses on developing health industry
Brunei
• Strong IP protection laws:
ensures conformance to
international protection standards
• Mandatory Halal certification:
government has mandated all
manufacturers to be halal
certified
• Medical tourism: number of
medical tourists are expected to
increase to ~2m by 2020
Malaysia
• High pharmaceutical market growth: driven by increasing
government spending in medical sciences
• Preference of foreign medicinal products over local
products due to distrust in local healthcare system
• Absence of patent protection: Cambodia is not obligated
to protect pharmaceutical patents by 2033
• Poor health insurance coverage: covers only ~20% of the
population
Cambodia
• Strong growth outlook along with 3rd largest pharma
market in Southeast Asia
• Generics manufacturing: government pushes for generics
and the market is dominated by local players
• Allows 100% foreign ownership in manufacturing of
pharma raw materials
• Weak IP protection laws due to Bolar provision
Philippines
• Largest pharma market in SE Asia led by generics
• Domestic pharma industry: ~90% of drug volume is
produced by domestic manufacturers
• High reliance on import of APIs for pharma
production
• Weak IP protection and poor infrastructure in
health industry
Indonesia• Shortest patent approval process of ~30 days in
comparison 50 days in Malaysia
• Strong IP protection: ranked #3 globally in IP protection
• Ranked 2nd out of 190 countries in ‘ease of doing business’
• 100% population covered under UHC(a)
• High focus on pharma R&D: recently launched new
platforms and grant scheme for promote drug development;
considered one of the leading destinations for pharma
research in Asia
Singapore
Notes: (a) UHC stands for Universal Health Coverage
Sources: (1) KPMG analysis
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Vietnam can become a life science hub for innovation in Southeast Asia
Vietnam has the opportunity to create a “breakthrough” strategy that initiates the stages in parallel, rather than the traditional sequential development model. This parallel model takes advantage of the
complimentary nature of the steps and their requirements. By beginning with clinical trials and digital health, Vietnam will start the journey within its current capabilities, while building up for more complex opportunities
Typical / Traditional Life Sciences development stages
Government-led
development for
IP creation
Vietnam’s potential breakthrough from the
traditional LS development stages through
“Transformational sector growth opportunities”
Thailand
Vietnam
Thailand
(1990s)
Singapore (1970s)
Malaysia
1990s
Local Manufacturing
(Process Innovation)
Technology
Transfer
Clinical
TrialsInnovative Product
Creation
Stages
Singapore
Indonesia
1990s
Indonesia
Malaysia
Branded manufacturing
R&D Hub
Including clinical trial development activities leading to future research
capabilities
Timeline2020 2035
Digital Infrastructure
Generics manufacturing
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Document Classification: KPMG Confidential
Vietnam has the opportunity to become a Southeast Asian life science hub
Opportunity
Category
Creating an
Innovative and
Leading R&D Hub (through clinical trials and drug
discovery)
Impact
• Develop Vietnam as a clinical trials innovation hub through leading infrastructure development, and capabilities & expertise investment
• Establish Vietnam as a drug discovery innovation hub by investing in existing science parks, expertise investment and enhancing ease of doing business
• Enhanced availability of quality healthcare to population
• Augmented growth of Life Sciences industry and country’s
economy due to FDI investments
• Improved education infrastructure and more opportunities for
skilled employment
• Strengthening of the reputation of country
Definition of Opportunity
Develop the digital healthcare infrastructure to enable new R&D capabilities, opportunities and enable enhanced healthcare delivery for the entire Vietnamese population
• Innovative clinical research capabilities & approaches, using RWD
/ RWE, generated through digital health, disease registry and
claims data
• Reduced time required for data collection and patient recruitment
for clinical trials
• Quicker accessibility of health data to patients, researchers,
doctors and third-party providers
• Provides infrastructure for future personalized cure and IP
generation
Building a High
Quality Brand-
name
Manufacturing
Hub for ASEAN
Build globally recognized manufacturing standards, practices and capabilities to grow a patented manufacturing ecosystem and center of excellence for the ASEAN region
• Enhanced affordability and access to innovative medicines
• Life sciences industry growth from standardized manufacturing
processes and thus global acceptance of products
• Increased industrial exports and thus improved balance of
payments
Developing and
Embedding
Leading Digital
Healthcare
Infrastructure
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network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved.
The KPMG name, logo and are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.
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such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should
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kpmg.com/socialmedia
Luke Treloar
Managing Director
Strategy Department
Tel: + 84 28 3821 9266 (ext. 8261)
Mobile: + 84 908 441 528
Thank you