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Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed
at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be
communicated (’relevant persons’). Any person who is not a relevant
person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its
contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the
price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the
past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a
guide to the future performance of such investments.
This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or
otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to
underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in
Grameenphone Ltd. The release, publication or distribution of this
presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and
therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is
released, published or distributed should inform themselves about,
and observe, such restrictions.
11.6% YoY Revenue Growth
Q1 2019
Highlights
1.1 Mn New Data Subscribers
Regulatory Environment
74.1 Mn Subscriber Base
Q1 2019
CONTINUED GROWTH IN VOICE
• Growth in voice usage
• 500 Min @BDT 278 30 Days
• BDT 209 rate cutter
NEW REGULATIONS
• PayGo capping at BDT 5
• Minimum 3 day validity
• 2GB 3 Days @BDT 44
Strong business performance driven by voice and market
execution
MARKET EXECUTION
• 100% Data Network
• Digitizing core sales & distribution
• Drive on 4G Conversion
Reached 6.8 Mn active 4G users
Q1 2019
5900+ LTE Sites
58% 4G Devices with 4G SIMs
38.2 Mn
data customers
27% of daily
traffic on 4G
• Despite several rounds of consultations with BTRC and the auditors, our observations regarding the audit were ignored, especially
post February 2018.
• On 2 Apr’19, BTRC sent a demand of BDT 125.79 Bn payable within 10 working days from date of issuance of demand. BDT 84.94
Bn (Principle 22.99 Bn + Interest 61.94 Bn) was claimed by BTRC and BDT 40.86 Bn was claimed on behalf of NBR.
• After assessments, GP considers the demand unfounded and without any legal basis and accordingly on 16 Apr’19, GP responded
to BTRC requesting it to withdraw the claims and to enter into discussions with a view to find an amicable resolution.
• GP is now observing BTRC’s step in view of the response provided.
SMP
Regulations
• On 10 Feb’19 BTRC declared GP as SMP and subsequently issued 2 directives stating certain prohibitions towards GP on 18 Feb’
19.
• On 25 Feb’19, GP filed a writ petition challenging the above directives. Hon’ble High Court issued show cause to respondents
(including BTRC) and allowed GP to advertise.
• On 19 Mar’19, BTRC withdrew and cancelled the 2 directives issued on 18 Feb’19 and asked GP’s for feedback on 20 areas as cited
for further directives.
• On 31 Mar’19, GP responded to BTRC and denied to make any comment on 20 areas as the Letter did not contain any proposed
directives and no reason for issuing directives was given.
QoS Reporting by
Regulator
BTRC
Audit
• On 18 Feb’19 BTRC published the QoS Drive test report in media without considering Industry observations regarding the drive test
methodology. GP along with the Industry rejected the report.
• On 3 Apr’19, BTRC has published QoS bench marking report for 4 division (Barishal, Khulna, Rajshahi & Rangpur).
• Call drop in GP network in all the 4 divisions are within KPI threshold. The industry and GP is still concerned about the non-aligned
drive test modalities .
Q1 2019 – Regulatory Landscape
14.2% YoY Growth in Subscription
& Traffic Revenue*
Q4 2018 - Highlights
EBITDA growth driven by revenue
12.6% Capex/Sales***
6.61 Earnings Per Share
60.6% EBITDA Margin**
*Revenues generated by own subscription (excludes interconnection)
**As per IAS 17
***Capex excluding license fees; Capex/sales = moving average last 4 quarters
14.2%* YoY growth in subscription & traffic revenue
*Daily revenues generated by own subscription (excludes interconnection)
Revenue (BDT Bn) and Growth (YoY)
31.2
32.6
34.3 34.7 34.9
2.0% 0.5%
3.4%
7.7%
11.6%
-2.0%
3.0%
8.0%
13.0%
18.0%
23.0%
28.0%
28.0
30.0
32.0
34.0
36.0
38.0
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
Q1 2019
2018
132.8
3.4%
• 11.6% YoY growth in total revenue
• 15.1% YoY growth in voice revenue driven by 9.8% growth in subscriber base
DSTR* (BDT Mn) and Growth (YoY)
319 328
348 353
364
5.7%
3.3%
7.6%
11.3%
14.2%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
250
270
290
310
330
350
370
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
337
2018
7.0%
18.4% data subscriber and 94.4% volume growth
Q1 2019 *Revenues generated by own subscription (includes interconnection)
** Minimum 150 KB usage within last 3 months
• 18.9% YoY data revenue growth driven by 18.4%
growth in data users
Data Revenue (BDT Bn) and % of Service Revenue*
5.8 6.1 6.6
7.0 6.9
18.7% 19.0% 19.6% 20.6% 20.0%
15.0%
17.0%
19.0%
21.0%
23.0%
25.0%
27.0%
29.0%
31.0%
33.0%
35.0%
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
• Drive on 4G conversion and network expansion
contributing to user growth and experience
Active Data Users** (Mn) and % of Sub-base
32.2
34.5
36.3 37.1
38.2
47.8% 49.9% 50.9% 51.0% 51.6%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
80.0%
23.0
25.0
27.0
29.0
31.0
33.0
35.0
37.0
39.0
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
25.5
2018
19.5%
+18.1% YoY
0.7% service ARPU drop and 5.2% data ARPU degrowth from last
quarter
Q1 2019
Service ARPU, AMPU and APPM
• Higher contribution from voice and data, partly offset by fall in
interconnect revenues
155 156 161 157 156
246 245 232
212 216
0.63 0.64 0.69 0.74 0.72
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
ARPU (BDT) AMPU APPM (BDT)
2018
0.67
157
234
Data ARPU, AMBPU and APPMB
• 64.1% YoY growth in AMBPU
• APPMB declined by 38.8% YoY mainly due to competitive offers
60 59 61 63 60
0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04
851
986
1149 1224
1397
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
ARPU (BDT) APPMB (BDT) AMBPU
-2.4% YoY
BDT 2.8 Bn normalized EBITDA uplift
Q1 2019
Opex (BDT Bn) and Margin**
*EBITDA before other items
**As per IAS 17
• 3.1 pp EBITDA margin*** improvement
11.6 11.2 11.3 11.1
11.8
37.2% 34.5% 32.8% 31.9% 33.8%
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
Opex (BDT Bn) Margin %
0.3%
YoY
1.6%
QoQ
13.9%
YoY
1.7%
QoQ
133
2018
133
2018
+7.3% YoY
+0.3% YoY
-1.6% QoQ
+1.3% YoY
+6.2% QoQ
EBITDA* (BDT Bn) and Margin**
18.0
19.6
21.2 21.6
21.1
57.4%
60.2% 61.8% 62.2% 60.6%
30.0%
80.0%
130.0%
180.0%
230.0%
16.0
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
EBITDA BDT Bn Margin %
+17.6% YoY
-2.2% QoQ
Many e-mails…sorry. On slide
13 :” One-off positive effect of
BDT 344 Mn” we should state
“One-off positive net effect of
BDT xxx Mn in Q4 and xxxMn for
FY”
• One-off negative effect of BDT 378 Mn in Q1’18
Investment mainly on 2G, 3G, LTE site rollout and network modernization
Q1 2019
• 926 new 4G sites rollout along with network
modernization
• 210 2G and 406 3G sites addition
• Total number of sites stand at 15,939; 4G – 5935
• Investment to continue to provide superior network
experience
3.8
4.5 4.6
3.9 4.2
10.7% 11.6% 13.5% 12.7% 12.6%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
*Capex excluding license fees
Capex/sales = moving average last 4 quarters
*Capex (BDT Bn) and Capex/Sales%
6.4
10.8
8.9 9.1 8.9
20.5%
33.2% 25.9% 26.1% 25.6%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
NPAT (BDT Bn) Margin %
Normalized earnings growth of 33.8%
Q1 2019
NPAT (BDT Bn) and Margin*
*On reported basis
51.8%
YoY
2.0%
QoQ
51.9%
YoY
2.1%
QoQ
12.8%
+39.6% YoY
-1.6% QoQ
Earnings Per Share (BDT)
4.74
8.00
6.58 6.72 6.61
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
+39.6% YoY
-1.6% QoQ
Also we should have a couple of
bullet points on slide 15 on the
big jump in NPAT and EPS. We
had this one year ago on the
same slide :” Net one-off
negative adjustment of BDT 2.0
Bn”, so this together with the
higher EBITDA should be
highlighted. K
• One-off negative effect of BDT 518 Mn in Q1’19 for VRS
and business transformation costs
BDT 17.0 Bn OCF and Net debt/EBITDA of -0.06
Q1 2019
*OCF (BDT Bn) and OCF/Sales%
*OCF equals EBITDA minus Capex (excluding license) as per IAS17
**Net Debt = Short term debt + Long term debt - Cash and Cash equivalents
12 months rolling EBITDA
14.1 15.2
16.6 17.7
17.0
45.2% 46.5% 48.3% 50.9% 48.7%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0
5
10
15
20
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
Net debt (BDT Bn) and Net debt/EBITDA**
3.4
9.2
14.2
2.7
-5.4
0.04
0.12
0.18
0.03
-0.06
-0.30
-0.20
-0.10
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19
Net Debt Net/Debt to EBITDA
Investment & Payment to the Bangladesh Economy
27
19.3 21.1
14.5
34.0
4.2
2015 2016 2017 2018 3M 2019
Investment BDT Bn
17.14 Bn 4G License
Fees
• 16.9 Bn Capex in 2018 mainly for new 2G, 3G, LTE sites,
modernization
• BDT 20.3 Bn (58.1% of revenues) contributed to exchequer in the first quarter of 2019
• Contribution includes in the form of taxes, VAT, duties, fees, *4G license & spectrum assignment
51.1
58.6
61.8
71.5
2015 2016 2017 2018 3M 2019Payment to National Exchequer BDT Bn
51.1
58.6 61.8
71.5
20.3
2015 2016 2017 2018 3M 2019
12.7 Bn*
84.2
Leases
• Scopes included contracts for BTS site rentals, site sharing, Outlets and office spaces, house rents,
spectrums, Telecom license fees, Fibre optic network leases etc.
• Effective from 1st January 2019 using the modified retrospective approach
• Opening balance impact on 1st January 2019:
• Rights of Use Assets BDT 61.7 Bn, out of which BDT 50.5 Bn is from reclassification
• Increase in lease liability of BDT 11.6 Bn
• P&L Impact in Q1’19:
• Reduction in Opex of BDT 817.6 Mn and
• Increase in depreciation of BDT 590.2 Mn and increase in Finance cost of BDT 280.0 Mn
• Balance as of 31st March 2019: Right of Use assets BDT 59.9 Bn and Lease liability BDT 19.9 Bn
New International Financial & Reporting Standard (IFRS) adopted
16
Summary
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Strong business performance in a challenging environment
EBITDA growth with strong margins
Building strong data network enabling personalization remains our focus for future growth & efficiency
Q1 2019 *In consideration of the local regulations, Grameenphone Ltd. does not provide any forward looking statements.
Q&A