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Quarterly Market
Indicators
Q1 2020
Content
Page
3Page
5
Disclaimer
Mobile services
Page
7
Fixed line telephony services
Page
9
Broadband services
Page
11
M2M Subscribers & Traffic
Page
12
Definitions
▪ TRA has relied on information supplied to it by third parties. It has not independently verified that
data and as such does not make any representations or warranties, either express or implied,
that:
▪ the information is free from inaccuracies, errors or omissions;
▪ the information is exhaustive;
▪ the information is of merchantable quality and fitness for a particular purpose.
▪ TRA, including its officers, board members, employees, agents and contractors, is not liable for:
▪ any inaccuracy, error or omission in the information contained in this document; nor
▪ any loss, damage, cost or expense whether direct, indirect, consequential or special, incurred
by, or arising by reason of, any person using or relying on the information and whether caused
by reason of any inaccuracy, error, omission or misrepresentation in the information or
otherwise.
Disclaimer
Mobile subscribers:
1,847,352
Penetration:
124%
Average minutes per
month per mobile
subscription:
238
Mobile Prepaid
subscribers:
1,300,143
% of Prepaid of Mobile
Market:
70.38%
Mobile Postpaid
subscribers:
547,209
% of Postpaid of Mobile
Market:
29.62%
Fixed-telephony
subscribers:
225,760
Penetration:
15%
Domestic monthly
average minutes per
line:
38
Main Market Indicators for Q1 2020
Fixed Wired Telephony
subscribers:
89.01%
Fixed Wireless
Telephony subscribers:
10.99%
International Outgoing Minutes (Mobile):
338,118,064
International Outgoing Minutes (Fixed telephony):
1,205,291
Broadband
subscriptions:
2,111,405
Broadband
penetration rate:
142%
Total Data Usage:
223.6 Petabyte
Avg. Traffic per broadband
subscription per month:
35.3 GB
Fixed Broadband Traffic:
119.9 Petabyte
Avg. Fixed Boradband Traffic
per month:
274.7 GB
Mobile Broadband Traffic:
103.7 Petabyte
Avg. Mobile Broadband Traffic
per month:
17.6 GB
Average data usage
per mobile broadband
subscription:
17.4 GB
◎ Between the end of 2019 and Q1 2020, mobile subscriptions decreased by 2.7%.
◎On the other hand, Postpaid subscribers increased for the same period by 1%
while Prepaid subscribers declined by 4.3%.
◎Penetration rate declined to 124% at the end of Q1 2020 from 126% at the end of
2019.
◎ Number of accepted ported mobile lines dropped from 7,714 by the end of 2019
to 3,479 in Q1 2020.
Number of Mobile subscriptions (End of Q1 2020)
2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020Total 2,364,477 2,092,714 1,900,361 1,847,352
% of Prepaid 73.94% 69.46% 71.50% 70.38%% of Postpaid 26.06% 30.54% 28.50% 29.62%
1,847,352 Subscriptions124% Penetration rate
Mobile services: Subscriptions
Population 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
By IGA 1,370,322 1,423,726 1,501,116 1,503,091 1,484,756
3,751 3,185 3,018 2,652 2,328
4,160
2,322 2,518 3,182 3,622
7,714
3,479
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
Q32019
Q42019
Q12020
Number of Accepted Mobile Porting Requests
2.5
42
2.9
95
2.3
64
2.0
93
1.9
28
1.9
34
1.8
82
1.9
00
1.8
47
185%210%
158%139% 128% 129% 125% 126% 124%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Mill
ion
s
Mobile subscriptions and penetration
Total mobile subscriptions Mobile penetration rate
2,6
41
2,8
27
2,8
03
2,9
95
2,6
93
2,6
75
2,6
14
2,3
64
2,2
67
2,1
91
2,1
13
2,0
93
1,9
28
1,9
34
1,8
82
1,9
00
1,8
47
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Tho
usa
nd
s
Number of mobile subscriptions
Postpaid
Prepaid
Total
◎ Between Q1 2019 & Q1 2020, total mobile outgoing minutes decreased by 10%.
◎ For the same period, Domestic mobile prepaid outgoing minutes declined by 14.6% while
domestic mobile postpaid minutes declined by 1.5%. Overall, total domestic minutes declined
by 8%.
◎ Between Q1 2019 & Q1 2020, mobile international outgoing minutes, prepaid minutes
declined by 16.5% while postpaid minutes declined by 27.8%. Overall, mobile International
outgoing minutes declined by 17%.
◎ Average monthly minutes per subscription decreased to 238 minutes in Q1 2020
compared to 256 minutes in Q1 2019. That number comprises average domestic monthly
minutes per subscribers of 177 and average international monthly minutes by subscriber of
60.
Total Outgoing Traffic in Minutes(Domestic + International)*Mobile services: Traffic (Minutes)
1,483,570,894
Q1 2019
1,328,763,338
Q1 2020 10%
* Revised for 2019 data
1,4
17
1,3
71
1,2
73
1,2
87
1,2
45
1,2
05
1,1
21
1,1
64
1,0
77
1,0
47
962
1,0
15
991
688
617
540
513
476
477
460
441
407
400
379
354
338
To t a l O u t g o i n g M o b i l e V o i c e Tr a f f i c i n M i l l i o n s o f M i n u t e s ( D o m e s t i c - I n t e r n a t i o n a l )
Domestic International
35 49 54 58 59 61 65 67 73 75
91 2,211 2,346 1,988
1,801 1,484 1,341
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
-
20
40
60
80
100
Vo
ice
Tra
ffic
in M
illio
ns
Mill
ion
s
Mobile Voice Traffic Vs Mobile Broadband Data Traffic
Mobile Broadband Traffic (GB) Mobile Voice Traffic (minutes)
279 265 267 267 252 246 233 244 249 254 246 256 256 250 234 241 238
50
100
150
200
250
300
AVERAGE MONTHLY MINUTES PER USER(DOMESTIC - INTER NATIO NAL )
◎ Between Q1 2019 and Q1 2020, fixed telephony subscriptions slightly dropped by 0.3%.
Fixed wired subscriptions increased by 3.5% while fixed wireless subscriptions decreased
by 23.7%.
◎ Number of ported fixed lines increased from 430 in Q1 2019 to 555 in Q1 2020.
No. of fixed telephony subscriptions
Fixed telephony services: Subscriptions (PSTN & Wireless)
226,571End of Q1 2019
225,890End of Q1 2020
2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020
Total 234,709 225,479 225,797 225,890
% of Fixed Wired 79.01% 84.91% 88.1% 89.06%
% of Fixed Wireless 20.99% 15.09% 11.9% 10.94%
15% Penetration rate 15% Penetration rate
167 176 193 210 194 201
74 60 4250
32 25241 236 235
260
227 226
18%17% 16%
17%15% 15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Tho
usa
nd
s
Number of fixed lines
Fixed wired Fixed wireless Total Penteration
218 399
1,238
789
236 109 381
530 430 669 687
846 555
Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2017
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q4
2019
Q1
2020
NUMBER OF ACCEPTED FIXED LINE PORTING
REQUESTS
76% 79% 78% 82% 82% 85% 86% 86% 87% 88% 89%
24% 21% 22% 18% 18% 15% 14% 14% 13% 12% 11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2016 2017 Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2018Q1 2019Q2 2019Q3 2019Q4 2019Q1 2020
Distribution of fixed lines by access type
Fixed wireless(e.g. WiMax)
Fixed (Wired)
◎ Overall, fixed telephony domestic traffic declined by 16% between Q1 2019 and
Q1 2020.
◎ Similarly, fixed telephony outgoing international traffic has decreased by 14%
over the period between Q1 2019 & Q1 2020.
◎ Average quarterly outgoing domestic minutes per subscriber decreased to 114 in
Q1 2020 compared to 136 minutes in Q1 2019 while average quarterly international
minutes slightly dropped to 5 minutes per subscriber compared to 6 minutes in Q1
2019 .
Total fixed domestic outgoingtraffic in minutes**
Fixed telephony services: Traffic (PSTN & Wireless - Minutes)
30,751,404
Q1 2019
25,833,646
Q1 2020
16%
* International Outgoing Minutes originated from ISDN traffic is not included in the chart above
** Revised for 2019 data
36
,16
3,1
86
34
,25
1,4
90
32
,78
0,0
59
31
,55
8,9
36
30
,53
5,5
85
29
,98
5,5
57
31
,09
4,9
66
33
,48
8,5
99
30
,75
1,4
04
29
,85
8,2
14
27
,57
0,4
39
29
,23
4,1
63
25
,83
3,6
46
Fixed Line Total Domestic Outgoing Traffic (Minutes)
128 130 135 147 136 132 122 129114
8 8 7 7 6 6 5 6 5
0
50
100
150
200
Average Quarterly Outgoing Domestic & International
Minutes Per Subscription
Average Domestic Traffic per User Average International Traffic per User
1,9
19
,42
1
1,7
48
,55
1
1,5
48
,43
6
1,5
45
,88
1
1,4
02
,89
9
1,2
99
,74
9
1,2
41
,90
4
1,2
61
,87
6
1,2
05
,29
1
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Total Outgoing International Fixedlines Traffic
Total Outgoing International Fixedlines Traffic
Pay-per-use
11.51%
Standalone
18.91%Add-on to
voice 69.58%
6.89% 93.11%
Fixed broadband (wired+wireless) Mobile broadband
◎ Broadband penetration dropped to 142.2% and between Q1 2019 & Q1 2020 broadband subscription
decreased by 7% for the same period.
◎ Between Q1 2019 & Q1 2020 Fixed wired broadband subscription increased by 14.6% while fixed
wireless decreased by 11%. The drop in Fixed wireless is mainly due to an operator restating their data and
moving subscribers from fixed wireless technology to mobile broadband technology.
◎ Overall, mobile broadband subscription dropped by 8%. Similarly, standalone broadband subscription
also decreased by 21%.
No. of broadband subscriptions (End of Q1 2020)*
2,111,372142% Penetration rateBroadband services: Subscriptions*
Mobile Broadband – Q1 2020
Proportion of broadband subscriptions by
access type – Q1 2020
* Standalone numbers have been revised from Q3 2019 as M2M subscribers
have been removed from the total number.
19
4
19
6
12
1
12
3
12
6
13
1
13
4
13
7
14
1
14
5
31
8
30
5
44
1
47
2
47
0
47
0
49
8
41
5
40
3
37
2
512 500562
595 596 601632
552 544 517
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Tho
usa
nd
s
Tho
usa
nd
s
Broadband services subscriptions from a fixed location(Dedicated Broadband)
Fixed Broadband Subscribtion (Wired & Wireless) Standalone mobile broadband (e.g. dongle, USB, tablet) Total
1,9
78
2,4
07
2,3
73
2,0
67
2,1
15
2,1
74
2,1
60
2,2
79
2,3
20
2,1
96
2,1
60
2,1
11
146%171% 164%
138% 141% 145% 144%153% 156%
148% 145% 142%
0%
50%
100 %
150 %
200 %
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Tho
usa
nd
s
Broadband Subscriptions and Penetration
Subscription Penetration
◎ At the end of Q1 2020, Data consumption stood at 223.6 petabyte, an
increase of around 45% compared to the same period last year.
◎ Fixed Broadband traffic increased by around 68.4% over the same
period last year while mobile data consumption increased by 25%.
Total data traffic in GigabyteBroadband services: Data Traffic*
154,211,311
Q1 2019
223,635,808
Q1 2020
45%
*Fixed wired data traffic was revised from June 2018
44 52 56 5662
7177 80
107
23
19 9 99
10 10 1113
22
3039 39
4145 47 46
5239 41 41 43
42 45 45 4752
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1
Mill
ion
s
TRAFFIC PER TECHNOLOGY
Fixed wired subscriptions (e.g. ADSL and fiber) Fixed Wireless subscriptions (e.g. WiMAX)
Pay-per-use mobile broadband Standalone mobile broadband (e.g. dongle, USB, tablet)
Add-on broadband to voice
29 32 31 42
54
61 64 67
71 66 65
71 80
87 92
120
4149 52 54 58
59 61 61
7179 82 83
89 92 93
104
QUARTERLY DATA CONSUMPTION (PETABYTE)
Fixed Broadband Traffic (GB) Mobile Broadband Traffic (GB)
23 24 27 28.4 35.3
183204
216 217
278
166 174192
209
252
29 30 38 38 47
10 10 11 11 13
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
MONTHLY AVERAGE DATA CONSUMPTIONPER SUBSCRIPTION (GIGABYTE)
Per Subscription Per Fixed Wired Per Fixed Wireless Per Mobile Standalone Per Mobile Add-on
◎M2M subscribers base grow by 54% between Q1 2019 & Q1 2020.
◎ For the same period M2M traffic grow by 107%.
◎Most of M2M traffic are for Other services, followed by Point of Sale
and vehicle tracking
M2M Subscribers & Traffic
*Fixed wired data traffic was revised from June 2018
14
8,8
20
16
6,5
60
16
7,4
07
22
5,0
51
22
9,6
70
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
M2M Subscribers
TOTAL M2M Subscribers
14
,92
3
17
,20
6 28
,94
8
29
,11
2
30
,89
5
2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1
M2M Traffic
TOTAL M2M Traffic (In GB)
53% 54%39% 37% 39%
1% 1%5%
6% 6%
45% 43% 49% 55% 52%
2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1
M2M Traffic by Type (GB)
Of which are Point of Sale Of which are EWA smart meters Of which are vehical tracking devices Others
Definitions
Fixed-telephone subscriptions refers to the sum of active number of analoguefixed-telephone lines, voice-over-IP (VoIP)subscriptions, fixed wireless local loop (WLL) subscriptions.
Fixed-telephone
subscriptionsPrepaid mobile-
cellular telephone subscriptions (ITU code i271p) Refers to the total number of mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions that use prepaid refills. These are subscriptions where, instead of paying an ongoing monthly fee, users purchase blocks of usage time. Only active subscriptions should be included (those used at least once in the last three months for making or receiving a call or carrying out a non-voice activity such as sending or reading an SMS or accessing the Internet).
Prepaid mobile
subscribers
Postpaid mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions Refers to the total number of mobile-cellular subscriptions where subscribers are billed after their use of mobile services, at the end of each month. The postpaid service is provided on the basis of a prior arrangement with a mobile cellular operator. Typically, the subscriber’s contract specifies a limit or allowance of minutes, text messages, etc. The subscriber will be billed at a flat rate for any usage equal to or less than that allowance. Any usage above that limit incurs extra charges. Theoretically, a subscriber in this situation has no limit on use of mobile services and, as a consequence, unlimited credit.
Postpaid mobile
subscribersActive mobile-broadband subscriptions
refers to the sum of standard mobile-broadband and dedicated mobile broadband subscriptions to the public Internet. It covers actual subscribers, not potential subscribers, even though thelatter may have broadband enabled-handsets. The indicator can be further broken down into:
Standard mobile-broadband subscriptions (ITU code i271mb_active): Refers to active mobile-cellular subscriptions with an advertised data speed of 256 kbit/s or greater that allow access to the greater Internet via HTTP and have been used to make a data connection using Internet protocol (IP) in the previous three months. Standard SMS and MMS messaging do not count as active Internet data connections, even if they are delivered via IP.
This includes mobile subscriptions that use mobile-broadband services on a pay-per-use basis. It excludes mobile subscriptions with a separate monthly data plan for mobile-broadband access (see Indicator 25b, Dedicated mobile broadbandsubscriptions).
Dedicated mobile-broadband subscriptions (ITU code i271md): Refers to subscriptions to dedicated data services (over a mobile network) that allow access to the greater Internet and that are purchased separately from voice services, either as a standalone service (e.g. using a data card such as a USB modem/dongle) or as an add-on data package to voice services that requires an additional subscription. All dedicatedmobile-broadband subscriptions with recurring subscription fees are included as ‘active data subscriptions’ regardless ofactual use. Prepaid mobile-broadband plans require use in the last three months if there is no monthly subscription. Thisindicator could also include mobile WiMAX subscriptions.
Active mobile-
broadband subscriptions
Thank you