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Random Walks and Their Applications: Widely used as mathematical models, random walksplay an important role in several areas of physics, chemistry, and biologyAuthor(s): George H. WeissSource: American Scientist, Vol. 71, No. 1 (January-February 1983), pp. 65-71Published by: Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research SocietyStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/27851819 .
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Random Walks and Their
Applications
George H. Weiss
Widely used as mathematical models, random walks play an important role in several areas of physics, chemistry, and
biology
The simplest example of a random walk is that of a drunkard moving on a one-dimensional array of regu larly spaced points. At regular intervals he flips a coin and makes one step to the right or left, depending on whether the coin comes up heads or tails. At the end of n steps the drunkard can be at any one of 2n +1 sites and the probability that he is at any site can be calculated.
Quite generally, one can define a random walk as a sum of random variables. In the example of the drunkard's walk each of the random variables can take on the values ?1 with probability V2. Obviously, more sophisticated examples can be devised, some of which will be de scribed in this article.
The notion of the random walk in the simple form
suggested above is implicit in the studies of gambling done by Ferm?t and Pascal in the seventeenth century (2). Since that time the mathematical problems suggested by random walks, which now make up an important part of probability theory (2), have been analyzed at great length: a recent bibliography of articles related to ran dom walks contains over 800 references and is far from
complete (3). The random walk, although a simple concept, has come to play an important role in several areas of scientific investigation. In this article I will re view some of the ideas and problems considered to be of interest in the analysis of random walks, and discuss several of the many applications of the theory to the
physical and biological sciences. The first, and rather informal, description of a
random walk was posed as a problem by the English statistician Karl Pearson in a letter to Nature in 1905 (4).
He solicited the solution to a problem phrased as follows: "A man starts from a point 0 and walks / yards in a
straight line; he then turns through any angle whatever and walks another / yards in a second straight line. He
repeats this process n times. I require the probability that after these n stretches he is at a distance between r and r + dr from his starting point 0." Shortly thereafter Lord
Rayleigh pointed out that he had considered a similar
problem much earlier (5). In retrospect we can now
recognize that much of the research on central limit theorems (theorems related to the distribution of the
George H. Weiss received a Ph.D. in applied mathematics from the
University of Marylatid. He is now Chief of the Physical Sciences
Laboratory, Division of Computer Research and Technology, at the
National Institutes of Health. His interests can be summarized as the
application of probabilistic methods to problems in the physical sciences.
Address: Division of Computer Research and Technology, National
Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20205.
sum of large numbers of random variables), which was undertaken from the seventeenth century onward, can be rephrased in terms of random walks and leads to
important results in their study. Few mathematical models have found applications
in such a wide range of scientific disciplines as have random walks. They play a key role in describing con
figurational properties of polymers, and form the basis of much of the current thinking on energy transfer in
amorphous solids. In addition, random walks are used to describe the motion of microorganisms on surfaces and to analyze data from such experiments. Many of the
applications in polymer physics are described by Ya makawa (6), and other applications are reviewed by Rubin and myself (7). Clearly, this article can mention
only a few of these applications and can provide a su
perficial description at best. One of the significant roles played by random walks
is that of a microscopic model for the phenomenon of diffusion or Brownian motion. In our formulation of the drunkard's walk, let the distance between points on the lattice be AL, and let the time between successive steps be AT. Then, if AL and AT are allowed to shrink to zero in such a way that (AL)2/AT remains constant and equal to the diffusion constant D, the equation governing the distribution of the displacement of the random walker from his starting point can be shown to be
?P d2P ?t dx2
which is a partial differential equation that describes diffusion or heat flow. The function P(x,t) can be inter
preted either as a probability density or as a concentra tion of diffusing matter at position x at time t. The lim
iting process that start? from a discrete random walk and
passes to a continuum picture forms the basis of Ein stein's studies of Brownian motion (8).
The theory of diffusion is intimately related to, and sometimes indistinguishable from, the theory of random walks; many properties are similar in both models. For
example, the solution to the diffusion equation (Eq. 1) is the familiar bell-shaped Gaussian curve shown in
Figure 1, if all the matter is initially concentrated at a
single point. It is easy to show that the distribution of the end-to-end distance of a discrete /z-step random walk
approaches the Gaussian form under a wide variety of circumstances. This is, indeed, the main point of several central limit theorems. Further, unless we build in a mechanism for a net drift (for instance, if the drunkard
flips a biased coin), the average displacement after //
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Steps is zero and the standard deviation of the dis
placement is proportional to n1/2 in the discrete walk and to t1/2 for the diffusion process.
Many interesting problems specifically concern random walks on lattices, which have important appli cations in solid state physics. George P?lya, a distin
guished emeritus professor of mathematics at Stanford
University, was the first to discuss a problem involving random walks in which the lattice feature is essential (9).
He studied the drunkard's walk described earlier, and asked for the probability that the drunkard, whose
peregrinations are assumed to start at the origin, will return to that point at some time during the random
walk. P?lya proved the remarkable result that in one and two dimensions the probability of return is 1?i.e., the drunkard is certain to return at some time during the course of the walk. In three or more dimensions the
probability of return is less than 1. Although return to the origin is a certain event in one and two dimensions, it can also be shown that the average time to return to that point is infinite.
Certain properties of random walks on lattices have no natural analogs in the diffusion case. For example, models of trapping in both physical and biological contexts lead to the consideration of how many distinct sites are visited during an /?-step random walk. This
problem arises because a random walker as described so far can occupy a fixed site more than once in the course of his walk. The average number of distinct sites visited is readily calculated if n is very large (10). In one di
mension the expected number of sites is proportional to
n112, in two dimensions to n/ln n, and in three or more dimensions to n. These results are valid provided that the average distance traveled in a single step is finite, as is the case in the drunkard's walk, and provided there is no net drift. A calculation of the standard deviation of the number of distinct sites requires a much more intricate analysis than that of the expected number, ex
cept in one dimension. The case of three dimensions is
perhaps of greatest interest. There the standard deviation is proportional to (n X In n)112 and the distribution function is Gaussian, if n is large (11). The standard de viation, but not the distribution function, is known in two dimensions, again if n is large. Exactly how large n
must be for these results to be valid is still an open question, and poses a challenging mathematical
problem. Other properties suggest themselves as a means of
characterizing the configurations of random walks. For
example, what is the distribution of the maximum dis
placement of a random walker after n steps? This prob lem was first studied in depth by Erd?s and Kac, who found distribution functions for the maximum dis
placement under very weak restrictions on the detailed structure of the random walk, and who showed that the
maximum displacement of an tt-step walk is of the order of n1/2 if n is large (12). This problem also arises in the
study of random walks used as models of polymer con
figurations. It was tackled in that context by Hollings worth, who found that, as with diffusion processes, the maximum displacement in time t is proportional to f1/2 if t is large (13).
A similar, but somewhat simpler, property of ran dom walks is that of occupancy, or the number of times the random walker has visited a single point or a set of
Position
Figure 1. Random walks can be used to model such processes as
diffusion. The curves represent the probability that a random
walker who starts from the origin at time zero is between points x and x + dx at time f, or the concentration of a substance at
point x at time f. As time increases, the random walker's position becomes more uncertain, as is evidenced by the flattening
profiles of the curves. These bell-shaped curves are referred to in
the physical sciences as Gaussian distributions, and in statistics as
normal distributions.
points on a lattice after having taken n steps. This
property does have an analog for diffusion processes: the amount of time spent in a given region by a particle that diffuses for a time t. In a one-dimensional lattice for an
h-step random walk, the average number of times a point is visited is proportional to n1/2 if n is large, while in a three-dimensional lattice the average number tends to a calculable constant (24). For diffusion processes, the
analogous problem was analyzed by Darling and Kac, who gave results for the distribution of the occupancy that are valid if the time of diffusion is long (15).
Position
Figure 2. A modification of the random walk to allow for
momentum produces the curves shown that represent the
concentration of diffusing matter. The parameters for these
curves are c = 1 and T = V2. The fact that the concentration is
equal to zero outside of the vertical lines is interpreted to mean
that there is a finite speed of diffusion, which is equal to the
parameter c in Eq. 2. The values of x such that x2 < c2t2 represent the region in which diffusion occurs.
66 American Scientist, Volume 71
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Some applications have required that new kinds of random walks be analyzed, and these new walks in turn have led to new insights in different subject areas. I will
emphasize, in what follows, some modifications of random walks that have been suggested in this way by problems in chemistry and physics. These modifications have occasionally set profoundly difficult mathematical
problems; they may also be of interest in subject areas outside their original framework.
One such modification of the simple random walk was proposed by the British hydrodynamicist G. I. Tay lor, in a study of turbulent diffusion (26). In our discus sion of the drunkard's walk there was no property that
might be regarded as an analog of momentum. That is to say, the drunkard has the option of reversing his di rection at every step, regardless of the direction of his last step. A more realistic model of the motion of a
physical object needs to take into account some form of
memory of where the object has come from and the likelihood that it will continue to move in the same di rection. The simplest such model is Taylor's modification of the random walk, in which the coin toss decides not the direction of the drunkard's next step but the persis tence of motion. In other words, with probability equal to p the drunkard makes his next step in the same di rection as his last one, and with probability 1 ? p he re verses direction. The ordinary drunkard's walk occurs when p
= V2 The interesting feature of Taylor's modified walk
is that as the distance between points and the time be tween steps decrease, one no longer obtains the diffusion
equation (Eq. 1) but rather
?^P 1?P= , d2P ?t2 T ?t C
?x2 (2)
in one dimension where T and c2 are constants. In con trast to the Gaussian profile shown in Figure 1, the so lution to Eq. 2, the so-called telegrapher's equation, be haves as shown in Figure 2. The most striking result is that P(x,t) is zero outside a boundary that moves with a
Figure 3. This schematic diagram of a carbon chain illustrates two
angular degrees of freedom of polymeric substances, or how a
chain can be flexible. The bond angle is denoted by 6, and is
generally fixed for a given type of polymer. If one considers the
bonds Ci ?
C2 and C2 ?
C3 to define a plane, then C4 lies on the
surface of a cone that has a vertex at C3 and that is generally not in the plane. The angle defining the amount of rotation that gives the exact location of C4 is known as the bond rotation angle.
These two angles represent two degrees of freedom.
speed equal to ?c. This is interpreted to mean that, in contrast to simple diffusion as described in Eq. 1, the
speed of propagation is finite when momentum is taken into consideration. That is to say, Eq. 1 implies that P(x,t) > 0 for all x, whenever t > 0. This is not the case for the solution to the telegrapher's equation (Eq. 2). However, as time increases, the concentration at a fixed point will
increasingly be approximated by that obtained from the
simple diffusion equation.
Polymer configurations A polymeric substance is one made up of chains of re
peating molecules; the units of a chain, or the monomers, are usually identical. Familiar examples of polymers include rubber, plastics, and synthetic fibers. The chains are not totally rigid but may be flexible in various ways, one of which is shown in Figure 3. Because of this flex
ibility within a chain, and the motion of the entire chain in one direction or its rotation due to Brownian motion, a polymer in solution can be in any one of a large num ber of configurations. These configurations have been modeled in terms of random walks with a considerable amount of success, and much current research has been
performed at the intersection of the chemical and mathematical disciplines. In the models of polymers the number of bonds is analogous to the length of a random walk; thus, a polymer with n bonds is modeled as an
tt-step random walk.
All the physical techniques used to describe the features of polymers at the molecular level, or to relate
macroscopic properties to microscopic structure, are af fected by the nature of polymeric configurations. In the case of elasticity, for example, the number of configu rations possible in a randomly coiled chain exceeds that in an extended chain. Therefore, randomly coiled chains" -
have a higher entropy than extended ones, which means that when a polymer chain is stretched, a force is gen erated that can be regarded as purely entropie. Methods of physical chemistry that are widely used to determine the structure and properties of polymers can be roughly categorized either as hydrodynamic, those related to
viscosity and sedimentation, or as optical, those related to x-ray and light scattering. Some of the fundamental
papers in these areas have been reprinted by Hermans
(17). In large part these investigations, most of which calculate quantities measurable on a macroscopic scale, start with random walks.
Physical considerations, at this point, suggest that random walks similar to the drunkard's walk are inad
equate to describe polymer configurations because, al
though the drunkard can return to a given point, no two atoms can occupy the same space. In other words, the random walk model of a polymer must not intersect it self; it must be self-avoiding. A walk on a one-dimen sional lattice, therefore, must move in one direction
only, since a reversal leads to intersection. From the mathematical point of view a self-avoiding random walk is profoundly different from, say, the drunkard's walk. In the latter, all the information required for the statis tical prediction of step n + 1 is contained in the knowl
edge of the location of the drunkard after n steps. This limitation on the amount of memory needed is known
technically as the Markov property. The self-avoiding walk does not have this property since one needs the
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whole history of the walk to predict the next step. In deed, the mathematical techniques required to find
properties of self-avoiding walks are much more difficult than those needed for comparable properties of Mar kovian walks (18). Much of what is known about the
properties of self-avoiding walks has been discovered
by simulation, supplemented by approximate theoretical
analyses. Both simulation and a number of approximate
theories have now clearly established that the mean
squared displacement of an tt-step self-avoiding walk is
proportional to n3/1 in two dimensions and to n6/5 in three dimensions, in contrast to the displacement of the drunkard's walk, which is proportional to n in all di mensions. Furthermore, the probability density for the location of the self-avoiding walker after n steps changes from the Gaussian form shown in Figure 1 to the den sities plotted in Figure 4. The curve for a two-dimen sional self-avoiding walk is markedly different from the Gaussian curve, while for a three-dimensional walk the difference is much less apparent. As the number of di mensions increases the effects of self-avoidance dimin ish, which means that in walks of four or more dimen sions the Gaussian curve, or diffusion approximation, is very accurate. Even though much effort and ingenuity have been expended on the study of self-avoiding walks, it is possible to obtain considerable information about
polymer configurations from simpler random walks that do not take self-avoidance into account. The relevance of these simpler models for the interpretation of data on
light scattering, for example, depends on minimizing
Position
Figure 4. If a random walk cannot intersect itself, mathematical calculations of its properties are difficult. The function PGauss(xvf)
represents the probability that a random walker is at a certain
point, if the walk is unrestricted. However, if the walker cannot cross his own path, P2(x,t) is proportional to the probability that he is at a certain point in a two-dimensional walk; P$(x,t) is
proportional to the same probability in a three-dimensional walk. The last two of these densities were conjectured by Domb and his colleagues (19) on the basis of extensive simulations that
essentially enumerated all possible self-avoiding walks for up to 18 steps.
long-range interactions, which means that experiments must be conducted in sufficiently dilute solutions and at an appropriate temperature (20).
Solid state physics Diffusion processes are most appropriately set in the context of a continuum in which there is no micro structure. Much of the analysis of a long polymer chain in solution can be modeled in terms of diffusion because of the large number of bonds in the chain. There are, however, problems related to short polymer chains, those with about ten bonds each, that require a more detailed modeling of structure. Considerable work on this has been done in the field of polymer physics (21 ).
However, a lattice structure is fundamental to the notion of a solid, and therefore much recent research in solid state physics has been phrased in terms of random walks on lattices. I will sketch some developments in the
theory of random walks suggested by those investiga tions.
One of the variations on the drunkard's walk that is simple to describe, but that has far-reaching conse
quences in different applied areas, is the continuous time random walk, or CTRW (14). In my description of the drunkard's walk in the first paragraph of this article, the element that made the walk random (i.e., the toss of a
coin) was invoked at regular intervals. In order to model more realistically the time during which the walk occurs, one assumes that the intervals between successive tosses of the coin are randomly distributed. This mathematical
prescription corresponds to a picture of a particle mov
ing along a lattice and remaining at any given site for a random amount of time. Thus, instead of steps being taken at times 0, t, It, 3t,.. ., the steps are taken at times hr tir hf / with the intervals between the times gen erally assumed to be identically distributed random variables. When the average values of the random in tervals are finite, say, equal to At, then, at sufficiently long times (specifically, for times t such that t / At ? 1), the probability density of the walker's position after n
steps tends toward the Gaussian form just as when the intervals are regular. There are, of course, differences to be expected at shorter times.
It is somewhat surprising that models in which the
average values of the random intervals are infinite play an important role in describing transport in amorphous media (22, 23). For instance, a basic experimental setup for studying how an electrical charge is transported in certain amorphous solids involves placing a sample between two semitransparent planar contacts and
flashing a light at it. This causes carriers of one electrical
sign to move across the sample, inducing a time-de
pendent conduction current to flow in an external cir cuit. The measured current can be used to estimate the time that it takes for a carrier to traverse the sample.
If that time is a constant, then the current should have the simple form shown at the left of Figure 5. If the mechanism of transport across the sample is by simple diffusion of carriers, the current is modified as shown in the middle of Figure 5. However, experiments on
amorphous arsenic triselenide show that holes, pro duced by the light pulse, propagate through the sample in a manner inconsistent with the model of a simple random walk. Typical results obtained in this type of
68 American Scientist, Volume 71
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experiment are illustrated at the right of Figure 5. Spe cifically, if the charge moves by diffusion, then a con
sequence of the theory is that the average displacement s of a single hole is proportional to the time, t, and the standard deviation of that displacement is proportional to f1/2, which means that the ratio of the average dis
placement to the standard deviation is also t1/2. How ever, analysis of data resembling those shown at the
right of Figure 5 leads to a constant ratio of these quan tities, thereby ruling out a picture of simple diffusion.
Scher and Montroll showed that the observed re sults could be mimicked by a CTRW in which the times between the steps have an infinite average value (22). This finding implies that some carriers are held at some
points for relatively long periods of time as they move across the sample. The mathematical assumption needed to reproduce the experimental data is that the probability density function for At is proportional to (Af)"(1
+ a)
when 0 < a < 1 and At is sufficiently large. This model
predicts that at first the current behaves like C\t~(1 ~
a\ where C\ is a constant, and later like C2^"(1
+ a). The observed behavior is in very good agreement with data on amorphous arsenic triselenide when a is close to 0.45
(24). Similar qualitative behavior has been found for the
transport of holes in other organic polymers.
Inhomogeneous media
One of the most active research areas at the present time
involving random walks concerns their properties in media that are only statistically homogeneous; that is to
say, the averaged properties of the media are uniform in space but the properties are inhomogeneous on a
microscopic scale. A good example in this category is the so-called trapping problem, which relates to a random walk on a uniform lattice in which each site can be a trap, with probability c, or an ordinary point, with probability 1 ? c. When a random walker lands on a trap he disap pears. This model has been used to describe the lumi nescence of organic solids (25) and the photosynthetic process (26, 27), and to model the kinetics of annealing defects in metallurgy (28) and other phenomena in solid state physics (29). As an example, during photosynthesis the conversion of a photon and the consequent pro duction of oxygen involve the absorption of the photon by a chlorophyll molecule and the creation of an exciton. The exciton moves by a random walk to neighboring chlorophyll molecules until it reaches a trap, where a chemical reaction occurs that leads to the production of
oxygen and the disappearance of the exciton (26).
The questions related to trapping are simply stated.
Suppose that a random walker is set down on an arbi
trary point of a lattice containing traps. How long, on the
average, will it take before the walk is terminated by trapping? How far will the random walker wander be fore trapping occurs? No complete answer is known to either of the two questions, although it is easy to produce a formal expression for the probability that the random walker survives until at least step n. If Sn denotes the number of distinct sites visited in an M-step walk on a lattice without traps, then the desired probability can be
written
Pn = (1 -
since survival requires that each point visited by the walker must not have been a trap. The parameter S? is a random variable whose properties have not been
completely elucidated, as I have already mentioned. In
fact, its properties are known only if the lattice is mul tidimensional and if n is large. In essence this restricts
any analysis of trapping to lattices with a low concen tration of traps. A recent calculation using Jain and Pruitt's theory (11) suggests that there is a satisfactory method of predicting how long it will take for a random walker to be trapped for concentrations of traps below about 5% (30). Little is known about the statistical
properties of how far the walker can go before encoun
tering a trap. There is clearly much still to be learned about trapping problems, both from analysis and from
computer simulations. Another variant of the problem of statistically ho
mogeneous but locally inhomogeneous random walks is that of transport in disordered media. A disordered
medium is one whose properties at any point are only known in a statistical sense. In this type of problem, the random walker may be trapped temporarily and then -
released. An early version of this random walk was de
veloped by Giddings and Eyring as a microscopic model of the Chromatographie process (31). In their model a molecule traversing a chromatography column is as sumed at any given time to be in one of two states: mo bile or stationary. The molecule travels at a constant
speed down the column when it is in the mobile phase, but trapping into the stationary phase and release back into the mobile phase occur randomly in time. While in the column the molecule's position and phase are pre dictable only in a probabilistic sense. It is assumed that when the molecule reaches the end of the column it is withdrawn; the problem of interest is to calculate the distribution of withdrawal times. When the rates at
TmeTime Time
Figure 5. The speed at which an electrical charge moves through a
sample can be measured by a conduction current. At the left the
charge is assumed to move at a constant speed until it leaves the
sample at time T. In the middle, the speed of the charge is
modified by adding a diffusion component. However,
experimental results produce a curve like that shown at the right, which can be modeled using a continuous-time random walk.
Two noteworthy features of the curve are a plateau that appears
relatively early and a tail that is much more pronounced than
would be expected on the basis of diffusion alone.
1983 January-February 69
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Figure 6. Experiments suggest that the motion of some bacteria on
a surface consists of a hunting phase and a traveling phase.
During the hunting phase the bacterium rotates around an axis
that remains nearly stationary, and in the traveling phase it
moves in an almost straight line. The angle between successive
lines has a random distribution.
which transitions are made between the mobile and
stationary phases are assumed to be equal at all positions and times, and dependent only on which is the initial and which the final phase, an exact solution for this model is available (31 ). With more complicated schemes for transitions between the two states, the distribution of withdrawal times will be approximately Gaussian when there are many events of trapping and release and when both the trapping and release rates are finite
(32). A more complex random walk, the multistate
hopping model, involves a single mobile state and some
number, greater than one and possibly infinite, of
trapping states. This model has been analyzed in con siderable detail in recent years because it serves as a
model for the displacement of charge in a dielectric due to an applied electrical field (23, 33). A somewhat dif ferent approach to the problem of transporting charge in a disordered medium, in which the walker moves between randomly placed trapping centers, was origi nally suggested by Scher and Lax (34). Their theory re
places the disordered medium by a regular lattice but retains the effect of disorder by replacing the diffusion
process by a ctrw. Although this procedure appears to be an ad hoc one, it does not conflict with the more
readily visualized hopping model (23, 35) and leads to a useful interpretation of a considerable body of data.
A biological model
My final example of an application of random walks concerns the motion of microorganisms on surfaces or in suitable media. It is not generally known that Pear son's (4) original query on random walks was related to his theory of the migration of populations (36). One reason for studying the motion of microorganisms is to
develop an assay to measure Chemotaxis, the response of organisms to chemical stimuli. Many investigators have remarked that the motion of bacteria or other
microorganisms appears to be random. Gail and Boone were the first to confirm experimentally that aspects of the motion of mouse fibroblasts in tissue culture are describable in terms of a two-dimensional random walk
(37) . Experiments on bacteria suggest that their motion can be approximately represented as a sequence of
nearly linear segments separated by periods during which the bacteria move only within a restricted area as
they appear to hunt for a new direction of linear motion
(38, 39). A schematic illustration of this type of motion is shown in Figure 6. Notice that both the length of the linear segments and the angles between them are random.
If we suppose that a chemical stimulus is located somewhere on the surface, then at least two kinds of
response by the organism have been identified experi mentally. In the first response, the time spent traveling along a given line varies according to whether the bac terium is moving toward the stimulus or away from it
(38) . In the second response, the angles between the linear segments are not completely random because the
organism tends to turn toward the stimulus (40). No doubt other biasing mechanisms also exist in nature. The
theory of these types of random walks was first devel
oped by Patlak (41) and was later presented in a more
immediately applicable form by Nossal and myself (42). Nossal has recently published an excellent review of
quantitative aspects of the motion of microorganisms (43). Reading the literature makes clear that what is
lacking at the present time is a good set of statistical tests to sort out the different mechanisms of chemotactic re
sponse in the experimental data.
Although I have focused on physical and chemical models that lead to an analysis of random walks and diffusion in disordered media, there has been a parallel development of ideas in the realm of biology to furnish models for population dynamics in random environ ments (44). Pure mathematicians and probabilists are also considerably interested in the subject of random walks in random environments (45). One of the richest areas for research on random walks at present is their occurrence in disordered media. A considerable amount of analysis has been done for one-dimensional systems because of their relative simplicity. Similar analysis for multidimensional systems tends to pose more difficult mathematical problems and to provide approximate results of less certain validity than the exact results available for one-dimensional systems.
Random walks have played a significant role in several other areas, but lack of space prevents a detailed
description of any of these. They include the theory of
sequential analysis used in the design and analysis of statistical experiments (46) and the theory of the stock market (47). What I have tried to emphasize in this article is the interplay over the years between theory and ap plication. The interaction has been fruitful both in
shedding light on phenomena in which random ele ments are important and in leading to more intensive
investigations of the mathematical tools needed to de scribe these phenomena.
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Reprinted 1965. New York: Chelsea.
2. F. Spitzer. 1976. Principles of Random Walk. Springer-Verlag. 3. L. H. Liyanage, C. M. Gulati, and J. M. Hill. 1980. A Bibliography on
Random Walks. Mathematics Dept., Univ. of Wollongong, Aus tralia.
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4. K. Pearson. 1905. The problem of the random walk. Nature 72: 294.
5. Lord Rayleigh. 1905. The problem of the random walk. Nature 72:318.
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