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Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction Boris Jeremi´ c Wang, Yang, Lacour, Feng, Behbehani, Sinha, Abell, Pisanó UCD and LBNL 8th Kwang Hua Forum Tongji University, Shanghai, China December 2018 Jeremi´ c et al. Real-ESSI SImulator

Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

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Page 1: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Realistic Modeling and Simulation of

Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and

their Interaction

Boris Jeremic

Wang, Yang, Lacour, Feng, Behbehani, Sinha, Abell, Pisanó

UCD and LBNL

8th Kwang Hua Forum

Tongji University, Shanghai, China

December 2018

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 2: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Outline

IntroductionMotivation

Modeling and SimulationReal-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator SystemReal ESSI Examples

Summary

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 3: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

Outline

IntroductionMotivation

Modeling and SimulationReal-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator SystemReal ESSI Examples

Summary

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 4: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

Motivation

Improve modeling and simulation for infrastructure objects

Use of numerical models to analyze statics and dynamics

of soil/rock-structure systems

Reduction of modeling uncertainty

Desired level of sophistication (high ↔ low) analysis

Follow and direct the flow of seismic energy,

Practical system for realistic modeling and simulation of

Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction,

Real-ESSI/MS-ESSI:http://real-essi.info/

http://ms-essi.info/

http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/˜jeremic/Real_ESSI_Simulator/

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 5: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

Predictive Capabilities

Prediction under Uncertainty: use of computational model

to predict the state of SSI system under conditions for

which the computational model has not been validated.

Verification: provides evidence that the model is solved

correctly. Mathematics issue.

Validation: provides evidence that the correct model is

solved. Physics issue.

Modeling and parametric uncertainties are always present,

need to be addressed

Goal: Predict and Inform rather than (force) Fit

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 6: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

Uncertainties

Modeling Uncertainty: simplifying assumptions

Low, medium, high sophistication modeling and simulation

Choice of sophistication level for confidence in results

Parametric Uncertainty: Mui + Cui + K epui = F (t),

Uncertain mass M, viscous damping C and material K ep

Uncertain loads, F (t)

Propagate uncertainties to solve for PDFs of σij , ǫij , ui , ui , ui

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 8: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

Modeling Uncertainty, 6C vs 1C Motions

(MP4)

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 9: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

Parametric Uncertainty: Soil Stiffness and Strength

5 10 15 20 25 30 35

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

SPT N Value

You

ng’s

Mod

ulus

, E (

kPa)

E = (101.125*19.3) N 0.63

−10000 0 10000

0.00002

0.00004

0.00006

0.00008

Residual (w.r.t Mean) Young’s Modulus (kPa)

Nor

mal

ized

Fre

quen

cy

10 20 30 40

100

200

300

400

500

SPT N value

Su = (101.125*0.29) N 0.72

Und

rain

ed S

hear

Str

engt

h (k

Pa)

−300 −200 −100 0 100 200

0.002

0.004

0.006

0.008

0.01

Nor

mal

ized

Fre

quen

cy

Residual (w.r.t Mean) Undrained Shear Strength (kPa)

Phoon and Kulhawy (1999)

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 10: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

SEPFEM : Probabilistic Elastic-Plastic Modeling

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 11: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Motivation

SEPFEM : Example in 1D

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 12: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator System

Outline

IntroductionMotivation

Modeling and SimulationReal-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator SystemReal ESSI Examples

Summary

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 13: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator System

Real-ESSI / MS-ESSI

A system for time domain, nonlinear/inelastic, deterministicor probabilistic, modeling and simulation of

statics and dynamics of soil, statics and dynamics of rock, statics and dynamics of structures, statics of soil-structure systems, and dynamics of earthquake-soil-structure system interaction.

Design: linear elastic, load combinations, dimensioning

Assessment: inelastic, DBE/BDBE, safety margins

More information at:http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/ jeremic/Real_ESSI_Simulator/

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 14: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator System

Real-ESSI / MS-ESSI Modeling Features Solid elements, dry, (un-) saturated, elastic, inelastic Structural elements, beams, shells, elastic, inelastic Contact elements, dry, coupled/saturated, hard, soft Isolator and Dissipator elements Super element, stiffness and mass matrices Material models, soil, rock, concrete, steel, rubber... Seismic input, 1C, 3C, 6C, deterministic or probabilistic Energy dissipation: material, viscous, algorithmic Solid/Structure – Fluid interaction, full coupling Statics, Dynamics, Eigen, Restart High Performance Computing, fine and coarse grained Pre-Processing, gmsh/gmESSI, model translators Post-processing, Paraview with pvESSI plugin

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 15: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Outline

IntroductionMotivation

Modeling and SimulationReal-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator SystemReal ESSI Examples

Summary

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 16: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Energy Input and Dissipation

Energy input, static and dynamic forcing

Energy dissipation outside SSI domain: SSI system oscillation radiation Reflected wave radiation

Energy dissipation/conversion inside SSI domain: Inelastic soil, contacts, structure, foundation, dissipators Viscous coupling with internal and external fluids

Algorithmic/Numerical energy dissipation/production

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 17: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Energy Dissipation on Material Level

Plastic work can decrease, plastic dissipation always increases

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 18: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Energy Dissipation Control Mechanisms

0 2 4 6 8 10Time [s]

0

100

200

300

400

500

Ener

gy [M

J]

Kinetic EnergyStrain EnergyPlastic Free EnergyPlastic DissipationViscous DampingNumerical DampingInput Work

0 2 4 6 8 10Time [s]

0

100

200

300

400

500

Ener

gy [M

J]

Kinetic EnergyStrain EnergyPlastic Free EnergyPlastic DissipationViscous DampingNumerical DampingInput Work

0 2 4 6 8 10Time [s]

0

100

200

300

400

500

Ener

gy [M

J]

Kinetic EnergyStrain EnergyPlastic Free EnergyPlastic DissipationViscous DampingNumerical DampingInput Work

Plasticity Viscous Numerical

0 2 4 6 8 10Time [s]

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

1750

2000

Ener

gy [M

J]

Kinetic EnergyStrain EnergyPlastic Free EnergyPlastic DissipationViscous DampingNumerical DampingInput Work

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 19: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Nuclear Power Plant ModelContainment

BuildingAuxiliary

Building

Foundation

Contact

Soil

Damping

Layers

Damping

Layers

DRM Layer

Center of

ESSI Box

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 20: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Inelastic Soil and Inelastic Contact Shear velocity of soil Vs = 500m/s Undrained shear strength (Dickenson 1994)

Vs[m/s] = 23(Su[kPa])0.475

For Vs = 500m/s Undrained Strength Su = 650kPa and

Young’s Modulus of E = 1.3GPa von Mises, Armstrong Frederick kinematic hardening

(Su = 650kPa at γ = 0.01%; ha = 30MPa, cr = 25) Soft contact (concrete-soil), gaping and nonlinear shear

20 10 0 10 20Strain ǫ [%]

1000

500

0

500

1000

Str

ess

σ [

kPa]

0.0 0.5 1.0Penetration δn [mm]

0

1

2

Sti

ffness

Kn [

N/m

]

1e10

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 21: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Acceleration Traces, Elastic vs Inelastic

150 100 50 0 50 100 150Width [m]

150

100

50

0

50

100

Depth

[m

]

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

1g

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

Tim

e [s]

150 100 50 0 50 100 150Width [m]

150

100

50

0

50

100

Depth

[m

]

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

1g

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

Tim

e [s]

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 22: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Energy Dissipation in NPP Model

(MP4)

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 23: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Seismic Motions

Variation in inclination, frequency, energy, duration...

Deterministic and Probabilistic

Stress test the soil-structure system

L o

L o L o

Lw

Lw Lw

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 24: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

Free Field, Variation in Input Frequency, θ = 60o

(MP4)

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 25: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

SMR ESSI, Variation in Input Frequency, θ = 60o

(MP4)

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 26: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Real ESSI Examples

SMR ESSI, 3C vs 3×1C

(OGV)

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 27: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Outline

IntroductionMotivation

Modeling and SimulationReal-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator SystemReal ESSI Examples

Summary

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator

Page 28: Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, …sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/...Realistic Modeling and Simulation of Earthquakes, Soils, Structures and their Interaction

Introduction Modeling and Simulation Summary

Summary

Numerical modeling to predict and inform, rather than fit

Education and Training is the key!

Real-ESSI/MS-ESSI Simulator System:http://real-essi.info/

http://ms-essi.info/

http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/˜jeremic/Real_ESSI_Simulator/

Collaboration with and financial support from the US-DOE,

US-NRC, US-NSF, Caltrans, CNSC-CCSN, UN-IAEA, ILEE,

Shimizu, Basler&Hofmann

Jeremic et al.

Real-ESSI SImulator