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Realistic pre-industrial dispersal kernels applied to the Neolithic. Neus Isern Universitat de Girona Catalonia, Spain. FEPRE European Project 2nd annual workshop St Petersburg April 2008. Contents. Introduction to reaction-dispersion fronts. Evolution equation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Realistic pre-industrial Realistic pre-industrial dispersal kernelsdispersal kernels
applied to the Neolithicapplied to the Neolithic
Neus IsernNeus IsernUniversitat de GironaUniversitat de Girona
Catalonia, SpainCatalonia, Spain
FEPRE European FEPRE European ProjectProject
2nd annual workshop2nd annual workshop
St PetersburgSt Petersburg
April 2008April 2008
• Introduction to reaction-dispersion Introduction to reaction-dispersion fronts. Evolution equationfronts. Evolution equation
• Aplication to the Neolithic transition:Aplication to the Neolithic transition:
- Discrete 2D dispersion kernelsDiscrete 2D dispersion kernels
- Continuous 2D dispersion kernelsContinuous 2D dispersion kernels
ContentsContents
Reaction-dispersion frontsReaction-dispersion fronts
• Physics: superconductors, solidification...
• Biological systems: viral infections, biological invasions, tumor growth, Neolithic transition...
Neolithic expansion in Europe
Reaction-dispersion fronts: aplicationsReaction-dispersion fronts: aplications
Reaction orreproduction
Dispersion
Front speedFront speed
, , , , , d dT x y x y x yp x y t T R p x y t Evolution equationEvolution equation
Fisher and HRD equationsFisher and HRD equations
2Fisherc aD2
2
1HRD aT
aDc
Diffusion coefficient: D
Dispersion kernel: , x y
Evolution equationEvolution equation
, , , , , d dT x y x y x yp x y t T R p x y t Dispersio
n
Reaction
• Logistic growth
max
max
, ,, ,
, , 1
aT
T aT
p p x y t eR p x y t
p p x y t e
Evolution equationEvolution equation
, , , , , d dT x y x y x yp x y t T R p x y t
SequentialSequential
Dispersion
Reaction
, , , , , ,
, , , d d
T
x y x y x y
p x y t T R p x y t p x y t
p x y t
Reaction
Dispersion
Non sequentialNon sequential
Discrete dispersion kernelDiscrete dispersion kernel
0
2n
i iip r
Dispersion dataDispersion data
• Dispersion kernel xy
< 4.8km 4.8 – 24.1km 24.1 – 48.3km >48.3km <d2> (km2)
A 0.54 0.17 0.04 0.25 1115.7
B 0.40 0.17 0.17 0.26 1325.6
C 0.19 0.07 0.22 0.52 2153.0
Dispersion data from three pre-industrial farmer populations (J. Stauder)
< 4.8km 4.8 – 24.1km 24.1 – 48.3km >48.3km <d2> (km2)
A 0.54 0.17 0.04 0.25 1115.7
B 0.40 0.17 0.17 0.26 1325.6
C 0.19 0.07 0.22 0.52 2153.0
Single-distance kernelSingle-distance kernel
DataData
2 21531.43d km
32T yr
• Realistic initial growth rate: a [0.029 , 0.035] yr-1
• Estimated Neolithic transition speed: c [0.6 , 1.3] km/yr
Several-distance kernelSeveral-distance kernel
Continuous dispersion 2D-Continuous dispersion 2D-kernelkernel
3 2
3 52 2
523 2
1 ln 1
1 ln 1
1 ln 1
1 ln 1ln
NSeq Tc
3 3 22 2 31 ln 1 aT
Seq T aTc aT a
Seq Tc
1 1 ln 1
1 ln 1
1 ln 1
1ln
NSeq Tc
2 2
22 e
2 e
GaussGauss LaplaceLaplace
1aTe 1aTe
Gauss / Laplace kernelGauss / Laplace kernel
Thank you for the attention!!Thank you for the attention!!