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REDD‐ALERT 3rd Annual Project meetingProject meeting
28‐30 September 201128‐30 September, 2011Lam Dong, Vietnam
Stern ReviewStern Review
“Curbing deforestation is a highly cost‐effective way of reducing greenhouse gas emissions and has the potential to offer significant reductions fairly quickly. It also helps preservequickly. It also helps preserve biodiversity and protect soil and water quality. Encouraging new forests, and enhancing the potential of soils toenhancing the potential of soils to store carbon, offer further opportunities to reverse emissions f l d h ”from land use change.”
(Stern, 2006)
Reducing Emissions from Deforestation & Degradation (REDD)
COP9 (2003, Milan) – proposal for Compensated ReductionCOP11 (2005 Montreal) 2 year period of discussionCOP11 (2005, Montreal) – 2‐year period of discussionCOP13 (2007, Bali) – Bali Road Map – work towards data collection, emissions estimation, monitoring, institutionsCOP15 (2009, Copenhagen) – Not much progress, further negotiations deferredCOP16 (2010, Cancun) – establishment of a Green Climate Fund
Proposed REDD approachProposed REDD approach
from Moutinho (2007)
REDD mechanismsREDD mechanisms
Angelsen &Wertz‐Angelsen & WertzKanounnikoff, 2008
ChallengesChallenges
Additionality – making sure that it wouldn’t occur anyway Additionality – making sure that it wouldn t occur anyway
Leakage – avoiding displacing emissions elsewhere
Permanence – keeping the C locked up
Monitoring – degradation vs deforestationMonitoring degradation vs. deforestation
‘Hot air’ – surplus of cheap C credits flooding the market
Baseline determination
Quantification of uncertainties Quantification of uncertainties
Sovereignty
REDD‐ALERTEU‐FP7 ProjectREDD‐ALERT
Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation through Alternative Landuses in Rainforests of the Tropics
Macaulay Land Use Research Institute, United Kingdom
Université Catholique de Louvain, B l i
Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical, Columbia
Alternative Landuses in Rainforests of the Tropics
q ,Belgium
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands
Georg August University of Göttingen,
Indonesian Soils Research Institute, Indonesia
Research Centre for Forest Ecology and Environment VietnamGeorg August University of Göttingen,
Germany
World Agroforestry Centre, Kenya
Centre for International Forestry Research, Indonesia
Environment, Vietnam
Institut de Recherche Agricole pour le Développement, Cameroon
Instituto Nacional de Investigacion yResearch, Indonesia
International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Nigeria
Instituto Nacional de Investigacion y Extension Agraria, Peru
Linking global agreements to local actiong g gOverall goal: To contribute to the development and evaluation of mechanisms and the institutions needed at multiple levels for influencing stakeholder behaviour to l i l d f i d h d GHG i islow tropical deforestation rates and hence reduce GHG emissions
Project objectivesj j
Documenting the diversity in social, cultural, economic and ecological drivers of forest transition and conservation, and the consequences, in the contexts qof selected case study areas in Indonesia, Vietnam, Cameroon, and Peru as representative of different stages of forest transition in Southeast Asia, Africa and South America.
Quantifying rates of forest conversion and change in forest carbon stocks Quantifying rates of forest conversion and change in forest carbon stocksusing improved methods.
Improving accounting (methods, default values) of the consequences of land use change for GHG emissions in tropical forest margins including peatlands.
Identifying and assessing viable policy options addressing the drivers of deforestation and their consistency with policy approaches on avoided deforestation currently being discussed in UNFCCC and other relevant international processes.international processes.
Analysing scenarios in selected case study areas of the local impacts of potential international climate change policies on GHG emission reductions, land use and livelihoods.
Developing new negotiation support tools and using these with stakeholdersat international, national and local scales to explore a basket of options for incorporating REDD into post‐2012 climate agreements.
Project componentsProject components
WP1: Understanding the drivers of
WP3: Quantifying
GHG emissions
WP2: Quantifying
and monitoring
WP4: Policy options
addressing
WP1: Understanding the drivers of
WP3: Quantifying
GHG emissions
WP2: Quantifying
and monitoring
WP4: Policy options
addressing
WP1: Understanding the drivers of
WP3: Quantifying
GHG emissions
WP2: Quantifying
and monitoring
WP4: Policy options
addressingthe drivers of land use change
GHG emissions from land use
change
and monitoring land use change
addressing tropical
deforestation
the drivers of land use change
GHG emissions from land use
change
and monitoring land use change
addressing tropical
deforestation
the drivers of land use change
GHG emissions from land use
change
and monitoring land use change
addressing tropical
deforestation
WP5: Integration and modellingWP5: Integration and modellingWP5: Integration and modelling
WP6: Development of REDD Negotiation Support SystemWP6: Development of REDD Negotiation Support SystemWP6: Development of REDD Negotiation Support System
WP7: Overall project managementWP7: Overall project management
Pert diagramPert diagramWP1: Mapping forest cover change
WP1: Econometric model of LUC WP2: Spatial C stocks
WP1: Mapping forest cover change
WP1: Econometric model of LUC WP2: Spatial C stocksWP1: Econometric model of LUC drivers
WP2: Spatial C stocks analysis
WP3: Soil organic C measurements
WP3: Biomass C measurements WP5: IPCC AFOLU Tier 3 model
WP1: Econometric model of LUC drivers
WP2: Spatial C stocks analysis
WP3: Soil organic C measurements
WP3: Biomass C measurements WP5: IPCC AFOLU Tier 3 model
WP2: Cost/benefit analysis of national monitoring systems
WP3: GHG flux measurements
WP4 Gl b l li d l
WP2: Cost/benefit analysis of national monitoring systems
WP3: GHG flux measurements
WP4 Gl b l li d lWP4: Global policy model
WP4: Multi-level policy instruments
WP5: Development of coupled-human-
environment model
WP4: Global policy model
WP4: Multi-level policy instruments
WP5: Development of coupled-human-
environment model
WP2: Abatement cost analysis
WP5: Evaluation of policy instrumentsWP6: Synthesis of local
perceptions of d f t ti li i
WP6: Local stakeholder Negotiation Support
System
WP2: Abatement cost analysis
WP5: Evaluation of policy instrumentsWP6: Synthesis of local
perceptions of d f t ti li i
WP6: Local stakeholder Negotiation Support
System
deforestation policies
WP6: National Representative
Negotiation Support System
WP6: Testing stakeholder perceptions of
deforestation policies
deforestation policies
WP6: National Representative
Negotiation Support System
WP6: Testing stakeholder perceptions of
deforestation policies
Site locationsSite locations
Ucayali, Peru Southern Cameroon Indonesia Vietnam
Previous meetingsPrevious meetings Indonesia, May 2009: Kickoff meeting, planning of work, field
t i th h S ttrip through Sumatra
Washington, Sept 2009: Work‐package Coordinators’ meeting
Amsterdam, April 2010: Work‐package Coordinators’ meeting
Peru, Oct 2010: 2nd Annual Project Meeting, linking field workPeru, Oct 2010: 2 Annual Project Meeting, linking field work to work‐package deliverables
Amsterdam April 2011: Work‐package Coordinators’ meeting Amsterdam, April 2011: Work package Coordinators meeting, followed by modelling workshop
Vietnam Sept 2011: 3rd Annual Project Meeting Linking the Vietnam, Sept 2011: 3rd Annual Project Meeting, Linking the work together, planning outputs.
Annual Project MeetingAnnual Project Meeting
Starting to try and draw things together:g y g g
Theme 1: What is happening at the national/local scale?
Theme 2: REDD+ options to address the drivers
Theme 3: Impacts of REDD+ optionsp p
Theme 4: Improved estimates and modelling of C stocks and GHG fluxes from land use change:and GHG fluxes from land use change:
Mineral soils
Organic soils