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1 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Nifty Outlook
VWAP (Expiry till date) Max OI (Call) Max OI (Put)
NIFTY 9960 10200 9900
Nifty traded range bound and ended flat, taking a breather after the recent recovery. After an initial uptick, it hovered in a band till the end, tracking mixed local cues. Meanwhile, movement continued on stock specific front while mostly sectoral indices closed unchanged.
We’re closely aligned to the world markets at present and the recent surge, after ease in the geo-political issues, has strengthened that tie. And, conditions are favorable for the benchmark to move higher and make newer highs. But, it’s not going to be easy sail for traders due to lack of momentum in Nifty and volatility on stock specific front. Thus we suggest focusing more on trade selection and its management and the rest will fall into place.
Sectors to watch
Sector Name Outlook
AUTO STABLE
ENERGY STABLE
REALTY WEAK
News
Religare Super Ideas**
FII & DII Cash Segment (Rs. in Cr.) Trade Stats
Category Amt. MTD FYTD
FII -827 -6710 -32078
DII 726 4858 45905
NO OF CON-
TRACTS
TURNOVER IN CR
IDXFUTS 147049 12635
IDXOPT 9442585 898267
STKFUTS 693803 51095
Derivative Ideas **
Bharat Heavy Electricals gained as the firm, along with Kawasaki, will make rolling stock for the Mumbai-Ahmedabad bullet train. The bullet train project is expected to be completed within 2023, after which the train will be capable of running at the high speed of 350 km per hour.
Tata Chemicals has said it is in advanced talks with the Netherlands-based Indorama Holdings BV to sell its Haldia fertilizer unit in West Bengal for Rs 400- 500 crores. Indorama Holdings is a subsidiary of Singapore-based Indorama Corporation.
Tata Steel said a final decision on merging its European business with German major ThyssenKrupp is yet to be taken as the "strategic discussions" are still continuing. Both the companies have been in discussion for a merger of their steel businesses for almost over a year.
*FII & DII data as on 13th September 2017
Scrip Buy/Sell CMP Initiation
Range SL* Target
VGUARD BUY 194.80 192-194 185 215
PCJEWELLER SELL FUTS
341.30 346-349 362 325
**Please note that the given technical and derivative recommendations are
"valid for taking position" only on recommended date and in the given range.
*Please note - Stoploss is on closing basis for delivery recommendation and intraday basis for futures recommendation.
Instrument B/S Lot INITIATION
RANGE SL
TAR-GET
SIEMENS BUY
1400CE 500 16-17 10 32
2 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Religare Super Ideas
Investment Pick - Garware Wall Ropes Ltd
Garware Wall Ropes Ltd (GWRL) reported impressive numbers for Q1FY18 with net revenue and PAT growth of 11.8% & 31.2% YoY respectively. EBITDA margin
gains of 127bps YoY (15.3%) was encouraging.
We remain positive on GWRL's long term growth prospects, given its niche presence in fast growing technical textiles space. With innovative offerings, entry in
high growth segments & widening export reach, GWRL would register healthy revenue and profit growth over the next two years. We recommend a BUY on the stock with target price of Rs 1,083.
Scrip CMP Target Duration Recommendation Price
GARWALLROP 882.10 1,083 9-12 Months 920
SIEMENS added around 8% in open interest as
fresh long positions with some delivery based
buying in previous session. Current chart pattern
too indicate fresh surge in price. We suggest buying
SIEMENS September call options as per levels
mentioned below.
Strategy: Buy SIEMENS SEP 1400CE BETWEEN
16-17, SL-10, TGT-32
Derivative Ideas
V-Guard Industries Limited (VGUARD) PC Jeweller Limited (PCJEWELLER)
Post breakout from its trading range that lasted
for almost four months, VGUARD has retraced
marginal of late and reached closer to the support
zone around 190 level, offering fresh opportunity
to enter. We suggest traders to utilize this pause
and accumulate fresh longs in the given range.
After making a record high, PCJEWELLER has been
witnessing profit booking for last one month. Its
chart pattern indicates possibility of further slide
thus traders should use any bounce to go short in the
given range.
3 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Religare Investment Calls
Name of the Company Reco Date Reco Price Target Price Upside % Previous day Closing Price
Cigniti Technologies Ltd. 5-Oct-16 419 538 28.3% 258.3
Fiem Industries 26-Dec-16 1,089 1,315 20.8% 954.8
Greenply Industries 3-Feb-17 268 304 13.4% 271.1
Arman Financial Services 22-Feb-17 226 340 50.0% 226.1
Indo Count Industries Ltd. 17-May-17 198 240 21.2% 122.4
SML Isuzu 25-May-17 1,247 1,525 22.3% 963.0
Tv Today Network 2-June-17 263 335 27.3% 281.4
APL Apollo Tubes 12-July-17 1,596 2,352 47.4% 1,734.5
Force Motors 27-July-17 4,104 4,897 19.3% 4,120.5
Zee Entertainment Enterprises 28-July-17 539 592 9.8% 529.3
CRISIL 01-Aug-17 1,858 2,419 30.2% 1,874.5
Sutlej Textiles 01-Aug-17 894 951 6.3% 909.1
LIC Housing Finance 09-Aug-17 681 748 9.8% 659.4
Eicher Motors Ltd 09-Aug-17 31,630 40,467 27.9% 32,065.2
Wonderla Holidays 17-Aug-17 339 430 26.8% 350.3
The Byke Hospitality 17-Aug-17 195 242 24.1% 183.3
Century Plyboards 18-Aug-17 251 307 22.3% 252.3
NRB Bearings 18-Aug-17 118 139 17.8% 120.4
Srikalahasthi Pipes Ltd 18-Aug-17 362 416 14.8% 345.0
Avanti Feeds 21-Aug-17 1,921 2,240 16.6% 1,879.4
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 23-Aug-17 93 125 34.4% 104.3
Jamna Auto Industries 31-Aug-17 252 279 10.7 % 256.0
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited 31-Aug-17 301 340 13.0 % 299.4
Swaraj Engines Ltd 31-Aug-17 1,985 2,201 10.9% 2,056.7
Mayur Uniquoters Ltd 01-Sept-17 360 460 27.7% 363.1
Castrol India 01-Sept-17 389 426 9.6% 387.8
Symphony Ltd 07-Sept-17 1,297 1,632 25.8% 1,380.9
Garware Wall Ropes Ltd 12-Sept-17 920 1,083 17.7% 882.1
4 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Corporate Action Calendar — September 2017 (Cash Dividend)
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
10 11
OCL India Ltd
Amrit Corp Ltd
Hindustan Media Ventures Ltd
Kintech Renewables Ltd
Claris Lifesciences Ltd
Engineers India Ltd
Panache Innovations Ltd
Cineline India Ltd
JB Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd
Bhagwati Autocast Ltd
Coral Laboratories Ltd
Kamadgiri Fashion Ltd
Power Grid Corp of India Ltd
Power Grid Corp of India Ltd
Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd
Ujaas Energy Ltd
Patels Airtemp India Ltd
12
I G Petrochemicals Ltd
Dalmia Bharat Ltd
National Plastic Industries
NR Agarwal Industries Ltd
DHP India Ltd
Narmada Gelatines Ltd
Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure Ltd
Container Corp Of India Ltd
Container Corp Of India Ltd
Dynemic Products Ltd
Maharashtra Seamless Ltd
Jindal Drilling & Industries Ltd
Acrysil Ltd
Andhra Sugars Ltd/The
Prithvi Exchange India Ltd
Donear Industries Ltd
Simplex Infrastructures Ltd
BLS International Services Ltd
Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals Corp Ltd
National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd
HP Cotton Textile Mill
13
Nirlon Ltd
Oberoi Realty Ltd
Himadri Speciality Chemical
Gloster Ltd
Amrutanjan Health Care Ltd
Oracle Financial Services
Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd
Ruchira Papers Ltd
PTC India Financial Services
Brigade Enterprises Ltd
Orient Bell Ltd
Kothari Products Ltd
GP Petroleums Ltd
LUX Industries Ltd
Repco Home Finance Ltd
PTC India Ltd
Captain Polyplast Ltd
Vipul Ltd
Cox & Kings Ltd
Superhouse Ltd
Maris Spinner Ltd
Black Rose Industries Ltd
NHPC Ltd
BEML Ltd
Swan Energy Ltd
Bharat Seats Ltd
MAC Charles India Ltd
Zodiac JRD MKJ Ltd
Sterling Tools Ltd
14
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd
NIIT Technologies Ltd
Choksi Imaging Ltd
SML ISUZU Ltd
KP Energy Ltd
United Breweries Ltd
HT Media Ltd
Luharuka Media & Infra Ltd
Comfort Commotrade Ltd
Arex Industries Ltd
KIFS Financial Services Ltd
SMIFS Capital Markets Ltd
Himatsingka Seide Ltd
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd
ABC Bearings Ltd
Bodal Chemicals Ltd
Shristi Infrastructure Development
HeidelbergCement India Ltd
Vadilal Enterprises Ltd
Garware Polyester Ltd
NMDC Ltd
Rico Auto Industries Ltd
Rodium Realty Ltd
Mahanagar Gas Ltd
Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd
Tourism Finance Corp of India Ltd
Rural Electrification Corp Ltd
Welspun Enterprises Ltd
Delta Corp Ltd
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd
15
APM Industries Ltd
UFO Moviez India Ltd
Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers
Mercury Laboratories Ltd
Sumedha Fiscal Services Ltd
Ganesha Ecosphere Ltd
Sakthi Finance Ltd
Talbros Automotive Components Ltd
Indo-National Ltd
Kakatiya Cement Sugar & Industries
Rishiroop Ltd
Divi's Laboratories Ltd
Anuh Pharma Ltd
Divyashakti Granites Ltd
Emco Ltd
Amarjothi Spinning Mills Ltd
Jindal Saw Ltd
Kilpest India Ltd
Alpine Housing Development Corp
Sakuma Exports Ltd
CG-Vak Software & Exports Ltd
Rasoi Ltd
Dwitiya Trading Ltd
Ansal Housing & Construction Ltd
Bannari Amman Spinning Mills Ltd
Radix Industries India Ltd
Vidhi Specialty Food Ingredients Ltd
Appu Marketing & Manufacturing Veljan Denison Ltd
SRI Adhikari Brothers Television
16
5 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Corporate Action Calendar — September 2017 (Stock Split)
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
10 11
Deccan Cements Ltd
12 13 14
Borosil Glass Works Ltd
15
NESCO Ltd
16
Economic Calendar — September 2017
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
10 11
BoP Current Account Balance
Trade Balance
Exports YoY
Imports YoY
12
Manpower Survey
CPI YoY
Industrial Production YoY
13 14
Wholesale Prices YoY
15 16
Corporate Action Calendar — September 2017 (Acquisition)
Date Target Company Acquirer Company
9/15/2017 Force Fitness India Pvt Ltd Talwalkars Better Value Fitness Ltd
9/15/2017 Alchemy Web Pvt Ltd JSW Ventures Fund Managers LLP
9/16/2017 ONS Ventures Sdn Bhd Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd
6 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Current Portfolio and Performance Summary as on 14th September’17
Stock Sector Entry Date Weight Reco price (`) CMP (`)
Amara Raja Batteries Auto March 22, 2017 9.8% 868 783
TV Today Network Media & Ent. May 10, 2017 10.3% 279 281
RBL Bank Financial Services July 11, 2017 9.6% 532 532
Muthoot Finance Financial Services July 26, 2017 10.5% 482 508
Talwalkars Better value
Fitness Health Fitness July 27, 2017 9.8% 302 290
Va Tech Wabag Infrastructure August 16, 2017 9.7% 636 630
Nilkamal Plastic Products August 17, 2017 9.3% 1,682 1,586
CDSL BFSI August 23, 2017 9.9% 334 348
PPAP Automotive Auto Ancillaries September 14, 2017 9.9% 383 380
Cash 11.3%
Total 100%
7 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Historical Performance as on 14th September’17
Performance Matrix 3-Month 6-Month 1-Year Since Inception
Religare Alpha 1.3% 9.6% 7.2% 36.9%
Nifty 4.9% 10.1% 15.6% 27.9%
Outperformance -3.6% -0.6% -8.3% 9.0%
8 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Research Product Basket
For cash market trading
Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated
Intraday Calls Intraday 2 - 3 < 1 day 25%
Live / RMD Calls Daily 3 - 4 3 - 4 days 30%
Master Pick Weekly 1 1 month 15%
Religare Alpha Opportunity NA 2 - 3 months 20%
Cash NA 10%
For 1L margin*
Total Per Call
25,000 8,000
30,000 4,000
15,000 5,000
20,000 As per weightage
10,000
Intraday Calls These calls are flashed live on Ms Lync and ODIN with the purpose of squaring off positions on the same day. As a policy, we restrict our
intraday cash market calls to less than 4 calls a day. Hence, funds should be allocated accordingly to have provision to trade in all calls.
Live / RMD Calls 2 super ideas are flashed in RMD daily with a view of 3-4 days. Additionally as per market opportunity, we flash live calls during the day
(including BTST calls). 3-4 such calls are made on a daily basis which might be open for 3-4 days. Funds should be allocated keeping in mind that
there will be 7-8 such open calls daily.
Master Pick This is our weekly recommendation shortlisted on the basis of techno-funda analysis. 15% of funds is recommended to be allocated for Master
Pick considering that there will be 3 open calls. The average open duration for this call will be 1 month.
Religare Alpha This is a portfolio of 8-10 stocks which are held with a view of 2-3 months. It is recommended to allocate 20% of funds for building this portfolio
which will provide stability to the overall trading portfolio.
Cash 10% surplus cash in the portfolio should be kept for the purposes of allocating it to opportunities as and when they arrive.
For derivative market trading
Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated
Derivative Ideas Daily 1 - 2 1 - 3 days 40%
Live calls Intraday / Daily 1 - 2 3 - 4 days 50%
Cash NA 10%
For 1L margin*
Total Per Call
40,000 40,000
50,000 50,000
10,000
Derivative Ideas 1 derivative idea is shared in RMD daily. It can be a plain vanilla F&O buy/sell call or an option strategy. Funds should be allocated assuming 2
such calls will be open at any time. These calls are open for 3-4 days on an average.
Live Calls These calls are flashed on MS Lync and ODIN during live market hours. These calls can be intraday or with a view of 2-3 days. Funds should be
allocated considering 2 such calls will be open at any time. 3/4 times, these calls will be on Nifty / Bank Nifty only.
Cash It is recommended to hold 10% cash to capitalize on any opportunity that may arise in markets.
For every client, the advisor must allocate a specific proportion of funds for trading and investing depending on the risk taking ability and willingness of the client
and their investment goals.
The below mentioned product basket tries to address the way to deal with the trading portfolio (cash/derivative) for optimum effectiveness of research calls.
It is recommended to divide your trading funds for various types of calls and not invest the entire amount for 1 or 2 calls only.
9 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Hitesh Agrawal [email protected]
Ajay Pasari, CFA [email protected]
Ajit Mishra [email protected]
Archana Gude [email protected]
Manoj M Vayalar [email protected]
Mehernosh Khurshed Panthaki [email protected]
Siji A Philip [email protected]
Suhanee Shome [email protected]
Team Members
10 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 15, 2017
Before you use this research report , please ensure to go through the disclosure inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 and Research Disclaimer at the following link : http://old.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html
Specific analyst(s) specific disclosure(s) inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 is/are as under:
Statements on ownership and material conflicts of interest , compensation– Research Analyst (RA)
[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs, if in the event answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) below , are given separately]
Nature of Interest ( if answer to F (a) above is Yes : ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Name(s) with Signature(s) of RA(s).
[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs and if the answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) above , are given below]
Copyright in this document vests exclusively with RSL. This information should not be reproduced or redistributed or passed on directly or indirectly in any form to any
other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose, without prior written permission from RSL. We do not guarantee the integrity of any emails or attached files and are not responsible for any changes made to them by any other person.
S. No. Statement Answer
Yes No
I/we or any of my/our relative has any financial interest in the subject company? [If answer is yes, nature of Interest is given below this table] No
I/we or any of my/our relatives, have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance?
No
I/we or any of my/our relative, has any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance?
No
I/we have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation for brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation for products or services other than brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report? No
I/we have served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company? No
I/we have been engaged in market making activity for the subject company? No
SS..No. Name(s) of RA.
Signtures of RA
Serial Question of question which the signing RA needs to make a separate declaration / answer
Yes No.