Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
RReeppoorrtt oonn EEccoonnoommiicc aanndd FFiinnaanncciiaall DDeevveellooppmmeennttss
FFoouurrtthh QQuuaarrtteerr 22001122
1
Fourth Quarter 2012
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A. Key Economic Developments
The Philippine economy grew at a faster rate
of 6.8 percent in the fourth quarter despite a
challenging global environment. Growth was
generally broad‐based as it drew from the
solid performance of all three major
production sectors, led by services. On the
expenditure side, higher public and consumer
spending, coupled with a recovery in exports,
supported the country’s growth momentum.
The rapid economic expansion was also
bolstered by solid macroeconomic
fundamentals. Headline inflation remained
within the target range of 3‐5 percent during
the quarter, as food inflation declined on the
back of adequate domestic supply. Non‐food
inflation also eased due to lower electricity
rates. The benign inflation environment
helped bolster domestic demand, including
consumer spending and investment activities.
The expansion of economic activity was also
supported by the growth in domestic liquidity
or M3. The increase in M3 reflected the
robust expansion in net domestic assets
(NDA) arising from the sustained growth in
bank lending to the private sector.
Meanwhile, the BSP eased policy rates early
in the quarter based on the authorities’
assessment that the inflation environment
continued to be benign, with risks to the
inflation outlook seen as broadly balanced.
Thereafter, the BSP deemed its monetary
policy settings appropriate and kept policy
rates unchanged, given the manageable
inflation outlook, strong domestic growth,
adequate liquidity, and robust credit activity.
The cash operations of the National
Government (NG) yielded a deficit as a result
of increased spending for infrastructure and
capital outlays. Although the deficit was
smaller than the level posted in the same
period in 2011, it exceeded the programmed
level for the review quarter.
Investor sentiment was boosted largely by the
country's sound macroeconomic
fundamentals as well as expectations of a
further credit rating upgrade to investment
grade in 2013. As a result, the equities market
rallied to a new high, while the country’s
sovereign bond spreads narrowed.
The Philippine banking system remained
strong amid the challenging global economic
2
Fourth Quarter 2012
environment. Asset quality continued to
improve, while solvency ratios remained
above international standards.
The economy also continued to gain support
from the external sector’s favorable position,
as the balance of payments (BOP) surplus in
Q4 2012 increased from its level a year ago.
The marked improvement in the country’s
external payments position emanated from
the net borrowing of residents from the rest
of the world, a turnaround from the net
lending recorded a year ago, coupled with
higher net receipts in the capital account.
Meanwhile, the current account surplus
declined slightly as the rebound in
merchandise trade exports were offset by the
decline in net receipts in the primary and
trade‐in‐services accounts.
Meanwhile, the country’s gross international
reserves (GIR) continued to grow to a level
sufficient to cover a year’s worth of imports
of goods and payments of services and
interest on foreign borrowings. The peso also
continued to strengthen on the back of
steady inflows of foreign exchange from
overseas remittances, exports receipts, and
portfolio investments.
The Philippine economy grows at a solid
pace. The Philippine economy surged in
Q4 2012 despite the challenging global
economic environment. Real Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) grew by 6.8 percent,
significantly higher than the 4.0 percent
growth recorded in the previous year. All
three major production sectors recorded solid
output growth during the quarter, with the
services sector contributing more than half to
total GDP growth. On the expenditure side,
increased government and consumer
spending, coupled with a recovery in exports,
supported overall growth. The country’s real
Gross National Income (GNI) rose by
5.4 percent during the review quarter from
4.5 percent in the same period in 2011.
However, net primary income grew at a
slower pace of 0.9 percent compared to
6.2 percent in the previous year.
Labor market conditions are stable. Based on
the results of the October 2012 Labor Force
Survey (LFS) of the National Statistics Office
(NSO), the unemployment rate increased
slightly to 6.8 percent from the 6.4 percent
posted in Q4 2011. Employment in the
agriculture and services sectors fell by
5.5 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively.
Meanwhile, employment in the industry
sector continued to increase, recording a
3
Fourth Quarter 2012
1.8 percent growth. Meanwhile, the ratio of
underemployed to total employed persons
was broadly steady at 19.0 percent during the
review period compared to the 19.1 percent
posted in the same period in 2011.
National Government (NG) cash operations
yield a deficit. The cash operations of the NG
yielded a deficit of P138.9 billion in Q4 2012,
exceeding the programmed deficit of
P95.8 billion for the review quarter. Total
revenues for the review period reached
P416.0 billion, higher than the year‐ago level
of P342.9 billion due mainly to improved
collections of import duties by the Bureau of
Customs (BOC). Meanwhile, total
expenditures amounted to P554.9 billion,
13.8 percent higher than the P487.6 billion
expenditures incurred a year ago. The growth
in expenditures can be attributed mainly to
increased infrastructure spending and capital
outlays. Both revenues and expenditures
were above the programmed levels for the
quarter.
Inflation decelerates due largely to slower
food inflation. Year‐on‐year (y‐o‐y) headline
inflation eased to 2.9 percent in Q4 2012 from
3.5 percent in the previous quarter and
4.7 percent a year ago. This brought the
year‐to‐date average inflation rate to
3.2 percent, well within the Government’s
inflation target range of 3‐5 percent for 2012.
The slowdown in headline inflation was due
mainly to slower food inflation, notably
vegetables and oils, on the back of ample
domestic supply. Non‐food inflation also
eased owing to lower electricity rates.
Similarly, core inflation, which excludes some
food and energy items to measure
generalized price pressures, decreased to
3.4 percent in Q4 2012 from the quarter‐ago
rate of 4.1 percent and the year‐ago rate of
4.5 percent. All alternative measures of core
inflation estimated by the BSP likewise went
down in Q4 2012 relative to the rates
registered in the previous quarter.
Domestic liquidity expands further. Demand
for money or M3 grew by 10.6 percent y‐o‐y
as of end‐December 2012, faster than the
7.5 percent growth as of end‐September
2012. The increase in M3 was driven by the
expansion in net domestic assets (NDA) by
19.2 percent y‐o‐y in December 2012, owing
largely to the sustained increase in net
domestic credits, particularly to the private
sector. However, net foreign assets (NFA)
decreased slightly by 0.1 percent after rising
by 1.3 percent in September. The sustained
build‐up of the BSP’s international reserves
was due to steady foreign exchange inflows
4
Fourth Quarter 2012
from OFs remittances and portfolio
investments.
The BSP eases policy rates early in the
quarter and maintains monetary policy
settings thereafter. During its policy meeting
on 25 October 2012, the BSP decided to
reduce its key policy interest rates by 25 basis
points (bps) to 3.50 percent for the overnight
borrowing or reverse repurchase (RRP) facility
and 5.50 percent for the overnight lending or
repurchase (RP) facility. The interest rates on
term RRPs, RPs, and special deposit accounts
(SDAs) were also reduced accordingly. The
October cut brought the cumulative policy
rate reduction to 100 bps for the year. The
Monetary Board’s (MB) policy rate decision
was based on its assessment that the inflation
environment continued to be benign, with
risks to the inflation outlook seen as broadly
balanced. Pending electricity rate
adjustments and expectations of higher
international prices for some food
commodities were seen to pose some upward
pressures on inflation. However, subdued
global demand was projected to moderate
upward pressures on international
commodity prices and tempered the overall
outlook for inflation. Meanwhile, with the
view that prevailing monetary policy settings
were appropriate, supported by the
manageable inflation outlook, robust
domestic growth, adequate liquidity, and
strong bank lending, the BSP decided to
maintain its policy rates during its policy
meeting on 13 December 2012.
Domestic market interest rates decline.
Yields on government securities in both
primary and secondary markets decreased
during the quarter on the back of positive
market sentiment, buoyed by a manageable
inflation outlook, ample liquidity, sustained
economic growth, and stronger expectations
of a further credit rating upgrade for the
Philippines.
The Philippine banking system remains
sound and stable. The Philippine banking
system remained resilient amid the subdued
global economic environment. Banks’ core
balance sheets were marked by steady
growth in assets, loans, deposit base, and
capital accounts. Asset quality also continued
to improve, while solvency ratios remained
above international standards.
The total resources of the banking system
rose by 6.5 percent to P8.1 trillion as of
end‐December 2012 due largely to the
growth in loans, securities, and equities,
indicative of the public’s continued trust in
5
Fourth Quarter 2012
the banking system. Commercial banks'
outstanding loans continued to grow steadily
at double‐digit growth rates since
January 2011. Meanwhile, the NPL ratio of
the banking system sustained its downward
path, easing to 2.6 percent as of end‐October
2012 from 3.2 percent in the comparable
period in 2011, reflecting banks’ continuing
initiatives to improve asset quality along with
prudent lending regulations. Meanwhile, the
banking system’s above‐standards capital
adequacy ratio (CAR) remained above
16 percent as banks either increased their
retained earnings or issued capital
instruments to match the rise in their
risk‐weighted assets in line with increased
lending activity.
The equities market rallies to a new high. In
Q4 2012, the Philippine Stock Exchange index
(PSEi) rose by 5.8 percent q‐o‐q or by
31.0 percent y‐o‐y to an average of
5,552.59 index points. This was due largely to
upbeat prospects on the Philippine economy
following the robust growth in the previous
quarter and positive credit rating actions
towards the end of the year. These
developments offset the dampening effect on
market sentiment of persistent uncertainty
surrounding the looming fiscal cliff in the US
and the continuing slowdown in Europe and
Japan.
The risk premium on the country’s debt
papers decreases. Reflecting the
improvement in the Philippines’ credit
ratings, the country’s bond spreads generally
narrowed in Q4 2012. The EMBI+Philippine
spreads, or the extra yield investors demand
to hold Philippine debt securities over US
Treasuries, tightened to 122 basis points (bps)
from 164 bps in the previous quarter.
Similarly, the credit default swap (CDS)
spread, or the cost of insuring holdings of the
country’s 5‐year sovereign bonds against
default, dropped to 103 bps in Q4 2012 from
138 bps in Q3 2012. Against those of
neighboring economies, the Philippine CDS
traded lower than Indonesia’s average of
130 bps but wider than Malaysia’s 75 bps and
Thailand’s 92 bps.
The BOP sustains surplus position. The
country’s balance of payments in Q4 2012
registered a surplus of US$3.4 billion, rising by
more than sevenfold compared to the
US$458 million surplus in the same period a
year ago. The marked improvement in the
country’s external payments position
emanated from the net borrowing of
residents from the rest of the world,
6
Fourth Quarter 2012
a turnaround from the net lending recorded a
year ago, coupled with higher net receipts in
the capital account. Meanwhile, the current
account surplus declined slightly as the
rebound in merchandise trade exports were
offset by the decline in net receipts in the
primary and trade‐in‐services accounts.
International reserves continued to rise. The
country’s gross international reserves (GIR)
reached US$83.8 billion as of end‐December
2012, about 11 percent higher than in the
previous year. At this level, the GIR was
sufficient to cover a year’s worth of imports
of goods and payments of services and
interest. The corresponding reserve adequacy
ratios at this GIR level were 10.5 times the
country’s short‐term external debt based on
original maturity and 5.8 times based on
residual maturity. The sustained increase in
the GIR level was due mainly to inflows from
the foreign exchange operations and income
from investments abroad of the BSP as well as
deposits by the NG and the Power Sector
Assets and Liabilities Management (PSALM)
Corporation of proceeds from their bond
issuances and other foreign borrowings.
However, these inflows were partially offset
by outflows for the payments by the NG and
the BSP for their maturing foreign exchange
obligations, foreign currency withdrawals by
authorized agent banks, and revaluation
losses on the BSP’s foreign‐currency reserves.
Debt ratios remain at comfortable levels. As
of end‐December 2012, the outstanding
BSP‐approved/registered external debt
stood at US$60.3 billion, down by
US$1.4 billion or 2.2 percent from the
end‐September 2012 level of US$61.7 billion.
On a y‐o‐y basis, the debt stock fell by
US$105 million (or 0.2 percent) from the
end‐December 2011 level of US$60.4 billion.
The q‐o‐q decline in the debt stock was
attributed to the downward foreign exchange
revaluation adjustments due largely to the
strengthening of the US dollar against the
Japanese yen and increased investments by
residents in Philippine debt papers.
On a y‐o‐y basis, the decline in the debt stock
was due to the net transfers of non‐resident
holdings of Philippine debt papers to
residents and the downward foreign
exchange revaluation adjustments due to
appreciation of the US dollar against the
Japanese yen.
Meanwhile, the country’s external debt to
GNI ratio sustained its improving trend,
easing further to 18.3 percent as of
end‐December 2012 from the ratio of
7
Fourth Quarter 2012
19.4 percent at end‐September 2012 and
20.3 percent recorded at end‐December
2011. Similarly, the external debt‐to‐GDP
improved to 24.1 percent during the review
period from 25.6 percent a quarter ago and
26.9 percent a year ago.
The peso continues to strengthen. The peso
averaged stronger at P41.19/US$1,
appreciating by 1.7 percent from the previous
quarter’s average of P41.90/US$1. The steady
inflows of foreign exchange from OF
remittances, export receipts, and portfolio
investments continued to be the fundamental
drivers of the peso’s strength.
The global economy stabilizes. Global
economic activity showed signs of
stabilization in Q4 2012. Although growth in
advanced economies remained weak,
economic activity in emerging economies,
particularly in Asia, improved modestly.
Meanwhile, inflation outturns were mixed,
while labor market conditions, except in the
euro area, improved in general.
In the US, real GDP growth eased to
1.6 percent in Q4 2012 from 2.6 percent in
the previous quarter. Meanwhile, economic
activity in the euro area continued to
contract, with real GDP declining by
0.9 percent in Q4 2012 following the decrease
of 0.6 percent in Q3 2012. Similarly, the
Japanese economy continued to weaken as
real GDP grew by only 0.3 percent in Q4 2012
from 0.4 percent in the previous quarter due
to lower capital spending. China’s GDP
expanded by 7.9 percent in Q4 2012 on
increased government spending on
infrastructure projects.
B. Challenges and Policy Directions
The major challenge for policymakers,
especially those in emerging economies,
involves providing sufficient buffers against
adverse external developments while
preventing any domestic imbalances from
getting out of hand.
For the Philippines, policies need to be
oriented towards nurturing domestic sources
of growth. In this regard, close coordination
between fiscal and monetary policies will help
ensure that the macroeconomic environment
remains supportive of consumer confidence
and investment spending.
The favorable fiscal position of the NG
provides it sufficient space to support
projects that will continue to stimulate
aggregate demand. Growth could further
8
Fourth Quarter 2012
accelerate once the various infrastructure
projects under the Public‐Private Partnership
program move into their respective
implementation stages. Furthermore,
continuing social spending programs such as
conditional cash transfers, as well as
initiatives for financial inclusion and
consumer protection, shall help promote
inclusive and sustainable growth.
For its part, the BSP remains committed to its
mandate of safeguarding price stability and
ensuring a macroeconomic environment
conducive to growth. With a broadly benign
inflation outlook, the BSP deems its policy
stance appropriate going forward. Latest
baseline forecasts indicate that the future
inflation path remains in line with the target
for 2013‐2014, supported by firmly anchored
inflation expectations. The risks surrounding
the inflation projections also continue to be
broadly balanced. Downside risks to the
inflation outlook center on the uncertainty
over the strength of the global economy and
its effects on commodity prices. In addition,
the appreciation of the peso could dampen
upward pressures arising from imported
commodities. However, pending petitions for
utility rate adjustments and the impact of
sustained foreign exchange inflows on
domestic liquidity growth could exert upside
pressures on inflation.
Indeed, of particular concern at the moment
is the continued surge in capital inflows. With
interest rates in advanced economies
hovering close to zero amid efforts to support
lending and economic activity, and with
continued market expectations of a further
credit rating upgrade for the Philippines,
foreign capital is expected to continue to pose
risks to inflation and financial stability. In
response, the BSP stands ready to employ the
menu of instruments at its disposal to help
ward off the potential destabilizing impact of
volatile capital flows on price and financial
stability. The BSP will also continue to
maintain a market‐determined exchange rate
while guarding against speculative flows that
could contribute to the peso’s volatility and
undermine the inflation target.
Amid downside risks to global economic
prospects on the horizon, contingency
measures have also been prepared to ensure
adequate liquidity within the financial system
should capital flows reverse course. The BSP
will maintain a comfortable level of
international reserves to serve as added
insurance against external shocks.
9
Fourth Quarter 2012
However, guarding against destabilizing
financial market imbalances arising from
capital inflow surges imposes a cost on the
BSP. In this regard, efforts are also being
taken to reinforce the BSP’s capacity to
manage these risks effectively. The full
capitalization of the BSP is being pursued to
enhance its financial position and help ease
the constraints posed by any balance sheet
weaknesses or operating losses. This is
complemented by a number of proposed
amendments to the BSP Charter, including
(a) increase in the BSP’s authorized capital
from P50 billion to a higher level
commensurate with the expansion in the size
of the economy and the financial system;
(b) setting up of a formal arrangement on the
sharing of gains and losses by the NG and the
BSP; (c) restoration of the BSP’s ability to
issue its own debt securities; (d) grant of tax
exemption to the BSP; and (e) establishment
of reserves for bad and doubtful loans as well
as allowances for losses from foreign
exchange (FX) fluctuations.
In the area of banking regulation and
supervision, the BSP will sustain the reform
momentum with a view to strengthen the
resilience of the banking system against
shocks as well as to enhance its role as a
catalyst for durable long‐term economic
growth. Toward this end, the BSP has
announced the application of micro‐ and
macroprudential measures to enhance its
monitoring of emerging trends in the financial
sector, including the adoption of expanded
reporting standards for real estate exposures
as well as the Basel III capital adequacy
standards beginning January 2014. Likewise,
the BSP continues to take the lead in
promoting financial inclusiveness with
programs and reforms aimed at promoting
access to financial services. The BSP also
remains proactive in ensuring the credibility
of the payments and settlements system in
accordance with international best practices.
Finally, amid the increasing
interconnectedness of global financial
markets, the BSP will remain an active
participant in regional and international
cooperation programs and fora, in order to
reap the benefits of collaborative
engagement.
6
RReeppoorrtt oonn EEccoonnoommiicc aanndd FFiinnaanncciiaall DDeevveellooppmmeennttss
FFoouurrtthh QQuuaarrtteerr 22001122
10
Report on Economic and Financial Developments
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
A. REAL SECTOR
AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND DEMAND 11
LABOR AND EMPLOYMENT 13
B. FISCAL SECTOR
NATIONAL GOVERNMENT CASH OPERATIONS 14
C. MONETARY SECTOR
PRICES 16
DOMESTIC LIQUIDITY 19
DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES 20
MONETARY POLICY DEVELOPMENTS 22
D. FINANCIAL SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM 25 BANKING POLICIES 32
CAPITAL MARKET REFORMS 33
STOCK MARKET 33
BOND MARKET 36
CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT 40
PAYMENTS AND SETTLEMENTS SYSTEM 42
E. EXTERNAL SECTOR
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 44
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES 59
EXCHANGE RATE 61
EXTERNAL DEBT 63
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES 65
GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS 69
F. FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE BSP
BALANCE SHEET 71
INCOME STATEMENT 72
G. CHALLENGES AND FUTURE POLICY DIRECTIONS 73 ANNEXES 79
STATISTICAL TABLES
11
MAIN REPORT
A. Real Sector
Aggregate Supply and Demand
The Philippine economy sustained its momentum in
Q4 2012 despite a challenging external environment.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) registered a
6.8 percent growth, faster than the 4.0 percent expansion
recorded in Q4 2011. On the production side, the services
sector continued to drive economic growth, while on the
expenditure side, growth was spurred by the expansion of
transportation, storage and communication as well as real
estate, renting and business activities. Meanwhile, the
country’s real Gross National Income (GNI) grew by
5.4 percent during the quarter, faster compared to the
4.5 percent during the previous year. However, the
expansion in net primary income decelerated to
0.9 percent during the review period from 6.2 percent in
the previous year.
GDP by industry
The services sector grew by 6.9 percent in Q4 2012 after
expanding by 5.9 percent a year ago. The services sector,
which accounted for 55.6 percent of GDP, contributed
3.8 percentage points to the 6.8 percent GDP growth.
Major contributors to the services sector’s strong
performance were transportation, storage and
The Philippine economy grows at a solid pace.
Services continue to drive output expansion.
Real Gross Domestic Product andReal Gross National Incomeannual growth rates in percent
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Real GDP Real GNI
20112010 2012
12
communication as well as real estate, renting and
business activities, supported by heightened business
activities across the country and robust sales of dwellings
and renting of real properties.
The industry sector likewise expanded by 7.5 percent, an
increase from the 3.4 percent growth in the previous year.
The industry sector, which accounted for 32.4 percent of
total GDP, contributed 2.4 percentage points to GDP
growth. Construction led the industry sector as output
growth accelerated to 18.4 percent due largely to the
expansion in private sector construction. The acceleration
of the industry sector was also propelled by the favorable
performance of mining and quarrying, and manufacturing.
The growth in mining and quarrying was due to the
recovery of nickel and other non‐metallic mining.
The agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing sector grew
by 4.7 percent after contracting by 2.5 percent a year ago.
This sector, which comprised 12.0 percent of total GDP,
contributed 0.6 percentage point to GDP growth. Overall
agricultural output was driven by increased palay, corn
and sugar cane production.
GDP by expenditure
On the expenditure side, government final consumption
expenditure increased by 9.1 percent, accelerating from
7.6 percent a year ago. The improvement in government
final consumption expenditure was due to the
Real GDP, By Industry annual growth rates in percent
‐3
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry Industry Services
20112010 2012
13
implementation of various banner programs and projects
of the government, including the Salary Standardization
Program. Meanwhile, exports registered a growth of
9.1 percent in Q4 2012 after contracting by 8.2 percent
the year before. The turnaround in exports was attributed
to improved global demand for Philippine‐made
manufactured goods. Household final consumption
expenditure also expanded during the period in review
due to the benign inflation environment and sustained
overseas Filipino (OF) remittances to household
beneficiaries.
Labor and Employment
Based on the results of the October 2012 Labor Force
Survey (LFS) of the National Statistics Office (NSO), the
unemployment rate increased slightly to 6.8 percent in
Q4 2012 from 6.4 percent in Q4 2011 (Table 2).
The level of employment fell by 2.3 percent year‐on‐year
(y‐o‐y), a reversal of the 5.7 percent increase registered in
the comparable period in 2011. The decline in the overall
level of employment was driven largely by the decline in
employment in the agriculture (5.5 percent) and services
(‐1.4 percent) sectors. Meanwhile, employment in the
industry sector continued to increase, recording a
1.8 percent growth. Of the 37.7 million total employed
persons, 52.5 percent were employed in the services
sector, while the agriculture and industry sectors
employed 32.3 percent and 15.2 percent, respectively.
Labor market conditions are stable.
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Underemployment Rate (RHS)Unemployment Rate (LHS)
Unemployment and Underemployment Ratesin percent
20112010 2012
14
The ratio of the underemployed to total employed
persons decreased to 19.0 percent during the review
period, from the 19.1 percent posted in the same period
in 2011. Of the 7.2 million underemployed persons, the
agriculture sector accounted for 44.3 percent, while the
services and industry sectors employed 40.5 percent and
15.2 percent, respectively.
Classified by status of employment, employment among
wage and salary workers grew by 1.5 percent, slower than
the 7.0 percent increase posted in the same period in
2011. By contrast, employment levels among the other
classes of workers declined: employer in own‐family
operated farm or business (‐8.5 percent from
7.1 percent), self‐employed workers (‐3.3 percent from
0.6 percent) and workers without pay in own‐family
operated farm or business (‐14.9 percent from
12.0 percent).1
B. Fiscal Sector
National Government Cash Operations
The cash operations of the national government (NG)
yielded a deficit of P138.9 billion in Q4 2012. This level is
lower by P5.9 billion relative to the shortfall incurred in
the same period in 2011. Nonetheless, it exceeded the
1 An employer is a person working in his own business, farm, profession or trade who has one or more regular paid employees, including paid family members. Unpaid family workers include persons who worked without pay on own family‐operated activities. Domestic helpers, family drivers and other household helpers who assist in the family‐operated business, regardless of time spent in this activity, are not hired employees in the enterprise/business. A retail store operator who is wholly assisted in the operation of his store by unpaid relatives living with him and who employs carpenters to construct a new building for his store (with store operator supervising the work) is not an employer. However, if an operator happens to be the owner or partner of a big firm which has its own construction unit to take care of its needs, the operator is an employer. (Source: http://www.bles.dole.gov.ph/)
NG cash operations yield a deficit.
15
programmed deficit of P95.8 billion for the review
quarter.
Total revenues for the review period reached
P416.0 billion, higher than the year‐ago level of
P342.9 billion due mainly to improved collections of
import duties by the Bureau of Customs (BOC). The
Q4 2012 revenue level is higher than the target level for
the quarter of P390.8 billion. Tax collections, which
constituted 87.6 percent of total revenues, amounted to
P364.3 billion, 17.3 percent and 1.6 percent higher than
the year‐ago level and the programmed tax revenue,
respectively, during the review period. Likewise, non‐tax
revenues and grants, which consisted mainly of
collections by the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr), rose by
62.1 percent from the year‐ago level and by 60.1 percent
vis‐à‐vis the programmed level for the review period.
Meanwhile, total expenditures reached P554.9 billion in
Q4 2012, 13.8 percent higher than the P487.6 billion
expenditures incurred a year ago, and 14.0 percent higher
than the P486.6 billion programmed expenditures for the
quarter. The bulk of expenditures was channeled to
infrastructure spending and capital outlays.
The NG’s net financing for the fourth quarter of 2012
amounted to P272.3 billion, significantly higher than the
programmed level of P91.0 billion for the quarter. The
net financing was sourced mainly from domestic
borrowings amounting to P253.0 billion. Meanwhile, the
‐150
‐75
075
150
225300375
450
525
600
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Revenues Expenditures Surplus/(Deficit)
2010
Cash Operations of the National Governmentin billion pesos
2011 2012
Surplus/(Deficit): Actual vs. Programin billion pesos
‐150‐135‐120‐105‐90‐75‐60‐45‐30‐1501530
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Actual Program
2010 2011 2012
16
NG recorded external obligations amounting to
P19.3 billion in the review quarter. The net financing was
based on a gross financing mix ratio of 94:06, in favor of
domestic sourcing.
Moving forward, the NG will continue to pursue fiscal
consolidation in the medium term by supporting
legislative initiatives to raise revenues and widen the tax
base while pursuing parallel efforts to reinforce tax
administration and ensure an efficient expenditure
management program.
C. Monetary Sector
Prices
Year‐on‐year headline inflation decelerated to 2.9 percent
in Q4 2012 from the quarter‐ago and year‐ago rates of
3.5 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively. This brought
the average inflation rate in 2012 to 3.2 percent, which is
within the Government’s inflation target range of
3‐5 percent for 2012.
The slowdown in headline inflation was due largely to
lower food prices, notably vegetables and oils, on the
back of ample domestic supply. Lower non‐food inflation,
owing to lower electricity rates, was also recorded during
the quarter.
Inflation decelerates due largely to slower food inflation.
Food and Non‐Food Inflation (2006=100)in percent
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Headline InflationFood InflationNon‐Food Inflation
2010 2011 2012
17
On a quarter‐on‐quarter (q‐o‐q) basis, headline inflation
decreased to 0.2 percent in Q4 2012 from 1.1 percent in
Q3 2012.
Similarly, core inflation, which excludes some food and
energy items to measure generalized price pressures,
decreased to 3.4 percent in Q4 2012 from 4.1 percent in
the previous quarter and 4.5 percent a year ago. All
alternative measures of core inflation estimated by the
BSP likewise declined in Q4 2012 relative to the rates
registered in the previous quarter. In particular, the
trimmed mean, weighted median, and the net of volatile
items measures declined to 3.1 percent, 3.0 percent, and
3.4 percent, respectively, from the previous quarter’s
3.3 percent, 3.2 percent, and 3.9 percent.
Food inflation decreased to 2.3 percent in Q4 2012
compared to the quarter‐ago and year‐ago rates of
3.0 percent and 5.0 percent, respectively. Ample domestic
supply of key food items, particularly vegetables, oils, fish,
and fruits, led to the slowdown of food inflation in
Q4 2012. The inflation rate of vegetables, oils, fish, and
fruits declined to ‐3.5 percent, ‐4.9 percent, 5.9 percent,
and 5.2 percent, respectively, from the quarter‐ago rates
of 5.8 percent, ‐4.5 percent, 6.9 percent, and 7.2 percent.
Likewise, non‐food inflation went down to 3.4 percent
during the review quarter from 3.7 percent in the
previous quarter and 4.6 percent a year ago. Lower
inflation for electricity, gas and other fuels supported the
Lower prices of vegetables and oils drive down food inflation.
Core Inflation also declines.
Alternative Core Inflation Measuresquarterly averages of year‐on‐year change
QuarterOfficial Core
Inflation
Trimmed
Mean 1Weighted
Median 2
Net of Volatile
Items 3
2010 3.6 2.8 2.7 3.7
Q1 3.4 3.0 2.8 3.2Q2 3.7 2.6 2.5 3.8Q3 3.9 2.8 2.8 4.1Q4 3.6 2.8 2.6 3.9
2011 4.3 3.8 3.1 3.6
Q1 4.0 3.3 2.9 3.7Q2 4.3 4.0 3.1 3.7Q3 4.4 4.0 3.2 3.5Q4 4.5 3.8 3.1 3.6
2012 3.7 3.1 3.0 3.4
Q1 3.5 3.0 2.6 3.0Q2 3.7 3.0 3.2 3.3Q3 4.1 3.3 3.2 3.9Q4 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.4
1 The trimmed mean represents the average inflation rate of the (weighted) middle 70 percent in a
lowest‐to‐highest ranking of year‐on‐year inflation rates for all CPI components.2 The weighted median represents the middle inflation rate (corresponding to a cumulative CPI
weight of 50 percent) in a lowest‐to‐highest ranking of year‐on‐year inflation rates.3 The net of volatile items method excludes the following items: educational services, fruits and
vegetables, personal services, rentals, recreational services, rice and corn. The series has been
recomputed using a new methodology that is aligned with NSO's method of computing the official
core inflation, which re‐weights remaining items to comprise 100 percent of the core basket after
excluding non‐core items. The previous methodology retained the weights of volatile items in the
CPI basket while keeping their indices constant at 100.0 from month to month.
Source: NSO, BSP estimates
18
decline in non‐food inflation. In particular, from
6.7 percent in Q3 2012, electricity, gas and other fuels
inflation decelerated to 3.6 percent in Q4 2012 due to
lower electricity charges.
In terms of geographical location, the headline inflation
rates for both Metro Manila (MM) and areas outside
Metro Manila (AOMM) were lower at 2.7 percent and
3.0 percent, respectively, relative to the quarter‐ago rates
of 3.6 percent and 3.5 percent.
In MM, food inflation decreased to 1.6 percent in Q4 2012
from 3.7 percent in the previous quarter given lower
prices of vegetables as well as oils and fats. Slower price
increases of selected food items such as corn, fish, milk,
and fruits also supported the deceleration of food
inflation. Likewise, non‐food inflation went down to
3.1 percent from 3.7 percent in Q3 2012 due largely to
lower inflation for housing, water, electricity, gas and
other fuels.
In AOMM, food inflation fell to 2.4 percent from
2.9 percent in Q3 2012 due mainly to the decrease in
prices of vegetables and oils. Slower increases in the
prices of fish and fruits also contributed to the decline in
food inflation. Non‐food inflation in AOMM, likewise,
decreased slightly to 3.4 percent in Q4 2012 from
3.5 percent in the previous quarter due to slower
increases in the prices of housing, water, electricity, gas
and other fuels.
Inflation is lower in both MM and AOMM.
Inflation Rate (2006=100)in percent
2
3
4
5
6
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Philippines NCR Areas Outside the NCR
2010 2011 2012
19
On a q‐o‐q basis, headline inflation in MM went down to
‐0.2 percent in Q4 2012 compared to 1.5 percent in the
previous quarter. Headline inflation in AOMM also slowed
down to 0.2 percent from 1.0 percent in Q3 2012.
Domestic Liquidity 2
Demand for money or M3 continued to grow by
10.6 percent y‐o‐y as of end‐December 2012 to reach
P5.2 trillion. This growth was faster than the 7.5 percent
expansion as of end‐September 2012 (Table 5).
The increase in M3 was driven by the expansion in net
domestic assets (NDA) by 19.2 percent y‐o‐y in December
2012 from 7.5 percent in September, owing largely to the
sustained increase in net domestic credits. Credits
extended to the private sector grew by 17.8 percent,
consistent with robust lending activity by commercial
banks, while credits to the public sector fell by
14.0 percent.
Meanwhile, net foreign assets (NFA) decreased slightly by
0.1 percent y‐o‐y in December after rising by 1.3 percent
in September. The steady increase in the BSP’s
international reserves, owing mainly to robust foreign
exchange inflows from overseas remittances and
portfolio investments, contributed to the growth in NFA.
However, the NFA of banks contracted further as banks’
foreign liabilities continued to increase due to higher
2 The indicators used for money supply are: M1 (or narrow money), comprised of currency in circulation and demand deposits; M2, composed of M1 plus savings and time deposits (quasi‐money); M3, consisting of M2 plus deposit substitutes; and M4, consisting of M3 plus foreign currency deposits.
Domestic liquidity expands further.
Dec‐12 Sep‐12 Dec‐11Quarter‐
on‐Quarter
Year‐on‐Year
Domestic Liquidity (M3) 5,171.7 4,682.1 4,674.3 10.5 10.6of which:
Net Foreign Assets (NFA) 3,246.7 3,302.6 3,251.1 ‐1.7 ‐0.1
Net Domestic Assets (NDA) 2,973.9 2,433.0 2,494.6 22.2 19.2of which:
Credits to the Public Sector 1,336.9 1,401.1 1,554.4 ‐4.6 ‐14.0
Credits to the Private Sector 3,993.8 3,674.6 3,391.1 8.7 17.8
Domestic Liquidity
Particulars
Levels (in billion pesos) Growth Rates (in %)
20
placements and deposits made by foreign banks with
their local branches, while their foreign assets decreased
due to the decline in loan receivables from foreign banks.
M4, a broader concept of domestic liquidity which
comprises M3 and foreign currency deposits of residents,
grew by 8.5 percent y‐o‐y in December from 6.0 percent
in September.
Domestic Interest Rates
Positive investor sentiment from the country’s strong
macroeconomic fundamentals, manageable inflation
outlook, and high domestic liquidity pulled down the
interest rates on government securities in both primary
and secondary markets in Q4 2012. The average 91‐day,
182‐day and 364‐day Treasury bill (T‐bill) rates in the
primary market decreased markedly in the review period
by 111 bps, 115 bps and 140 bps, respectively, from their
levels in the previous quarter.
Similarly, secondary market yields of government
securities (GS) for all maturities, except for the 2‐year and
the 20‐year tenors, declined as of end‐December
compared to their end‐September rates, supported by
positive investor sentiment, low inflation environment,
and heightened expectations of the country’s credit rating
upgrade to investment grade. Rates declined by a range of
8 bps (3‐year) to 71 bps (7‐year).
Yield of short‐term secondary T‐bills falls.
Domestic market interest rates decline.
Yield Curve for Government Securitiesin percent
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
3 mo 6 mo 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr 7 yr 10 yr 20 yr 25 yr
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
M4: Domestic Liquidity and FCDsvalue in billion pesos; share in percent
M384%
FCDs16%
M382%
FCDs18%
end‐December 2012end‐December 2011
P991.2 B
P4.674.3 B P5,171.7 B
P1,006.1 B
21
The Monetary Board (MB) reduced further the BSP’s key
policy rates by 25 bps to 3.50 percent for the overnight
borrowing or reverse repurchase (RRP) facility and
5.50 percent for the overnight lending or repurchase (RP)
facility during its policy meeting on 25 October 2012. This
brought the cumulative policy rate reduction for the year
to 100 bps.
Consistent with the reduction of the BSP policy rates,
market interest rates decreased during the review
quarter. Manila reference rates, bank lending rates and
savings deposit rates declined by 113 bps, 3 bps, and
3 bps, respectively.
Following the decline in the short‐term T‐bill rate, the
differential between domestic and the United States (US)
interest rates, gross of tax, narrowed in Q4 2012 relative
to the previous quarter. However, the differential
between the RP 91‐day T‐bill rate and the US 90‐day
LIBOR, net of tax, turned negative as the decline in the
domestic interest rates was larger than the fall in the
foreign interest rate. The average RP T‐bill rate went
down significantly by 111 bps compared to the previous
quarter while the average US 90‐day T‐bill rate and US
90‐day LIBOR decreased by 3 bps and 10 bps, respectively.
The decline in US interest rates may be attributed to the
favorable Q3 2012 US GDP estimate along with solid
employment and confidence readings during the review
period.
22
The positive differential between the BSP RRP rate and
the US federal funds target rate narrowed to 325 bps
during the review period, following the 25‐bps reduction
in the BSP’s key interest rates in October. Adjusted for
the risk premium, the spread between the BSP’s policy
rate and the US federal funds target rate declined to
232 bps in end‐December from 238 bps in
end‐September. This development may be traced to the
19‐bps decline in the risk premium given the 16 bps
decline in the 10‐year RP yield relative to the 3 bps rise in
the 10‐year US yield.
Monetary Policy Developments
During its policy meeting on 25 October 2012, the BSP
decided to reduce its key policy interest rates by 25 basis
points (bps) to 3.50 percent for the overnight borrowing
or reverse repurchase (RRP) facility and 5.50 percent for
the overnight lending or repurchase (RP) facility. The
interest rates on term RRPs, RPs, and special deposit
accounts (SDAs) were also reduced accordingly. The
October cut was the fourth time in 2012, bringing the
cumulative policy rate reduction to 100 bps.
The Monetary Board’s (MB) policy rate decision was
based on its assessment that the inflation environment
continued to be benign. Latest baseline forecasts
indicated that that the future inflation path remained
within target for 2012 to 2014, with inflation expectations
aligned to the inflation target over the policy horizon.
The BSP cuts policy rates early in the quarter…
Interest rate differentials narrow.
23
The risks to the inflation outlook were expected to be
broadly balanced. However, pending electricity rate
adjustments and expectations of higher prices for some
food products were seen to pose some upward pressures
on inflation. Nonetheless, subdued global demand was
projected to moderate upward pressures on international
commodity prices, thus tempering the overall outlook for
inflation.
At the same time, the MB noted that global economic
prospects continued to face considerable headwinds.
World economic conditions were seen to remain tepid as
fiscal and financial sector stresses in advanced economies
continued to dampen market confidence. The domestic
underpinnings of Philippine economic growth remained
firm. However, additional policy support could help ward
off the risks associated with weaker external demand by
encouraging domestic investment and consumption.
On balance, therefore, the manageable inflation outlook
provided room for a reduction in policy rates that would
help buffer domestic demand against global economic
strains.
Meanwhile, with the view that prevailing monetary policy
settings were appropriate, supported by the manageable
inflation outlook and robust domestic growth, the BSP, at
its policy meeting on 13 December 2012, decided to
maintain its policy rates at 3.50 percent for the overnight
borrowing or RRP facility and 5.50 percent for the
… and thereafter maintains its monetary policy stance.
24
overnight lending or RP facility. The interest rates on
term RRPs, RPs, and SDAs were also maintained
accordingly. The reserve requirement ratios were kept
steady as well.
The MB’s decision was based on its assessment that
prevailing monetary settings remained appropriate as the
cumulative 100‐bp reduction in policy rates in 2012
continued to work its way through the economy. The MB
observed that the domestic economic growth had gained
pace on the back of strong domestic demand and buoyant
business sentiment. The growth of real GDP was stronger
than expected in Q3 2012, driven by private spending and
fiscal stimulus, particularly on infrastructure and social
protection programs. Adequate liquidity and strong bank
lending were also expected to continue to support
domestic economic activity and sustain the economy’s
momentum in the coming months.
In line with the inflation targeting approach to the
conduct of monetary policy, the Development Budget
Coordination Committee (DBCC), during its meeting on
28 November 2012, decided to maintain the current
inflation target at 4.0 percent ± 1.0 percent for 2013‐2014
and reduce the inflation target for 2015‐2016 to
3.0 percent ± 1.0 percent. The decision to reduce the
medium‐term inflation target for 2015‐2016 is consistent
with the desired disinflation path over the medium term,
favorable trends in the structure of inflation, and
The DBCC reduces the inflation target for 2015‐2016.
25
expected higher capacity of the economy for growth
under a low inflation environment.
D. Financial Sector
The Philippine banking system remained resilient amid
the worsening sovereign crises in Europe and the
lackluster global environment. Banks’ core balance sheets
were marked by a steady growth in assets, loans, deposit
base and capital accounts. Asset quality continued to
improve, and solvency ratios remained at par with
international standards.
Performance of the Banking System
Market Size
The number of banking institutions (head offices) fell to
705 as of end‐September 2012 from the quarter‐ and
year‐ago levels of 712 and 730, respectively, indicating
continued consolidation of banks as well as the exit of
weaker players in the banking system (Table 7).
By banking classification, banks (head offices) consisted of
37 universal and commercial banks (U/KBs), 69 thrift
banks (TBs), and 599 rural banks (RBs). Meanwhile, the
operating network (including branches) of the banking
system increased to 9,301 in Q3 2012 from 9,207 in
Q2 2012 and 8,965 during the same period in 2011, due
mainly to the increase in the branches/agencies of UKBs.
The Philippine banking system remains sound and stable.
Number of banks declines but operating network continues to expand.
26
The total resources of the banking system rose by
6.5 percent to P8.1 trillion as of end‐December 2012
(Table 8). The increase could be traced to the growth in
loans, securities, and other equities, indicative of the
public’s continued trust in the banking system. U/KBs
accounted for nearly 90 percent of the total resources of
the banking system.
Savings Mobilization
Savings and time deposits remained the primary sources
of funds for banks. Banks’ total deposits3 as of
end‐December 2012 amounted to P4.5 trillion,
11.3 percent higher than the year‐ago level of
P4.1 trillion. The continued growth in deposits reflected
depositors’ sustained confidence in the banking system.
Savings deposits registered a 9.6 percent growth and
continued to account for nearly half of the funding base
of banks. Meanwhile, demand deposits expanded by
7.4 percent y‐o‐y, while time deposits increased by
18.2 percent from the level posted a year ago.
Bank Lending Operations
Outstanding loans of commercial banks, net of banks' RRP
placements with the BSP as of end‐December 2012, grew
by 16.2 percent y‐o‐y and by 8.0 percent compared to the
level as of end‐September 2012. Likewise, outstanding
loans of commercial banks, inclusive of RRPs, expanded
3 This refers to the total peso‐denominated deposits of the banking system.
Bank lending continues to grow.
Deposit Liabilities of Banksin billion pesos
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
Demand Savings Time
2010 2011 2012
27
by 15.4 percent y‐o‐y and by 6.8 percent q‐o‐q.
Commercial banks' loans have been growing steadily at
double‐digit growth rates since January 2011.
Robust credit expansion supported the domestic
economy in the midst of subdued global growth.
Loans for production activities, which comprised more
than four‐fifths of commercial banks’ total loan portfolio,
grew by 16.6 percent. However, the expansion was lower
than the 20.1 percent y‐o‐y growth registered during the
same period last year. The growth in production loans was
driven mainly by increased lending to health and social
work (54.8 percent); construction (51.3 percent); financial
intermediation (38.5 percent); transportation, storage
and communication (37.5 percent); and education
(35.5 percent). Similarly, the growth in consumer loans
also increased to 14.1 percent, reflecting the rapid rise in
lending across all types of consumer loans.
Credit Card Receivables
The combined credit card receivables (CCRs) of U/KBs and
TBs as of end‐June 2012, inclusive of credit card
subsidiaries, rose by nearly 13.0 percent to P136.6 billion
relative to last year’s level, further boosting the growth in
household consumption. CCRs also went up by
3.6 percent compared to the level at the end of the
previous quarter. Meanwhile, the ratio of CCRs to the
total loan portfolio (TLP) slightly dipped to 3.7 percent
from 3.8 percent compared to the previous quarter.
Credit card receivables continue to increase.
Loans Outstanding of Commercial Banks (Gross of RRPs)in trillion pesos
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.2
3.4
3.6
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42010 2011 2012
28
The non‐performing CCRs of U/KBs and TBs, inclusive of
credit card subsidiaries, increased by 3.1 percent to
P15.1 billion from last quarter’s P14.6 billion. As to loan
quality, the ratio of non‐performing CCRs to total CCRs
slightly decreased to 11.0 percent from the previous
quarter’s 11.1 percent, as the growth in non‐performing
CCRs was outpaced by the total increment in CCRs.
Nevertheless, this quarter’s delinquency ratio was still
better than the 12.8 percent recorded a year ago.
Auto Loans
The combined auto loans (ALs) of U/KBs and TBs, inclusive
of non‐bank subsidiaries, increased by 4.0 percent to
P150.3 billion as of end‐June 2012 from the previous
quarter’s P144.8 billion and by 17.2 percent from
P128.2 billion a year ago. Consumers’ continued
confidence in the economy as well as the aggressive
marketing strategies of banks and other car financing
firms sustained the rise in automobile purchases. The
proportion of total ALs to TLP, exclusive of interbank loans
(IBL), was slightly lower at 4.1 percent than last quarter’s
ratio of 4.2 percent. In terms of loan quality, ratios of
non‐performing ALs to total ALs increased to 4.4 percent
from previous quarter’s 4.3 percent and the
non‐performing ALs to TLP remained unchanged at
0.2 percent.
Consumers’ continued confidence in the economy helps sustain demand for automobiles.
29
Residential Real Estate Loans
As of end‐June 2012, the combined residential real estate
loans (RRELs) of U/KBs and TBs rose by 5.1 percent to
P244.4 billion from the previous quarter’s P232.6 billion,
and 23.2 percent higher than last year's P198.4 billion.
The continued bullishness in the real estate market as
indicated by the increase in the number of projects
unveiled by real estate developers as well as banks’
intensified promotional campaigns in terms of offering
lower interest rates, supported more real estate
purchases during the review period. The ratio of RRELs to
TLP remained steady at about 6.7 percent q‐o‐q.
By industry, U/KBs held a bigger slice of the total
residential real estate exposure at 57.4 percent
(P140.3 billion) while TBs accounted for the remaining
42.6 percent (P104.1 billion). In terms of loan quality, the
ratio of non‐performing RRELs to total RRELs of U/KBs and
TBs eased to 4.0 percent from the last quarter’s
4.2 percent and was better than the year ago’s
5.1 percent ratio.
Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy
The banking system’s asset quality continued to improve
as the NPL ratio sustained its downward path, easing to
2.6 percent as of end‐October 2012 from 3.2 percent in
the comparable period in 2011 (Table 9). Banks’ initiatives
to improve asset quality, along with prudent lending
regulations, helped bring the NPL ratio to below its
Asset quality continues to improve as the NPL ratio eases.
Continued bullishness in the property market supports real estate purchases.
30
pre‐Asian crisis level of around 3.5 percent. The low NPL
ratio reflected the 8.7 percent decline in the level of NPLs
combined with the 13.8 percent expansion in the banking
industry’s TLP. The NPL level dropped to P103.3 billion as
of end‐October 2012 from P113.2 billion during the same
period in 2011, while TLP expanded to P4.0 trillion from
P3.5 trillion during the same period in the previous year.
The Philippine banking system’s NPL ratio of 2.6 percent is
the same as that of Thailand but higher compared to
Indonesia’s 2.0 percent, Malaysia’s 2.1 percent, and South
Korea’s 0.5 percent.4 The lower NPL ratios of Malaysia and
South Korea were attributed to the creation of
publicly‐owned asset management companies (AMCs)
that purchased the bulk of their NPLs, a practice not
resorted to in the Philippines.
The loan exposures of banks remained adequately
covered as the banking system’s NPL coverage ratio
improved to 114.0 percent as of end‐October 2012 from
99.0 percent in the preceding year. The ratio was
indicative of banks’ continued compliance with the
loan‐loss provisioning requirements of the BSP to ensure
adequate buffers against unexpected losses.
As of end‐March 2012, the commercial banking industry
average CARs stood at 16.9 percent and 18.0 percent on
solo and consolidated bases, which were both higher than
last year’s 16.4 percent and 17.4 percent, respectively.
4 Sources: Various central bank websites, IMF and financial stability reports, Indonesia (commercial banks, Q3 2012); Malaysia (commercial banks, Q3 2012); Thailand (banking system, Q1 2012); and Korea (banking system, Q4 2011).
Ratio of Non‐Performing Loans to Total Loans of the Banking Systemin percent
2.5
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.5
3.7
3.9
4.1
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Oct2010 2011 2012
31
The industry raised its capital to support an increase in
assumed risks. Banks either retained earnings or issued
capital instruments to match the rise in their
risk‐weighted assets (RWAs). RWAs rose due to higher
corporate and consumer loans and to investments in debt
securities issued by unrated counterparties. The rise in
lending can be attributed to the low interest rate
environment.
The Philippine banking system’s CAR on a consolidated
basis at 17.6 percent as of end‐December 2011 was
higher than those of Indonesia (17.5 percent), Thailand
(14.8 percent), Malaysia (17.2 percent) and South Korea
(14.0 percent).5
Meanwhile, the CARs of the Philippine banking system
remained healthy and above the BSP’s minimum ratio of
10 percent and the Basel Accord’s standard ratio of
8 percent despite continued global difficulties. The
system‐wide average CARs stood at 16.7 percent on solo
basis and 17.6 percent on consolidated basis as of
end‐December 2011, which were both 0.2 percentage
point higher than the CARs posted as of end‐September
2011.
As of end‐June 2012, the U/KB banking industry average
CARs stood at 16.9 percent and 18.06 percent on solo and
consolidated bases, respectively, which were both higher
than the previous year’s 16.3 percent and 17.3 percent.
5 Sources: Various central bank websites, IMF and financial stability reports, Indonesia (commercial banks, Q3 2012); Thailand (banking system Q1 2012); Malaysia (commercial banks, Q3 2012); and Korea (banking system, Q4 2011).
Banks remain adequately capitalized, with their average CARs exceeding prescribed levels set by the BSP and the BIS.
Capital Adequacy Ratio of the Banking Systemin percent
15.0
15.5
16.0
16.5
17.0
17.5
18.0
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec2009 2010 2011
32
The industry raised its capitalization to support an
increase in assumed risks. Banks either retained earnings
or issued capital instruments to match the rise in their
risk‐weighted assets (RWAs). RWAs rose due to higher
corporate and consumer loans and to investments in debt
securities issued by unrated counterparties. The rise in
lending can be attributed to the low interest rate
environment.
The Philippine banking system’s CAR on a consolidated
basis at 17.6 percent was higher than those of Indonesia
(17.5 percent), Thailand (14.8 percent), Malaysia
(17.2 percent), and South Korea (14.0 percent).6
Banking Policies
Banking policies implemented during the quarter were
aimed at strengthening regulations and guidelines on:
1) merger or consolidation incentives; 2) guarantees
issued by banks/quasi‐banks; 3) documentary
requirements for establishing banks and acquisition of
significant ownership of voting shares of stock of banks;
4) opening of approved but unopened branches; and
5) qualification requirements of selling agents and/or
market makers of Long‐Term Negotiable Certificates of
Time Deposits and/or Unsecured Subordinated Debt.
Banking policies were likewise meant to enhance the
definitions of: 1) Non‐performing loans (NPLs); and
2) “Reasonable Period of Time" relative to the
6 Sources: Various central bank websites and financial stability reports, Indonesia (commercial banks, Q3 2012); Thailand (banking system, Q1 2012); Malaysia (commercial banks, Q3 2012); and Korea (banking system, Q4 2011).
Banking policies implemented aim to strengthen and enhance existing regulations.
33
requirement on the listing of shares in the Philippine
Stock Exchange (PSE) (Annex A).
Capital Market Reforms
Capital market policy reforms continued to gain ground in
Q4 2012 as the BSP and the private sector adopted
measures to develop further the Philippine capital
market. During the quarter, the reforms focused more on
enhancing transparency and corporate governance as well
as strengthening prudential regulations (see Annex B).
Stock Market
During Q4 2012, the Philippine Stock Exchange index
(PSEi) pushed past the 5,800 mark and set 18 new historic
highs. The 30‐stock composite index increased by
5.8 percent q‐o‐q or by 31.0 percent y‐o‐y to average
5,552.59 index points during the period in review. Positive
investor outlook on the Philippine economy lifted trading
in the local bourse.
In October, the index rallied over the upbeat outlook for
the Philippine economy following a robust Q3 growth, the
peace pact inked between the Philippine government and
Muslim insurgents, and Moody’s upgrade of the
Philippine sovereign credit rating to Ba1.
A better‐than‐expected hike in US retail sales in
September and news of the strong corporate earnings of
big‐name firms in the US also helped lift the index.
The BSP continues to collaborate with with government agencies and the private sector in developing the capital market.
Local stocks continued to rally amid the upbeat outlook for the Philippine economy.
Average PSEi 1in index points
0500
1,0001,500
2,0002,5003,0003,500
4,0004,5005,0005,5006,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42010 2011 2012
1Average of the monthly closingindex during the quarter
34
However, the persistence of the euro region’s debt crisis,
which eroded investor confidence and clouded global
growth prospects, somewhat dampened market
sentiment. The index closed at 5,424.51 on 31 October,
higher by 24.1 percent year‐to‐date.
In November, the stock index breached the 5,600 mark,
driven by investors’ optimism over the Philippine
economy, lower‐than‐expected inflation of 3.1 percent in
October, positive corporate earnings reported for the
previous quarter, and reports of a 22.8 percent growth in
Philippine exports in September. The proposed merger
between BPI and PNB and the Senate’s approval of the sin
tax bill, which is expected to provide P39.5 billion in
additional revenues to the government, also boosted
trading in the market. However, gains were partly
tempered by worries that the slowdown in global growth
could be compounded by the looming US fiscal cliff, a
sharp deceleration in Germany, and the continued
slowdown of the Japanese economy. The PSEi defied the
pessimism that gripped the regional market as it closed at
5,640.45 index points on 29 November 2012.
As the year drew to a close, the bellweather index
surpassed the 5,700 and 5,800 thresholds, lifted by
positive investors’ outlook on the Philippine economy, its
manageable inflation, S&P’s upgrade of the country’s
rating outlook from stable to positive, and seasonal
year‐end window‐dressing. These offset market concerns
over the US fiscal impasse and saw the local index close at
0
2,0004,000
6,0008,000
10,00012,00014,000
16,00018,00020,00022,000
24,00026,000
Financials Industrial HoldingFirms
Property Services Mining &Oil
PSEI
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
PSEi and Sectoral Indicesin index points, end‐of‐period averages
35
5,812.73 index points on 28 December 2012, higher by
32.5 percent year‐to‐date.
During the quarter, other stock market indicators
reflected investors’ improved risk appetite for local
shares. Mirroring the rise in the local stock index, total
stock market capitalization rose by 3.7 percent q‐o‐q and
25.7 percent y‐o‐y, to reach P10.9 trillion by
end‐December 2012.7 Robust trading was also reflected
in the 33.3 percent rise in the average daily value
turnover to P7.9 billion in Q4 2012 from P5.9 billion in the
previous quarter. Positive investor sentiment was also
reflected in the increased participation of foreign
investors in the local bourse as they accounted for
48.5 percent of total transactions, with net purchases
amounting to P14.8 billion during the quarter. Moreover,
the price‐earnings ratio of listed issues continued to rise
from 17.3x in September to 18.0x in December, making
local shares one of the most expensive in the region. 8
Meanwhile, most stock markets in the region also rallied
during the quarter in review. Of the nine Asian national
stock indices monitored, eight rose relative to the
previous quarter. The rally was led by Hong Kong, whose
average composite stock index increased by 9.7 percent
q‐o‐q. This was followed by New Zealand (8.6 percent),
the Philippines (7.2 percent), Thailand (6.8 percent),
Australia and Indonesia (3.8 percent), Singapore
7 Total market capitalization measures the aggregate value of the issued shares of listed firms in the Philippine Stock Exchange. 8 The P/E ratio looks at the relationship between the stock price and the company’s earnings. It is computed as the ratio of market capitalization over the last four quarters’ net income. Essentially, it gives an idea of what investors are willing to pay for the company’s earnings.
Most stock markets in the region also rally...
Other stock market indicators were also on the uptrend.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
Indonesia Singapore PhilippinesHong Kong China Malaysia Thailand
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Selected Asian Stock Indicesin index points
36
(0.7 percent), and Malaysia (0.2 percent). Only the
Shanghai composite index showed a decline of
0.2 percent, reflecting weaker risk appetite due to the
slowdown in China’s economy.
Bond Market
Size and Composition9
Local currency (LCY) bonds issued by both the public and
private sectors amounted to P305.7 billion in the fourth
quarter of 2012, almost three times higher than the
P116.9 billion registered in the same period in 2011 and
up by 9.6 percent from the P278.9 billion posted in the
previous quarter.
Public sector issuances aggregated P289.5 billion, higher
by 14.9 percent than the previous quarter’s level on the
back of the NG’s issuance of Retail Treasury Bonds (RTBs)
and the increased issuances of fixed‐rate Treasury bonds
(T‐bonds) and Treasury bills (T‐bills). This is in contrast
with the quarter‐on‐quarter drop in the private sector’s
issuances to P16.2 billion, a 39.9 percent decline from Q3
2012 and a 48.9 percent drop from Q4 2011. Private
corporate opted to source some of their financing needs
from the international debt markets to take advantage of
the low interest rate environment.
9 This refers to the peso‐denominated bond issuances by both public and private sectors. Public sector issuances of LCY bonds include issuances in the primary market and rollovers of maturing series which were issued by the BTr and agencies owned and controlled by the government. This excludes issuances by the central bank.
Issuances of LCY bonds continue to remain robust.
95%
5%
Local Currency Bond Issuances(Oct‐Dec 2012)
Public
Private Corp
37
In terms of market share, the public sector comprised
95 percent of total bond issuances during the quarter
while the private sector accounted for the remaining 5
percent.
Retail Treasury Bonds accounted for the bulk of total
public issuances. Meanwhile, issuances from the private
sector consisted largely of bonds and notes and
certificates of deposits with issuances.
Primary Market 10
In the primary auctions conducted during the quarter,
demand for T‐bills and T‐bonds remained robust with
investors tendering more than the National Government’s
(NG) programmed borrowings for both short‐ and
long‐dated securities. The amount of tenders reached
P212.7 billion against the NG’s offerings of P64.5 billion.
Due to ample liquidity, the NG awarded bids short of the
programmed offerings for both T‐bond and T‐bill auctions,
with the NG accepting P62.1 billion worth of T‐bills and
T‐bonds (against the programmed P64.5 billion) while
rejecting P150.6 billion bids to keep the NG’s debt
servicing costs manageable.
In addition to the regular T‐bills and T‐bonds issuances,
the NG likewise raised P188.0 billion from its second
auction for the year of the 25‐year (2037)
10 The discussion includes primary market for government issuances only.
Results of GS Auctionsin billion pesos
2012 Offerings TendersAccepted
BidsRejected Bids
1st Quarter 108.0 249.7 82.0 167.7
T‐bills 54.0 86.3 37.0 49.3T‐bonds 54.0 163.4 45.0 118.4
2nd Quarter 97.5 138.0 51.5 86.6
T‐bills 52.5 79.0 28.4 50.6T‐bonds 45.0 59.1 23.1 36.0
3rd Quarter 108.0 317.0 106.3 210.7
T‐bills 45.0 112.1 43.3 68.8T‐bonds 63.0 204.9 63.0 141.9
4th Quarter 64.5 212.7 62.1 150.6
T‐bills 37.5 96.5 35.1 61.5T‐bonds 27.0 116.2 27.0 89.2Note: Excludes rollovers of maturing series.
Source: Bureau of the Treasury (BTr)
Apart from the regular T‐bill and T‐bond issuances, the NG issued RTBs, its second auction for the year.
38
peso‐denominated Retail Treasury Bonds (RTBs) in
October.11 Of the total, P63.0 billion was sold to GSEDs
and P125.0 billion to other selling agents during the 8‐day
public offering period.
Secondary Market
In the secondary market, trading of both government and
private corporate bonds rose to P1,678 billion, or up by
10.1 percent q‐o‐q and 59.3 percent y‐o‐y.
The continued favorable macroeconomic environment in
the Philippines, Moody’s rating upgrade, and S&P’s
revision in the country’s rating outlook to positive from
stable buoyed trading sentiment over the country’s debt
papers. Meanwhile, increasing signs of economic
stabilization in the US and positive developments in
Europe likewise contributed to the rise in the volume of
trade in the secondary market.
Furthermore, the corporate bond listings of San Miguel
Brewery Inc. and Ayala Corp. amounting to P3.0 billion
and P10.0 billion, respectively, likewise contributed to the
increase in trading in the secondary market.
11 The NG has previously raised P180 billion of 2027 and 2032 retail bonds in February 2012.
Trading increases for both government and corporate bonds in the secondary market.
‐
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1Q2005
2Q2005
3Q2005
4Q2005
1Q2006
2Q2006
3Q2006
4Q2006
1Q2007
2Q2007
3Q2007
4Q2007
1Q2008
2Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
3Q2010
4Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2012
4Q2012
Secondary Market Volume (In billion pesos)
39
Foreign Currency Bond Market
In November, the NG raised US$750.0 million 10‐year global
peso notes (GPNs) at a yield of 3.9 percent, lower than the
indicative price guidance of 4.1 percent. The issuance attracted
huge demand with tenders reaching US$5.85 billion, nearly
eight times more than the US$750.0 million issue size. The
proceeds from the GPNs were used to fund a partially buy‐back
program in November involving an estimated US$1.5 billion
worth of high coupon US dollar‐ and euro‐denominated debts,
as the NG sought to reduce reliance on foreign debt and help
dampen the peso’s appreciation.12
During the same month, the Philippines raised
US$500.0 million from the sale of 2023 US dollar‐denominated
bonds to local investors as part of the government’s efforts to
develop new funding sources. Demand for the 10.5‐year
Onshore Dollar Bond (ODB) exceeded the issue size by more
than three times with total tenders amounting to
US$1.74 billion, enabling the NG to fully award the planned
US$500‐million foreign‐denominated debt borrowings. The
issuance was also part of the government’s initiative to create
dollar demand and temper the peso’s appreciation.
In the private sector, SM Investment Corp. tapped the
international debt market by issuing US$500 million 7‐year
bond. The issuance was substantially oversubscribed, attracting
US$3.1 billion tenders from institutional and private banking
investors within the Philippines and across Asia and Europe.
12 To complete the target debt buy‐back program, the NG bought US dollars from the central bank, helping the BSP temper the peso’s rapid rise.
The NG and the private sector tap the international bond market on continued low interest rate environment.
40
Credit Risk Assessment
Moody’s Investor Service upgraded the foreign and local
currency long‐term bond ratings of the country to Ba1,
or one notch below investment grade, on 29 October
2012. The credit upgrade was based on the Philippines’
improved economic performance and its enhanced
prospects for growth over the medium term.
Meanwhile, Standard and Poor’s (S&P) likewise raised
the Philippines’ credit outlook to positive from stable on
20 December 2012, citing the country’s favorable political
situation, strong economic growth and robust external
profile. Institutional considerations also included the
signing of the “sin tax” reform measure and the approval
of the P2.006 trillion General Appropriations Act (GAP) for
2013. The GAP ensured that the government would
operate under a new budget to fund new and existing
programs.
Sovereign Spreads
Following the positive credit rating actions of Moody’s
and S&P, the country’s bond spreads narrowed generally
in Q4 2012. A string of favorable developments in Europe
and the US also led to increased demand for emerging
market assets such as ROPs. The EMBI+Philippine spreads,
or the extra yield investors demand to hold Philippine
debt securities over US Treasuries, tightened to 122 bps
during the review period from the previous quarter’s
average of 164 bps. Similarly, the credit default swap
S&P upgrades the Philippines’ sovereign credit rating to one notch below investment grade.
Debt spreads narrow.
as of December 2012
Rating AgencyLocal
Currency LT/ST
Foreign Currency LT/ST
Outlook
S&P BB+/B BB+/B Positive
Moody's Ba1/n.a. Ba1/n.a. Stable
Fitch BBB‐/n.a. BB+/B Stable
Philippine Sovereign Credit Ratings
Source: Reuters
41
(CDS) spread, or the cost of insuring the country’s 5‐year
sovereign bonds against default, fell to 103 bps in
Q4 2012 from 138 bps in the previous quarter.
The country’s CDS spreads also dropped below 100 bps,
for the first time, to 97.6 bps on 16 October and even
dipped to as low as 95.0 bps on 18 October, a major
achievement for a sovereign with credit ratings below
investment grade. Against those of neighboring
economies, the Philippine CDS traded lower than
Indonesia’s average of 130 bps but wider than Malaysia’s
75 bps and Thailand’s 92 bps.
Reports of the US showing more signs of economic
stabilization and risks in the EU tapering off sparked
risk‐buying sentiment and narrowed spreads significantly
during the quarter. In the US, improving macroeconomic
indicators boosted confidence in the market with CPI,
retail sales, corporate earnings, and employment coming
in above initial estimates. The re‐election of President
Obama in November and the Fed’s announcement of new
rounds of asset purchases in December likewise
contributed to the overall tightening in debt spreads.
In Europe, sentiment was buoyed by the ECB’s decision to
continue buying bonds of troubled euro zone states such
as Spain as well as by finance ministers’ decision to give
Greece two extra years to contain its budget deficit.
Worries eased further with Greece’s better‐than‐expected
terms for its debt buy‐back and Spain’s formal request for
European funds to help recapitalize its banking sector.
42
In Asia, improved macroeconomic data and proposals to
ease foreign investment restrictions in China, together
with the Japanese government’s commitment to
implement drastic monetary easing measures to fight
deflation contributed to the narrowing of debt spreads.
On the domestic side, the Philippines’
faster‐than‐expected economic expansion of 7.1 percent
in Q3 2012 supported the further tightening in debt
spread as the premiums for holding the country’s debt
papers declined significantly.
Towards the end of Q4 2012, however, some widening
pressures were observed on worries over the US fiscal
crisis. Debt spreads rose, albeit marginally, reflecting
concerns that US policymakers might not be able to avert
the series of tax increases and spending cuts that could
lead to a contraction in the world’s biggest economy.
Nonetheless, spreads remained generally low relative to
the previous quarter and to the same period a year ago.
Payments and Settlements System
In Q4 2012, the total volume of transactions that were
settled and processed in the Philippine Payments and
Settlements System (PhilPaSS) declined by 1.5 percent to
329,815 from the previous quarter’s level of 334,963. The
decline in the volume of transactions was due to the
decrease in the following: sales and purchases of
government securities via delivery‐versus‐payment (DvP)
PhilPaSS transactions decrease.
2011
Q4 Q3 Q4 Q‐o‐Q Y‐o‐YVolume 329,815 334,963 312,921 ‐1.5 5.4
Value (in trillion PhP) 98.4 89.4 77.9 10.1 26.2Transaction Fees (in million PhP) 37.2 42.3 39.0 ‐12.0 ‐4.7
PhilPass Transactions
Source: Payments and Settlements Office, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Growth Rates (%)2012
43
(‐20.5 percent); sales and purchases of foreign currency
(USD) via payment‐versus‐payment (PvP) (‐19.0 percent);
BSP Cash Department transactions (‐14.4 percent); and
tertiary transactions on government securities (GS) via
expanded delivery‐versus‐payment (eDvP)
(‐12.7 percent).
Despite the decrease in the total volume of transactions,
the total value of transactions recorded a q‐o‐q increase
of 10.1 percent to P98.4 trillion. The expansion in the total
transaction value was due to the increase in the following
accounts: Electronic Cash Withdrawal System (ECWS)
transactions (55.9 percent); Bancnet transactions
(47.3 percent); tertiary transactions on government
securities (GS) via expanded delivery‐versus‐payment
(eDvP) (24.7 percent); and BSP Treasury Department
transactions (22.2 percent).
On a y‐o‐y basis, the value and volume of transactions
increased by 26.2 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively.
As a result of the decrease in the volume of PhilPaSS
transactions in Q4 2012, the total revenues derived from
PhilPaSS operations reached P37.2 million for the quarter,
12.0 percent lower than the P38.7 million in the previous
quarter. On a y‐o‐y basis, total revenues decreased by
4.7 percent.
44
E. External Sector
Balance of Payments
The Philippines’ balance of payments (BOP) in Q4 2012
registered a surplus of US$3.4 billion, rising by more than
sevenfold compared to the US$458 million surplus in the
same period a year ago. This level represented
4.7 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product
(GDP), in contrast with the less than one percent share to
GDP in Q4 2011. The marked improvement in the
country’s external payments position emanated mainly
from the net borrowing of residents from the rest of the
world, a turnaround from the net lending recorded in the
same quarter a year ago, coupled with the higher net
receipts registered in the capital account. All these more
than compensated for the slightly lower current account
surplus. The financial account performed robustly in
Q4 2012 due to higher investment inflows arising from
the net incurrence of liabilities in the portfolio and other
investment accounts as investor sentiment improved
amid signs of stabilizing global economic conditions.
Meanwhile, the current account remained in surplus,
supported largely by higher net receipts in the secondary
income account (mainly workers’ remittances), and the
reduced deficit in the trade‐in‐goods account given the
stabilization of the economies of the country’s major
trading partners. However, overall growth prospects
remained fragile amid lingering financial sector
weaknesses across Europe and the looming fiscal
BOP surplus in Q4 2012 rises.
in million US$
2012 2011
Current Account 2,208 2,225 ‐0.8
Capital Account 48 30 60.0
Financial Account ‐2,542 4,343 ‐158.5
Net Unclassified Items ‐1,393 2,546 ‐154.7
Overall BOP Position 3,405 458 643.4
Balance of Payments
Q4 Growth Rate (in %)
45
consolidation in the US. While the pace of growth in
emerging economies remained robust, the potential
spillovers of the euro area debt and banking crisis posed a
significant downside risk to the global economic outlook.
Current Account. The current account surplus declined
slightly to US$2.2 billion (equivalent to 3.1 percent of
GDP) in Q4 2012. The modest contraction was due to
lower net receipts in the primary income and
trade‐in‐services accounts, which more than offset the
higher net receipts in the secondary income account and
the lower deficit in the trade‐in‐goods account.
Trade‐in‐Goods. The trade‐in‐goods account continued to
improve in Q4 2012, registering a lower deficit of
US$4.7 billion compared to the US$4.9 billion deficit
recorded in the comparable quarter a year ago. This
developed as the expansion in exports of goods
(at 27.4 percent) exceeded that in imports of goods
(at 16.0 percent). Amid encouraging signs that recovery is
gaining traction in the country’s major trading partners,
global merchandise trading activity continued to gain
pace.
Exports of Goods. Exports of goods rose by 27.4 percent
in Q4 2012, reaching US$11.0 billion from the previous
year’s level of US$8.6 billion as external demand from
major export markets in Asia (i.e., Japan, Hong Kong and
Exports of goods increase further.
Q4 2012 current account surplus contracts slightly.
Trade‐in‐goods posts a lower deficit.
46
Singapore), UK, Switzerland, and Canada increased during
the period.13
The increase was due to higher export earnings in the
following major commodity groups:
Manufactured products exports rose by 34.9 percent
to US$9.2 billion from US$6.8 billion in the same
quarter a year ago due to the following
developments:
o Exports of electronic products (including other
electronics) increased by 37.6 percent to
US$4.9 billion from US$3.6 billion in the same
quarter a year ago, shored up mainly by higher
shipments of semiconductors (by 65.9 percent),
automotive electronics (by 169.7 percent) and
other electronics (by 44.4 percent). Shipments of
semiconductors, representing about 68 percent
of total electronics exports, were boosted
primarily by gains in exports of other monolithic
integrated circuits. The semiconductor industry
rebounded in Q4 2012 owing to improved
demand from major foreign buyers in the
Japanese and Asia Pacific regions amid the
gradual improvement in global economic
conditions. The book‐to‐bill ratio of
semiconductors improved to 0.92 in December
13 Based on BPM6 concept (i.e., excluding from the National Statistics Office (NSO) foreign trade statistics those goods that did not involve change in ownership, e.g., goods on consignment)
Co co nut3 .1%
Ot her ag ro -b ased1.8 %
M ineral p ro duct s
6 .2 % Elect ro nics4 4 .7%
Garment s2 .3 %
M achinery8 .8 %
Fr uit s & veg et ab les
3 .0 %
Ot hers2 8 .4 %
Pet r oleum1.7%
Expo r t s b y M ajo r C o mmo d it y Gr oup Q4 2 0 12
( Per cent Share)
So urce: N atio nal St at is t ics Off ice
Expor t s by C ount ry of D est inat io nQ4 2 0 12
( Percent Share)
Japan18 .3 %
Ot hers2 5.7%
Hong Ko ng11.7%
Singapo re7.7%
Europe12 .3 %
C hina11.2 %
U SA12 .9 %
So urce : N a tio nal S ta tist ics Of f ice
47
2012 from 0.85 in December 2011.14 The
Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA)
reported that total global sales of
semiconductors in Q4 2012 inched up by
3.8 percent across the regional markets
compared to the level in the same quarter a year
ago as a result of the easing of uncertainties in
the global economic environment.15
o Exports of machinery and transport equipment
rose considerably (by 81.4 percent) to reach
US$963 million due to increased demand for
apparatus for pulling monocrystal semiconductor
boules and other motors (including universal
(AC/DC), except stepper and spindle motors)
from major export markets in Asia, the US and
the UK.16
o Exports of wood manufactures climbed by
39.3 percent to US$659 million due mainly to the
continued strong demand from Japan for
Philippine‐made wood products, specifically
other builders’ joinery and carpentry of wood
and window frames.
o Exports of processed food and beverages
expanded by 47.1 percent to US$478 million, due
14 Book‐to‐bill ratio is the ratio of three‐month moving average bookings to three‐month moving average shipments. 15 The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) is the voice of the U.S. semiconductor industry, America's number‐one export industry over the last five years and a bellwether measurement of the U.S. economy. The SIA works to encourage policies and regulations that drive innovation, business activity and international competition in order to maintain a thriving semiconductor industry in the United States. 16 A monocrystal semiconductor boule is a single‐crystal ingot produced by synthetic means. A boule of silicon is the starting material for most of the integrated circuits.
48
mainly to higher shipments to the US, Japan, and
Germany of other tuna, skipjacks, and bonito,17
not in airtight containers.
o Exports of miscellaneous manufactured articles
rose by 16.8 percent to US$125 million in
Q4 2012 owing mainly to higher shipments of
complete wigs, other hygienic, medical and
surgical articles, and other articles of apparel and
clothing to the Japanese market.
o Exports of other manufactured products also
recorded gains, including baby carriages, toys,
games & sporting goods (by 42 percent), and iron
& steel (by 20.8 percent).
Exports of fruits and vegetables improved by
27.1 percent to US$324 million, owing to higher
shipments of bananas (by 60.8 percent), pineapple
concentrates (77.8 percent), and pineapple juice
(22.2 percent). Exports of bananas, which comprised
almost 60 percent of total fruits and vegetables
exports, remained the leading export commodity
under this group due to robust demand from Japan
and China.
Exports of petroleum products increased by
66.7 percent to US$190 million due to higher
shipments of naphtha reformate or preparation for
17 Varieties of tuna
49
spirits, and bunker oil to Asian export markets,
notably Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia.
Mineral products exports rose by 1.5 percent to
US$677 million from US$667 million in the same
period a year ago due largely to increased shipments
of copper metal exports (by 28.7 percent), particularly
cathodes and sections of cathodes of refined copper.
Among the base metals, demand for copper products
remained strong despite the subdued global
economic conditions as restocking in China is driving
the increase in demand.
By contrast, the commodity groups with lower export
shipments were as follows:
Coconut products exports fell by 1.5 percent to
US$336 million as a result mainly of lower export
receipts from coconut oil (by 6.7 percent) due to the
drop in export price (by 28.4 percent) even as export
volume increased (by 30.9 percent). The leading
markets for coconut oil exports are the US and the
Netherlands.
Sugar and products exports decreased considerably
by 66 percent to US$55 million from US$162 million
a year ago, owing mainly to lower exports of
centrifugal and refined sugar to the US, Japan, and
some Asian countries.
50
Other agro‐based products exports contracted by
16.5 percent to US$197 million from US$236 million
on account of lower shipments of fresh or preserved
fish, unmanufactured tobacco and natural rubber.
Other manufactured goods exports which posted
declines during the quarter in review were chemicals
(by 14.3 percent) and garments (by 3.3 percent).
Export earnings from garments dropped due to
lower shipments of dresses in synthetic fibers,
jerseys, pullovers, waistcoats, trousers, bib and
brace overalls, breeches and shorts.
Imports of Goods. Imports of goods expanded by
16.0 percent to US$15.7 billion in Q4 2012 as increases
were posted across all major commodity groups, except
mineral fuels and lubricants (Table 2).18 The improvement
in imports of goods reflected the continued expansion in
domestic economic activity and the rebound in
merchandise exports. In line with the continued recovery
in exports of electronics, purchases of
materials/accessories for the manufacture of electronic
equipment increased by 49.5 percent to US$2.3 billion in
Q4 2012. Representing 42.1 percent of total imported
semi‐processed‐raw materials, inputs for the manufacture
of electronics were the main growth contributor to the
importation of raw materials and intermediate goods,
which grew by 16.5 percent to reach US$6.3 billion during
18 Based on BPM6 concept (i.e., excluding from the National Statistics Office (NSO) foreign trade statistics those goods that did not involve change in ownership, e.g., goods on consignment)
Imports of goods increase.
Special Transactions
0.2 %
Consumer Goods14.1 %
Minerals21.5 %
Raw Mats.42.4 %
Capital Goods21.8%
Imports by Major Commodity Group Q4 2012
(Percent Share)
Source: National Statistics Office (NSO)
51
the quarter in review. Purchases of capital goods climbed
by 23.2 percent to US$3.3 billion due mainly to the
increased procurement of power generating & specialized
machines (by 6.9 percent), telecommunication and
electrical machines (4.1 percent), land transport
equipment (32.3 percent) and aircraft, ships & boats
(268.1 percent), on account largely of the refleeting
program of two local airline firms. Imports of consumer
goods rose by 22.4 percent to US$2.1 billion, emanating
primarily from higher importation of both durable goods
(by 26.6 percent) and non‐durable goods
(by 18.2 percent). On the one hand, the increase in
imports of durable goods was supported by higher
procurement of passenger cars & motorized cycles, home
appliances and miscellaneous manufactures. On the
other hand, growth in non‐durable goods imports was
due to increased imports of food & live animals chiefly for
food, notably fish & fish preparation, rice, and fruits &
vegetables. In particular, the import volume of rice went
up from 10 thousand metric tons in Q4 2011 to
174 thousand metric tons in Q4 2012. The NFA grains
situationer showed that the volume of allocated import
arrivals contracted by the NFA and the private sector has
been completed as of end‐December 2012. Meanwhile,
imports of mineral fuels and lubricants contracted by
4.4 percent to US$3.2 billion on account of the
8.2 percent drop in purchases of crude petroleum to
US$1.9 billion arising mainly from the decline in import
volume (by 7.9 percent). The price of petroleum crude
52
imports dropped modestly to US$111.37/barrel in
Q4 2012 from US$111.63/barrel in Q4 2011.
Trade‐in‐Services. Net services receipts amounted to
US$1.4 billion in Q4 2012, lower by 15.7 percent
compared to the US$1.7 billion recorded in the same
quarter in 2011. Relative to Q4 2011, higher net payments
were registered in transport, travel, charges for the use of
intellectual property, insurance and pension, financial,
and government goods and services, while lower net
receipts were recorded in telecommunications, computer,
and information services.19 These developments more
than offset the increase in net receipts registered in other
business (by 2.8 percent), construction (171.4 percent),
and personal, cultural, and recreational (40 percent)
services. In particular, net receipts in technical,
trade‐related, and other business services, which
comprised the bulk of business process outsourcing
(BPO)‐related transactions, expanded by 2.8 percent to
reach US$2.6 billion during the quarter in review.
The Philippines continued to hold its market niche among
the Southeast Asian destinations for BPO‐related business
transactions. The country’s BPO industry remained vibrant
and maintained its global leadership in voice BPO services
while expanding into other outsourcing sectors such as
software development and IT outsourcing, animation and
game development, and healthcare information
19 Based on BPM6, financial services consist of: a) explicitly charged and other financial services; and b) financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM). FISIM refers to margins between interest payable and reference rate on loans and deposits. Government goods and services n.i.e. cover goods and services: a) supplied by and to embassies, military bases and international organizations; b) acquired from the host economy by diplomats, consular staff, and military personnel located abroad and their dependents; and c) services supplied by and to governments and not included in other categories of services.
Net services receipts decline.
53
management outsourcing. The industry has also branched
out to other markets outside the US such as Canada,
Japan, Australia, and New Zealand.
Primary Income. Net receipts in the primary income
account of US$229 million in Q4 2012 were lower
compared to the US$568 million net receipts recorded in
the same quarter a year ago. The 59.7 percent contraction
was due mainly to higher net payments in investment
income, even as earnings of resident overseas Filipinos
(OF) workers increased by 7.3 percent to reach
US$1.7 billion. Specifically, net dividends to foreign direct
and portfolio investors increased by 82.8 percent and
60.8 percent, respectively, while investment income on
reserve assets declined, notably interest income from
holdings of foreign debt securities by the central bank
(by 7.2 percent). These developments were offset by the
lower net interest payments on portfolio investments
(by 7.1 percent) and other investments (by 7.0 percent).
In particular, net interest payments by private and public
corporations on bonds issued abroad declined by
25.8 percent while those on foreign loans contracted by
27.5 percent due to lower global interest rates.
Secondary Income. Net receipts in the secondary income
account climbed by 8.0 percent to reach US$5.2 billion
compared to the year‐ago level of US$4.9 billion. The
secondary income account was boosted by the
8.5 percent increase in personal transfers. The bulk of
personal transfers were composed of nonresident
Primary income posts lower net receipts.
Personal transfers shore up the secondary income account.
54
OF workers’ remittances amounting to US$5.0 billion, up
by 8.9 percent from the year‐ago level. Remittances
continued to draw strength from the increasing demand
for a wider range of skilled Filipino workers abroad as well
as the expanding network of bank and non‐bank service
providers across the globe, which helped improve the
capture of remittances through formal channels.
Capital and Financial Account
Capital Account. The capital account registered
US$48 million net receipts in Q4 2012, higher by
60 percent than the level posted in the same quarter a
year ago. This developed as capital transfers of the
financial and non‐financial corporations, households, and
nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISH)
reversed to net receipts during the period.
Financial Account. The financial account registered a net
borrowing by residents of US$2.5 billion in Q4 2012, a
turnaround from the US$4.3 billion net lending recorded
in the same period in 2011.20 This developed as residents’
net incurrence of liabilities aggregating US$3.6 billion
during the quarter exceeded their net acquisition of
financial assets of US$1.1 billion. In particular, net
incurrence of liabilities was recorded in portfolio and
other investments, driven by improved investor
confidence in the domestic economy on the back of the
20 Based on BPM6 concept, the overall balance in the financial account is termed as net lending/net borrowing. Net lending means that in net terms, the economy supplies funds to the rest of the world, taking into account acquisition and disposal of financial assets and incurrence and repayment of liabilities. Net acquisition of financial assets and net incurrence of liabilities were previously referred to as residents’ investments abroad and nonresidents’ investments in the Philippines, respectively, based on BPM5 concept.
Net receipts in the capital account increase.
Financial account indicates net borrowing of residents from the rest of the world.
55
country’s strong macroeconomic fundamentals. Other
positive developments, including positive credit rating
action on the Philippines by Moody’s in October 2012 and
S&P in December 2012, also buoyed investor sentiment.
Meanwhile, the net incurrence of liabilities in the direct
investment account was slightly lower during the quarter
in review compared to that of the previous year while
trading in financial derivatives registered losses.
Direct investment. The direct investment account
registered lower net borrowings by residents from the
rest of the world of US$92 million in Q4 2012. This
developed as the increase in net acquisition of financial
assets offset the decline in net incurrence of liabilities.
In particular, net acquisition of financial assets increased
to US$373 million from US$125 million recorded in the
same quarter last year, driven largely by the significant
increases in domestic corporations’ investments in
equity capital (by almost eleven times) and debt
instruments of foreign affiliates (by 21.3 percent) during
the period. Meanwhile, net incurrence of liabilities by
residents from the rest of the world declined slightly by
1.1 percent to US$465 million as equity capital infusion
fell by 25.7 percent to settle at US$402 million during
the quarter. Equity investments came primarily from
the US, Japan, and Switzerland and benefited the
manufacturing and real estate sectors. Reinvestment of
earnings, however, grew by 73.9 percent to
US$273 million as foreign investors opted to plow back
their funds to domestic corporations on the back of
Direct investment account posts net borrowing.
56
strong corporate performance. Foreign direct investors’
placements in domestic debt instruments turned
around, resulting in residents’ net incurrence of
liabilities of US$63 million from net repayment of
liabilities of US$71 million in Q4 2011.
Portfolio investment. The portfolio investment account
yielded net borrowings by residents from the rest of
the world of US$1.9 billion in Q4 2012, a turnaround
from the US$875 million net lending of residents to the
rest of the world in the same quarter a year ago.
In particular, residents’ net incurrence of liabilities
reached US$1.9 billion in Q4 2012, a reversal of the
US$918 million net repayment of liabilities in the
comparable period in 2011. Meanwhile, residents’ net
acquisition of financial assets yielded US$45 million,
a turnaround from the US$43 million net disposal of
financial assets in Q4 2011. Residents’ net borrowings
from non‐residents markedly increased as the economy
continued to see strong investor appetite for emerging
market assets amid indications of a stabilizing global
economy.
The primary sources of net incurrence of liabilities in
portfolio investments during the period included the
following transactions:
a) Net placements by non‐residents in short‐term
peso‐denominated government securities (money
market instruments) issued by the NG
Portfolio investment account registers higher net incurrence of liabilities than net acquisition of financial assets.
57
(US$715 million);
b) Non‐residents’ net placements in long‐term debt
securities issued by local corporations
(US$445 million), domestic deposit‐taking
corporations (US$296 million), and the NG
(US$148 million)21; and
c) Non‐residents’ net placements in equity securities
issued by local corporations (US$423 million).
These were partially offset by residents’ redemption
through secondary market purchase from
non‐residents of foreign currency‐denominated bonds
issued by the NG (US$469 million).
Meanwhile, net placements of domestic deposit‐taking
corporations in debt securities issued by non‐residents
amounted to US$499 million. This acquisition of
financial assets was partly offset by local corporations’
net withdrawal of holdings of long‐term debt securities
issued by non‐residents (US$414 million).
Financial derivatives. Financial derivatives registered
a net loss of US$27 million in the last quarter of 2012,
a turnaround from the US$88 million net gain in the
comparable period in 2011 due to higher net payments by
resident investors from cash settlements in financial
derivatives during the period.
21 Subscription by non‐residents to bonds flotation of the NG amounted to US$750 million.
Trading in financial derivatives yields a net loss.
58
Other Investments. The other investments account
yielded net borrowings by residents from the rest of the
world amounting to US$626 million in Q4 2012, a reversal
of the US$3.9 billion net lending posted in the same
quarter last year. Residents’ net acquisition of financial
assets stood at US$694 million in Q4 2012, significantly
lower than the US$3.3 billion net acquisition of financial
assets registered in the same period last year. Meanwhile,
the net incurrence of liabilities was recorded at
US$1.3 billion, a turnaround from the US$565 million net
repayment of liabilities last year.
The primary sources of incurrence of liabilities in other
investments during the period included the following
transactions:
a) Non‐residents’ net placements of currency and
deposits in domestic deposit‐taking corporations
(US$1 billion); and
b) Net availment of long‐term foreign loans by domestic
deposit‐taking corporations (US$379 million) and the
NG (US$309 million).
These were partially mitigated by the following
transactions during the quarter:
a) Net repayment of local deposit‐taking corporations’
accounts payable to non‐residents (US$244 million);
and
Other investments reverse to net borrowings from the rest of the world.
59
b) Net repayment of trade credit and advances extended
by non‐residents to domestic corporations (US$108
million).
Meanwhile, local corporations’ net placements of
currency and deposits in foreign banks yielded
US$1.6 billion in Q4 2012. This acquisition of financial
assets was offset by the following transactions:
a) Local deposit‐taking corporations’ net withdrawal of
currency and deposits in foreign banks
(US$628 million); and
b) Non‐residents’ net repayment of short‐term loans
granted by local deposit‐taking corporations
(US$303 million).
International Reserves
The country’s gross international reserves (GIR) continued
to grow as of end‐December 2012, although at a slower
rate of 11.3 percent relative to the 20.7 percent increase
in the previous year, to reach US$83.8 billion. At this level,
the GIR was equivalent to a year’s worth of imports of
goods and payments of services and interest expense.
The corresponding reserve adequacy ratios at this GIR
level were 10.5 times the country’s short‐term external
debt based on original maturity and 6.6 times based on
residual maturity.
International reserves continue to accumulate.
Gross International Reservesin million US Dollars
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
2010 2011 2012
60
The increase in the end‐December GIR level was due
mainly to inflows from the foreign exchange operations
and investment income of the BSP, deposits by the NG
and the Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management
(PSALM) Corporation of proceeds from their bond
issuances, and other foreign borrowings. These inflows,
however, were partially offset by foreign exchange
outflows for the payments by the NG and the BSP for their
maturing foreign exchange obligations, foreign currency
withdrawals by authorized agent banks (AABs) and
revaluation losses on the BSP’s foreign
currency‐denominated reserves.
The bulk of the reserves, or 84.4 percent of the total GIR
as of end‐December, was held in foreign investments.
Meanwhile, 12.4 percent of total reserves were in gold
and the remaining 3.2 percent were the combined
holdings of Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), the BSP’s
reserve position in the IMF, and foreign exchange.
In terms of currency composition, about 79.1 percent of
the end‐December GIR (excluding gold) was denominated
in US dollars. Meanwhile, 10.6 percent of the reserves
were in yen, 4.2 percent in euro, and the balance of
6.1 percent were in SDR and other currencies.
Net international reserves (NIR), which include
revaluation of reserve assets, amounted to
US$83.8 billion as of end‐December, higher by
US$8.5 billion compared to the comparable period last
61
year. The NIR refers to the difference between the BSP's
GIR and total short‐term liabilities.
Exchange Rate
The peso continued to strengthen in Q4 2012. The peso
appreciated by 1.7 percent to P41.19/US$1 from
P41.90/US$1 in Q3 2012.22 On a year‐on‐year basis, the
peso likewise strengthened by 5.5 percent from the
P43.46/US$1 average in Q4 2011. The peso was
supported by the country’s robust economic growth and
sound macroeconomic fundamentals.
During the period in review, the peso’s appreciation was
underpinned by strong foreign exchange inflows and
positive market sentiment as the economy expanded at a
stronger‐than‐expected pace. The peso strengthened in
October 2012 to average P41.45/US$1 from the previous
month’s average of P41.75/US$1. Sustained foreign
exchange inflows from OF remittances continued to be
the fundamental driver of the peso’s strength. Likewise,
better‐than‐expected US corporate earnings and retail
trade data shored up the peso as easing concerns about
the US recovery boosted investors’ appetite for riskier
assets. The peso appreciated further to P41.12/US$1 in
November 2012, and again in December 2012 to
P41.01/US$1. The peso was also supported by the US
Fed’s announcement of a new round of monetary
stimulus, along with speculation that Japan would
22 Dollar rates or the reciprocal of the peso‐dollar rates were used to compute for the percentage change.
The peso continues to strengthen.
62
implement aggressive monetary easing, which fuelled
demand for riskier assets.23 Nonetheless, concerns over
the impending US fiscal cliff pared the currency’s gains.
On a year‐to‐date basis, the peso appreciated against the
US dollar by 6.80 percent on 28 December 2012 as it
closed at P41.05/US$1, moving in tandem with the rest of
the Asian currencies except for the Japanese yen,
Indonesian rupiah, and Indian rupee, which depreciated
vis‐à‐vis the US dollar.24
On a real, trade‐weighted basis, the peso lost external
price competitiveness against the basket of currencies of
major trading partners (MTPs) and competitor countries
in the narrow series during the review quarter.25 This
developed as the peso’s nominal appreciation more than
offset the narrowing inflation differential relative to these
baskets of currencies, leading to a q‐o‐q increase in the
real effective exchange rate (REER) index of the peso by
0.3 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively.26 Meanwhile,
the peso gained external price competitiveness against
competitor countries in the broad series as the narrowing
inflation differential relative to this basket of currencies
more than offset the peso’s nominal appreciation, leading
23 On 5 December 2012, the US Fed announced that it would buy $45 billion in longer‐term Treasuries each month on top of the $40 billion per month in mortgage‐backed bonds they started purchasing in September 2012. 24 Based on the last done deal in the afternoon. 25 The basket of the major trading partners is composed of the currencies of US, Japan, the Euro area and the United Kingdom. The broad basket of competitor countries comprises the currencies of Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and Hong Kong while the narrow basket is composed of the currencies of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand only. 26 The REER index represents the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) index of the peso, adjusted for inflation rate differentials with the countries whose currencies comprise the NEER index basket. A decrease in the REER index indicates some gain in the external price competitiveness of the peso, while a significant increase indicates the opposite. The NEER index, meanwhile, represents the weighted average exchange rate of the peso vis‐à‐vis a basket of foreign currencies.
App/Depr (‐)
28 Dec 2012 vs 29 Dec 2011
South Korean Won 7.72
Philippine Peso 6.80
Singaporean Dollar 6.05
New Taiwan Dollar 4.30
Malaysian Ringgit 3.48
Thai Baht 3.04
Chinese Yuan 1.03
Indian Rupee (3.12)
Indonesian Rupiah (5.92)
Japanese Yen (10.89)
Selected Asian Currencies
63
to a real depreciation of the peso by 0.7 percent on a
q‐o‐q basis.
On a y‐o‐y basis, the peso lost external price
competitiveness against the basket of currencies of MTPs
and competitor countries in both the broad and narrow
series due mainly to the peso’s nominal appreciation.
These developments led to a real appreciation of the peso
by 8.9 percent, 11.6 percent, and 11.9 percent,
respectively.
External Debt
As of end‐December 2012, the outstanding
BSP‐approved/registered external debt stood at
US$60.3 billion, down by US$1.4 billion or 2.2 percent
from the end‐September 2012 level of US$61.7 billion.
On a year‐on‐year basis, the debt stock decreased by
US$105 million or 0.2 percent from the end‐December
2011 level of US$60.4 billion.
The decline in the debt stock in Q4 2012 was attributed
to: (a) downward foreign exchange revaluation
adjustments (US$1.5 billion) due largely to the
strengthening of the US dollar against the Japanese yen;
and (b) increased investments by residents in Philippine
debt papers (US$482 million). The impact of these
developments, however, was offset partially by net
availments (US$527 million) and positive audit
adjustments (US$83 million).
External debt stays manageable.
Short-termUS$8.5B
14.1%
Medium and long-termUS$51.9B
85.9% TOTAL: US$60.3 Billion
Philippine External DebtAs of end-December 2012
64
The year‐on‐year decline in the debt stock in 2012, even if
there were substantial net availments during the year
(US$2.6 billion) and some positive adjustments resulting
from audit findings/late reports (US$59 million), resulted
from: a) net transfers by non‐residents of Philippine debt
papers to residents (US$1.4 billion); and (b) downward
foreign exchange revaluation adjustment (US$1.4 billion)
due to the appreciation of the US dollar against the
Japanese yen.
Medium‐ to long‐term (MLT) loans (with maturities longer
than one year) declined to US$51.9 billion (85.9 percent
of total external debt) by end‐2012 from US$53.7 billion
(87.1 percent of total external debt) in the previous
quarter.
On the other hand, short‐term (ST) obligations (those with
original maturities of up to one year) increased to
US$8.5 billion (14.1 percent of total external debt) from
US$8.0 billion (12.9 percent of total external debt) due to
higher inter‐bank borrowings.
For the quarter under review, MLT loans continued to
dominate the external debt profile. The larger share of
MLT accounts to total external debt indicated that loan
payments are spread out over a longer period of time,
resulting in a more manageable level of debt servicing.
The weighted average maturity for MLT loans declined
slightly to 20.4 years in Q4 2012 from 20.6 in the previous
65
quarter. This excluded the SDR allocation27 from the
International Monetary Fund (US$1.3 billion) which is
considered as permanent debt.
The country’s external debt to GNI ratio was estimated at
18.3 percent as of end‐December 2012, lower than the
ratio of 19.4 percent in end‐September 2012 and
20.3 percent obtained in end‐December 2011. Similarly,
the external debt to GDP ratio was estimated at
24.1 percent during the review period, lower than the
25.6 percent a quarter ago and 26.9 percent posted a year
ago.
The debt service burden (DSB) ratio, which relates the
total principal and interest payments to the total exports
of goods and receipts from services and income (XGSI),
was estimated at 6.1 percent for the period ending
December 2012, lower than the 7.1 percent and
9.9 percent in end‐September 2012 and end‐December
2011, respectively. The ratio, which is a measure of the
adequacy of the country’s foreign exchange earnings to
meet maturing loan payments, has remained below the
international benchmark range of 20‐25 percent.
Foreign Interest Rates
Monetary policy in advance economies remained
accommodative during the review period to support the
pace of economic recovery due to continued weakness in
27 SDR allocation from the IMF is excluded from the calculation of weighted average maturity of MLT accounts being a permanent debt to be repaid in the event that the IMF SDR Department ceases to exist or the country ceases to be a member of the IMF. ohnn
Monetary policy in advance economies remains accommodative.
66
labor market conditions, slowdown in spending, and
anemic bank lending growth.
In the fourth quarter of 2012, the Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC) maintained the target range for the
federal funds at 0 to 0.25 percent and currently
anticipates that this low range for the federal funds rate
will be appropriate as long as the unemployment rate
remains above 6.5 percent. In addition, the FOMC decided
to continue purchasing additional agency
mortgage‐backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per
month. The FOMC will also purchase longer‐term
Treasury securities after its program to extend the
average maturity of its holdings of Treasury securities is
completed at the end of the year, initially at a pace of
$45 billion per month. It will likewise maintain its existing
policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings
of agency debt and agency mortgage‐backed securities in
agency mortgage‐backed securities, and will resume
rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction
starting in January 2013. These actions are expected to
maintain downward pressure on longer‐term interest
rates, support mortgage markets, and help make broader
financial conditions more accommodative. 28 As the FOMC
maintained its monetary policy stance, the U.S. prime rate
and discount rate continued to average at 3.25 percent
and 0.75 percent, respectively, during the review period.29
Meanwhile, the U.S. federal funds rate increased to
28Federal Reserve, FOMC Statements on 13 September and 24 October 2012 are available online at: http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/2012monetary.htm 29 The prime rate refers to the interest rate charged by banks to their most creditworthy customers. The discount rate refers to the rate charged by the Federal Reserve banks when they extend credit to depository institutions.
67
0.172 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012 from the
0.157 percent average reported in the previous quarter
(Table 16).
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of
England (BOE) also maintained its monetary policy
settings, keeping the official bank rate paid on commercial
bank reserves at 0.5 percent in Q4 2012. In addition, the
MPC also decided to maintain the stock of asset
purchases financed by the issuance of central bank
reserves at £375 billion.30
Similarly, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) kept the
uncollateralized overnight call rate at around 0 to
0.1 percent. The BOJ also decided to increase the total
size of the Asset Purchase Program by 10 trillion yen to
101 trillion yen. In addition, the BOJ decided to remove
the minimum bidding yield for the outright purchases of
Japanese government bonds (JGBs) and corporate bonds
in order to guarantee their smooth purchase.
Meanwhile, the Stimulating Bank Lending Facility was
established by the BOJ to provide long‐term funds up to
the amount equivalent to the net increase in lending at a
low interest rate, without any limit, to financial
institutions at their request. The Bank approved the
operational details of the facility, including its
implementation period, which shall be 15 months until
end‐March 2014. The fund‐provisioning under the
30The previous change in the official bank rate was a reduction of 0.5 percentage points to 0.5 percent on 5 March 2009. A program of asset purchases financed by the issuance of central bank reserves was initiated on 5 March 2009. The previous change in the size of that program was an increase of £50 billion to a total of £375 billion on 5 July 2012.
68
Stimulating Bank Lending Facility is expected to reach
more than 15 trillion yen, based on the recent lending
data.
The Governing Council of the European Central Bank
(ECB) kept the interest rates unchanged during its
4 October, 8 November, and 6 December meetings. The
interest rates on the main refinancing operations, the
marginal lending facility, and the deposit facility remained
at 0.75 percent, 1.50 percent, and 0.0 percent,
respectively, at the end of Q4 2012.31 The Governing
Council also decided to continue conducting its main
refinancing operations (MROs) as fixed rate tender
procedures with full allotment for as long as necessary,
and at least until the end of the sixth maintenance period
of 2013 on 9 July 2013.
Meanwhile, the 90‐day London Interbank Offered Rate
(LIBOR) and the 90‐day Singapore Interbank Offered Rate
(SIBOR) decreased by 11.4 basis points and 11.7 basis
points, respectively, as global financial markets remained
liquid. The LIBOR averaged 0.3170 percent while the
SIBOR stood at 0.3189 percent, respectively, (Table 16).
31 The decisions of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank are available online at http://www.ecb.int/press/govcdec/mopo/2012/html/index.en.html
69
Global Economic Developments Global economic activity showed signs of stabilization in
Q4 2012. Although growth in advanced economies
remained weak, economic activity in emerging
economies, particularly in Asia, improved modestly.
Labor market conditions generally improved except for
the euro area while there were mixed trends in the
inflation rates of advanced and emerging markets.
World economic growth was weighed down by the soft
economic activity in advanced economies in the last
quarter of 2012. In the US, GDP growth slowed down to
1.6 percent in Q4 2012 from 2.6 percent in the previous
quarter, as the decline in business inventories and
defense spending offset the improvements in private
consumption and residential investment.
Meanwhile, real GDP in the euro area contracted by
0.9 percent in Q4 2012 following the 0.6 percent decline
in Q3 2012. Greece, Portugal, Cyprus, Slovenia, Hungary
and Italy suffered the largest declines for the period in
review. The contraction in household consumption, gross
fixed capital formation, and inventories contributed to the
drop in the euro area’s GDP. In contrast, Germany’s GDP
improved by 0.4 percent from the previous quarter’s
0.9 percent, supported by the increase in manufacturing
orders.
The global economy stabilizes.
Macroeconomic Indicators in Selected EconomiesYear‐on‐Year Growth Rates (in percent)
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
G3US 2.0 1.3 2.6 1.6 2.3 1.9 1.7 1.9 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.8Japan 5.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 ‐0.4 ‐0.2 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2Euro area 0.1 ‐0.2 ‐0.6 ‐0.9 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.3 10.9 11.3 11.5 11.8
Asian NIEsHongkong 1.1 0.7 1.4 2.5 4.7 4.2 3.0 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.4South Korea 2.8 2.4 1.5 1.5 2.5 2.4 1.6 1.7 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.0Singapore 2.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 5.4 5.2 4.2 4.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8China 8.1 7.6 7.4 7.9 3.4 3.4 2.0 2.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1India 5.3 5.5 5.3 4.5 7.2 7.2 7.9 7.2 9.4 9.4 n.a. n.a.
ASEANIndonesia 5.3 6.4 6.2 6.1 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 6.3 6.3 6.1 n.a.Malaysia 4.7 5.4 5.3 6.4 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1Philippines 6.4 5.9 7.2 6.8 3.0 2.9 3.5 2.9 7.2 7.0 6.8 n.a.Thailand 0.3 4.2 3.1 18.9 2.5 2.5 2.9 n.a. 0.7 0.7 0.6 n.a.Vietnam 4.0 4.7 4.7 5.0 10.5 10.5 5.6 7.0 2.3 1.9 2.1 n.a.
1 Unemployment rate is the proportion (in percent) of the total number of unemployed to the total number of persons in the labor force.
European Central Bank; Hong Kong Administrative Region Government Portal; and Korea National StatisticsSources: Bloomberg; The Institute of International Finance, Inc.; Bureau of Economic Analysis; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Cabinet Office;
CountryReal GDP Inflation Unemployment 1
70
Economic activity in Japan likewise continued to weaken
in Q4 2012, with GDP growing by only 0.3 percent from
the previous quarter’s 0.4 percent due to lower capital
spending. Under the new leadership of Prime Minister
Shinzo Abe, Japan’s economy is expected to resume its
moderate recovery, driven by monetary easing, stimulus
spending, and an expected improvement in global
economic activity.
Among the newly‐industrialized economies (NIEs) in Asia,
China’s GDP expanded by 7.9 percent in Q4 2012, faster
compared to the 7.4 percent in the previous quarter.
Increased government spending on infrastructure projects
such as urban subways, together with central bank
actions to boost liquidity in the banking system since
mid‐year, helped arrest the slowdown and engineer a
modest recovery in growth.
Inflation outturns in advanced economies in Q4 2012
were mixed but remained generally low. In the US,
inflation increased slightly to 1.9 percent in Q4 2012 from
1.7 percent in the previous quarter. In Japan, deflation
persisted at ‐0.2 percent from the last quarter’s
‐0.4 percent. Meanwhile, in the euro area, inflation
decreased to 2.3 percent from 2.5 percent in the third
quarter.
Inflation rates were generally on an uptrend in Asian NIEs
in Q4 2012. Inflation in China, South Korea, and Hong
Kong increased to 2.2 percent, 1.7 percent and
71
3.7 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, Singapore’s
inflation rate fell to 4.0 percent from 4.2 percent in the
third quarter.
Global labor market conditions generally improved,
except in the euro area. The unemployment rate in the US
eased to 7.8 percent from 8.0 in the previous quarter.
Unemployment likewise declined in Japan to 4.2 percent
from 4.3 percent in the third quarter. In the East Asian
region, unemployment rates were generally stable or
declining, except in Hong Kong and Malaysia. In the euro
area, unemployment increased to 11.8 percent from
11.5 percent in the previous quarter.
F. Financial Condition of the BSP
Balance Sheet
Based on preliminary and unaudited financial statements,
the BSP’s assets as of end‐November 2012 reached
P3,959.9 billion, 4.3 percent or P162.5 billion higher than
the year‐ago level (Table 17). Relative to the
end‐September 2012 level, the amount was higher by
1.8 percent or P70.2 billion. The BSP’s liabilities increased
by P242.4 billion or 6.6 percent y‐o‐y to P3,902.0 billion,
and by 2.3 percent relative to the end‐September 2012
level. Meanwhile, the BSP’s net worth declined to
P57.9 billion compared to the year‐ago level of
P137.7 billion, as the growth in liabilities was higher than
the growth in assets during the period. The amount was
BSP’s net worth declines.
in billion pesos2011
Nov Sep Nov
Assets 3,959.9 3,889.7 3,797.4
Liabilities 3,902.0 3,815.1 3,659.7
Networth 57.9 74.6 137.7
Balance Sheet of the BSP*
2012
* unaudited
72
also lower than the P74.6 billion posted at end‐September
2012.
The y‐o‐y expansion in the BSPs’ assets in November was
due largely to the build‐up of international reserves,
which accounted for around 86 percent of total assets.
The P107.2 billion expansion in international reserves was
due principally to the continued foreign exchange inflows
from abroad, increased foreign currency deposits by the
NG and authorized agent banks, and revaluation gains on
the BSP’s gold holdings.
The BSP’s liabilities likewise increased during the review
period due mainly to higher deposits, as part of the BSP’s
continued liquidity management operations. In particular,
deposits of the Treasurer of the Philippines registered an
increase of P243.7 billion to P405.1 billion. In addition,
the reserve deposits of banks and other financial
institutions expanded by P108.1 billion to P746.6 billion
from P638.5 billion posted a year ago. Placements in the
SDA facility likewise posted an increase of P12.8 billion to
P1,700.8 billion from the P1,688.0 billion registered a year
ago.
Income Statement
Based on preliminary and unaudited data, the BSP’s
financial position recorded a loss of P18.0 billion for the
period October‐November 2012 (Table 18). The loss was
primarily a result of lower revenues combined with the
BSP registers lower net loss.
73
P10.8 billion foreign exchange losses realized during the
period.
Total revenues amounted to P10.6 billion, lower than the
P13.2 billion posted during the same period last year.
Interest income, which comprised the primary source of
revenues, decreased by 18.0 percent or P1.5 billion lower
than the previous year’s level. Meanwhile, miscellaneous
income also dropped by 21.6 percent or P1.0 billion lower
than the level posted the same period a year ago.
Total expenditures amounted to P17.8 billion, P2.4 billion
lower than the level posted for the same period last year.
This was due mainly to lower interest expense, which fell
by 15.6 percent, on account of decreased interest
payments on lower placements in the SDA facility and
non‐remuneration of reserves deposited with the BSP.
G. Challenges and Policy Directions
The Philippine economy sustained its momentum in
Q4 2012 as real GDP rose by 6.8 percent due largely to
homegrown sources of resilience. With full‐year growth
averaging 6.6 percent, the economy surpassed market
expectations as well as the government’s official GDP
growth target of 5‐6 percent. While this demonstrates the
country’s progress towards a higher growth path,
potential risks and challenges to the economic outlook
remain.
in billion pesos
Oct‐Nov Q3 Oct‐Nov
Revenue 10.633 15.279 13.177Less: Expense 17.804 27.727 20.245
Equals: Net Income Before FX Gains/Loss (‐)
‐7.171 ‐12.448 ‐7.068
Add/Less: Gains/Losses on FX Rate Fluctuations
‐10.779 ‐17.311 ‐1.605
Less: Provision for Income Tax 0.000 0.000 0.000
Equals: Net Income Available for Distribution
‐17.950 ‐29.759 ‐8.673
* unaudited
2012 2011
Income Statement of the BSP*
74
Global economic activity appears to have gained some
traction in recent months, although some measure of
uncertainty lingers. While the global economy is seen
broadly to continue to strengthen through 2013,
persistent downside risks continue to weigh heavily on
the overall outlook.32 In particular, the effects of ongoing
financial sector adjustments in the euro area and
excessive fiscal consolidation in the US could result in
weaker international trade flows, anemic market
sentiment, and increased volatility in financial markets.
The major challenge for policymakers, especially those in
emerging economies, involves providing sufficient buffers
against adverse external developments while preventing
any domestic imbalances from getting out of hand.
For the Philippines, keeping the economy on a steady
course would require policies to be oriented towards
nurturing domestic sources of growth to help compensate
for any weaknesses in external demand. In this regard,
close coordination between fiscal and monetary policies
will help ensure that the macroeconomic environment
remains supportive of consumer confidence and
investment spending, consistent with the government’s
objectives of price and financial stability.
The favorable fiscal position of the NG provides it
sufficient space to support projects that will continue to
stimulate aggregate demand. Growth could further
32 In January 2013, the IMF revised its forecast for 2013 output growth to 3.5 percent from 3.6 percent in October 2012. The forecast for advanced economies was likewise reduced to 1.4 percent from 1.6 percent, while the projection for emerging market and developing economies was trimmed slightly to 5.5 percent from 5.6 percent.
75
accelerate once the various infrastructure projects under
the Public‐Private Partnership program move into their
respective implementation stages. Furthermore,
continuing social spending programs for health,
education, housing, employment, and conditional cash
transfers, as well as initiatives for financial inclusion and
consumer protection, shall help promote inclusive and
sustainable growth, in line with the country’s
commitment to the Millennium Development Goals.
For its part, the BSP remains committed to its mandate of
safeguarding price stability and ensuring a
macroeconomic environment conducive to growth. With
a broadly benign inflation outlook, the BSP deems its
policy stance appropriate going forward. Latest baseline
forecasts indicate that the future inflation path remains in
line with the target for 2013‐2014, supported by firmly
anchored inflation expectations. The risks surrounding the
inflation projections also continue to be broadly balanced.
Downside risks to the inflation outlook center on the
uncertainty over the strength of the global economy and
its effects on commodity prices, particularly oil. In
addition, the appreciation of the peso could dampen
upward pressures arising from imported commodities.
However, pending petitions for utility rate adjustments
and the impact of sustained foreign exchange inflows on
domestic liquidity growth could exert upside pressures on
inflation and would thus need to be monitored closely.
76
Indeed, of particular concern at the moment is the
continued surge in capital inflows, which has pushed up
the peso further against the US dollar, the Philippine stock
exchange index to rise to record levels, and yields on
Treasury bills to fall to historical lows. More notably, with
interest rates in advanced economies hovering close to
zero amid efforts to support lending and economic
activity, and with continued market expectations of a
further credit rating upgrade for the Philippines, foreign
capital is expected to continue to enter the country’s
financial markets, posing risks to inflation and financial
stability. In response, the BSP stands ready to employ the
menu of instruments at its disposal to help ensure that
the benefits of capital flows are maximized while warding
off the potential destabilizing impact of volatile capital
flows on price and financial stability. The BSP will also
continue to maintain a market‐determined exchange rate
while guarding against speculative flows that could
contribute to the peso’s volatility and thus undermine the
inflation target.
Amid downside risks to global economic prospects on the
horizon, contingency measures have also been prepared
to ensure adequate liquidity within the financial system
should capital flows reverse course. The BSP will maintain
a comfortable level of international reserves to serve as
added insurance against external shocks.
However, guarding against destabilizing financial market
imbalances arising from capital inflow surges imposes a
77
cost on the BSP and impedes its ability pursue its
objectives. In this regard, efforts are also being taken to
reinforce the BSP’s capacity to manage these risks
effectively. The full capitalization of the BSP is being
pursued to enhance its financial position and help ease
the constraints posed by any balance sheet weaknesses or
operating losses. This is complemented by a number of
proposed amendments to the BSP Charter, including
(a) increase in the BSP’s authorized capital from
P50 billion to a higher level commensurate with the
expansion in the size of the economy and the financial
system; (b) setting up of a formal arrangement on the
sharing of gains and losses by the NG and the BSP;
(c) restoration of the BSP’s ability to issue its own debt
securities; (d) grant of tax exemption to the BSP; and
(e) establishment of reserves for bad and doubtful loans
as well as allowances for losses from foreign exchange
(FX) fluctuations.
In the area of banking regulation and supervision, the BSP
will sustain the reform momentum with a view to
strengthen the resilience of the banking system against
shocks as well as to enhance its role as a catalyst for
durable long‐term economic growth. Toward this end, the
BSP has announced the application of micro‐ and
macroprudential measures to enhance its monitoring of
emerging trends in the financial sector, including the
adoption of expanded reporting standards for real estate
exposures as well as the Basel III capital adequacy
standards beginning January 2014. Likewise, the BSP
78
continues to take the lead in promoting financial
inclusiveness with programs and reforms aimed at
promoting access to financial services.
The BSP also remains proactive in ensuring the credibility
of the payments and settlements system with the
continued enhancement of its processes in accordance
with international best practices.
Finally, amid the increasing interconnectedness of global
financial markets, the BSP will remain an active
participant in regional and international cooperation
programs and fora, in order to reap the benefits of
collaborative engagement.
79
Annex A
Banking Policies
Banking policies implemented during the quarter were aimed at strengthening regulations and
guidelines on: 1) merger or consolidation incentives; 2) guarantees issued by banks/quasi‐banks; 3)
documentary requirements for establishing banks and acquisition of significant ownership of voting
shares of stock of banks; 4) opening of approved but unopened branches; and 5) qualification
requirements of selling agents and/or market makers of Long‐Term Negotiable Certificates of Time
Deposits and/or Unsecured Subordinated Debt. Banking policies were likewise meant to enhance
definitions of: 1) Non‐performing loans (NPLs); and 2) “Reasonable Period of Time" relative to the
requirement on the listing of shares in the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE).
Amendments on Merger and Consolidation Incentives
Consistent with the BSP’s thrust to create larger and stronger financial institutions, regulations on
mergers and consolidations were revised to allow participating entities in the purchases or
acquisitions of majority or all the outstanding shares of stock of a bank/quasi bank to also avail
themselves of incentives or reliefs mentioned in subsection X108.3 of the Manual of Regulations for
Banks (MORB) and subsection 4108Q.3 of the Manual of Regulations for Non‐Bank Financial
Institutions (MORNBFI), subject to prior approval of the Monetary Board (MB). (BSP Circular No. 771
dated 11 October 2012)
Meanwhile, newly merged or consolidated banks will be granted temporary rediscounting lines not
exceeding 50 percent of their adjusted net worth as of latest date for a period of 180 days, while
awaiting the required reports/data from the appropriate Supervision and Examination Department of
the BSP, renewable for another 180 days or until such time that the required reports/data are made
available, whichever comes earlier. The grant of temporary rediscounting lines is subject to certain
conditions such as at least one of the merging banks must have a capital adequacy ratio of at least 10
percent and a rating of three in CAMELS. (Circular No. 776 dated 7 December 2012)
80
Amendments to Regulations on Non‐Performing Loans (NPLs)
The BSP approved the amendments to regulations on NPLs to revise the definition of NPLs in X309.1
of the MORB and to remove the reporting requirement in subsection X309.4.
“The following accounts shall comprise a bank’s gross NPLs:
a. Non‐performing loans shall, as a general rule, refer to loan accounts whose principal and/or
interest is unpaid for thirty (30) days or more after due date or after they have become past due in
accordance with existing rules and regulations. This shall apply to loans payable in lump sum and
loans payable in quarterly, semi‐annual or annual installments, in which case, the total outstanding
balance thereof shall be considered non‐performing.
b. In the case of loans payable in monthly installments, the total outstanding balance thereof shall be
considered nonperforming when three (3) or more installments are in arrears.
c. In the case of loans payable in daily, weekly or semi‐monthly installments, the total outstanding
balance thereof shall be considered non‐performing at the same time that they become past due in
accordance with Sec. X306, i.e., the entire outstanding balance of the loan/receivable shall be
considered as past due when the total amount of arrearages reaches ten percent (10%) of the total
loan/receivable balance.
d. Restructured loans shall be considered non‐performing in accordance with Subsec. X322.1.
e. All items in litigation as defined in the Manual of Accounts for Banks shall be considered non‐
performing.
f. In the case of microfinance loans, past due/portfolio‐at‐risk (PAR) accounts as defined in Subsec.
X361.1(b) shall be considered NPL.
81
As a complementary measure to computing gross NPLs, banks shall, likewise, compute their net NPLs,
which shall refer to gross NPLs less specific allowance for credit losses on the total loan portfolio:
Provided, that such specific allowance for credit losses on the total loan portfolio shall not be
deducted from the total loan portfolio for the purposes of computing the net NPLs.” (Circular No. 772
dated 16 October 2013)
Amendments to Regulations on Guarantees Issued by Banks/Quasi‐Banks
Certain sections of the MORB and MORNBFI including their corresponding line item instructions on
compliance with section X347 of MORB are deleted to remove the ceiling on total guarantees issued
by banks and quasi‐banks. Under existing regulations, the total amount of guarantees that may be
issued by banks and quasi‐banks is subject to a ceiling of 100 percent of the qualifying capital for
banks, or 50 percent of net worth for quasi‐banks.33 The BSP’s recent review suggested that there
was leeway in further liberalizing the limit without putting at risk prudential standards. This is
likewise consistent with the policy intent to actively pursue the implementation of the lined‐up
projects under the Philippine Private‐Public Partnership (PPP) Program. (Circular No. 773 dated 13
November 2012)
Definition of "Reasonable Period of Time" Relative to the Requirement on the Listing of Shares in
the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) under Section 3 of Republic Act (R.A.) No. 7721 dated 18 may
1994
The Monetary Board approved the issuance of the policy defining the term “reasonable period of
time” and the enforcement of the listing requirement under Section 3 of R.A. 7721 dated 18 May
1994.
“Banking corporations established under Sections 2 (i) and (ii) (i.e., foreign banks that enter the
Philippine Banking system either (i) by acquiring, purchasing or owning up to sixty percent of the
33 Guarantees may be in the form of, among others, financial standby letters of credit (LCs) to guarantee repayment of obligations, and performance standby LCs to guarantee satisfactory completion of work or project as specified in the contract. The latter are commonly used in large‐scale projects contracted by the government.
82
voting stock of an existing bank; (ii) by investing in up to sixty percent of the voting stock of a new
banking subsidiary incorporated under the laws of the Philippines” are given three years to list at
least 10 percent of their shares on the Philippine Stock Exchange from the effectivity of Circular 775.
In addition, banks that will take foreign investments in the future must list the same amount of
shares within three years after the approval by the BSP of the foreign investment. (Circular No. 775
dated 28 November 2012)
Amendment to Regulations on the Opening of Approved but Unopened Branches
To facilitate the operation of BSP‐approved but still unopened branches, approved branches with
unexpired period to open as of 17 June 2012, the effectivity of Circular No. 759 dated 30 May 2012,
were given three years to open, reckoned from their original dates of Monetary Board approval. Said
period shall not be subject to any extension. (Circular No. 777 dated 13 December 2013)
Amendments to the Qualification Requirements of Selling Agents and/or Market Makers of Long‐
Term Negotiable Certificates of Time Deposits (LTNCTDs) and/or Unsecured Subordinated Debt
(UnSDs)
The Monetary Board (MB) approved amendatory guidelines which will allow financial institutions (FIs)
not supervised by the BSP that are licensed by the Securities and Exchange Commission as securities
dealers and/or brokers to act as selling agent and/or market maker of long‐term negotiable
certificates of time deposit (LTNCTDs) and unsecured subordinated debt (UnSDs) issued by banks
provided they meet qualification criteria similar to that required for BSP‐supervised FIs. Allowing
qualified FIs not supervised by the BSP to participate in structures involving bank issues will broaden
investors’ access to the domestic capital market by expanding the universe of securities trading
participants and providing both investors and issuers with greater options.
The new guidelines, likewise, explicitly set forth the BSP’s expectations on the part of the issuing bank
with regard to its responsibility to undertake a careful and diligent evaluation of the parties whom it
83
shall engage in its LTNCTD and/or UnSD issuances. As such, the issuing bank shall make a careful and
diligent evaluation of the parties whom it shall engage to act as: (1) underwriter/ arranger, registry
bank, selling agent and market maker of its LTNCTDs; or (2) underwriter/ arranger, UnSD registry,
selling agent, market maker and public trustee of its UnSD. (Circular No. 778 dated 14 December
2012)
84
Annex B
Capital Market Reforms
Enhancing transparency and corporate governance
The PSE noted the strict implementation of the minimum public ownership (MPO) in 2013. The
MPO rule requires listed companies to maintain, at all times, a minimum percentage of
10 percent of their issued and outstanding shares to be owned by the public. Any listed
company not in compliance shall have a grace period of 12 months to comply. Beginning
1 January 2013, the PSE will start suspending erring companies for six months. If the listed
company remains non‐compliant after the lapse of the suspension period, the company shall
be automatically delisted and shall be prohibited from relisting within five years.
The PSE also approved the consolidation of the first and second boards into a new listing board
called the Main Board and the retention of the Small, Medium and Emerging (SME) Board to
align with the two‐listing board structure of other exchanges. This means the Main Board and
SME Board will emerge as the only avenues for listing. In the Main Board, companies need to
have an authorized capital stock of at least P500 million and at least three years of operating
history. On the other hand, SME companies should have an authorized capital stock of
P100 million and at least three years of operating history. Listed companies that suddenly find
themselves noncompliant with the more stringent requirements arising from the planned
merging of the first and second listing boards into a single “main” board, will be given at least a
year or more to comply. The PSE is in the process of consolidating feedback from market
participants before coming out with the final rules that will create the Main Board and enhance
the listing criteria for the SME Board.
85
Strenthening prudential regulation
Meanwhile, the BSP approved prudential reference standards for Contract‐to‐Sell (CTS)
financing jointly developed by the Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP), the Chamber of
Thrift Banks (CTB), and the Rural Bankers Association of the Philippines (RBAP) in coordination
with the BSP.34 Among the key elements of the new guidelines are regulations that pertain to
the accreditation of both real estate developers and their specific projects, the eligibility of
home buyers who can avail of CTS financing, and the robustness of the participating banks’ risk
management systems. This move is in line with the prudential thrust of the BSP to strengthen
credit underwriting practices for real estate activities.
34 In a CTS transaction, real estate developers sell property to buyers on an installment basis. Developers liquidate their holding of CTS receivables by selling the receivables to banks. This sale of CTS receivables is called CTS financing since it effectively gives developers a way to get immediate funding out of their receivables.
LIST OF STATISTICAL TABLES FOR THE 2012 FOURTH QUARTER LTP
1 Gross National Income and Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Origin
1a Gross National Income and Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure Shares
2 Selected Labor, Employment and Wage Indicators
3 Cash Operations of the National Government
4 Consumer Price Index in the Philippines
4a Consumer Price Index in the National Capital Region
4b Consumer Price Index in Areas Outside the National Capital Region
5 Monetary Indicators (DCS Concept)
6 Selected Domestic Interest Rates
7 Number of Financial Institutions
8 Total Resources of the Financial System
9 Ratios of Non‐Performing Loans and Loan Loss Provisions to Total Loans of the Banking System
10 Stock Market Transactions
11 Balance of Payments
11a Exports by Major Commodity Group
11b Imports by Major Commodity Group
12 International Reserves of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
13 Exchange Rates of the Peso (Peso per Unit of Foreign Currency)
13a Exchange Rates of the Peso (Unit of Foreign Currency per Peso)
13b Effective Exchange Rate Indices of the Peso
14 Total External Debt
15 Selected Foreign Debt Service Indicators
16 Selected Foreign Interest Rates
17 Balance Sheet of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
18 Income Statement of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
1 GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY INDUSTRIAL ORIGINfor periods indicatedin million pesos; at constant 2000 prices
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Fishing 163,629 148,896 149,181 200,959 170,805 161,292 152,395 195,952 172,497 162,190 158,804 205,245 ‐1.8 ‐2.0 ‐2.0 4.1 4.4 8.3 2.2 ‐2.5 1.0 0.6 4.2 4.7
Industry 425,567 489,793 447,055 497,101 456,616 483,101 447,580 514,103 480,682 509,648 481,533 552,717 15.4 15.7 9.8 6.5 7.3 ‐1.4 0.1 3.4 5.3 5.5 7.6 7.5Mining and Quarrying 13,903 23,580 13,448 14,968 18,380 25,606 13,993 12,530 16,538 23,869 13,742 13,733 2.4 24.4 6.8 6.9 32.2 8.6 4.1 ‐16.3 ‐10.0 ‐6.8 ‐1.8 9.6Manufacturing 298,652 306,874 299,709 359,288 322,771 324,637 305,692 371,230 342,235 338,489 323,524 391,891 18.3 13.2 8.4 6.5 8.1 5.8 2.0 3.3 6.0 4.3 5.8 5.6
Annual Change (in %)2010 2011 2012
2010 2011 2012
Construction 65,566 106,296 78,972 74,986 68,316 80,569 72,046 81,084 70,761 91,815 86,891 96,014 9.7 24.7 15.6 4.6 4.2 ‐24.2 ‐8.8 8.1 3.6 14.0 20.6 18.4Electricity, Gas and Water Supply 47,445 53,043 54,926 47,859 47,148 52,289 55,850 49,260 51,148 55,475 57,375 51,079 9.8 10.2 10.1 9.4 ‐0.6 ‐1.4 1.7 2.9 8.5 6.1 2.7 3.7
Services 743,844 814,702 783,995 836,818 770,512 860,599 824,930 886,523 833,050 923,880 887,161 947,458 7.2 7.3 7.8 6.4 3.6 5.6 5.2 5.9 8.1 7.4 7.5 6.9Transportation, Storage and Communication 106,538 112,714 94,479 114,035 111,052 117,449 98,831 118,694 121,777 128,328 108,129 128,300 ‐2.2 2.2 3.0 1.4 4.2 4.2 4.6 4.1 9.7 9.3 9.4 8.1Trade and Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles, Personal and Household Goods 206,308 226,459 244,719 271,256 212,164 232,115 255,680 280,555 228,701 250,135 276,518 298,620 11.6 6.8 11.0 5.0 2.8 2.5 4.5 3.4 7.8 7.8 8.2 6.4Financial Intermediation 87,058 97,838 92,692 97,127 92,597 109,185 94,012 98,575 100,641 116,821 102,054 105,708 8.3 5.8 13.1 13.6 6.4 11.6 1.4 1.5 8.7 7.0 8.6 7.2Real Estate, Renting and Busines Activities 139,097 153,607 150,320 145,922 147,661 166,559 163,429 165,809 159,261 180,082 176,308 178,531 5.2 8.6 6.6 9.4 6.2 8.4 8.7 13.6 7.9 8.1 7.9 7.7Public Administration and Defense; Compulsory Social Security 62,788 71,919 63,427 56,953 57,854 74,094 63,891 59,937 58,704 75,388 66,662 63,572 7.5 9.6 6.5 ‐0.8 ‐7.9 3.0 0.7 5.2 1.5 1.7 4.3 6.1Other Services 142,055 152,165 138,357 151,524 149,182 161,197 149,087 162,952 163,965 173,126 157,490 172,727 9.8 10.9 4.4 8.7 5.0 5.9 7.8 7.5 9.9 7.4 5.6 6.0
Gross Domestic Product 1,333,040 1,453,390 1,380,231 1,534,877 1,397,933 1,504,993 1,424,905 1,596,579 1,486,229 1,595,718 1,527,498 1,705,421 8.4 8.9 7.3 6.1 4.9 3.6 3.2 4.0 6.3 6.0 7.2 6.8
Net Primary Income 477,586 474,051 448,271 459,939 476,954 468,609 444,483 488,561 485,014 490,223 472,292 492,862 21.2 10.0 5.7 3.9 ‐0.1 ‐1.1 ‐0.8 6.2 1.7 4.6 6.3 0.9
Gross National Income 1,810,626 1,927,441 1,828,502 1,994,817 1,874,887 1,973,602 1,869,388 2,085,139 1,971,243 2,085,942 1,999,790 2,198,283 11.5 9.2 6.9 5.6 3.5 2.4 2.2 4.5 5.1 5.7 7.0 5.4
Note: Data on real GDP and its components are based on 2000 prices. The use of terminology Gross National Income (GNI) in place of Gross National Product (GNP) has been adopted in the revised/rebased Philippine System of National Accounts (PSNA) in accordance with the 1993/1998 System of National Accounts prescribed by the United Nations.
Totals may not add up due to rounding.
Source of data: National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)
1a GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY EXPENDITURE SHARESfor periods indicatedin million pesos; at constant 2000 prices
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Household Final Consumption Expenditu 923,065 977,453 922,575 1,122,734 977,538 1,032,090 990,430 1,194,454 1,027,171 1,093,244 1,053,246 1,277,051 4.0 1.9 2.4 4.9 5.9 5.6 7.4 6.4 5.1 5.9 6.3 6.9
Government Final Consumption Expendit 157,087 167,182 128,518 117,421 132,212 177,237 140,013 126,362 159,816 189,359 156,761 137,884 21.4 7.4 ‐6.5 ‐6.6 ‐15.8 6.0 8.9 7.6 20.9 6.8 12.0 9.1
Capital Formation 245,325 291,433 240,350 406,541 333,865 261,958 292,770 391,090 248,964 281,062 307,135 385,663 31.9 38.0 34.5 25.7 36.1 ‐10.1 21.8 ‐3.8 ‐25.4 7.3 4.9 ‐1.4 Fixed Capital 284,446 303,951 279,393 314,417 319,948 275,104 282,227 306,739 332,295 307,693 307,573 339,222 18.9 26.6 15.4 15.7 12.5 ‐9.5 1.0 ‐2.4 3.9 11.8 9.0 10.6
Construction 99,946 151,801 119,330 119,583 108,012 119,125 109,057 124,193 108,485 134,165 132,860 147,854 11.4 25.2 17.1 14.0 8.1 ‐21.5 ‐8.6 3.9 0.4 12.6 21.8 19.1Durable Equipment 152,793 124,821 133,371 156,848 179,019 128,005 145,811 144,405 188,608 144,364 147,059 150,956 29.2 35.9 17.6 21.6 17.2 2.6 9.3 ‐7.9 5.4 12.8 0.9 4.5Breeding Stock & Orchard Developm 26,552 22,386 18,718 31,272 26,808 22,576 18,655 30,639 27,153 23,145 18,818 30,928 ‐0.2 1.0 ‐0.3 0.7 1.0 0.8 ‐0.3 ‐2.0 1.3 2.5 0.9 0.9Intellectual Property Products 5,154 4,942 7,974 6,714 6,110 5,397 8,703 7,501 8,049 6,019 8,837 9,484 14.2 4.1 ‐1.1 ‐0.7 18.5 9.2 9.1 11.7 31.7 11.5 1.5 26.4
Changes in Inventories ‐39,121 ‐12,517 ‐39,042 92,124 13,917 ‐13,146 10,542 84,351 ‐83,331 ‐26,631 ‐438 46,441 26.4 56.5 38.4 78.2 135.6 ‐5.0 127.0 ‐8.4 ‐698.8 ‐102.6 ‐104.2 ‐44.9
Exports 665,317 780,446 835,162 605,208 691,450 782,189 735,570 555,668 766,956 847,049 785,069 606,401 18.8 24.0 23.1 16.8 3.9 0.2 ‐11.9 ‐8.2 10.9 8.3 6.7 9.1
Less: Imports 652,376 758,904 740,657 732,342 725,152 751,273 727,225 686,836 701,963 828,774 762,501 718,519 24.2 22.1 22.1 21.9 11.2 ‐1.0 ‐1.8 ‐6.2 ‐3.2 10.3 4.9 4.6
Statistical Discrepancy ‐5,377 ‐4,221 ‐5,717 15,316 ‐11,980 2,791 ‐6,652 15,842 ‐14,714 13,778 ‐12,212 16,941 35.3 ‐845.6 ‐198.6 58.5 ‐122.8 166.1 ‐16.4 3.4 ‐22.8 393.7 ‐83.6 6.9
Gross Domestic Product 1,333,040 1,453,390 1,380,231 1,534,877 1,397,933 1,504,993 1,424,905 1,596,579 1,486,229 1,595,718 1,527,498 1,705,421 8.4 8.9 7.3 6.1 4.9 3.6 3.2 4.0 6.3 6.0 7.2 6.8
Net Primary Income 477,586 474,051 448,271 459,939 476,954 468,609 444,483 488,561 485,014 490,223 472,292 492,862 21.2 10.0 5.7 3.9 ‐0.1 ‐1.1 ‐0.8 6.2 1.7 4.6 6.3 0.9
Gross National Income 1,810,626 1,927,441 1,828,502 1,994,817 1,874,887 1,973,602 1,869,388 2,085,139 1,971,243 2,085,942 1,999,790 2,198,283 11.5 9.2 6.9 5.6 3.5 2.4 2.2 4.5 5.1 5.7 7.0 5.4
Note: Data on real GDP and its components are based on 2000 prices. The use of terminology Gross National Income (GNI) in place of Gross National Product (GNP) has been adopted in the revised/rebased Philippine System of National Accounts (PSNA) in accordance with the 1993/1998 System of National Accounts prescribed by the United Nations.
Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding.
Source of data: National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)
20122010 2011 2012
Annual Change (in %)2010 2011
2 SELECTED LABOR, EMPLOYMENT AND WAGE INDICATORS
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Employment Status 1
Labor Force (in thousands) 38,828 38,512 38,946 39,287 39,212 39,691 39,929 41,193 40,316 40,644 40,426 40,431Employed 36,001 35,413 36,237 36,488 36,293 36,820 37,107 38,550 37,394 37,841 37,584 37,668Unemployed 2,827 3,099 2,709 2,799 2,919 2,871 2,822 2,643 2,922 2,803 2,842 2,763Underemployed 7,107 6,297 6,502 7,141 7,054 7,127 7,095 7,381 7,030 7,312 8,546 7,158
Labor Force Participation Rate (%) 64.5 63.6 63.9 64.2 63.7 64.2 64.3 66.3 64.3 64.7 64.0 63.9 Employment Rate (%) 92.7 92.0 93.0 92.9 92.6 92.8 92.9 93.6 92.8 93.1 93.0 93.2 Unemployment Rate (%) 7.3 8.0 7.0 7.1 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.4 7.2 6.9 7.0 6.8 Underemployment Rate (%) 19.7 17.8 17.9 19.6 19.4 19.4 19.1 19.1 18.8 19.3 22.7 19.0
Overseas Employment (Deployed) 388,495 385,072 399,061 298,198 419,503 p 460,457 p 431,493 p 376,378 p .. .. .. ..
Land‐based 301,417 303,686 306,042 212,531 323,700 378,491 335,792 280,744 .. .. .. ..
Sea‐based 87,078 81,386 93,019 85,667 95,803 81,966 95,701 95,634 .. .. .. ..
Strikes Number of New Strikes 1 3 1 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 Number of Workers Involved 1,800 387 47 800 128 0 3,700 0 0 0 20
Nominal Daily Wage Rates (in pesos) National Capital Region
Agricultural Plantation 345.00 345.00 367.00 367.00 367.00 389.00 389.00 389.00 389.00 409.00 409.00 419.00 a
Non‐Plantation 345.00 345.00 367.00 367.00 367.00 389.00 389.00 389.00 389.00 409.00 409.00 419.00 a
Non‐Agricultural 382.00 382.00 404.00 404.00 404.00 426.00 426.00 426.00 426.00 426.00 446.00 456.00 a
Real Daily Wage Rates (in pesos), 2006=100 National Capital Region
Agricultural Plantation 298.96 297.67 315.56 309.97 306.09 320.43 320.96 318.85 316.00 329.57 325.90 333.86 a
Non‐Plantation 298.96 297.67 315.56 309.97 307.04 315.76 321.14 318.68 316.00 329.57 325.90 333.86 a
Non‐Agricultural 331.02 329.59 347.38 341.22 336.95 350.91 351.49 349.18 346.06 359.39 355.38 363.35 a
Notes:1 Starting with January 2007 LFS round, the population projections based on the 2000 Census of Population was adopted to generate the labor force statistics per NSCB Resolution No. 1 Series of 2005
¨ Data not availablep preliminarya As of November 2012
Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
Sources of data: Bureau of Labor and Employment Statistics (BLES), Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA), National Statistics Office (NSO), National Wages and Productivity Commission (NWPC), and National Conciliation and Mediation Board (NCMB)
2010 2011 2012
3 CASH OPERATIONS OF THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENTfor periods indicated; in billion pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4
Revenues 265.8 326.3 302.6 313.2 323.1 358.6 335.4 342.9 361.0 399.9 358.0 416.0 390.8 Tax 237.4 302.9 267.5 285.9 265.7 327.8 297.9 310.7 302.3 369.7 324.9 364.3 358.6 Non‐tax 28.3 23.2 35.1 27.3 57.4 30.8 37.5 31.9 58.7 30.3 33.2 51.7 32.3
Expenditures 400.0 388.8 365.7 367.9 349.3 349.6 371.2 487.6 394.9 400.4 427.6 554.9 486.6 Interest Payments 108.9 37.8 97.8 49.7 90.7 43.8 87.9 56.6 98.5 51.5 95.2 67.6 58.4 Equity 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 ‐ 0.1 0.2 12.6 0.0 0.9 0.0 20.4 0.4 Net Lending 2.7 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.4 9.9 2.8 2.9 3.2 8.5 10.4 5.4 2.6 Subsidy 3.3 4.1 2.2 11.3 7.1 7.1 4.9 34.6 5.6 7.1 5.7 24.2 13.3 Allotment to LGUs 70.4 74.4 67.6 67.1 76.4 78.8 74.9 85.0 71.0 78.4 74.1 74.9 54.7 Tax Expenditures 5.9 15.2 2.7 15.9 8.1 2.9 2.3 12.6 7.3 7.6 3.4 14.1 11.8 Others 208.3 255.1 193.1 219.9 164.6 207.0 198.1 283.4 209.3 246.4 238.7 348.3 345.5
Surplus/Deficit (‐) ‐134.2 ‐62.6 ‐63.1 ‐54.7 ‐26.2 9.0 ‐35.8 ‐144.8 ‐33.9 ‐0.5 ‐69.6 ‐138.9 ‐95.8
Financing 1 54.4 87.1 168.0 42.1 ‐64.0 87.3 ‐13.6 105.5 162.5 12.2 91.2 272.3 91.0 External Borrowings (Net) 54.9 3.0 45.2 29.9 54.4 ‐5.8 11.8 ‐9.2 66.8 ‐5.7 ‐10.4 19.3 2.2 Domestic Borrowings (Net) ‐0.5 84.1 122.8 12.3 ‐118.4 93.1 ‐25.3 114.7 95.7 17.9 101.6 253.0 88.8
Total Change in Cash: Deposit/Withdrawal (‐) ‐48.4 15.5 101.6 ‐31.5 77.6 241.6 ‐307.3 ‐91.6 164.7 ‐23.9 ‐45.5 196.5 ‐5.1Budgetary ‐79.8 24.5 104.9 ‐12.5 ‐90.2 96.3 ‐49.3 ‐39.2 128.6 11.7 21.7 133.4 ‐4.7Non‐Budgetary Accounts 1 31.3 ‐9.1 ‐3.3 ‐18.9 167.8 145.3 ‐257.9 ‐52.3 36.1 ‐35.6 ‐67.1 63.1 ‐0.4
Note: Details may not add up due to rounding.1 Availment less repayment2 Refers to accounts not included in the NG budget, e.g., sale, purchase or redemption of government securities, but included in the cash operations report to show the complete relations in the movements of the cash accounts.
‐ zero or nil
Source of Data: Bureau of the Treasury (BTr)
PROGRAM2012
2010 2011 2012
4 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN THE PHILIPPINES (2006=100)
for periods indicated; quarterly averages
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 119.0 120.0 120.9 121.9 124.3 126.0 126.7 127.6 128.2 129.7 131.1 131.3
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 128.0 128.3 129.8 131.7 135.2 136.2 136.7 138.1 137.9 138.8 140.9 141.3Food Items 128.9 129.2 130.8 132.8 136.5 137.4 137.9 139.4 139.1 139.9 142.1 142.6
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 115.6 116.1 116.6 117.3 120.0 122.3 123.7 124.6 125.8 128.4 129.7 130.8Non‐Food 113.2 114.7 115.2 115.5 117.3 119.3 120.3 120.8 121.9 123.7 124.8 124.9Clothing and Footwear 112.9 113.6 114.7 115.4 116.5 117.8 119.3 119.9 120.9 123.7 125.3 125.9Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 112.3 115.0 115.2 115.3 117.7 120.6 121.1 121.7 123.4 125.9 127.2 126.5Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 112.9 113.9 114.3 114.8 115.6 116.6 117.3 117.6 118.2 120.6 122.4 123.2Health 119.1 119.7 121.0 121.7 122.8 123.8 125.0 125.5 126.2 127.8 128.9 129.4Transport 115.0 115.8 115.9 116.6 120.0 123.5 124.0 124.1 125.2 126.3 125.5 125.9Communication 92.6 92.6 92.7 92.6 92.5 92.4 92.4 92.2 92.2 92.5 92.6 92.6Recreation and Culture 104.7 105.1 105.5 105.6 105.8 106.5 107.2 107.4 108.3 109.3 110.1 110.2Education 121.6 123.0 126.3 126.6 126.8 128.7 132.7 132.8 132.9 134.8 138.7 138.7Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 115.1 115.8 116.3 116.7 117.9 119.0 119.9 120.4 121.5 123.0 123.8 124.2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.2
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 0.9 0.2 1.2 1.5 2.7 0.7 0.4 1.0 ‐0.1 0.7 1.5 0.3Food Items 0.9 0.2 1.2 1.5 2.8 0.7 0.4 1.1 ‐0.2 0.6 1.6 0.4
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.7 1.0 2.1 1.0 0.8Non‐Food 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.1Clothing and Footwear 0.8 0.6 1.0 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.8 2.3 1.3 0.5Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 2.1 2.4 0.2 0.1 2.1 2.5 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.0 1.0 ‐0.6Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.5 2.0 1.5 0.7Health 1.5 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.4Transport 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.6 2.9 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.9 0.9 ‐0.6 0.3Communication ‐1.2 0.0 0.1 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.0 ‐0.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0Recreation and Culture ‐0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.1Education 0.5 1.2 2.7 0.2 0.2 1.5 3.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 2.9 0.0Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.6 4.5 5.0 4.8 4.7 3.1 2.9 3.5 2.9
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 4.4 3.5 4.2 3.8 5.6 6.2 5.3 4.9 2.0 1.9 3.1 2.3Food Items 4.5 3.6 4.4 4.0 5.9 6.3 5.4 5.0 1.9 1.8 3.0 2.3
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 3.6 2.9 2.7 2.6 3.8 5.3 6.1 6.2 4.8 5.0 4.9 5.0Non‐Food 3.7 4.1 3.7 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.6 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.4Clothing and Footwear 2.3 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.8 5.0 5.0 5.0Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 4.2 5.9 5.6 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.6 4.8 4.4 5.0 3.9Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.2 3.4 4.3 4.8Health 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.8 3.2 3.1 3.1Transport 5.6 4.4 2.5 2.6 4.3 6.6 7.0 6.4 4.3 2.3 1.2 1.5Communication ‐1.0 ‐1.1 ‐1.0 ‐1.2 ‐0.1 ‐0.2 ‐0.3 ‐0.4 ‐0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4Recreation and Culture 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.6Education 4.3 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.6 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.4Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.2
Source of basic data: National Statistics Office (NSO)
2010 2011 2012
Year‐on‐Year Change (in percent)
2010 2011
2010 2011 2012
2012
Quarter‐on‐Quarter Change (in percent)
4a CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN THE NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION (2006=100)
for periods indicated; quarterly averages
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 114.8 116.0 116.7 117.6 119.5 120.9 121.2 122.1 122.9 123.7 125.6 125.4
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 124.1 123.4 124.9 128.6 130.3 130.6 130.5 132.9 131.6 132.0 135.3 135.2Food Items 124.9 124.2 125.7 129.7 131.5 131.7 131.6 134.2 132.7 133.0 136.5 136.3
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 115.0 115.5 115.8 116.3 117.6 118.9 119.1 119.5 120.4 122.5 124.2 126.5Non‐Food 110.9 113.0 113.3 113.1 115.2 117.0 117.4 117.7 119.4 120.3 121.7 121.4Clothing and Footwear 114.7 115.5 117.3 117.9 118.7 118.9 121.2 121.3 123.1 126.6 129.8 130.4Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 111.2 115.5 114.9 114.0 116.6 119.2 119.3 120.0 121.8 122.9 124.5 123.4Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 109.7 111.0 111.4 111.8 112.1 112.2 112.3 112.4 112.7 114.1 117.7 119.2Health 121.7 122.0 124.7 125.0 126.7 127.0 128.8 129.0 130.0 130.8 132.4 132.6Transport 105.7 106.4 105.9 106.6 110.8 114.3 114.0 113.7 114.9 114.4 113.8 114.3Communication 93.7 93.7 93.9 93.8 93.6 93.4 93.3 93.2 93.1 93.7 93.9 93.9Recreation and Culture 105.8 106.7 107.2 107.4 107.5 107.4 107.3 107.3 110.2 111.1 112.5 112.5Education 125.9 127.5 130.6 130.6 130.6 132.2 135.5 135.5 135.5 137.0 140.0 140.0Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 111.7 111.8 112.9 113.0 114.8 115.9 116.3 116.5 119.5 119.9 120.7 120.7
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.5 ‐0.2
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages ‐0.8 ‐0.6 1.2 3.0 1.3 0.2 ‐0.1 1.8 ‐1.0 0.3 2.5 ‐0.1Food Items ‐0.9 ‐0.6 1.2 3.2 1.4 0.2 ‐0.1 2.0 ‐1.1 0.2 2.6 ‐0.1
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.4 1.9Non‐Food 1.7 1.9 0.3 ‐0.2 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.3 1.4 0.8 1.2 ‐0.2Clothing and Footwear 1.2 0.7 1.6 0.5 0.7 0.2 1.9 0.1 1.5 2.8 2.5 0.5Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 3.6 3.9 ‐0.5 ‐0.8 2.3 2.2 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.9 1.3 ‐0.9Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 0.4 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.2 1.3Health 1.4 0.2 2.2 0.2 1.4 0.2 1.4 0.2 0.8 0.6 1.2 0.2Transport 2.1 0.7 ‐0.5 0.7 3.9 3.2 ‐0.3 ‐0.3 1.1 ‐0.4 ‐0.5 0.4Communication ‐1.3 0.0 0.2 ‐0.1 ‐0.2 ‐0.2 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0Recreation and Culture ‐0.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.0 2.7 0.8 1.3 0.0Education 0.1 1.3 2.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.2 0.0Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.1 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.2 2.6 0.3 0.7 0.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 3.6 3.7 4.0 3.5 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.8 2.8 2.3 3.6 2.7
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 3.6 2.2 2.9 2.8 5.0 5.8 4.5 3.3 1.0 1.1 3.7 1.7Food Items 3.7 2.3 2.9 2.9 5.3 6.0 4.7 3.5 0.9 1.0 3.7 1.6
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 3.0 2.4 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.4 3.0 4.3 5.9Non‐Food 3.5 4.3 4.4 3.8 3.9 3.5 3.6 4.1 3.6 2.8 3.7 3.1Clothing and Footwear 2.7 3.0 3.7 4.1 3.5 2.9 3.3 2.9 3.7 6.5 7.1 7.5Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 4.9 7.8 7.8 6.2 4.9 3.2 3.8 5.3 4.5 3.1 4.4 2.8Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.7 4.8 6.0Health 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.2 2.6 3.0 2.8 2.8Transport 7.2 5.7 2.8 3.0 4.8 7.4 7.6 6.7 3.7 0.1 ‐0.2 0.5Communication ‐1.5 ‐1.5 ‐1.3 ‐1.2 ‐0.1 ‐0.3 ‐0.6 ‐0.6 ‐0.5 0.3 0.6 0.8Recreation and Culture 0.7 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 ‐0.1 2.5 3.4 4.8 4.8Education 2.3 2.9 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.3Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 1.4 0.5 1.3 1.3 2.8 3.7 3.0 3.1 4.1 3.5 3.8 3.6
Source of basic data: National Statistics Office (NSO)
2010 2011 2012
Year‐on‐Year Change (in percent)
2010 2011
2010 2011 2012
2012
Quarter‐on‐Quarter Change (in percent)
4b CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN AREAS OUTSIDE THE NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION (2006=100)
for periods indicated; quarterly averages
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 120.3 121.3 122.3 123.2 125.8 127.6 128.4 129.3 129.8 131.6 132.9 133.2
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 128.8 129.4 130.9 132.4 136.3 137.4 138.0 139.2 139.3 140.2 142.1 142.7Food Items 129.7 130.3 131.8 133.5 137.5 138.6 139.2 140.5 140.4 141.4 143.3 143.9
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 115.7 116.2 116.8 117.5 120.4 123.0 124.7 125.6 126.8 129.6 130.8 131.6Non‐Food 114.0 115.2 115.8 116.4 118.1 120.3 121.5 122.0 122.8 125.1 125.7 126.1Clothing and Footwear 112.3 113.0 113.8 114.6 115.8 117.4 118.6 119.5 120.2 122.7 123.9 124.4Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 112.8 114.8 115.4 115.9 118.2 121.2 121.9 122.5 124.1 127.3 128.4 127.9Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 114.0 114.9 115.3 115.9 116.9 118.2 119.0 119.5 120.2 122.9 124.0 124.7Health 118.4 119.1 120.0 120.7 121.7 122.9 124.0 124.6 125.1 127.0 128.0 128.5Transport 117.9 118.7 119.0 119.6 122.9 126.4 127.1 127.4 128.4 130.0 129.1 129.5Communication 92.0 92.2 92.2 92.1 92.0 92.0 92.0 91.8 91.8 91.9 92.0 92.0Recreation and Culture 104.3 104.6 104.9 104.9 105.2 106.2 107.1 107.4 107.7 108.7 109.2 109.4Education 120.3 121.7 125.0 125.5 125.7 127.7 131.9 132.0 132.1 134.2 138.3 138.3Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 116.6 117.6 117.8 118.2 119.2 120.3 121.4 122.1 122.5 124.3 125.2 125.8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.7 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.2
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 1.2 0.5 1.2 1.1 2.9 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.4Food Items 1.3 0.5 1.2 1.3 3.0 0.8 0.4 0.9 ‐0.1 0.7 1.3 0.4
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 2.5 2.2 1.4 0.7 1.0 2.2 0.9 0.6Non‐Food 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.7 1.9 0.5 0.3Clothing and Footwear 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 2.1 1.0 0.4Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.4 2.0 2.5 0.6 0.5 1.3 2.6 0.9 ‐0.4Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.6 2.2 0.9 0.6Health 1.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.5 0.8 0.4Transport 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.5 2.8 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.8 1.2 ‐0.7 0.3Communication ‐1.2 0.2 0.0 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.0 0.0 ‐0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0Recreation and Culture ‐0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.2Education 0.6 1.2 2.7 0.4 0.2 1.6 3.3 0.1 0.1 1.6 3.1 0.0Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.7 0.5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
All Items 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.6 4.6 5.2 5.0 5.0 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.0
Food, and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 4.5 3.9 4.5 4.0 5.8 6.2 5.4 5.1 2.2 2.0 3.0 2.5Food Items 4.7 3.9 4.6 4.3 6.0 6.4 5.6 5.2 2.1 2.0 2.9 2.4
Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics 3.8 3.1 2.9 2.8 4.1 5.9 6.8 6.9 5.3 5.4 4.9 4.8Non‐Food 3.6 3.9 3.3 3.2 3.6 4.4 4.9 4.8 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.4Clothing and Footwear 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.9 4.2 4.3 3.8 4.5 4.5 4.1Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 3.9 5.0 4.6 4.3 4.8 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.0 5.0 5.3 4.4Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.8 4.0 4.2 4.4Health 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.2 2.8 3.3 3.2 3.1Transport 5.2 4.0 2.4 2.5 4.2 6.5 6.8 6.5 4.5 2.8 1.6 1.6Communication ‐0.8 ‐0.8 ‐0.9 ‐1.1 0.0 ‐0.2 ‐0.2 ‐0.3 ‐0.2 ‐0.1 0.0 0.2Recreation and Culture 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.0 1.9Education 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.5 4.9 5.5 5.2 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.8Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 3.3 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.3 3.1 3.3 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.0
Source of basic data: National Statistics Office (NSO)
2010 2011 2012
Year‐on‐Year Change (in percent)
2010 2011
2010 2011 2012
2012
Quarter‐on‐Quarter Change (in percent)
5 MONETARY INDICATORS (DCS CONCEPT)as of periods indicated; in billion pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
A. Liquidity
1. M4 (2 + 7) 4,952.8 5,077.7 5,097.7 5,446.8 5,326.5 5,473.4 5,371.8 5,680.3 5,546.6 5,755.5 5,694.0 6,162.9
2. M3: Broad Money Liabilities (3 + 6) 3,894.3 3,972.2 4,056.1 4,396.8 4,293.8 4,423.8 4,356.5 4,674.3 4,535.9 4,738.2 4,682.1 5,171.7
3. M2 (4 + 5) 3,800.2 3,866.7 3,960.0 4,306.2 4,201.7 4,327.5 4,262.3 4,586.3 4,446.4 4,634.1 4,619.1 5,085.7
4. M1: Currency Outside Decpository Corporations andTransferable Deposits (Narrow Money) 1,216.2 1,230.6 1,215.8 1,345.9 1,319.0 1,323.6 1,347.6 1,492.4 1,470.1 1,448.7 1,455.6 1,603.5
a. Currency Outside Depository Corporations(Currency in Circulation) 437.0 414.6 403.3 478.5 431.8 428.1 433.5 518.6 475.7 466.2 468.3 557.5
b. Transferable Deposits (Demand Deposits) 779.2 816.0 812.5 867.4 887.3 895.4 914.1 973.9 994.4 982.5 987.3 1,046.0
5. Other Deposits (Quasi‐Money) 2,584.0 2,636.0 2,744.3 2,960.3 2,882.7 3,004.0 2,914.7 3,093.9 2,976.3 3,185.4 3,163.5 3,482.2a. Savings Deposits 1,596.9 1,641.1 1,658.4 1,797.2 1,798.2 1,878.2 1,879.4 2,020.4 1,966.9 2,038.9 2,075.3 2,213.3b. Time Deposits 987.1 994.9 1,085.9 1,163.1 1,084.5 1,125.8 1,035.3 1,073.5 1,009.4 1,146.6 1,088.1 1,268.9
6. Securities Other Than Shares Included in Broad Money (Deposit Substitutes) 94.1 105.5 96.0 90.6 92.0 96.3 94.2 87.9 89.4 104.1 63.0 86.0
7. Transferable and Other Deposits in ForeignCurrency (FCDU Deposits ‐ Residents) 1,058.5 1,105.5 1,041.6 1,050.0 1,032.7 1,049.5 1,015.4 1,006.1 1,010.8 1,017.2 1,012.0 991.2
8. Liabilities Excluded from Broad Money(Other Liabilities) 72.0 56.1 59.8 54.1 50.4 51.3 53.1 65.4 68.9 67.5 41.5 57.7
a. Bills Payable 70.1 54.2 57.9 52.2 48.5 49.4 51.2 63.5 67.0 67.0 40.6 56.9b. Restricted Deposits 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.8 0.8
B. Credits
1. Net Domestic Assets 2,564.1 2,486.0 2,547.4 2,651.7 2,473.5 2,485.5 2,164.5 2,494.6 2,370.1 2,629.5 2,433.0 2,973.9Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas ‐1,468.9 ‐1,690.3 ‐1,812.0 ‐2,075.5 ‐2,278.3 ‐2,436.5 ‐2,747.5 ‐2,635.9 ‐2,671.1 ‐2,630.4 ‐2,846.4 ‐2,713.4Other Depository Corporations 4,033.1 4,176.2 4,359.4 4,727.1 4,751.8 4,922.0 4,911.9 5,130.5 5,041.2 5,259.9 5,279.4 5,687.3
2. Net Claims on Residents (Net Domestic Credits) 4,002.0 4,098.5 4,134.2 4,310.4 4,292.2 4,430.5 4,532.9 4,945.4 4,828.9 5,048.3 5,075.7 5,330.8By End‐User
Net Claims on the Public Sector (Public Sector 1,359.3 1,359.5 1,370.7 1,379.8 1,371.1 1,313.8 1,319.2 1,554.4 1,362.2 1,387.7 1,401.1 1,336.9Claims on Other Sectors (Private Sector) 2,642.7 2,739.0 2,763.4 2,930.7 2,921.0 3,116.7 3,213.8 3,391.1 3,466.7 3,660.6 3,674.6 3,993.8
By InstitutionBangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 179.8 153.9 90.7 170.8 110.7 ‐10.0 8.3 241.3 ‐12.5 24.8 74.5 ‐51.8Other Depository Corporations 3,822.2 3,944.6 4,043.4 4,139.6 4,181.5 4,440.5 4,524.7 4,704.2 4,841.5 5,023.5 5,001.2 5,382.6
3. Net Other Items ‐1,437.9 ‐1,612.5 ‐1,586.8 ‐1,658.8 ‐1,818.7 ‐1,945.0 ‐2,368.5 ‐2,450.8 ‐2,458.9 ‐2,418.8 ‐2,642.7 ‐2,356.8
C. Net Foreign Assets 2,460.6 2,647.8 2,610.1 2,849.2 2,903.4 3,039.2 3,260.5 3,251.1 3,245.4 3,193.5 3,302.6 3,246.7
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 2,037.5 2,233.3 2,334.9 2,710.7 2,843.0 2,971.6 3,272.3 3,287.5 3,250.0 3,200.7 3,406.5 3,426.9Net International Reserves 2,064.5 2,260.9 2,360.2 2,732.4 2,863.6 2,991.8 3,292.0 3,307.1 3,268.0 3,218.4 3,423.3 3,443.5
Foreign Assets 2,065.2 2,261.1 2,360.9 2,732.5 2,864.2 2,991.9 3,292.5 3,307.2 3,268.5 3,218.5 3,423.8 3,443.6Foreign Liabilities 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.1
Medium‐ and Long‐Term Foreign Liabilities 27.1 27.6 25.3 21.7 20.6 20.2 19.7 19.6 18.0 17.6 16.8 16.6
Other Depository Corporations 423.2 414.5 275.1 138.5 60.4 67.5 ‐11.8 ‐36.3 ‐4.5 ‐7.2 ‐103.9 ‐180.2Foreign Assets 836.8 799.1 720.3 690.8 659.3 639.8 667.8 599.1 618.4 632.1 620.7 593.2Foreign Liabilities 413.6 384.7 445.2 552.3 598.9 572.2 679.6 635.4 622.9 639.3 724.6 773.4
Note: Details may not add up due to rounding.Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)
20122010 2011
6 SELECTED DOMESTIC INTEREST RATESfor periods indicated; in percent per annum
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Interbank Call Loans 4.1707 4.2593 4.1819 4.2416 4.2491 4.6535 4.6849 4.6661 4.3456 4.1547 3.9554 3.6832 0.2707 0.4593 0.2819 0.6416 ‐0.2509 ‐0.2465 ‐0.0151 ‐0.0339 1.2456 1.2547 0.4554 0.6832Savings Deposits 1.6580 1.5640 1.5840 1.5940 1.5490 1.5920 1.7800 1.5580 1.5180 1.2940 1.2910 1.2640 ‐2.2420 ‐2.2360 ‐2.3160 ‐2.0060 ‐2.9510 ‐3.3080 ‐2.9200 ‐3.1420 ‐1.5820 ‐1.6060 ‐2.2090 ‐1.7360Time Deposits (All Maturities) 3.0610 2.9220 3.0050 2.9740 2.6150 2.8880 2.9120 2.9400 2.7420 2.8370 2.7740 2.9340 ‐0.8390 ‐0.8780 ‐0.8950 ‐0.6260 ‐1.8850 ‐2.0120 ‐1.7880 ‐1.7600 ‐0.3580 ‐0.0630 ‐0.7260 ‐0.0660Manila Reference Rates (All Maturities) 2 4.8125 4.8125 4.8750 4.8125 4.7500 4.6875 4.8750 4.8750 5.0625 4.9375 4.5625 3.4375 0.9125 1.0125 0.9750 1.2125 0.2500 ‐0.2125 0.1750 0.1750 1.9625 2.0375 1.0625 0.4375
Lending Rates
8.9229 8.8744 8.8809 8.1141 7.5010 7.6660 7.9797 7.8408 7.9840 8.0219 7.8091 7.5378 5.0229 5.0744 4.9809 4.5141 3.0010 2.7660 3.2797 3.1408 4.8840 5.1219 4.3091 4.53786.8231 6.6932 6.6742 5.9971 5.3930 5.5488 5.8310 5.6983 5.6636 5.7576 5.5490 5.2894 2.9231 2.8932 2.7742 2.3971 0.8930 0.6488 1.1310 0.9983 2.5636 2.8576 2.0490 2.28947.8860 7.7420 7.6460 7.4080 6.8320 6.5550 7.0080 6.2200 6.0510 5.7040 5.4840 5.4550 3.9860 3.9420 3.7460 3.8080 2.3320 1.6550 2.3080 1.5200 2.9510 2.8040 1.9840 2.4550
Bangko Sentral Rates
6.0000 N.T. N.T. N.T. 6.0000 6.2500 6.5000 N.T. 6.5000 N.T. 5.7500 N.T. 2.1000 N.T. N.T. N.T. 1.5000 1.3500 1.8000 N.T. 3.4000 N.T. 2.2500 N.T.N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T. N.T.
4.0000 4.0000 4.0000 4.0000 4.0227 4.4066 4.5000 4.5000 4.2205 4.0000 3.8192 3.5000 0.1000 0.2000 0.1000 0.4000 ‐0.4773 ‐0.4934 ‐0.2000 ‐0.2000 1.1205 1.1000 0.3192 0.5000N.T. 4.0794 N.T. 4.1011 4.0625 4.5748 N.T. 4.5994 N.T. 4.0696 3.9512 3.6786 N.T. 0.2794 N.T. 0.5011 ‐0.4375 ‐0.3252 N.T. ‐0.1006 N.T. 1.1696 0.4512 0.6786
3.8333 4.0000 4.0000 4.0000 4.0140 4.4057 4.5000 4.5000 4.1997 4.0000 3.8310 3.5760 ‐0.0667 0.2000 0.1000 0.4000 ‐0.4860 ‐0.4943 ‐0.2000 ‐0.2000 1.0997 1.1000 0.3310 0.5760
Rate on Government Securities
Treasury Bills, All Maturities 4.2270 4.1550 4.3270 3.2130 2.3360 1.7700 1.7610 1.2920 2.2200 2.4400 1.9870 0.7160 0.3270 0.3550 0.4270 ‐0.3870 ‐2.1640 ‐3.1300 ‐2.9390 ‐3.4080 ‐0.8800 ‐0.4600 ‐1.5130 ‐2.28403.9050 3.8710 3.9630 2.6260 1.1670 1.4550 1.4850 1.1480 1.8840 2.3340 1.4580 0.3450 0.0050 0.0710 0.0630 ‐0.9740 ‐3.3330 ‐3.4450 ‐3.2150 ‐3.5520 ‐1.2160 ‐0.5660 ‐2.0420 ‐2.65504.1220 4.0900 4.2780 3.1420 2.0640 1.0830 1.8050 1.2690 2.2080 2.3080 1.8250 0.6790 0.2220 0.2900 0.3780 ‐0.4580 ‐2.4360 ‐3.8170 ‐2.8950 ‐3.4310 ‐0.8920 ‐0.5920 ‐1.6750 ‐2.32104.5160 4.4850 4.5200 3.4490 2.9060 2.3820 1.8940 1.4150 2.6110 2.5310 2.2280 0.8270 0.6160 0.6850 0.6200 ‐0.1510 ‐1.5940 ‐2.5180 ‐2.8060 ‐3.2850 ‐0.4890 ‐0.3690 ‐1.2720 ‐2.1730
Government Securities in the Secondary Market 5
3 months 3.9865 4.0865 4.1742 1.3192 1.2231 3.0731 2.9627 1.6581 2.5212 2.3812 0.8038 0.4865 0.0865 0.4865 0.3742 ‐2.2808 ‐3.6769 ‐2.1269 ‐1.7373 ‐2.5419 ‐0.0788 ‐0.4188 ‐2.7962 ‐2.41356 months 4.1396 4.3135 4.4135 1.8077 1.4158 3.1692 2.2231 1.7542 2.5327 2.4885 1.2042 0.7885 0.2396 0.7135 0.6135 ‐1.7923 ‐3.4842 ‐2.0308 ‐2.4769 ‐2.4458 ‐0.0673 ‐0.3115 ‐2.3958 ‐2.11151 year 4.4577 4.6996 4.6012 2.5192 2.4785 3.2842 1.7269 1.9715 3.1665 2.6419 1.6885 0.9885 0.5577 1.0996 0.8012 ‐1.0808 ‐2.4215 ‐1.9158 ‐2.9731 ‐2.2285 0.5665 ‐0.1581 ‐1.9115 ‐1.91152 years 4.8308 5.2769 5.0865 3.4846 4.5012 4.1362 3.0269 2.6673 3.3462 3.1385 2.7250 3.0577 0.9308 1.6769 1.2865 ‐0.1154 ‐0.3988 ‐1.0638 ‐1.6731 ‐1.5327 0.7462 0.3385 ‐0.8750 0.15773 years 5.2135 5.4923 5.1846 4.2288 5.2942 4.6146 3.8923 3.4423 3.8038 3.9135 3.9077 3.8258 1.3135 1.8923 1.3846 0.6288 0.3942 ‐0.5854 ‐0.8077 ‐0.7577 1.2038 1.1135 0.3077 0.92584 years 5.8962 5.9404 5.2538 4.5019 5.9615 5.0265 5.1235 4.7885 4.7596 4.6462 4.4692 3.9865 1.9962 2.3404 1.4538 0.9019 1.0615 ‐0.1735 0.4235 0.5885 2.1596 1.8462 0.8692 1.08655 years 6.4190 6.4058 5.4738 5.0308 6.0481 5.1865 5.5308 5.0823 4.8250 5.1058 4.7096 4.1058 2.5190 2.8058 1.6738 1.4308 1.1481 ‐0.0135 0.8308 0.8823 2.2250 2.3058 1.1096 1.20587 years 7.1862 7.2423 5.8519 5.3719 6.7165 5.8704 5.4519 5.2650 5.1462 5.1673 4.8462 4.1385 3.2862 3.6423 2.0519 1.7719 1.8165 0.6704 0.7519 1.0650 2.5462 2.3673 1.2462 1.238510 years 8.0400 7.9291 6.2327 6.1000 7.2062 6.5585 6.2269 5.4135 5.7962 5.9192 4.8962 4.4000 4.1400 4.3291 2.4327 2.5000 2.3062 1.3585 1.5269 1.2135 3.1962 3.1192 1.2962 1.500020 years 9.1077 8.8858 8.0981 8.1692 8.2308 8.2212 7.4750 6.5827 6.0072 6.0227 5.8487 5.9692 5.2077 5.2858 4.2981 4.5692 3.3308 3.0212 2.7750 2.3827 3.4072 3.2227 2.2487 3.069225 years 9.2096 9.1365 8.1673 8.1727 8.0765 8.2000 7.6654 6.5731 6.4469 6.3827 6.0454 5.8962 5.3096 5.5365 4.3673 4.5727 3.1765 3.0000 2.9654 2.3731 3.8469 3.5827 2.4454 2.9962
1 Nominal interest rate less inflation rate2 Refers to the New MRR based on combined transactions on time deposits and promissory notes of reporting commercial banks3 Refers to the weighted average interest rate of reporting commercial banks' interest incomes on their outstanding peso‐denominated loans4 Weighted average of transacted rates5 End‐of‐period
N.T. ‐ No transactions
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
182‐Days 364‐Days
R/P (Term) 4
RR/P (Overnight) 4
RR/P (Term) 4
Rediscounting
2012REAL INTEREST RATES 1
91‐Days
R/P (Overnight) 4
NOMINAL INTEREST RATES
2010 2011
HighLowAll Maturities 3
2010 2011 2012
7 NUMBER OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1
as of period indicated
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
TOTAL 24,013 24,188 24,466 24,870 25,078 25,544 25,828 26,173 26,515 26,787 26,745Head Offices 7,361 7,361 7,349 7,386 7,379 7,411 7,433 7,418 7,436 7,424 7,271Branches/Agencies 16,652 16,827 17,117 17,484 17,699 18,133 18,395 18,755 19,079 19,363 19,474
A. BANKS 8,663 8,685 8,740 8,869 8,870 8,915 8,965 9,050 9,186 9,207 9,301Head Offices 779 773 764 758 746 739 730 726 723 712 705Branches/Agencies 7,884 7,912 7,976 8,111 8,124 8,176 8,235 8,324 8,463 8,495 8,596
1. Universal and Commercial Banks 4,545 4,596 4,615 4,679 4,695 4,764 4,813 4,857 4,904 4,965 5,028Head Offices 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 37 37Branches/Agencies 4,507 4,558 4,577 4,641 4,657 4,726 4,775 4,819 4,866 4,928 4,991
2. Thrift Banks 1,339 1,329 1,395 1,419 1,419 1,381 1,394 1,491 1,545 1,522 1,545Head Offices 74 74 73 73 73 72 70 71 71 69 69Branches/Agencies 1,265 1,255 1,322 1,346 1,346 1,309 1,324 1,420 1,474 1,453 1,476
a. Savings and Mortgage Banks 866 856 922 939 894 854 887 979 1,007 1,003 1,020Head Offices 29 29 29 29 28 27 27 28 28 28 28Branches/Agencies 837 827 893 910 866 827 860 951 979 975 992
b. Private Development Banks 308 308 309 313 357 358 340 344 367 341 346Head Offices 19 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 19 18 18Branches/Agencies 289 289 290 294 337 338 321 325 348 323 328
c. Stock Savings and Loan Associations 138 138 137 140 141 142 140 141 144 150 151Head Offices 23 23 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 20 20Branches/Agencies 115 115 115 118 119 120 119 120 123 130 131
d. Microfinance Banks 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 28 28Head Offices 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3Branches/Agencies 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 25 25
3. Rural Banks 2,779 2,760 2,730 2,771 2,756 2,770 2,758 2,702 2,737 2,720 2,728Head Offices 667 661 653 647 635 629 622 617 614 606 599Branches/Agencies 2,112 2,099 2,077 2,124 2,121 2,141 2,136 2,085 2,123 2,114 2,129
B. NON ‐BANKING FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 15,350 15,503 15,726 16,001 16,208 16,629 16,863 17,123 17,329 17,580 17,444Head Offices 6,582 6,588 6,585 6,628 6,633 6,672 6,703 6,692 6,713 6,712 6,566Branches/Agencies 8,768 8,915 9,141 9,373 9,575 9,957 10,160 10,431 10,616 10,868 10,878
1. Investment Houses 34 34 34 34 28 28 28 27 27 27 27Head Offices 21 21 21 21 18 18 18 17 17 17 17Branches/Agencies 13 13 13 13 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
2. Finance Companies 49 48 55 55 47 47 47 47 46 85 85Head Offices 24 23 24 24 21 21 21 21 20 20 20Branches/Agencies 25 25 31 31 26 26 26 26 26 65 65
3. Investment Companies 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4Branches/Agencies ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4. Securities Dealers/Brokers 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 13 13Head Offices 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 13 13Branches/Agencies ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
5. Pawnshops 14,953 15,105 15,321 15,596 15,818 16,239 16,467 16,729 16,936 17,128 16,992Head Offices 6,321 6,328 6,324 6,367 6,381 6,420 6,451 6,442 6,464 6,463 6,317Branches/Agencies 8,632 8,777 8,997 9,229 9,437 9,819 10,016 10,287 10,472 10,665 10,675
6. Lending Investors 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1Head Offices 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1Branches/Agencies ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
7. Non‐Stock Savings and Loan Associations 164 166 166 166 167 167 174 174 174 195 195Head Offices 70 70 70 70 69 69 70 70 70 71 71Branches/Agencies 94 96 96 96 98 98 104 104 104 124 124
8. Private Insurance Companies 2 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119Head Offices 115 115 115 115 115 115 115 115 115 115 115Branches/Agencies 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
9. Government Non‐Banks 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4Branches/Agencies ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
10. Venture Capital Coporations 1 1 1 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐Head Offices 1 1 1 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐Branches/Agencies ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
11. Credit Card Companies 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3Branches/Agencies ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
12. Other Non‐Bank with QBF 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1Branches/Agencies ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1 Refers to the number of financial establishments which includes the head offices and branches; excludes the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas.
Starting Q4 2009, data include other banking offices per Circular 505 and 624 dated 22 December 2005 and 13 October 2008, respectively;
(Other banking offices refer to any office or place of business in the Philippines other than the head office, branch or extension office, which primarily engages in
banking activities other than the acceptance of deposits and/or servicing of withdrawals thru tellers and other authorized personnel.)
2 Covers only the head offices and their foreign branches.
p Preliminary
‐ zero or nil
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)
2010 2011 2012
8 TOTAL RESOURCES OF THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM 1
as of periods indicated; in billion pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 *
TOTAL 8,206.2 8,363.7 8,537.4 9,046.3 8,958.8 9,208.5 9,286.8 9,587.0 9,450.4 9,711.5 9,904.4 p 10,178.5 p
Banks 6,498.1 6,623.5 6,726.2 7,230.2 7,119.6 7,314.2 7,360.6 7,643.4 7,464.3 7,671.5 7,864.4 p 8,138.5 p
Universal and Commercial Banks 2 5,773.6 5,889.9 5,955.0 6,423.7 6,350.5 6,548.1 6,598.1 6,833.0 6,668.0 6,877.6 7,054.3 7,279.9
Thrift Banks 2 552.5 558.2 597.5 626.4 587.5 581.5 576.9 623.6 608.6 606.2 622.4 670.9
Rural Banks 172.0 175.4 173.6 180.1 181.7 184.6 185.6 186.8 187.8 187.6 187.6 a 187.6 a
Non‐Banks 3 1,708.1 1,740.2 1,811.2 1,816.1 1,839.1 1,894.3 1,926.2 1,943.6 1,986.0 2,040.1 2,040.1 a 2,040.1 a
Note: Data on universal, commercial banks and thrift banks are based on the new Financial Reporting Package (FRP) beginning March 2008.
Data on non‐banks are based on the Consolidated Statement of Condition (CSOC).
Data on rural banks are based on CSOC up to September 2010. Data from October 2010 onwards are based on FRP for some banks and CSOC for other banks.
Details may not add up to total due to rounding.1 Excluding the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas; amount includes allowance for probable losses2 Based on the new FRP that was implemented beginning March 2008; asset is valued gross of amortization, depreciation and allowance for probable losses; prior to 2008, data were based on CSOC which
valued assets as gross of allowance for probable losses and net of amortization and depreciation.3 Includes investment houses, finance companies, investment companies, securities dealers/brokers, pawnshops, lending investors, non‐stock savings and loan associations, venture capital corporations and
credit card companies which are under the BSP's supervision; also includes private and government insurance companies (SSS and GSIS).p preliminary* As of end‐November 2012a As of end‐June 2012
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)
2010 2011 2012
9 RATIOS OF NON‐PERFORMING LOANS (NPL) AND LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS (LLP) TO TOTAL LOANS OF THE BANKING SYSTEM 1
as of periods indicated; in percent
Total
Universal Banks and Commercial
Banks
Thrift Banks
Rural Banks
Total
Universal Banks and Commercial
Banks
Thrift Banks
Rural Banks
Total
Universal Banks and Commercial
Banks
Thrift Banks
Rural Banks
Total
Universal Banks and Commercial
Banks
Thrift Banks
Rural Banks
Total
Universal Banks and Commercial
Banks
Thrift Banks
Rural Banks
3.928 3.215 7.849 9.425 3.696 3.634 3.958 4.409 2,951.251 2,531.003 320.902 99.346 115.934 81.382 25.189 9.363 109.064 91.982 12.702 4.3803.957 3.268 7.928 9.418 3.657 3.557 4.206 4.567 3,109.283 2,682.230 326.275 100.778 123.027 87.668 25.868 9.491 113.720 95.394 13.723 4.6033.880 3.113 8.213 9.629 3.741 3.646 4.227 4.635 3,111.497 2,670.645 343.058 97.794 120.735 83.141 28.177 9.417 116.412 97.379 14.500 4.5333.577 2.863 7.322 9.884 3.499 3.392 3.929 4.920 3,265.220 2,802.041 359.484 103.695 116.787 80.215 26.323 10.249 114.265 95.040 14.123 5.102
3.718 2.986 7.306 10.105 3.769 3.594 4.693 5.096 3,231.753 2,759.938 354.660 117.155 120.159 82.410 25.911 11.838 121.812 99.197 16.645 5.9703.101 2.446 6.183 10.190 3.214 3.087 3.648 5.107 3,518.199 3,030.631 367.867 119.701 109.087 74.143 22.746 12.198 113.081 93.548 13.420 6.1133.112 2.460 6.228 9.968 3.189 3.043 3.736 5.175 3,507.179 3,021.051 364.469 121.659 109.152 74.326 22.699 12.127 111.858 91.944 13.618 6.2963.212 2.538 6.620 10.138 3.180 3.023 3.871 5.106 3,525.549 3,048.399 356.187 120.963 113.226 77.382 23.581 12.263 112.104 92.141 13.787 6.1762.848 2.233 5.721 10.138 2.952 2.821 3.374 5.106 3,726.799 3,222.105 383.731 120.963 106.154 71.938 21.953 12.263 110.025 90.903 12.946 6.176
3.007 2.361 5.823 10.463 3.128 2.950 3.842 5.367 3,683.479 3,161.121 399.729 122.629 110.757 74.648 23.278 12.831 115.203 93.263 15.358 6.5822.642 p 2.058 4.972 10.463 a 2.971 p 2.808 3.557 5.367 a 3,908.005 p 3,355.367 430.009 122.629 a 103.255 p 69.045 21.379 12.831 a 116.093 p 94.215 15.296 6.582 a
2.628 p 2.050 4.972 b 10.463 a 2.952 p 2.789 3.557 b 5.367 a 3,963.648 p 3,411.010 430.009 b 122.629 a 104.149 p 69.939 21.379 b 12.831 a 116.995 p 95.117 15.296 b 6.582 a
2.575 p 1.998 4.972 b 10.463 a 2.935 p 2.771 3.557 b 5.367 a 4,012.581 p 3,459.943 430.009 b 122.629 a 103.329 p 69.119 21.379 b 12.831 a 117.766 p 95.888 15.296 b 6.582 a
1 Data include banks under liquidation, foreign office transactions and interbank loans.p Preliminarya As of end March 2012b As of end June 2012Source: Supervisory Data Center (SDC)/Department of Economic Statistics (DES)
Oct
2012MarJunSepOct
Dec
2011MarJunSep
MarJunSepDec
2010
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS (LLP)TOTAL NPL/TOTAL LOANS TOTAL LLP/TOTAL LOANS TOTAL LOANS NON‐PERFORMING LOANS (NPL)
10 STOCK MARKET TRANSACTIONSvolume in million shares; value in million pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
VOLUME 81,561.9 116,556.1 140,630.9 90,818.7 144,561.7 232,516.1 431,850.7 247,665.2 402,134.6 152,893.3 116,967.0 371,124.1Financials 706.9 1,102.6 1,232.8 1,045.1 649.8 629.8 1,437.0 1,407.0 1,619.1 1,153.4 991.1 1,434.9Industrial 8,211.6 9,193.1 12,575.0 8,006.7 6,459.5 5,767.2 29,367.4 7,523.8 31,502.6 13,358.4 16,362.0 81,440.2Holding Firms 9,992.8 18,706.3 31,402.9 13,802.8 23,546.0 11,491.6 22,863.9 10,799.8 21,750.9 7,081.5 9,092.3 143,645.9Property 16,449.0 13,428.3 24,833.8 15,387.5 19,404.6 13,990.8 18,584.9 12,717.7 25,507.1 18,144.9 14,136.5 18,676.1Services 11,163.4 10,513.6 9,146.3 5,881.9 5,078.6 4,239.7 18,563.1 16,441.6 14,404.0 10,480.3 15,809.8 44,604.6Mining and Oil 35,038.1 63,612.2 61,439.7 46,693.1 89,423.2 196,397.0 341,034.3 198,775.4 307,350.8 102,674.8 60,575.1 81,321.3SME 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.3
VALUE 231,787.4 281,511.8 329,652.7 364,480.1 325,016.5 336,795.1 384,522.5 376,257.7 502,081.2 445,648.0 359,916.2 464,065.9Financials 19,249.4 42,952.0 49,558.7 48,136.4 31,968.1 34,907.8 49,817.9 53,460.4 74,928.9 60,289.2 51,589.3 96,175.3Industrial 97,933.0 106,428.1 91,394.1 80,222.1 100,461.7 92,832.9 107,984.2 72,814.8 114,995.4 132,721.2 69,893.6 101,501.5Holding Firms 36,333.4 52,522.4 66,888.3 75,356.0 74,750.5 79,750.3 63,531.9 70,700.4 106,954.1 104,977.4 87,474.2 101,072.6Property 29,785.7 34,188.0 55,933.4 51,893.5 39,979.0 35,069.7 39,404.4 35,773.1 58,562.3 52,982.6 65,675.3 66,954.9Services 36,228.1 33,743.6 43,995.4 78,756.3 53,189.5 47,266.2 44,127.9 91,303.8 78,836.7 59,063.5 67,397.3 81,771.9Mining and Oil 12,257.6 11,677.1 21,882.4 30,067.5 24,667.6 46,968.0 79,655.1 52,201.0 67,803.3 35,614.0 17,885.4 16,579.0SME 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.4 0.5 0.0 1.1 10.7
Composite Index 3,161.8 3,372.7 4,100.1 4,201.1 4,055.1 4,291.2 3,999.7 4,372.0 5,107.7 5,246.4 5,346.1 5,812.7
Note: Details may not add up due to rounding.Source: Philippine Stock Exchange
2010 2011 2012
11PHILIPPINES: BALANCE OF PAYMENTSfor periods indicated; in million US dollars
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4 2012
Current Account 798 2,102 1,845 2,225 393 2,276 2,249 2,208 ‐0.8Export 20,109 20,612 21,110 20,358 21,488 23,470 23,914 23,504 15.5Import 19,311 18,510 19,265 18,133 21,095 21,194 21,665 21,296 17.4
Goods, Services, and Primary Income ‐3,391 ‐2,525 ‐2,867 ‐2,627 ‐3,913 ‐2,486 ‐2,616 ‐3,031 ‐15.4Export 15,806 15,866 16,274 15,391 17,045 18,592 18,913 18,108 17.7Import 19,197 18,391 19,141 18,018 20,958 21,078 21,529 21,139 17.3
Goods and Services ‐3,018 ‐2,663 ‐2,814 ‐3,195 ‐3,256 ‐2,540 ‐2,244 ‐3,260 ‐2.0Export 14,129 14,078 14,441 13,486 15,170 16,657 16,945 16,112 19.5Import 17,147 16,741 17,255 16,681 18,426 19,197 19,189 19,372 16.1
Goods ‐4,305 ‐3,607 ‐4,156 ‐4,905 ‐4,787 ‐2,696 ‐3,021 ‐4,701 4.2Credit: Exports 9,621 10,072 9,958 8,625 10,339 12,692 12,262 10,991 27.4Debit: Imports 13,926 13,679 14,114 13,530 15,126 15,388 15,283 15,692 16.0
Services 1,287 944 1,342 1,710 1,531 156 777 1,441 ‐15.7Credit: Exports 4,508 4,006 4,483 4,861 4,831 3,965 4,683 5,121 5.3Debit: Imports 3,221 3,062 3,141 3,151 3,300 3,809 3,906 3,680 16.8
Primary Income ‐373 138 ‐53 568 ‐657 54 ‐372 229 ‐59.7Credit: Receipts 1,677 1,788 1,833 1,905 1,875 1,935 1,968 1,996 4.8Debit: Payments 2,050 1,650 1,886 1,337 2,532 1,881 2,340 1,767 32.2
Secondary Income 4,189 4,627 4,712 4,852 4,306 4,762 4,865 5,239 8.0Credit: Receipts 4,303 4,746 4,836 4,967 4,443 4,878 5,001 5,396 8.6Debit: Payments 114 119 124 115 137 116 136 157 36.5
Capital Account 22 24 54 30 25 30 33 48 60.0Credit: Receipts 26 26 58 59 28 33 40 51 ‐13.6Debit: Payments 4 2 4 29 3 3 7 3 ‐89.7
Financial Account ‐4,544 ‐2,192 ‐3,217 4,343 ‐4,821 722 510 ‐2,542 ‐158.5Net Acquisition of Financial Assets ‐1,846 ‐862 ‐136 3,277 ‐1,584 1,075 3,567 1,076 ‐67.2Net Incurrence of Liabilities 2,698 1,330 3,081 ‐1,066 3,237 353 3,057 3,618 439.4
Direct Investment ‐405 ‐437 ‐90 ‐345 ‐898 80 ‐42 ‐92 73.3Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 148 151 115 125 526 629 317 373 198.4Net Incurrence of Liabilities 553 588 205 470 1,424 549 359 465 ‐1.1
Portfolio Investment ‐2,369 ‐2,124 ‐772 875 ‐1,248 ‐363 ‐61 ‐1,851 ‐311.5Net Acquisition of Financial Assets ‐144 ‐280 190 ‐43 786 ‐50 423 45 204.7Net Incurrence of Liabilities 2,225 1,844 962 ‐918 2,034 313 484 1,896 306.5
Financial Derivatives ‐895 ‐62 43 ‐88 ‐60 2 18 27 130.7Net Acquisition of Financial Assets ‐983 ‐307 ‐110 ‐141 ‐125 ‐59 ‐56 ‐36 74.5Net Incurrence of Liabilities ‐88 ‐245 ‐153 ‐53 ‐65 ‐61 ‐74 ‐63 ‐18.9
Other Investment ‐875 431 ‐2,398 3,901 ‐2,615 1,003 595 ‐626 ‐116.0Net Acquisition of Financial Assets ‐867 ‐426 ‐331 3,336 ‐2,771 555 2,883 694 ‐79.2Net Incurrence of Liabilities 8 ‐857 2,067 ‐565 ‐156 ‐448 2,288 1,320 333.6
Net Unclassified Items ‐1,706 ‐2,465 315 2,546 ‐3,996 ‐1,511 2,743 ‐1,393 ‐154.7
Overall BOP Position 3,658 1,853 5,431 458 1,243 73 4,515 3,405 643.4
Debit: Change in Reserve Assets 3,668 1,843 5,441 447 1,253 62 4,526 3,394 659.3
Credit: Change in Reserve Liabilities 10 ‐10 10 ‐11 10 ‐11 11 ‐11 0.0Use of Fund Credits 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0Short‐term 10 ‐10 10 ‐11 10 ‐11 11 ‐11 0.0
p preliminary
Technical Notes:
1. Balance of Payments Statistics were revised based on the IMF's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, 6th edition.
2. Financial Account, including Reserve Assets, is calculated as sum of net acquisitions of financial assets less net incurrence of liabilities.
3. Balances in the current and capital accounts are derived by deducting debit entries from credit entries.
4. Balances in the financial account are derived by deducting net incurrence of liabilities from net acquisition of financial assets.
5. Negative values of Net Acquisition of Financial Assets indicate withdrawal/disposal of financial assets; negative values of Net Incurrence of Liabilities indicate repayment of liabilities.
6. Overall BOP position is calculated as the change in the country's net international reserves (NIR) less non‐economic trasactions (revaluation and gold monetization/demonetization).
Alternatively, it can be derived by adding the current and capital account balances less financial account plus net unclassified items.
7. Net unclassified items is an offsetting account to the overstatement or understatement in either receipts or payments of the recorded BOP components vis‐à‐vis the overall BOP position.
8. Data on deposit‐taking corporations, except the central bank consist of transactions of commercial and thrift banks and offshore banking units (OBUs).
2012Growth
Rates (in %)2011
11a EXPORTS BY MAJOR COMMODITY GROUPfor periods indicatedvolume in 000 metric tons; unit price in U.S.$/m.t.; fob value in million U.S. dollars; growth rates in percent
C o m m o d i t i e s Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value
Coconut Products 537 481 425 341 328 378 322 336 ‐1.5 Copra 0 0 0 .. 1063 ‐‐ .. 760 ‐‐ .. 1155 ‐‐ .. 1179 ‐‐ .. 1397 ‐‐ .. 538 ‐‐ .. 1166 ‐‐ 0.0 1.0 0.0 Coconut Oil 261 1789 467 190 2008 381 188 1718 323 188 1354 255 171 1420 242 224 1313 294 217 1111 241 246 969 238 30.9 ‐28.4 ‐6.7 Desiccated Coconut 23 2337 53 28 2755 77 31 2811 87 27 2560 70 26 2506 66 24 2203 54 12 3210 37 6 6519 39 ‐77.8 154.6 ‐44.3 Copra Meal/Cake 74 190 14 106 188 20 67 185 12 67 184 12 61 205 12 112 195 22 152 250 38 122 409 50 82.1 122.3 316.7 Others 2 3 3 5 6 7 6 8 60.0Sugar and Products 23 67 138 162 48 48 26 55 ‐66.0 Centrifugal & Refined 26 670 18 86 692 59 207 605 126 263 578 48 76 533 40 81 557 45 45 516 9 .. 1090 ‐‐ 0.0 88.6 0.0 Molasses 28 163 5 55 116 6 114 92 5 103 85 9 70 93 6 6 122 1 12 143 2 36 344 12 ‐65.0 304.7 33.3 Others 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 43 4200.0Fruits and Vegetables 203 257 276 255 247 312 323 324 27.1 Canned Pineapple 31 940 29 35 967 33 71 958 68 71 918 65 54 984 53 51 1011 51 65 991 65 52 955 50 ‐26.8 4.0 ‐23.1 Pineapple Juice 17 541 9 19 564 11 27 527 14 16 594 9 22 569 12 19 576 11 30 545 16 19 604 11 18.8 1.7 22.2 Pineapple Concentrates 8 1264 10 9 1120 10 8 1192 9 8 1176 9 6 1073 6 9 1295 12 7 1319 9 11 1411 16 37.5 20.0 77.8 Bananas 467 220 103 540 236 128 532 230 122 517 231 120 431 262 113 636 250 159 693 262 181 886 218 193 71.4 ‐5.6 60.8 Mangoes 5 700 4 8 822 6 4 892 4 4 744 3 5 741 4 8 798 7 4 851 3 1 1440 1 ‐75.0 93.5 ‐66.7 Others 48 69 58 49 57 72 49 51 4.1Other Agro‐Based Products 188 200 231 236 203 222 184 197 ‐16.5 Fish, Fresh or Preserved 26 2954 77 25 3503 88 22 4341 96 27 3919 106 25 4197 106 28 4373 122 21 4868 101 19 4779 90 ‐29.6 21.9 ‐15.1 Of which: Shrimps & Prawns 1 7692 10 2 7998 13 2 10246 17 2 9391 19 1 10880 9 1 9936 12 .. 10973 5 1 111 9 ‐50.0 ‐98.8 ‐52.6 Coffee, Raw, not Roasted .. 16242 ‐‐ .. 6124 ‐‐ .. 16686 ‐‐ 0 0 0 .. 4607 ‐‐ .. 7088 ‐‐ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Abaca Fibers 2 1307 3 3 1273 4 4 1179 4 2 1431 3 5 256 1 1 1382 2 3 612 2 1 715 1 ‐50.0 ‐50.0 ‐66.7 Tobacco,Unmanufactured 9 2647 25 9 2815 24 14 2895 40 13 3208 42 8 2627 21 7 2642 18 6 3040 17 6 3040 20 ‐53.8 ‐5.2 ‐52.4 Natural Rubber 10 1676 17 9 2030 19 12 2020 24 11 1844 21 8 1423 12 11 1418 15 10 1626 17 9 1929 18 ‐18.2 4.6 ‐14.3 Ramie Fibers, Raw or Processed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .. 12947 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Seaweeds, Dried 6 2196 14 6 2557 15 6 2447 14 8 1550 12 5 2519 13 6 1331 8 3 1157 4 7 915 6 ‐12.5 ‐41.0 ‐50.0 Rice 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Others 52 49 53 53 50 57 43 62 17.0Forest Products 1/ 6 11 15 18 9 13 21 15 ‐16.7 Logs 1 39 0 1 38 0 .. 175 ‐‐ 0 0 0 .. 35 ‐‐ .. 38 ‐‐ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Lumber 83 33 3 105 48 5 116 73 8 99 83 8 92 62 6 103 62 6 78 102 8 119 74 9 20.2 ‐10.8 12.5 Plywood 5 678 3 7 837 6 9 728 7 19 449 8 3 901 2 4 758 3 3 971 3 3 831 3 ‐84.2 85.1 ‐62.5 Veneer Sheets/Corestocks .. 753 ‐‐ .. 957 ‐‐ 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 48 ‐‐ .. 10445 ‐‐ 1 189 ‐‐ 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Others ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 1 3 2 ‐‐ 0.0Mineral Products 554 855 764 667 487 579 522 677 1.5 Copper Concentrates 39 1519 60 111 976 108 52 1244 64 63 1687 105 53 1249 66 57 1055 60 38 1565 59 20 744 15 ‐68.3 ‐55.9 ‐85.7 Copper Metal 28 9424 266 43 9484 408 36 9322 335 25 8075 202 22 7648 165 1 8379 8 10 7529 72 32 8087 260 28.0 0.1 28.7 Gold 2/ 26 1202 31 41 1427 58 31 1531 47 48 1645 78 19 1699 32 413 143 59 5 1530 8 6 1680 10 ‐87.5 2.1 ‐87.2 Iron Ore Agglomerates 885 27 24 753 22 16 294 18 5 897 19 17 720 23 16 811 31 25 930 28 26 715 26 19 ‐20.3 36.8 11.8 Chromium Ore 25 99 2 22 86 2 24 101 1 41 39 2 41 50 2 30 93 3 31 73 2 19 66 1 ‐53.7 69.2 ‐50.0 Nickel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 Others 170 263 310 263 206 425 354 373 41.8Petroleum Products 151 265 118 114 124 85 66 190 66.7Manufactures 7931 7916 7968 6786 8819 11014 10781 9152 34.9 Electronic Products 3/ 4168 4175 4138 3158 4696 4419 4399 4317 36.7 Other electronics 386 260 384 417 430 684 716 602 44.4 Garments 3/ 351 360 385 322 384 405 299 311 ‐3.3 Textile Yarns/Fabrics 44 40 51 49 45 45 41 40 ‐18.4 Footwear 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 5 25.0 Travel Goods and Handbags 4 4 17 16 22 10 6 23 43.8 Wood Manufactures 348 422 440 473 468 416 617 659 39.3 Furniture & Fixtures 37 42 46 41 38 55 42 45 9.8 Chemicals 504 482 478 475 435 630 471 407 ‐14.3 Non‐Metallic Mineral Manufactures 47 43 40 47 41 37 34 33 ‐29.8 Machinery & Transport Equipment 789 688 802 531 1036 1559 1757 963 81.4 Processed Food and Beverages 268 307 291 325 329 337 303 478 47.1 Iron & Steel 41 67 47 48 47 78 70 58 20.8 Baby Carr., Toys, Games & Sporting Goods 37 41 60 50 43 57 67 71 42.0 Basketwork, Wickerwork, & Other Articles of Plaiting Materials 12 12 12 11 13 12 6 11 0.0 Misc. Manufactured Articles, n.e.s. 99 98 118 107 122 585 702 125 16.8 Others 3/ 790 872 657 714 666 1682 1359 1007 40.9Special Transactions 3/ 17 10 17 37 58 20 2 12 ‐67.7TOTAL EXPORTS 3/ 9610 10062 9952 8617 10323 12671 12247 10958 27.2 Coverage adjustments 3/ 11 10 5 8 16 22 15 33 312.5TOTAL EXPORTS, BPM6 9621 10072 9957 8625 10339 12693 12262 10991 27.4
.. Less than one thousand metric tons 1/ ‐ Volume in 000 cubic meters; unit price in US$/cu.m.‐‐ Less than one million US$ 2/ ‐ Volume in 000 troy ounces; unit price in US$/oz t.p ‐ Preliminary 3/ Excludes value of goods that do not involve change in ownership such as consigned, returned/replacement, Note: Components may not add up to total due to rounding and temporarily exported goods
Q2Q4Growth Rates
Q4 2012Q12011
Q3Q12012 p
Q4Q2 Q3
11b IMPORTS BY MAJOR COMMODITY GROUP for periods indicated volume in 000 metric tons; unit price in U.S.$/mt; f.o.b. value in million U.S. dollars; growth rates in percent
Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value Volume Price Value
Capital Goods 2396 2183 2754 2642 2863 2959 2672 3254 23.2 Power Generating & Specialized Machines 859 820 901 933 876 952 967 997 6.9 Office & EDP Machines 409 439 527 453 524 525 483 423 ‐6.6 Telecommunication Eqpt. & Elect. Mach. 606 497 638 687 708 613 653 715 4.1
Land Transport Eqpt. excl. Passenger Cars & Motorized Cycle 298 207 285 266 311 309 329 352 32.3Aircraft, Ships & Boats 93 77 260 166 300 424 71 611 268.1
Prof. Sci. & Cont. Inst.; Photographic Eqpt. & Optical Goods 130 143 142 137 144 136 169 155 13.1Raw Materials & Intermediate Goods 6704 6121 5912 5414 6040 6559 6414 6308 16.5
Unprocessed Raw Materials 716 522 856 637 669 472 738 886 39.1 Wheat 642 310 199 505 342 173 647 336 217 993 276 275 681 275 187 723 282 204 926 290 268 666 335 223 ‐32.9 21.4 ‐18.9 Corn 22 386 8 11 1485 16 5 1285 6 29 479 14 94 378 35 15 1374 20 9 638 6 19 863 16 ‐34.5 80.2 14.3 Unmilled cereals excl. rice & corn 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 0.0 Crude materials, inedible 474 285 597 309 400 198 432 626 102.6 Pulp & waste paper 24 24 20 27 14 13 9 7 ‐74.1 Cotton 4 2600 11 4 4036 15 3 3350 9 2 2720 4 2 2143 4 2 1869 4 2 1711 4 1 1519 2 ‐50.0 ‐44.2 ‐50.0 Syn. fibers 10 2677 26 8 3226 25 9 2703 25 7 3111 21 9 2345 20 7 2584 19 8 3318 27 7 3034 23 0.0 ‐2.5 9.5 Metalliferous ores 274 74 412 123 224 7 101 457 271.5 Others 140 147 132 134 138 155 291 137 2.2 Tobacco, unmanufactured 32 45 33 37 44 47 30 18 ‐51.4
Semi‐Processed Raw Materials 5988 5599 5056 4779 5371 6087 5676 5422 13.5 Feeding stuffs for animals 1227 184 225 445 474 211 438 426 187 586 372 218 507 396 201 524 441 231 433 533 230 553 555 306 ‐5.6 49.2 40.4 Animal & vegetable oils & fats 97 149 142 154 145 99 77 62 ‐59.7 Chemical 1667 1596 1583 1525 1598 1543 1644 1469 ‐3.7 Chemical compounds 452 438 400 392 432 354 411 339 ‐13.5 Medicinal & pharmaceutical chemicals 246 233 225 210 224 235 242 259 23.3 Urea 145 376 54 141 323 46 109 376 41 182 396 72 124 378 47 108 397 43 167 386 64 195 358 70 7.1 ‐9.6 ‐2.8 Fertilizer excl. urea 200 329 66 253 312 79 197 336 66 240 341 82 183 343 63 232 345 80 323 353 114 238 340 81 ‐0.8 ‐0.3 ‐1.2 Artificial resins 413 378 446 387 428 407 385 325 ‐16.0 Others 436 423 405 383 404 424 428 394 2.9 Manufactured goods 1378 1339 1343 1296 1272 1341 1245 1284 ‐0.9 Paper & paper products 236 839 198 242 822 199 207 841 174 194 863 167 217 851 185 241 807 195 227 818 186 207 836 173 6.7 ‐3.1 3.6 Textile yarn, fabrics & made‐up articles 175 202 189 181 157 167 146 168 ‐7.2 Non‐metallic mineral mftures. 106 110 106 115 108 138 140 148 28.7 Iron & steel 432 788 340 381 838 319 365 923 337 380 928 353 401 893 358 398 879 350 400 800 320 433 785 340 13.9 ‐15.4 ‐3.7 Non‐ferrous metals 252 220 259 180 185 190 160 155 ‐13.9 Metal products 194 180 157 185 166 173 162 183 ‐1.1 Others 112 110 120 115 113 128 131 116 0.9 Mat/Acc for the mftr. of elect. eqpt. 2620 2303 1759 1526 2156 2804 2480 2282 49.5 Iron ore, not agglomerated 0 0 0 0 0 0 225 186 42 368 160 59 0 0 0 496 139 69 0 0 0 120 160 19 ‐67.4 0.0 ‐67.8
Mineral Fuels & Lubricant 2898 3119 3181 3355 3870 3159 3428 3209 ‐4.4Coal, Coke 1611 82 133 1792 81 146 2028 82 167 1615 95 153 1564 93 146 2192 95 209 2007 87 174 2035 83 169 26.0 ‐12.6 10.5
Petroleum Crude 1/ 17.65 101.51 1792 17.05 115.90 1976 17.97 110.93 1993 18.13 111.63 2024 24.00 103.00 2514 11.00 116.00 1317 17.00 105.00 1829 16.69 111.37 1859 ‐7.9 ‐0.2 ‐8.2
Others 1/ 8.43 115.49 973 7.83 127.43 997 8.27 123.35 1021 9.50 123.90 1177 9.00 134.00 1209 13.00 127.00 1633 12.00 118.00 1424 9.88 119.59 1181 4.0 ‐3.5 0.3Consumer Goods 1598 1851 1830 1710 1706 1910 1985 2093 22.4Durable 768 735 859 851 820 888 897 1077 26.6 Passenger cars & motorized cycle 437 332 451 418 466 501 483 601 43.8 Home appliances 75 78 92 102 69 81 96 114 11.8 Misc. manufactures 257 325 316 331 285 306 318 362 9.4Non‐Durable 830 1116 971 859 886 1022 1088 1015 18.2 Food & live animals chiefly for food 776 1056 894 781 812 955 1009 932 19.3 Dairy products 83 2496 208 80 2975 237 75 2822 212 75 2503 187 75 2671 201 82 2496 204 84 2291 192 80 2062 165 6.7 ‐17.6 ‐11.8 Fish & fish preparation 52 769 40 38 992 38 45 868 39 51 701 36 62 875 55 55 994 54 52 807 42 71 790 56 39.2 12.7 55.6
Rice 2/ 4 895 3 442 489 216 253 498 126 10 923 9 101 276 28 297 422 126 437 416 182 174 322 56 1640.0 ‐65.1 522.2 Fruits & vegetables 72 68 65 117 92 82 75 126 7.7 Others 453 497 452 432 436 489 518 529 22.5 Beverages & tobacco mfture. 14 13 17 26 18 22 23 23 ‐11.5 Articles of apparel, access. 41 47 60 52 56 45 56 60 15.4
Special Transactions 0 0 0 6 0 25 45 31 416.7
TOTAL IMPORTS 3/ 13595 13273 13676 13127 14479 14612 14544 14895 13.5 Coverage Adjustments 331 406 438 403 647 776 739 797 97.8TOTAL IMPORTS, BPM6 13926 13679 14114 13530 15126 15388 15283 15692 16.0
1/ Volume in million barrels; unit price in U.S.$/barrel ‐ ‐ Less than one million US dollars2/ Includes rice imporation arrivals which were contracted in the previous year . . Less than one thousand metric tons3/ Excludes value of goods that do not involve change in ownership such as consigned, returned/replacement, and temporarily imported goodsp ‐ PreliminaryComponents may not add up to total due to rounding.Source: National Statistics Office
2011 Growth Rates (%)Commodities Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q4
2012 pQ3 Q4 2012
12 INTERNATIONAL RESERVESas of periods indicated; in million US dollars
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
Gross International Reserves 45,600 48,704 53,754 62,373 65,983 68,996 75,174 75,302 76,129 76,130 82,029 83,831
Gold 5,952 6,860 7,395 7,010 7,080 7,617 7,457 8,013 10,444 9,981 11,043 10,353 SDRs 1,104 1,076 1,133 1,121 1,154 1,165 1,137 1,118 1,298 1,272 1,293 1,288 Foreign Investments 37,891 40,127 44,785 53,441 57,002 59,478 65,710 65,276 63,536 64,035 68,304 70,728 Foreign Exchange 519 511 306 551 386 362 423 423 334 323 858 927 Reserve Position in the Fund 133 130 137 251 361 374 447 472 517 519 531 534
Net International Reserves 45,584 48,700 53,738 62,370 65,970 68,993 75,161 75,300 76,116 76,128 82,016 83,829
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2010 2011 2012
13 EXCHANGE RATES OF THE PESOperiod averages; pesos per unit of foreign currency
2010 Ave 45.1097 0.5144 59.8705 69.7563 33.1059 5.8067 14.0128 1.4232 0.0050 1.4314 0.0390Q1 46.0272 0.5079 63.7878 71.9671 32.8282 5.9289 13.6505 1.3994 0.0050 1.4419 0.0403Q2 45.5088 0.4944 57.8909 67.8472 32.7181 5.8501 14.0416 1.4064 0.0050 1.4293 0.0391Q3 45.2721 0.5273 58.4785 70.1816 33.3836 5.8263 14.3446 1.4307 0.0050 1.4189 0.0383Q4 43.6305 0.5282 59.3250 69.0294 33.4937 5.6214 14.0147 1.4565 0.0049 1.4356 0.0385
2011 Ave 43.3131 0.5436 60.2791 69.4551 34.4567 5.5645 14.1716 1.4219 0.0049 1.4746 0.0391Q1 43.7971 0.5326 59.8831 70.1690 34.3007 5.6250 14.3739 1.4350 0.0049 1.4968 0.0392Q2 43.2455 0.5298 62.2338 70.5332 34.8688 5.5611 14.3406 1.4297 0.0050 1.4985 0.0400Q3 42.7518 0.5498 60.4390 68.8308 34.9081 5.4859 14.1808 1.4199 0.0050 1.4672 0.0395Q4 43.4582 0.5621 58.5606 68.2874 33.7491 5.5861 13.7911 1.4032 0.0048 1.4360 0.0379
2012 Ave 42.2288 0.5299 54.3079 66.9249 33.8041 5.4441 13.6818 1.3595 0.0045 1.4282 0.0375Q1 43.0458 0.5439 56.4446 67.6303 34.0552 5.5473 14.0628 1.3891 0.0048 1.4495 0.0381Q2 42.7759 0.5342 54.9295 67.7274 33.8580 5.5113 13.7539 1.3688 0.0046 1.4444 0.0371Q3 41.8999 0.5331 52.4566 66.2201 33.6078 5.4029 13.4270 1.3367 0.0044 1.4052 0.0370Q4 41.1937 0.5085 53.4008 66.1217 33.6952 5.3150 13.4833 1.3434 0.0043 1.4138 0.0378
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Malaysian Ringgit
Thailand Baht
Indonesian Rupiah
New Taiwan Dollar
South Korean Won
PeriodUS
DollarJapanese
YenEuro
Pound Sterling
Singapore Dollar
Hongkong Dollar
13a EXCHANGE RATES OF THE PESO period averages; units of foreign currency per peso
2010 Ave 0.0222 1.9457 0.0167 0.0143 0.0302 0.1723 0.0714 0.7028 201.3337 0.6987 25.6271Q1 0.0217 1.9691 0.0157 0.0139 0.0305 0.1687 0.0733 0.7146 200.5936 0.6935 24.8392Q2 0.0220 2.0240 0.0173 0.0147 0.0306 0.1710 0.0712 0.7112 200.2836 0.6997 25.5813Q3 0.0221 1.8963 0.0171 0.0143 0.0300 0.1717 0.0697 0.6990 199.2321 0.7049 26.1337Q4 0.0229 1.8934 0.0169 0.0145 0.0299 0.1779 0.0714 0.6866 205.2255 0.6968 25.9541
2011 Ave 0.0231 1.8411 0.0166 0.0144 0.0290 0.1797 0.0706 0.7033 202.2252 0.6784 25.5615Q1 0.0228 1.8775 0.0167 0.0143 0.0292 0.1778 0.0696 0.6969 203.1402 0.6682 25.5435Q2 0.0231 1.8881 0.0161 0.0142 0.0287 0.1798 0.0697 0.6994 198.4075 0.6674 25.0296Q3 0.0234 1.8194 0.0165 0.0145 0.0286 0.1823 0.0705 0.7043 200.7949 0.6816 25.2992Q4 0.0230 1.7793 0.0171 0.0146 0.0296 0.1790 0.0725 0.7127 206.5581 0.6964 26.3738
2012 Ave 0.0237 1.8893 0.0184 0.0149 0.0296 0.1837 0.0731 0.7358 221.5638 0.7003 26.6838Q1 0.0232 1.8410 0.0177 0.0148 0.0294 0.1803 0.0711 0.7199 210.5101 0.6899 26.2748Q2 0.0234 1.8723 0.0182 0.0148 0.0295 0.1814 0.0727 0.7307 216.5841 0.6924 26.9511Q3 0.0239 1.8759 0.0191 0.0151 0.0298 0.1851 0.0745 0.7481 226.5843 0.7117 27.0445Q4 0.0243 1.9683 0.0187 0.0151 0.0297 0.1882 0.0742 0.7444 232.5766 0.7073 26.4650
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Malaysian Ringgit
Thailand Baht
Indonesian Rupiah
New Taiwan Dollar
South Korean Won
PeriodUS
DollarJapanese
YenEuro
Pound Sterling
Singapore Dollar
Hongkong Dollar
13b EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE INDICES OF THE PESODecember 1980=100; period averages
Broad 2 Narrow 3 Broad 2 Narrow 3
2010 13.30 36.63 77.72 84.08 137.65 173.16Q1 12.92 36.50 78.05 80.85 136.49 173.15Q2 13.51 36.58 77.53 85.09 137.83 173.87Q3 13.31 36.43 76.75 84.95 138.41 172.58Q4 13.46 37.01 78.56 85.45 137.86 173.04
2011 13.17 40.97 85.56 86.03 143.01 176.22Q1 13.18 40.93 85.64 85.34 141.32 173.64Q2 13.11 40.36 84.20 85.16 141.22 174.06Q3 13.21 40.79 85.09 86.95 144.01 177.70Q4 13.19 41.81 87.30 86.66 145.47 179.46
2012 13.86 43.66 92.70 91.80 151.90 189.86Q1 13.49 42.14 88.53 88.18 144.77 178.75Q2 13.70 43.11 90.96 90.05 149.82 186.47Q3 14.05 44.39 94.53 94.35 157.07 196.95Q4 14.21 44.98 96.78 94.63 155.92 197.28
1 U.S., Japan, European Monetary Union, United Kingdom2 Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Hongkong3 Indonesia, Malaysia, ThailandE Estimates using the average inflation rate of the previous two months.Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
N O M I N A L R E A L
Major Trading
Partners 1
Competing Countries Major Trading
Partners 1
Competing Countries
14 TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT as of periods indicated; in million US dollars
Grand Total 3,285 4,702 53,737 61,724 3,118 5,365 51,855 60,337
Public Sector ‐ 399 46,287 a 46,686 ‐ 652 44,523 a 45,175
Banks ‐ 399 4,511 4,910 ‐ 652 4,138 4,790 Bangko Sentral ng Pilipin ‐ ‐ 1,439 1,439 ‐ ‐ 1,451 1,451Others ‐ 399 3,072 3,471 ‐ 652 2,688 3,339
Non‐Banks ‐ ‐ 41,776 41,776 ‐ ‐ 40,385 40,385 CB‐BOL ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐NG and Others ‐ ‐ 41,776 41,776 ‐ ‐ 40,385 40,385
Private Sector 3,285 4,302 7,450 15,037 3,118 4,713 7,331 15,162
Banks ‐ 4,119 1,276 5,396 ‐ 4,525 1,222 5,747 Foreign Bank Branches ‐ 962 44 1,005 b ‐ 788 43 831 b
Domestic Banks ‐ 3,157 1,233 4,390 ‐ 3,737 1,179 4,916
Non‐Banks 3,285 c 183 6,174 d 9,642 3,118 c 188 6,109 d 9,415
Inclusion: 30 Sep 2012 30 Dec 2012a Cumulative foreign exchange revaluation on US dollar‐denominated
multi‐currency loans from Asian Development Bank and World Bank 206 125
Exclusions:b Due to head office/branches abroad accounts of branches and
offshore banking units of foreign banks operating in the Philippines 7,298 8,077c Loans without BSP approval/registration 1,008 862d Obligations under various capital lease agreements; 1,008 1,214
Loans without BSP approval/registration 9,432 10,309
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
30 December 2012Short‐term
Medium & Long‐Term
Total
30 September 2012Short‐term
Medium & Long‐Term
TotalTrade Non‐Trade Trade Non‐Trade
15 SELECTED FOREIGN DEBT SERVICE INDICATORSfor periods indicated; in million US dollars
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Debt Service Burden (DSB) 1 2,509 1,497 2,087 1,911 1,950 1,603 1,627 1,376 Principal 1,640 920 1,159 1,233 978 973 690 811 Interest 869 577 928 678 972 630 937 565
Export Shipments (XS) 3 9,621 10,072 9,958 8,625 10,339 12,692 12,262 10,991
Exports of Goods and Receipts from Services and Income (XGSI) 2/ 3/ 19,216 19,637 20,074 19,373 20,507 22,441 22,870 22,450
Current Account Receipts (CAR) 3 20,109 20,612 21,110 20,358 21,488 23,470 23,914 23,504
Gross National Income (GNI) 68,861 74,585 72,392 81,501 75,146 81,321 80,812 92,631
RATIOS:
DSB to XS 26.08 14.86 20.96 22.16 18.86 12.63 13.27 12.52
DSB to XGSI 13.06 7.62 10.40 9.86 9.51 7.14 7.11 6.13
DSB to CAR 12.48 7.26 9.89 9.39 9.07 6.83 6.80 5.85
DSB to GNI 3.64 2.01 2.88 2.34 2.59 1.97 2.01 1.49
1 Debt service burden represents principal and interest payments after rescheduling. In accordance with the internationally‐accepted concept,debt service burden consists of (a) principal and interest payments on fixed MLT credits including IMF credits, loans covered by the Paris Club andCommercial Banks rescheduling, and New Money Facilities; and (b) interest payments on fixed and revolving short‐term liabilities of banks andnon‐banks but excludes (i) prepayments of future years' maturities of foreign loans and (ii) principal payments on fixed and revolving ST liabilities of banks and non‐banks.2 Includes cash remittances of overseas Filipino that were coursed through and reported by commercial banks which are reflected under Compensation of Employees in the income account and workers' remittances in the Current Transfers account.3 Based on the accounting principle prescribed under the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, 6th edition (BPM6)p preliminaryr revised to reflect latest data adjustmentsSource: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2011 r 2012 p
16 SELECTED FOREIGN INTEREST RATESperiod averages; in percent
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
US Prime Rate 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500
US Discount Rate 0.6096 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500
US Federal Funds Rate 0.1394 0.1980 0.1996 0.1943 0.1622 0.1015 0.1054 0.0738 0.1141 0.1607 0.1570 0.1722
LIBOR (90 days) 0.2563 0.4357 0.3880 0.2929 0.3079 0.2632 0.2978 0.4794 0.5141 0.4663 0.4239 0.3170
SIBOR (90 days) 0.2617 0.4399 0.4101 0.3056 0.3119 0.2725 0.3068 0.4854 0.5198 0.4667 0.4287 0.3189
Source: Bloomberg, Asian Wall Street Journal, Reuters
2011 2010 2012
17 BALANCE SHEET OF THE BANGKO SENTRAL NG PILIPINASas of periods indicated; in billion pesos
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Nov Dec u Mar Jun Sep u Nov u
Assets 2,580.7 2,752.8 2,823.3 3,195.4 3,331.9 3,459.4 3,768.0 3,797.4 3,787.9 3,727.9 3,684.2 3,889.7 3,959.9
International Reserves 2,059.2 2,255.0 2,354.9 2,721.6 2,848.5 2,975.8 3,273.0 3,305.5 3,286.5 3,248.1 3,202.9 3,408.2 3,412.7 Foreign Exchange Receivable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Domestic Securities 251.6 251.1 254.9 245.7 243.4 239.9 244.0 240.4 240.4 219.0 217.3 220.3 222.3 Loans and Advances 145.1 125.3 116.3 111.9 111.5 106.4 113.0 111.3 114.1 115.8 119.4 116.5 120.4 Revaluation of International Reserves 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.4 Bank Premises and Other Fixed Assets 12.3 12.5 12.5 12.9 12.8 12.6 13.3 14.9 15.4 15.6 16.1 16.3 16.3 Derivative Instruments in a Gain Position 0.1 10.1 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.6 4.0 2.5 2.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 Derivative Asset 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 Other Assets 112.4 98.9 84.5 101.9 115.5 124.0 120.8 122.9 128.9 128.3 127.4 128.2 132.5
Liabilities 2,351.8 2,529.1 2,619.3 3,024.0 3,199.5 3,338.2 3,632.3 3,659.6 3,647.9 3,606.3 3,582.7 3,815.1 3,902.0
Currency Issue 527.5 503.3 487.5 601.3 521.9 521.4 524.1 562.0 648.9 576.2 555.5 559.6 597.0 Deposits 1,524.0 1,577.7 1,716.1 1,973.6 2,321.9 2,630.6 2,630.7 2,581.7 2,466.1 2,630.2 2,657.2 2,851.6 2,940.9
Reserve Deposits of Other Depository Corporations (ODCs) 1 486.9 475.3 497.7 518.8 535.3 579.0 638.5 637.9 673.5 680.2 716.6 724.7 746.3Reserve Deposits of Other Financial Corporations (OFCs) 2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3Special Deposit Accounts 3 786.1 835.2 912.3 1,239.1 1,488.9 1,389.2 1,622.1 1,688.0 1,642.7 1,577.1 1,572.3 1,826.3 1,700.8Treasurer of the Philippines 4 126.7 140.6 193.3 110.1 186.7 310.3 294.0 161.4 60.1 293.8 259.7 214.3 405.1Other Foreign Currency Deposits 28.6 37.2 26.2 19.9 17.0 11.1 1.2 18.3 14.5 3.5 23.6 15.8 18.2Foreign Financial Institutions 51.4 47.0 46.9 41.8 38.3 38.4 44.4 44.4 43.0 43.0 40.3 40.3 40.3Other Deposits 5 44.0 42.1 39.4 43.4 55.2 31.9 29.9 31.2 31.9 32.0 44.4 30.0 29.8
Foreign Loans Payable 3.2 3.5 2.6 2.7 1.7 1.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Net Bonds Payable 32.3 32.5 31.3 21.9 22.2 21.7 22.4 22.6 22.0 21.9 21.1 21.3 21.2 Derivative Instruments in a Loss Position 14.8 1.7 25.2 7.0 5.9 3.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 3.9 5.8 0.9 1.6 Derivatives Liability 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 Allocation of SDRs 57.6 57.6 57.3 56.6 57.7 58.2 57.4 56.7 56.5 55.7 53.8 53.9 52.6 Revaluation of International Reserves 23.9 137.1 45.0 61.9 26.9 66.7 144.6 154.0 145.8 50.7 4.8 38.9 0.0 Reverse Repurchase Agreements 3 159.6 206.8 245.1 285.2 231.4 295.2 241.7 269.4 296.0 256.6 274.1 277.8 278.6 Other Liabilities 8.8 8.9 8.9 13.8 9.7 8.9 10.1 11.7 11.0 10.7 10.0 10.9 10.0
Net Worth 228.9 223.7 204.1 171.4 132.4 121.2 135.7 137.7 140.0 121.6 101.5 74.6 57.9
Capital 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 Surplus/Reserves 218.9 213.7 194.1 161.4 122.4 111.2 125.7 117.7 120.0 101.6 81.5 54.6 37.9
Note: Details may not add up to totals due to roundingu Unaudited; starting with end‐December 2005, BSP financial statements have been prepared in compliance with some of the requirements of the Philippine Financial Reporting Standards (PFRS) and Philippine Accounting Standards (PAS)both of which have been aligned with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and International Accounting Standards (IAS).1 ODCs are deposit‐generating institutions other than the BSP such as universal and commercial banks (UBs/KBs), specialized government banks (SGBs), thrift banks (TBs), rural banks (RBs) andnon‐banks with quasi‐banking functions (NBQBs).2 OFCs are trust units of banks.3 Includes accrued interest payables4 Includes foreign currency deposits5 Mostly GOCC depositsSource: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2010 2011 2012
18 INCOME POSITION OF THE BANGKO SENTRAL NG PILIPINASfor periods indicated; in billion pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Oct‐Nov Q4 Jan‐Nov FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Oct‐Nov Q4 u Jan‐Nov FY u Q1 Q2 Q3 u Oct‐Nov u Jan‐Nov u
Revenues 26.972 27.593 24.049 28.088 34.951 106.702 113.565 16.296 25.873 57.695 13.177 18.871 113.041 118.735 17.223 17.851 15.279 10.633 60.986
Interest Income 11.780 10.472 10.618 6.680 10.579 39.550 43.449 11.359 11.228 11.105 8.246 11.929 41.938 45.621 10.485 10.161 10.145 6.734 37.525International Reserves 7.326 6.178 6.613 4.155 6.850 24.272 26.967 8.526 8.591 8.267 5.853 8.456 31.237 33.840 8.202 7.511 7.502 5.113 28.328Domestic Securities 2.749 2.737 2.773 1.817 2.627 10.076 10.886 1.654 1.361 1.579 0.783 1.152 5.377 5.746 0.984 1.206 1.282 0.730 4.202Loans and Advances 1.143 1.038 0.865 0.567 0.852 3.613 3.898 0.753 0.750 0.727 1.234 1.758 3.464 3.988 0.741 0.774 0.791 0.485 2.791Others 0.562 0.519 0.367 0.141 0.250 1.589 1.698 0.426 0.526 0.532 0.376 0.563 1.860 2.047 0.558 0.670 0.570 0.406 2.204
Miscellaneous Income 15.215 17.036 13.305 21.328 24.327 66.884 69.883 4.973 14.587 46.384 4.862 6.813 70.806 72.757 6.647 7.539 4.957 3.814 22.957 Net Income from Branches ‐0.023 0.085 0.126 0.080 0.045 0.268 0.233 ‐0.036 0.058 0.206 0.069 0.129 0.297 0.357 0.091 0.151 0.177 0.085 0.504
Expenses 17.668 19.964 20.745 16.262 24.105 74.639 82.482 24.319 31.162 31.343 20.245 29.144 107.069 115.968 28.302 27.115 27.727 17.804 100.948
Interest Expenses 14.418 15.583 16.568 12.721 19.503 59.290 66.072 20.851 23.507 26.290 17.043 24.986 87.691 95.634 24.492 22.028 22.793 14.388 83.700Legal Reserve Deposits of Banks 3.433 3.670 3.642 2.480 3.474 13.225 14.219 1.966 2.031 2.419 0.696 0.428 7.112 6.844 1.640 0.697 0.006 0.004 2.346National Government Deposits 0.660 0.681 0.950 0.674 0.925 2.965 3.216 0.771 1.289 1.695 0.740 1.071 4.495 4.826 0.944 1.385 1.331 1.226 4.886BSP Debt Instruments 2.068 1.786 1.639 1.671 2.636 7.164 8.129 2.733 2.688 2.733 1.954 3.047 10.108 11.201 2.443 2.392 2.666 1.672 9.173Special Deposit Accounts 7.555 8.628 9.594 7.393 11.726 33.170 37.503 14.600 16.766 18.876 13.308 19.914 63.550 70.156 18.960 17.051 18.300 11.191 65.502Loans Payable and Other Foreign Currency Deposits 0.620 0.674 0.621 0.415 0.594 2.330 2.509 0.545 0.561 0.548 0.341 0.517 1.995 2.171 0.483 0.474 0.465 0.293 1.715Other Liabilities 0.082 0.144 0.122 0.088 0.148 0.436 0.496 0.236 0.172 0.019 0.004 0.009 0.431 0.436 0.022 0.029 0.025 0.002 0.078
Cost of Minting/Printing of Currency 0.521 0.714 0.884 1.220 1.994 3.339 4.113 0.749 1.340 1.354 1.235 2.000 4.678 5.443 0.951 1.175 1.224 1.313 4.663 Taxes and Licenses 0.632 0.567 0.572 0.570 0.754 2.341 2.525 0.418 2.932 0.334 0.167 0.262 3.851 3.946 0.301 0.260 0.272 0.149 0.982 Others 2.097 3.100 2.721 1.751 1.854 9.669 9.772 2.301 3.383 3.365 1.800 1.896 10.849 10.945 2.558 3.652 3.438 1.954 11.602
Net Income Before Gain/Loss(‐) on FXR Fluctuations, Provisions for Income Tax and Capital Reserves 9.304 7.629 3.304 11.826 10.846 32.063 31.083 ‐8.023 ‐5.289 26.352 ‐7.068 ‐10.273 5.972 2.767 ‐11.079 ‐9.264 ‐12.448 ‐7.171 ‐39.962
Gain/Loss(‐) on Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuations 1 ‐21.859 ‐12.502 ‐22.556 ‐23.394 ‐33.201 ‐80.311 ‐90.118 ‐12.593 ‐9.227 ‐14.840 ‐1.605 0.436 ‐38.265 ‐36.224 ‐8.686 ‐9.567 ‐17.311 ‐10.779 ‐46.343
Provision for Income Tax 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.231 0.000 0.231 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Capital Reserves 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Net Income Available for Distribution ‐12.555 ‐4.873 ‐19.252 ‐11.568 ‐22.355 ‐48.248 ‐59.035 ‐20.616 ‐14.516 11.512 ‐8.673 ‐10.068 ‐32.293 ‐33.688 ‐19.765 ‐18.831 ‐29.759 ‐17.950 ‐86.305
u Unaudited; starting with end‐December 2005, BSP financial statements have been prepared in compliance with some of the requirements of the Philippine Financial Reporting Standards (PFRS) and Philippine Accounting Standards (PAS),both of which have been aligned with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and International Accounting Standards (IAS).1 This represents realized gains or losses from fluctuations in FX rates arising from foreign currency‐denominated transactions of the BSP, including: 1) rollover/re‐investments of matured FX investments with foreign financial institutions and FX‐denominated government securities; 2) servicing of matured FX obligations of the BSP; and 3) maturity of derivatives instruments.Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2010 2011 2012