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Revenue Strategies for a Business Model in Trouble Jeff Hughes Environmental Finance Center [email protected] Mary Tiger Environmental Finance Center [email protected] www.efc.unc.edu

Revenue Strategies for a Business Model in Trouble...Revenue Strategies for a Business Model in Trouble Jeff Hughes Environmental Finance Center [email protected] Mary Tiger Environmental

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Revenue Strategies for a

Business Model in TroubleJeff Hughes

Environmental Finance Center

[email protected]

Mary Tiger

Environmental Finance Center

[email protected]

www.efc.unc.edu

How satisfied are you with your rates

and the revenue they generate?

Not a

t all

– n

eed

an ..

.

Not v

ery

– th

ey n

eed a

...

Som

ewhat

– tw

eaks

...

Ver

y –

no ch

anges

n...

33%

10%

36%

21%

1. Not at all – need

an overhaul

2. Not very – they

need a lot of work

3. Somewhat –

tweaks needed

4. Very – no

changes needed

Session objectives

1. Discuss revenue challenges impacting

availability of funds for capital investment

2. Identify strategies for addressing specific

revenue challenges

1. Consistent undercharging and/or operating

losses

2. Revenue vulnerability

Rates background

Rates (160A-314/153A-277)

Impact charges (160A-314/153A-277)

Assessments (160A, Art.10/153A, Art. 9)

Rates background:

GS 160A-314 /153A-277

A) A city may establish and revise from time to time schedules of rents, rates, fees, charges, and penalties for the use of or the services furnished by any public enterprise……….

“Hot off the Press” Rate Setting Resource

New Publication: “Guidelines for NC Water Systems: Designing Rate Structures that Support Your Objectives”

Available at: http://www.efc.unc.edu/projects/capacitydevelopment/financial.htm#guidelines

Before You Begin:

Rank Your Utility’s Rate Setting Objectives

1. ________

2. ________

3. ________

4. ________

Full cost recovery/ revenue stability

Encouraging conservation

Fostering business-friendly

practices

Maintaining affordability

(keeping rates low – to whom?)

Refer to this list and focus on

the highest ranked objectives

when following the guidelines

for selecting the appropriate

rate structure design.

The “full cost” rates spectrum: Where

are you?

Rates cover budget expenditures

Rates provide funds for capital

Future liabilities covered (retirement)

Moderately external externalities (source

water protection)

Very external externalities (climate

change)

Saying no to grants and subsidies

What the numbers say

Who benefits most from your

undercharging?

Will it be this household: Or this one?

Rates per SL 2008-143/HB 2499

”water rate structures that are adequate to

pay the cost of maintaining, repairing, and

operating the system, including payment of

principal and interest on indebtedness

incurred for maintenance or improvement of

the water system”

“also consider the effect of water rates on

water conservation and recommend rate

structures that support water conservation.”

Source: Fayetteville Observer 2/6/04

Utilities’ costs are

mostly fixed, not

dependent on the

amount of water

sold/used by the

customers. But the

majority of revenues

come from the

amount of water sold.

If customers

conserve, revenues

drop significantly but

not costs.

Why does this happen?

Revenue and Expenses for Charlotte-Mecklenburg Utilities in a Given Year

Source: CMU Director Doug Bean’s presentation to the Charlotte City Council on

December 1, 2008.

Revenue vulnerability and variability

Usage will vary from year to year

Increased prices reduce usage

Irrigation use is highly variable

Revenue variability is a function of usage and price

Utility Average household water usePercent change

FY07 FY08

CMU 6,436 6,109 -5%

PWC 4,980 5,410 +9%

OWASA 4,916 4,501 -8%

GUC 4,641 4,788 +3%

HP 4,467 4,199 -6%

Is it variable or is it gone??

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

An

nu

al M

GD

Actual Annual

5-Year Moving Average

1967 SWD Forecast

1973 RIBCO Forecast

1980 Complan Forecast Medium

1980 Complan Forecast Medium-Low

1985 Complan Forecast-Medium

1993 WSP Forecast

What happened in Seattle

Prices went up

Homes became more efficient

Water users became more efficient

Decentralized initiatives increased

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1,100,000

1,200,000

1,300,000

1,400,000

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

Total Water Consumption

Population

Po

pu

lati

on

Basic strategies

Change what you sell

Conservative finance models

Multi-year finance plan

Annual rate adjustments

Customer analysis

Affordability strategies

Well designed increasing block structure and

water budget based rates

Rethinking minimum charges

Annual rate adjustments

How does this compare to previous years’

rate of raising rates?

Basic customer analysis

Advanced customer analysis

How vulnerable to revenue variation

are your rates?

Source: 2006-07 EFC/NCLM Water and Wastewater Rates Survey

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Monthly Consumption (in 1,000 gallons)

Mo

nth

ly-E

qu

ivale

nt

Wate

r B

illin

g

Median of 358 WaterSystems, FY04-05

Utility A

Utility B

Utility CA

C

B

Rate structures matter

New business models?

Airlines – sur charge model

Phone/cable – bundled services for

predetermined fixed fees

REI – estimate prices based on revenue

forecasts and return excess funds to

customers/owners as available

Using drought surcharges to weather the

storm

• What is a drought surcharge? A temporary increase of

water rates during drought conditions

Example - OWASA’s drought surcharge

Individually-metered residential accounts

Block 1 2 3 4 5

Use level: 0-2,999 3,000-5,999 6,000-10,999 11,000-

15,999

>16,000

Stage 1 No

surcharge

No

surcharge

No

surcharge

1.5x normal

block 4 rate

2x normal

block 5 rate

Stage 2 No

surcharge

No

surcharge

1.5x normal

block 3 rate

2x normal

block 4 rate

3x normal

block 5 rate

Stage 3 No

surcharge

1.25x

normal

block 2 rate

2x normal

block 3 rate

3x normal

block 4 rate

4x normal

block 5 rate

Water conservation Revenue stability

Drought

surcharges

Need for communication plan:Public perception of drought surcharges

Source: 2008 Charlotte-Mecklenburg Utilities drought surcharge focus groups

Public perception of drought surcharges

Source: 2008 Charlotte-Mecklenburg Utilities drought surcharge focus groups

“Will the surcharge ever go away?”

(Application)

“Where will the money go and how will it be used?”

(Accountability and Finance)

“Is the utility efficiently using the money it already

has?”

(Efficiency)

“What other alternatives does the utility have for

revenue and resources?”

(Alternatives)

Limitations of drought surcharge

Source: CMU Presentation on Revenue Stability

Are you interested in any of these new

business models as a realistic option in the

next 5 to 10 years?

No th

anks

I w

ant u

s to

be

more

l...

I w

ant u

s to

be

more

l...

I w

ant u

s to

be

more

li..

33%

4%

20%

42%

1. No thanks

2. I want us to be more like the phone companies

3. I want us to be more like the airlines

4. I want us to be more like REI

NC Rate Setting Resources

Guide to Billing…, Kara Millonzi Rates Book

EFC Web Resources (data, guidelines, dashboard)

LGC Data

Painful Art of Rate Setting

Rates Course 2/23/2010

Rate Setting Guide

AWWA M1 Guide

Rural Water Association

Consultants

NCLM/EFC Practices Survey (Coming soon!!)

Revenue Strategies for a

Business Model in TroubleJeff Hughes

Environmental Finance Center

[email protected]

Mary Tiger

Environmental Finance Center

[email protected]

www.efc.unc.edu