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REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development Followed by: Civil Society and Social Capital Pablo Bal´ an GOV 20 December 14 2017

REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

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Page 1: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

REVIEW SESSION

Political Economy of Development

Followed by: Civil Society and Social

Capital

Pablo Balan

GOV 20

December 14 2017

Page 2: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Political Economy of Development

Page 3: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune
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The World Until the Industrial Revolution

Page 5: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Modernization theory

I Traditional Society → Modern Society

I Transition happens in stages [Rostow]

I The last stage is political (democratization) [the oppositeof institutionalism]

I One path: the future of Bolivia is England

Page 6: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

The Puzzle: No Convergence, Divergence

Page 7: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Major theories of comparative development

I Culture [Weber]

Page 8: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Individualism and Development

Figure: Source: Gorodnichenko and Roland (2010)

Page 9: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Problems with cultural arguments

I Culture is a constant. You cant explain variation with aconstant

I Culture is likely to be a consequence of development, nota cause

Page 10: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Major theories of comparative development

I Culture [Weber]

I Geography [Montesquieu, Jeffrey Sachs, Jared Diamond]

Page 11: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Geography: Latitude

Page 12: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

How does geography matter?

I Climate determines work effort, incentives, productivity[Montesquieu]

I Climate determines technology (especially agriculture)[Jared Diamond]

I Disease environment [Jeffrey Sachs]

Page 13: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Geography: Disease Environment

Page 14: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Problems with geographic arguments

I Geography also a constant

I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. SouthKorea, Nogales vs. Arizona)

I Reversal of fortune

Page 15: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Reversal of Fortune

Page 16: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Major theories of comparative development

I Culture [Weber]

I Geography [Montesquieu, Jeffrey Sachs, Jared Diamond]

I Institutions [Acemoglu and Robinson, Douglass North...]

Page 17: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Institutions and Development

Page 18: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

What is an institution?

Douglass North: Institutions are therules of the game in a society [...] thehumanly devised constraints thatstructure political,economic andsocial interactions.

Page 19: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Acemoglu and Robinson in one slide

Page 20: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

What are good institutions?

I Inclusive economic institutions:I Protect property rightsI Relatively equal access to economic resources

I Inclusive political institutions:I Constrain rulersI Disperse political power

I Good institutions occur indemocratic countries !

Page 21: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Never forget

Page 22: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Correlation is not causation

Page 23: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Problems with institutional arguments

I Institutions vs. policy [South Korea]

I What are “good institutions”? [Risk of tautology]

I Institutions are endogenous (a consequence of otherstuff) [Modernization theory]

Page 24: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

The Political Dimension of Development

I Good institutions [Acemoglu and Robinson]

I Strong, autonomous stateI Good [Gershenkron, Wade]I Bad [Bates]

I Dependency theory

Page 25: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Political Regimes and Economic Growth

In favor of democracy

I Autonomous rulers can be predatory

I Democracies protect property rights [North, Acemoglu]

In favor of autocracy

I Some autocracies also protect property rights

I Democracy favors short-term consumption –underminesinvestment

I Democracy is vulnerable to interest groups andparticularistic pressures

U N P A C K !

Page 26: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Take-away points

I Economic development has a political dimension(incentives of politicians)

I Don’t forget the big picture (vs. exceptions)

I Theoretical relationship between regimes and growth isnot obvious

Page 27: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

What have we learned?

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Page 28: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Civil society and social capital

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Tocqueville

In democratic countries the science ofassociation is the mother of science;the progress of all the rest dependsupon the progress it has made

Page 31: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Civil society

The realm of civic organizations thatare independent of the state

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Variation in institutional performance

Page 33: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Measuring institutional performance

I Cabinet stability

I Budget promptness

I Statistical and info services

I Reform legislation

I Legislative innovation

I Day care centers

I Family clinics

I Industrial policy instruments

I Agricultural spending capacity

I Local health unit expenditures

I Housing and urban development

I Bureaucratic responsiveness

Page 34: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Civic community: conceptual dimensions

I Civic engagement

I Political equality

I Solidarity, trust, tolerance

I Associations

Page 35: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Civic community: indicators

I Preference voting: personalism

I Referendum turnout

I Newspaper subscription

I Associations

Page 36: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Variation in civic community

Page 37: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

The two are highly correlated

Page 38: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Putnam in one slide

Page 39: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Putnam in one slide

Page 40: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Putnam in one slide

Page 41: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Social capital

NORMS OF RECIPROCITY+

NETWORKS OF CIVIC ENGAGEMENT

Page 42: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

State and society

I The characteristics of the state/democracy depend on thecharacteristics of society

I Some people: strong state, weak society OR weak state,strong society

I Putnam: strong society, strong state

Page 43: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Alternative explanations

I Conflict

I Social stability

I Education

I Urbanization

I Personnel Stability

I Communist party

I Modernization theory

Page 44: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Critiques of social capital

I Causal chain unclear. How is trust engendered bybird-watching?

I The state can also be a source of trust

I The demands may not be democratic [Berman]

Page 45: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Bowling for Fascism

Page 46: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Take-away points

I Civil society is a space, not a homogenous set of actors.Not necessarily nice.

I Social capital vs. institutionalism and modernizationtheory

Page 47: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

That’s all

Page 48: REVIEW SESSION Political Economy of Development … · I Can’t explain critical cases (North Korea vs. South Korea, Nogales vs. Arizona) I Reversal of fortune. Reversal of Fortune

Questions?