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Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 1
Richard Pieris and Company
Earnings Review – BUY | Rs. 9.90 | July 2017
Case for Investment
Strong brand image: RICH is one of the strongest conglomerates in Sri
Lanka that operates in fastest growing sectors such as FMCG, finance,
logistics and manufacturing furniture & rubber products.
One of the largest corporate rubber plantations in Sri Lanka: Aggregate
rubber production of the group accounts for 6.4% of the national production
with an annual rubber production of approx. 3,800mt.
Improvement in commodity prices: Increase in commodity prices such as
tea, rubber and oil palm reinforce the profit margins of the plantation
segment.
Depreciation in domestic currency: This affects favourably to the earning
from exports.
Convenient supermarket chain: Arpico supermarket is one of the largest
and well established super market chains in Sri Lanka; operates as Super
Centres, showrooms and daily outlets with ample parking.
Innovativeness: The retail chain deployed a dedicated taxi service
exclusively for their shoppers for the first time in a supermarket chain in Sri
Lanka.
PLEASE SEE APPENDIX 1 FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
Target Price RICH.N0000
Target Price LKR.12.50
Upside Potential 26%
Investor Guide FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
Revenue (LKR mn) 37,802 43,019 49,149 56,133 63,521
YoY Growth 9% 14% 14% 14% 13%
Net Profit - EH (LKR mn) 1,652 2,148 3,170 4,367 4,984
YoY Growth 17% 30% 48% 38% 15%
EBIT (LKR mn) 3,104 3,955 5,290 6,661 7,500
YoY Growth 11% 27% 34% 26% 13%
Gross margin 23% 25% 26% 26% 26%
Operating margin 8% 9% 11% 12% 12%
Net margin 4% 5% 5% 8% 9%
ROE 17% 20% 25% 30% 30%
ROA 4% 5% 6% 9% 9%
EPS (LKR) 0.82 1.05 1.56 2.14 2.44
NAV (LKR) 4.87 5.34 6.35 7.21 8.12
PE (x) 9.0 6.9 5.3 4.6 4.1
PBV (x) 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.2
DPS (LKR) 0.25 0.50 1.10 1.10 1.10
Dividend Yield 3% 7% 13% 11% 11%
Dividend Payout 30% 48% 71% 61% 56%
A Member of the Colombo Stock Exchange
Foreign Broker-Dealer of
Maybank Kim Eng Securities USA Inc.
Foreign Broker-Dealer of
Maybank Kim Eng Securities USA Inc.
Key Data
Sector Industrial
CSE ticker RICH.N0000
Bloomberg ticker RICH SL Equity
Shares in issue 2,035mn
Public holding 42.92%
52wk High - Low LKR 10.20 - 7.00
Annual Volume 78.4mn
Current MPS LKR 9.90
Market Cap LKR 20.1bn
Market Cap USD 0.1bn
Major Shareholders – 31st
Mar 2017
Skyworld Overseas Holdings Ltd 25.37%
Camille Consulting Corp. 15.57%
HSBC International Nominees Ltd-SSBT- Deutsche Bank
11.06%
Sezeka Limited 8.57%
Employees Provident Fund 8.35%
Top 20 shareholders 88.09%
Foreign ownership* 71.76%
*As at 04th May 2017
Vo
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Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd 42, Sir Mohammed Macan Markar Mawatha, Colombo 03, Sri Lanka +94 112 174 174 www.capitaltrust.lk
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Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 2
Quarter Performance
Net earnings up significantly by 152%YoY on increase in revenue in 4QFY17
Net profit (Equity holders) for the quarter increased notably by 152%YoY to LKR
890mn in 4QFY17 compared to LKR 354mn recorded in the comparative year;
mainly driven by the increase in revenue.
Revenue was up by 18%YoY to LKR 12.8bn in March quarter 2017 from LKR
10.9bn in the comparative year supported by revenue improvements in rubber,
plastic & furniture, financial services and plantation sectors.
The share of profit of associate, AEN Palm Oil Limited contributed LKR 17.2mn
with a notable growth of 31%YoY compared to LKR 13.1mn reported in the
comparative year underpinned by the increase in global palm oil prices.
Further RICH has managed to reduce their operating expenses from LKR 2.2bn to
LKR 2.1bn with a decline of 1%YoY and 5%QoQ which was mainly driven by other
operating and selling & distribution expenses.
RICH managed to maintain their profit margins during the quarter; net profit margin
and operating margin remained unchanged at 7% and 11% respectively. However
the gross margin declined slightly from 27% to 26% due to increase in cost of
sales.
Financial Year 2017 Performance
For the full year 2017 the group reported a profit LKR 3.2bn with a significant
growth of 48%YoY compared to LKR 2.1bn reported in the comparative year.
The profit growth was mainly supported by the improvement in revenue by
14%YoY from LKR 43bn to LKR 49bn reported in FY17. Retail sector continued to
be the top contributor to the group turnover with a 50% contribution.
Share of profit of an associate improved notably by 131%YoY to LKR 83mn giants
LKR 36mn as a result of rising palm oil prices.
Profit margins improved during the quarter where net margin was up from 5% to
6%. Gross margin and the operating margin were up from 25% and 9% to 26% and
11% respectively.
Increase in palm oil prices contributed positively to improve the associate profit
from LKR 36mn to LKR 83mn during the year with a significant growth rate of
131%YoY.
Sector Review
Retail Segment
The Retail Sector of the Group is represented by Richard Pieris Distributors
Limited, Arpimalls Development Company (Pvt) Limited, RPC Retail Developments
Company (Pvt) Limited, RPC Real Estate Development Company (Pvt) Limited and
Arpico Interiors (Pvt) Limited.
8%
8%
15%
44%
5%
5%
16%
Segmental Revenue Contribution
Rubber Tyre
Plastic and furniture Retail
Financial services Other services
Plantations
FY17
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
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40
50
60
FY
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FY
15
FY
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FY
17
FY
18E
LK
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n.
Turnover Vs. Profit margins
Turnover Gross margin Net Margin
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 3
The Sector is responsible for operating the well-known Arpico Supercentres,
Superstores, Arpico Daily outlets and an Island wide network of showrooms.
Arpico owns approximately, 21 Super Centres, 17 showrooms and 23 daily outlets
island wide.
The exclusive rewards which given through Arpico Privilege Cards and other
promotional campaigns such as facilities and provides 25% discount for array of
products has given the opportunity for Arpico to penetrate the market in an
attractive way. There were approximately 500,000 members registered under the
scheme by the end of last year.
During the year retail segment reported an operating profit of LKR 1.7bn with a
growth of 12% compared to the profit of LKR 1.5mn reported in previous year. The
segment reported a profit of LKR 457mn in 4QFY17 with a growth of 24%YoY
against the LKR 368mn made in the comparative year.
The operating profit margin has slightly increased from 7% to 8% in 4QFY17 while
for the full year it was unchanged at 7%.
During the year, the Value Added Tax change from 11% to 15% affected the
growth rate of revenue and operating profit of the segment.
Retail segment reported revenue of LKR 24.7bn in FY17 with an increase of
13%YoY compared to LKR 21.9bn reported in the comparative period. For the firth
quarter 2017 retail segment reported revenue of LKR 5.9bn with a growth of
7%YoY against LKR 5.5bn reported in 4QFY16.
Future outlook
Retail segment may continue the growth momentum in FY18E to record a revenue
growth of 15%YoY to reach LKR 28.3bn (FY19E – LKR 32.5bn, +15%)
underpinned by the expansion of outlets and innovating shopping experiences.
The segmental profits forecasted to grow by 11%YoY to LKR 1.9bn in FY18E
compared to LKR 1.7bn reported in the comparative year. It may report a profit of
LKR 2.1bn with an upside of 12%YoY in FY19E. The profit margin expected to
remain the same level at 7%.
The company opened up two super centres in Kohuwala and Kurunegala in last
financial year. This will further drive the segmental profits to a healthy position in
forthcoming years.
Further, the newly launched dedicated taxi service exclusively for Arpico shoppers
also may help the company to enhance their customer base.
Moreover, the initiatives that have taken to reduce the energy costs of the company
in an environmentally friendly way by installing roof top solar panels on large format
retail stores would improve the profit margins in the future.
Plantation Segment
The sector comprises of three public quoted regional plantation Companies namely
Kegalle Plantations PLC, Namunukula Plantations PLC and Maskeliya Plantations
PLC. The group owns 54 planation estates covering 32,097 hectares.
0%
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4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
5
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30
FY
14
FY
15
FY
16
FY
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FY
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LK
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Retail segment revenue movement
Revenue Growth
3 year CAGR of 20%
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 4
The Sector is responsible for cultivating, processing and selling of high grown, mid
grown and low grown tea, rubber, oil palm, coconut, cinnamon, rambutan and other
crops. Richard Pieris Group is the largest tea and rubber producer in the country.
During last financial year Kegalle, Namunukula and Maskeliya plantations together
produced 11.6mn kg of Tea, 5mn kg of Rubber and 20mn kg of Palm oil with a total
revenue contribution of LKR 7.8bn to the Group.
Last financial year was a challenging year for the plantation sector due to extreme
weather conditions, removal of fertilizer subsidy, wage hike and ban on weedicides
affected negatively to the performance of the sector.
Nevertheless, contribution from tea, rubber and palm oil industry towards the
overall performance has increased during the year subsequent to the upward price
movements.
However, the production cost in tea sector has increased due to the rise in labour
cost coupled with lower productivity.
The demand for natural rubber from the key buyers in the international and
domestic markets has reduced as they are shifting to substitutes such as cheaper
synthetic rubber. This has resulted in lower prices from natural rubber and
continued to obstruct the growth of crepe rubber.
On the positive note, the removal of sanctions imposed on Iran will enable to
improve the tea exports. Iran was the third largest tea exporting country from Sri
Lanka before the sanctions were imposed.
The segment reported revenue of LKR 2.1bn with a growth of 19%YoY in 4QFY17
compared to LKR 1.7bn reported in the comparative year. This segment is the
second largest revenue contributor to the group’s revenue with a contribution of
18%. Price increases in Tea, rubber and palm oil has contributed positively to the
segmental performance. Plantation segment reported a profit of LKR 349mn during
the quarter with a significant growth of 304%YoY against the loss of LKR 171mn
reported in 4QFY16.
For the full year the segment reported a profit of LKR 799mn against the loss of
LKR 186mn reported in the comparative year. Revenue was up by 15%YoY to LKR
8.8bn from LKR 7.6bn.
Hefty profit improvements in Namunukula plantation by 496%YoY to LKR 402mn
and Kegalle by 145%YoY to LKR 330mn during FY17 have contributed positively
to the planation segment earnings. Namunukula plantation is the second largest oil
palm producer of the country while Kegalle plantation is one of the largest rubber
producers in the country.
Below are the details of the three plantation companies
Plantation Estates Land Extent (hectares) Revenue Contribution
Kegalle 17 estates in Kegalle, Kurunegala and Badulla
9,757 Rubber 63% Tea 31% Coconut & other crops 6%
Maskeliya
Maskeliya owns 18 teas estates; high grown tea estates in Maskeliya and Talawakelle while estates in Bandarawela. For Uva tea sector
10,561 The average annual production of tea is 8.7mn kg
Source: Index mundi
Source: Forbes & Walker Tea Brokers market report
60
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100
120
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Palm Oil prices per metric ton
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Price
(L
KR
)
Tea monthly average prices
High
Medium
Low
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 5
Namunukula Namunukula has 19 plantations in Kalutara and Galle and Matara district.
Tea - 2,301
It has 05 major Plantation crops; Tea, Rubber, Oil Palm, Coconut & Cinnamon
Rubber – 1,911
Palm Oil - 2,042
Other Crops – 1,515
Total – 7,769
Future outlook
Plantation segment may record revenue of LKR 10.1bn in FY18E with an incline of
15%YoY compared to the previous year. Increase in palm oil, tea and rubber prices
may favourably affect the top-line of the segment.
Further, depreciation of the local currency against export destinations may also
positively impact to the segmental turnover.
Namunukula Plantations plans to further expand the oil palm cultivation. An extent
of 900 hectares will be planted during next four years targeting at a total extent of
3,000 hectares cultivation in oil palm by year 2020.
Further Kegalle plantations has made plans for a crop diversification Programme
and accordingly planting of oil palm has been commenced in an extent of 36.45
hectares on Mabopitiya, Parambe & Ilwana divisions during 2017/2018 season.
They will further continue to cultivate more than 45 hectares which will improve the
profitability of the plantation segment.
The segment may report a profit of LKR 861mn in FY18E with a growth of 8%YoY
over the profit of LKR 799mn reported in the last financial year. Foreign exchange
gains, increasing commodity prices and strong cost management systems will
enable them to post healthy profits in coming year.
However, an agreement was signed between plantation unions and plantation
companies in October 2016 to increase the minimum wage from LKR 620.00 to
LKR 720.00 with a LKR. 140.00 productivity incentive for harvesting the minimum
estate/divisional norm. This will pressurize the margins due to high /labour costs.
The company has planned strategic initiatives to further drive the growth of exports
mainly to USA as a step to revive the plantation sector of the company through
establishing new market segments.
Tyre and Rubber segments Tyre
The Tyre sector of the Group comprises three Companies, namely Richard Pieris
Tyre Company Limited, Arpidag International (Pvt) Limited, and Richard Pieris
Rubber Compounds Limited.
Richard Pieris Tyre is the pioneer and leader in tyre re-treading in Sri Lanka and
also the sole agent for the world famous ‘Nexen’ and Birla brands in Sri Lanka.
Arpidag International (Pvt) Limited, and Richard Pieris Rubber Compounds Limited
act as supportive companies to Richard Pieris Tyre by supplying pre-cured tread,
cushion gum, cement, other related materials and customized mixing facilities.
The segment reported revenue of LKR 670mn in 4QFY17 with a marginal decline
of 1%YoY compared to LKR 680mn turnover recorded in 4QFY16. Tyre segment
reported a profit of LKR 88mn with a decline of 40%YoY in 4QFY17 against the
Source: Index mundi
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Rubber Smoked Sheets Price
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 6
profit of LKR 140mn reported in the comparative year. Reduction in vehicle imports
and the competitive market environment affected the top-line of the segment.
For the full year tyre segment reported revenue of LKR 4.3bn with a marginal
decline of 2% and the segmental profit was LKR 547mn in FY17 against LKR
608mn profit reported in FY16.
The changes in import duty structure and currency fluctuation have adversely
affected the tyre trading business.
However on the positive side, the relatively low raw material prices in the
commodity market and the group’s investment in firewood boilers have facilitated to
improve the gross margins.
Rubber
The Rubber Sector of the Group is represented by four companies namely Richard
Pieris Exports PLC, Richard Pieris Natural Foams Limited, Arpitalian Compact
Soles (Pvt) Limited and Micro Minerals (Pvt) Limited.
Products such as Natural Latex Foam Mattresses, Pillows, Rubber Mats for
Industrial and Domestic Use, Jar Sealing Rings, Small Moulded Products and other
Specialised Rubber Products under the rubber segment.
The segment reported revenue of LKR 1.0bn in 4QFY17 with a growth of 27%YoY
compared to LKR 809mn turnover recorded in 4QFY16. A profit of LKR 192mn
reported in 4QFY17 with an incline of 24%YoY compared to the profit of LKR
155mn reported in the comparative year.
For the full year tyre segment reported revenue of LKR 4.4bn against LKR 3.6bn
reported in FY16 with a growth of 20%YoY. The profit was up by 29%YoY to LKR
839mn compared to LKR 648mn reported in the comparative year.
Unsettled situations in international markets and the devaluation of Yuan reduced
the commodity prices which supported the export companies to reduce the cost.
Further slower movement in rubber prices continued to reinforce the margins while
depreciation of Sri Lankan Rupee strengthens the top line of the segment.
Scarcity of raw materials such as ball-clay is a challenging factor in the mineral
product processing business of the group. Due to the highly challenging
environment, the Micro Minerals (Pvt) Limited market share also was threatened
with the entry of new local competitors at very low offer.
Future outlook
Tyre
The segment may witness a slowdown in FY18E due to the currency fluctuation,
changes in customs tariffs and the competition.
Tyre segment may report a profit of LKR 579mn in FY18E with a gain of 6% while it
may strengthen in FY19E reporting a profit of LKR 585mn. Revenue may improve
marginally by 1%YoY to LKR 4.3bn in FY18E.
Strategic steps taken on several new promotions and price negotiations to improve
the trading segment while other special promotional activities initiated to improve
the re-treading will benefit the company in the future.
Source: Department of Motor Traffic
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
'000
Total vehicle population
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1,000
1,100
FY
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FY
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Rubber segment profit movement
CAGR of 38% in last 3 years
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 7
Further, Arpidag Hybrid Tyre which was introduced to the market in 2015 will also
contribute favourably to the segmental performance in long term. The special
feature of extra mileage of the newly launched tyres will help to penetrate the tyre
market.
The company has expanded their footprint in North and East regions and looking
forward to further penetrate the market through competitive pricing, product
development and innovativeness.
The efficient raw material sourcing coupled with above factors has given the
opportunity to be competitive against the extremely challenging low cost Chinese
radial tyres and other imported brands.
The company continued to export treads to the international market and seeks for
further expansions.
Rubber
Rubber segment may post a profit of LKR 1bn in FY18E with a gain of 25%YoY
supported by 20%YoY growth in revenue. Revenue of LKR 5.2bn may report in
FY18E and LKR 5.7bn in FY19E.
Continuous focus in product differentiation and process improvements will help the
company to boost the top line and the overall profitability. The energy audits carry
out by the company in order to sustain energy efficiency also a key factor to
continue the profit margins.
Further continuous investments in automation have supported to be more
competitive in the price sensitive markets.
Production capacity of Richard Pieris Natural Foams Limited was increased by
investing in a new tunnel to support the company’s expansion plan.
Moreover the joint venture company, Davos SPA’s successful entry to the Chinese
market also will favourably contribute to the earnings in the future while the foot
print in Vietnam and Bangladesh market will strengthen the top line of the segment.
Arpitalian Compact Soles (Pvt) Limited; a joint venture between Richard Pieris
Exports PLC and Davos SPA have taken steps to develop new profile sheets to the
Indian market, development of new colours and designs for China & India while
development of new finishes for the Spain market.
Further, Micro Minerals (Pvt) Limited also has expanded their product base in order
to overcome from the challenging situation of the industry.
The demand for rubber products are expected to improve in next couple of years
with the strong ties re-stored with western countries.
Relatively improved disposable income of the population will enable the company
to capture the market for their value added and innovative products.
Plastic and furniture Segment
The Plastics and Furniture sector of the Group, is represented by Arpitech (Pvt)
Limited, RPC Polymers (Pvt) Limited, Plastishells Limited, Richard Pieris Rubber
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 8
Products Limited, Arpico Durable (Pvt) Limited and the Arpico Furniture Distributors
Pvt Limited.
Products such as Water Tanks, Polyurethane Foam Mattresses, Cushions &
Sheets, PVC Pipes & Fittings, Moulded Plastic & Expandable Rigid Polystyrene
Products, Wooden, Panel and PU Furniture, Water Pumps, CFL Bulbs produces
under the plastic and furniture segment.
The segment reported revenue of LKR 2.4bn in 4QFY17 with a notable increase of
45%YoY compared to LKR 1.6bn turnover recorded in 4QFY16. A profit of LKR
179mn reported in the fourth quarter 2017.
For FY17 the segment reported a profit of 1.1bn with a decline of 20%YoY
compared to the profit of LKR 1.4bn reported in the comparative year. Revenue
was up by 5%YoY to LKR 8.2bn from LKR 7.8bn reported in the same period in the
previous years.
The manufacturing plants of furniture operations which were expanded recently are
nearly running at its fullest capacity due to the high demand.
Future outlook
Plastic and furniture segment may post a profit of LKR 1.2bn in FY18E with a
growth of 13%YoY. Revenue of LKR 9.1bn may report in FY18E with a growth of
10%YoY and LKR 10.0bn, +12%YoY in FY19E.
The rigifoam operations are mainly services the fisheries industry. The complete
lifting of the fish export ban imposed by EU in June 2016 will boost the Sri Lankan
fisheries industry as well as the group rigifoam business in coming years.
Sri Lanka’s Fish exports to the EU accounts for more than 65% of the total fish
exports. Sri Lanka was the second largest exporter of fresh and chilled swordfish
and tuna to the EU.
The introduction of hybrid tanks allows the water tank operations to dominate the
market. During last financial year, a new blow moulding machine was purchased by
the company to meet the increased demand. This will enable to enhance the
production capacity and cater to the required demand.
The plastic sector is further looking into possibilities of penetrating into South Asian
markets.
Financial services Segment
The financial services segment reported a profit of LKR 270mn in 4QFY17 with a
significant growth compared to LKR 57mn reported in the comparative year.
Revenue grew considerably by 48%YoY to LKR 760mn during the quarter
compared to LKR 513mn reported in 4QFY16.
The segment reported a profit of 525mn during the full year 2017 with a growth of
132%YoY compared to LKR 227mn reported in the previous financial year. The
revenue was up by 52%YoY during the period to LKR 2.7bn.
Other services segment generated a profit of LKR 305mn while the revenue was
up marginally by 4%YoY to LKR 37mn. For FY17 the segment reported a profit of
LKR 1.3bn with a growth of 8%YoY compared to the profit of LKR 1.2mn reported
in the comparative year.
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sri lanka Fish Export Earnings
Export earnings Growth
Source: Ministry of fisheries & aquatic
resources annual report 2015
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
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4,000
4,500
FY
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15
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16
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LK
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Finance segment revenue growth
Revenue Growth
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 9
The segments responsible for products and services such as Real Estate,
Insurance, Freight Forwarding, Stock Broking, Margin Trading and Financial
Services.
RPC Logistics the company engages in services such as airfreight, sea freight,
sea freight consolidation, customs brokerage, transhipment and door-to-door cargo
services has obtained agencies from reputed suppliers for colour sorter machinery
and for LCD lighting from China. This enabled the company to enhance the
revenue streams.
Arpico insurance business also doing well with a total branch network of 26 in eight
major geographical areas. The company further looking into expand the branch
network in order to cover entire country.
The strategic acquisition of Chilaw Finance by Richard Pieris Finance Limited has
given opportunity to reach to the North-Western provinces.
However, the stock markets all over the world were facing really tough situation
throughout last year with challenging global economic outlook coupled with China’s
devaluation of their currency, Yuan. This volatility of global markets impacted on
Colombo stock exchange as it still passing through a challenging period. The ASPI
declined by nearly 7% as at mid-October 2016. The situated affected the group
securities business during the course of the period.
Future outlook
The financial services segment may post a profit of LKR 594mn in FY18E with a
growth of 13%YoY while the other services segment may report a profit of LKR
1.3bn.
Revenue may up by 50%YoY to LKR 4.0bn in FY18E and LKR 4.8bn in FY19E.
Other services segment may report revenue of LKR 3bn in Fy18E with a growth of
10%YoY. The increase in interest rates, upward momentum in the Colombo stock
exchange and expansion of branch network would improve the segmental top line.
Further, the acquisition of Chilaw Finance will eventually benefit the company with
a large customer base and to reach untouched areas. Richard Pieris Finance
Limited is expecting to further penetrate into other parts of the country to attract
business opportunities. The company aims to be in the top five financial services in
Sri Lanka by 2025.
Future Outlook of RICH
We have estimated a profit of LKR 4.4bn in FY18E with a profit growth of 38%YoY.
The growth may mainly supported by the strong top line and management in
operating expenses.
Revenue projected to increase by 14%YoY to LKR 56.1bn in FY18E (FY19E - LKR
63.5bn, +13%).
The Group is exposed to currency risk on sales, purchases and borrowings,
primarily in USD, and also in EURO, Singapore Dollars and Pound Sterling
especially with regard to trade related transactions. The imported materials are
mainly billed in USD; EUR and SGD.
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
FY
14
FY
15
FY
16
FY
17
FY
18
E
LK
R M
illi
on
s
Group profit movement
Profits Growth
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 10
Therefor the depreciation of Rupee can cause damage to the group’s earnings.
However, RICH uses Hedging such as natural hedging, SWAP, contracts etc. in
order to mitigate those risks.
Profit margins may merely improve as net margin and operating margin may
advance from 6% and 11% to 8% and 12% respectively in FY18E while net margin
may remain unchanged at 26%.
We believe that the company may maintain the same dividend of LKR 1.10 which
translates to a dividend pay-out ratio of 51%.
Valuation
RICH is currently trading at a PE of 6.3x which is trading well below to the industrial
sector PE of 13.0x. The counter is trading at a PBV of 1.5x.
Using the discounted cash flow method we have arrived to an attractive price
valuation of LKR 12.50 for the share with an upside of 26%.
Considering the potentials of operating segments, positive earnings prospects and
attractive multiples we believe that the counter will perform well in the future.
Hence, we recommend BUY.
Relative Valuation
PE(x) PBV(x) ROE
ASI 11.5 1.3 12%
Industrial Sector 13.1 1.1 9%
RICH 6.4 1.6 25%
12.5
11.9
10.2
9.9
7.0
DCF
Historical PBV
52wk High
Current MPS
52wk Low
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 11
Stock Market Performance
ASI RICH
6M 10% 22%
12M 8% 21%
YTD 9% 22%
Summary Income Statement
Continuing operations FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E
Revenue
34,699,111
37,802,243
43,018,502
49,149,395
56,132,668
Cost of sales
(26,683,905)
(29,125,486)
(32,427,560)
(36,373,136)
(41,541,125)
Gross profit
8,015,206
8,676,757
10,590,942
12,776,259
14,591,543
Other operating income
575,064
818,571
980,964
1,071,660
1,291,051
Selling and distribution expenses
(1,737,793)
(2,030,788)
(2,648,983)
(2,887,625)
(3,087,297)
Administrative expenses
(3,994,359)
(4,297,747)
(4,929,390)
(5,614,365)
(6,062,328)
Other operating expenses
(50,991)
(63,284)
(38,230)
(55,470)
(72,424)
Operating profit
2,807,127
3,103,509
3,955,303
5,290,459
6,660,546
Finance costs
(922,062)
(811,166)
(826,092)
(955,768)
(721,175)
Finance income
389,584
244,304
233,759
383,695
393,287
Share of profit of an associate
27,902
42,299
35,944
83,028
106,136
Profit before tax from continuing operations
2,302,551
2,578,946
3,398,914
4,801,414
6,438,794
Income tax expense
(643,970)
(747,009)
(1,137,461)
(1,237,426)
(1,686,070)
Profit for the year from continuing operations
1,658,581
1,831,937
2,261,453
3,563,988
4,752,724
Discontinued operations
Loss after tax for the year from discontinued operations (2,396) (3,457) (3,536) (5,018)
(6,253)
Profit for the year 1,656,185 1,828,480 2,257,917 3,558,970
4,746,471
Attributable to:
Equity holders of the parent 1,417,215 1,652,092 2,147,685 3,170,095
4,366,753
Non-controlling interests
238,970
176,388
110,232
388,875
379,718
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 12
Summary of Financial Position
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E
Assets
Non-current assets
16,113,650
18,632,853
19,981,669
21,684,962
21,384,522
Property, plant and equipment
13,709,173
15,277,433
15,944,669
17,114,482
18,379,852
Current assets
16,462,737
19,450,377
23,593,348 28,244,173 29,855,237
Inventories
3,860,578
4,431,970
4,642,937 5,621,019 6,247,874
Trade and other receivables
4,049,366
4,754,827
4,981,158 6,333,659 6,140,267
Cash and short-term deposits
6,016,739
4,081,425
4,206,004
4,467,603
4,042,020
Total assets
32,576,387
38,083,230
43,575,017
49,929,135
51,239,758
Equity and liabilities
Equity
10,758,449
12,343,825
13,285,301
15,545,398
17,850,622
Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent
8,607,935
9,912,404
10,872,728
12,931,203
14,727,908
Non-controlling interests
2,150,514
2,431,421
2,412,573
2,614,195
3,122,714
Non-current liabilities
7,948,683
10,664,131
10,743,391
11,893,747
10,888,739
Current liabilities
13,869,255
15,075,274
19,546,325 22,489,990 22,500,398
Total liabilities
21,817,938
25,739,405
30,289,716
34,383,737
33,389,136
Total equity and liabilities
32,576,387
38,083,230
43,575,017
49,929,135
51,239,758
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd RICH Page | 13
APPENDIX 1
Disclaimer
This information and opinion contained in this report have been complied by our research department from sources
believed by it to be reliable and in good faith, but no representation or warranty, express or implied is made as to their
accuracy, completeness or correctness. All opinions and estimates contained in the document constitute the
department’s judgment as of the date of this document and are subject to change without notice and are provided in
good faith but without legal responsibility.
This report is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.
Capital Trust Securities (Pvt) Ltd. (the company) or persons connected with it may from time to time have an
investment banking or other relationship, including but not limited to, the participation or investment in commercial
banking transactions (including loans) with some or all of the issuers mentioned therein, either for their own account or
the account of their customers. Persons connected with the company may provide or have provided corporate finance
and other services to the issuer of the securities mentioned herein, including the issuance of options on securities
mentioned herein or any related investment and may make a purchase and/or sale, or offer to make a purchase and/or
sale of the securities or any related investment from time to time in the open market or otherwise, in each case either
as principal or agent.
This report may contain forward looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such
as “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “intend”, “plan”, “expect”, “forecast”, “predict” and “project” and statements that an
event or result “may”, “will”, “can”, “should”, “could” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar expressions.
Such forward looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to us and are
subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in
any forward looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue relevance on these forward looking
statements. Capital Trust Securities expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any such forward looking
statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the
occurrence of unanticipated events.
Exchange rate fluctuations may affect the return to investors. Neither the company nor any of its affiliates, nor any
other person, accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or
the information contained therein.
Capita TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd, their respective affiliate companies, associates, directors and/or employees may
have investments in securities or derivatives of securities of companies mentioned in this report, and may make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with the views expressed in this report.
Capital TRUST Securities (Pvt) Ltd, it’s directors, officers, consultants, employees, associates or business partner, will
not be responsible, for any claims damages, compensation, suits, damages, loss, costs, charges, expenses, outgoing
or payments including attorney’s fees which recipients of the reports suffers or incurs directly or indirectly arising out
actions taken as a result of this report.
TRADING DIVISION BOARD OF DIRECTORSTushan Wickramasinghe (011)-2174184 0777-313456 Moksevi Prelis (Chairman)Dakshana Gooneratne (011)-2174194 0777-360492 Tushan Wickramasinghe (Managing Director/CEO)Lawrence David (011)-2174164 0777-289331 Methmal Senivirathne (CFO)M J M Husni (011)-2174102 0773-219503Sandesh Jayakody (011)-2174103 0773-733273Nilantha Perera (011)-2174104 0777-715970Saliya Gamagedera (011)-2174108 0773-219506Asanka Perera (011)-2174109 0773-291847Suneth Fernando (011)-2174174 0773-633533Shanmugasharma Rakesh Sharma (011)-2174117 0777-536877Rasika Vidanalage (011)-2174119 0777-536898Thilina Yahampatharachchi (011)-2174131 0773-219502Sajee Perera (011)-2174113 0777-287941Shehan Mendis (011)-2174134 0777-305684Chamila Fernando (011)-2174121 0777-536887Dilshard Hameed (011)-2174132 0773-142242Danushka Arambegedra (011)-2174122 0777-270867Laxman Ratnayake (011)-2174116 0777-287948Sulochana Fernando (011)-2174124 0773-219501Asoka Dharmatilaka (011)-2174174 0773-865300
KANDY BRANCHArjuna Wilbawa (081)-2205 486 0773-291846Mohomed Faizan (081)-2205 491 0777-840256FAX (081)-2201050
KURUNEGALA BRANCHDammika Senarathne (037)-2223 861 0777-560699FAX (037)-2220859
NEGOMBO BRANCHSanjeewa Perera (031)-2228470 0773-291848Narada Abeysinghe (031)-2228473 0773-833997FAX (031)-2227894
MATARA BRANCHJagath Rathnayake (041)-2236204 0773-758304FAX (041)-235644
CUSTOMER SERVICE DIVISIONPrashani Perera (011)-2174167 0773-167777 CAPITAL TRUST RESEARCH (PVT) LTD
Charitha Gunasekere (011)-2174140 0773-865301Melani Nawaratne (011)-2174190 0777-270839Ruvini Kaushalya (011)-2174141 0777-270922
ACCOUNTS DIVISIONMethmal Senivirathne (011)-2174110 0777-766727Ranjini Jayawardena (011)-2174142 0773-596336Subani Wimalarathne (011)-2174143 0772-015882 CAPITAL TRUST CREDIT (PVT) LIMITEDKumari De Alwis (011)-2174144 0772-015886 (011)-2174153 0775-754078
DOCUMENTATION DIVISIONN.M.A Navaratne (011)-2174150 0777-287931 CAPITAL TRUST FINANCIAL (PVT) LIMITED
(011)-2174123
TELEPHONE : (011)- 2 174 174 HOTLINE : (011)- 2 174 175 FAX : (011)- 2 174 173 E MAIL : [email protected]