Rise in Valuations - December M&A Flash Report

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    USA Switzerland Germany France United Kingdom Canada Norway Brazil

    www.corumgroup.com

    M&A Flash ReportM&A Flash Report Dec. 2009Dec. 2009Software and IT Industry Market Update

    Thursday, December 3, 200910:00 am PT

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    Monthly M&A Flash Report

    Bruce MilneCEOCorum Group Ltd.

    Mark ReedExecutive Vice PresidentCorum Group Ltd.

    Corum Group Presentation 2

    >> For todays presentation or more information, contact Pat Sultan([email protected], +1 425-455-8281 ext. 248)

    ruce ne, an oun er o orum, as overseen more ransac ons an anyone n e wor

    over the past 25 years, generating over $6 Billion in wealth for clients in 24 countries.He has founded or owned four software companies, including AMI, the worlds largest vertical marketsoftware firm, and was a founding investor in some of the most innovative firms in their field, includingBlue Coat, Bright Star and Sabaki.

    A recognized industry expert, he has served as a personal advisor to Bill Gates on operating systems,Apple on the development of the Mac, and as one of top 10 industry advisors to IBM. He has served onthe board of Washington Technology Center at the University of Washington, and is the founder of theWTIA, the nations leading regional technology trade association.

    Outside the U.S. he worked with the Canadian government to found SoftWorld, and he was recentlychosen as one of the 200 most influential individuals in the IT community in Europe. He is also the only

    juror from North America for the Tornado 100 Awards in Europes.

    A Deans List graduate in International Business from the UW, and a graduate With Distinction fromHarvard Business School, Mr. Milne has written three book, including Power Planning, How To StructureYour Software Company For Success.

    Dougan MilneDirector of ResearchCorum Group Ltd.

    Tomoki YasudaAnalystCorum Group Ltd.

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    Valuations Up Time to Sell?

    AGENDAOverview of Current MarketMarket and Valuation Analysis

    -

    Corum Group Presentation 3

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    Asia - East

    Dubai World restructuring $26 Billion in debt...nonebacked by GovernmentIndia Growth Shatters Forecasts Up 7.9%Tokyo Moves To Break Deflationary Spiral

    Corum Group Presentation 4

    Wen Labels Renmindi Pressure UnfairChina Grows At A Faster PaceEmergency Meeting As Yen Drops Most in 7 Months

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    Europe Zone

    EU Consumer Prices Up - First Time In 7 MonthsBritish House Prices Climb For 4 th Month2010 U.K Recovery Prediction Too OptimisticEurozone Inflation Turns Positive

    Corum Group Presentation 5

    U.K. Business Numbers Up As Jobs Are Lost Necessity Entrepreneurs!U.K. Write-Offs Hit Record

    Eurozone Unemployment At 11 Yr. High

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    Currencies

    Swiss Franc Chosen CurrencyAustralia Raises Key Rates to 3.7%Brazilian Real Best Performing Currency

    Corum Group Presentation 6

    ana a s urrency ts 18 o. g Dollar Resumes SlideGold Soars Past $1200

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    North America

    U.S. Business Activity Accelerates in NovemberCanadas Recovers, but less than expected0.4%Chip Sales Rise 5.1% in October

    Corum Group Presentation 7

    Steelmakers Downsizing Once AgainU.S. Manufacturing Expands 4 th MonthADP Job Losses Exceed ExpectationsFed Sees Subdued Economic Rebound

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    Housing

    Lenders Face Sanctions For Failed LoanModifications 650,000 Trial Revisions NotConverted

    Corum Group Presentation 8

    HoldingsHome Sales Unexpectedly Climb 3.7%

    U.S. Commercial Mortgage Default 3.4% -16 Yr. High

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    Retail

    Cyber Monday Online Retail Sales Increase16%More Shoppers Hit Stores, Spend LessEach...Favor Low Price Items

    Corum Group Presentation 9

    Holiday Shopping Losing Meaning as U.S.Economic Barometer

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    Valuations Are UP Why?

    Buoyant Financial MarketsPent up buyer demandCurrency fluctuations Dollar on sale!

    Corum Group Presentation 10

    uyers are acCash available

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    Rise in Valuations Fuel Sales

    Divestitures are upVenture Capitalists are moving portfolioSellers are responding to buyer overtures

    Corum Group Presentation 11

    ega ea s are e ng oneEven smaller transactions are happening

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    Recent Transactions Closed

    Corum Group Presentation 12

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    Recent Transactions Closed

    Corum Group Presentation 13

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    Firms in Letter Of Intent (LOI)

    Vertical market Financial ServicesMobile search applicationsVertical market Healthcare (SaaS)

    Corum Group Presentation 14

    etwor secur ty so ut onsIT ServicesMobile messaging solutions

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    Current Offers

    Network management solutionsVertical market - Wholesale DistributionApplication development tools

    Corum Group Presentation 15

    nterpr se ontent anagementCRMVertical market Insurance

    Enterprise Application Integration

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    Tomoki YasudaAnalystCorum Group Ltd.

    Market Valuation Analysis

    Corum Group Presentation 16

    Tomoki is currently an analyst working at Corums headquarters in Bellevue, WA. At Corum,Tomoki is responsible for conducting research and market analysis on companies,economy, and valuations. He is a contributor to the Merger and Acquisitions Quarterly andhas been responsible for updating the internal processes for Corum.

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    Public Markets

    90.00

    100.00

    110.00

    120.00

    Nasdaq S&P Tech Dow

    Corum Group Presentation 17

    40.00

    50.00

    60.00

    70.00

    80.00

    Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09

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    M&A Activity November

    Number of Software and IT M&A Transactions

    233

    267

    Corum Group Presentation 18

    2004

    2005

    319

    247

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

    November

    2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004

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    Corum Index M&A Statistics

    # of Transactions# of Mega DealsLargest DealAverage Deal Size

    Nov-08

    2333

    $5,352$209

    Nov-09

    2679

    $5,200$356

    Corum Group Presentation 19

    $ values in millions

    Median Seller Size# VC backed Exits% Terms UndisclosedAll Cash (announced)% Targets were Public

    % Public Buyers

    $1322

    68%43%15%

    51%

    $2334

    66%44%16%

    49%

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    Horizontal Application Software Market

    Public Valuations Deal Spotlight:

    Sector: SCMTarget: i2 Technologies, Inc.Buyer: JDA Software Group, Inc.Date: November 2009Transaction Value: $556.1 millionTransaction Multi le: 1.7x

    Corum Group Presentation 20

    Structure: Cash & Stock

    Comments:Formerly stalled dealStrengthening key verticalsExpanded product portfolio

    Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09

    EV/EBITDA 6.82 x 9.23 x 9.39 x 9.99 x 11.06 x 11.06 x 12.67 x 12.26 x 11.66 x

    EV/S 1.12 x 1.16 x 1.35 x 1.50 x 1.58 x 1.93 x 2.41 x 2.21 x 2.29 x

    ApplicationSoftware

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    Public Valuations

    Vertical Application Software Market

    Deal Spotlight:

    Sector: HealthcareTarget: IMS Health, Inc.Buyer: TPG Capital/CPPInvestment BoardDate: November 2009Transaction Value: $5.2 billionVertical

    Corum Group Presentation 21

    Transaction Multiple: 2.4xStructure: Cash

    Comments:Healthcare verticalPositioned for long-term growthPrivate equity megadealMar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09

    EV/EBITDA6.53 x 7.26 x 7.99 x 8.17 x 8.91 x 9.01 x 9.32 x 8.42 x 8.96 x

    EV/S 1.14 x 1.31 x 1.40 x 1.51 x 1.51 x 1.66 x 1.80 x 1.57 x 1.82 x

    ApplicationSoftware

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    Public Valuations

    Consumer Application Software Market

    Deal Spotlight:

    Sector: GamingTarget: Playfish, Ltd.Buyer: Electronic Arts, Inc.Date: November 2009Transaction Value: $275 millionTransaction Multiple: 5.5x

    Corum Group Presentation 22

    Structure: Cash w/additional earn-out of up to $100m through 2011.

    Comments:Change in gaming dynamicSocial gaming going mainstreamClient baseMar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09

    EV/EBITDA 2.74 x 3.81 x 2.83 x 4.47 x 4.57 x 4.27 x 5.88 x 5.23 x 5.71 xEV/S 0.64 x 0.69 x 0.50 x 0.53 x 0.53 x 0.59 x 0.83 x 0.60 x 0.61 x

    Consumer

    ApplicationSoftware

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    Infrastructure Market

    Public Valuations Deal Spotlight:

    Sector: SecurityTarget: Guardium, Inc.Buyer: IBM CorporationDate: November 2009Transaction Value: $232 millionTransaction Multi le: 6.1x

    Corum Group Presentation 23

    Structure: Cash

    Comments:Latest in a string of acquisitions

    by IBMFocus on application

    infrastructure security

    Streamline complianceMar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09

    EV/EBITDA 6.98 x 8.46 x 8.29 x 8.74 x 9.59 x 10.92 x 10.46 x 10.81 x 9.76 x

    EV/S 1.43 x 1.55 x 1.52 x 1.72 x 1.95 x 2.02 x 2.14 x 2.20 x 2.27 x

    InfrastructureSoftware

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    Internet Market

    Public Valuations Deal Spotlight:

    Sector: Mobile AdvertisingTarget: AdMob, Inc.Buyer: Google, Inc.Date: November 2009Transaction Value: $750 millionTransaction Multi le: 37.5x

    Corum Group Presentation 24

    Structure: Stock

    Comments:Strengthening Googles presence

    in the mobileInteractive marketing abilitiesTechnology and TalentMar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09

    EV/EBITDA7.54 x 9.80 x 11.78 x 11.81 x 13.32 x 13.02 x 15.80 x 11.81 x 13.03 x

    EV/S 1.60 x 2.11 x 2.26 x 2.30 x 2.48 x 2.60 x 2.70 x 2.19 x 2.45 x

    Internet

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    IT Services Market

    Public Valuations Deal Spotlight:

    Sector: IT ServicesTarget: CFC Information SystemesBuyer: Adesso AGDate: November 2009Transaction Value: N/A

    Corum Group Presentation 25

    Comments:Geographic expansionDomain expertise

    Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09

    EV/EBITDA 5.32 x 5.76 x 5.51 x 5.24 x 5.56 x 5.67 x 6.66 x 6.10 x 6.16 xEV/S 0.56 x 0.60 x 0.61 x 0.63 x 0.68 x 0.68 x 0.73 x 0.73 x 0.63 x

    IT Services

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    Dougan MilneDirector of ResearchCorum Group Ltd.

    Market Valuation Analysis

    Corum Group Presentation 26

    Dougan is the head of Corums research team serving as the Director of Research. Duringhis time with Corum, Dougan spent three years working with Corum's international groupheadquartered in Zrich, Switzerland. Prior to joining Corum's team in 2005, Dougan spentthree years working in the banking industry with Bank of America, and Citigroup's PrivateWealth business unit. Before entering finance and investment banking, Dougan founded thesuccessful garment distribution business, Billions Apparel and the advertising firm, ModoMarketing. Dougan has a Bachelors degree in Business Economics from the University ofSan Diego.

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    Nat BurgessExecutive Vice PresidentCorum Group Ltd.

    ChairmanWorld Financial Symposiums

    World Financial Symposiums

    Corum Group Presentation 28

    Nat joined Corum in 1996 and brings a diverse background in technology M&A and law. While with the Enforcement Division of

    the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Nat helped identify and build cases against securities fraud schemes. With the

    Strategic Development Division of Morgan Stanley's M&A group, Nat worked on cross-border acquisitions of U.S. and European

    companies by Japanese firms, and on financings by large Japanese public companies. Nat moved to Morgan Stanley's Tokyo

    office, where he reported directly to the President of Morgan Stanley, Japan Ltd. and focused exclusively on cross-border M&A.

    After Morgan Stanley, Nat co-founded Postcard Software, a creator of advertiser-driven bilingual (English and Japanese) Internet

    content. At Activision, Nat lead the company's on-line business development.

    Nat earned an undergraduate degree in Japanese literature from Yale College and a law degree from UCLA. While in law school,

    Nat wrote articles for the International Forum at Yale, Tokyo Journal. Nat is frequently quoted in industry publications, a highly

    sought speaker at industry conferences, and Chairman of the World Financial Symposiums.

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    Corum Group Presentation 29London November 17

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    Partial Speaker List

    December 15, New York [email protected]

    Corum Group Presentation 30

    David Virnelli

    IBM

    Jeff Brennan

    Pitney Bowes

    Jeff Hoffmeister

    Morgan Stanley NY

    Arun PrakashVirgo Capital

    Ryan ZieglerEdison Ventures

    Peter CoffeeSalesforce.com

    Greg OsinoffRenewData

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    www.worldfinancialsymposiums.comGrowth and Exit Strategies

    Staging for RecoveryThe Future of M&A, VC, Private Equity and Public Offerings in the New Tech Landscape

    December 15 2009 New York

    Corum Group Presentation 31

    Attend this conference to learn about:

    Raising capital in the current environmentThe new rules of global tech M&AThe role of private equity in a credit-starved market

    The IPO windowCreative transaction structuresFinding value and opportunity in the cloudAcquisition multiples, VC tactics and more

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    Upcoming Corum Events

    December 3: Flash Webinar (Intl)

    December 8: London SUSO

    December 10: Flash Webinar (Nordic)

    December 15: New York City WFS

    Januar 7: Flash Webinar Intl

    January 21: Flash Webinar (Nordic)

    January 25-27: Miami Progress Conference

    January 28: Flash Webinar (DACH)

    February 4: Flash Webinar (Intl)

    Februar 16: Dallas MB

    Corum Group Presentation 32

    January 12: Toronto MB & SUSO

    January 14: Flash Webinar (France)

    January 14: Ottawa MB

    January 15: Montreal MB

    January 19: Calgary MB

    Merge Briefing (MB)Selling Up Selling Out (SUSO)World Financial Symposium (WFS)

    February 18: Bellevue SUSO

    March 2: Houston MB

    March 4: Flash Webinar (Intl)

    March 28: Oslo SUSO

    March 21: San Francisco MB

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    Contact Information

    Corum Group Ltd.

    Bruce Milne, [email protected]

    Dougan Milne, Director of [email protected] Corum Grou International S..r.l.

    Corum Group Presentation 33

    Research and Conferences:www.corumgroup.com

    10500 NE 8th Street, Suite 1500Bellevue, WA 98004USA

    +1 425-455-8281

    Beim ParadeplatzBasteiplatz 78001 ZrichSwitzerland

    +41 44 251 82 65