Rising to Depletion ? Towards a dialogue on the state of national marine fisheries A PROFISH...
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A re a 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Belgium 27 G erm any 27 U nited Kingdom 27 USA 21 21 D jibouti 51 Puerto R ico 31 Portugal 27 Jordan 51 C olom bia 31 M alta 37 Spain 27 27 Peru 87 R éunion 51 South Africa 47 Berm uda 31 France 27 27 C ôte d'Ivoire 34 N orw ay 27 SaintH elena 47 Turks-C aicos Is. 31 G renada 31 Isle ofM an 27 Israel 37 Jam aica 31 O m an 51 SaintLucia 31 Poland 27 G uatem ala 77 D om inica 31 StKitts-N evis 31 Spain 34 34 Vanuatu 71 Spain 37 37 C hina,M acao 61 D enm ark 27 Aruba 31 Italy 37 Singapore 71 Brazil 41 French S.Ter. 51 Korea D PR 61 USA 31 31 Albania 37 Belize 31 Ecuador 87 H onduras 31 M orocco 37 37 M ozam bique 51 C anada 21 21 C uba 31 France 37 37 Liberia 34 R om ania 37 Taiw an,PC 61 U ruguay 41 Antigua-B arbuda 31 Barbados 31 Japan 61 Turkey 37 Kuw ait 51 C osta R ica 77 D om inican R ep. 31 N ew C aledonia 71 G uam 71 C hina,H K 61 Solom on Is. 71 Australia 81 81 Palau 71 C hile 87 C yprus 37 G reece 37 Iran 51 Korea 61 N etherlands 27 M exico 31 31 C olom bia 87 87 Brunei 71 G hana 34 Kiribati 71 M auritius 51 Sri Lanka 57 Thailand 71 71 Thailand 57 57 Argentina 41 Ireland 27 Pakistan 51 Trinidad-Tobago 31 Venezuela 31 C hannel Is. 27 Eq.G uinea 34 Finland 27 Tonga 77 UAE 51 Australia 71 71 Baham as 31 Benin 34 C am eroon 34 C ape Verde 34 C ongo 34 G abon 34 G uadeloupe 31 G uinea-Bissau 34 G uyana 31 H onduras 77 77 Indonesia 57 57 Iraq 51 M alaysia 71 71 M alaysia 57 57 M exico 77 77 N ew Zealand 81 Panam a 77 77 Senegal 34 Seychelles 51 Sudan 51 Surinam e 31 Syria 37 Tunisia 37 USA 67 67 U S Virgin Is. 31 C om oros 51 C ongo D R 34 Egypt37 37 Egypt51 51 Fr.Polynesia 77 G am bia 34 G reenland 27 G uatem ala 31 Iceland 27 India 51 51 India 57 57 Lebanon 37 Libya 37 M adagascar 51 M ayotte 51 M orocco 34 34 N icaragua 31 31 N igeria 34 Philippines 71 Sam oa 77 Sao Tom e-Principe 34 Som alia 51 Tanzania 51 Togo 34 Algeria 37 Australia 57 57 Bahrain 51 Bangladesh 57 C am bodia 71 C hina 61 C osta R ica 31 Faroe Is. 27 Fiji Is. 71 G reenland 21 G uinea 34 H aiti 31 Indonesia 71 71 M aldives 51 M arshall Is. 71 M artinique 31 M auritania 34 M yanm ar 57 N icaragua 77 77 Q atar 51 Saudi Arabia 51 Sierra Leone 34 VietN am 71 W allis-Futuna Is. 71 Yem en 51 Rising to Depletion ? Towards a dialogue on the state of national marine fisheries A PROFISH Preliminary Report presented to the World Bank on 26 May 2009
Rising to Depletion ? Towards a dialogue on the state of national marine fisheries A PROFISH Preliminary Report presented to the World Bank on 26 May 2009
Rising to Depletion ? Towards a dialogue on the state of
national marine fisheries A PROFISH Preliminary Report presented to
the World Bank on 26 May 2009
Slide 2
Outline 1.Introduction 2.The approach 3.The data 4.Selected
results 5.Discussion 6.Conclusions
Slide 3
1. Introduction The study backdrop 90% of stocks are under
national jurisdiction and the large majority is under excessive
pressure Countries are responsible and committed to restore stocks
by 2015 (WSSD POI) but progress is very slow At global level,
information on stocks is often scarce, fragmented, too slowly
updated and often outdated There is therefore no regularly updated
and easily accessible indicator of fishery development level at
national, regional or global level
Slide 4
1. Introduction The study outcome An approach providing a
simple, generally available and effective entry point into an
interactive fishery reform process The approach is scalable, at
sub-sectoral, sectoral, national, regional or global levels It may
encourage countries to: Build on their existing efforts, making
better use of available statistics Improve the quality of their
statistics formalizing their use as indicators and Publicly account
for the health of their fishery resources
Slide 5
2. Approach The development cycle Time I II III IV V Undev.
Developing Mature Senescent Recovering Aggregate landings 0 Zero
growth Max growthMax landing Relative growth rate
Slide 6
2. Approach T he phase graph Landings Growth rate 0 Zero growth
Max growth Max landing II III I IV V
Slide 7
Time 0 Landings ( ) II III IV V I Landings 0 I II III IV V 2.
Approach The development cycle Landings Growth rate
Slide 8
Growth Rate or landings Time 0 I II III II III IV? IV III 2.
Approach The development cycle
Slide 9
Landings Growth rate Fluctuation loops 0 2. Approach The phase
graph I II III IV V?
Slide 10
Country B Country A Home Area A Home Area B Limit of the FAO
Area Long-range fleets grounds Offshore resources limit Country B
Country A Home Area AHome Area B Limit of the FAO Area Offshore
resources limit 2. Approach FAO Areas and Home Areas
Slide 11
3. Data FAO FISHSTAT + landings database Marine capture
fisheries 1950-2006 in Home Areas 5 taxonomic categories Total
Fishes Bottom Fishes Small Pelagic Fishes Other Fishes Crustaceans
3 indicators (raw and smoothed) Reported landings Annual relative
rates of increase Annual landing ratio (L t /L max )
4b World level Total Fishes Bottom Fishes Pelagic Fishes
Slide 16
Other Fishes Crustaceans Cephalopods 4b World Level
Slide 17
Area 21-Total Area 27-Total Area 31-Total 4c Regional
Level
Slide 18
4. Colour coding Time I II III IV % of LMAX LMax 0 50 75 90 100
DevelopingMatureSenescent
Slide 19
4.C Regional Total Fishes
Slide 20
4c. Regional - Bottom Fishes
Slide 21
4.C Regional Bottom Fishes % in development phases
Slide 22
4d. National level Types of patterns Mature: Cameroon Landings
(10 3 t)
Slide 23
4d. National level Types of patterns
Slide 24
Slide 25
Total Fishes Nb % Bottom Fishes Nb % Home Areas considered
(*)224100224100 Un-conclusive assessment26122310 Not
assessed2999442 Total assessed1697910748 Of which - Developing -
Mature - Senescent 1 - Senescent 2 52 51 57 9 31 30 34 5 24 34 43 6
22 32 40 6 4d. National level Summary diagnostic *Note: countries
bordering more than one FAO Area are counted more than once
Slide 26
4d. National level Total Fishes Rising to depletion?
Slide 27
4d. National level Bottom Fishes Rising to depletion?
Slide 28
4d. National level Rising to depletion? 1952 2004 Home areas
Total Fishes Home areas 1952 2004 Bottom Fishes
Slide 29
4d National level % in development phases
Slide 30
4d. National level Comparison of patterns
Slide 31
4e. Other observations Oscillations Environment or business
cycles?
Slide 32
4e. Other observations Pattern similarities Data manipulations
or large scale environmental signals?
Slide 33
4e. Other observations Abnormal patterns Ind. war 1961-74
Slide 34
5. Conclusion The title 0 Depletion Rising to As the aggregated
level of saturation of the sector is reached, the risk of depletion
increases
Slide 35
5. Conclusion The bottom line Countries are responsible for
meeting their WSSD commitments A robust country-level indicator on
the state of the sector would help counties assess their progress
and inform society Existing statistics offer a possibility to be
fully examined. They are underused and could be improved Countries
can improve on this first proposal through their own efforts. The
Bank could help. Country reporting to FAO would also be
improved
Slide 36
5.Conclusions What next regarding the study? Continue peer
review Complete the analyses by resource types Case studies (West
Africa)
Slide 37
Senegal (left) Ghana (right) 5 Conclusions
Slide 38
5. Conclusions What next regarding cases studies ? Identify
partner countries : normal, abnormal Check sensitivity to drivers:
Integrate stock-specific and sector-wide analyses Integrate
development and management Combine with sector-level economic
analysis
Slide 39
1950-2006Future Demise Towards what future? Many thanks for
your attention
Slide 40
1950-2006Future Many thanks for your attention 1950-2006Future
Recovery Demise