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Reducing the Risk of Smoke Reducing the Risk of Smoke and Fire in Transport and Fire in Transport Airplanes: Airplanes: Past History, Current Risk, Past History, Current Risk, and Recommended Mitigations and Recommended Mitigations By: By: John M. Cox, FRAeS John M. Cox, FRAeS President President Safety Operating Systems Safety Operating Systems

Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

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Reducing the Risk of Smoke and Fire in Transport Airplanes: Past History, Current Risk, and Recommended Mitigations By: John M. Cox, FRAeS President Safety Operating Systems. Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes. What are the odds?. Probability. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Reducing the Risk of Smoke and Reducing the Risk of Smoke and Fire in Transport Airplanes: Fire in Transport Airplanes:

Past History, Current Risk, and Past History, Current Risk, and Recommended MitigationsRecommended Mitigations

By:By:

John M. Cox, FRAeSJohn M. Cox, FRAeSPresidentPresident

Safety Operating SystemsSafety Operating Systems

Page 2: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Risk, Perception, and Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire Probability of Smoke, Fire

and Fumesand Fumes

What are the odds?What are the odds?

Page 3: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Probability Probability In-flight fire is the 4In-flight fire is the 4thth leading cause of leading cause of

fatalities in commercial jet aircraft fatalities in commercial jet aircraft accidents 1987 – 2004 (Boeing Study)accidents 1987 – 2004 (Boeing Study)• Loss of Control (LOC)Loss of Control (LOC)• Controlled Flight into Terrain (CFIT)Controlled Flight into Terrain (CFIT)• Specific Component failure (non-Specific Component failure (non-

powerplant)powerplant)

Probability is > 1 in 10,000Probability is > 1 in 10,000

Page 4: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

ProbabilityProbability

IATA STEADES DATAIATA STEADES DATA36 months: Jan. 2002 to Dec. 200436 months: Jan. 2002 to Dec. 2004Total Air Safety Reports (ASRs) = 2,596Total Air Safety Reports (ASRs) = 2,596

17011701 of the 2596 events were in-flight of the 2596 events were in-flight occurrences of smokeoccurrences of smoke

Page 5: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WhenWhen

IATA DATA

Cruise

Page 6: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WhereWhere

Page 7: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

ProbabilityProbability > > 10001000 in-flight smoke events occur in-flight smoke events occur

annuallyannually Resulting in >Resulting in >350350 unscheduled or unscheduled or

precautionary landingsprecautionary landings In-flight smoke rate is In-flight smoke rate is 11 in in 50005000

flightsflights In-flight smoke diversion rate is In-flight smoke diversion rate is 11 in in

15,00015,000 flights flightsIATA DataIATA Data

Page 8: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TermsTerms AC 25-1309 1AAC 25-1309 1A

• Catastrophic (not all fires are, but potential)Catastrophic (not all fires are, but potential)• Extremely improbableExtremely improbable

1 x 101 x 10-9-9 or less or less

Probability of diversion due to cockpit Probability of diversion due to cockpit smoke could be a reasonably probable smoke could be a reasonably probable event and within the range of remote event and within the range of remote ((HalfpennyHalfpenny) ) 1 x 10 1 x 10 -5-5

Page 9: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

HistoryHistory July 1785, Jean-François July 1785, Jean-François

Pilâtre de Rozier’s Pilâtre de Rozier’s hydrogen balloon hydrogen balloon ignited and burned over ignited and burned over the English Channel. the English Channel.

Aviation’s first fatal Aviation’s first fatal accident was an in-flight accident was an in-flight firefire

Credits - 2001 National Air and Space Museum,Smithsonian Institution (SI Neg. No. A-4691)

Page 10: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Propeller TransportsPropeller Transports Trans World Airlines, Trans World Airlines,

July 11, 1946, July 11, 1946, Lockheed Lockheed Constellation Constellation • Smoke overwhelmed Smoke overwhelmed

the crewthe crew Similar accidents from Similar accidents from

generator leads issue generator leads issue still occurstill occur

• Open Flight Deck Open Flight Deck Window did not allow Window did not allow landinglanding

Page 11: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Propeller TransportsPropeller Transports

American Airlines, American Airlines, November 11, 1947, November 11, 1947, DC-6DC-6

• Fire from heater Fire from heater ingesting fumesingesting fumes

Fume ignition remains Fume ignition remains an issuean issue

Page 12: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

1973 and B707 fires1973 and B707 firesVarig Flight 860, July 11, 1973Varig Flight 860, July 11, 1973

Cabin fire with heavy smokeCabin fire with heavy smoke

Landed in a field 70 second from Paris OrlyLanded in a field 70 second from Paris Orly

Crew and Passenger experienced smoke Crew and Passenger experienced smoke inhalation inhalation

Open Flight Deck Windows did not provide Open Flight Deck Windows did not provide sufficient visibility sufficient visibility

Page 13: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Varig Flight 860Varig Flight 860

Page 14: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Pan Am Flight 160Pan Am Flight 160 November 3, 1973November 3, 1973 Cargo Flight - Hazardous Material Cargo Flight - Hazardous Material

FireFire Smoke overwhelmed Flight DeckSmoke overwhelmed Flight Deck

• Continuous Smoke GenerationContinuous Smoke Generation Flight Deck Window Opened - Not Flight Deck Window Opened - Not

Successful LandingSuccessful Landing

Page 15: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

ChangesChanges RegulationRegulation

• Smoke GogglesSmoke Goggles• Smoke Removal ProceduresSmoke Removal Procedures• Tightened Hazardous Material Tightened Hazardous Material

RequirementsRequirements• Banned Smoking in LavatoriesBanned Smoking in Lavatories• Improved Cabin AirflowsImproved Cabin Airflows• Waste Towel Receptacle Made More Fire Waste Towel Receptacle Made More Fire

ResistantResistant

Page 16: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Air Canada Flight 797Air Canada Flight 797

June 2, 1983 – DC-9-30 June 2, 1983 – DC-9-30 Fire began in Aft Lavatory – Spread Fire began in Aft Lavatory – Spread

• Cause believed to be electrical near Cause believed to be electrical near flush motorflush motor

Smoke filled Cabin and Flight DeckSmoke filled Cabin and Flight Deck Flight Deck Door BrokenFlight Deck Door Broken

Page 17: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Air Canada Flight 797Air Canada Flight 797 F/A and Passengers Smell SmokeF/A and Passengers Smell Smoke Pilots Hear Circuit Breaker TripPilots Hear Circuit Breaker Trip

• Reset onceReset once Smoke IncreasesSmoke Increases COCO2 2 Fire Extinguisher Discharged into Fire Extinguisher Discharged into

LavatoryLavatory• Not effectiveNot effective• Not applied directly at base of fireNot applied directly at base of fire

Page 18: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Air Canada Flight 797Air Canada Flight 797 Fire and Smoke SpreadFire and Smoke Spread First Officer Went Aft to Investigate First Officer Went Aft to Investigate Flight Deck Door Left OpenFlight Deck Door Left Open First Officer Switched Off Air-First Officer Switched Off Air-

conditioning Packsconditioning Packs• Ventilation flow aft stoppedVentilation flow aft stopped

Flight Deck Windows Opened and Flight Deck Windows Opened and ClosedClosed• ReversedReversed• High Noise High Noise

Page 19: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 20: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

ChangesChanges Lavatory Fire DetectionLavatory Fire Detection Full Face Masks Portable Crew Full Face Masks Portable Crew

OxygenOxygen Protective Breathing EquipmentProtective Breathing Equipment Fire Blocking Seats (650,000)Fire Blocking Seats (650,000) Halon Fire Extinguisher (2 – 2.5 lb)Halon Fire Extinguisher (2 – 2.5 lb) AC 25-9AC 25-9

• Smoke TestingSmoke Testing

Page 21: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Single Failure – Single Failure – Multiple ResultsMultiple Results

Page 22: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Single Failure – Single Failure – Multiple ResultsMultiple Results

RAF Nimrod ExampleRAF Nimrod Example• #1 Engine DC Wire Loom Failure#1 Engine DC Wire Loom Failure• Uncommanded Opening of #4 Engine Uncommanded Opening of #4 Engine

StarterStarter• Starter Turbine Valve Over SpeedsStarter Turbine Valve Over Speeds

Air from operating engineAir from operating engine• Starter Turbine DisintegratesStarter Turbine Disintegrates• Turbine Escapes HousingTurbine Escapes Housing• Turbine Punctures Fuel TankTurbine Punctures Fuel Tank• Severe Fuel Tank FireSevere Fuel Tank Fire• Ditching in the North Sea – All SurvivedDitching in the North Sea – All Survived

Page 23: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Single Failure – Single Failure – Multiple ResultsMultiple Results

Swiss Air 111Swiss Air 111• In-Flight Entertainment Systems WiringIn-Flight Entertainment Systems Wiring

Likely initial location of arcing and/or fireLikely initial location of arcing and/or fire• Spread to Nearby WiringSpread to Nearby Wiring

Multiple system failureMultiple system failure Flight instruments failedFlight instruments failed

• Unrelated Systems Affected by Initial EventUnrelated Systems Affected by Initial Event

Page 24: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Location, Location, LocationLocation, Location, Location Inaccessible Areas Contain Inaccessible Areas Contain

• Wiring Wiring • Thermal Acoustic BlanketsThermal Acoustic Blankets• ContaminatesContaminates

ConductiveConductive Non-ConductiveNon-Conductive LiquidsLiquids Corrosion BlockCorrosion Block LubricantsLubricants

Page 25: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 26: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 27: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 28: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 29: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Unprotected Area of AircraftUnprotected Area of Aircraft

Examples were all unprotected areasExamples were all unprotected areas• No DetectionNo Detection• No SuppressionNo Suppression

Most in-flight fires are in unprotected Most in-flight fires are in unprotected areasareas

Page 30: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Unprotected Area of AircraftUnprotected Area of Aircraft

Page 31: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WiringWiring

Page 32: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WiringWiring

2/3 In-Flight Fires are Electrical2/3 In-Flight Fires are Electrical

2003 MITRE Report2003 MITRE Report• 81 Large Transports Inspected81 Large Transports Inspected

40 wiring anomalies PER airplane average40 wiring anomalies PER airplane average• 39 Small Transports Inspected39 Small Transports Inspected

58 wiring anomalies PER airplane average58 wiring anomalies PER airplane average

Page 33: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WiringWiring FAA Report 1995 to 2002 FAA Report 1995 to 2002

• 397 Wiring Failures397 Wiring Failures 84% burned, loose, damaged, shorted, 84% burned, loose, damaged, shorted,

failed, chafed or broken wires failed, chafed or broken wires

TWA 800 NTSB ReportTWA 800 NTSB Report• Examined 25 Transport AircraftExamined 25 Transport Aircraft

24 had metal shavings in wiring bundles24 had metal shavings in wiring bundles 5 showed evidence of heat or fire damage 5 showed evidence of heat or fire damage

Page 34: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WiringWiring Supplemental Type CertificateSupplemental Type Certificate

• FAA Study of 316 Circuit BreakersFAA Study of 316 Circuit Breakers Many lugs contained two different size wiresMany lugs contained two different size wires Violation of 14 CFR Part 25.1357 Violation of 14 CFR Part 25.1357

• Swiss Air 111 IFESwiss Air 111 IFE No wiring routing drawingsNo wiring routing drawings By-Passed Cabin Bus SwitchBy-Passed Cabin Bus Switch

Page 35: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WiringWiring

Arc Fault Circuit Breaker

Page 36: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WiringWiring

Arc Fault Circuit Breaker

Page 37: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

WiringWiring

Flash of unprotected circuit

Page 38: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Vision AssuranceVision Assurance

Vision to Maintain Vision to Maintain ControlControl

NavigateNavigate Accomplish Accomplish

ChecklistChecklist LandLand

Page 39: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Full Face MasksFull Face Masks Full Face MasksFull Face Masks

• Better protectionBetter protection• Better ability to purgeBetter ability to purge• Eliminates ability to Eliminates ability to

only use maskonly use mask FedEx 1406FedEx 1406

Sufficient Oxygen Sufficient Oxygen Supply for LandingSupply for Landing• MEL does not consider MEL does not consider

Smoke/Fire/FumesSmoke/Fire/Fumes

Page 40: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Halon Fire ExtinguishersHalon Fire Extinguishers

FAA Tests FAA Tests • 2 ½ lb did not 2 ½ lb did not

extinguish fireextinguish fire

• 5 lb could have 5 lb could have extinguish fireextinguish fire

Page 41: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Fire Access PortsFire Access Ports Access to Previously Inaccessible Access to Previously Inaccessible

AreasAreas• Allow extinguishant in without Allow extinguishant in without

increasing airflowincreasing airflow

Universal CompatibilityUniversal Compatibility• Flexible tubes allow high flow rate of Flexible tubes allow high flow rate of

extinguishantextinguishant

Some Areas Are Too Large for PortsSome Areas Are Too Large for Ports• Attic of wide body aircraft Attic of wide body aircraft

Page 42: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Mark Location of AccessMark Location of Access

Provide Marking of Access to Provide Marking of Access to Inaccessible AreaInaccessible Area• Where is it safe to open an areaWhere is it safe to open an area• Where is will there be collateral damageWhere is will there be collateral damage

Page 43: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining

FAA Tech Center

Page 44: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining FAA TestsFAA Tests

• Line Flight AttendantsLine Flight Attendants With 2 ½ lb Halon – Fire was not With 2 ½ lb Halon – Fire was not

extinguishedextinguished PBE problemsPBE problems Smoke MigrationSmoke Migration

• Training was not adequate Training was not adequate

Page 45: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining SmokeSmoke

• ToxicityToxicity Improved but still a serious considerationImproved but still a serious consideration

• LocationLocation AccessAccess

• Remove panel or “ax it”Remove panel or “ax it”• Collateral DamageCollateral Damage

• AmountAmount ContinuousContinuous

• Combustion ongoingCombustion ongoing

Page 46: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining

Smoke BarrierSmoke Barrier• Maintain Maintain

Close the Door!Close the Door! ““Captain there is smoke in the galley”Captain there is smoke in the galley”

• CommunicationCommunication

• Protect Flight Deck from SmokeProtect Flight Deck from Smoke

• MaintenanceMaintenance Swiss Air 111 exampleSwiss Air 111 example

Page 47: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining

Page 48: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining Smoke Barrier ExamplesSmoke Barrier Examples

• Cubana DC-8, October 6, 1976Cubana DC-8, October 6, 1976 Explosion in cargo holdExplosion in cargo hold Smoke in cabinSmoke in cabin Flight Attendant Flight Attendant openedopened the Flight Deck the Flight Deck

DoorDoor Captain’s voice on CVR “Close the door! Captain’s voice on CVR “Close the door!

Close the door!”Close the door!” Smoke filled the Flight DeckSmoke filled the Flight Deck

Page 49: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining

Page 50: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining Smoke Barrier ExamplesSmoke Barrier Examples

• AirTran Flight 913 – August 8, 2000AirTran Flight 913 – August 8, 2000 Just after takeoff – Electrical FireJust after takeoff – Electrical Fire Location aft of Captain behind circuit breakers – Location aft of Captain behind circuit breakers –

Forward F/A jumpseatForward F/A jumpseat

• Smoke in Galley AreaSmoke in Galley Area F/A F/A openedopened door found pilots wearing masks and door found pilots wearing masks and

gogglesgoggles No attempt to fight fireNo attempt to fight fire

• Returned for landingReturned for landing

Page 51: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

TrainingTraining Use of the AxUse of the Ax

When?When?

Where?Where?

How?How?

Page 52: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 53: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Ventilation and Open WindowsVentilation and Open Windows

SootSootOpenOpen

Page 54: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Open WindowOpen Window 70 Seconds from Runway70 Seconds from Runway Open Window did NOT Provide Open Window did NOT Provide

Sufficient VisibilitySufficient Visibility High NoiseHigh Noise Reverse Air FlowReverse Air Flow

• Cabin Air into Flight DeckCabin Air into Flight Deck Visibility is Proportional to Increase Visibility is Proportional to Increase

Flow RateFlow Rate• Double the rate double the visibilityDouble the rate double the visibility

Page 55: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

ConclusionsConclusions There are going to be in-flight firesThere are going to be in-flight fires

Multiple layers of mitigation are Multiple layers of mitigation are necessarynecessary

Implementation Implementation • FAA NPRMsFAA NPRMs

Wiring & Fuel TankWiring & Fuel Tank

Page 56: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

ConclusionsConclusions Fire is an Fire is an

unexpected eventunexpected event

Fire is a very high Fire is a very high stress eventstress event

Fire may be from Fire may be from an unexpected an unexpected sourcesource

Page 57: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 58: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes
Page 59: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Most Recent ExampleMost Recent Example

Page 60: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

AcknowledgementsAcknowledgements Ms. Allison MarkeyMs. Allison Markey FAA Technical CenterFAA Technical Center

• Mr. Gus Sarkos Mr. Gus Sarkos • Mr. Dave BlakeMr. Dave Blake• Mr. Rob PappasMr. Rob Pappas

Dr. Kathy AbbottDr. Kathy Abbott Mr. Tony BroderickMr. Tony Broderick Dr. Barbara BurinDr. Barbara Burin Captain Ron McDonaldCaptain Ron McDonald NTSBNTSB BEABEA ERAUERAU

Page 61: Risk, Perception, and Probability of Smoke, Fire and Fumes

Thank You!Thank You!