Rosen Consulting Group Population Growth World Population, 1950 - 2050f Billions

Rosen Consulting Group

Population GrowthWorld Population, 1950 - 2050f

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10Billions


Fertility Rate, 1950-2020

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

US Germany Japan Brazil China India

Births per Woman


0.8%

0.9%

1.2%

1.3%

1.4%

1.6%

0% 1% 2%

United States

Canada

Brazil

Argentina

Chile

Mexico

Annual Growth, 1995-2000

Population GrowthNorth and South America


0.2%

0.8%

0.8%

0.9%

1.1%

1.1%

1.5%

1.5%

2.0%

2.0%

0% 1% 2% 3%

Japan

Thailand

Hong Kong

China

Australia

New Zealand

Singapore

Indonesia

Malaysia

Philippines


Population GrowthAsia and Pacific


-0.6%-0.1%-0.1%

0.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%

0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%

0.5%0.6%

0.7%

-1% 0% 1%

Italy

United Kingdom

Spain

Poland

Denmark

Greece

France

Germany

Sweden

Netherlands

Austria

Switzerland


Population GrowthEurope

Portugal

Czech Republic

Hungary


U.S. Population GrowthImmigration by Decade

5.74.1

0.5 1.0 2.5 3.34.9

8.6 9.411.0

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1910

-192

0

1920

-193

0

1930

-194

0

1940

-195

0

1950

-196

0

1960

-197

0

1970

-198

0

1980

-199

0

1990

-200

0

2000

-201

0

Millions


International MigrationBy Region, 1995

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

Asia LatinAmericaand the

Caribbean

Africa Oceania Europe NorthAmerica

Thousands

-1,366

-392 -63111 739

971


U.S. Household FormationAbsolute Change by Decade

17.4

12.6

9.9

11.6

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

1970

-198

0

1980

-199

0

1990

-200

0

2000

-201

0

Millions


Divorce Rate in the U.S.

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

Rate per 1,000


Households by Type

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Family Households:

Married 70.5% 60.8% 56.0% 53.8% 51.7%

Male Householder 1.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 4.1%

Female Householder 8.7% 10.8% 11.7% 11.9% 12.1%

Non-Family Households:

Male Householder 6.4% 10.9% 12.4% 14.0% 15.0%

Female Householder 12.4% 15.4% 16.8% 16.6% 17.2%


Life Expectancy, 1950-2020

35

45

55

65

75

85

US Germany Japan Brazil China India

Years


Percentage 65+, Industrialized Nations, 1950-2050

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Italy Japan Germany France UK US


Percentage 65+, Asian Economies,1950-2050

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Hong Kong Singapore South Korea US


Percentage 65+, Developing Nations,1950-2050

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

China Brazil India US South Africa Nigeria


Age Distribution, Oldest Industrialized CountriesPopulation in Millions in 2020

6 4 2 0 2 4 6

0-4

10-14

20-24

30-34

40-44

50-54

60-64

70-74

80+

Male Female

Years of Age

UKGermanyNetherlandsSpainFranceItalyJapan


Age Distribution, Aging but Stable CountriesPopulation in Millions in 2020

12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12

0-4

10-14

20-24

30-34

40-44

50-54

60-64

70-74

80+

Male Female

Years of AgeSouth KoreaSingaporeAustraliaIrelandUnited StatesCanadaSweden


Age Distribution, Young Developing CountriesPopulation in Millions in 2020

80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80

0-4

10-14

20-24

30-34

40-44

50-54

60-64

70-74

80+

Male Female

Years of AgeNigeriaIranPakistanBangladeshPhilippinesIndonesiaMalaysiaIndiaMexicoTurkeyBrazilThailandChina


0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Total

<15

15-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

U.S. Population Change by Age Group1995-2020, Projected

Millions


Household Growth by Age GroupAbsolute Change in Millions

1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010

15 - 24 years old -1.5 -0.1 0.7

25 - 34 years old 1.8 -3.4 0.4

35 - 44 years old 6.6 3.3 -3.3

45 - 54 years old 1.8 6.7 4.1

55 - 64 years old 0.0 1.5 6.7

65 - 74 years old 1.6 -0.3 1.9

75 years and over 2.0 2.3 1.1


Savings Rate By Age GroupProportion of Household Income Saved

12.2%

9.3%11.6% 12.2%

14.4%

-16.6%-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Under 25

25 to

34

35 to

44

45 to

54

55 to

64

65 a

nd over


-3 -2 -1 0 1 2

Total

<15

15-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

Population Change by Age Group - Germany1995-2020, Projected

Millions


-15

-10 -5 0 5 10

Total

<15

15-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

Population Change by Age Group - Japan1995-2020, Projected

Millions


-50 0 50 10

015

020

025

0

Total

<15

15-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

Population Change by Age Group - China1995-2020, Projected

Millions


-50 0 50 10

015

020

025

030

035

0

Total

<15

15-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

Population Change by Age Group - India1995-2020, Projected

Millions


-5 5 15 25 35 45 55 65

Total

<15

15-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

Population Change by Age Group - Indonesia1995-2020, Projected

Millions


-5 5 15 25 35

Total

<15

15-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

Population Change by Age Group - Mexico1995-2020, Projected

Millions


Change in Working Age Population, 1995-2020

Millions Percent

Japan (12.3) (14.1)

Germany (1.6) (2.9)

US 31.9 18.3

China 183.5 22.3

Chile 3.3 36.7

Brazil 40.8 40.3

Indonesia 59.2 47.8

Mexico 29.5 53.7

India 312.2 55.6

Working age = 15 to 64 years of age; Retirement age = 65+


Support Ratios: Working Age to Retirement Age

1995 2020

Germany 4.5 3.3

Japan 4.9 2.4

US 5.2 3.9

Chile 9.7 6

China 11.1 6.5

India 13.1 9.5

Brazil 13.4 7.8

Mexico 14.1 8.6

Indonesia 14.6 9.9

Working age = 15 to 64 years of age; Retirement age = 65+


18.8%

23.3%

23.3%

23.6%

23.9%

24.3%

25.1%

25.5%

26.0%

26.1%

29.8%

15%

18%

21%

24%

27%

30%

United States

Austria

United Kingdom

Switzerland

Belgium

Finland

Germany

Greece

Sweden

Italy

Japan

Population over 60in 2010, Projected


75%

76%

77%

78%

84%

88%

Mexico

United States

Canada

Brazil

Chile

Argentina

Population Residing in Urban AreasNorth and South America


20%

30%

35%

54%

54%

78%

85%

86%

95%

100%

Thailand

China

Indonesia

Malaysia

Philippines

Japan

Australia

New Zealand

Hong Kong

Singapore

Population Residing in Urban AreasAsia and Pacific


36%56%58%

61%63%65%65%65%65%67%

73%76%

83%85%87%89%89%

97%

Portugal

Ireland

Finland

Czech Republic

Poland

France

Sweden

Germany

Netherlands

Population Residing in Urban AreasEurope


Urban and Suburban GrowthMajor U.S. Metropolitan Areas

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

Urban Suburban

Average Annual Growth, 1970-1997


Urban and Suburban GrowthMajor U.S. Metropolitan Areas

40%

42%

44%

46%

48%

50%

52%

54%

56%

1970

1980

1990

1995

1997

Urban Suburban

Share of Total Population


Wealth and GNPGNP per Capita, 1996

Pakistan

Russia

Sweden

SpainIreland

India VietnamChina

Hong KongSwitzerland

U.S. Singapore

Nigeria

Peru

Colombia

Argentina

PolandTurkey

Mexico

ChileMalaysia

S. KoreaCzech

Hungary

Bangladesh

U.K.ItalyNetherlands

Venezuela

ThailandIran

Philippines

Brazil

JapanGermany

S. Africa

Australia

CanadaFrance

Indonesia

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

-4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

GNP per Capita, 1996 (PPP, Thousands)

Average Annual Growth in GNP per Capita, 1995-97


Gross Domestic Product Per CapitaBottom 5 and Top 5 Countries

$384

$722

$794

$2,476

$2,931

$25,227

$26,420

$26,526

$29,582

$31,130

$0

$4,0

00

$8,0

00

$12,

000

$16,

000

$20,

000

$24,

000

$28,

000

$32,

000

Indonesia

China

Philippines

South Africa

Taiwan

France

Germany

Hong Kong

Japan

United States


28.5%

28.6%

33.5%

37.1%

37.9%

39.2%

46.1%

47.9%

30.9%

47.3%

United States

Switzerland

China

Philippines

Thailand

Malaysia

Mexico

Chile

South Africa

Brazil

Income Distribution (Least Egalitarian)Highest 10% Share of Total Income


19.3%

20.1%

20.5%

21.6%

22.1%

22.6%

23.5%

23.8%

20.2%

23.7%

15%

20%

25%

Austria

Sweden

Belgium

Denmark

Finland

Poland

Germany

Czech Republic

Italy

Canada

Income Distribution (Most Egalitarian)Highest 10% Share of Total Income


Household IncomePercent Distribution by Income Level in 1996 Dollars

1970 1980 1990 1995 1996

Under $10k 13.7 12.9 12.0 11.8 11.8

$10k-$14.9k 7.7 8.2 7.9 8.5 8.6

$15k-$24.9k 15.6 16.4 15.0 15.6 15.4

$25k-$34.9k 16.4 14.3 14.1 13.9 13.7

$35k-$49.9k 21.3 19.1 17.8 16.9 16.3

$50k-$74.9k 16.8 17.9 17.9 17.4 18.0

$75k and Over 8.5 11.2 15.2 15.7 16.4


Netherlands

Canada

New Zealand

United States

Denmark

Austria

Italy

Spain

France

Belgium

Household SavingsAs Percent of Disposable Household Income


Ozone DepletionOzone Layer Thickness over Antarctica

100

150

200

250

300

350

Dobson Units, October Average


166

292

2,624

3,294

4,002

5,080

25,544

894

866

10,844

0

5,00

0

10,0

00

15,0

00

20,0

00

25,0

00

Finland

Chile

China

Argentina

Philippines

Thailand

Malaysia

Mexico

Indonesia

Brazil

Annual DeforestationSquare Miles

Documents

Rosen Consulting Group Population Growth World Population, 1950 - 2050f Billions