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RSA 20–year Electricity Generation Policy.
“Focus on Nuclear Power Generation”
19 September 2013
2
Table of Contents • Introduction: Context
– Context of RSA Electricity Generation Mix Plan.
– Long term planning.
– Resolving current and future capacity constraints.
• Integrated Resource Plan: Process Overview– Demand drive inputs.
– Supply Driven inputs.
• Overview of the Nuclear Input Assumptions. – Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
– Public inputs.
• Nuclear’s role in the final IRP2010 • Conclusion
3
Context• The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) in the South African
context is not the Energy Plan – it is a National Electricity Plan.
• It is a subset of the Integrated Energy Plan (IEP).
• The IRP is also not a short or medium-term operational plan but a plan that directs the expansion of the electricity supply over the given period.
4
Context• The Long-term Electricity Planning goal is to ensure
sustainable development considering:• Technical constraints
• Economic constraints
• Social constraints
• Externalities
• What is its purpose?• In theory, identification of the requisite investments in the electricity sector
that maximize the national interest.
• In practice - identification of the investments in the electricity sector that allows the country to meet the forecasted demand with the minimum cost to the country.
5
Context – Why a long-term planElectricity Availability is directly correlated with the economic growth (GDP) and social welfare of a nation (especially for developing countries)
– Industry, services, communications, airports– Education, health, safety, food..
Anticipation is Essential
1.Anticipation of the needs: future demand of the customers must be projected.
1.Anticipation of the supply: facilities must be prepared to supply at the right time with the right amount of energy at the right quality of service and at the right price.
• Electricity cannot be effectively stored
• Electricity demand must be met instantaneously
• Requirement of several years for new supply commissioning
• Linked to other infrastructure development
No reserve margin
period of high risk
power cuts
Restoring the requisite reserve margin
The need to replace the old
fleet
Data source Eskom
6
Resolving Capacity constraintsResolving Capacity constraintsLong Term – IRP 2010Medium Term – National Emergency Response and Business Continuity Plan
Country Electricity Plan (IRP2010)
Including Renewable, Gas and Nuclear Power
National Emergency Response and Business Continuity Plan
7
The IRP also needs to answer the following questions
• What are the linkages and dependencies on other resources such as water, primary energy sources, skills, sorbents, transmission infrastructure and land?
• What will it cost to meet these needs and how will it be funded? What will be the impact on future electricity prices and will they remain competitive?
8
The IRP needs to answer the following questions
• What will it cost to meet these needs and how will it be funded? What will be the impact on future electricity prices and will they remain competitive?
• What is required to implement this plan, what is the level of confidence in achieving this, what are the commitments required and who are these required of?
IRP 2010 - Balancing Competing ObjectivesIRP 2010 - Balancing Competing ObjectivesLow Cost
Low Carbon
Security ofSupply
Low Water
GABONKENYA
BURUNDI
ZAMBIA
MOZAMBIQUEM
ALA
WI
TANZANIA
ANGOLA
BOTSWANA
DR CONGO
NAMIBIAZIMBABWE
SOUTH AFRICA
LESOTHOSWAZILAND
IRP Process
SECRET
Inputs
1. Price Cone
2. Security of Supply
4. Diversity of Gx mix
5. Economic benefits
1.1 Gx Price Cone1.2 RSA ave Price Cone
2.1 Un-served energy2.2 Reserve margin
4.1 Technology
4.3 Ownership
3. Carbon
IRPModelling
4.2 Share
3.1 Emission targets3.2 LTMS
IRP Key Required Outcomes (Per Scenario)Policy, Facts, Information Method
The Models require the following Minimum Inputs for each scenario• General Inputs
– Discount rate
– Cost of unserved energy
– Reliability criteria
• Demand Inputs
– Demand forecast
• Supply Inputs
• Lifecycle costs of technologies
• Load factors for technologies
• Externalities
• Cost of carbon
12
Generic InputsIn developing an IRP there are many variables which need to beexogenously determined (inputs). Most important ones are:• Fuel prices projections
– Crude oil barrel, ton of Coal, m3 of Natural gas, Nuclear costs,,
• Description of the existing generation mix– Capacity, fuel, efficiency, decommissioning date, C02 emissions, fixed cost
and variable cost, required reliability, etc
• Investment criteria :– Discount rate
• Demand projection (s)– Annual peak load in MW & Energy in GWh
Supply Inputs• Potential technologies
– Coal, Nuclear, Gas (CCGT and OCGT), Renewable technologies (Wind, Solar, Biomass and Geothermal), Hydro and Pumped Storage etc
• Plant Costs (Exchange Rate required)– Investment (Total overnight costs, Expense schedule, Lead-times)
– Refurbishment
– Decommissioning
• Fuel– Cost in each year for economic life of plant or price at reference date plus
expected escalation during economic life of plant
– Fuel energy content (where applicable) and availability (water)
– Operation and Maintenance (O&M) Cost in each year for economic life of plant or price at reference date plus
expected escalation during economic life of plant
Supply Inputs• Operation and Maintenance (O&M)– Cost in each year for economic life of plant or price at reference date plus
expected escalation during economic life of plant
• Plant Availability Data– Maintenance (or Planned Outage), Unplanned Outages
• Plant Technical Parameters– Plant Economic life, Efficiencies and/or Heat Rate(s), Plant Load factor
• Plant Water Usage– The water usage per unit of energy output for each Plant Technology Type
• Plant Sorbent Usage
Supply Inputs
15
• Plant Emissions– The costs of pollution control equipment, waste management and any
required health and environmental protection measures
– Pollution Control Technologies included in, and the impact thereof on
Plant cost, Plant availability and Plant technical parameters
Nuclear Specific Inputs
16
• Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) Report.– The EPRI costs and capacity values were used in the IRP model.
(including lead times of ten years)
– Overnight Capital Cost estimate of R26 575/kW.
– The EPRI costs do not include decommissioning and waste management costs for the nuclear plant.
– The capital costs for nuclear were increased by 40% to accommodate inputs from numerous sources that the EPRI costs under-estimated the capital costs for recent nuclear build experience.
– This adjustment also allowed some accounting for decommissioning and waste management elements.
– The EPRI report includes the costs for the six unit option which equates to the nuclear fleet.
BalancedScenario
Scenarios generatedScenarios generatedThese are not plans, they are glimpses of extreme futures used to evaluate trade-offs between competing objectives.
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
Reducing Uncertainty
Scenarios
Risk AdjustedPlan Policy Adjusted
Plan
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Other renewables
Solar
Wind
Peaking - Pumped Storage
Peaking - OCGT
Mid-merit Gas
Import gas
Import hydro
Import coal
FBC Coal
Nuclear
PF Coal
0.0
0.1
0.2
Key IRP Outcomes
• Price Cone– RSA Ave Price Cone– Gx Price Cone
• Carbon Impacts and effects– Emission Constrained– Cost of Carbon
• Security of Supply– Adequacy– Cost of Unserved Energy (used to estimate the economic impact on
customers of planned and unplanned outages)
• Generation Mix– Technology
Key Policy Areas
• Nuclear Policy
• Renewable Energy Policy
• Climate Change and Emissions Policy
• Imports (Regional Development) Policy
• Diversity of energy sources (Mix)
• Energy Efficiency Policy/Strategy
• Adequacy (Reliability) criteria for generation
• Industrial Development Policy
19
IRP 2010 Scenarios
• Baseline / Reference case• Carbon - emission constrained• Carbon – carbon taxed• Generation diversity• Policy, Risk & Constraint adjusted (IRP 2010 recommended)
This scenario includes sufficient detail on issues for immediate policy implementation such as:
– Non Eskom generation– Critical decision milestones– Critical actions for the ministries– Inputs to national planning
21
Policy Adjusted IRP – Plans for South Africa’s generation mix
Firm commitment necessary now
Firm commitment in IRP 2012
RTS Capacity
Medupi
Kusile
Ingula
DO
E OCG
T IPP
Cogeneration, Ow
n Build
Wind
CSP
Landfill, Hydro
Sere
Decom
missioning
Coal (PF, FBC, Im
ports, own build)
Gas CCG
T
Peak-OCG
T
Import H
ydro
Wind
Solar PV
CSP
Nuclear Fleet
Total New
and Com
mitt
ed Build
MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW
2010 380 0 0 0 0 260 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 640
2011 679 0 0 0 0 130 200 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,009
2012 303 0 0 0 0 0 200 0 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 300 0 0 1,003
2013 101 722 0 333 1,020 0 300 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 300 0 0 2,801
2014 0 722 0 999 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 500 0 0 0 400 300 0 0 3,021
2015 0 1,444 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 (180) 500 0 0 0 400 300 0 0 2,564
2016 0 722 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (90) 0 0 0 0 400 300 100 0 1,432
2017 0 722 1,446 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 400 300 100 0 2,968
2018 0 0 723 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 400 300 100 0 1,523
2019 0 0 1,446 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 250 237 0 0 400 300 100 0 2,733
2020 0 0 723 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 250 237 0 0 400 300 100 0 2,010
2021 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (75) 250 237 0 0 400 300 100 0 1,212
2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (1,870) 250 0 805 1,143 400 300 100 0 1,128
2023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (2,280) 250 0 805 1,183 400 300 100 1,600 2,358
2024 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (909) 250 0 0 283 800 300 100 1,600 2,424
2025 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (1,520) 250 0 805 0 1,600 1,000 100 1,600 3,835
2026 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,000 0 0 0 400 500 0 1,600 3,500
2027 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 250 0 0 0 1,600 500 0 0 2,350
2028 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (2,850) 1,000 474 690 0 0 500 0 1,600 1,414
2029 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (1,128) 250 237 805 0 0 1,000 0 1,600 2,764
2030 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,000 948 0 0 0 1,000 0 0 2,948
1,463 4,332 4,338 1,332 1,020 390 700 200 125 100 (10,902) 6,250 2,370 3,910 2,609 8,400 8,400 1,000 9,600 45,637
Committed Build New Build Options
2025-203036.8%
2020-202420.0%
2010-201418.6%
2015-201924.6%
Planned New Generation Mix 2030(1)
Time Schedule New Power Generation Building
Nuclear17.0%
Solar PV14.9%
Gas12.9%
CSP2.1%
Coal29.7%
Hydro7.2%
Wind16.3%
Current Integrated Resource Plan (IRP2010)
RSA Energy Source Geographic Distribution.
22
SolarWind
Coal
Gas
Nuclear
Conclusion
Conclusion
Thank You
