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RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo .gov CDM Arrival/Departure Subgroup Meeting January 24, 2001

RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

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RSPA/Volpe Center AIRPORT CAPACITY: Arrival/Departure Capacity Curve (# of dep/15min) (# of dep/15min) dep. capacity (# of arr/15min) arr. capacity (# of arr/15min) arr. capacity trade-off area

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Page 1: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization

at STL: a Case StudyDr. Eugene P. Gilbo

E-mail: [email protected] tel.: (617) 494-2567

CDM Arrival/Departure Subgroup MeetingJanuary 24, 2001

Page 2: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Goals of the Study

• Test the Feasibility of the Airport Arrival and Departure Capacity Optimization Approach.

• Design the Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Tool as an Automated Decision Support Tool for Improving Arrival and Departure TFM Strategies at Airports.

• Evaluate Potential Benefits of the Optimization Approach for Improving Airport Capacity Utilization , Increasing the Airport Throughput, and Reducing Delays.

• Design the Operational Concept for Using the Tool.

Page 3: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

AIRPORT CAPACITY: Arrival/Departure Capacity Curve

(# of dep/15min)

0 10 15 5 20 25

5

10

15

20

25

(# of dep/15min)

0 10 15 5 20 25

5

10

15

20

25

dep. capacity dep. capacity

(# of arr/15min)arr. capacity

(# of arr/15min)arr. capacity

trade-offarea

Page 4: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

AIRPORT CAPACITY: Set of Integer Pairs: Arrival/Departure Capacity

(# of dep/15min)

0 10 15 5 20 25

5

10

15

20

25

dep. capacity

(# of arr/15min)arr. capacity

Page 5: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Dynamic Optimization of Airport Arrival/DepartureCapacity Trade-off and Airport Throughput

Criterion: Minimum Weighted Sum of Total Arrival andDeparture Delay

Input: Time Period of Interest

Predicted Arrival and Departure Traffic Demand

Weather Conditions

Schedule of Runway Configurations and TheirArrival/Departure Capacity Curves

Output: Airport Arrival and Departure Rates (Capacities)Arrival and Departure Traffic Flow

Page 6: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Optimization Criteria

• Minimum Weighted Sum of Total Arrival and Departure Delay:

minimize [ α Total Arr. Delay + (1 – α) Total Dep. Delay ],1 α 0

arr.cap, dep. cap

• Minimum Weighted Sum of Arrival and Departure Cumulative Queues:

minimize [ α Cumul. Arr. Queue + (1 – α) Cumul. Dep. Queue ],1 α 0

arr.cap, dep. cap

Page 7: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Optimal Arrival/Departure StrategySTL, 8/16/00, 1500 - 1615

10

20

10

20

1500 1515 1530 1545 1600

1500 1515 1530 1545 1600

# of flights

# of flights

time

time

ARRIVALS

DEPARTURES

0

01615

1615

demandcapacity

Total ArrivalDelay: 60 min

Total DepartureDelay: 75 min

Page 8: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Overall Design of the Study

1. Volpe Center Designs and Develops the Arrival/DepartureTradeoff Optimization Tool Using Both ETMS and Airport-Specific Data.

2. STL TFM Specialists Provide the Volpe Center with the FullSet of Runway Configurations and Their AARs and ADRs(Tradeoff Ranges) for Various Weather Conditions.

3. The Study is Based on Comparative Analysis of Optimal TFM Strategies Calculated by the Tool and the Ones Proposed by the STL Traffic Management Specialists for the Days with Heavy Traffic Demand.

4. The Study is a Collaborative Effort Involving the Specialists from Volpe Center, FAA and TWA.

Page 9: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

1. Initial Prototype Tool Has Been Developed.

2. Numerical Experiments Have Been Completed and Analyzed for Seven-Day Data: July 20, 21, August 1, 9, 14, 15 and 16, 2000.

3. The Tool-Generated Strategies were Equivalent to or Better than the Strategies Proposed by the STL TFM Specialists.

4. Multiple Optimal Strategies for STL May Be Determined by the Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Tool.

5. Multiple Optimal Solutions Give the Airlines a Set of Options for Selecting the Best Strategy. However, Additional CDM Procedures are Needed for this Kind of Selection.

Status of the Study and Preliminary Results

Page 10: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

STL, Runway Configuration A30LR, 24 / D30LR

0 10 15 5 20 25

5

10

15

20

25

# of dep/15min

# of arr/15min

Airport Capacity

 Arr Dep

8 18

9 17

10 16

11 15

12 14

13 13

14 12

15 11

16 10

17 9

18 8

Page 11: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Table 2. TFM Strategy proposed by the STL specialists, 7/21/00, 1745 - 1900

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1745 – 1800 10 5 13 13 10 5 0 0

1800 – 1815 13 11 13 13 13 11 0 0

1815 – 1830 16 16 13 13 13 13 3 3

1830 – 1845 7 19 10 16 10 16 0 6

1845 – 1900 4

13 8 18 4 18 0 1

TOTAL: 50 64     50 63 3 10

 

TFM Strategy Proposed by the STL Specialists, 7/21/00, 1745 - 1900

Total Delay: arrival - 45 min; departure - 150 min; arr + dep - 195 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 0.9 min; departure - 2.3 min

Page 12: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Tool Determined 15 Optimal StrategiesWith Total Arrival and Departure Delay 180 min (8% reduction)

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1745 – 1800 10 5 13 13 10 5 0 0

1800 – 1815 13 11 13 13 13 11 0 0

1815 – 1830 16 16 14 12 14 12 2 4

1830 – 1845 7 19 8 18 8 18 1 5

1845 – 1900 4

13 8 18 5 18 0 0

TOTAL: 50 64     50 64 3 9

Optimal TFM Strategy, 7/21/00, 1745 - 1900

Total Delay: arrival - 45 min; departure - 135 min; arr + dep - 180 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 0.9 min; departure - 2.1 min

Page 13: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1745 – 1800 10 5 13 13 10 5 0 0

1800 – 1815 13 11 13 13 13 11 0 0

1815 – 1830 16 16 13 13 13 13 3 3

1830 – 1845 7 19 8 18 8 18 2 4

1845 – 1900 4

13 9 17 6 17 0 0

TOTAL: 50 64     50 64 5 7

Optimal TFM Strategy, 7/21/00, 1745 - 1900

Total Delay: arrival - 75 min; departure - 105 min; arr + dep - 180 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 1.5 min; departure - 1.6 min

Page 14: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1745 – 1800 10 5 13 13 10 5 0 0

1800 – 1815 13 11 13 13 13 11 0 0

1815 – 1830 16 16 12 14 12 14 4 2

1830 – 1845 7 19 10 16 10 16 1 5

1845 – 1900 4

13 8 18 5 18 0 0

TOTAL: 50 64     50 64 5 7

Optimal TFM Strategy, 7/21/00, 1745 - 1900

Total Delay: arrival - 75 min; departure - 105 min; arr + dep - 180 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 1.5 min; departure - 1.6 min

Page 15: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1745 – 1800 10 5 13 13 10 5 0 0

1800 – 1815 13 11 13 13 13 11 0 0

1815 – 1830 16 16 11 15 11 15 5 1

1830 – 1845 7 19 10 16 10 16 2 4

1845 – 1900 4

13 9 17 6 17 0 0

TOTAL: 50 64     50 64 7 5

Optimal TFM Strategy, 7/21/00, 1745 - 1900

Total Delay: arrival - 105 min; departure - 75 min; arr + dep - 180 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 2.1 min; departure - 1.2 min

Page 16: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1500 – 1515 9 14 13 13 9 13 0 1

1515 – 1530 17 13 13 13 13 13 4 1

1530 – 1545 16 11 16 10 16 10 4 2

1545 – 1600 10 10 13 13 13 12 1 0

1600 – 1615 4

6 13 13 5 6 0 0

TOTAL: 56 54     56 54 9 4

TFM Strategy Proposed by the STL Specialists, 8/16/00, 1500 - 1615

Total Delay: arrival - 135 min; departure - 60 min; arr + dep - 195 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 2.4 min; departure - 1.1 min

Page 17: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1500 – 1515 9 14 12 14 9 14 0 0

1515 – 1530 17 13 17 9 17 9 0 4

1530 – 1545 16 11 16 10 16 10 0 5

1545 – 1600 10 10 10 16 10 15 0 0

1600 – 1615 4

6 13 13 4 6 0 0

TOTAL: 56 54     56 54 0 9

 

Optimal TFM Strategy, 8/16/00, 1500 - 1615

Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Tool Determined 27 Optimal StrategiesWith Total Arrival and Departure Delay 135 min (31% reduction)

Total Delay: arrival - 0 min; departure - 135 min; arr + dep - 135 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 0 min; departure - 2.5 min

Page 18: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1500 – 1515 9 14 12 14 9 14 0 0

1515 – 1530 17 13 15 11 15 11 2 2

1530 – 1545 16 11 16 10 16 10 2 3

1545 – 1600 10 10 12 14 12 13 0 0

1600 – 1615 4

6 13 13 4 6 0 0

TOTAL: 56 54     56 54 4 5

Optimal TFM Strategy, 8/16/00, 1500 - 1615

Total Delay: arrival - 60 min; departure - 75 min; arr + dep - 135 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 1.1 min; departure - 1.4 min

Page 19: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1500 – 1515 9 14 12 14 9 14 0 0

1515 – 1530 17 13 14 12 14 12 3 1

1530 – 1545 16 11 18 8 18 8 1 4

1545 – 1600 10 10 11 15 11 14 0 0

1600 – 1615 4

6 13 13 4 6 0 0

TOTAL: 56 54     56 54 4 5

Optimal TFM Strategy, 8/16/00, 1500 - 1615

Total Delay: arrival - 60 min; departure - 75 min; arr + dep - 135 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 1.1 min; departure - 1.4 min

Page 20: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Time

Initial Demand A/p Capacity Traffic Flow Queue

Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep. Arr. Dep.

1500 – 1515 9 14 12 14 9 14 0 0

1515 – 1530 17 13 14 12 14 12 3 1

1530 – 1545 16 11 16 10 16 10 3 2

1545 – 1600 10 10 13 13 13 12 0 0

1600 – 1615 4

6 13 13 4 6 0 0

TOTAL: 56 54     56 54 6 3

Optimal TFM Strategy, 8/16/00, 1500 - 1615

Total Delay: arrival - 90 min; departure - 45 min; arr + dep - 135 min

Average Delay per Flight: arrival - 1.6 min; departure - 0.8 min

Page 21: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Shirt Term:

1. Improving the tool based on - additional functions (graphics, arrival/departure

alerts)- feedback from the users.

2. Investigate methods for dealing with multiple optimal solutions at STL.

3. Start a case study at EWR.

Further Steps

Page 22: RSPA/Volpe Center Arrival/Departure Tradeoff Optimization at STL: a Case Study Dr. Eugene P. Gilbo   tel.: (617) 494-2567 CDM

RSPA/Volpe Center

Long Term:

1. Begin wide–scale effort for determining full sets of runway configurations and corresponding capacity curves for major US airports.

2. Work with the TFM FAA and airlines’ specialists on sites for efficient usage of the tool.

3. Explore new airline inputs for improving efficiency of the TFM CDM.

4. Expand functionalities of the tool by taking into account of arrival anddeparture fixes in the optimization procedure.

Further Steps (cont.)