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RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 19M 2019 SALES 1
SALES AND
HIGHLIGHTS
2019
THIRD QUARTER
Appendices
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 29M 2019 SALES 2
DISCLAIMER
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction.
No reliance should be placed on the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained
in this presentation, and none of EDF representatives shall bear any liability for any loss arising from any use
of this presentation or its contents. The quarterly financial information is not subject to an auditor’s report.
The present document may contain forward-looking statements and targets concerning the Group’s strategy, financial position or results.
EDF considers that these forward-looking statements and targets are based on reasonable assumptions as of the present document
publication, which can be however inaccurate and are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties. There is no assurance that expected
events will occur and that expected results will actually be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results, performance or
achievements of the Group to differ materially from those contemplated in this document include in particular the successful
implementation of EDF strategic, financial and operational initiatives based on its current business model as an integrated operator,
changes in the competitive and regulatory framework of the energy markets, as well as risk and uncertainties relating to the Group’s
activities, its international scope, the climatic environment, the volatility of raw materials prices and currency exchange rates, technological
changes, and changes in the economy.
Detailed information regarding these uncertainties and potential risks are available in the Universal Registration Document of EDF filed
with the Autorité des marchés financiers on 29 July 2019, which is available on the AMF's website at
www.amf-france.org and on EDF’s website at www.edf.fr.
EDF does not undertake nor does it have any obligation to update forward-looking information contained in this presentation
to reflect any unexpected events or circumstances arising after the date of this presentation.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 39M 2019 SALES 3
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Consolidated sales P. 5
Strategy and investments P. 7
Operating data P. 22
France and International P. 35
Markets P. 45
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 49M 2019 SALES 4
SALES AND
HIGHLIGHTS
2019
THIRD QUARTER
Appendices
Consolidated sales
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 59M 2019 SALES 5
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
In millions of Euros 9M 2018 (2) Forex Scope Organic growth 9M 2019 ∆% org. (3)
France – Generation and supply
activities18,942 - 57 1,080 20,079 +5.7
France – Regulated activities(4) 11,571 - - (134) 11,437 -1.2
Framatome 2,290 28 - 28 2,346 +1.2
United Kingdom 6,466 6 - (80) 6,392 -1.2
Italy 5,736 - 131 (208) 5,659 -3.6
Other international 1,667 3 17 251 1,938 +15.1
EDF Renewables 1,090 24 34 15 1,163 +1.4
Dalkia 2,760 2 13 128 2,903 +4.6
Other activities 2,055 15 (93) 182 2,159 +8.9
Inter-segment eliminations (3,301) - - 166 (3,135) -5.0
Total Group 49,276 78 159 1,428 50,941 +2.9
CHANGE IN SALES (1)
(1) Breakdown of sales across the segments, before inter-segment eliminations
(2) 9M 2018 published amounts were restated of the impact linked to the EDISON’s E&P activity presentation as a discontinued operation
(3) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates
(4) Regulated activities: Enedis, ÉS and island activities; Enedis, an independent EDF subsidiary as defined in the French energy code
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 69M 2019 SALES 6
SALES AND
HIGHLIGHTS
2019
THIRD QUARTER
Appendices
Strategy and investments
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 79M 2019 SALES 7
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
COMPARATIVE DEBT RATINGS
Sources: rating agencies as of 31/10/2019
(1) Update of the rating and outlook of EDF Group by S&P on 10 October 2019
(2) Update of the rating and outlook of EDF Group by Moody’s on 28 September 2016
(3) Update of the rating and outlook of EDF Group by Fitch’s on 29 August 2019
Baa3
BBB+ A- A A+
Baa1
A3
A2
A1
Moody’s
ratings
S&P ratings
Baa2
BBBBBB-
S&P Ratings
Moody's Ratings
Fitch Ratings
EDF A- negative(1) A3 stable(2) A- stable(3)
Engie A- stable A3 stable A stable
E.ON BBB stable Baa2 stable BBB+ stable
Uniper BBB negative n.d. n.d.
Enel BBB+ stable Baa2 positive A- stable
RWE n.d Baa3 stable BBB stable
Iberdrola BBB+ stable Baa1 stable BBB+ stable
SSE BBB+ stable Baa1 stable BBB+ negative
Vattenfall BBB+ stable A3 negative n.d
Innogy BBB stable Baa2 stable BBB+ stable
Iberdrola
Vattenfall
SSE
E.ONEnel
Innogy
EDF
Engie
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 89M 2019 SALES 8
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
(1) Finishing work aimed at bringing the facility up to a high quality standard (cleanliness, paint, weather stripping), in accordance with the standard of an operating nuclear power plant.
(2) Refer to press release on 9 October 2019.
(3) In Euros 2015 and excluding interim interests.
(4) IAS 16 paragraph 22 on abnormal costs incurred in connection with assets constructed by the company. These costs will affect the years 2020, 2021 and 2022.
FLAMANVILLE 3 EPR (1,650 MW)Construction progress at end of September 2019
Main civil engineering work completed. Electromechanical assembly nearly finished, the remaining activity is being carried out as the system performance tests are being performed. 76% completion of building finish work (1).
65% progress of facility transfers to the operator.
System performance tests From 22 February 2019 to 22 March 2019: 1st phase of the “hot” tests with more than 95% of the test criteria testing compliant. On 21 September 2019: 2nd phase of “hot” tests started. These trials allow the facility to be checked under normal operating conditions and will continue until the end of
2019.
Reworking of secondary system weldsIn the letter of 19 June 2019, the Nuclear Safety Authority (ASN) asked EDF to repair the eight containment penetration welds for Flamanville EPR, not compliant with the “breakpreclusion” principle. Within this framework, EDF has assessed three repair scenarios.
This work resulted in discussions with the ASN, who sent EDF a letter on 4 October concerning the technical feasibility of these three scenarios.
The penetration weld rework scenario preferred by EDF is the use of remote-controlled robots, designed to conduct high precision operations inside the piping concerned. Thistechnology has been developed for nuclear power plants in operation and shall be qualified for penetration weld rework. The aim is to qualify this scenario with validation by the ASNby the end of 2020, the date on which EDF will be able to initiate the repair works. The second scenario, based on extraction and realignment works in the Safeguard AuxiliaryBuildings, is kept at this stage as a fall-back solution.
The process of realignment of the 58 welds on the secondary system with quality deviations or not in compliance with the “break preclusion” principle requirements defined by EDFis being continued on site (see the significant incident report of 30 November 2017 on correct application of “high quality” requirements).
Schedule and cost (2)
The provisional schedule for the implementation of the preferred penetration weld repair scenario, if the target for validation by the ASN is complied with, results in the date of fuelloading at the end of 2022 and reassessment of the construction cost to €12.4 billion (3), representing an increase of €1.5 billion. These additional costs will be presented mainly asother income and expenses (4) and not as CAPEX.In Autumn 2020, this scenario is expected to be approved. If not, the implementation of our plan B would lead to an additional delay of around one year and an estimated additionalcost of approximately €400 million.A new application to amend the Flamanville 3 construction authorization decree, to extend the deadline, was filed by EDF on 23 July 2019.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 99M 2019 SALES 9
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
DISCREPANCIES IN RELATION TO THE TECHNICAL FRAMEWORK FOR THE PRODUCTION OF NUCLEAR REACTOR COMPONENTS BY FRAMATOME
On the 9th of September 2019, EDF informed France’s nuclear regulatoryauthority of its initial investigations concerning the deviation from a post-welddetensioning heat-treatment process applied to certain nuclear-reactorcomponents.
EDF and Framatome have since identified 16 steam generators installed onsix operating reactor units: reactors no. 3 and 4 at Blayais, reactor no. 3 atBugey, reactor no. 2 at Fessenheim, reactor no. 4 at Dampierre-en-Burly andreactor no. 2 at Paluel.
Following the publication by the ASN on 24 October 2019 of the informationnote “Manufacturing deviation at Framatome stress-relieving heat treatmentof welds”, it has been confirmed that the reactors in question may continueto function as is (1). The checks required to address the deviations will becarried out during scheduled outages. For the Flamanville 3 EPR equipment,these inspections will be carried out after the currently underway hot testphase (2).
The components that are not yet in service are the 4 steam generators andthe pressuriser at the Flamanville 3 EPR, as well as 3 new steam generatorsthat have not yet been installed and that were manufactured for the purposeof replacing the steam generators on reactor units no. 5 and 6 at Gravelines.
(1) ASN requested complementary information on the specific case of Fessenheim 2.
(2) Refer to press release published on 25 October 2019.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 109M 2019 SALES 10
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Key points on the Hinkley Point C project (1)
The next milestone of completing Unit 2 common raft in June 2020 has been confirmed;
Project completion cost (2) is now estimated at between £21.5 and £22.5 billion in 2015 sterling, an increase of £1.9 to£2.9 billion (3) compared to the previous estimate, reflecting mainly challenging ground conditions and extra costsneeded to implement the completed functional design; the range depends on the effectiveness of action plans to bedelivered in partnership with contractors;
Commissioning of Unit 1 remains scheduled for end-2025. Risk of COD delay of Units 1 and 2, estimated respectivelyat 15 and 9 months, has increased; materialisation of this risk would entail an estimated additional cost of around£0.7 billion in 2015 sterling (4).
All 4 main goals set for 2019 on Unit 1 have been achieved
Q1 – Tunnel boring machine ready to launch
Q2 – J0, Start of Reactor Building Construction
Q3 – Engineering for Inner Containment Lift 1 Complete
Q4 – Unit 1 Pressuriser Manufacturing Begins
HINKLEY POINT C PROJECT
(1) Refer to press release published by EDF on 25 September 2019.
(2) In 2015 Sterling, excluding interim interests and forex effect versus the reference exchange rate for the project 1 Sterling = 1.23 Euro.
(3) Additional costs net of action plans.
(4) Refer to press release published on 6 July 2017.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 119M 2019 SALES 11
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
CHINA: TAISHAN 1 AND 2 (EDF 30%)
Both Taishan EPR plants are operating. The commercial commissioning of Taishan 1 and
Taishan 2 took place respectively on 13 December 2018 and 7 September 2019 (1).
The Taishan plant can generate up to 24TWh of electricity per year, the equivalent of the
annual consumption of 5 million of Chinese people. The plant will prevent 21 million tonnes
of CO2 emission per year.
The Taishan Unit 1 performance is compliant with the objectives.
Generation of more than 10TWh since the commissioning by the unit 1.
2 EPRs of 1,750MW
(1) Refer to press release on 6 September 2019
(2) Refer to press release on 28 March 2019
Tariff for the purchase of Taishan plant electricity• In March 2019, Chinese authorities published a first tariff for the purchase of electricity generated in these new Chinese nuclear plants, including Taishan. The
price set for Taishan amounts to RMB435/MWh (around €56/MWh)(2).
• This tariff will be reviewed by taking into consideration the feedback for operating the plant. The next review is set for 2021. EDF continues to share information
on the subject with its partner CGN and with the Chinese authorities.
A valued feedback in the last phases of commissioning • Thanks to the experience gained from Unit 1, the period between fuel loading and commercial commissioning was reduced by 3 months for Unit 2 compared to
Unit 1, and the duration of the hot tests was reduced by 100 days (46 days compared to 150 days).
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 129M 2019 SALES 12
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
FESSENHEIMEDF has submitted an application to the regulator and to France’s minister in
charge of the energy and solidarity transition, in which it has requested
approval for the termination of operations and permanent shutdown of both
reactors at Fessenheim nuclear power plant (NPP). The shutdown of
reactor no. 1 is planned for the 22nd of February 2020, whilst the
shutdown of reactor no. 2 is planned for the 30th of June of the same
year.
This submission follows on from the signing, on the 27th of September 2019,
by the State and by EDF, of a protocol agreement whereby the State will
compensate EDF for the early closure of Fessenheim NPP, resulting from the
limitation of nuclear power output set by a law passed on the 17th of August
2015, pertaining to the energy transition in support of green growth.
According to the terms of this protocol, compensation will comprise:
Initial instalments to compensate for expenses incurred by the closure
of the plant (post-operational expenditure, BNI taxes, dismantling and
staff redeployment costs), which will be paid over a 4-year period
following closure of the plant. These payments are expected to amount
to a total of nearly €400 million.
Subsequent payments in compensation for any loss of earnings, i.e.
income from future power generation, based on Fessenheim’s
previous output figures, up until 2041, calculated “ex post” on the basis
of nuclear output selling prices, including observed market prices.
EnBW, EDF’s partner in the plant (17.5%), will under certain conditions be
entitled to a share of lost earnings in proportion to its contractual rights to the
plant's generation capacity.
As part of this early closure, the government has set up a project
entitled “Future of the Fessenheim territory”. EDF has created its own
programme, called the Haut-Rhin Energy Programme. This is in line with
the 4 axes of the government project (job creation and reconversion,
territorial mobility, energy transition, innovation).
The objective of this programme is to support different projects, including
in particular:
Participation in an innovation hub to support research, particularly in
the field of hydrogen and materials, in connection with a metal
recovery project (under study by EDF on the plant site)
Participation in the relaunch of a project for a Lake Blanc-Lac Noir
Pumping Energy Transfer Station (STEP) by the French State
Participation in the creation of the Personalised Support Unit,
through which 150 employees are monitored
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 139M 2019 SALES 13
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
SINOP HYDROELECTRIC DAM IN BRAZIL
Schedule
24 January 2019: fill permit
11 July 2019: start of turbine tests
400MW hydropower facility
Key features of the project
400MW hydropower facility in the State of Mato Grosso
2 X 200MW Kaplan turbines, which are among the most powerful andlargest in the world using this technology
Average output potential of 2,100GWh/yr, reservoir area of 337 km²
The project is led by Companhia Energética SINOP SA (CES), which isresponsible for building, equipping and operating the dam. EDF owns a51% stake in the company; the two other shareholders are Eletrobrassubsidiaries: Eletronorte (24.5%) and Chesf (24.5%).
Sale of the electricity generated under 34 Power Purchase Agreements(PPA) with distribution companies over a 30-year period.
Financing structure
Total project cost: circa €887 million (1)
~28% of financing from the Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) and a€52 million infrastructure debenture bond issuance in June 2018. Theremainder is equity financed.
Fitch Rating on 2 July 2019: AA-(bra) outlook stable
(1) Based on 30 September 2019 exchange rates.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 149M 2019 SALES 14
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
NACHTIGAL HYDROELECTRIC DAM IN CAMEROON (1)
Key project features
Design, construction and operation for a period of 35 years of a 420MW run-of-the-river hydropower plant on the Sanaga river near the Nachtigal Falls
Construction of a 50-km power transmission line
Will be owned and operated by NHPC (Nachtigal Hydro Power Company), currently comprising EDF (40%) (2), IFC (3) (20%) and the Republic of Cameroon (15%), Africa50 (15%) and STOA (10%)
Expected annual power generation of 3TWh, i.e. 30% of the country’s electricity generation output
Substantial economic benefits: up to 1,500 direct jobs during peak construction periods, of which 65% will be locally sourced within a 65-km radius of the construction site. The project will generate dozens of permanent jobs.
Financing structure
Project’s expected total cost is €1.2 billion
Shareholders’ equity to fund a quarter of the project, lenders to fund the rest
The lender group coordinated by IFC includes 11 Development Finance Institutions (DFI) and 4 local commercial banks (4)
The largest hydropower project ever built in Africa through non-recourse project finance debt
Schedule
Final and binding agreements signed on 8 November2018, financial closing on 24 December 2018
Start of construction March 2019
Commissioning expected in 2023
420MW run-of-the-river hydropower plant
(1) Refer to press release published by EDF on 8 November 2018
(2) Equity consolidation method
(3) IFC – a sister organization of the World Bank and member of the World Bank
Group
(4) DFI include: AfDB, IFC, CDC, European DFI coordinated by Proparco (AFD, DEG
and FMO), EIB, OFID,EAIF, AFC. Local banks include: Attijari/SCB, BICEC, SG
Cameroun and Standard Chartered
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 159M 2019 SALES 15
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
EXISTING NUCLEAR FLEET AND “GRAND CARÉNAGE” PROGRAMME
Industrial strategy to continue the operation of plants after 40 years for a competitive energy mix
Technical capacity of the plants to operate beyond 40 years supported by international benchmarks for similar technologies
Extension from 40 to 50 years of the depreciation period of the 900MW nuclear fleet (except Fessenheim) accounted as of 1 January 2016
Strategy compatible by the guidelines given for the multi-year energy plan
(1) The figures presented by the French Cour des comptes in its report of 10 February 2016 cover a longer time horizon, up to 2030, and included, beyond the investment, operating and maintenance expenses. Both
assessments are consistent, as stated by the Cour des comptes in its report. Indeed, among the overall estimates calculated by the Cour des comptes and amounting to close to €2013100bn for the 2014-2030 period, the
investment-expenditures estimated at €201374.73bn should be distinguished from the operating expenditures estimated at €201325.16bn. Within the €201374.73bn of investment expenses between 2014 and 2030, €201155bn are
dedicated to the 2014-2025 period, which allows the two estimates established by the EDF group and the Cour des comptes to be connected
Grand Carénage programme
Programme integrating the totality of the investments in the existing nuclear fleet: maintenance capex, refurbishing or replacement of major components, ten-year safety inspections and post-Fukushima modifications
Programme cost over the 2014-2025 period: total investments costs of an initial amount of €2013 55bn revised to €2013 45bn (1) mainly through project optimisation allowing a reduction and a postponement beyond 2025
,
,
,
,
,
Current figures of €201345bn(1)
Initial figures of €201355bn
€201345bn
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 169M 2019 SALES 16
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
DALKIA: BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT
Heating networks
renewables
New public-service delegation for the urban heating of Grande Île in Vaulx-en-Velin and Villeurbanne (15.5 years).
New public-service delegation to develop and operate the urban heating network of Bezons (22 years).
Renewal, modernisation and extension of the public-service delegation for the Faverges-Seythenex network (20 years).
New concession contract at La Grande Motte for the design, construction and operation of a Swac-based (Sea Water Air
Conditioning) energy network over a period of 24 years (66% of ENR-R).
Multi-technical
and energy-
efficiency
contracts In
France
Total Facility Management contract for Safran: 26 sites in France.
Energy Performance contract for 54 middle schools in Indre-et-Loire with works entrusted to Dalkia Smart Buildings.
Renewal of operating market for energy facilities, in compliance with the regional council of Nouvelle Aquitaine for 45 colleges
(8 years).
Contract with Medeos for the gradual implementation of an Energy Performance Contract for all its 37 establishments (EHPAD
residences for dependent seniors) in the Mediterranean region.
Renewal and extension of the multi-technical maintenance contract for the Pasteur University Hospital in Nice: Pasteur 1
(730 beds - 160,000 m²) and by 2023, Pasteur 2 (278 beds - 22,000 m²).
Developing
subsidiaries and
extending our
international
reach
Dalkia Smart Building: Renovation of the Jacques Brel watersports centre in Bobigny.
Dalkia Froid Solutions: Replacement of cooling production at the Maître Jacques site (Agrial group) in Rennes.
Dalkia Froid Solutions: CO2 remodeling services at the Cora site in Wittenheim (68).
Contract on the design and development of smart-lighting systems with the large retail chain, Albertson’s, in the USA, for 73 hypermarkets.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 179M 2019 SALES 17
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
STORAGE AND ELECTRIC MOBILITY PLANS:ACQUISITION OF PIVOT POWER IN THE UNITED KINGDOM (1)
Pivot Power is a British start up specialised:
- in battery storage: extensive portfolio of projects across more than
40 locations, with a total capacity of up to 2GW;
- in infrastructure for electric vehicle charging: development of mass rapid charging points across the UK.
Two significant enablers for the UK’s goals to reach net zero
by 2050:
- providing flexible capacity which will enhance the reliability of the
network and boost the integration of renewable electricity;
- providing the nationwide connections to power rapid charging
stations supports the adoption of electric vehicles, instead of the
internal combustion engine.
(1) See press release on 4 November 2019
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 189M 2019 SALES 18
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
INTERNATIONAL OFFSHORE WIND POWER DEVELOPMENTS (1/2)
• Partnership with Shenhua Renewables, a subsidiary of China Energy Investment Corporation
• Project capacity 502MW, consisting of 2 phases (Dongtai IV: 302MW, Dongtai V: 200MW)
• Both projects were approved by the Jiangsu provincial authorities (in 2015 and 2017 respectively). Offshore wind
projects approved by the provincial authorities before 2018 (included) receive a feed-in tariff of 109€/MWh(1)
• Expected annual output 1,400GWh (P50)
• Located about 40 km from the Jiangsu coast, average water depth 6 meters
• Turbines: Shanghai Electric (Siemens license) and Envision.
• Foundations: monopiles.
Main aspects of the project
• Dongtai IV: start of construction works at sea in June 2018. Start of construction of Dongtai V expected for
November 2019.
• 25 March 2019: Signature in Paris of a Cooperation Agreement between EDF and China Energy Investment
Corporation, concerning the projects Dongtai IV and Dongtai V.
• Q4 2019: Signature of the final joint venture agreements, subject to the finalisation of the commercial aspects.
• Q1 2020: Entry of EDF in the project company in charge of financing, building and operating the
Dongtai IV and Dongtai V projects (subject to obtaining ad hoc administrative authorisations).
Key dates
Dongtai Projects (Jiangsu Province, China)
(1) Based on exchange rates at 15 October 2019.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 199M 2019 SALES 19
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
• Project Capacity 1.7 to 2.4GW
• Size of the project: 742km2
• Joint Venture project with Shell, pari passu 50/50
• Water depths of 20 meters, 10 miles from shore
• Wind Turbine Generator Unit Capacity 12-15MW
• Two separate areas for the project
New Jersey Leases
• Established NJ Wind Energy Area ~57km by 20km
• North lease acquired in December 2018
• Lease area ~20km from shore and 20m depth
New York Leases
• BOEM(1) proposing up to five new Bight Sites (Areas NY 1-5)
• 85-100km from shore and 40-50m depth
• Project Capacity 448MW
• Expected output ca. 1,850GWh
• Fully Consented Project in Pre-Construction Phase
• Located in the Outer Firth of Forth (off the coast of Scotland)
• Ca. 37km of Offshore Export Cable and 12km onshore export cable
• Water depths of between 45 – 55m
• Contract for Difference (“CfD”) 15y from COD at £129 (2019, fully CPI Indexed)
Key Project Facts
• May 2018: Acquisition by EDF-ER
• 4 June 2019: Final variation to New Consent Awarded (Judicial Review period
running up to 4 September 2019).
• Target Financial Close: Q4 2019
• Start of on-shore works: Q3 2019
• Start of offshore works: 2020
• Target Commissioning Window (CfD): March 2022 – March 2023
Key Dates
• Atlantic Shores Offshore Wind submitted bids into the New Jersey RFP on
28 December 2018 and the New York RFP on 14 February 2019.
• Atlantic Shores was not chosen for either bid.
• Development proceeds for future RFPs.
• Project construction is expected in 2026+ horizon.
Key Project Facts
Key Dates
Neart Na Gaoithe Project in Scotland Atlantic Shores Project in the United States
(1) Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), manages the competitive leasing policy and program for energy development
INTERNATIONAL OFFSHORE WIND POWER DEVELOPMENTS (2/2)
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 209M 2019 SALES 20
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Offshore wind farms of Saint-Nazaire, Fécamp and Courseulles-sur-Mer
Led by Éolien Maritime France (EMF)
Over 1.4GW of combined capacity
Highly valuable partnership with Enbridge
Total investment costs of c. €6bn
Efficiency increases with economies of scale
Optimised financial structure
Partnering up to share funding, development and construction risks
Equity method of consolidation
Latest news
On 16 April 2019, Éolien Maritime France announced that Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy will supply turbines for two of its three offshore wind projects in France
GE Renewable Energy will build the Haliade 150-6MW turbines for the first offshore wind project to be launched as soon as its authorizations are cleared of any claims. The following two projects will be equipped with Siemens Gamesa turbines
Definitive approval by the Council of State of administrative permits for Saint-Nazaire, Fécamp and Courseulles-sur-Mer offshore wind farm project
Start of construction of first French offshore wind farm in Saint-Nazaire
Offshore wind farm in the Fécamp
Nearly 500MW
Calvados offshore wind farm
Nearly 500MW
Saint-Nazaire offshore wind farm
80 wind turbines - 450MW
Fécamp
Le HavreCherbourg
La Turballe
Saint-Nazaire
Maintenance base
Industrial base
OFFSHORE WIND DEVELOPMENT IN FRANCE4 PROJECTS REPRESENTING 2GW OF COMBINED CAPACITY
Offshore wind farm of Dunkirk
The government chose the consortium led by EDF Renewables to design,
build and operate and maintain the future farm
Installed capacity of nearly 600MW
On 6 June 2019, CRE published a tariff of €44/MWh (for a 20-year period) on
the basis of which the consortium was retained
Dunkirk offshore wind farm
Nearly 600MW
Dunkirk
Caen-Ouistreham
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 219M 2019 SALES 21
SALES AND
HIGHLIGHTS
2019
THIRD QUARTER
Appendices
Operating data
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 229M 2019 SALES 22
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
In GWe
Total capacities of EDF Group,
including shares in associates and
joint ventures (1)
Associates and joint
ventures (1)
Consolidated capacities
of EDF group
Nuclear 76.0 57% 3.1 73.0 58%
Hydro 22.2 17% 0.7 21.5 17%
Renewables 10.1 8% 0.2 9.9 8%
Gas 12.6 9% 0.6 12.0 10%
Fuel oil 4.3 3% 0.2 4.0 3%
Coal 7.8 6% 2.0 5.7 5%
Total 133.0 100% 6.9 126.2 100%
INSTALLED CAPACITY AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2019
NB: The values correspond to the expression to the first decimal or integer closest to the sum of the precise values, taking into account rounding
(1) Taking into consideration the sale of Alpiq in May 2019 and EDF’s participation in the Taishan 1 EPR’s commissioning in September 2019.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 239M 2019 SALES 23
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
In TWh 9M 2018 9M 2019
Nuclear 340.4 78% 330.0 79%
Hydro (1) 42.0 10% 30.8 7%
Renewables 12.7 3% 12.9 3%
Gas 30.6 7% 36.0 9%
Fuel oil 3.4 1% 3.8 1%
Coal 6.0 1% 2.2 1%
Group 435.1 100% 415.7 100%
ELECTRICITY OUTPUT
Output from fully consolidated entities
NB: The values correspond to the expression to the first decimal or integer closest to the sum of the precise values, taking into account rounding
(1) Hydro output after deductions of pumped volumes is 36.7 TWh in 9M 2018 and 26.3TWh in 9M 2019
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 249M 2019 SALES 24
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
In TWh 9M 2018 9M 2019
Renewables (1) 4.2 20% 4.5 22%
Gas 13.5 64% 12.8 61%
Fuel oil 0.2 1% 0.2 1%
Coal 0.9 4% 0.9 4%
Others (2) 2.4 11% 2.5 12%
Group 21.2 100% 20.9 100%
HEAT OUTPUT
Output from fully consolidated entities
NB. The values correspond to the expression to the first decimal or integer closest to the sum of the precise values, taking into account rounding
(1) Category corresponding to installations operating with woody biomass, landfill gas, sewage treatment plant gas and biogases
(2) Category combining part of the heat generation by incineration and the recovery of heat and electricity from other industrial processes
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 259M 2019 SALES 25
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
In TWh 9M 2018 9M 2019
Hydro (1) 42.0 77% 30.8 70%
Wind 10.5 19% 11.4 26%
Solar 1.3 2% 0.7 2%
Biomass 0.9 2% 0.8 2%
Total electricity Group 54.8 100% 43.7 100%
Total heat Group 4.2 100% 4.5 100%
RENEWABLE OUTPUT
Output from fully consolidated entities
NB: The values correspond to the expression to the first decimal or integer closest to the sum of the precise values, taking into account rounding
(1) Hydro output after deductions of pumped volumes is 36.7TWh in 9M 2018 and 26.3TWh in 9M 2019
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 269M 2019 SALES 26
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Emissions from the heat and
power generation
by segment (2)
In kt In g/kWh
9M 2018 9M 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019
France – Generation and supply
activities4,511 19% 2,709 12% 13 8
France – Island regulated activities (3) 2,147 9% 2,469 11% 476 558
Dalkia 4,503 19% 4,399 20% 213 205
United Kingdom 4,721 20% 3,364 15% 88 77
Italy 4,958 20% 5,471 24% 298 302
Other international 3,371 14% 4,012 18% 246 248
Group 24,211 100% 22,456 100% 53 51
CO2 EMISSIONS (1)
Emissions from fully consolidated entities
NB: The values correspond to the expression to the first decimal or integer closest to the sum of the precise values, taking into account rounding
(1) Direct CO2 emissions, excluding life cycle analysis (LCA) of generation plants and fuel
(2) The segments EDF Renewable, Framatome and Other activities are not shown because their emissions are negligible
(3) Power generation in ZNI: « Zones non interconnectées » corresponding to overseas departments and Corsica - (mainly island territories)
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 279M 2019 SALES 27
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
3.9GW
0.6GW
26.2GW
0.8GW
0.7GW Hydro
22.2GW
Wind
8.1GW
Solar
1.5GWOther
0.2GW
32.1GW
Capacity by technologyGroup netb (1) installed capacity: 32.1GW
RENEWABLES: GROUP NET INSTALLED (1) CAPACITY AS OF 30 SEPTEMBER 2019
(1) Net installed capacitiy, corresponding to consolidated data according to EDF’s percentage ownership in Group companies, including associates and joint ventures
N.B.: Group companies that have undergone a net consolidation of their own companies, including their interests in associates and joint ventures, are as follows: EDF Renewables, EDF Energy, Electricité de
Strasbourg, PEI and Shema. Other companies consolidate their assets through full consolidation.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 289M 2019 SALES 28
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
EDF RENEWABLES: NET INSTALLED CAPACITY AND CAPACITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION AS OF 30 SEPTEMBER 2019
205 MW
230MW120MWp
25MW
238MW12MWp
2,683MW205MWp
1,676MW
185MW3MW 267MW
18MWp24MW
185MW
588MW42MWp30MW
1,473MW206MWp462MW
6MW
58MW 131MWp
82MW100MWp90MW
56MW
27MW
182MW199MWp344MW
103MW79MWp
132MW
50MW106MWp65MW
Key
Wind installed (MW)
Solar installed (MWp)
Wind and solar under construction (MW)
Other technologies Net
Installed 65MW
Under construction 35MW
Gross Net
Installed capacity 13,094MW 8,183MW
Capacity under construction 4,673MW 3,159MW
Total 17,767MW 11,342MW
193MWp87MW
65MW
Source: EDF Renewables
Note: MWp: Megawatt peak (measure of the power under laboratory lighting and temperature conditions)
212MW
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 299M 2019 SALES 29
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
EDF RENEWABLES: INSTALLED CAPACITY AND CAPACITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION, BY TECHNOLOGY, AS OF 30 SEPTEMBER 2019
(1) Gross capacity: total capacity of the facilities in which EDF Renewables has a stake
(2) Net capacity: capacity corresponding to EDF Renewables’ stake
NB: These values correspond to the sum of the exact values expressed to one decimal place after rounding.
In MWGross (1) Net (2)
31/12/2018 30/09/2019 31/12/2018 30/09/2019
Wind 10,309 10,001 6,798 6,642
Solar 2,402 3,004 1,344 1,476
Biogas 70 20 70 20
Biomass 40 0 40 0
Other 69 69 45 45
Total installed capacity 12,891 13,094 8,297 8,183
Wind under construction 1,095 3,442 797 2,271
Solar under construction 1,230 1,196 713 853
Other under construction 35 35 35 35
Total capacity under construction 2,360 4,673 1,545 3,159
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 309M 2019 SALES 30
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
5.09.9
15.1
20.1
25.1
30.2
35.4
40.8
45.9
4.48.5
12.6
17.0
21.424.5
28.2
32.3
36.8
January February March April May June July August September
-13.9%
-18.8%
-11.6%
-16.4%
-14.7%
-15.3%
-20.8%
-19.8%
-20.3%
2019 cumulative output
2018 cumulative output
In TWh
UNITED KINGDOM: MONTHLY NUCLEAR OUTPUT (1)
(1) Source: EDF Energy as of 16/10/2019
25 November 2019: expected return to service of Dungeness B reactor 21
6 December 2019: expected return to service of Dungeness B reactor 22
15 January 2020: expected return to service of Hunterston B reactor 3
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 319M 2019 SALES 31
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
UNITED KINGDOM: UPSTREAM/DOWNSTREAM ELECTRICITY BALANCE
(1) Including wind output and purchase obligations
Coal 1.8
Nuclear 36.8
Other (1) 1.9
Gas 4.7
-9.1
-1.1
-0.2
-2.1 -12.545.2 -12.545.2
-0.6
-1.8
-8.7
-1.4
∆ 9M 2019vs. 9M 2018
Centrica (20%) 7.3
Residential 7.9
Net wholesale market 5.4
SME & IC 24.6
OUTPUT/PURCHASES SALES
In TWh
∆ 9M 2019vs. 9M 2018
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 329M 2019 SALES 32
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
THE CAPACITY MARKET IN UNITED KINGDOM
The capacity mechanism was suspended in November 2018 following a decision by the European Court ofJustice. Without questioning the compatibility of the UK mechanism with the rules governing state aid, theCourt considered that the European Commission had not carried out all the necessary investigations at thetime of its decision in 2014
Since the suspension, the British government’s objective has been a prompt return of the mechanism and aretroactive payment of the capacity made available during the suspension period, once the mechanism hasbeen restored. On the supplier side, capacity collections were maintained during the suspension period.
On 24 October 2019, the European Commission confirmed its approval of the capacity mechanism under thestate aid rules. The British government has since reinstated the mechanism, allowing the payment of thecapacity made available by producers during the suspension period; this payment is expected in early 2020.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 339M 2019 SALES 33
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
EDISON: UPSTREAM/DOWNSTREAM ELECTRICITY AND GAS BALANCES
In TWh In Bcm
Thermal
12.1
Wholesale& other
purchases7.6
Hydro and renewable
3.4
End customers
11.3
Wholesalemarkets & other
8.7
Domesticpurchases
3.8
LT imports & reserves
10.6
Domestic production (2)
0.3
Wholesalemarkets &
other4.2
Residentials & industrial
customers5.5
Thermoelectric5.0
IPEX 3.1
+1.6
∆ 9M 2019vs. 9M 2018
+1.6
∆ 9M 2019vs. 9M 2018
∆ 9M 2019vs. 9M 2018
∆ 9M 2019vs. 9M 2018
23.1 23.1 14.7 14.7-0.3 -0.3
+1.5
-0.3
+0.4
+0.4
+0.2
+1.0
-0.4
+0.1
-1.1
+0.6
+0.2
=
Electricity(1) Gas
OUTPUT/PURCHASES SALES OUTPUT/PURCHASES SALES
(1) Excluding optimisation volumes in 2018 and 2019
(2) Mainly related to discontinued operations
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 349M 2019 SALES 34
SALES AND
HIGHLIGHTS
2019
THIRD QUARTER
Appendices
France
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 359M 2019 SALES 35
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
FRANCE NUCLEAR OUTPUT
112.9 111.8
202.6 203.7
290.0 288.2
2019 cumulated output
2018 cumulated output
Q3H1
(in TWh)
+0.5%
-0.6%
Q1
-1.0%
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 369M 2019 SALES 36
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
90.4 86.9 81.0
26.0 25.123.7
0.2 0.9
107.4 102.3 93.6
ELECTRICITY SUPPLY IN FRANCE
(1) Rounded to the nearest tenth
(2) Including EDF’s own consumption
(3) Blue professional tariff, LDC (Local Distribution Companies) at transfer price and Green tariffs, below 36kVA that persist beyond 2015
In TWh
Residentialcustomers
(at regulated tariffs and not at regulated tariffs for 0.1TWh)
Local authorities, companies and professionals
(at regulated tariffs) (3)
Local authorities, companies and professionals
(not at regulated tariffs and including transitional offer)
223.8
199.1
Sales to end customers (1) (2)
214.5
9M 2017 9M 2018 9M 2019
ResidentialcustomersAt market offers
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 379M 2019 SALES 37
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
81.0
23.7
0.9
93.6
81.0
17.6
6.1
ELECTRICITY SUPPLY IN FRANCE – SALES UNDER REGULATED TARIFFS SPLIT
Sales to end customers for 9M 2019 (1)(2)
Residential customersAt regulated tariffs
Local authorities, companies and professionals
Market offers including transitional offer
Blue residential tariff
Residential customersAt market offers
Blue non-residential tariff (4)
LDC (3) transfer price
In TWh
Local authorities, companies and professionals
At regulated tariffs
(1) Rounded to the nearest tenth
(2) Including EDF’s own consumption
(3) Local Distribution Companies (LDCs)
(4) Of which Yellow and Green tariffs for 0.2TWh - Tariffs lower than 36 kVA
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 389M 2019 SALES 38
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
CAPACITY MARKET IN FRANCE
Capacity auction prices (1)
13.00
18.50 18.24 18.50 18.5016.77
18.05
14/12/2017 08/03/2018 26/04/2018 21/06/2018 13/09/2018 18/10/2018 13/12/2018
Volume of certified EDF capacities: 72GW
Market Reference Price: €17.37/kW
For delivery in 2019
In €/kW
(1) Data rounded to the nearest hundredth
For delivery in 2020
Volume of certified EDF capacities: 72GW
In €/kW
End date of the next
auctions
12/12/2019
20.00 20.00 22.38 20.0017.78
21/03/201916/05/201927/06/201912/09/201917/10/2019
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 399M 2019 SALES 39
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Maximum annual sales volume of 100TWh (3) by EDF for alternative suppliers and ~25TWh for power grid losses
In November 2018, ARENH requests from alternative suppliers for 2019 amounted to 132.98TWh. The volume was therefore clipped to the legal ceiling of 100TWh.
At the end of May 2019, no new ARENH request was formulated
Volume sold for the year 2019, including 20.4TWh sold for network losses coverage:
59.7TWh for H1
60.7TWh for H2
The volumes of nuclear electricity provided as part of ARENH will not be changed in 2020 (the French Ministry of
Ecological and Solidarity Transition)
12.44.0
40.7 41.446.9 49.4
59.7 60.7
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019
ARENH: VOLUMES ALLOCATED
(1) (1) (2) (2)
Source: CRE
(1) The ARENH volumes to be delivered evolved in the first half of 2015 due to the termination of the framework agreement with 4 suppliers
(2) Difference between half year estimated by EDF from the annual data provided by the CRE, and likely to change during the year through the application of legal, regulatory and contractual
provisions (sub-annual window, cancellations, defaults, etc.)
(3) The energy climate bill currently being debated in Parliament provides for the possibility to raise: this ceiling level for ARENH subscription volumes via a ministerial order, up to 150TWh; as
well as the ARENH price, via a ministerial order.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 409M 2019 SALES 40
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Date
Change in Residential Blue tariff Change in Non-Residential Blue tariff
(VAT excluded) (including VAT) (VAT excluded) (including VAT)
01/08/2016 -0.5% -0.4% -1.5% - 1.1%
01/08/2017 +1.7% +1.4% +1.7% + 0.9%
01/02/2018 +0.7% + 0.6% +1.6% + 1.3%
01/08/2018 -0.5% - 0.3% +1.1% + 0.9%
01/06/2019 +7.7% + 5.9% +7.7% + 5.9%
01/08/2019 +1.49% + 1.26% +1.34% +1.10%
REGULATED SALES TARIFFS IN FRANCE (1/3)
Change in Blue tariff
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 419M 2019 SALES 41
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
REGULATED SALES TARIFFS IN FRANCE : CHANGE IN JUNE 2019 (2/3)
68
49.5
22.5
40.5
€180.5/MWh (3)
CSPE
TURPE
Generation and supply costs
Taxes
Average bill breakdown, VAT included(Blue residential customer)
Residential Blue tariff excluding taxes (1)
€109.1/MWh €117.5/MWh
01/08/2018 01/06/2019
+7.7%
+€8.3/MWh
49.6
3.2
49.4
15.3
49.6
1.4
42.9
15.3
Energy + fees TURPECapacityCost to serve (2) & Margin
(1) Source: Data from the deliberation of the CRE of 7 February 2019, confirmed by the Journal Officiel of 30 May 2019
(2) Including cost of Energy Efficiency Certificates
(3) Half-rounded figures
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 429M 2019 SALES 42
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
68
51.5
22.5
41
REGULATED SALES TARIFFS IN FRANCE : CHANGE IN AUGUST 2019 (3/3)
€183.0/MWh (3)
CSPE
TURPE
Generation and supply costs
Taxes
Average bill breakdown, VAT included(Blue residential customer)
Residential Blue tariff excluding taxes (1)
01/06/2018 01/08/2019
+1.49%
+€1.76/MWh
Energy + fees
TURPE
CapacityCost to serve (2) & Margin
(1) Source: Data from the deliberation of the CRE of 25 June 2019 approved by official decision published at the Journal Officiel on July 31th 2019
(2) Including cost of Energy Efficiency Certificates
(3) Half-rounded figures
Catch-up
€117.8/MWh €119.5/MWh
51.6
3.2
49.4
15.8
49.9
3.2
49.4
15.3
-0.6
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 439M 2019 SALES 43
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
LINKY (1) SMART METERS DEPLOYMENT
2014-2021 investment pattern
0.1 0.1
0.3
0.6
0.8 0.8 0.8
0.4
(2) (2) (2)
In billions of Euros
(1) Linky is a project led by Enedis, an independent EDF subsidiary as defined in the French energy code
(2) Estimated figures
(3) Costs at the end of the program have been revised downwards after taking into account the prices of the last equipment markets (concentrating meters) and delivery services signed
Key elements
Goal of 90% of the metering fleet installed by 2021 (i.e. about35 millions Linky meters)
Amount of investment revalued downwards from €4.5bn to €4 bn (3)
over the 2014-2021 deployment period
Specific regulation over a 20-year period (RAB and Linky-dedicatedremuneration)
9M 2019 key points
Compliance with the objectives of the regulatory incentives (RI) in terms of costs, deadlines and system performance.
~21.5 million Linky meters installed as of end of September 2019
Individual class action suits against the installation of Linky meters:Of the 21 high courts that have issued rulings, only 5 (Toulouse,Bordeaux, Foix, Tours, Grenoble) have issued rulings in favour ofsome 50 electro-sensitive customers (installation of a filter orremoval or non-installation). Enedis is undertaking the necessarymeasures, but is appealing these decisions.
~2.4 million recurring subscriptions to hourly consumption data havebeen made by suppliers and third parties, to which must be added1.1 million “Enedis à mes côtés” accounts opened by customers.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 449M 2019 SALES 44
SALES AND
HIGHLIGHTS
2019
THIRD QUARTER
Appendices
Markets
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 459M 2019 SALES 45
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
AVERAGE SPOT PRICES IN 9M 2019
(1) Change compared to average prices in 9M 2018
(2) Trade (Source: RTE & ENTSO-E Transparency Website) and change compared to 9M 2018
(3) Implementation of the flow-based coupling mechanism from 21 May 2015 for all CWE (France, Benelux, Germany)
Spot prices are declining across Europe due to a less tight supply-demand balance and to historically low gas prices: A greater production in renewables and
milder temperatures than 2018 contributed to drive the spot prices down across Europe;
A sharp decrease in gas spot prices in the spring owing to mass arrivals of LNG, drawing prices downwards in countries where gas resources are frequently marginal, such as the UK, Spain and Italy.
Market coupling remains limited by available cross-border capacities
Average observed spot market price for
9M 2019:
EPEXSPOT: France & Germany
N2EX: United-Kingdom
OMIE: Spain
GME: Italy (Prezzo Unico Nazionale)
APX: Netherlands
BELPEX: Belgium
€53.7/MWh
€39.2/MWh
€38.0/MWh
€41.8/MWh
€49.8/MWh
€49.9/MWh
€39.3/MWh
-€-8.0/MWh (1)
-€13.1/MWh (1)
-€3.7/MWh (1)
-€6.8/MWh (1)
-€5.1/MWh (1)
-€10.6/MWh (1)
-€5.5/MWh (1)
1.9TWh+0.9TWh (2)
10.8TWh-0.5TWh (2)
1.7TWh-0.8TWh (2)
11.5TWh-2.0TWh (2)
0.1TWh-0.1TWh (2)
14.6TWh-0.3TWh (2)
10.3TWh+0.8TWh (2)
14.5TWh-1.0TWh (2)
4.5TWh-1.2TWh (2)
14.4TWh+1.6TWh (2)
CWE (3)
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 469M 2019 SALES 46
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
January March JuneFebruary April May
CROSS-BORDER ELECTRICITY TRADE BALANCE
Source: RTE, except for June 2018 that come from l’ENTSO-E
2018
2019France as an exporter
France as an importer
In TWh
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
7.0
2.83.1
5.6
7.97.4
6.0
4.1
5.4
1.0
5.3
6.6
4.4
7.37.0
5.4 5.4
4.7
France’s export balance came out at 47.2TWh between January and September (-1.9 TWh vs. 9M 2018). This was mainly a result ofa decline in exports (-2.3TWh), while imports were slightly down (-0.4TWh). During 9M 2019, France was a net exporter across allborders: 14.5TWh to Italy, 9.9TWh to Switzerland, 9.8TWh to Spain, 8.9TWh to the UK and 4.2TWh to CWE. French net exports fellmainly in the spring (-2.1TWh), primarily to the UK and Spain, the result of the reduced availability of the interconnection, and toCWE, owing to strong wind-power production in Germany, compared with low production in spring 2018, coupled with lowhydropower conditions in France.
July August September
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 479M 2019 SALES 47
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
FRENCH POWER TRADE BALANCES AT ITS BORDERS
Source: ENTSO-E
(1) Rounded to the nearest tenth
(2) CWE flow-based coupling zone composed of Germany, Belgium, France, Luxembourg and Netherlands, set up in May 2015
9M 2018 9M 2019
In TWh (1) Q1 Q2 Q3 Total Q1 Q2 Q3 Total
CWE (2)
exports 2.6 7.7 5.3 15.5 2.3 6.9 5.3 14.5
imports 6.3 1.5 1.7 9.5 6.0 2.3 2.1 10.3
balance -3.7 6.1 3.6 6.0 -3.7 4.7 3.2 4.2
United
Kingdom
exports 3.8 3.7 3.8 11.3 4.0 3.1 3.8 10.8
imports 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.9
balance 3.6 3.4 3.3 10.3 3.6 2.7 2.6 8.9
Spain
exports 4.0 4.9 4.7 13.5 4.9 3.6 3.0 11.5
imports 1.6 0.4 0.6 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.4 1.7
balance 2.4 4.5 4.1 11.0 3.9 3.3 2.6 9.8
Italy
exports 5.8 4.8 4.3 14.9 5.2 4.6 4.8 14.6
imports 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
balance 5.7 4.8 4.2 14.7 5.1 4.6 4.8 14.5
Switzerland
exports 6.3 4.2 2.3 12.8 5.4 4.8 4.2 14.4
imports 1.4 2.1 2.1 5.6 1.4 1.3 1.8 4.5
balance 4.9 2.0 0.2 7.5 4.0 3.5 2.4 9.9
TOTAL
exports 22.5 25.2 20.4 68.1 21.7 23.0 21.0 65.8
imports 9.6 4.4 4.9 18.9 8.8 4.3 5.4 18.5
balance 12.9 20.8 15.5 49.2 12.9 18.7 15.6 47.2
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 489M 2019 SALES 48
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
FORWARD ELECTRICITY PRICES IN FRANCE, THE UK, ITALY AND GERMANY (Y+1) FROM 01/10/2017 TO 30/09/2019
In €/MWh
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
Electricity - Annual baseload contract France (EEX) Electricity - Annual baseload contract Germany (EEX)
Electricity - Annual baseload contract UK (EDF Trading) Electricity - Annual baseload contract Italy (EDF Trading)
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 499M 2019 SALES 49
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
FORWARD ELECTRICITY PRICES IN FRANCE, THE UK, ITALY AND GERMANY (Y+2) FROM 01/10/2017 TO 30/09/2019
In €/MWh
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
Electricity - Annual baseload contract France (EEX) Electricity - Annual baseload contract Germany (EEX)
Electricity - Annual baseload contract UK (EDF Trading) Electricity - Annual baseload contract Italy (EDF Trading)
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 509M 2019 SALES 50
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
FRANCE/GERMANY SPREAD FROM 01/10/2017 TO 30/09/2019
Note: Over the period, the France/Germany spread reached its minimum on July 31th 2019 at -€16.67/MWh, and its maximum on 29 October 2017 at €92.37/MWh
Daily spread in €/MWh over 5 rolling days
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Spread Spot Spread à terme (Y+1)
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 519M 2019 SALES 51
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Source : EPEX
Between January and September 2019, baseload electricity spot prices averaged €39.2/MWh (-€6.8/MWh vs. 9M 2018). Prices in January 2019 were€26.2/MWh. They were higher than those in January 2018 because temperatures were 3.7 °C lower than last year, leading to an increase inelectricity demand. In contrast, prices in March were down €14.4/MWh, the consequence of milder weather in March. Since June, spot prices havedeclined by €20/MWh on average due to a decrease in gas’ prices, a greater production in renewables (wind, solar) in France and Germany, and aslight drop in consumption.
FRANCE: BASELOAD ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICES
Min base Oct. 2017 –
Sept. 2018 = €2.7/MWh
Max base October 2017 – September 2018 = €91.9/MWh
Max base October 2018 – Septembre 2019 = €115.1/MWh
Min base Oct. 2018 – Sept. 2019 = €3.7/MWh
Daily average in €/MWh
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
oct. nov. déc. janv. févr. mars avr. mai juin juil. août sept.
10/2017 - 09/2018 10/2018 - 09/2019
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 529M 2019 SALES 52
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Source : EPEX
FRANCE: PEAKLOAD ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICESDaily average in €/MWh
Max peak October 2017 – September 2018 = €113.2/MWh
Min peak Oct 2017 – Sept 2018 = €5.0/MWh
Max peak October 2018 – September 2019 = €149.6/MWh
Min peak October 2018 – September 2019 = €7.2/MWh
Between January and September 2019, peakload electricity spot prices averaged €45.2/MWh (-€8.3/MWh vs. 9M 2018). The peakload price’s trend is not so different from the baseload price. Prices in January were €27.8/MWh more expensive than those in January 2018 due to colder weather. In contrast, prices in March were €16.4/MWh cheaper than last year, the consequence of milder weather in March. Since June, peakload prices have declined by €21.0/MWh due to decreasing gas’ prices, a greater production in renewables in France and Germany, and a slight drop in consumption.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
oct. nov. déc. janv. févr. mars avr. mai juin juil. août sept.
10/2017 - 09/2018 10/2018 - 09/2019
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 539M 2019 SALES 53
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
COAL PRICES (Y+1) FROM 01/10/2017 TO 30/09/2019
In US$/t
The coal price for delivery in Europe N+1 averaged $71.6/t during 9M 2019 (-16.5% or -$14.2/t vs. 9M 2018). It has fallen continuously in 2019, losing
$17.5/t since the start of the year. The drop is due to bleak perspectives regarding the demand across the world and very high stocks’ levels across
Europe. Since the beginning of summer, the coal price has fluctuated between $62/t and $72/t. It has been influenced negatively by a decrease in future
demand and positively by a high short-term demand – particularly during heat waves, and following the anticipation of Jaenschwalde’s closure, the lignite
mine in Germany, in the months to come.
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 549M 2019 SALES 54
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
The price of Brent averaged $64.8/barrel during 9M 2019 (-11.0% or -$8.0/barrel vs. 9M 2018). The contraction mainly resulted from the fall in the
barrel price in Q4 2018 (-$30/barrel). The price has rebounded since January owing to OPEC production limits and sanctions against Venezuelan oil,
as well as forecasts for strong demand. However, the brent price has lost $10/barrel in June due to the Chinese-American trade conflict, perceived as
a threat of economy decline, which created uncertainty. Since then, it has remained between $56 and $67/barrel, being pushed down by limited growth
perspectives, and increasing because of various conflicts occurring in the Middle East, such as attacks in the Arabian Sea and in South Arabia.
BRENT PRICES (1) FROM 01/10/2017 TO 30/09/2019
(1) Brent spot price (M+1)
In US$/bbl
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
oct.-17 nov.-17 déc.-17 janv.-18 févr.-18 mars-18 avr.-18 mai-18 juin-18 juil.-18 août-18 sept.-18 oct.-18 nov.-18 déc.-18 janv.-19 févr.-19 mars-19 avr.-19 mai-19 juin-19 juil.-19 août-19 sept.-19
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 559M 2019 SALES 55
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
The price of the annual gas contract for delivery in N+1 to PEG averaged €18.8/t during 9M 2019 (-8.1% or -€1.7/t vs. 9M 2018). Prices rose almost
continuously in 9M 2018, but trended downwards in 9M 2019. Gas prices have lost €3.2/MWh since the start of the year, mainly because of very high
stock levels for the season. Gas demand this winter remained moderate, leading to low filling levels. This factor was compounded by a strong increase
in LNG supply in Europe, with cargoes once again heading to Europe following a substantial decline in gas prices in Asia.
GAS PRICES(1) (Y+1) FROM 01/10/2017 TO 30/09/2019
(1) Price of France PEG Nord gas
In €/MWh
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
Change of gas year
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 569M 2019 SALES 56
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
CO2 PRICES (Y+1) FROM 01/10/2017 TO 30/09/2019
In €/t
The price of the emission allowance for delivery in December N+1 averaged €25.3/t during 9M 2019 (+73.1% or +€10.7/t vs. 9M 2018). This increase –
implemented by the EU-ETS reform and aiming at withdrawing allowances from the market – has been nearly constant until September 2018. Since then,
this upward trend is persisting, even though it has been more moderated and highly volatile.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 579M 2019 SALES 57
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Electricity (1) Gas (2)
2018
2019
147.5
102.7 99.5
141.6
105.898.1
Q1 Q2 Q3
188.8
70.3 59.8
179.0
87.8
61.8
Q1 Q2 Q3
FRANCE: ELECTRICITY AND GAS CONSUMPTION
In TWh
(1) Source 2018 – 2019 : August 2019 RTE Overview (provisional data) – September 2019: ETR and Corsica consumption
(2) Source: base Pégase, Direction générale de l'énergie et de matières premières (DGEMP), Ministry of Ecology, energy, sustainable development and Sea
At the end of September, the consumption declined by 1.2%compared with 2018. This 3rd Quarter largely explains thedifference.
The monthly differences are mainly owed to temperaturevariations.
At the end of September, gas demand in France rose by 3.1%(+9.8TWh) compared with 9M 2018, and now stands at 328.6TWh.This rise is mainly occurring in January and Q2, when temperatureswere colder compared with 2018.
Furthermore, the production for gas resources has increased sinceJune thanks to low gas spot prices.
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 589M 2019 SALES 58
Consolidated sales Strategy & investments Operating data France and International Markets
Even though temperatures in January were as usual, the 2018-2019 winter is one of the ten mildest since the beginning of the 20th century (source: Météo France).After a mitigated springtime, the 2019 Summer was marked by two exceptional heatwaves from the 25th to 30th June, and 21th to 26th July, such that records were set in some areas. September was mainly mild and cool.
AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURES (1) IN FRANCE
Source: Météo France
(1) Data based on a basket of 32 cities
In °C
-
4,0
8,0
12,0
16,0
20,0
24,0
October November December January February March April May June July August September
Average observed temperatures October 2017 - September 2018
Average observed temperatures October 2018 - September 2019
Average normal temperatures
RESULTATS ANNUELS 2018 599M 2019 SALES 59
SALES AND
HIGHLIGHTS
2019
THIRD QUARTER
Appendices