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San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited
Helen Fung Kevin Chan
Maggie Lam Ricky Chan
Steven Sung Wilson Ho
Winnie Ho
Presentation Outline1 Introduction Strategic problems & issues
2 Analysis
External Environment
Internal Environment
SWOT Analysis
3 Strategy
Mission Statement, Strategic Vision and Objectives
Business Strategy
Functional Strategy
4 Implementation
Execution of the Strategy
Strategic Action Plan
Budget
5 Contingency plan How to deal with unexpected events
6 Conclusion
•PEST
•Porter’s Five Forces Model
•Competitive Analysis in HK Market
•Competitive Analysis in PRC Market
•Financial Analysis
Presentation Outline1 Introduction Strategic problems & issues
2 Analysis
External Environment
Internal Environment
SWOT Analysis
3 Strategy
Mission Statement, Strategic Vision and Objectives
Business Strategy
Functional Strategy
4 Implementation
Execution of the Strategy
Strategic Action Plan
Budget
5 Contingency plan How to deal with unexpected events
6 Conclusion
Strategic Problems
Lost more than half of its market share during mid-90’s
Low profit and high cost
Leadership status in South China was being challenged
Demand of beer in the PRC increased rapidly
SMBHK increase the investment in the PRC market
Influx of foreign beer into HK and the PRC (More than 130 brands in HK now)
Beer market in HK mature
Competitors launched low-priced beers in HK
Growth of “economy beer segment” became a threat to SMBHK’s position in HK
Strategic Issues
Presentation Outline1 Introduction Strategic problems & issues
2 Analysis
External Environment
Internal Environment
SWOT Analysis
3 Strategy
Mission Statement, Strategic Vision and Objectives
Business Strategy
Functional Strategy
4 Implementation
Execution of the Strategy
Strategic Action Plan
Budget
5 Contingency plan How to deal with unexpected events
6 Conclusion
Hong Kong market:
Increasing cost
Tariff for foreign beer decrease
The law of prohibited teenagers under 18 purchase beer
High Tariff on imported of aluminum
Government tax
Mainland China market:
Open door policy of China
PEST - Political
Hong Kong market:
Economic Downturn
Mainland China market:
IMF changed method of computing GNP
Propose of China’s entry of WTO
The rapid economic development
Both Hong Kong and China markets:
Globalization
PEST - Economic
Hong Kong market:
Consumer spending was soft
Inactive social gathering
High purchasing power of young generation
Increase in health conscious
Both Hong Kong and China markets:
Soccer matches
PEST - Social
Both Hong Kong and China markets:
The popularity of refrigeration in the late 1980’s
More people use the Internet
PEST - Technological
Porter’s Five Forces
RivalryAmong
CompetingSellers
Buyers
Substitute Products(of firms in other industries)
Suppliers of Key Inputs
PotentialNew
Entrants
Rivalry Among Competing Sellers
Hong Kong market:
Mature market
Intensive competition
SMBHK was losing its market shares
Many low-priced foreign beers
Price war in retail chains in 1999 among distributors intensified competition
Both Hong Kong and China markets:
Low switching cost
China market:
800 national, multi-international, large and small brewers
Very keen competitions
Very Strong
Rivalry Among Competing Sellers
If the consumers find our products not valuable, they will simply…..
Threat of Substitutes
Both Hong Kong and China markets:
Many substitutes available in the market
Substitutes are either of lower priced or having higher quality than beer
The substitutes are able to satisfy most of the attributes beer do
Very Strong
Barriers to Entry
Hong Kong market:
The existing brewers in Hong Kong are not able to
confront the influx of low-priced foreign imported
beers
Legal barrier is low
Barriers to entry are overall relatively low
Both Hong Kong and China markets:
high Technological barrier
Neutral
Power of Suppliers
Ingredients: mainly water and wheat
For water, government is the sole supplier, bargaining power is therefore very high
For wheat, climate affect the production very much. If there is a climate disaster, price will go up. High bargaining power of wheat supplier.
High
Power of Buyers
Both Hong Kong and China markets:
Relatively high bargaining power
Low switching cost
Substitutes are easily accessible
High brand loyalty towards beer
Neutral
Driving Forces in Brewery Industry
Globalization
The popularity of Internet
Introduction of sewage services charge
Changing societal concerns attitudes and
lifestyles
Key Success Factors in Brewery Industry
Keep manufacturing cost low
Strong wholesales distributors network
Successful advertising campaign
GE
OG
RA
PH
IC
CO
VE
RA
GE
Global
Regional
Local
OVERALL COST TO CUSTOMERS
Low Medium High
Royal Dutch
Pabst,
Kingway,
Tiger
San Miguel,
Tsingtao,
Blue Ice
Carlsberg, Heineken, Guinness, Budweiser,Asahi
Strategic Group Map of the Brewery Industry
Competitive Analysis – Hong Kong
San Miguel Brewery Hong
Kong
Heineken Hong Kong Limited
Carlsberg Brewery Hong
Kong
Originated Philippines Holland Denmark
Year of Establishment 1948 ---- 1978
Market Position Leader Second Third
Market Share 25% 5.3% 4.7%
OwnershipNeptunia
Corporation Limited (64%)
Heineken International BV
(100%)
Swire Pacific Limited (49%)
ProductionLocal
ManufactoryImport from
HollandLocal
Manufactory
(ceased on 31/4/99)
No. of Employee --- 69.5 250
Profitability (99) 60.1M 45M Loss 69.5M
Competitive Analysis – Hong Kong
San Miguel Brewery Hong
Kong
Carlsberg Brewery Hong
Kong
Heineken Hong Kong Limited
Products in HK 5 versions of beer 1 version of beer 7 versions of beer
PriceLowest among
the threeSimilar to Heineken
Similar to Carlsberg
Sales location More than half in supermarkets, Tai
Pai Dongs, Chinese Restaurant and grocery stores
Greater coverage on western bars and restaurants
Found in convenience stores, supermarkets and
western bars
Advertisement
Local advertising,
more sponsorship
activities, local
celebrity as
endorsement
Global advertising
Global advertising
Tsing Tao Brewery Limited
Yan Jing Brewery Limited
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong
Year of establishment
1903 1980 1948
Market Position
1 2 Not in Top 10
Brand Image Premium Premium Premium
Originated Tsing Tao Beijing Shunde
Price Similar as SMBHK
Higher than the other 2
Similar as Tsing Tao
Competitive Analysis – China
Maturing Product Stage
Sales
Sales Growth slow down
Time
Product Life Cycle
Sales 0
During the maturing stage
Consumers feel bored to the products…
Maturing Product Stage
Sales
Sales Growth slow down
Sales boost up again
Time
Product Life Cycle
Sales 0
Sales 1
New product sales
1. Compare with Tsing Tao (Tsingtao beer)
and Guangdong (kingway beer) which are
also listed company in HK
2. Compare with the previous years of the
same firm
Financial Situation
evaluate a company’s ability to making profitse.g. return on total assets (%)
SMBHKTsingtao
Guangdong
MKT Average
Dec, 2000 2.92 % 0.92 0.64 1.49
Dec, 1999 2 0.77 2.86 1.88
Dec, 1998 0.58 0.96 4.38 1.97
Great improvement in return!
Profitability Ratio
indicates a company’s ability to meet current obligations and sustain its operations by using current assets
e.g. Quick Ratio
SMBHKTsingtao
Guangdong
MKT Average
Dec, 2000 2.81 0.44 0.87 1.37
Dec, 1999 2.03 0.52 0.77 1.11
Dec, 1998 1.83 0.99 0.75 1.19
The liquidity is too high, which mean many cash is not utilized.
Liquidity Ratio
measure company equity vs liability
e.g. Total debt over equity (%)
SMBHKTsingtao
Guangdong
MKT Average
Dec, 2000 20.96% 122.56 29.56 57.69
Dec, 1999 22.09 75.5 52.78 50.12
Dec, 1998 22.74 47.54 67.62 45.97
Maintain the least liability
Leverage Ratio
measure management’s ability to use its company’s assets efficiently
e.g. Inventory turnover
SMBHKTsingtao
Guangdong
MKT Average
Dec, 2000 15.37 4.71 7.75 9.28
Dec, 1999 12.01 5.41 6.94 8.12
Dec, 1998 14.32 4.44 5.48 8.08
High inventory turnover
Activity Ratio
• Annual % growth in earning
SMBHK Tsingtao Guangdong
Dec, 200045.9 %
($87.66mn)58.6
(60.26)(-80.6) (10.24)
Dec, 1999252.5 (60.1)
3.7 (38)
(37.6)(52.71)
Dec, 1998210.5 (17.05)
38.1 (36.65)
(12.3)(84.49)
Sustainable growth in earning
Positive Sign !
Growth Ratio
Stable Stock Price
Stock Price
Conclusion on Financial Analysis
•Extremely stable in Financial situation
•Low risk of financial disaster
Superb Confident
SWOT
S W
O T
• S trengths• W eaknesses• O pportunities• T hreats
SWOT - StrengthIn Hong Kong market:
Production and distribution efficiency
ISO9002 certification in 1998
Brand name of “Made in Hong Kong”
Listed company
Well-established distribution channels
For Middle-age class, Brand loyalty towards beer
In China market:Joint venture with local firm
In both Hong Kong and China markets:Marketing expertise
Wide product range
low raw material costs
SWOT - Weaknesses
In Hong Kong market:
For youngster, San Miguel is too old style
Large scale of layoff
In China market:
No sub-ordinate office in PRC
Lack of coverage in the Western and Eastern
China
SWOT - Opportunities
In Hong Kong market Increase popularity of internetThe forthcoming 2002 World CupMore football match’s live transmission by Cable TV
In China marketInternational Sports EventsEconomic developmentPopular use of refrigeratorsInternet restriction in PRC is lessen
In Overseas marketsEconomic recovery
SWOT - Threats
In the Hong Kong marketGovernment regulations
Brand loyalty of young generation is strong
Economic downturn
Health conscious
Many economy competitors and substitutes
In the PRC marketOpen door policy
Poor distribution, transportation routes
In the Overseas marketsSaturated and mature markets
Strong brand loyalty
So Strategy:
Bid for sponsorship of World Cup 2002
and Women World Cup 2003
Use strong financial backup to invest in
orange beer
ST Strategy:
Launch of orange beer targeted the
young generation and increase the healthy
element of SM beer
Low product cost of Shunde beer used to
confront the low-priced foreign beers in HK
Production in PRC can avoid the high tax
and strict regulation on “Hong Kong Made”
beer
WO Strategy:
Search for joint venture in Xi An
The mature brand image sustain the
customer base from the mid-aged people
with high brand loyalty
WT Strategy:
Do not invest in other overseas markets
in short-term
SWOT Matrix
Remember the boy feeling bored?
Presentation Outline1 Introduction Strategic problems & issues
2 Analysis
External Environment
Internal Environment
SWOT Analysis
3 Strategy
Mission Statement, Strategic Vision and Objectives
Business Strategy
Functional Strategy
4 Implementation
Execution of the Strategy
Strategic Action Plan
Budget
5 Contingency plan How to deal with unexpected events
6 Conclusion
SMBHK offers adults with pleasant momen
ts and sensation feeling during social gath
erings and individual enjoyments by its coo
l, fresh, tasty, variety of choices and value f
or money beer.
Mission Statement
SMBHK strikes to become one of
the top brewers in Asia by sharing
pleasant moments and sensation
feelings with people in the region.
Strategic Vision
Hong Kong :
recapture market share to 65% within a year
Western part of China:
extent to the area within 3 years
Southern region of China:
Reinforce the market share
Also, to establish a healthy image for San Miguel’s beer
Strategic Objectives
To obtain earnings around HKD$ 100 million within 3 years
To increase EPS to 0.35 within 3 years
Financial Objectives
Generic Competitive Strategy
Overall
Low-cost
Leadership
Strategy
Broad
Differentiation
Strategy
Focused
Low-cost
Strategy
Focused
Differentiation
Strategy
Best-Cost
Provider
Strategy
Hong Kong market
To keep the leadership in this mature market, we will…
Produce “Made in Hong Kong” beers
Introduce IT system
Make heavy advertising and sponsorship
Introduce a new version of beer – Orange Beer
Import an economy beer from Shunde
Keep price reasonable with attractive quality
build new capacity
Penetrate to “Tai Pai Dong” and grocery stores
Generic Competitive Strategy
China market
To compete in this emerging and fragmented market, we will build
strategic alliances with local small brewers in China
The advantages are:
Lessen the effects of trade restrictions
Gain more knowledge on local market
Give preliminary support to SMBHK
Direct the competitive energies towards mutual rivals
Generic Competitive Strategy
New product development--orange beer
Import beer from Shunde
Increase production in Yuen Long plant
Increase production in Shunde plant
Purchase of raw materials via SMC
Form join venture with small local brewer in Xia
n An
Outsource the production of “San Miguel Boy” a
ccessories
Functional (Production Strategies)
Product:
Design a new spokesman “San Miguel Boy”
Show both package date and expire date
Price:
Keep constant for San Miguel beer (mid-price)
Orange beer priced high in the premium segment
Low priced Shunde beer to captured the economy group
Functional (Marketing Strategies)
PlaceUse the well-established distribution network of SMBHK in
Hong Kong to promote the Shunde beer
Use the well-established distribution network of Shunde beer in
Shunde to promote the San Miguel beer
Redesign the bottles and cans of San Miguel beer
Develop free delivery service to party holders
Use venders and Smart ID card for selling
Functional (Marketing Strategies)
The venders can benefit us ……
Functional (Marketing Strategies)
Promotion
Sponsor the World Cup 2002
Sponsor the Women World Cup 2003
Sponsor the China Soccer (Series A) League
Sponsor some youth soccer training
Sponsor some music concerts
Design a character as the spokesman of our products
Organize “Beer Festival” in Hong Kong
Employ “Beer Boy” to sell beers in bars and restaurants
Functional (Marketing Strategies)
Recruit IT specialists in developing IT system
Recruit personnel with fruitful experience for China
branches
Implement performance appraisal
Strengthen the professional sales team
Functional (HRM Strategies)
Self-financing $20M to support the new orange beer pro
duct line including R & D, working capital change, and pr
omotion cost
Increase ownership of the Shunde Joint venture by purch
asing more shares
Cut cost in all departments and layoff excess staffs
Roll over debt (refinancing) and maintain stable financial situation e.g. debt equity ratio
Functional (Financial Strategies)
Presentation Outline1 Introduction Strategic problems & issues
2 Analysis
External Environment
Internal Environment
SWOT Analysis
3 Strategy
Mission Statement, Strategic Vision and Objectives
Business Strategy
Functional Strategy
4 Implementation
Execution of the Strategy
Strategic Action Plan
Budget
5 Contingency plan How to deal with unexpected events
6 Conclusion
Organization
The strategy-critical activities are production and
marketing and sales activities
Building organization’s capabilities on these two areas
Execution of the Strategy
Strategy-supportive policies and procedures
Strict control on the production time on every parts in the
production process
Offer clear instructions to the newly employed salespeople on
how to do the selling activities in the PRC market
Clear guideline of conduct of ethics on the PRC operation such
as selling activities to oppose the corruption business practice
in the PRC
Execution of the Strategy
Rewards and incentives
Progressive commission system for salespeo
ple
Stock options for senior management
Annual bonus for all employees
Outstanding salespeople will be include in the
selection of sales management positions
Execution of the Strategy
IT system
Develop the IT system by in-house human resourc
es
Enhance the security of confidential information
Execution of the Strategy
Strategic Action Plan
Strategies 2001 2002 2003Launch of orange beer
Joint venture with local brewer in Xi An
Strengthen distribution network in PRC
Develop IT system
Bid for sponsorship of 2002 World Cup
Bid for sponsorship of 2003 Women World Cup
Launch “San Miguel Boy” character
Increase ownership in the Shunde joint venture
Evaluate the efficiency of Joint Venture in Xi An
Launch of online ordering & delivery service
Use of Smart ID card vending machines
Increase ownership in the Xi An Brewery Company
Import of Shunde beer
Evaluate the efficiency of orange beer
Assumptions
All campaigns is paid a lump-sum in the first year and is last for 5 yrs
No inflation consideration
Required rate of return: 20% (risk-depend)
Acquisition of Shunde factory with $100 million and will not count as investment in the following calculation.
-
Budget
Budgets 1. Initial investment: $20,000,000
-New product line $10,000,000 -New promotion campaigns $ 5,000,000 -Explore China MKT $ 3,000,000 -IT System $ 2,000,000
2. Cash Flow : -New product line’s revenue $ 6,500,000
- -Promotion Campaigns $ 1,000,000- -Explore China MKT $ 500,000- -IT System $ 100,000- -Integrations of facilities $ 100,000- -Mass purchase of raw materials $ 100,000- -Maintenance Cost of new product line $ (300,000)
Net Profit per year $ 8,000,000
Budget
Expected-net profit decrease 5% per yr
NPV=6.46M
NPV is positive
54321 %)201(
52.6
%)201(
86.6
%)201(
22.7
%)201(
6.7
%)201(
820
MMMMMMNPV
Budget
Recession-net profit decrease 10% per yr
-net income is 80% of expected
NPV = - 0.47M
NPV is slightly negative !
54321 %)201(
20.4
%)201(
67.4
%)201(
184.5
%)201(
76.5
%)201(
4.620
MMMMMMNPV
Budget
Blooming-net profit decrease 2% per yr
-net income is 120% of expected
NPV=27.79M
NPV is positive
54321 %)201(
85.8
%)201(
04.9
%)201(
22.9
%)201(
41.9
%)201(
6.920
MMMMMMNPV
Budget
Presentation Outline1 Introduction Strategic problems & issues
2 Analysis
External Environment
Internal Environment
SWOT Analysis
3 Strategy
Mission Statement, Strategic Vision and Objectives
Business Strategy
Functional Strategy
4 Implementation
Execution of the Strategy
Strategic Action Plan
Budget
5 Contingency plan How to deal with unexpected events
6 Conclusion
Climate disaster: poor harvest or even short-term lack of supplySolution: Hold certain amount of inventory as backup
China new ever changing policy, for foreign investmentSolution: Keep tracking on the changing
The inefficient collaboration with joint venture in Xi AnSolution: Seeking for several potential local brewers as backup & flexible joint venture contract with Xi An brewery
Contingency Plan
Question and Answer