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Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2 , Jane Read 2 , Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with posthumous acknowledgement to David Ellett 1 ) 1 Scottish Association for Marine Science, Oban 2 National Oceanography Centre, Southampton 3 Marine Scotland, Aberdeen

Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

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Page 1: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Monitoring the Rockall TroughToby Sherwin1

Penny Holiday2, Jane Read2, Clare Johnson1

and many others, including Bill Turrell3

(with posthumous acknowledgement to David Ellett1)

1 Scottish Association for Marine Science, Oban

2 National Oceanography Centre, Southampton

3 Marine Scotland, Aberdeen

Page 2: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

AABW & LSW

0.9 Sv (0.3)

NAW

0.6 Sv

~3 Sv

Anton Dohrn

The Rockall Trough

Temperature / oC

AABW

ENAW

LSW

WTOW

Salinity

Anton

Dohrn

Rockall

ENAW – Eastern North Atlantic WaterWTOW – Wyville Thomson Ridge Overflow WaterLSW – Labrador Sea WaterAABW – Antarctic Bottom Water

Page 3: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Three parts to talk:

1. Historical observation record

2. Future advances

3. Nutrients

Page 4: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Three parts to talk:

1. Historical observation record

2. Future advances

3. Nutrients

Page 5: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

The Ellett Line

• Shared by SAMS and NOCS• Regular sections since 1975• Initially 4 times a year• More recently annually• Nutrients since 1996

RRS Challenger

David Ellett

Page 6: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

θ and S across the Rockall Trough

Annual std dev indicated

Averaged three timesi) Across the RTii) Between 30 and 800 miii) By year (when >1 cruises)

θ increase reversal

S increase levelling out

Page 7: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Observations by Ocean Weather Ships

• UK Met Office• 1948 to 1992• Various tracks S of Anton Dorhn• Surface T and S• Measurement technique changed

over time• Averaged across the trough by

Ellett and Jones, MAFF Rpt 36, 1994

• Look at winter months JFM

Page 8: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

OWS Surface θ and S across RT

Great salinity anomaly

JFM averages

Annual averages

Page 9: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

OWS Surface Temperature and Salinity across RT

Towed thermometer

Mercury in board

Autolab salinometer Guildline salinometer

Thermistors

In board sampling

Titration

Page 10: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

-16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -455

56

57

58

59

60

61

Roc

kall

Ban

k

Roc

kall

Trou

gh

WTR

Synthesis of Sea Surface Temperatures

• HadiSST - UK Met Office• 1856 onward by vessels of opportunity• Synthesis of sea surface temperature (SST) only• Area average into 5o by 5o boxes

Page 11: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

HadiSST JFM averages

HadiSST SSTs in the north-eastern North Atlantic

Page 12: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Surface versus deep observations

Ellett Line

+ top 4 m

● 30 to 800 m

?

Page 13: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Part 1 conclusions:

1. OWS surface salinity seem good before 1986

2. HadiSST SSTs seem to be ‘reasonable’ proxy for RT

winter water column temperatures

The standard Ellett Line data are the ‘gold standard’

But will that always be the case?

Page 14: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Three parts to talk:

1. Historical observation record

2. Future advances

3. Nutrients

Page 15: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Glider observations

• Operated SAMS• Started winter 2009/2010• Continuous monitoring to 1000 m• Latest mission started May 2011

Page 16: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Glider temperature and salinity winter 09/10

Page 17: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Page 18: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Three parts to talk:

1. Historical observation record

2. Future advances

3. Nutrients

Page 19: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

-17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9

0

500

1000

1500

2000

P314 PO4

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

-17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9

0

500

1000

1500

2000

P314 NO23

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2022

24

26

28

30

32

-17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9

0

500

1000

1500

2000

P314 Si

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28P314

July 2004

NO23 (μM)

PO4 (μM)

Si (μM)

Rockall

A ‘typical’ year

July 2004

Page 20: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Temperature / oC

AABW

ENAW

LSW

WTOW

Nutrient profiles

East of Anton DorhnNO23 PO4 Si

West of Anton DorhnNO23 PO4 Si

0

2000

2500

0

Page 21: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Nutrient time series east of Anton Dohrn 1996 - 2009

Month of cruise indicated

Page 22: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Nutrient observations since 1996

Page 23: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Conclusions (wrt last decade)

• The rise in surface temperature since 1995 seems to be tailing off

• Salinities continue to rise and have returned to pre-GSA levels

• Neither θ nor S levels appear significantly higher than historical

values, but …

• LSW signature continues to freshen and cool

• There are real trends in nutrient levels need to be explained by a

nutrient chemist

Page 24: Santander 2011 Monitoring the Rockall Trough Toby Sherwin 1 Penny Holiday 2, Jane Read 2, Clare Johnson 1 and many others, including Bill Turrell 3 (with

Santander 2011

Chnbo Guo

Svein Osterhus

Detlef Quadfasel

Bogi Hansen