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I II Public PolicyPolling
From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling
Subject: Haley/Sheheen Statistically Tied
Date: June 25, 2014
A new Public Policy Polling survey of the South Carolina Governor's race finds that the
head to head between Nikki Haley and Vincent Sheheen continues to be within the
margin of error. Key findings from the poll include:
-Haley is polling at 39% to 36% for Sheheen among voters who say they 've made up
their mind for this fall. Each candidate also receives another 10% of support from voters
who say they may still change their minds between now and November, for a total
breakdown of 49/46. Sheheen is keeping the race close despite the Republican lean of the
state because he is winning over 17% of GOP voters, reflecting some disaffection with
Haley among the party base.
-About a quarter of the electorate up for grabs over the next 4 months- either undecided
or open to changing their mind about who they will vote for. Sheheen may have more
room to grow than Haley because his name recognition is 12 points lower than hers.
Among voters who have heard of Sheheen, whether they have a positive opinion of him
or not, he leads Haley 50/46 . That bodes well for his prospects heading into the fall.
-A couple key issues could pose trouble for Haley this fall. 65% of voters in the state say
they 're concerned about Haley 's refusal to expand Medicaid, including 50% who express
'major concerns.' There's also an increasing sentiment among voters that the Republican
Party 's complete control of the state is helping to create a culture of corruption- 55% of
voters believe that is happening to 42% who disagree.
-When voters were asked again who they would support for Governor after the questions
about Medicaid expansion and the recent GOP scandals Sheheen took the lead at 48/45,
including a 46/42 advantage with independents. These are likely to be much discussed
issues in the campaign, and when they're on voters' radar screen there's movement away
from supporting Nikki Haley for a second term.
Our polling on this race has consistently shown it to be very competitive, and that
continues as we head into the heart of the campaign.
PPP surveyed 698 registered voters from June zo" to 22nd on behalf of the South
Carolina Democratic Party. The survey's margin of error is +/-3.7%.
Public Policy Polling2912 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]
Public PolicyPolling
South Carolina Survey Results
Q1 Do you have a very favorable , somewhatfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or veryunfavorable opinion of Nikki Haley?
Very favorable 34%
Somewhat favorable 20%
Somewhat unfavorable 16%
Very unfavorable 26%
Not sure 40/0Q2 Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or veryunfavorable opinion of Vincent Sheheen?
Very favorable 25%
Somewhat favorable 20%
Somewhat unfavorable 18%
Very unfavorable 20%
Not sure 16%Q3 If you had to choose just between Republican
Nikki Haley and Democrat Vincent Sheheen forGovernor, who would you vote for?
Strong Haley 390/0
Strong Sheheen 36%
Weak Haley 100/0
Weak Sheheen 10%
Undecided....... 5%>
Q4 As Governor, Nikki Haley has refused toaccept South Carolina 's own tax dollars toexpand Medicaid to provide health insurance tomore working South Carolina families andreduce the amount of unreimbursed care ourhospitals provide, which drives up healthinsurance rates for everyone. Haley's refusal tobring our tax dollars home is costing us millionsof dollars , and cost us 44,000 jobs. Does NikkiHaley's refusal to accept our tax dollars forpurely political reasons give you majorconcerns, some concerns, or no concerns at allabout her?
Major concerns 500/0
Some concerns 15%
No concerns at all 34%
Not sure ..... 10/0Q5 Republicans have been in complete control of
South Carolina's state government for over adecade. With the recent indictment of theLexington County sheriff for bribery and othercharges , the ongoing ethical questions aboutpossibly illegal activity by House SpeakerBobby Harrell, and Governor Nikki Haley'scontinuing ethical questions , do you believe theRepublican Party has been given too muchpower and that has led to its electedrepresentatives becoming increasingly corrupt?
Strongly agree 41%
Somewhat agree 14%
Somewhat disagree 20%
Strongly disagree 22%
Notsure 3%
June 20-22 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd.Survey of 698 So~th Carolina voters Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888621-6988
~II Public PolicyPolling
Q6 Let me ask you again: if the election forGovernor was today, and you had to choosejust between Republican Nikki Haley andDemocrat Vincent Sheheen for Governor, whowould you vote for?
Nikki Haley 45%
Vincent Sheheen 48%
Undecided.... ... 8%
Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman 53 %
Man 470/0
Q8 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican ,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.
Democrat 36%
Republican 390/0
Independent / Other 25%
Q9 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,press 2. If other, press 3.
White 68%
African-American 28%
Other 50/0
Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are olderthan 65, press 4.
18 to 29 90/0
30 to 45 190/0
46 to 65 450/0
Older than 65 270/0Q11 Area Code
803 330/0
843 370/0
864 300/0
June 20-22, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd.Survey of 698 South Carolina voters Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888621-6988