16
SCALE. ETC.

SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

SCALE. ETC.

Page 2: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More

Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More

Obese + Even More Unimaginative = Nissan + Renault + GM = Innovative Challenger for Toyota????

Page 3: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

“I don’t believe in

economies of scale. You don’t get better by being bigger. You get worse.” —

Dick Kovacevich/Wells Fargo/Forbes/08.04 (ROA: Wells, 1.7%; Citi, 1.5%; BofA, 1.3%;

J.P. Morgan Chase, 0.9%)

Page 4: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Last week’s “Invincibles”:

DellMicrosoft

Big Pharma

Page 5: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Scale?

“Microsoft’s Struggle With

Scale” —Headline, FT, 09.2005

“Troubling Exits at Microsoft” —Cover Story, BW, 09.2005

“Too Big to Move Fast?” —Headline, BW, 09.2005

Page 6: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

New Economy?!

Genentech09, Amgen09

> Merck09 (70K-3/394B-5)

Page 7: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Wal*Mart + Home Depot + Walt Disney +

Intel + Microsoft + Pfizer = Flat

Source: “Blue Chip Blues”, Cover, BW, 0417.06

Page 8: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

More than $$$$

#1 R&D spending,

last 25 years?

Page 9: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

GM

Page 10: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Line Extensions:

86 percent of new

products. 62 percent of revenues.

39 percent of profit.

Source: Blue Ocean Strategy, Chan Kim and Renée Mauborgne

Page 11: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

I HEREBY PLEDGE …

When asked, “What are some examples of companies stepping up to today’s

challenges?” … I will … NEVER AGAIN … offer an example of a Giant Company; instead I’ll refer to

Cirque du Soleil, Donnelly’s Weatherstrip Service, 3K tanning salons, 10.6M women-owned businesses (or the

typically female recipients of micro-lending) …*

*There is more to Biz Life than Giant Cos … LOTS MORE … that “hidden 99%”

Page 12: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

“While many people big oil finds with big companies, over the years

about 80 percent of the oil found in the United States has been

brought in by wildcatters such as Mr Findley, says Larry Nation,

spokesman for the American Association of Petroleum

Geologists.” —WSJ, “Wildcat Producer Sparks Oil

Boom in Montana,” 0405.2006

Page 13: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Market Share, Anyone?

— 240 industries: Market- share leader is ROA leader 29% of the time

— Profit /ROA leaders: “aggressively weed out customers who generate low returns”

Source: Donald V. Potter, Wall Street Journal

Page 14: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More

Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More

Obese + Even More Unimaginative = Nissan + Renault + GM = Innovative Challenger for Toyota????

Page 15: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

??????????????

Crappy Management (GM) + Arrogant-Overstretched

Management (Carlos G) = Great Management

Page 16: SCALE. ETC.. Sluggish + Obese + Unimaginative + More Sluggish + More Obese + More Unimaginative + Even More Sluggish + Even More Obese + Even More Unimaginative

Bacteria. (“Left tail” limits.)

Productivity of small.Failure rate of Big Mergers.

Failure rate of Big Companies.Terrorists.

Galbraith vs Hayek.