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SCRF 24 th Annual Meeting May 45 2011 Stanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting Annual Meeting 2011

SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

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Page 1: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 24th Annual Meeting May 4‐5 2011

Stanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting

Annual Meeting 2011

Page 2: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 2

SCRF 24th Annual Meeting

•SCRF Overview

•2011 Research Highlights

Page 3: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 3

SCRF Mission

Leading research in quantitative reservoir modeling with a focus on data integration and assessing uncertainty

SCRF Overview

Page 4: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 4

• Quantitative modeling of geological heterogeneity

• Modeling uncertainty

• Building 3D/4D models accounting for scale and accuracy of geological, geophysical and reservoir engineering data

SCRF Overview

Page 5: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 5

SCRF Research topics

• Modeling uncertainty• Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters• Modeling integrated uncertainty in metric space• Distance‐Kernel Method

• Multiple‐point geostatistics • How to quantify geological concepts / Training images ?• Stochastic simulation of (geo)patterns• Design of fast and robust geostatistical algorithms• Application to actual reservoirs, carbonate and clastic• Hybridization with surface and object‐based methods

Page 6: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 6

SCRF Research topics• Seismic reservoir characterization

• Statistical Rock physics• Interpretation of facies from seismic data• Dealing with sub‐seismic scale• Integrating different types of geophysical data• Seismic constraints for Basin Modeling

• History matching & 4D seismic• Geologically consistent HM• Workflows for integrating 4D seismic• Streamline‐based HM

• Value of Information• Decision driven modeling of uncertainty

Page 7: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 7

SCRF: Students, Staff, and Faculty• Graduate students (~10)

• Research Associates, Post‐docsCeline Scheidt

• Staff Thuy Nguyen, Joleen Castro

• Faculty• Jef Caers

• Tapan Mukerji 

• Alexandre Boucher

Work closely with other research groups in the School of Earth Sciences

Page 8: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 8

•SRBRock Physics

•SUPRI/Smart FieldsFlow simulation

•SEP Seismic Imaging

•SPODDSDeep Water Systems

•BPSMBasin Modeling

SCRF: Stanford Collaborations 

Page 9: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF: Affiliate Members

SCRF 2011 9

Long‐term research goals are made possible throughcontinuous funding of most major oil, service and software companies

New sponsors:BPGDF SuezUniversite de Neuchatel

Page 10: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF: Membership Benefits

• Graduates

• Facilitated access to research• Reports

• Theses

• Software

• Annual Meeting

• Visits

• Research collaborations

SCRF 2011 10

Page 11: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 11

SCRF 24th Annual Meeting

2011 Research and Results: Highlights

Page 12: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 12

1.Modeling Uncertainty in Metric Space and 

Distance Kernel Methods

Page 13: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

Multidimensional Scaling (MDS)Caers et al., 2009

Map a set of N earth models using a pair wise distance between them.

1.

Page 14: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

Scheidt & Caers

1.

Page 15: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

1.Kwangwon Park, Ph.D. Thesis

Modeling Uncertainty in Metric Space

Reformulation of non‐linear inverse problems in metric space

SCRF 2011 15

Page 16: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

1.

SCRF 2011 16

Scheidt & Caers

How many models?

Page 17: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

1.

SCRF 2011 17

Time

Water produ

ction

Scheidt & Caers

P25‐P75 Interval

Adaptive sequential space filling design for geostatistical simulations

Page 18: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 18

1.Distance based sensitivity analysis for fractured reservoirs

Fenwick & Park

Page 19: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 19

1.Distance based modeling of structural uncertainty

Addy Satija

Faults and well placement uncertainty 

Page 20: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 20

1.Distance based modeling of uncertain geologic scenarios

Park and Caers

P( geologic scenario | data) 

Page 21: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 21

2.Multiple Point Geostatistics

Algorithms

Page 22: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 22

2.Mehrdad Honarkhah, Ph.D. thesis

Stochastic Simulation of Patterns using Distance‐Based Pattern Modeling

DISPAT

Page 23: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 23

2.Mehrdad Honarkhah, Ph.D. thesisModeling non‐stationarity

2‐D Gabor filter

Page 24: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 24

2.

Mehrdad Honarkhah, Ph.D. thesis

Modeling non‐stationarity

Gabor filter bank

orientation

freq

uency

Page 25: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 25

2.Mehrdad Honarkhah, Ph.D. thesis

Convolution with Gabor filter

Extracted features used for clustering and automatic segmentation

Page 26: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 26

2.Mehrdad Honarkhah, Ph.D. thesisMPS with non‐stationarity

Page 27: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 27

3.Seismic Reservoir Characterization

Quantitative seismic interpretation

Seismic inversion for facies and fluids

Page 28: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 28

3.

Data Integration

CoreWell logsSeismic data

Page 29: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

3.

Seismic Impedance, Molasse Basin, Austria

Stright et al.

Multi‐attribute, multi‐scale calibration for reservoir characterization

Page 30: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

3.Stright et al.

Page 31: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

3.Stright et al.

Tetris/SGeMS

Geostatistical modeling of sub‐seismic scale sandstone packages.

Page 32: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 32

3.Seismic inversion for facies and fluids

Page 33: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 33

3.

Cascaded or multi‐step approach

Page 34: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 34

3.

Cascaded or multi‐step approach

Page 35: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 35

3.

Geostats

Cascaded or multi‐step approach

Page 36: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 36

3.

Geostats

Simultaneous or single‐loop approach

Page 37: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 37

3.

Geostats

Simultaneous or single‐loop approach

Page 38: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 38

3.

Geostats

Simultaneous or single‐loop approach

Page 39: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 39

3.

Perturb the initial modelGeostats

Simultaneous or single‐loop approach

Page 40: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 40

3.Dario Grana

Two angle stacks:

• Near = 20°• Far    = 44°

Well data

Single‐loop inversion using probability perturbation method

Page 41: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 41

3.Dario Grana

Litho‐fluid classes

Single‐loop inversion using probability perturbation method

Page 42: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 42

3.

Iterative Spatial ResamplingApplied to Single Loop Seismic Inversion

Cheolkyun JeongGregoire Mariethoz

Page 43: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 43

3.Iterative Spatial Resampling (ISR)

Gregoire Mariethoz et al.

ISR perturbs realizations of a spatially dependent variable while preserving its spatial structure.

Page 44: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 44

3.Adaptive Spatial Resampling (ASR) Cheolkyun Jeong

Gregoire Mariethoz

Page 45: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 45

Log1

0RM

SE

Iterations

3.ASR optimization

Reference model

Cheolkyun JeongGregoire Mariethoz

Page 46: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 46

4.Seismic History Matching

Production dataTime‐lapse seismic data

Page 47: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 47

Integration of production and time lapse Seismic data: Norne field Amit Suman

4.

Page 48: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

Southern part of Norwegian sea

C

D

EG

C

D

EG

Norne Field Segment E

4.

Page 49: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

• Well logs

• Horizons

• Well data

‐ Oil , gas and water flow rate

‐ BHP (Bottom hole pressure)

4.

Page 50: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

Time Lapse Seismic Data

Near, Mid , Far and Full stack 3D seismic Q – Marine Seismic

2001 2003 2004 2006

4.

Page 51: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

Generatemultiplemodels

Evaluatemisfit

.

Reservoir

Model

Observed flow and seismic response

Predicted flow and seismic response

Joint Inversion Loop

4.

Page 52: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

What are the sensitive parameters in joint time‐lapse and production inversion loop?

– Flow response

– Seismic response

4.

Page 53: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 53

5.Hybrid Geomodeling–Surface based models

–Generalized cellular automata

Page 54: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

Two points

Multiple points

Object based

Surface based

Process based

Conditioning capabilities

Geological realism

Bertoncello et al. 

5.

Page 55: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 55

5.Hybrid Geomodeling

Holly Michael et al. 2008/2009Leiva, 2008

Page 56: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 56

5.Conditioning surface based models to log data

Lobe‐by‐lobe optimization using genetic algorithm and Nelder‐Mead

Bertoncello et al.

Page 57: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 57

5.Conditioning surface based models to log data: Application to Karoo dataset 

Bertoncello et al.

9 wells2 sediment sources

Page 58: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

Flow physics

Bed surface

processes

Fluid mechanics

(Physics equations)

Generalized cellular automata (Rule‐based)

Decomposition of the problem

5.Hybrid Geomodeling Siyao Xu

Page 59: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

A coupled scheme

Generalized Cellular Automata Bed Surface Model

Local Flow EnergyLocal Bed Surface

Analytical Flow Equations

Lattice Boltzmann Flow Model

Discretize

Siyao Xu

5.

Page 60: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 60

Research and Results: Highlights

1.Modeling Uncertainty ‐ Distance‐Kernel Methods

2.Multiple‐point simulation algorithms

3.Seismic reservoir characterization

4.Time‐lapse seismic history matching

5.Hybrid geomodeling

Page 61: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 61

Guest Speakers

Lisa StrightUniversity of Utah

Gregoire MariethozUniversity of Texas, Austin

Darryl FenwickStreamsim

Page 62: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 2011 62

Research Report

Digital annual report with papers

Ph.D. Theses

Presentations: http://scrf.stanford.edu

Page 63: SCRF 24 Annual Meeting May 4 2011 - Stanford Earth · SCRF 2011 5 SCRF Research topics • Modeling uncertainty • Uncertainty of global reservoir parameters • Modeling integrated

SCRF 24th Annual Meeting May 4‐5 2011

Stanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting

Annual Meeting 2011