September 6, 2011Summerville ChamberPublic Policy Committee

The BCDCOG?The Berkeley Charleston Dorchester Council of Governments is comprised of 57 members appointed by local governments within the region

The mission of the BCDCOG is to support our member governments in their efforts to preserve and enhance the quality of life for the citizens of the BCD Region.

Why Plan? Map for future Regional Cohesiveness = Global Competitiveness OurRegion OurPlan looks to provide:a vision for the region beyond the boundaries of each individual jurisdiction;guidance of the regions collective preferences where growth and conservation should occur more informed local decision making to further cooperation in implementation of plansprovide direction of resources, public investments

What Has Happened to Date

First Regional Forum - Vision and Goals were developedSubregional Cluster Workshops in Oct 2010 Affirmation of vision and goalsFoundation for the Citizens Scenario

Second Regional Forum August 2011Expanded discussion of scenario planningEnhanced understanding of the four OROP scenariosDiscussed preferred features of final draft scenarioDiscussed potential ideas for implementation

OurRegion OurPlanVision and Goals

OurRegion OurPlan Vision Variety of transportation options (walking, biking and Transit) Vital economy with good jobs, excellent schools, healthcare and affordable housing Protected environment with clean air & water, sheltered wildlife, habitat and renewed local agriculture Diverse and unique Lowcountry communitiesPreserve unique aspects of the region and individual communities: historical, cultural, architectural, and naturalHonor our tradition and encourage future growth, tradition anchoring the future Cooperative atmosphere where we care about each others way of life with more intergovernmental cooperation, leadership, and inclusive public engagement

Scenario Planning

Why Scenario PlanningPlanning for ONE FuturePlanning for Multiple Possible FuturesTodays KnownsTodays Knowns & UnknownsForecast PlanningScenario Planning

Scenario Planning ProcessScenarios MeasurementsScenario Input Preferred FutureScenarios

The Scenarios

Trends Scenario

Plans ScenarioPlans Scenario Revised Map

Plans ScenarioPlans Scenario Synthesis

Citizens ScenarioCitizens Scenario Revised Map

Green Infrastructure Scenario

Scenario Evaluation

Scenario Development Steps

2008 numbers are used to be consistent with COGs LRTP.Centers = villages, small and large towns, and small and large cities. Percent may not add up to 100 due to rounding errors and the use of the grid.The Trends Scenario did not include enhanced transit servicesScenario EvaluationCommunityViz Measures of Effectiveness

Measure of Effectiveness (MOE)ScenariosTrendsPlansCitizensGreen% of 2008 Population in Centers64%64%64%64%% of 2040 Population in Centers62%62%76%82%% of 2008 Employment in Centers81%81%81%81%% of 2040 Employment in Centers77%74%88%90%

2008 numbers are used to be consistent with COGs LRTP.Centers = villages, small and large towns, and small and large cities. Percent may not add up to 100 due to rounding errors and the use of the grid.The Trends Scenario did not include enhanced transit servicesScenario EvaluationCommunityViz Measures of Effectiveness

Measure of Effectiveness (MOE)ScenariosTrendsPlansCitizensGreen% of 2040 Population within Mile of Transit Stops13%13%15%% of 2040 Employment within Mile of Transit Stops30%21%21%Acres of Protected Land645,000672,000890,000876,000

BCDCOGs TDM Measures of EffectivenessScenario EvaluationDefinitions:VMT - Is a system-wide measure of travel activity in the region and reflects the total daily distance by all vehicles in the region in miles.VHT Measures system-wide travel activity in the region in terms of the daily time spent traveling by all vehicles in the region in hours.

MOEScenarioTrendsPlansCitizens'GreenVehicle Miles Traveled (VMT - system-wide)21,986,00021,669,00021,932,00021,822,000% Change from Trends-1%0%-1%Vehicle Hours Traveled (VHT - system-wide)566,000562,000555,000553,000% Change from Trends-1%-2%-2%

Scenario EvaluationBCDCOGs TDM Measures of EffectivenessDefinitions:Delay Is a system-wide measure of the difference between the free-flow travel time at posted speed limits and the model-estimate travel time under congested conditions.Delay per Driver Is the system-wide total divided by the number of vehicle trips.

MOEScenarioTrendsPlansCitizens'GreenDelay in hours (system-wide)99,000100,00088,00088,000% Change from Trends1%-11%-11%Delay per Driver (Minute)AM Peak4.404.443.863.86% Change from Trends1%-12%-12%PM Peak5.315.374.804.78% Change from Trends1%-10%-10%

Scenario EvaluationBCDCOGs TDM Measures of EffectivenessDefinitions:Percent of Congested Lane-Miles The portion of the regions lane miles that are over their capacity during peak periods.Annual Congestion Cost Is a system-wide measure of the fiscal impact of congestion on the region in terms of the wages lost due to the cumulative effect of daily delays in the travel network.

MOEScenarioTrendsPlansCitizens'Green% of Congested Lane-MilesAM Peak19.4519.8515.5615.66% Change from Trends2%-20%-19%PM Peak26.7726.0421.7721.91% Change from Trends-3%-19%-18%Annual Congestion Cost (system-wide)$308,398,000$311,131,000$274,151,000$274,775,000% Change from Trends1%-11%-11%

Scenario EvaluationBCDCOGs TDM Measures of Effectiveness

MOEScenarioTrendsPlansCitizens'GreenPerson Trips (All purpose)Drive Alone904,000903,000891,000896,000Shared Ride (2 persons)1,359,0001,379,0001,364,0001,367,000Shared Ride (3 persons)144,000146,000143,000144,000Local Transit11,00011,0009,0009,000Premium Transit2,0002,0007,0006,000% Change from Trends-5%191%141%

Input and Implementation

Preferred FeaturesImplementation Table DiscussionProtects natural resources, especially water features,Includes compact and livable communities,Provides efficient transportation options, including transit, andHas a commitment to implementation by all three counties.

ImplementationUpdate local plans to reflect Preferred Future ScenarioProvide a range of transportation (multimodal) options light rail, bike paths, water taxi, etc.Improve and expand the highway and roadway networkEncourage sustainability in all aspects of growth for healthy and livable communitiesCreate new controls to protect the environmentCreate new controls to focus growth on existing places, existing communities New funds are needed for public improvementsCreate Jobs - New stimuli needed for business developmentImplement value capture tools - special districts, impact and user fees, etc. (pay as you go)Work more cooperatively between local governments to implement local plans

Implementation PrioritiesImplementation Table DiscussionCreate more jobsConnect housing to jobsConcentrate development around existing infrastructureDevelop realistic about expectations for transit.

Where Are We Headed?Key Next Steps

Regional ForumExpert QuiltingImplementation Strategies

AugustImplementation StrategiesRegional ForumNovemberExpert QuiltingSeptember/October

Good morning*Like planning your agenda for the day, budget for the month or yearWere stronger as a region if we support our common interests things like natural area conservation, multimodal transportation, etc. cant happen without a regional platform. TTC + 4 satellite locations*Handout**What do the region and its citizens want.what ifshow do those work*Explained in detail in the participant guide handout from last forum*Past and current trends will extend into the future - Business as usual

Key DriversPast and current development trendsPop. and Emp. growth distributed based on historic and anticipated growth trends*Generalized consolidation of future plansA portrait of the region if individual communities visions and plans for the future are implemented together

Key DriversComprehensive and Land Use Plans from each of 28 communitiesIndividual communities land uses are consolidated into standardized categories*Comparison of the existing plans to vision and objectives*Consolidated input from last Falls cluster workshops. Identification of various centers, areas with limited development potential and high vulnerability, expanded transportation network*Green Infrastructure given same weight as grey infrastructure to determine growth areas Protection and preservation of green infrastructurePromote growth where infrastructure already existsIncorporate multi-modal transportation networkPromote growth in compact development patternsMinimize impact of growth on natural environment

*********At the recent forum*clear leaning toward the citizens scenario and green infrastructure scenario as a basis for direction for the physical development and conservation of the region. *Suggested options to begin discussion asked which ideas liked most, what additional ideas do you suggest? E.g. participants suggested that they could support something like numbers 5 and 6 IF controls was changed to incentives***Add to mailing list: leave business card*