2
Notes: Values for connectivity represent the average of 11 variables. “Total” includes “direct” role and “indirect” and “induced” economic multiplier effects. B = Billions. Jobs are rounded to the nearest hundred. Calculations used IMPLAN, LLC national model, Version 3, 2012. Service Changes and Lower Airfares Impact the National Economy Details of the economic analyses can be found at: www.TRB.org/main/blurbs/172110.aspx. The effects of three possible changes are explored: (1) strengthen connections between U.S. and international airports, (2) increase air cargo transported through U.S. airports, and (3) decrease airfares for personal travelers. Connectivity and air cargo analyses are based on: 20 sample U.S. metropolitan regions that contain 26 commercial airports Detailed regional economic data 15 major international airports The years 1995, 2000, 2005, and 2010 Findings are extrapolated to national levels for illustrative purposes. Direct Economic Impact in the National Economy ($ impacts in 2010 millions) C h a n g e s i n I m p a c t s G e n e r a t e d B y : J o b s L a b o r I n c o m e O u t p u t V a l u e A d d e d 1 % I m p r o v e m e n t i n C o n n e c t i v i t y V a r i a b l e s 13,000 $795 $3,043 $1,507 1 % I n c r e a s e i n A i r C a r g o T o n n a g e 5,100 $403 $2,103 $742 1 % D e c r e a s e i n A i r F a r e s 1,400 $162 $553 $249 Total Economic Impact in the National Economy ($ impacts in 2010 value) (including multiplier effects) C h a n g e s i n I m p a c t s G e n e r a t e d B y : J o b s L a b o r I n c o m e O u t p u t V a l u e A d d e d 1 % I m p r o v e m e n t i n C o n n e c t i v i t y V a r i a b l e s 38,900 $2.3 B $7.4 B $4.0 B 1 % I n c r e a s e i n A i r C a r g o T o n n a g e 22,700 $1.4 B $5.4 B $2.5 B 1 % D e c r e a s e i n A i r F a r e s 5,800 $0.4 B $1.3 B $0.7 B This research tests multiple ways of measuring airport and regional connectivity: Number of aircraft departures, Number of nonstop destinations, Frequencies (number of daily flights) of departures and destinations, and The percent of the world’s wealth connected to an airport. Greater connectivity allows a traveler or a firm to save resources or expand activity. 20 Sampled Metropolitan Regions

Service Changes and Lower Airfares Impact the National Economyonlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/acrp/acrp_rpt_132_brochure.pdf · Brochure developed under ACRP Project 03-28 by the following:

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Page 1: Service Changes and Lower Airfares Impact the National Economyonlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/acrp/acrp_rpt_132_brochure.pdf · Brochure developed under ACRP Project 03-28 by the following:

Notes: Values for connectivity represent the average of 11 variables. “Total” includes “direct” role and “indirect” and “induced” economic multiplier effects. B = Billions. Jobs are rounded to the nearest hundred. Calculations used IMPLAN, LLC national model, Version 3, 2012.

Service Changes and Lower Airfares Impact the National Economy

Details of the economic analyses can be found at: www.TRB.org/main/blurbs/172110.aspx.

The effects of three possible changes are explored: (1) strengthen connections between U.S. and international airports, (2) increase air cargo transported through U.S. airports, and (3) decrease airfares for personal travelers.

Connectivity and air cargo analyses are based on:

• 20 sample U.S. metropolitan regions that contain 26 commercial airports

• Detailed regional economic data

• 15 major international airports

• The years 1995, 2000, 2005, and 2010

Findings are extrapolated to national levels for illustrative purposes.

Direct Economic Impact in the National Economy ($ impacts in 2010 millions)

Total Economic Impact in the National Economy ($ impacts in 2010 value) (including multiplier effects)

Changes in Impacts Generated By: Jobs Labor Income Output Value Added

1% Improvement in Connectivity Variables 13,000 $795 $3,043 $1,507

1% Increase in Air Cargo Tonnage 5,100 $403 $2,103 $742

1% Decrease in Air Fares 1,400 $162 $553 $249

Changes in Impacts Generated By: Jobs Labor Income Output Value Added

1% Improvement in Connectivity Variables 38,900 $2.3 B $7.4 B $4.0 B

1% Increase in Air Cargo Tonnage 22,700 $1.4 B $5.4 B $2.5 B

1% Decrease in Air Fares 5,800 $0.4 B $1.3 B $0.7 B

Impacts (2010 dollars) Direct Total

(including multiplier effects)

Jobs (millions) 2.17 7.63

Labor Income (billions) $147.6 $452.5

Output (billions) $637.0 $1,600.0

Value Added (billions) $247.4 $768.4

Direct Economic Impact in the National Economy ($ impacts in 2010 millions)

Total Economic Impact in the National Economy ($ impacts in 2010 value) (including multiplier effects)

Changes in Impacts Generated By: Jobs Labor Income Output Value Added

1% Improvement in Connectivity Variables 13,000 $795 $3,043 $1,507

1% Increase in Air Cargo Tonnage 5,100 $403 $2,103 $742

1% Decrease in Air Fares 1,400 $162 $553 $249

Changes in Impacts Generated By: Jobs Labor Income Output Value Added

1% Improvement in Connectivity Variables 38,900 $2.3 B $7.4 B $4.0 B

1% Increase in Air Cargo Tonnage 22,700 $1.4 B $5.4 B $2.5 B

1% Decrease in Air Fares 5,800 $0.4 B $1.3 B $0.7 B

Impacts (2010 dollars) Direct Total

(including multiplier effects)

Jobs (millions) 2.17 7.63

Labor Income (billions) $147.6 $452.5

Output (billions) $637.0 $1,600.0

Value Added (billions) $247.4 $768.4

This research tests multiple ways of measuring airport and regional connectivity:

• Number of aircraft departures,

• Number of nonstop destinations,

• Frequencies (number of daily flights) of departures and destinations, and

• The percent of the world’s wealth connected to an airport.

Greater connectivity allows a traveler or a firm to save resources or expand activity.

20 Sampled Metropolitan Regions

Page 2: Service Changes and Lower Airfares Impact the National Economyonlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/acrp/acrp_rpt_132_brochure.pdf · Brochure developed under ACRP Project 03-28 by the following:

Notes: Airport calculations were assembled from 2009-2013 data sets from multiple sources. The national baseline is from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2012.

U.S. Airports

ACRP Report 132

The Role of U.S. Airports in the

National Economy

Key Findings Research Questions:

• What is the national economic role of U.S. airports?

• Do improvements in the connectivity of airports lead to improved productivity of U.S. industries?

• What is the interrelationship between air cargo and the U.S. industrial base?

• How do changes in the cost of air travel affect the national economy?

4.3%4.8%

5.8%4.9%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Employment Labor Income Total Output GDPPe

rcen

t Of U

.S E

cono

my

U.S. Airports Support 5% of the National Economy

Answered in Complementary Approaches

1. National Economic Role of U.S. Airports

2. Changes in aviation affect economic impacts

Brochure developed under ACRP Project 03-28 by the following:

Economic impacts in response to changes in connectivity, air cargo, or airfares.

Economic Development Research Group

In association with:

Dr. David Gillen

ICF International

KRAMER aerotek, inc.

Mead & Hunt, Inc.

Economic Role of Airports in the U.S.

$768 Billion in Value Added

2.17 Million Direct U.S. Jobs

How do these findings compare with other economic analyses?

Estimates Airports’ Additions to the National Economy through:

• On-airport commerce

• International cargo (brings income to the United States from other countries)

• Spending of international visitors who arrive by air

Does not include redistribution among regions, including:

• Domestic air cargo

• Off-airport spending of domestic air visitors

• Civil aviation—aircraft manufacturing and parts

2

National Economic Impact of

U.S. Airports

On-Airport Transactions

International Air Cargo Off-Airport

Spending of International Air Arrivals Net of

Spending by U.S. Residents on International

Travel

-

Impacts (2010 dollars) DirectTotal

(including multiplier effects)

Jobs (millions) 2.17 7.63

Labor Income (billions) $147.6 $452.5

Output (billions) $637.0 $1,600.0

Value Added (billions) $247.4 $768.4