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Session 4: Feeding a healthy world population – policy and business challenges for the
future
Ms Garrette Clark UNEP
GEO-5 for Business
GEO-5 for BUSINESS
Impacts of a changing
environment on the
food sector
Garrette Clark, UNEP November 12-13, 2013
GEO-5 for Business
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem/Waste
Land
Construction
Electric Power
Finance
Healthcare
Tourism
Chemicals
Extractives
Food/Bev
ICT
Transportation
Operations
& Supply
Chain
Markets
Policy
Reputation
GEO-5 for Business
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
TREND GHG emissions projected to double in next 50 years
May lead to average surface temperature increase of
3-6⁰C
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS Market shifts favouring lower-carbon products
Operational and supply chain disruptions
Higher cost of energy, food, and other commodities
Shifting production/transportation patterns to adapt to
local conditions
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem/ Waste
Land
GEO-5 for Business
Severe Weather
TREND 230% rise in number of flood disasters; 38% rise
in droughts between 1980s and the 2000s
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS Damage to public infrastructure
Operational and supply chain disruptions
Increased cost of operations and materials
Rising demand for reconstruction services
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem / Waste
Land
GEO-5 for Business
Land Conversion
TREND Urban uses are expected to require an
additional 100-200 million hectares over next
40 years
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS Competition for arable land
New markets from urban expansion
Loss of ecosystem services
Pressure to protect natural resources
Restricted access to land-base resources
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem / Waste
Land
GEO-5 for Business
Water Availability
TREND Withdrawals have tripled over last 50 years to
meet increasing demands
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS Increasing cost, conflicts over limited supply
Operational and supply chain disruptions
Constraints on growth due to water scarcity
New markets for water-efficient products
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem/Waste
Land
GEO-5 for Business
Biodiversity
TREND Critical habitats continue to decline
High rate of species extinction expected
to continue
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS Limitations on access to land
Increased pressure to reduce biodiversity impacts
Rising cost and scarce resources
Reduced opportunity for product breakthroughs
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem/ Waste
Land
GEO-5 for Business
Chemical Exposure
TREND Lack of data on health and environmental
effects of more than 248,000
chemical products
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS Market shifts toward “greener” products
Regulatory, customer, and public
pressure for greater transparency
Product use restrictions
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem/ Waste
Land
GEO-5 for Business
Waste
TREND 20-50 million tonne of e-waste generated per
year, containing hazardous substances and
strategic metals
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS Rising opportunity to recover/re-use e-waste
Increasing regulatory and customer
pressure to reduce/manage waste
Reputational damage from uncontrolled waste
Atmosphere
Water
Biodiversity
Chem/ Waste
Land
GEO-5 for Business
New markets for alternative supplies or more climate-
resilient food varieties
Opportunities for businesses in new agricultural growing zones
Expanded markets for organic foods and sustainable food production
Reputational benefits from sustainable food product certifications
OPPORTUNITIES
Food & Beverage
Which risks and opportunities are most relevant to your business? How are you
seeing them play out?
How well-prepared are you for the risks?
How well-positioned are you for the opportunities?
What is the biggest risk your key customers will face, and how can you help
reduce it?
How are you considering environmental trends in your sourcing strategy?
KEY QUESTIONS
Changes in availability, quality, price and sources of agricultural products due to climate change
Increased cost of fossil fuel-based energy
Reduced crop yields due to water scarcity
Conflicts over water and arable land
Depletion of seafood stocks
Increased consumer and regulatory pressure to
reduce impacts from meat production, chemicals and fertilizers
RISKS
GEO-5 for Business
Dive deeper – apply to your company, conduct a
gap analysis
Present – to your executive leadership
Incorporate – into your business planning process
Reverse direction – think … impacts of
environmental trends on business
Report to stakeholders (investors, employees,
customers, communities, NGOs, and others)
Work with policy-makers to craft public policies
that encourage sustainable business practices
Collaborate with others to create powerful solutions
Jumpstart Actions
GEO-5 for Business
GEO-5 for Business: ww.unep.org/geo/pdfs/geo5/GEO5_for_Business_ES.pdf GEO-5 for Business: www.unep.org/geo
Garrette Clark Programme Officer - Business & Industry Unit, UNEP
Neeyati Patel Chief OSU, Scientific Assessment Branch, UNEP
Jeff Erikson Senior Vice President, SustainAbility
Dave Grossman Principal, Green Light Group [email protected]
