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SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

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Page 1: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

SF Bay CoresUncovering Our Dirty Past

RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Page 2: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

HUH!

CORE

Page 3: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

WHAT IS IT GOOD FOR?

Page 4: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

ABSOLUTELY

SOMETHING

Page 5: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Sediments Tell Our HistoryAmerica’s largest core?

Even when not neatly stacked, a history of process |

SF Bay core to scale >

Page 6: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

SF Bay - Cored Before

• USGS (1990) cores– 90+ sites screened only– 2 depositional sites in

detail• Polluted max subsurface

– Pollutant reservoir• Much of SF Bay eroding• Ticking TIME BOMB?!!!

Hornberger 1999

Page 7: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

• Need baywide inventory to predict trajectory– 2 of 90+ sites probably not representative– Much of Bay erosional, not depositional (Jaffe et al)

• Use those previous 90+ cores?– Old, unusable for chemical analyses

Why Recore?

Page 8: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

11 Bay (Underwater) Sites

• Random, representative(inventory, processes)– 3 sites Central Bay,– 2 each other segments– Mostly RMP annual

repeat stations

Page 9: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Bay Vibracoring

Page 10: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

6 Wetland Sites

• Loading history– Depositional zones

• 1 site each segment– Pt Edith (Martinez)– Wildcat (Richmond)– Damon Sl. (Oakland)– Greco Island (R.C.)– Coyote Creek (S.J.)

+ Alviso Marina (for NewAlmaden)

Page 11: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Wetland Piston Coring

Page 12: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

What Did We Expect?

• Pollutant distribution - function of– Local land use/pollutant loading– Sediment process history

• Sedimentation rates and dates– Similar in segment (shared water, sediment)– Mid-scale differences (source proximity, etc)

• How do we get rates and dates for cores?

Page 13: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Core # 3: How oldare you?

Date A Core

Page 14: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Dating: Bathymetry

(USGS Bruce Jaffe)• Net bathymetric

change betweensurveys+ deposition – erosion

• Some sitesdepositional &erosional differentperiods

2006

1983

1956

1931

1898

Page 15: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Dating: Radioisotopes

(USC Hammond)• 137Cs in atom bomb

– Post ~1950– Max ~1960

• 210Pb decay– Half life 22 yrs– Decay/dilution can

look similar• If Cs & Pb similar,

likely dilution

Page 16: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Dating Results

• Sites within segments similar– Suisun, San Pablo erosional– Central, South neutral/erosional– Lower South depositional

• Radiodating/bathymetry results similar– Not perfect matching given spatial

variation/resolution of bathymetry

Page 17: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Digging Into Our Dirty Past

• Age of layer → hints what you might find

2006

1983

1956

1931

1898

PCBs?

Hoffa?

Hg?

Page 18: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Our Dirty Past: Copper

• USGS record of copper in South Bay

– Surface sediments and clams max ~1980

Page 19: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Similar History in Cores

• Cu max ~1980s in South Bay wetland

1960 estimated by 137Cs

1960

2006

~1980

Page 20: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

1980s: Cleaning Up Our Act

(Pre)treatment!Palo Alto Loads 1977-1998

(Remove Remove Remove Remove)

How did we get here? (Clearly NOT the same as it ever was…)

Page 21: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Our Dirty Past: Mercury

• Max in wetlands ~1960 or a bit earlier

1960 estimated by 137Cs

• Where is the mercury from?

Page 22: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Blame…

BAY

NEW ALMADEN

New Almaden?

Page 23: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Is It Really From Mining?

• New Almaden mining max late 1800s• Last vestiges 1940s

Bailey and Everhart 1964

Page 24: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

• Unlike wastewater Cu, mine Hg starts highin watershed, could….– take a while to get down– still be up there

or…– cores too shallow?

• NO, 1870<1960in previous study

Not-So-Quicksilver?

Conaway 2004

1960

1870

1570

Page 25: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Mines in Oakland??• If 1960 max from mining, why is Oakland (CB) ~

Coyote (LSB) > SB, SPB, SUB

• Alternative hypotheses?...

Page 26: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Old King Coal?

U.S. Dept of Energy

• Urban residential/industrial sources• Temporarily peaked in 1940s

– post 1970s use more centralized/controlled/treated

Page 27: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Same Patterns in Bay?

• Mostly not- comparatively flat, but deepestsections lower in Hg, Cu, etc.

Page 28: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Breaking News: PCBs*• Wetland max ~1980

* Preliminary results subject to revision. QA data not yet fully reviewed. Do not cite or quote. PCBs represents thesums of individual congeners reported by the RMP, including coeluters. Results shown may not be typical, consultwith your doctorate before proceeding on any program of action.

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

SPB Wildcat

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

SUB Edith

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

SB Greco

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

CB Damon

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

LSB Alviso

LSB Coyote

Page 29: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Breaking News: PCBs*• Bay max much smaller

* Preliminary results subject to revision. QA data not yet fully reviewed. Do not cite or quote. PCBs represents thesums of individual congeners reported by the RMP, including coeluters. Results shown may not be typical, consultwith your doctorate before proceeding on any program of action.

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

SUB001

SUB002

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

SPB001

SPB002

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

CB001

CB002

CB006

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

SB001

SB002

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

LSB001

LSB002

Page 30: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

• Wetland max at surface

* Preliminary results subject to revision. QA data not yet fully reviewed. Do not cite or quote.

Tomorrow’s Legacy? PBDEs*More Breaking News:

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

SUB Edith

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

CB Damon

CONC (!g/Kg)

0 100 200

DE

PT

H (c

m)

0

100

LSB Alviso

Page 31: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

• Good news-– Few nasty surprises in Bay (only 4 of >100

sites have large subsurface max)– Mostly near current surface concentrations

• Bad news-– Not for lack of/constant sources

• wetland cores show otherwise

Where have all the time bombs gone?

Good News / Bad News

Page 32: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Lukewarm Regional

Already Blown Up?

• Bay mixing, erosion spread pollutants• Dilution to “safe” levels slow, if ever

Warm AreaHot Spot

Low-level Global

Page 33: SF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty  · PDF fileSF Bay Cores Uncovering Our Dirty Past RMP Annual Meeting 2009

Proverbs Re-LearnedDon’t wait until the horse has bolted to close the

barn door.A stitch in time saves nine.Turn off the faucet before mopping the floor

R. Hoenicke

An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.B. Franklin

An ounce of preventionis worth a TON of cure.