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w OPTIONAL SUBHEAD HERE Opportunities & Challenges T. Donna Chen, PE, PhD Assistant Professor Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering June 13, 2018 Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility:

Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

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Page 1: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

wOPTIONAL SUBHEAD HERE

Opportunities & Challenges

T. Donna Chen, PE, PhDAssistant Professor

Department of Civil & Environmental EngineeringJune 13, 2018

Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility:

Page 2: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

2

Shared AV5

EV Range & Charging Infrastructure

Privately-owned AV

Door-to-door service

(single occupant)1, 2

First/Last Mile Connection with

Mass Transit 4

Vehicle Automation

Vehicle Electrification

Door-to-door service

(with ridesharing)3Use Case

Smart Charging Management

EV-Grid Interaction

Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicle Research

1. Chen, T.D, K. M. Kockelman & J.P. Hanna (2016) “Operations of a Shared, Autonomous, Electric Vehicle Fleet: Implications of Vehicle & Charging Infrastructure Decisions.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 94: 243-254.

2. Chen, T. D. & K.M. Kockelman (2016) “Management of a Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicle Fleet: Implications of Pricing Schemes.” Transportation Research Record 2572: 37-46.

3. Farhan, J. & T.D. Chen [In Press] “Impact of Ridesharing on Operational Efficiency of Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicle Fleet.” Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies.

4. Farhan, J., T.D. Chen & Z. Zhang (2018) “Leveraging Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicles for First- and Last-Mile Mobility.” Proceedings of the 97th

Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, January 2018, Washington, DC.5. Hanna, J.P., M. Albert, T.D. Chen & P. Stone. (2016) “Minimum Cost Matching for Autonomous Carsharing.” International Federation of Automatic

Control Papers On Line 49-15: 254-259.

Page 3: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

SAEV Modeling Framework

Trip Generation Charging Station Generation

SAEV Fleet Generation

Operation

• Use local travel demand model data to generate trips to simulate origin-destination travel demand

• Charging station site selection to ensure sufficient infrastructure coverage

• Determine the necessary fleet size to serve travel demand

• Continuous daily operation based on the station and fleet configuration

Page 4: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

SAEV Simulation Implementation

Planning Area for Illustration: Seattle

Pixelated Network• Discretized network (0.25x0.25 mi cells)• Restricts vehicle movement to

Manhattan grid• Vehicle moves to adjacent cell in discrete

5 min intervals• Faster run time due to discretization (of

space and time)

Street-level Map• Map data to construct nodes and links• Latitude & longitude are transformed to

Cartesian coordinates• Origin & destination positions are

mapped to the nearest node using nearest-neighbor search (NNS)

• Slower run time due to continuous real-time operations

Page 5: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

Fleet Size by Vehicle & Charging Infrastructure Type (SAEV door-to-door w/o ridesharing)

SAV SAEVSAEV Fast

ChargeLR SAEV

LR SAEVFast Charge

Unused/Relocating Vehicles 4339 8741 10359 5145 6408

Charging Vehicles 2085 27668 6459 14340 2288

In Use Vehicles 23515 20869 22774 21693 23162

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Ve

hic

les

Fast charging infrastructure & longer range vehicles reducerequired fleet size.

Vehicle & Infrastructure Impacts (1)

Page 6: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

With ridesharing, longer range SAEVs consistently require smallerfleet size no matter the vehicle capacity.

Vehicle & Infrastructure Impacts (2)

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

0 1 2 3 4 5

SA

EV

Fle

et

Siz

e (

Nos.

)

Vehicle Capacity (Nos.)

SR SAEV

LR SAEV

Page 7: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

Short range SAEVs incur more zero occupant miles due to morefrequent trips to charging stations (w/o ridesharing).

Vehicle & Infrastructure Impacts (3)

VMT by Vehicle & Charging Infrastructure Type (SAEV door-to-door w/o ridesharing)

Page 8: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 2 3 4

Perc

en

tage

of

VM

T (

%)

Vehicle Capacity (Nos.)

Unoccupied Single Occupancy Double Occupancy Triple Occupancy Quad Occupancy

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 2 3 4

Perc

enta

ge o

f V

MT

(%

)

Vehicle Capacity (Nos.)

Unoccupied Single Occupancy Double Occupancy Triple Occupancy Quad Occupancy

• “Empty” VMT comprises 13-16% of total VMT for SR SAEV scenario

and 9-11% for LR SAEV scenario.

• Assuming all travelers are willing to participate in ridesharing, about

35% of all vehicle miles traveled include at least two passengers.

SR SAEV LR SAEV

For scenarios with ridesharing, short range SAEVs’ impact on zerooccupant miles is consistent.

Vehicle & Infrastructure Impacts (4)

Page 9: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

Cost per Occupied Mile Traveled(With Ridesharing & w/o Ridesharing)

Short range SAEVs reduce operation costs (per occupied miletraveled) assuming flat rate electricity pricing.

Vehicle & Infrastructure Impacts (5)

$0.00

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

$0.50

$0.60

Charging StationMaintenance

Charging StationCapital

Electricity (permile)

Insurance &Registration

VehicleMaintenance

Vehicle & Battery

$0.00

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

$0.50

$0.60

1 2 3 4Eq

uiv

ale

nt

Co

st p

er O

ccu

pie

d M

ile T

ra

vele

d

Vehicle Capacity

SR SAEV LR SAEV

Page 10: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

SAEV-Grid Interaction

• If SAEVs provide transportation services to 10% of the 2017 transportation demand in the Seattle region, the estimated total electricity consumed by SAEV is 2500 MWh per day.

• At 100% market penetration, this would represent a ~20% increase in regional electricity consumption.

Page 11: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

Unmanaged SAEV Charging

Unmanaged SAEV charging exhibit peak charging periods whichcoincide with existing peak hours of electricity use.

Page 12: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

SAEV Smart Charging under TOU Pricing

With increased battery capacity, LR vehicles exhibit superior abilityto avoid charging on-peak. Compared to unmanaged charging,electricity costs can reduce 10% (SR SAEVs) to 34% (LR SAEVs).

Page 13: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

SAEV Smart Charging under RTP

Under real time electricity pricing scheme, LR vehicles are able to decreaseelectricity cost by 36 to 43% compared to SR vehicles with smart charging.

Page 14: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

SAEVs: Key Findings

• Many different ways for SAEVs to impact the future of urban mobility and energy.

• As a mobility service competing with private vehicle ownership:• One single occupant SAEV can replace 4 to 7 privately owned

vehicles with 7-14% zero occupant miles.• One SAEV with dynamic ridesharing can replace 8 to 13

privately owned vehicles with 9-16% zero occupant miles.• SR SAEVs require larger fleet sizes and induce greater zero

occupant miles compared to LR SAEVS.

• Interacting with the electric grid:• Unmanaged charging (“charge as needed”) of SAEV fleets will

increase evening peak electricity use.• LR SAEVs are more responsive to smart charging compared to SR

SAEVs, and are able to decrease electricity costs 30-40% in TOU and RTP pricing scenarios.

Page 15: Shared Autonomous Electric Mobility · Vehicle Automation Vehicle Electrification Door-to-door service (with ridesharing)3 Use Case Smart Charging Management EV-Grid Interaction Shared

Thank you for your time!

T. Donna Chen [email protected]