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    IndianShipbuildingIndustry:Poised

    forTakeoff?

    Global Conference and Exposition on Shipbuilding

    KPMG IN INDIA

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    Theglobalshipbuildingindustryisinthemidstofanunprecedentedboomat

    present.Attheendof2007,theglobalorderbookhadswelledto457mnDWT

    havingquadrupledinthelast5years.1 Thislargeincreaseindemandhasledto

    theemergenceofnewshipbuildingdestinations.CountriessuchasChinaandto

    someextentVietnam,PhilippinesandTaiwanhaveleveragedtheirinherent

    advantageoflowcostmanufacturingtoenterintoshipbuilding.

    Indianshipbuildingindustryhasalsowitnessedhealthygrowthintherecent

    past.Theannualturnoveroftheindustryhasincreasedby259percentfrom

    2002-2007.2 Spurredbythisrecentgrowthseveralcompaniesaresettingup

    shipbuildingcapacity.Theexistingshipyardsareaggressivelyexpandingcapacity.

    TheoverallannouncedinvestmentoftheupcomingprivateshipyardsexceedsINR200billion,allproposedtocomeonlinewithinthenext5-7years. 3

    Giventheinherentlaborintensivenatureoftheshipbuildingindustry,Indiahasa

    naturaladvantagebyvirtueofitslowercostoflaborandavailabilityofskills.

    However,inordertoestablishIndiaasapreferredshipbuildingdestination

    certainareashavetobeaddressed.Eliminationofregulatoryhurdlesand

    continuanceofsupportinlinewiththatenjoyedbycompetingnationslikeChina

    andVietnamarerequiredfortheindustrytodevelopscale.

    DevelopmentofamaturelargescaleshipbuildingindustryinIndiaislikelyto

    drivethedevelopmentoftheheavyengineeringindustryacriticalsupportfor

    notjustshipbuildingbutotherkeyinfrastructuresectorslikePowerandAviation.

    TheINR200bninvestmentinshipbuildinghasthepotentialtotriggeran

    additionalinvestmentofINR2200bninrelatedsectorssuchasteeland

    engineeringgoodsmanufacturing,IT/ITESandconsumables.4

    Inaddition,laborintensityofshipbuildingandshiprepairalongwiththegrowth

    inlinkedancillaryandsupportindustrieswouldleadtosignificantemployment

    generation.Employmenttotheextentof0.4millionnewdirectjobsinthe

    shipbuildingsectorandaround2.4millionnewjobsinrelatedsectorscouldbe

    generatediftheaboveinvestmentcommitmentsarerealized.5

    ThisKPMGwhitepaperprovidesanoverviewoftheglobalandIndian

    shipbuildingindustryandelaboratestheopportunitiesandchallengesforIndiain

    becomingapreferredshipbuildingdestination.Ihopeyoufindituseful.

    Preface

    1 Source: Clarksons Data, KPMG Analysis

    2 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis3 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis

    4 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis

    5 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis

    Arvind Mahajan,Executive Director, Advisory Services

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    Shipbuildinghashistoricallywitnessedarobust

    growthindemandfornewvessels.Thoughtheshorttermdemandhasseenpeaksandtroughs,overallthe

    sectorhasshownahealthyrisingtrendindemand

    (referFig1).TheoverallCAGRbetween1980and

    2005isaround6percent,whichishigherthanmost

    manufacturingindustries.

    Atpresent,thesectorisamidstanunprecedented

    boom,unseeninthelastthreedecades.Attheendof

    2007,theglobalorderbookhadswelledto457mn

    DWThavingquadrupledinthelast5years.Thekey

    reasonistherapidincreaseinneworderswhichhas

    outgrownintheincreaseinglobalshipyardcapacity.

    Averagedeliveryinthelast5yearshasbeenaround

    60mnDWTwhereasnewordersinthesameperiod

    havebeenaround100mnDWTperannum.

    Thisunparalleledgrowthhasbeenbecauseofa

    uniquesituationwhereseveraldrivershavepushednewbuildingdemandatthesameperiod.Thekey

    amongthesedriversareasfollows:

    Commodity driven trade growth: Therehasbeenadiscontinuousgrowthincommoditytrade(referFig.2)

    withtheriseofemergingeconomieslikeChinaand

    Indiaandshiftingofproductionbases

    Super-sizing: Inrecentyears,theaveragesizeofshipshasincreasedsubstantiallyduetofreightsaving

    fromscale-economiesandiscreatingdemandfor

    largersizevessels.Forinstance,theaverage

    containershipsizehasmorethandoubledoverthe

    past4years,increasingfrom1,967TEUin2003to

    2,372TEUin20076

    Replacement of aging fleet: Withanaveragelifespanof30years,asizeableproportionofthecurrent

    fleetwhichcameinlifearound1975reachedthe

    replacementagefromaround2005,spurringnew

    buildingdemand

    Conversion of single-hull tankers: Concernsaroundtheriskofenvironmentaldamagearisingfromsingle

    hulltankershaveledtoregulationthatnecessitatesreplacementofsinglehullVeryLargeCrudeCarriers

    (VLCC)bydoublehulltankersorVeryLargeOre

    Carriers(VLOC),furtherboostingshipyardactivity.

    Shipbuilding has witnessed robust demand growth

    6Source: Nomura Research

    1

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    Inthelongterm,shipbuildingdemandgrowthislikelytodemonstrate

    continuedhealthygrowth.Thebasicdriverofshipbuildingisglobalseabornetradewhichisgrowingatahealthyrateof4percentinthelast

    25yearsandislikelytocontinuedoingso.

    Latesttrendsindicatethattheshipbuildingdemandisreachingashort-

    termpeak7 anditisestimatedthatthatby2012,theshipbuildingmarket

    wouldstabilize.Thereafter,thedemandwouldreturntoitsseculargrowth

    rateoverthelongterm.

    Deliverieswouldincreaseaswellastheorderbook,andtheratio

    betweenthemwouldremainathistoricallevels(referFig.3).

    Healthy demand growth is likely to continue inthe long term

    7 New orders in 2008 have declined by over 30 percent compared to last year.

    2

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    Shipbuildingisatrulyglobalindustryastradingofshipsisnotprotected

    byanytariffbarriers.Thiscanbeascertainedbythefactthatmorethan90percentofKoreas(theworldleader)currentorderbookisfor

    exports8.

    Theindustryhaschangedsupplybasestolowcostdestinationsinthe

    lastcentury.Newcountrieshavegainedprominence,especiallyduring

    boomperiods.EnglandandUSweretheworldleaderstill1950(referFig.

    4).JapanandKoreaemergedasprominentshipbuildingnationsduring

    the1950sand1970s.ThecurrentboomhasbroughtChinatothefore

    (referinsetonChina).Korea,JapanandChinaaccountformorethan85

    percentofworlddeliveriesatpresent.

    Vesselswithlessercomplexityaremovingtonewerdestinationsgiven

    therelativeeaseintheirmanufactureandrelativelylowerlevelsof

    customerloyaltyintheirpurchase.ThecurrentorderbookofKoreaand

    Europeistiltedtowardscomplexvesselssuchascontainershipsand

    cruises,whilethatofemergingnationsandChinaisdominatedbybulk

    vessels(referFig.5).Emergingnationshavethereforestartedwithbulk

    ordersandmightgraduallymoveupthevaluechainwithexperience.

    Supply bases have shifted to new destinationsdriven by supply constraints and cost advantages

    8 Source: Clarksons data, KPMG Analysis

    3

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    Thedriversforsuchshiftinshipbuildingbasesarecapacityconstraintsin

    leadingcountriesandlowershipbuildingcostsintheemergingnations.

    Thelowercostcomesfrominherenteconomicadvantages(e.g.cheap

    labor)andenablingGovernmentsupportwhichcouldresultinareduction

    ofshipbuilderscost(e.g.direct/indirectsubsidy)ortheshipbuyerscost

    (e.g.exportbuyerscredit).CountriessuchasVietnamandIndia,with

    inherenteconomicadvantages,arewellplacedtoemergeasnewplayers

    andgrabafairshareoftheshipbuildingpie.

    Case Study: Emergence of China

    Chinasriseasashipbuildingpowerisaweinspiring.Withinaspanof

    fiveyearsChinahasrisentobecomethethirdlargestshipbuilding

    nationafterSouthKoreaandJapanintermsofdeliveries.Intermsof

    orderbooksizeithassurpassedJapanaswell,indicatingthatitmight

    soonbeedgingJapanoutofitslongheldsecondspot.

    Chinaaimstobecometheworldsleadingshipbuildingnationby2015.

    TheChineseGovernment,throughitstwolargecompaniesCSSCand

    CSICandhostofotherpublic/privateshipyardsisaddingmassive

    capacities.WhathavebeenthedriversforChinagrowthstory?Chinese

    Shipyardshavebeenpropelledbyacombinationoffavorable

    Governmentpolicyandeconomicfactors.

    Chinaiscurrentlyintoits11thfive-yearplan,whichhasastrong

    emphasisonshipbuildinglikethepreviousplan.TheGovernmentfavors

    domesticshippinglinessuchasCOSCOpurchasingshipsfromChinese

    yardsandprovidesthemwithdiscountsandeconomicalcreditforthe

    purpose.Forexports,theGovernmenthasotherbenefitssuchasVAT

    refundonexportandprovidingsovereignguaranteeandlowmargin

    credittoshipbuyers.

    Chinasbiggesteconomicadvantageislowlaborcost.Evenafter

    incorporatingproductivitydifferences,Chineselaborcostisaround50percentofKoreanandJapaneselabor.ThatChinaisthecheapeststeel

    manufacturerintheworldalsohelpsitsyardstoreducecostandlower

    theirshipbuildingpricesintheglobalmarket.

    However,thereareafewconcerns.Chinastillhastodependonimports

    for60percentofrawmaterials.Governmenthassetatargetof

    reducingthisto30percentbytheendofthe11thfive-yearplan.Lackof

    technologyisanotherobstaclethatChineseyardshavetoovercometo

    getordersforcomplexvessels.Toaddressit,Chineseyardsaretyingup

    withKoreanandJapaneseyardsfortechnologyandfocussingon

    smallerandlesscomplexvessels(referFig.6).

    9 Source: Clarksons Data, KPMG Research, Deutsche Bank

    9

    4

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    Theyear2002servedasawater-shedforIndianshipbuildingindustry.In

    thatyear,theGovernmentofIndiaintroducedasubsidyschemeforbothpublicandprivatesectorshipyards.Thesubsidywastargetedat

    addressingthedistortionsofthedomesticeconomicenvironmentwhich

    impactdomesticshipbuildersadverselyaswellasaddressingtheimpact

    ofdirectandindirectsupportprovidedtotheshipyardsinothercountries.

    Withglobalshipbuildingwitnessinganupwardtrend,theIndian

    shipbuildingindustryhasbeenabletotakeadvantageofthis

    Governmentsupporttoestablishitspresenceinglobalshipbuilding.The

    followingtablesummarizesthegrowthexperiencedbyIndian

    shipbuilders.

    Havinggainedexperienceandsomecredibilitywithinternationalbuyers,

    IndianyardsarenowgraduatingfromsmallervesselssuchasOSV/PSV

    tolargervesselssuchasbulkcarriers.Recently,theRatnagiri-basedRajapuryardhaswontheordertobuild300,000DWTVLCC,thefirst

    orderofthissizebyanIndianyard. 10

    Indian shipbuilding industry has demonstratedstrong growth

    Period Order Book Turn Over Investment

    1997-2002 8,160 10,170 430

    Between2002-2007 148,770 36,570 8,430

    Percentagedifference 1,723% 259% 1,860%

    Table1.PerformanceofIndianYards(INRmn)

    10 Source: Clarksons Database, KPMG research

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    Spurredbythisrecentgrowth,severalcompaniesaresettingup

    shipbuildingcapacities.Mostexistingyards,suchasABGandBharatiare

    expandingcapacityandundertakinggreen-fieldexpansion.Port

    companies,notablyAdaniandSKILareindifferentstagesofdeveloping

    shipyards.Shippinglinesareeyeingshipyardsaslateralexpansion.

    ApeejayShipping,MercatorLinesandGarwareOffshorehaveentered

    theshipbuildingmarketinalliancewithleadingplayers.Finally,related

    heavyindustryplayersarealsoplanningtograbashareofthismarket.

    ThissegmentincludesengineeringgiantL&T,andsteelmakersTataand

    JSW.Theoverallannouncedinvestmentoftheupcomingprivate

    shipyardsexceedsINR200billion,allcomingonlinewithinthenext5-7

    years.

    Healthy growth has attracted new players intoshipbuilding11

    11 Source: SAI, KPMG Research

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    India enjoys competitive advantages

    Indiaalsoenjoysseveraloftheadvantageswhichhavepropelled

    emergingcountriessuchasChinaandVietnamintotheforefrontofglobalshipbuilding.Someofthekeyadvantagesthatcanbeleveragedby

    shipbuildersinIndiaare:

    Low Labor Cost: Lowlaborcostisakeydrivingfactorinshipbuilding

    nations,asitaccountsformorethan10percentofthetotalcost(refer

    Fig.7a).Indianlaborcostsareonthelowersideascomparedtothoseof

    theleadingshipbuildingnations(referFig.7b).Evenafterfactoringin

    impactofproductivity,IndianlaborissubstantiallycheaperthanKorean

    andChineselabor.Moreimportantly,Indianlaborcostisgrowingathalf

    therateinChina,whichimpliesthatIndiamightcontinuetohavean

    edgeoverChinainthefuture.

    Strong Domestic Demand: Indianshippingtradeisboomingonthe

    backofeconomicgrowthattherateofapproximately8percent.

    Domesticshippinglinesareexpandingtheirfleetsandhaveplaced

    orderswithglobalyards.Thereisalsoastrongthrustinbasicsectors

    suchaspowerandsteelandcompaniesarelookingtoacquireshipsto

    controltransportfrominternationalmines.

    12 Source: Guangzhou is a leading yard in China owned by CSSC. Others includes SG&A cost

    and financing expenses.

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    TheGovernmentsnewinitiativesinCoastalShippingandIWT,islikelyto

    furtherboostdemandfornewships.NewportsandIWTlaneswould

    requiredredgingandotherport-relatedvesselsupport.Finally,the

    ongoingoffshoreexplorationsareexpectedtocreatedemandforrigs,

    OSVandPSV.Thus,eveninapossibleshort-termlowdemandscenario,

    thereisenoughdomesticdemand,whichIndianshipbuilderscan

    capitalizeupon.

    Supporting industry infrastructure for some components: Indiahas

    domesticindustrieswhichcanproducesomeoftherawmaterials

    requiredinshipbuilding.Specifically,Indiahascompetitivesteel

    manufacturing,lightengineeringandIT/ITESindustrieswhichcanoffer

    therequiredproductsateconomicalcosts.Theseindustriesarecurrently

    notproducinggoodsfortheshipbuildingsector,mainlyduetolackof

    sufficientscaleofshipbuildinginthecountry.

    Long Coastline: Indiaenjoysalongcoastlineofmorethan7,500kmlong

    withseveraldeepwaterportsservingasgoodlocationsforsettingup

    shipyards.

    OtherdriversforshipbuildingindustryinIndiaincludethelimitedsurpluscapacityavailablewiththeglobalshipbuildingyardsandabooming

    capitalmarketwhichcouldprovideeasyfinancingforcapitaland

    operationalexpensesoftheseyards.Indiahasproveditscapabilityin

    shipbuildingintheareaofsmallervessels(referFig.8)bygettinga

    sizeablemarketshare.However,therearespecificareaswhichhaveto

    beaddressedifIndiahastoachievethesameinlargervessels.

    However, these advantages are negated by regulatoryhurdles

    Indianyardsfacesystemicdisadvantagesinseveralareaswhichnegate

    theirnaturalcompetitivenessandadverselyimpacttheirchancesof

    succeedinginaglobalizedshipbuildingindustry.Indianshipbuildersface

    acostdisadvantageof30-40percentofthecostofmanufacturingaship

    onaccountofthesefactors 13.Thekeydisadvantagesareasfollows:

    StatutoryBurdenShipbuildingattractsacomplexsetofleviesandduties.Thedifferential

    rateofdutiesandtaxesbetweenIndiaandothernationsleadsto

    additionalcostburdenforIndianshipyards.

    13 All figures taken from Shipbuilding Economic Benefits and Benchmarking Government Support

    across Countries prepared by KPMG

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    Levies

    Octroi,CST,VATandexcisearesomeoftheleviesapplicableto

    shipyards.Severalshipbuildingnationshaverelaxedtheseleviesto

    encourageshipyards.Forinstance,ChinarefundsVATcompletelyon

    domesticsaleofshipswhereasinIndiaVATisrefundedonlyoninputs.

    Thelackofsuchspecialincentivesfortheshipbuildingsectorleadstoan

    additionalburdenof8percentfordomesticsalesandaround3percent

    forexportsales.

    Indirect TaxesServiceTax@12.36percentisapplicableonalldesignandengineering

    servicesprocuredbytheshipyardsduringthecourseofship

    construction.Itisestimatedthattheextentofservicecontributioninthe

    contractpriceofashipisaround12percent.IncountriessuchasChina,

    alumpsumVATisapplicable,whichislaterrefunded.

    CorporatetaxalsoimpactsIndianshipbuildersadverselyascomparedto

    competitorsinChinaandVietnam.Thegovernmentsinthesecountries

    offeraslewofincentivestotheshipbuildingsector.Manysegmentsof

    shipbuildinginChinahavebeennotifiedasEncouragedsectorwhich

    enablecompaniestooffsetapartofinvestmentagainsttaxationwithin

    fiveyearsofcommencement.Suchconcessionshelpyardstoreducecostduringtheinitialyearswhentheyarecompetingtoestablish

    themselves.However,therecentinitiativesofIndianshipyardsto

    structurethemselvesasSEZenablesthemtooffsetthisdisadvantage

    significantly.

    FinancingCostsFinancingcostsassumegreatersignificanceinshipbuildingduetoits

    specialrequirements.Majorshipbuildingcountrieshavecreated

    supportivemechanismstoeasetheburdenofthesecosts.Indian

    shipyards,withnosuchdirectsupport,faceadditionalcostsonaccount

    offinancing.

    Bank Guarantees

    Shipyardsarerequiredtoprovidebankguaranteestoprotecttheship

    buyer.Theseguaranteescompriseperformanceguarantee(fortimely

    delivery),refundguarantee(forstagepayments)andpost-construction

    guarantee(towardsdefects).

    InChina,thegovernmentprovidessovereignrefundguaranteesfor

    certainclassofvessels,thusremovinganyrelatedburdenonthe

    shipyard.InKorea,shipyardfinancinghasmaturedandtheevolved

    mechanismsdrivethecostlower.However,inIndia,financialinstitutions

    donothaveafocusontheshipbuildingsectorandthereisnosupport

    fromtheGovernmenttoreducethechargesasinthecaseofKorea.Asa

    result,thecostofbankguaranteesinIndiaishigherthancompeting

    countries.

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    Working Capital

    Typically,ashipyardrequiresaworkingcapitalofaround25-35percentof

    thecostoftheshipduringtheentireconstructionperiod.Theinterest

    ratesonworkingcapitalinIndiaaverage10.5percent.Incontrast,the

    interestratespresentlyofferedtoshipbuildingyardsoverseasare

    significantlylowerataround5-6percentinKoreaandaround4-8percent

    lowerinChina.Inaddition,exportcreditinthesecountriesisofferedat

    muchlowerinterestrates.

    OthercostsIndianshipbuildingindustryisatanearlystagebuthastocompete

    againstestablishedyardsinKoreaandChinatograbashareofthe

    market.Itslowerscaleleadstoseveraldisadvantagesindesignand

    manpowercosts.Leadingshipbuildingcountriessupporttheindustryby

    creatingenablingpoliciesfordevelopmentoftechnicalandmanpower

    capabilities.

    Forinstance,Chinaprovidesscientificresearchsubsidytomaritime

    universities,andprovidesR&Dandlivingallowancetopostgraduate

    students,toensureavailabilityofatalentpoolforshipyards.Korea

    establishedashiplaboratoryentirelythroughGovernmentfundingin1976tointroduceadvancedforeigntechniquesanddevelopsuch

    techniquesindigenously.

    ThereisanincreasedfocusbyIndianshipbuildersondevelopingdesign

    capabilitieseitherin-houseorthroughestablishedbodieslikeNational

    ShipDesignResearchCentre(NSDRC).However,itmaystilltakesome

    timeforIndiatomitigatethiscostdisadvantagewhichclearlydepends

    ontheirabilitytoattractordersandoffsetashareofprofitintheseareas.

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    Government support is critical to mitigateregulatory disadvantagesIncontextofsales,theshipbuildingindustryisatypicalglobal

    manufacturingindustry,however,whenitcomestoproduction,itishighlyconcentrated,duetotherelativelyhighlevelsofstateintervention.

    Mostcountries,throughaseriesofmeasures,helptheshipyardsin

    reducingcostsandattractingglobalbusiness.Thesupportprovidedby

    Chinaishighlightedinthefollowinginset.

    Case Study: Chinas support to shipbuilding

    Chinahasfollowedtherouteofplanneddevelopmentalratherthan

    market-rationaldevelopmentfortheshipbuildingsector.Overthelast

    decade,Chinahasundertakenaseriesofinitiativestopromoteand

    supportthegrowthofshipbuildingindustry.Thesemeasures,introduced

    atbothcentralandprovinciallevel,havecontributedsignificantlytogrowthofshipbuildingsectorinChina.Thefollowingfiguredepictsthe

    timingofthesemeasuresvis--visthegrowthtrendwitnessedinthe

    shipbuildingsectorandclearlyindicatesthattherewasleadtimeinthe

    realizationofbenefits.

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    1.LossreimbursementtodomesticshipbuilderssuchasDalian

    Shipyard

    2.Scrappingaidonallshipsproducedduring1972-2001

    3.SupportinAcquiringland.Preferentialratesonacquisition.CapitalTax

    subsidiesprovided.VATrefundispresentupto17percent

    4.ExchangeRateControl

    5.Incentivestoencourageshipbuildingindustrydevelopmentat

    LiaoningShipbuildingZone

    6.Circularonacceleratingshipbuildingindustrydevelopmentin

    Zhejiangprovince

    7. Tenthfive-yeardevelopmentplanforshipbuildingindustry.Interim

    ProvisionsonPromotingIndustrialStructureAdjustment.

    Thereasonforthissupportisnothardtoguess,viz.-onaccountofthe

    largecontributionoftheindustrytothecountryseconomy.Interestingly,

    countrieshavenotonlysupportedtheindustryduringitsinitialgrowth

    phase,butcontinuedtoextendbenefitsevenwhentheindustry

    matured.Thesupportcontinuedevenduringglobaldownturn,underlining

    thesignificantcorrelationbetweenshipbuildingandthenational

    economy.

    InIndia,theGovernmenthastraditionallybeenprovidingsupporttothe

    Indianshipbuildingindustrythroughvariousmeasures.Whilemostof

    thesemeasureswereaimedatprotectingthepublicsectorshipyards,

    theGovernmentintroducedsupportivemeasuresfortheprivatesectorin

    2002.TheconsequentstronggrowthinshipbuildingsectorinIndiabears

    testimonytothecriticalityofGovernmentsupportasshowninTable1.

    Currently,Indiahasemergedasoneofthepotentialleadersintheglobal

    shipbuildingmarket.However,theIndianyardsareyettoachievethe

    criticalscaletoovercomethedisadvantagescomparedtoother

    competingnations.Hence,GovernmentsupportisessentialforIndiatorealizeitsshipbuildingpotentialandenjoytheconsequentbenefitstothe

    economy,atleasttillthetimethecriticalhurdleiscrossed.Certainstates

    arealreadytakingthelead.Gujarat,thecurrentfavoreddestinationfor

    Indianshipbuilders,iscomingupwithashipbuildingpolicy,tofurther

    promotethesector.14

    14 Source: Marinelink

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    ThefollowingaresomeoftheoptionsthattheCentralandState

    Governmentscanuseassupportingmeasures:

    Directsubsidyagainstcontractprices

    Provisionofrefundguarantees

    State-fundedorsubsidizedinnovation,R&Dtodevelopshipdesign,

    shipbuildingtechnology,orshipyardproductionexpertise

    Project/workingcapitalfinanceonsubsidizedinterestorinterest-free

    loans,underwritingdebttoreducethecommercialrisk

    Preferentialtaxschemesforshipownersorforshipyards

    Exchangeratecontrolforshipyards-thisreducesoneofthekeyrisk

    factors

    Incentivestoancillariese.g.steelproducers,mainenginebuildersor

    equipmentsuppliers.

    GovernmentsupportiscriticaltilltheIndianshipbuildingindustrygains

    criticalvolumestoremoveitsscalerelateddisadvantagesandremoveits

    dependenceonimportsforprocuringraw-materials.

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    Development of an ancillary setup

    Ancillaryindustriesusuallylagthedevelopmentofshipbuildingindustry

    inanycountry.ItrequirestheshipyardstoachieveacriticalmassbeforegloballyrenownedancillarycompaniessuchasMan,Wartsila,Caterpillar

    andRollsRoyceestablishasizeablepresencethere.Thisisevidencedby

    theevolutionofshipbuildinginputindustryinChinaasdepictedinFig.9.

    MostgloballyreputedcompaniesstartedestablishinginChinaafter2002

    whenitcrossedacapacityof5mnDWT 15.Eventhenmostofthesearejointventureswithleadinglocalshipyardstomitigateriskandtie-in

    customers.Incontrast,Indiascurrentcapacityaswellasitsexpected

    capacityin2011ismuchlowerthantheChinesethresholdcapacity.This

    mightimplythatIndianshipyardswouldcontinuetheirdependenceon

    importsforsourcingtheirinputs.

    15The capacity is not defined as a threshold volume but is shown as an indicator of scale

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    However,Indiasstrengthsinthemanufacturingsectormightadvance

    theprocesshere.Indiaisrecognizedasaglobalplayerinlight

    engineeringandamajorbaseforautoancillaries.Thishascreatedawell-

    establishedpoolofengineeringgraduatesandsuppliercompaniesto

    suchindustries.Indiacanbeusedbyancillarycompaniesasaglobal

    productionbasecateringtolocalshipbuildersaswellastheglobal

    market.

    Somesignsofthisoccurrencearealreadyvisible.ManDieselhassetup

    anengineplantatAurangabadandWartsilaisinnegotiationswithseveraldomesticshipyardstosetupasimilarunitinthecountry.RollsRoyceis

    settingupanelectronicsandcommunicationplantinNaviMumbai. 16

    However,forIndiatohaveasizeablecomponentsetup,domestic

    demandhastoreachacriticalmasstosustainglobalinterest.Also,the

    shipbuildingindustryneedstobeproactive.AscanbeseenfromFig.9,

    CSSCandCSICaswellasotherlocalplayerspartneredwith

    manufacturingcompaniestostartlocalproductionofthesecomponents.

    Indianplayersneedtoreplicatethemodel.

    16 Source: KPMG Research

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    The multiple benefits of shipbuilding justify thesupportShipbuildingisaunusualindustryas65percentofvalueadditionduring

    buildingofshipscomesfromotherindustries.Also,shipbuildingisalaborintensiveindustry.Asanestimate,about750workersworkingfora

    yeararerequiredtobuilda30,000DWTvesselinIndia.

    Thegrowthofthedomesticshipbuildingsector,whichtodayimports

    about45percentofitsinputrequirements,canprovideamajortrigger

    forlarge-scaleindigenizationofheavyengineeringproductsand

    ancillaries.Heavyengineeringindustryisintegratedwithvariouscore

    sectorsforitsdemand.Thedemandisderivedprimarilyfromcapacity

    creationsinsectorslikeinfrastructureandgeneralmanufacturing

    includingprocessindustries.Beinganintermediateindustry,itsdemand

    dependsonend-userindustries.However,astheenduserindustrymix

    isfairlydiverse,itisnecessarytogeneratelong-termsustainablegrowth

    driversforheavyengineeringsegment,inordertoexpandthe

    manufacturingbaseandenhanceoverallmanufacturingcompetitiveness.

    Shipbuildingindustrycanplaytheroleofmotherindustrytoheavy

    engineering,similartothecriticalroleessayedbyautomanufacturingin

    caseoflightengineering.Thegrowthprojectionsformanufacturingin

    Indiawouldbemuchhigheriftheshipbuildingindustrytakesoffinthe

    nextfewyears.

    TheIndianShipbuildingIndustryhasdemonstratedaspirationstoacquire

    a7.5percentshareinglobalshipbuildingby2017,whichisexpectedto

    haveasizeofabove500mnDWT.AnalysissuggestthatthiswouldrequireIndianshipbuilderstoinvestclosetoINR200Bninnewyard

    capacity,whichinterestingly,isthecurrentlevelofcumulativeinvestment

    declaredbyvariousentrantsinthissector.

    ThisINR200bninvestmentinshipbuildingcantriggeradditional

    investmentofINR2200bninrelatedsectorssuchassteeland

    engineeringgoodsmanufacturing(referFig.10a),IT/ITESand

    consumables.Likewise,shipbuildingislikelytogeneratearevenueof

    INR800bnandanoverallrevenueofINR3300bnincludingassociated

    sectors.ThisrevenuecouldprovidearoundINR250bnintaxesforthe

    Government.

    17

    17 Source: All figures taken from Shipbuilding Economic Benefits and Benchmarking Government

    Support across Countries prepared by KPMG

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    Suchascaleofinvestmentcanalsoleadtosignificantmultiplierbenefits

    intermsofemploymentgenerationandinvestmentinother

    manufacturingsectors.Employmenttotheextentof0.4millionnew

    directjobsinshipbuildingsectorandaround2.4millionnewjobs(refer

    Fig.10b)inrelatedsectorscanbegeneratediftheaboveinvestment

    commitmentsarerealized18

    .Furthermore,thejobcreationpotentialofshipbuildingismorethanothercomparablesectorsascanbeseenin

    Table2.

    Inaddition,ahealthyshipbuildingindustryisalsolikelytoattractship-

    repairbusiness.Shiprepairisevenmorelaborintensivethan

    shipbuilding.India,withitslaboradvantageanditsidealpositionon

    internationaltraderoute,iswellplacedtowrestthisbusinessfrom

    competitors,oncetheshipbuildingindustryisdeveloped.Thiscancreate

    additionalrevenueandemploymentopportunitieswithmarginalincrease

    ininvestment.

    Finally,aboomingdomesticshipbuildingindustrywouldalsoprovidethe

    muchneededdomesticcapabilitywhichcanbeaccessedforfuture

    needsoftheNavyandCoastGuardandhelprealizethegoalof

    indigenizationindefenceproduction.

    Labor employed / Turnover (INRmn) for various industries

    Shipbuilding 97

    Auto-CommercialVehicles 12

    HeavyEngineering 33

    Construction-Civil 18

    Source:KPMGAnalysis

    Table2

    18 Source: Shipyards Association of India

    17

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    Conclusion

    Thedevelopmentoftheshipbuildingsectorhasthepotentialtopositively

    impacttheeconomyincludingservicesectors.Torealizeitsgrowth

    potential,thesectorneedstoestablishandachieveacriticalmass.The

    windowofopportunitypresentedbytheongoingboomphaseneedsto

    becapitalizedtofirmlygroundtheindustryalongwithitsancillaries.

    IndianshipbuildinghassubstantialplansforinvestmentofaroundINR

    200bnoverthenext5-10years,incapacityexpansionandupgradation

    oftheexistingyards.However,thisinvestmentandconsequentbenefits

    canmaterializeonlyifsupportivemeasuresarecontinuedbythe

    Governmenttoaddressthesystemicdisadvantagesaffectingthe

    competitivenessofIndianshipbuildingindustry.Inaddition,proactive

    actionbyshipyardstopromoteancillarybuildupiscritical.Addressingthesedisadvantagesarelikelytonotonlymakethecommercial

    shipbuildingindustrycompetitive,butalsocreatestrategicallybeneficial

    optionsformeetingIndiasdefenserequirements.

    18

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    Glossary

    CAGR CompoundedAnnualGrowthRate

    CIF CostInsuranceFreight

    COSCO ChinaOceanShippingCompany

    CSIC ChinaShipbuildingIndustryCorporation

    CSSC ChinaStateShipbuildingCorporation

    CST CentralSalesTax

    DWT DeadWeightTonnage

    EIU EconomicIntelligenceUnit

    GT GrossTonnage

    INR IndianRupee

    IT InformationTechnology

    ITES InformationTechnologyEnabledServices

    IWT InlandWaterTransport

    JSW JindalSouthWest

    KOSHIPA KoreanShipbuildingAssociation

    L&T LarsenandToubro

    LNG LiquifiedNaturalGas

    MN Million

    OSV OffshoreSupplyVessel

    PSV PlatformSupplyVessel

    R&D ResearchandDevelopment

    SAI SihpyardsAssociation of India

    SG&A SellingGeneralandAdministration

    SKIL SeaKingInfrastructureLimited

    TEU Twenty feet Equivalent Unit

    VAT ValueAddedTax

    VLCC Ver yLarge Crude Carrier

    VLOC VeryLargeOreCarrier

    19

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    About FICCI

    FICCIistherallyingpointforfreeenterprisesinIndia.Ithasempowered

    Indianbusinesses,inthechangingtimes,toshoreuptheir

    competitivenessandenhancetheirglobalreach.

    Withanationwidemembershipofover1500corporatesandover500

    chambersofcommerceandbusinessassociations,FICCIespousesthe

    sharedvisionofIndianbusinessesandspeaksdirectlyandindirectlyfor

    over2,50,000businessunits.Ithasanexpandingdirectmembershipof

    enterprisesdrawnfromlarge,medium,smallandtinysegmentsof

    manufacturing,distributivetradeandservices.FICCImaintainsthelead

    astheproactivebusinesssolutionproviderthroughresearch,interactions

    atthehighestpoliticallevelandglobalnetworking.

    Setupin1927,ontheadviceofMahatmaGandhi,FICCIisthe largest

    andoldestapexbusinessorganizationofIndianbusiness.Itshistoryis

    verycloselyinterwovenwiththefreedommovement.FICCIinspired

    economicnationalismasapoliticaltooltofightagainstdiscriminatory

    economicpolicies.Thatcommitment,driveandmissioncontinueinthe

    ever-changingeconomiclandscapeofIndia,chasingalwaysnewer

    agenda.

    Intheknowledge-drivenglobalizedeconomy,FICCIstandsforquality,

    competitiveness,transparency,accountabilityandbusiness-government-

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    20

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    KPMGistheglobalnetworkofprofessionalservicesfirmsofKPMG

    International.Ourmemberfirmsprovideaudit,taxandadvisoryservices

    throughindustryfocused,talentedprofessionalswhodelivervalueforthe

    benefitoftheirclientsandcommunities.Withnearly123,000people

    worldwide,KPMGmemberfirmsprovideservicesin145countries.

    ThememberfirmsofKPMGInternationalinIndiawereestablishedin

    September1993.Asmembersofacohesivebusinessunit,theyrespond

    toaclientserviceenvironmentbyleveragingtheresourcesofaglobal

    networkoffirms,providingdetailedknowledgeoflocallaws,regulations,

    marketsandcompetition.Weprovideservicestoover5,000international

    andnationalclients,inIndia.KPMGhasofficesinIndiainMumbai,Delhi,

    Bangalore,Chennai,Hyderabad,KolkataandPune.ThefirmsinIndiahave

    accesstomorethan3000Indianandexpatriateprofessionals,manyof

    whomareinternationallytrained.Westrivetoproviderapid,performance-

    based,industry-focusedandtechnology-enabledservices,whichreflecta

    sharedknowledgeofglobalandlocalindustriesandourexperience

    oftheIndianbusinessenvironment.

    About KPMG in India

    21

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    in.kpmg.com

    KPMGinIndia

    Mumbai

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    Theinformationcontainedhereinisofageneralnatureandisnotintendedtoaddressthecircumstancesofanyparticularindividual

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    KPMGContacts

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