Simulation 1 Overview

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    Introduction to

    Simulation

    Prepared by:

    Thomas W. Engler, Ph.D.,P.E.Fall 2009

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    Why develop a reservoir simulation

    model?

    provide detailed performance predictions

    for multiphase, heterogeneous reservoirs

    Evaluate single well performance

    Improve/optimize reservoir management

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    Modeling Approaches

    1. Analogy

    2. Physicala. Elemental core

    b. Scaled packed

    sand, cut stone

    c. Field pilot single

    pattern

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    Modeling Approaches

    3. Mathematical

    Vol( u)in ( u)out

    10

    100

    1000

    0.1 1.0 10.0 100.0

    time

    Pressure

    Material Balance Statistical

    Decline Curves

    -0.00025x -0.00035x

    -0.0052x

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    Aug-87 May-90 Jan-93 Oct-95 Jul-98 Apr-01

    Time (months)

    Rate(mscf/d)

    Analytical

    Numerical

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    Comparison

    Simulation to Field Pilots

    Lack of repeatability

    (one shot proposition)

    Time for evaluation of

    pilot results can belengthy

    Costly

    Real conditions Results: may be used

    to modify model

    Can repeat frequently

    from initial conditions

    Time to evaluate

    results is fast Lower cost?

    Simulates field

    conditions Results: May be used

    to design pilot.

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    Comparison

    Simulation to Lab models

    Core experiments use

    actual reservoir rock

    and fluids.

    Results distinguishmechanisms of fluid

    flow

    Measurement/human

    error

    Scale????

    Imaginary reservoir,

    requires physical

    model results

    Numerical dispersion Grid orientation

    effects

    Solution techniqueaccuracy

    Scale????

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    Scale

    oqo

    wqw

    pb

    gh

    o

    w

    pc

    gh

    Simulation scale

    Reservoir scaleCore scale

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    Comparison

    Numerical to Analytical

    Zero-dimensional

    tank models

    No variations in

    parameters withregard to space or

    time

    Multi-dimensional

    Allows for variations

    of parameters

    Based onfundamental

    equations

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    Planning

    StepProblem Definition

    Data Review

    Data Acquisition

    Model Design

    History Matching

    PredictionEditing, analysis, reporting

    Time

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    Problem Definition

    assemble information about the reservoir

    and operations

    define practical objectives and scope of

    study

    preliminary analysis of the reservoir

    mechanics, e.g., coning, gravity

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    Data review and acquisition

    review of quality and quantity of data,

    sources of data

    assess if sufficient data is available to meetobjectives, or revise objectives or obtain

    more data

    sensitivity of reservoir performance toparameters!

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    Model Design

    Individual well or full-field model? Radial or

    cartesian?

    Type of reservoir fluid? Type of process to model?

    Quality of geologic and petrophysical data?

    Time and cost constraints?

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    History Matching

    adjust input variables to validate model

    through matching performance parameters

    A successful history match does not

    guarantee a field match

    Uncertainty.nonuniqueness

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    Prediction

    Predict future performance to make better

    management decisions

    Perform sensitivity analysis and observe

    impact of results

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    Prediction-Example

    Medford