Sindh on Ecological Maps

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    Gudu

    S ukkur

    Kotri

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    Me te oroburst Telec ommuni ca tion Sy st e m

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    Comput e r Ba s e d Flood For eca sting Sy st e m

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    National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)

    Disaster Risks in Pakistan

    6. Geographical Exposure

    Earthquakes/seismic

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    National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)

    Disaster Risks in Pakistan

    6. Geographical Exposure

    Earthquakes/seismic

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    HAZARD CONTEXTGlac ial La ke O utburstFlood (G LOF)

    The r e a r e 5218 g lac ie rsin P a kist a n wit h a tot al of 2420 la ke s

    Out of w h ich 52 la ke s a r ec onsid e r e d d a ng e rous

    An a gr ee m e nt for G LOFmonitoring w a s a rriv e d

    a t wit h ICIMOD in 2003 S in ce 2003, st a rting fromthe A stor Ba sin , allg lac ial b a sins ha ve b ee ninv e ntori e d for g e oc oordin a te s , numb e r e d ,n a m e d a nd t he ir p hy si calc onfigur a tion ha ve b ee nr ec ord e d

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    Heavy to super heavyriverine flooding,

    significant flashflooding and cloudburst activity owingto heavyprecipitation inmountainous andsemi-mountainousregions causingsliding activity andsevering populationsegments. Cycloneactivity experiencedaffecting upto eightto ten districts inSindh and/ or Balochistan causingwidespreaddestruction alongcoastal region andmassive inland flashflooding

    S CENARIO B (MO S T DANGEROU S)

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    HAZARD CONTEXTTropi cal Cycl on e

    Cycl on e of 1999s e rious ly imp ac te dTha tt a a nd Ba dinDistri c ts ( a ff ec te d0.6 mi llion p e op lea nd ca us e d loss of 202 l ive s )

    Cycl on e Ye m yn in2007 a ff ec te d 26distri c ts of Bal o ch ist a n a nd

    S ind h (a ff ec te d 2.5mi llion p e op le a ndca us e d loss of 400live s )

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    HAZARD CONTEXTS umm e r Monsoons S umm e r monsoons

    r e su lt in hea vy cycl on e sa nd w ea the r s yst e msb a s e d pr ec ipit a tionorigin a ting from Bay of Be ng al a nd Ar a bi a n Sea

    Wa te r r elea s e fromTa rb ela a nd Ma ng laDa ms a ugm e nts a bov e

    Wea the r s yst e msorigin a ting from Bay of Be ng al a nd to a le ss e r ex te nt Ar a bi a n Sea r e su ltin o cc urr e n ce of tropi cal

    cycl on e s in t he N ort hAr a bi a n Sea wh ichimp ac t c o a st of S ind ha nd Bal o ch ist a n

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    HAZARD CONTEXTFla s h Fl oods NAs . Hunz a, Gh iza r ,

    Astor e, Gilgit & S ka rdu

    NWF P . Cha rs a dd a,P e s ha w a r , Ma rd a n , DI Kha n ,S wa t, Ma ns eh r a, U pp e r /Low e r Dir & Ch itr al

    AJ K. Muzz a f a r a b a d ,Neel um , Ba g h, Kot li &Bh imb e r

    Punj a b . S ial kot ,Wa zir a b a d , Gujr a nw ala,Gujr a t, Bha kk a r , Mia nw al i& DG Kha n

    Bal o ch ist a n . S ibi , JhalMa gsi , B o la n , Kech,Gw a dor , Kha r a n , Kala t,Kh uzd a r & La sb ela

    S ind h. Da du , Qa mb a r-Shah d a dkot , La rk a n a,

    Ka r ach i, Hy d e r a b a d ,Sa ng ha r & Ba dinUrb a n Floods . Ka r ach i,Hyd e r a b a d , Ra w al pindi &Lah or e

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    Na a a r a a r NDMA)Na a Dis a ste r Ma a ement Autho r ity NDMA)

    D a r R a a

    6. hi l Ex u

    D u ht

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    33 K nots

    CYCLONE S CENARIO (Karachi Spe cific)

    34 -47 K nots

    48 -6 4 K nots

    65-120 K nots

    Sto rm WindWind s pee d u p to 64 120 kn ot s(118-222 km/h )Wind impac t comm e nc e s wh e ncycl one is 25-30 kms fr om thecoas t

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    33 K nots

    15 mm/hr

    15-25 mm/hr

    25 mm/hr

    Rainfall . 200 - 225 mm rainfall (9 -10 inch e s ) ove r a pe riod of 36hours

    CYCLONE S CENARIO (Karachi Spe cific)

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    A cycl one s torm makinglandfall in Karachi Ci ty

    Sto rm S urg e Wa ve

    He igh t of the surg ewa ve bet wee n 12-15f eet o r a bove

    Wa ve is like ly to tra ve lup to 5 kilomet r e sinland

    Wa te r inflows w ould

    be r e gula te d al ong ther oad n et work andalong Malir and Lyaririve rs

    Paralysis wi thin 3-5kilomet r e s of thecoas tal r e gion

    P op ula tion ev acua tionwithin 2 kil omet r e salong the coas t

    CYCLONE S CENARIO (Karachi Spe cific)

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    T SUNAMI

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    National Disaster Management Authority

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    Oc tobe r 4, 2010Oc tobe r 4, 2010 2020

    District Badin

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    A nn

    u a l

    O c c ur a n

    c e s of

    C y c l on

    e s i nA r a

    b i

    a n S e a

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    1891

    1897

    1903

    1909

    19151921

    1927

    1933

    1939

    19451951

    1957

    1963

    1969

    19751981

    1987

    Y e a r s

    No of Cyclones

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    Monthwise Frequency Distribution of Cyclonic Storms

    in the Arabian Sea

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    Months

    N o o f C y c l o n

    e s

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