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Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; 2 Department of Dendrometry and Forest Productivity, Faculty of Forestry, Warsaw Agricultural University, Poland

Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

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Page 1: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions

Michał Zasada1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski1

1Warnell School of Forest Resources, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; 2Department of Dendrometry and Forest

Productivity, Faculty of Forestry, Warsaw Agricultural University, Poland

Page 2: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Introduction

The goal of this presentation is to:

• Introduce the history of site index modeling development in Poland,

• Show evolution of site index models using existing examples,

• Present current developments, and

• Discuss future directions of their evolution.

Page 3: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University
Page 4: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background - Poland

• Poland – country in central Europe, surrounded by Baltic Sea and Russia (N), Germany (W), Czech Republic and Slovakia (S), Ukraine, Belarus, and Lithuania (E).

• Poland is a 7th largest and 6th highest populated country of the European Union.

• Total land area of the country is 304,465 square kilometers (>75 million acres, about twice as big as the state Georgia).

• Population of Poland – almost 39 million people (4.5 times more than in Georgia).

Page 5: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

•Forests occupy 8,865,000 hectares (~22 million acres), almost 29% of the total area of the country (a little bit less than in Georgia).

•6th country with the highest forested area in Europe (after Sweden, Finland, France, Germany and Ukraine).

•The growing stock is about 1,649.6 million m3 (58 billion cubic feet), the third largest inventory in Europe, after Germany and France (almost twice as big as in Georgia).

Background - Polish Forests

Page 6: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background – Polish Forestry• Prevalence of coniferous forest types

(~60%)• Coniferous species account for ¾ of

area and 80% of volume• 50% stands between 20 and 60 years• 6% of area and 10% of volume in

stands 100 years and older• Majority of public forests (>80%),

mostly under the management of the State Forests

Page 7: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background – Polish Forestry

Forest ownership structure in Poland

Public

NIPF

TI

Forest ownership structure in Georgia

Public

NIPF

TI

Based on 1997 FIA survey and Polish CSO report of 2001

Page 8: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background – Polish Forestry

• mean volume 186m3/ha (~2,600 cf/ac), and differs by ownership

• MAI of merchantable timber 8.84 m3/ha (~125 cf/ac/year)

• harvesting ~24 million m3 (850 million cubic feet), including almost 23 million m3 (800 million cubic feet) from the State Forests

• The current harvesting level utilizes 36.5% of the ongoing annual increment

Page 9: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background – Polish Forestry

Scots pine:• planting ~8,000-10,000 seedlings per ha (~3,000-

4,000 seedlings per ac)

Page 10: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background – Polish Forestry

• pre-commercial thinning and a few thinnings,

Page 11: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background – Polish Forestry

• final harvesting at the age of about 120 years (300 to 500m3/ha (4,300-7,150 cf/ac)

Page 12: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background – Polish Forestry

• Semi-natural silviculture (complex cutting, seed trees, natural regeneration, multi-species and multi-story stands, etc.)

Page 13: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Background

• Traditional ties to German forestry

• Scientific collaboration

• Research (3 universities and 1 research institute), ~10-20 people in dendrometry/forest mensuration/biometrics

Page 14: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Site modeling in Poland

• 1908 – site index curves as a part of yield tables by Schwappach

• 1932 – site index based on age and QMD in yield tables by Jedliński

• 1937 – site index curves as a part of yield tables by Płoński

• 1949 – an adaptation of Schwappach tables to changed conditions by Szymkiewicz

Page 15: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Site modeling in Poland

• 1977 – curves modeling top height growth by Bruchwald

• 1986 – an anamorphic system of curves by Bruchwald

• 2000 – correction of the Bruchwald’s model (new data & top height definition)

• 2003 – a dynamic form of the Bruchwald’s model by Cieszewski and Zasada

• 2004 – a new, polymorphic, base-age invariant site index model by Cieszewski and Zasada

Page 16: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Site modeling in Poland

• from tables to equations,

• from separated curves for each site class to systems of curves,

• from average height to top height,

• from anamorphic to polymorphic models,

• from base age specific to base age invariant systems.

Page 17: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Schwappach yield tables (1908)

• developed by a German forester and scientist Adam Schwappach

• based on data from permanent sample plots established by FRI in Eberswalde

• still in use in Polish forestry, especially for site index class determination

• base of some simple models such as e.g., Socha 1997, Jarosz and Kłapeć 2002, Cieszewski and Zasada 2003, that can be used in the forest inventory data processing

Page 18: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Schwappach yield tables (1908)

• based on PSP established in XIX century• one of the plots utilizing stable numbered trees• 144 plots measured 1-5 times, 588 sets of data• average heights from each plot formed fragments of

height growth curves that were used to draw guide curves for each of distinguished site classes

• 5 site classes I-V (height of 28.0, 24.1, 20.3, 16.3, and 12.5m at age 100, respectively)

Page 19: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Schwappach yield tables (1908)Location of sample plotsand Scots pine naturalrange in Europe

Page 20: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Schwappach yield tables (1908)

Courtesy of Forest Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland

Page 21: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Schwappach yield tables (1908)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Age

Ave

rag

e h

eig

ht

[m]

Page 22: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Jedliński yield tables (1932)

• first Polish yield tables

• Site index determined using age and QMD

• Based on data mostly from unmanaged stands in Poland

• Published just before World War II

• Never widely used in practice

Page 23: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Płoński yield tables (1937)

• first Polish yield tables using age and height for site index class determination

• developed using approach as described by Schwappach

• Based on data from unmanaged stands in eastern Poland

• Published just before World War II• Never widely used in practice

Page 24: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Szymkiewicz yield tables (1949)

• Set of yield tables prepared in the FRI, based on previously published developments from Germany, Russia and Poland

• Additional site class Ia for Scots pine extrapolated by Szymkiewicz to address needs of field foresters

Page 25: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Separated curves (1977)• The first Polish mathematical model of height

growth• Based on top height• Site index = top height at age of 100 years• Growth curve for an average site scaled up and

down• Model can be transformed to a linear form

2414967.025564.7

2S

A

AH

Page 26: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Anamorphic model (1986)8.10005.000007.0

2.1

2

278675.030

AA

A

ASH

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Age

To

p h

eig

ht

[m]

Page 27: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Anamorphic model (2000)2

777778.0222222.22

A

ASH

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Age

To

p h

eig

ht

[m]

Page 28: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Dynamic model (2002)• Cieszewski & Zasada, 2002. A dynamic form of the

anamorphic site index model for Scots pine in Poland.• Based on anamorphic model by Bruchwald et al. from

2000• The same curves as the base model• More parsimonious• Site index is a special case of the overall model

2

0

00 57142.28

57142.28

tt

ttHH

Page 29: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Introduction of GADA

• Cieszewski & Zasada, 2002. Generalized Method of Algebraic Differences: deriving dynamic site index equations based on biological theories

• Cieszewski & Zasada, 2003. Derivation of Generic Dynamic Site Equations Using Generalized Algebraic Difference Approach

Page 30: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

BAI based on yield tables (2003)

Cieszewski & Zasada, 2003. Site index model for Scots pine based on Szymkiewicz yield tables

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Wiek

Od

chyl

enie

[m

]

Równanie [3]

Równanie [2]

Równanie [1]0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Wiek

Wy

so

ko

ść

[m

]

Szymkiewicz

Equation [3]

Extrapolation [3]

Page 31: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

A new model for Scots pine

• Base-age invariant

• Polymorphic with variable asymptotes

• Dynamic form

• Based on:– Stem analysis data– Permanent sample plots

Page 32: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

A new model

508 dominant and co-dominant dominant pine trees from 256 well-stocked, pure, even-aged pine stands located on typical pine sites in large forest complexes in Poland

Page 33: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

A new model

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220

Age

He

igh

t [m

]Current model

New model

New model AR(1)

Page 34: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

A new model

• Preliminary model

• Derived using GADA

• 3-parameter model based on the Schumacher function

• Base-age invariant

• Polymorphic with variable asymptotes

Page 35: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Future directions

• Site index definition• New site index curves for main species (based on

stem analysis data and permanent sample plots)• Spatial analysis of new site index curves (regional

models)• Site index curves for stands under intensive

management• Site index in mixed stands and stands with a

complex structure

Page 36: Site Index Modeling in Poland: Its History and Current Directions Michał Zasada 1,2 and Chris J. Cieszewski 1 1 Warnell School of Forest Resources, University

Thank you!