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Six Sigma Example. Project Report Presentation. Project Number: ABC-123 Project Name: Company New Business Improvement Project Team Leader: Tom Jones Project Sponsor: Sally Run. Six Sigma Roadmap. Define. Measure. Analyze. Improve. Control. Operational Definitions of Key Terms. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Six Sigma ExampleProject Report Presentation
Project Number: ABC-123 Project Name: Company New Business ImprovementProject Team Leader: Tom JonesProject Sponsor: Sally Run
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 2 .PPT
MeasureMeasure
AnalyzeAnalyze
ImproveImprove
ControlControl
DefineDefine
Six Sigma Roadmap
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 3 .PPT
Operational Definitions of Key Terms
Cat 5: Category 5 proposals
COPQ: Cost of Poor Quality
Delivery SLA: Deliver proposal within agreed time frame, default: 10 business days
IS: Infrastructure support
On Time delivery: Proposal delivery within agreed timeframes, either to agreed service level of 10 business days between requirement confirmation date and first delivery date or as otherwise agreed
RFP: Requirements for Proposal Form, to communicate project
PMO: Proposal Management Office
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 4 .PPT
Project Goal & Scope
Problem Statement:
The Company Bid & Proposal process requires improvements in the low proposal approval rate (67% overall proposal approval rate), slow delivery speed (only 64.6% of proposals are delivered in the agreed timeframe) and cost (overspend forecasted against FY08 B&P budget).
Goals/Objective(s):
Improve delivery speed to 95% of Cat 5 proposals delivered in agreed timeframe and approval rate to 94% of Cat 5 proposals approved by the end FY08 (Mar 2008).
In Scope: Company accountProposal management process for Cat 5 proposals
Items Out of Scope: Cat 1-4 proposalsDatabase processOther accounts
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 5 .PPT
Financial Impact: Business Case or COPQ Calculation
Calculation of potential Cost reduction and Revenue increaseAssumptions:
1. Reduction of wasted effort for declined proposals leads to cost savings2. Reduction of declined proposals leads to increased revenue 3. Half the avoided declined proposals can be won
Data: Cat 5 only, source: Database, P/L cost report Proposal data for Apr06 – Aug07 hourly cost only (no allocations, leave pay, …)
Potential Cost Reduction of $69,000 and Revenue Increase of $662,582
Item Current Goal Delta
Cost of declined, annual $79,654 $10,644 $69,000
Total Proposal Income Lost, annual $2,650,329 $1,325,164 $1,325,164
Convert 50% to won 662,582
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 6 .PPT
High Level Process Map (SIPOC)
The scope of this project covers the Company steps of the Bid and Proposal process
Complete CommercialQualification
CompleteTechnical
Qualification
Confirm Customer
Requirements
Design Project/
Solution
Conduct InternalReviews
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 7 .PPT
Voice of the Customer—CTQ
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 8 .PPT
MeasureMeasure
AnalyzeAnalyze
ImproveImprove
ControlControl
DefineDefine
Six Sigma Roadmap
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 9 .PPT
Translate Ys From CTQs
VOC quotes could be translated into 2 Ys
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 10 .PPT
Project Y (or Ys) in Y=f(x)
Y1: Proposal Acceptance Rate
= accepted Cat 5 proposals / all Cat 5 proposals accepted and declined x 100; calculated monthly
Y2: Delivery in SLA timeframe
= Cat 5 proposals delivered in agreed timeframe / total Cat 5 proposals delivered x 100; calculated monthly, as calculated by Database system (see operational definition)
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 11 .PPT
Detailed Process Map: Proposal Management Cat 5
Requirements often not well understood
Commercial Qualification often rushed
Handovers often via Database system, not
via verbal comms
Even small Cat5 proposals are reviewed
Often Rework is not captured
properly
Work often delegated to inexperienced
Solution Designers
Final Reviews by PM and Architects are
often missed
Process workshop immediately identified key issues
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 12 .PPT
Data Collection
Process Measures DefinedInput Measures:
Proposal Requests: Number of proposal requests per month
Process Measures: Withdrawn Proposals: Number of proposal requests withdrawn per month Commercial Qualification: Number of proposal requests with completed
Commercial Qualification documentation Customer Requirement Confirmation: Business Days between Proposal Request
Date and Confirmation Date Proposal Reviews: Number of Proposal Reworks Delivery Time: Days between Customer Requirement Qualification and Proposal
delivery
Output Measures: Approvals: Number of proposals accepted Declines: Number of Proposals declined Proposal cost: Labor cost per Proposal Proposal Revenue: Expected Revenue per Proposal
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 13 .PPT
Data Collection (continued)
CTQs and SpecificationsCTQ #1: Proposals delivered in individually agreed timeframe Specification: Proposals are delivered to the customer before or on the agreed delivery date
(SLA or individually agreed delivery time) Defect: Proposal delivery date later than agreed delivery date Upper barrier: 100%, LSL: 85%CTQ #2: Customer Requirements confirmed Specification: Proposals are confirmed with the customer on the agreed Customer
Requirements Confirmation date Defect: Proposals are not confirmed with the customer on the agreed Customer Requirements
confirmation Date Upper barrier: 100%, LSL: 95%CTQ #3: Commercial Qualification Specification: Proposals are fully commercially qualified Defect: Proposals are not fully commercially qualified Upper barrier: 100%, LSL: 95%CTQ #4: Proposal Reviews Specification: Proposals are reviewed by the required people Defect: Proposals are reviewed too often or not by the right people Upper barrier: 100%, LSL: 95%
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 14 .PPT
Plan for Data Collection
Questions to be answered:
Y1: Withdrawn proposals
1. How often is a proposal withdrawn before delivery to the customer?
2. What are the reasons for the withdrawals?
3. How much effort/cost is wasted on withdrawn proposals?
Y1: Declined proposals
4. How often are proposals declined?
5. What are the reasons a customer declines a proposal?
6. How much effort/cost is wasted on declined proposals?
Y2: Delivery timeframe
7. How long does the delivery of a proposal take?
8. How long does it take to deliver a proposal after the requirements are confirmed with the customer?
9. How often is a proposal late, eg delivered after the agreed delivery date?
Y2: Proposal rework
10.How often are proposals rejected by the customer and need to be reworked?
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 15 .PPT
Plan for Data Collection (continued)
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 16 .PPT
Proposal Delivery Time (Business Days)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07
Bu
sin
ess
Day
s Proposal 124286: confirmed outlier
Proposal 123984: confirmed outlier
Y2 Proposal Delivery Time
Proposal Delivery Time displays two outliers
Measure Process Capability
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 18 .PPT
Measure Process Capability (continued)D
elivery
tim
e
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Boxplot of Delivery time
Plots of Proposal Delivery Time (2 outliers removed)
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 19 .PPT
Measure Process Capability (continued)
Process Capability (12 mth average)
Total Proposals Delivered: 230
Delivery SLA met: 130
On Time Ratio: 57%
DPMO: 435,000
Y2 Sigma: 1.66
Proposal Delivery Service Level: 10 days from Requirements confirmation or as agreed
Proposal Delivery Service Level(Proposals delivered in agreed Timeframe
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07
No
of
Pro
po
sa
ls
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
% d
eli
ve
red
wit
hin
SL
A
Proposals delivered Proposals delivered in agreed time Delivery Time Ratio Linear (Delivery Time Ratio)
The Proposal Delivery to an Agreed Date is getting worse
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 20 .PPT
Measure Process Capability (continued)
Process Cycle Time Analysis
Analysis of a sample of 26 proposals: 13 accepted, 13 declined 3 key process steps: Request Qualification, Proposal Development, Reviews
Rework analysis– 46% (12 or 26 proposals) of the sampled proposals had at least 1 rework step
(data not shown)
Reviews
Duration (Business
Days)
Hand overs
Duration (Business
Days)
Hand overs
Duration (Business
Days)
Hand overs
Duration (Business
Days)
Hand overs
Average 26 samples 6.0 3.2 9.2 1.6 3.0 2.4 18.1 7.2 Average 13 Accepted proposals 7.2 3.1 8.5 2.2 2.6 2.6 18.3 7.8 Average 13 Declined proposals 4.8 3.4 9.8 1.0 3.3 2.2 17.8 6.5
TotalQualify Phase Development phase Review Phase
Proposal DevelopmentQualification
CommercialQualification
TechnicalQualification
CustomerRequirementConfirmation
Project/Solution Design
InternalReviews
Delivery to Customer
Many handovers in the Request Qualification and the Review phases as well as the Rework amount appear to be a cause for delay
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 21 .PPT
Measure Process Capability (continued)
Y1 Acceptance Rate
Accepted ProposalsAccepted + Declinded + Withdrawn Proposals
Overall Success Rate (3 month average)
=
Acceptance Rate = Accepted + Declined Proposals
Accepted Proposals
Process CapabilityProposal Acceptance
Proposals Accepted 189
Proposals Declined: 33
Acceptance Ratio: 85%
DPMO: 150,000
Y1 Sigma: 2.54
Acceptance and Overall Success rates
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07
Acceptance rate Overall success rate Linear (Acceptance rate) Linear (Overall success rate)
The high number of declined proposals over the last 12 months indicates lost efforts
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 22 .PPT
Measurement System Analysis
Risk of poor Data Data Generation: Low risk: All data is entered into Database, workflow is automated and all Entries are
time stamped. Data extraction: All data extracts are carried out via automated Database and SAP reports Data manipulation: All manipulation of data is carried out in EXCEL
MSA Incorrect count of delivered Proposals (calculate business days, exclude ‘on hold’ days): based on
Extract from Database (801 line items), remove Requests for Change, Budget advices, proposals delivered before Jan 07 or after Aug 07, Cat 1-4 proposals)
Error in Database functionality: 2 proposals didn’t have a delivery date, even though they were delivered
Measurement System Analysis2 operators calculating the total category 5 proposals delivered during Jan-Aug 07 from Database Extracts
Trial 1 results
Operator 1: SE 165
Operator 1: SE 173
Operator 2: SG 162
Operator 2: SG 164
Exact value 164
MSA failed due to wide variance in the calculated number of proposals. Work instructions were created to remove variance.
Calculations were not re-tested, due to a changed procedure and staff changes.
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 26 .PPT
Potential Xs: XY Prioritization Matrix
X Y Prioritization Matrix - BlueScope Steel New Business Improvements
Ratings of X's :0-no relationship1-a little3-moderate 5- High9-Extremely High
Y1
Pro
posa
l
Acc
epta
nce
Rat
e
Y2
Pro
posa
l Del
iver
y
Tim
e
Pro
posa
l Cos
t
Red
uctio
n
TOTA
L
RankWeight of Project Y (0=low, 5=-high)Possible X's
5 5 5X1 Poorly understood Requirements 9 9 3 105 2X2 Poor Commercial Qualification 9 3 9 105 2X3 Missing Communication (due to Transact workflow) 3 9 5 85 6
Missing Proposal reviews by Project Managers 1 5 1 35 11X4 Too much rework 5 9 9 115 1
BSL Pricing information not readily available 0 5 5 50 9X5 Missing contact with the customer 9 5 5 95 4X6 Lack of proposal ownership 9 5 5 95 4
X7Too many financial and commercial reviews for small proposals
0 9 5 70 7
Price too high 9 0 0 45 10Duplicate proposals 1 1 3 25 12Proposal request without BSL Business Case 9 1 3 65 8
Weight of Project Y (0=low, 5=-high)
The team agreed on seven potential causes to be analyzed further
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 27 .PPT
Potential Xs: Selection of Xs
Seven potential causes will be analyzed further
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 28 .PPT
Potential Xs—Theories To Be Tested
Seven potential causes will be analyzed to identify the Root Causes (vital few Xs)
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 29 .PPT
MeasureMeasure
AnalyzeAnalyze
ImproveImprove
ControlControl
DefineDefine
Six Sigma Roadmap
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 30 .PPT
Theories To Be Tested
Theories for Causal Relationships to be Analyzed
X7 Financial & Comm. Reviews
not needed
Y1 Poor Proposal
Acceptance
Y2 Proposals are delivered late
X4 Too much
Rework
X1 Poorly understood
requirements
X2 Poor Commercial
Qualification
X3 Missing Communication
in Company
X5 Not enough contact with the customer
X6 Lack of Proposal
Ownership
A survey was considered but not
used due to political and timing reasons
Seven potential causes leading to nine theories to be tested. The team decided against using X6 for further analysis (covered in X1, X2,
X3, x5).
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 31 .PPT
Data Collection Plan for Analyze Phase
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 32 .PPT
Test of Theories
Y1 Acceptance Rate=f(X1 Understanding of Customer Requirements)Theory: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate after introduction of customer requirement confirmation date
Ho: No difference in Proposal Acceptance rate due to customer requirement date
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to customer requirement date
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: -0.0793651
95% CI for difference: (-0.284933, 0.126203)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = -0.76
P-Value = 0.449
NOTE * The normal approximation may be
Inaccurate for small samples.
Fisher's exact test: P-Value = 0.683
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: The Proposal Acceptance rate does not change due to customer requirement date.
Sample X N Sample p
Date OK 3 27 0.111111
Date not OK 4 21 0.190476
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 33 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y2 Delivery SLA=f(X1 Understanding of Customer Requirements)Theory: No difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to customer requirement date
Ho: No difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to customer requirement date
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to customer requirement date
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)Estimate for difference: 0.21164095% CI for difference: (-0.0667272, 0.490008)Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = 1.49 P-Value = 0.136
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is no difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to customer requirement date.
Sample X N Sample p
Date OK 16 27 0.592593
Date not OK 8 21 0.380952
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 34 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y1 Acceptance Rate=f(X2 Commercial Qualification)Theory: No difference in the Proposal Acceptance Rate after introduction of Commercial Qualification meetings (Commercial Qualification meetings were introduced Sept 2007)
Ho: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate after introduction of CQ meetings
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate after introduction of CQ meetings
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)Estimate for difference: 0.063898595% CI for difference: (-0.0522402, 0.180037)Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = 1.08 P-Value = 0.281
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is no difference in the Proposal Acceptance rate after the introduction of Commercial Qualification meetings.
Sample X N Sample p
CQ Meetings 11 56 0.196429
No CQ Meetings 22 166 0.132530
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 35 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y1 Acceptance Rate=f(X3 Missing Communication Within Company)Theory: No difference in the Proposal Acceptance Rate due to RFP document usage.
Ho: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to RFP document usage
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to RFP document usage
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: -0.268775
95% CI for difference: (-0.509869, -0.0276799)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = -2.18
P-Value = 0.029
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is smaller than 0.05 reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is significant difference in the Proposal Acceptance rate after introduction of good documentation of requirements in RFP documents.
Sample X N Sample p
RFP OK 7 22 0.318182
RFP not OK 27 46 0.586957
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 36 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y2 Delivery SLA=f(X3 Missing Communication Within Company)Theory: No difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to RFP document usage.
Ho: No difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to RFP document usage
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to RFP document usage
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: 0.0135135
95% CI for difference: (-0.258433, 0.285460)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = 0.10
P-Value = 0.922
Statistical Conclusion: 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is no difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to the use of RFP document for requirement documentation.
Sample X N Sample p
RFP OK 10 20 0.500000
RFP not OK 18 37 0.486486
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 37 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y1 Acceptance Rate=f(X4 Rework)Theory: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate because of Proposal Rework
Ho: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to the occurrence of rework
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to the occurrence of rework
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: -0.0755556
95% CI for difference: (-0.343644, 0.192533)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = -0.55
P-Value = 0.581
Statistical Conclusion: 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is no difference in the Proposal Acceptance rate due to the occurrence of Proposal rework.
Sample X N Sample p
No Rework 24 50 0.480000
Rework 10 18 0.555556
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 38 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y2 Delivery SLA=f(X4 Rework)Theory: There is no difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance because of Rework
Ho: No difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to Rework
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to Rework
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: -0.175556
95% CI for difference: (-0.441630, 0.0905194)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = -1.29
P-Value = 0.196
Statistical Conclusion: 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is no difference in the Proposal Delivery SLA performance because of the occurrence of Rework.
Sample X N Sample p
No Rework 19 50 0.380000
Rework 10 18 0.555556
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 39 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y1 Acceptance Rate=f(X5 Missing Customer Contact Before Proposal Delivery)Theory: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to customer contact before proposal delivery.
Ho: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to customer contact before proposal delivery
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to customer contact before proposal delivery
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: -0.0204082
95% CI for difference: (-0.250612, 0.209796)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = -0.17
P-Value = 0.862
Statistical Conclusion: 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is no difference in the Proposal Acceptance rate due to customer contact before the delivery of the proposal.
Sample X N Sample p
Effective contact 12 28 0.428571
No effective contact 22 49 0.448980
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 40 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y2 Delivery SLA=f(X5 Missing Customer Contact Before Proposal Delivery)Theory: No difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to customer contact before proposal delivery.
Ho: No difference in Delivery SLA performance due to customer contact before proposal delivery
Ha: Significant difference in Delivery SLA performance due to customer contact before proposal delivery
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: -0.539683
95% CI for difference: (-0.662759, -0.416606)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = -8.59
P-Value = 0.000
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is smaller than 0.05 reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: Customer contact before the delivery of the proposal does significantly improve the Delivery SLA performance.
Sample X N Sample p
Effective contact 0 14 0.000000
No effective contact 34 63 0.539683
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 41 .PPT
Test of Theories (continued)
Y2 Delivery SLA=f(X7 Financial/Commercial Reviews)Theory: No difference in Proposal Delivery SLA performance due to Financial and Commercial review (F&C review) steps
Ho: No difference in Delivery SLA performance due to F&C Review steps
Ha: Significant difference in Delivery SLA performance due to F&C Review steps
Analysis:
Sampled proposals: 53
Average Duration of Financial and Commercial reviews:
0.98 business days
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: 0.132075
95% CI for difference: (-0.0498017, 0.313953)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = 1.42
P-Value = 0.155
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is greater than 0.05 fail to reject Ho
Practical Conclusion: There is no difference in the SLA performance because of the Financial and Commercial Review steps.
Sample X N Sample p
No F&C Review 23 53 0.433962
F&C Review 16 53 0.301887
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 42 .PPT
Summary of Testing Results
Potential Cause X Theory Analyze Results Team Decisions
X1 Understanding of Customer Requirements
Requirement Confirmation meeting impacts Proposal Acceptance rate
FalseNo statistical evidence
No relevance
X1 Understanding of Customer Requirements
Requirement Confirmation meeting impacts Delivery SLA performance
FalseNo statistical evidence
Understanding of requirements speeds up the process
X2 Commercial Qualification
Commercial Qualification meetings impact on Proposal Acceptance rate
FalseNo statistical evidence
Commercial Qualification avoids wasted effort in withdrawn and
declined proposals
X3 Missing Communication within Company
Good RFP documentation impacts on Proposal Acceptance rate
TrueStatistical evidence
Documented requirements confirm customer expectations
X3 Missing Communication within Company
Good PRFP documentation impacts on Delivery SLA performance
FalseNo statistical evidence
Documented requirements improve internal communication
X4 ReworkOccurrence of Rework impacts on Proposal Acceptance rate
FalseNo statistical evidence
Little relevance
X4 ReworkOccurrence of Rework impacts on Delivery SLA performance
FalseNo statistical evidence
Rework is waste
X5 Missing customer contact before delivery
Customer contact impacts on Acceptance rate
FalseNo statistical evidence
Little relevance
X5 Missing customer contact before delivery
Customer contact impacts on Delivery SLA performance
TrueStatistical evidence
Customer contact is important for expectation management
X7 Too many reviewsFinancial and Commercial reviews impact on Delivery SLA performance
FalseNo statistical evidence
On average 1 business day is lost in F&C reviews
The team decided to continue looking for solutions for the proven causes X3, X5, and also for causes X1, X2, X4, and X7.
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 43 .PPT
Vital Few Xs
Y=f(X1,……Xn)
Vital Few Xs are: X1: Confirmation of Customer Requirements
X2: Commercial Qualification
X3: Missing Communication Within Company (proven cause)
X4: Rework
X5: Missing customer contact before delivery (proven cause)
X7: Too many reviews
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 44 .PPT
MeasureMeasure
AnalyzeAnalyze
ImproveImprove
ControlControl
DefineDefine
Six Sigma Roadmap
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 45 .PPT
Improvement Strategies for Proven Xs
Proven Xs (Causes): Strategies:
X1 Confirmation of Customer Requirements To improve Customer Requirement Confirmation, we need to involve Company staff in the planning discussions
X2 Commercial Qualification To improve Commercial Qualification process, we need to install qualification metrics
X3 Missing Communication within Company (proven cause)
To improve Company-internal communication we need to ensure better documentation of confirmation of customer requirements and remove process handovers where possible.
X4 Rework To avoid proposal rework we need to ensure confirmation of customer requirements and standardize the proposal process.
X5 Missing customer contact before delivery (proven cause)
To better manage Customer expectations, we need to ensure that Company staff informs BlueScope if the proposal is expected to be delivered late.
X7 Too many reviews To reduce internal reviews, we need to remove those that don’t add value.
The team decided to continue looking for solutions for the proven causes X3, X5, and also for causes X1, X2, and X7.
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 46 .PPT
Solution Alternatives
Cause X Solutions from Workshops
X1 Confirmation of Customer Requirements
Involve Service Manager in bid process Rotate people on sites to sit in planning meeting Confirm each proposal within 48 hours (meeting or phone)
X2 Commercial Qualification
Create and implement qualification metrics to review the CQ performance (actual vs. planned: effort, confirmation date).
X3 Missing Communication within Company
Confirm customer requirements Request sufficient RFP documentation for each proposal Remove process handovers
X4 Rework
Confirm customer requirements, Request sufficient RFP documentation for each proposal Create a pricing database.
X5 Missing customer contact before delivery
Proposal Owner/Solution Developer to contact the customer before the delivery of a proposal, especially if the proposal is expected to be delivered late
X7 Too many reviews Remove the mandatory Financial and Commercial review steps for Cat 5
proposals
The team workshopped alternative solutions for the various causes X
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 47 .PPT
Possible Solutions Matrix (vs. Proven Xs)
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 48 .PPT
Selection Criteria
The team felt that alternatives selected should fulfill the following criteria’s:
A. Must Criteria (Weighting)
Has an impact on Y1 or Y2 Y/N
Accepted by relevant stakeholders (Account Management, Architects, New Business, Finance, Commercial and PMO)
Y/N
B. Want Criteria (Weighting)
Improve delivery on time 10
Reduces Bid and Proposal cost 10
Improve Commercial Qualification 8
Improve proposal review process 7
Increase proposal acceptance rate 10
Improve Requirements Confirmation 10
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 49 .PPT
Selected Solution and Selection Process
Selected SolutionAll solution alternatives proposed by the team have been accepted by the Champion.
Selection ProcessTools Considered:
Pugh Concept Selection matrix (shown on next slide) Criteria Based Selection matrix
Given that all “must” criteria were met, the Pugh matrix was the preferred tool.
The team felt that all solution alternatives satisfy the Must criteria, and a Pugh matrix process was chosen to select the strongest solutions.
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 50 .PPT
Evaluation Using Pugh Concept Selection Matrix
Quick Win
Phase 2 Solution
Phase 1 solutions
The team selected five improvement alternatives based on the Pugh matrix process and one other improvement as a quick win. Five improvements will be
implemented in the first project phase and one in a separate project.
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 51 .PPT
Pay-off Matrix of Selected Solutions
Confirm each request within 48 hours
Contact customer if proposal is late
Request sufficient RFP documentation
Rotate Company staff on site
New Commercial Qualification metrics
Remove Financial and Commercial review steps for Cat 5 proposals
Cost/Effort
Low
Low
High
High
Benefit
Key: Brown Solutions are Phase II
All low cost solutions were identified as suitable for quick
implementation
The high cost/ high effort solutions involve significant customer negotiations.
One of them will be implemented in Phase 2.
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 52 .PPT
Testing and Validation X1 Confirmation of Customer requirements: It was agreed that multiple changes were required to
ensure better understanding of the customer’s needs: Involve staff in planning processes, requesting better documentation, confirmation of requirements after Company started working on the proposals. These changes were validated with the PMO prior to implementation as valid to improve customer requirements understanding.
X2 Commercial Qualification: PMO confirmed the need to have a strong qualification process in place. The new qualification process is closer to the model used on other accounts.
X3 Missing communication within Company: Other accounts provided the model that was used for the new qualification review meeting on this account. Its validity is proven by the successes of other accounts.
X4 Rework: A separate green belt project investigates the occurrence of proposal rework in the IS part of Company. It was assumed that this green belt project will drive further changes in the New Business area or proposal management..
X5 Missing customer contact before delivery: This cause was debated in length, as it was felt by some that customers don’t want to be ‘pestered’ with the vendor’s calls. A cultural and attitude change is required and the implementation of this change will require a longer time to complete. Its validity was confirmed by other Company accounts.
X7 Too many reviews: Company’s E2E model doesn’t request financial and commercial reviews for Cat 5 proposals. These were implemented on request of Fin and Comm teams, who now agreed that the reviews can be removed.
Refine Solutions
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Refine Solutions (continued)
Pilot Options A pilot was not required as a Risk assessment was carried out for each solution. Most of the solutions were piloted by other Company accounts in some way. The
risk of damage because of failure was eliminated and hence “Piloting” was not required.
Cost/Benefit Analysis Since the estimated cost of these solutions was not very significant,
implementation proceeded without detailed cost/benefit analysis.
The benefits were viewed as significant savings (based on COPQ analysis).
All solution alternatives proposed by the team were accepted by the Champion
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 54 .PPT
Solution Details
Solution 1: Rotate staff on site at Company A roster that allows 2 Company staff to be on site every day in the computer
center will involve Company sufficiently in the planning processes and ensure more well documented proposal requests.
Cost: Wireless network cards for all staff on the roster Risks: Small risk: If on site, Company staff might miss out on Company internal
communication
Solution 2: Confirm proposal requests within 48 hours As practiced on other Company accounts, for each proposal request, a Company
person confirms the receipt, delivery and high level requirements with the customer
Detailed requirements are confirmed later if required. Cost: none Risks: Small risk: Delay, if customer is not available for discussion
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 55 .PPT
Solution Details (continued)
Solution 3: Commercial Qualification metrics Metrics that outline the quality of the qualification process: actual vs estimated
spend, actual vs estimated requirement confirmation dates, likelihood of success. Cost: extra effort for PMO Risks: none
Solution 4: Request sufficient RFP documentation RFP documentation was requested from Company for the last 6 months. Here an
increased effort is required to get a better documentation of the proposal requirements.
Cost: none Risks: Slow change, un-satisfied clients if not communicated well
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Solution Details (continued)
Solution 5: Customer contact for late proposals For most proposals, especially those that might be delivered late, Bid owner or
solution developer shall contact the customer and manage their expectations. Cost: none Risks: none
Solution 6: Remove Financial and Commercial reviews For Cat 5 proposals, the Financial and Commercial Review steps can be
removed Cost: none Risks: incorrect financial details and commercial terms included in the proposals.
None of the six solutions included a significant risk
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 57 .PPT
Example: Selected Solutions Implementation
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 58 .PPT
Proposal Management Cat 5
Updated Process Map
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Updated Process Map (continued)
Proposal Management Cat 5New step: if requirement (RFP) document is not
sufficient, return to customer for more details (Solution 4)
New step: Commercial Qualification meeting for each proposal request.
(part of Solution 3)
Removed step: Financial and Commercial reviews
for Cat 5 proposals removed (Solution 6)New step: Customer contact to
manage expectation especially if the proposal is late (Solution
5)
New step: Confirm Proposal request within 48 hours (Solution 2)
New step: Confirm Proposal Requirements
within 5 days (part of Solution 2)
Five solutions include process changes
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 60 .PPT
Evaluation of Financial Impact
Y1 Acceptance Rate
Improved Commercial Qualification Increased income due to focus on ‘Deals we can win’
Y2 Improved Delivery time SLA
Reduced waste, quicker proposal delivery, higher customer satisfaction Reduced proposal development cost
Financial Impact 2007 GoalPhase 3
(Mar-Apr 2008)Difference
Withdrawal Cost ratio 10% 7% 8.0% 2%Withdrawal Cost (annual) $47,277.59 $32,969.42 $ 35,990.10 $11,287.49Decline Cost ratio 18% 6% 5.9% 12%Decline Cost (annual) $83,933.17 $28,259.50 $ 25,889.06 $58,044.11 $69,331.59 Declined Income ratio 14% 6% 4.2% 10%Declined Income, annual $2,870,279.81 $1,202,266.86 $ 988,103.00 $1,882,176.8150% convertible to income $941,088.40
Cost Saving
Income increase
The improvements seem to generate the expected financial impact
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Statistical Proof of Improvement
Y1 Acceptance Rate: Three data points after implementation of changes
15131197531
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
Sample
Pro
port
ion
_P=0.9583
UCL=1
LCL=0.7688
1 2 3
P Chart of Accepted by Stage
Tests performed with unequal sample sizes Changes
implemented
The Acceptance Rate goal of 94% appears achievable based on the results after the first 3 months after the change was implemented
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Statistical Proof of Improvement (continued)
Y1 Acceptance RateTheory: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to project changes
Ho: No difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to project changes
Ha: Significant difference in Proposal Acceptance Rate due to project changes
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: 0.108548
95% CI for difference: (0.0163748, 0.200721)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = 2.31
P-Value = 0.021
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is smaller than 0.05 reject Ho.
Practical Conclusion: The Proposal Acceptance rate has significantly improved because of project changes.
Sample X N Sample p
Before 35 233 0.150215
After 1 24 0.041667
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Statistical Proof of Improvement (continued)
Y2 Delivery SLA: Three data points after implementation of changes
15131197531
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Sample
Pro
port
ion
_P=0.966UCL=1
LCL=0.814
1 2 3
P Chart of New SLA met by stage
Tests performed with unequal sample sizes : Changes implemented
The Delivery SLA goal of 95% appears achievable based on the first three months after the change was implemented
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Test of Theories (continued)
Y2 Delivery SLATheory: No difference in Delivery SLA Performance due to project changes
Ho: No difference in Delivery SLA Performance due to project changes
Ha: Significant difference in Delivery SLA Performance due to project changes
Analysis:
Test and CI for Two Proportions
Difference = p (1) - p (2)
Estimate for difference: 0.301617
95% CI for difference: (0.212359, 0.390875)
Test for difference = 0 (vs not = 0): Z = 6.62
P-Value = 0.000
Statistical Conclusion: alpha = 0.05. P is smaller than 0.05 reject Ho.
Practical Conclusion: The Delivery SLA Performance has significantly improved because of project changes.
Sample X N Sample p
Before 81 241 0.336100
After 1 29 0.034483
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MeasureMeasure
AnalyzeAnalyze
ImproveImprove
ControlControl
DefineDefine
Six Sigma Roadmap
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Control Plan
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Control Charts
Y1 Proposal Acceptance Rated
15131197531
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
Sample
Pro
port
ion
_P=0.9583
UCL=1
LCL=0.7688
1 2 3
P Chart of Accepted by Stage
Tests performed with unequal sample sizes
Changes implemented
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Control Charts (continued)
Y1 Proposal Acceptance Rated
15131197531
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
Sample
Pro
port
ion
_P=0.9655UCL=1
LCL=0.8137
1 2 3
P Chart of New SLA met by stage_1
Tests performed with unequal sample sizes
Changes implemented
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 69 .PPT
Project Benefits
Financial (Hard) Benefits Increased Acceptance Rate: 96%
– Extra annual revenue: $941,088/a Reduced Decline cost rate: 6% Proposal cost savings: $69,331/a
Total financial impact: $1,010, 420/a
Soft Benefits Accepted proposal ownership Improved SLA performance leading to improved customer satisfaction with
Company’s proposal generation Improved communication within Company Less waste
All Rights Reserved, Juran Institute, Inc. Company New Business Improvement 70 .PPT
Project Results
Project Baseline: Project Target: Project Actual:
COPQ= $131,210/a COPQ= $61,229/a COPQ= $61,879/a
Metric= Acceptance Rate
Metric= Acceptance Rate
Metric= Acceptance Rate
DPMO= 150,000 DPMO= 60,000 DPMO= 42,000
Sigma Level= 2.54 Sigma Level= 3.05 Sigma Level= 3.25
Metric= Delivery SLA Metric= Delivery SLA Metric= Delivery SLA
DPMO= 435,000 DPMO= 50,000 DPMO= 34,483
Sigma Level= 1.66 Sigma Level= 3.14 Sigma Level= 3.32