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WP3/08 SEARCH WORKING PAPER
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs. Natives
Sandra Nieto, Alessia Matano, Raúl Ramos
January 2013
SKILL MISMATCHES IN THE EU:
IMMIGRANTS vs. NATIVES1
Sandra Nieto, Alessia Matano, Raúl Ramos
AQR‐IREA (Universitat de Barcelona)
Abstract:
The situation of immigrants within their host countries’ labour markets is generally worse than
the situation of natives. We focus our interest in the analysis of the differences in skill
mismatches between immigrants and natives in EU countries. We use microdata from the
Adult Education Survey (AES) carried out in 2007. This dataset allows us to analyse the
incidence of different types of skill mismatches (vertical and horizontal) among native and
immigrant workers. We do not find any significant difference in the probability of having
horizontal mismatch between natives and immigrants once individual characteristics are
controlled for. However, we find that immigrants are more likely to be overeducated than
natives, and that this effect is higher for immigrants coming from non‐EU countries than for
those coming from other EU countries. Nonetheless, the pace of the assimilation process in
the host country is faster for the first group. By means of the Yun decomposition, we also find
that immigrants from the EU have a higher probability of being overeducated than natives
because they have worse observable characteristics which influence positively the probability
of overeducation, whereas results for immigrants from non‐EU countries suggest the opposite:
the gap is explained by differences in the returns to observable characteristics. This result
suggests that immigrants from non‐UE countries have a limited transferability of their human
capital that pushes their situation of overeducation in the host country.
Keywords: Immigration, overeducation, assimilation.
JEL Codes: J61, J24
1 We make use of microdata from the European Commission, Eurostat, AES 2007 database made available by Eurostat under contract AES/2012/06. Eurostat has no responsibility for the results and conclusions reported here.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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1. INTRODUCTION, BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES
Human capital is one of the key factors in the determination of most of labour market
outcomes (Card, 1999; Psacharopoulos and Patrinos, 2004). Consistent with this perspective,
the analysis of the situation of immigrants within their host countries’ labour markets has also
focused on their human capital. In particular, the two main empirical results from this
literature —the presence of a significant initial wage gap relative to native‐born workers and
the rapid wage growth from the moment of arrival—can basically be explained by their human
capital. Further, human capital partially explains most differences between immigrants and
natives in terms of participation in labour market or job quality, among others. Thus, the
disadvantage experienced by immigrants when they arrive in a new country can generally be
attributed to the limited transferability of the human capital they have acquired in their home
country. The reason may lie in the lower quality of the educational system there or in the
different cultural background. Whatever the case, the relevant fact is that newly arrived
immigrants seem to lack human capital adequate to the needs of the host country’s labour
market (Chiswick, 1978; Chiswick and Miller, 1985, 2009; Friedberg, 2000). Moreover, the
explanatory factor behind the rapid growth in immigrant labour market outcomes over time,
especially in wages, can be found in the accumulation of different types of human capital in
the host country, which is particularly significant in the first years of residence in the host
country (i.e, command of the host country language). It is also noteworthy that this rapid
growth in labour market outcomes generally leads to assimilation with the native population
(Chiswick, 1978; Baker and Benjamin, 1994; Chiswick and Miller, 1995 and Bell, 1997, among
others).
Within this literature, recent studies have focused on the role played by educational (or
vertical) mismatch and more specifically, on the level of overeducation. Although an extensive
body of research has analysed overeducation2 since the seminal contributions of Freeman
2 Surveys by Hartog (2000), Rubb (2003) and McGuiness (2006) have summarised the main findings of this literature.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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(1976) and Duncan and Hoffman (1981), only a few recent studies have considered differences
between natives and immigrants in terms of skill mismatches3.
Overeducation is usually defined as the situation where workers have greater educational skills
than their jobs require (Rumberger, 1981). The idea underpinning this new literature is thus
that the imperfect portability of human capital acquired in origin countries forces immigrants
to accept jobs requiring lower qualifications than those acquired in their country, making them
formally overeducated workers4. The main outcomes of these recent studies can be summed
up in two empirical regularities. Firstly, there is a greater incidence of overeducation among
immigrants than there is among the native population. And secondly, immigrant workers
succeed in reducing the difference in overeducation with regards to the native population as
their stay in the new country is prolonged, i.e. the phenomenon of assimilation takes place in
overeducation (in a similar way to the one found in earnings assimilation).
The literature on immigrant assimilation started with Chiswick (1978) who explained the lower
marginal returns of immigrant human capital in the USA by the limited portability of their
human capital. The results obtained for other economies confirm the differences between
natives and immigrants in terms of the remuneration of their human capital, and they also find
the existence of assimilation process (Chiswick and Miller, 1995, for Australia; Baker and
Benjamin, 1994, for Canada; Bell, 1997, for the UK; Schmidt, 1992, and Constant and Massey,
2003, for Germany, and Longva and Raaum, 2003, for Norway). Shields and Wheatley Price
(1998) and Friedberg (2000) obtained also interesting results separating the education
acquired by immigrants in their country of origin from their studies conducted in the country
of destination. They find that human capital imported from culturally distant countries
receives a lower remuneration than that acquired in the country of destination, and it differs
depending on the characteristics of the origin country. Thus, the greater the distance in terms
of language, culture, and economic development, the less portable the human capital acquired
abroad becomes and the greater the initial inequality in the job market in comparison with
members of the native population. However, Duleep and Regets (1997) also found that the
3 See for instance, Piracha and Vadean (2012); Dustman and Glitz (2011) and Leuven and Oosterbeek (2011) 4 Possible differences in the quality of the different educational systems limit the comparison of native and immigrants workers. Nevertheless, many other factors (including an incomplete command of the language, qualifications not being recognised and studies adapted to the new labour market) reduce the expected productivity of hiring immigrants leading them to accept lower‐paid jobs.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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immigrants with lower portability of their human capital present a higher speed of
assimilation.
Other interesting results were found when introducing overeducation into the analysis of the
differences between natives and immigrants. Most of the literature concludes that immigrants
have a higher rate of overeducation than natives (Chiswick and Miller, 2010). For instance,
using data from Australia, Kler (2006) and Green et al. (2007) found that the incidence of
overeducation is higher among immigrants from non‐English‐speaking countries, who show
lower returns for overeducation. In the case of the United Kingdom, Lindley and Lenton (2006)
found a higher incidence of overeducation not just among immigrants but also for non‐white
members of the native‐born population. Using data from United States, Chiswick and Miller
(2008) claim that the educational mismatch explains almost two thirds of the differences in
human capital returns between native and immigrants.
In the study of the incidence of overeducation on immigrants, other results concerning the
degree of transferability of human capital acquired in the origin country and the process of
assimilation are also interesting. In particular, Chiswick and Miller (2007) found that the
greater the work experience in the country of origin, the greater the probability of
overeducation in the United States, which indicates low transferability not just of schooling but
also of work experience acquired in origin. Sanromá et. al (2008) found that immigrants living
in Spain accumulate knowledge and experience that are perfectly adapted to the local labour
market, thus making for an easier assimilation process that reduces the intensity of over‐
education. However, the pace of assimilation is notably slow, so that around fifteen years of
living in Spain would be necessary to eliminate the educational mismatch, and it differs
depending on the origin country. Using data from New Zealand, Poot and Stillman (2010) also
concluded that it was relevant to control for origin heterogeneity when analysing the pace of
assimilation of immigrants in terms of overeducation. Last, Nielsen (2007) obtained that
overeducation in Denmark affects immigrants with studies from abroad more than it does for
natives and immigrants who have studied in Denmark. According to this author, this fact
reveals the partial portability of human capital acquired in origin. Furthermore, immigrants
with studies acquired in their own country reduce their overeducation as they increase their
effective work experience in Denmark. Thus, they successfully assimilate. As for the returns of
years of overeducation, this is lowest for immigrants with studies from abroad, followed by
immigrants with Danish qualifications, and is the highest for the native‐born population.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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On the other hand, there are some studies that have not found any evidence of a successful
assimilation process by immigrants in the host country. Dell’Aringa and Pagani (2010) found
that the “catch‐up” by foreigners in Italy seems unachievable, even once they have adapted
their skills to the host country’s labour market. Comparing data from 25 countries, the OECD
(2007) obtained similar results in most of the countries when disaggregating results for men
and women. A similar conclusion is found by Aleksynska and Tritah (2011) when analysing data
from the European Social Survey for 22 European countries for the period 2002‐2009.
Most of these papers consider vertical mismatch, i.e. mismatch between worker’s educational
level and the one required for their job, as an indicator of skill mismatch. However, there are
other indicators of skill mismatch that have not been used until now in the analysis of
immigrants. Horizontal mismatch measures the degree of adjustment between the workers’
educational field and the one required for their job5.
With the purpose of analysing the role played by these two components of skill mismatches,
we use a database which allows us to measure both vertical and horizontal mismatches.
Indeed, to the best of our knowledge, there are no previous studies that have analysed both
types of skill mismatches separately for natives and immigrants using homogeneous
information for a wide group of European Union countries. Taking this into account, the aim of
this paper is twofold. First, we examine the determinants of being in a situation of vertical or
horizontal mismatch focusing on natives and immigrants from EU countries and from non‐EU
countries and we analyse whether there is assimilation or not. Second, we try to identify the
factor behind the observed differences in the probability of being mismatched between
natives and both types of immigrants.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the database used and
defines the variables of interest. Section 3 shows descriptive evidence of the incidence of
vertical and horizontal mismatches between natives and immigrants, focusing also in the
analysis of the assimilation process of immigrants. Section 4 explains the applied methodology
and shows the results. Last, section 5 summarises the findings of previous sections and point
out the main policy conclusions of the analysis.
5 For instance, Robst (2007) and Wolbers (2003) use this measure as indicator of skill mismatch.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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2. DATA SOURCES AND VARIABLES DEFINITION
2.1. Adult Education Survey
In order to achieve our objectives, we use microdata from the Adult Education Survey (AES)
provided by Eurostat. It is a survey addressed to private households with members between
25 and 64 years old. The survey has been carried out in 29 countries between 2005 and 2008
and the reference year is set at 2007. The main objective of the survey is to study lifelong
learning, that is, those training and learning activities that the adult population performs with
the objective of improving or extending their knowledge, skills and competences, from a
personal, civil, social or work‐related perspective.
This database is particularly appropriate for our analysis because, as far as we know, is the only
one that allows us to measure both vertical and horizontal mismatch in a homogeneous way
for a wide set of European Union countries and to make comparisons between immigrant
(from EU countries and from non‐EU countries) and native workers.
As we focus our interest on immigrants living in EU countries, we only consider those countries
where immigration is a relevant phenomenon (more than 4% of total population). Thus, as we
can see in Figure 1, we do not consider Bulgaria, Poland, Romania and the Slovak Republic. We
also have excluded from the analysis Hungary and the Netherlands because immigrant
population in the Adult Education Survey is clearly underrepresented when compared with
aggregate data from Eurostat. We also have to exclude Finland, Italy and the United Kingdom
from the analysis because these countries do not include in their national surveys some
relevant information for our analysis (in particular, immigrants’ years of residence in the host
country). So, after these restrictions, we consider in our analysis the following 15 European
Union countries: Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Estonia, Spain,
France, Greece, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, Sweden and Slovenia.
We restrict our analysis to men and women employed at the time of the survey with valid
information about their occupation and level and field of education. We exclude from the
analysis individuals below the ISCED3 educational level. The reason to do it is because the
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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variable field of education is only defined for individuals with educational levels higher than
ISCED2. The final sample consists of 28409 native born and 2492 immigrants, of which 984
come from European Union countries and 1598 come from non‐ European Union countries.
FIGURE 1
The variables used in our analysis are related to personal and job characteristics. As for
personal characteristics, we use information related to gender, age, nationality, years of
residence in the host country, number of members of the household, children at home, level
and type of education and participation in non‐formal education activities during the last 12
months. As for job characteristics, we consider information about tenure in the current firm,
type of contract (permanent or not), part‐time job, the economic activity of the firm, and the
size of the firm. Last, we consider information about the country of residence. Descriptive
statistics for these variables are shown in Table A.1 of the Annex.
2.2. Measuring skill mismatches
Three different methods have been proposed in the literature to measure vertical mismatch:
objective, subjective and statistical method (in terms of the mean and the mode). Each
procedure has its own advantages and weaknesses6. As a consequence, the use of one or other
method usually depends on the nature of the data available.
The objective method is based on “dictionaries” of jobs, compiled by job analysts who
determine what level and type of education workers should have in order to perform a certain
job. A person is then overeducated if their level of education is higher than the level the
analysts define to be ideal for the occupation. The subjective method takes into account the
perception of the workers to determine the educational mismatch. Last, the version of the
statistical method based on the mean (Verdugo and Verdugo, 1989) considers that workers are
overeducated if they have more years of education than the mean of the years of education
(plus one standard deviation) of the workers in that occupation. Nevertheless, Kiker et al.
6 For a discussion, see Hartog (2000).
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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(1997) propose the use of the mode instead of the mean; so they consider as overeducated a
person who has more years of education than the mode of years of education in the job they
perform.
As for horizontal mismatch, most studies have applied similar methods to the ones used to
analyse vertical mismatch. In particular, they use similar approaches but using the variable
“field of education” instead of “years of education”. In this paper, we will use the statistical
method in terms of the mode for two reasons. First, we cannot use the objective method
because, unfortunately, this kind of indicator is not available for most countries, as massive
efforts will be needed to build these dictionaries, which can easily become obsolete due to
occupational change. We can neither use the subjective method because the Adult Education
Survey does not provide this information. So, we measure vertical and horizontal mismatch
using the statistical method based on the mode the Adult Education Survey provides the
needed information: occupations, educational levels and fields of education. It is worth
mentioning that as we are working with immigrants from countries with heterogeneous
educational systems, we measure vertical mismatches considering the level of education
instead of schooling years. With this way of proceeding, we expect to minimize potential
measurement errors derived from the comparison of very heterogenous educational systems.
Taking into account these previous considerations, we define both types of mismatches as
follows: workers will have vertical mismatch (overeducation) if their level of education is
higher than the mode of the workers’ level of education within each occupation whereas
workers will have horizontal mismatch if their field or type of education is different than the
mode of the workers’ field of education within each occupation.
3. DESCRIPTIVE EVIDENCE
In this section, we show a descriptive analysis on the differences between natives and
immigrants regarding horizontal and vertical skill mismatches. The percentage of natives,
immigrants from EU countries and immigrants from non‐EU countries that suffer vertical and
horizontal mismatch are shown in figures 2 and 3, respectively. Some relevant results can be
identified from these figures. First, it is worth noting that the percentages of horizontal
mismatch are higher in all groups than percentages of vertical mismatch (40‐45 versus 25‐35).
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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Second, figure 2 also shows that 25% of natives are overeducated whereas this percentage is
31% for immigrants from EU countries and 35% for immigrants from other countries.
Nevertheless, in figure 3 we can see that the percentage of horizontal mismatch for natives
and immigrants from EU countries is around 40% for both groups whilst for immigrants from
countries outside EU is higher, 45%. Although the incidence of horizontal mismatch is higher
than vertical mismatch for all groups, we observe more differences between natives and
immigrants in the incidence of vertical mismatch.
FIGURES 2 and 3
Focusing now our interest only in the immigrant population, we can see some interesting
differences depending on the years of residence in their host country. Figures 4 and 5 show,
respectively, the percentage of immigrant workers with vertical and horizontal mismatch by
years of residence in the host country. We can see in figure 5 that the incidence of horizontal
mismatch decreases for both groups of immigrants as their years of residence increase. This
result could be interpreted as evidence of immigrant assimilation. Some different results can
be observed, however, in relation to vertical mismatch (Figure 4). Regarding immigrants from
countries outside the EU, the incidence of overeducation also reduces as the years of
residence of these immigrants increase. However, such behaviour is not observed for
immigrants from EU countries. Immigrants residing less than 2 years in the host country
present a lower percentage of overeducation than immigrants residing between 3 to 5 years.
In this case, it seems that the assimilation process in the first 5 years in the host country is not
as clear for immigrants from EU countries than for the others.
FIGURES 4 and 5
However, the descriptive analysis carried out in this section does not consider the effect of the
characteristics of the individuals on differences in overeducation. This aspect is considered in
the following section.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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4. METHODOLOGY AND RESULTS
In order to know whether there are differences in the probability of being overeducated and in
the probability of having horizontal mismatch between natives and immigrants after
controlling for observable characteristics, we estimate two binomial probit models.
XMISMVprob )_( (1)
XMISMHprob )_( (2)
where prob(V_MISM) and prob(H_MISM) denote the probability of being overeducated and
the probability of having horizontal mismatch respectively, is the standard normal
cumulative distribution function, X represents the set of observable characteristics and is the
coefficients’ vector.
The explanatory variables can be clustered in two groups. The first one is related to personal
characteristics of individuals as gender, age, immigrant condition (also distinguishing
immigrants from UE countries and from non‐UE countries), years of residence in the host
country, number of household members, whether there are children at home (13 years old or
less), level of education (ISCED3, ISCED4 and ISCED5&6), type or field of education (8
categories7) and whether the workers have followed any non‐formal education activity in the
last 12 months. As we focus our interest in immigrants and their process of assimilation, we
also include interactions between the variables related to their different origin and their years
of residence. The second group of characteristics is related to job characteristics as tenure in
the current firm (in years), type of contract (permanent or temporary), fulltime or part time
work, economic activity of the firm (5 categories) and firm size (we consider that 10 or less
workers is a small company and a company with more than 10 workers is a big company). We
also include country fixed‐effects.
7 Education: Teacher training and education science. / Humanities: Humanities, languages and arts. Foreign Languages. /Social Science: Social Science, business and law. / Science: Science, mathematics and computing. / Engineering: Engineering, manufacturing and construction. / Agriculture: Agriculture and veterinary. / Health: Health and welfare. / Services: Services.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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To decompose the differences in the probability of having vertical (and horizontal) mismatch
between immigrants and natives, we then apply Yun’s (2004) methodology that is composed
by two steps. The first one consists in estimating equation (1) separately for immigrants and
natives:8,9
III XMISMVprob )_( (3)
NNN XMISMVprob )_( (4)
The second step consists in decomposing the mean difference between immigrants (I) and
natives (N) in the probability of having vertical (horizontal) mismatch as:
)()()()()_()_( IININIIINI XXXXMISMVprobMISMVprob (5)
E C
The component labeled E refers to the part of the differential due to differences in observable
characteristics. On the other hand, the C component refers to the part of the differential due
to differences in coefficients. The last component explains the differences in the probability of
being overeducated between immigrants and natives if both are characterized by the same
characteristics. The method also proposes a detailed decomposition to understand the unique
contribution of each predictor to each component of the difference. Yun (2004) also highlights
the need to take into account the normalization of dummy variables in order to solve the well‐
known problem in the detailed Oaxaca decomposition that it is not invariant to the choice of
the reference category when sets of dummy variables are used10. This correction is used in this
paper.
8 We apply the same methodology for the case of horizontal mismatch. 9 It is worth mentioning that in this kind of analysis it is not possible to include information on the years of residence as this characteristic is not shared also by natives. 10 See Yun (2004) for more details about Yun decomposition and the normalization of the dummy variables.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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The marginal effects of the probability of being overeducated are shown in table 1. Models (1)
and (2) only include some personal characteristics as explanatory variables while in models (3)
to (5) additional controls are added sequentially.
TABLE 1
Results from model (1) clearly show that immigrants are more likely to be overeducated than
natives after controlling for observable characteristics (44.5%). However, the negative sign of
the variable years of residence indicates that the more are the years in the host country the
less is the probability to be overeducated. For each additional year of residence in the host
country, the probability of being overeducated is reduced by 3%. So, there seems to be an
assimilation process in the host country in terms of overeducation. In model (2) we introduce
two different dummies for immigrant workers distinguishing between immigrants from EU
countries and immigrants from non‐EU countries. In this case, we see that immigrants from
non‐EU countries are more likely to be overeducated than immigrants from EU countries.
Concerning the process of assimilation of both types of immigrants, the results for the
interactions between years of residence and immigrant dummies show that an additional year
of residence reduces the probability to be overeducated for immigrants from outside EU
countries more than for those coming from EU countries. In particular, the probability to be
overeducated for an immigrant from EU country is reduced 2.4% by year of residence in the
host country while this percentage is 3.5% for immigrants from countries outside EU. That is,
although immigrants from countries outside the EU have a higher probability to be
overeducated, their process of assimilation is faster than the one for immigrants from EU
countries. The results hold when additional controls are included in models (3) to (5).
The probability of having horizontal mismatch is shown in table 2. As before, models (1) and
(2) include only some controls while in models (3) to (5) additional explanatory variables are
included.
TABLE 2
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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Model (1) shows that immigrants are 15% more likely to have horizontal mismatch than
natives. It is worth noting that the incidence of horizontal mismatch on immigrants is much
lower than the incidence of overeducation (which corresponds to 44.5%) according to the
descriptive statistics. Regarding the years of residence in the host country, we can see that the
probability of having horizontal mismatch is only reduced by 1% for each additional year.
Results from model (2) show that immigrants from non‐UE countries are more likely to have
horizontal mismatch than natives. However, this effect is no longer statistically significant for
immigrants from EU countries when compared to natives. Moreover, the interactions between
years of residence and both types of immigrants are not significant. When additional variables
are included in models (3) to (5), the higher probability of horizontal mismatch of immigrants
from non‐EU countries is no longer significant when compared to natives. This means that
differences in the characteristics of natives and immigrants explain the raw difference in the
probability of having horizontal mismatch.
Given that there are no differences statistically significant in the probability of having
horizontal mismatch between immigrants and natives, we only apply the Yun (2004)
decomposition in the case of vertical mismatch. This decomposition allows us to identify which
factors influence in the discrepancies in the probability of being overeducated between
immigrants and natives. In particular, the method decompose whether the differences are due
to different observable characteristics (worse endowment of human capital or worse job
characteristics), or whether the remuneration of those characteristics is worse for immigrants
than for natives. Table 3 shows the aggregated results of Yun’s (2004) decomposition11. From
this table we can see that the differences in the probability of being overeducated between
both types of immigrants and natives are statistically significant and consistent with the
differences in the percentages of overeducation between groups observed in figure 2. In
particular, we obtain that this difference is around 6%, although it is around 10% when
immigrants from non‐EU countries are compared to natives. In both cases, immigrants
experience the higher probability of being overeducated, but the causes of these differences
are not the same in both cases. In the case of the difference in the probability of being
overeducated between immigrants from EU countries and natives, we can see that the 61% of
this difference is explained by differences in characteristics. So, immigrants from EU countries
have higher probability of being overeducated because they have worst observable
characteristics than natives. The 39% of the difference is due to differences in coefficients, but 11 The results of the detailed decomposition are shown in Table A.2. in the Annex.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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is not statistically significant. That is, immigrants from EU and natives with the same
endowments are equally remunerated. Concerning the difference in the probability of being
overeducated between immigrants from non‐EU countries and natives, the 81% of this
difference can be explained by differences in coefficients (is statistically significant). That is,
immigrants from non‐EU countries are not remunerate at the same way than natives, although
both are characterized by the same endowments.
5. FINAL REMARKS
In this paper, we have analysed differences in skill mismatches between immigrants and
natives in EU countries. Using microdata from the Adult Education Survey (AES), we have
analysed the incidence of different types of skill mismatches (vertical and horizontal) among
native and immigrant workers.
Our results show that there is no significant difference in the probability of having horizontal
mismatch between natives and immigrants once individual characteristics are controlled for.
However, we found that immigrants are more likely to be overeducated than natives, and that
this effect is higher for immigrants from non‐EU countries than for those from other EU
countries, although the pace of the assimilation process in the host country is faster for the
first group. Applying Yun’s (2004) decomposition, we also found that immigrants from the EU
have a higher probability of being overeducated than natives because they are characterized
by worse observable characteristics which influence positively the probability of
overeducation, whereas results for immigrants from non‐EU countries suggest the opposite:
the gap is explained by differences in the remuneration of observable characteristics. This
result points out that immigrants from non‐UE countries have a limited transferability of their
human capital that pushes their situation of overeducation in the host country.
To sum up, our results confirm that immigrants experience a higher overeducation penalty
than natives due to the imperfect transferability of the human capital acquired in their origin
countries. However, immigrants accumulate knowledge and experience in the host country
that adapt to the local labour market, thus facilitating an assimilation process that reduces the
intensity of overeducation. The pace of assimilation however is notably slow for immigrants.
Therefore there is a certain risk that immigrants from outside the European Union remain
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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permanently trapped in bad jobs, regardless of their levels of education. Taking into account
the wage consequences of overeducation, this last result implies that the wage gap between
native and immigrants will not disappear after several years of residence in the host country.
Policy actions should focus on three different aspects: first, incorporating in the migration
policy formal criteria related to educational levels and to the match with the current needs in
the labour market (i.e, like the Australian points system); second, trying to design a system of
assessment and recognition of foreign‐acquired educational degrees in order to give an
appropriate signal to the labour market and, third, providing publicy‐provided informal
training to recently arrived immigrants with appropriate skills in order to improve the
transferability of their skills to the new labour market.
Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs Natives SEARCH WP3/08
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7. FIGURES AND TABLES
Figure 1. Proportion of immigrant’ population in total population (average 2009‐2011)
Source: Eurostat
Figure 2. Percentage of vertical mismatch Figure 3. Percentage of horizontal mismatch
Data: AES 2007 Data: AES 2007
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Figure 4. Percentage of immigrants with vertical mismatch by years of residence in the host
country
Data: AES 2007
Figure 5. Percentage of immigrants with horizontal mismatch by years of residence in the
host country
Data: AES 2007
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Table 1: Marginal effects of the probability to be overeducated
VARIABLES (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Immigrant 0.445*** [0.0524] Immig. UE 0.352*** 0.348*** 0.294*** 0.290*** [0.0865] [0.0859] [0.0867] [0.0862]Immig. no‐UE 0.515*** 0.515*** 0.461*** 0.463*** [0.0631] [0.0625] [0.0667] [0.0663]Male 0.00286 0.00279 ‐0.0133 0.00307 0.00322 [0.00776] [0.00776] [0.00930] [0.00961] [0.00961]Age ‐0.00413*** ‐0.00413*** ‐0.00385*** ‐0.00197*** ‐0.00197*** [0.000398] [0.000398] [0.000399] [0.000479] [0.000479]Years of residence ‐0.0304*** [0.00460] Years of residence x immig. UE ‐0.0239*** ‐0.0241*** ‐0.0212*** ‐0.0206*** [0.00711] [0.00702] [0.00697] [0.00693]Years of residence x immig. no‐UE ‐0.0354*** ‐0.0354*** ‐0.0319*** ‐0.0316*** [0.00606] [0.00597] [0.00586] [0.00584]Household size (nº of people) 0.00972** 0.00972** 0.00932** 0.00856* 0.00731 [0.00469] [0.00470] [0.00466] [0.00461] [0.00463]Children at home ‐0.00413 ‐0.00427 ‐0.00383 ‐0.00528 ‐0.00647 [0.00818] [0.00818] [0.00815] [0.00822] [0.00824]Educational level (ref. ISCED3)
ISCED4 0.696*** 0.696*** 0.703*** 0.705*** 0.706*** [0.0114] [0.0114] [0.0112] [0.0111] [0.0111]ISCED5&6 0.134*** 0.135*** 0.157*** 0.166*** 0.169*** [0.00972] [0.00972] [0.0104] [0.0106] [0.0106]
Non formal education ‐0.0399*** ‐0.0396*** ‐0.0327*** ‐0.0203** ‐0.0209*** [0.00820] [0.00819] [0.00811] [0.00812] [0.00812]Field of education (ref. education)
Humanities 0.229*** 0.203*** 0.206*** [0.0320] [0.0321] [0.0322]Social science 0.194*** 0.158*** 0.159*** [0.0254] [0.0259] [0.0260]Science 0.135*** 0.105*** 0.108*** [0.0319] [0.0315] [0.0317]Engineering 0.193*** 0.156*** 0.156*** [0.0259] [0.0264] [0.0264]Agriculture 0.304*** 0.253*** 0.249*** [0.0389] [0.0410] [0.0411]Health 0.127*** 0.121*** 0.121*** [0.0283] [0.0282] [0.0282]Services 0.282*** 0.244*** 0.245***
[0.0330] [0.0340] [0.0340]Economic activity (ref. industry)
Agriculture 0.0113 0.00761 [0.0286] [0.0284]Construction ‐0.00911 ‐0.00897 [0.0174] [0.0175]Services ‐0.00995 ‐0.00737 [0.0113] [0.0114]No sale services ‐0.0540*** ‐0.0527*** [0.0121] [0.0121]
Tenure ‐0.00295*** ‐0.00298*** [0.000519] [0.000518]Fulltime job ‐0.0502*** ‐0.0502*** [0.0120] [0.0120]Temporary contract 0.0305** 0.0306** [0.0135] [0.0134]Big company (more than 10 workers) ‐0.0444*** ‐0.0425*** [0.0100] [0.0101]Urban Size No No No No YesCountry F.E. Yes Yes Yes Yes YesObservations 30901 30901 30901 30901 30901
Note: Robust standard errors are reported between brackets. * Significant at the 10% level. ** Significant at the 5% level. *** Significant at
the 1% level.
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Table 2: Marginal effects of the probability to present horizontal mismatch
VARIABLES (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Immigrant 0.151*** [0.0579] Immig. UE 0.130 0.0467 0.0433 0.0434 [0.0835] [0.0826] [0.0862] [0.0863]Immig. no‐UE 0.161** 0.140 0.110 0.110 [0.0781] [0.0889] [0.0945] [0.0945]Male ‐0.0545*** ‐0.0547*** ‐0.0413*** ‐0.0103 ‐0.0103 [0.00934] [0.00934] [0.0146] [0.0147] [0.0147]Age 0.000666 0.000681 0.00133** 0.00441*** 0.00441*** [0.000503] [0.000503] [0.000608] [0.000726] [0.000727]Years of residence ‐0.0100* [0.00577] Years of residence x immig. UE ‐0.0118 ‐0.00704 ‐0.00819 ‐0.00820 [0.00858] [0.00926] [0.00963] [0.00963]Years of residence x immig. no‐UE ‐0.00878 ‐0.00849 ‐0.00743 ‐0.00744 [0.00771] [0.00889] [0.00937] [0.00937]Household size (nº of people) ‐0.00609 ‐0.00636 ‐0.000252 0.00502 0.00504 [0.00595] [0.00597] [0.00737] [0.00748] [0.00755]Children at home ‐0.0125 ‐0.0127 ‐0.0127 ‐0.0118 ‐0.0118 [0.0100] [0.0100] [0.0121] [0.0122] [0.0122]Educational level (ref. ISCED3)
ISCED4 ‐0.0136 ‐0.0137 ‐0.0318 ‐0.0445 ‐0.0445 [0.0231] [0.0231] [0.0275] [0.0274] [0.0274]ISCED5&6 0.0227** 0.0228** ‐0.0270** ‐0.0416*** ‐0.0416*** [0.0104] [0.0104] [0.0132] [0.0134] [0.0135]
Non formal education 0.0243** 0.0251*** 0.0234* 0.0194 0.0195 [0.00972] [0.00971] [0.0120] [0.0120] [0.0120]
Fieldofeducation(ref.education)
Humanities 0.598*** 0.605*** 0.605*** [0.0113] [0.0107] [0.0107]Social science ‐0.205*** ‐0.209*** ‐0.209*** [0.0213] [0.0221] [0.0221]Science 0.624*** 0.629*** 0.629*** [0.00707] [0.00714] [0.00714]Engineering ‐0.101*** ‐0.0692** ‐0.0692** [0.0247] [0.0269] [0.0269]Agriculture 0.482*** 0.496*** 0.496*** [0.0201] [0.0190] [0.0190]Health 0.0616** 0.0518** 0.0518** [0.0251] [0.0253] [0.0253]Services 0.438*** 0.427*** 0.427***
[0.0214] [0.0232] [0.0232]Economic activity (ref. industry)
Agriculture 0.0229 0.0231 [0.0545] [0.0546]Construction ‐0.190*** ‐0.190*** [0.0206] [0.0206]Services 0.104*** 0.104*** [0.0180] [0.0181]No sale services 0.103*** 0.103*** [0.0192] [0.0192]
Tenure ‐0.00612*** ‐0.00612*** [0.000715] [0.000714]Fulltime job ‐0.00506 ‐0.00507 [0.0171] [0.0171]Temporary contract 0.0125 0.0125 [0.0202] [0.0202]Big company (more than 10 workers) 0.000894 0.000854 [0.0139] [0.0140]Urban Size No No No No YesCountry F.E. Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
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Observations 30901 30901 30901 30901 30901
Note: Robust standard errors are reported between brackets. * Significant at the 10% level. ** Significant at the 5% level. *** Significant
at the 1% level.
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Table 3: General decomposition of the differences in the probability of being overeducated between immigrants and natives
Immigrants from EU vs. Natives Immigrants from non‐EU vs. Natives
Diff. in characteristics 0.0364*** 0.0188 (61%) (19%)Diff. in coefficients 0.0233 0.0816*** (39%) (81%) Total 0.0597*** 0.100*** Note: Percentages of the contribution are reported between parentheses. * Significant at the 10% level ** Significant at the 5% level. *** Significant at the 1% level.
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8. Annex
Table A.1. Descriptive statistics
Natives Immigrant from EU Immigrant from outside EU
Variable Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev
Vertical mismatch 0.2489 0.4324 0.3101 0.4628 0.3510 0.4774
Horizontal mismatch 0.3904 0.4878 0.3970 0.4895 0.4521 0.4979
Male 0.5212 0.4996 0.5813 0.4936 0.6064 0.4887
Female 0.4788 0.4996 0.4187 0.4936 0.3936 0.4887
Age 42.0981 9.7277 42.0288 9.5370 41.3213 9.2157
Years of residence 0.0000 0.0000 9.5300 2.8557 9.5134 2.6015
Household size (nº of people) 2.1413 0.8149 2.0994 0.7988 2.2415 0.8786
Children at home 0.3780 0.4849 0.4323 0.4957 0.4590 0.4985
No children at home 0.6160 0.4864 0.5627 0.4963 0.5278 0.4994
Education level ISCED3 0.5391 0.4985 0.5303 0.4994 0.5682 0.4955
Education level ISCED4 0.0711 0.2569 0.0495 0.2170 0.0624 0.2420
Education level ISCED5&6 0.3899 0.4877 0.4202 0.4939 0.3694 0.4828
Non‐formal education (NFE) 0.5494 0.4976 0.5281 0.4995 0.3802 0.4856
No NFE 0.4506 0.4976 0.4719 0.4995 0.6198 0.4856
Field of education:
Education 0.0561 0.2300 0.0372 0.1893 0.0327 0.1779
Humanities 0.0554 0.2288 0.0949 0.2932 0.0575 0.2328
Social science 0.2912 0.4543 0.1868 0.3900 0.2280 0.4197
Science 0.0518 0.2216 0.0597 0.2370 0.0752 0.2639
Engineering 0.3404 0.4739 0.4667 0.4992 0.4062 0.4913
Agriculture 0.0265 0.1606 0.0178 0.1324 0.0243 0.1540
Health 0.1072 0.3093 0.0676 0.2511 0.0776 0.2676
Services 0.0715 0.2577 0.0693 0.2541 0.0984 0.2980
Economic activity:
Agriculture 0.0124 0.1109 0.0049 0.0696 0.0099 0.0989
Industry 0.2301 0.4209 0.2225 0.4162 0.2669 0.4425
Construction 0.0616 0.2404 0.0982 0.2977 0.0873 0.2824
Services 0.3191 0.4661 0.4061 0.4914 0.3604 0.4803
No sale services 0.3768 0.4846 0.2684 0.4434 0.2755 0.4469
Tenure 13.0985 10.1193 9.9585 8.3261 8.7355 7.9138
Full time job 0.8220 0.3825 0.8140 0.3893 0.8374 0.3691
Part time job 0.1780 0.3825 0.1860 0.3893 0.1626 0.3691
Temporary contract 0.0784 0.2688 0.1401 0.3473 0.1795 0.3839
Permanent contract 0.8981 0.3025 0.8115 0.3914 0.8173 0.3865
Firm size
Big company 0.7906 0.4069 0.7784 0.4156 0.7499 0.4332
Small company 0.2094 0.4069 0.2216 0.4156 0.2501 0.4332
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Observations 28409 28409 894 894 1598 1598
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Table A.2. Detailed Yun decomposition of the probability of being overeducated
between immigrants and natives (continues)
Immigrants from EU countries vs. natives
Immigrants from non‐EU countries vs. natives
VARIABLES E C E C
Total dif. between groups 0.0597*** 0.100*** [0.0192] [0.0141] Total 0.0364*** 0.0233 0.0188 0.0816*** [0.0119] [0.0193] [0.0135] [0.0178] Male ‐0.00393*** 0.636 ‐0.00317 ‐0.0244* [0.00147] [11.19] [0.00234] [0.0141] Female ‐0.00393*** ‐0.584 ‐0.00317 0.0224* [0.00147] [10.28] [0.00234] [0.0129] Age ‐0.000475*** ‐6.817 ‐0.00319 0.336*** [0.000173] [120.6] [0.00206] [0.125] Isced3 0.00224*** 0.215 ‐0.0154*** ‐0.112*** [0.000369] [3.808] [0.00525] [0.0269] Isced4 ‐0.00844*** ‐0.0758 ‐0.00645*** 0.0207*** [0.00143] [1.336] [0.00230] [0.00559] Isced5_6 ‐0.00409*** 0.261 0.00442** ‐0.0325* [0.00120] [4.586] [0.00189] [0.0184] NFE ‐7.76e‐05 ‐0.138 0.00147 0.00384 [0.000421] [2.467] [0.00375] [0.0132] No NFE ‐7.76e‐05 0.113 0.00147 ‐0.00315 [0.000421] [2.023] [0.00375] [0.0109] Household size ‐0.00112 ‐0.822 0.00362 0.0655 [0.000974] [14.66] [0.00222] [0.0530] Children at home 0.000785 ‐0.117 ‐0.00104 ‐0.00300 [0.00104] [2.082] [0.00183] [0.00861] No children at home 0.000770 0.191 ‐0.00114 0.00489 [0.00102] [3.393] [0.00200] [0.0140] Field of education:
Education 0.00223 ‐0.00719 0.00346 0.00167 [0.00177] [0.156] [0.00220] [0.00527] Humanities 0.00269 ‐0.0307 4.94e‐05 ‐0.00150 [0.00262] [0.545] [0.000125] [0.00356] Social Science 0.00633 0.368 ‐0.00115 ‐8.90e‐05 [0.00504] [6.442] [0.00298] [0.0144] Science 0.000179 ‐0.0587 0.00135 0.00631 [0.000670] [1.046] [0.00164] [0.00387] Engineering ‐0.00771 0.442 ‐0.00167 ‐0.0161 [0.00653] [7.848] [0.00302] [0.0160] Agriculture ‐0.00162 ‐0.0580 ‐0.000363 0.00226 [0.00101] [1.023] [0.000236] [0.00266] Health 0.00451** 0.171 0.00403 ‐0.0118 [0.00228] [3.030] [0.00246] [0.00826] Services ‐0.000168 ‐0.0111 0.00117 ‐0.00373
[0.000119] [0.203] [0.00195] [0.00538]
Note: Robust standard errors are reported between brackets. * Significant at the 10% level. ** Significant at the 5% level.
*** Significant at the 1% level.
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Table A.2. Detailed Yun decomposition of the probability of being overeducated
between immigrants and natives (continuation)
Immigrants from EU countries vs. natives
Immigrants from non‐EU countries vs. natives
VARIABLES E C E C
Economic activity: Agriculture ‐0.00136 ‐0.0340 1.45e‐07 ‐0.000364 [0.000873] [0.600] [0.000277] [0.00142] Industry ‐3.86e‐05 0.0245 0.00104 0.00295 [0.000369] [0.467] [0.00186] [0.0125] Construction 0.00458** ‐0.147 0.00265 0.00779** [0.00227] [2.598] [0.00173] [0.00387] Services ‐0.00817** 0.559 0.00109 0.00484 [0.00370] [9.904] [0.00177] [0.0141] No sale services 0.0234*** 1.229 0.0160** ‐0.0472**
[0.00595] [21.67] [0.00738] [0.0223] Tenure 0.0224*** 1.070 0.0339*** ‐0.0599 [0.00858] [18.81] [0.0113] [0.0441] Fulltime job 4.52e‐05 ‐0.231 ‐0.000616 ‐0.00735 [0.000212] [4.119] [0.000560] [0.0274] Part time job 4.52e‐05 0.0501 ‐0.000616 0.00159 [0.000212] [0.892] [0.000560] [0.00593] Temporary contract ‐6.54e‐05 0.0124 0.00734* 0.00492** [0.00174] [0.224] [0.00378] [0.00241] Permanent contract ‐9.18e‐05 ‐0.142 0.00587* ‐0.0564** [0.00245] [2.564] [0.00302] [0.0277] Big company 0.000441 0.232 ‐8.29e‐05 0.0234 [0.000308] [4.158] [0.00108] [0.0225] Small company 0.000441 ‐0.0614 ‐8.29e‐05 ‐0.00620 [0.000308] [1.101] [0.00108] [0.00596] Urban size:
Big degree urb. ‐0.000326 ‐0.0728 ‐0.00522 ‐0.00445 [0.00429] [1.282] [0.00672] [0.0140] Medium degree urb. 0.00277 0.136 0.00382 ‐0.0188 [0.00349] [2.395] [0.00301] [0.0133] Small degree urb. ‐0.000750 ‐0.0552 ‐0.01000 0.0153
[0.00101] [0.986] [0.00712] [0.0104]
Note: Robust standard errors are reported between brackets. * Significant at the 10% level. ** Significant at the 5% level.
*** Significant at the 1% level.
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Table A.2. Detailed Yun decomposition of the probability of being overeducated
between immigrants and natives (end)
Immigrants from EU countries vs. natives
Immigrants from non‐EU countries vs. natives
VARIABLES E C E C
Countries: Austria ‐0.000571 0.0396 0.00138** 0.00935*** [0.000564] [0.703] [0.000588] [0.00262] Belgium 9.70e‐05 ‐0.0162 ‐0.00171 0.00449 [0.000979] [0.281] [0.00167] [0.00313] Cyprus 0.000244*** ‐0.00346 1.03e‐05** 0.000445* [9.48e‐05] [0.0605] [4.71e‐06] [0.000247] Czech Republic 0.000377 0.0281 ‐0.00853 0.00814 [0.00205] [0.503] [0.00766] [0.00712] Germany ‐0.00208 0.272 ‐0.0130* ‐0.0558** [0.00291] [4.731] [0.00727] [0.0251] Denmark ‐0.000356 0.0238 ‐0.00339 0.00250 [0.00140] [0.426] [0.00458] [0.00524] Estonia 0.000799* 0.0118 ‐0.00148* ‐0.000129 [0.000412] [0.209] [0.000756] [0.000318] Spain 0.00504*** ‐0.434 0.0125*** 0.0299*** [0.000979] [7.670] [0.00471] [0.00796] France ‐0.00491 0.0435 ‐0.00468 ‐0.00372 [0.00491] [0.778] [0.00346] [0.0139] Lithuania 0.00236 ‐0.0154 0.000397*** ‐0.0108*** [0.00312] [0.288] [0.000150] [0.00276] Latvia 0.000728 0.0172 ‐0.00317** ‐0.00256** [0.000695] [0.304] [0.00136] [0.001000] Portugal 0.00192** ‐0.0214 0.00103* 0.000615 [0.000779] [0.376] [0.000606] [0.00101] Sweden 0.00137 0.0181 6.56e‐06** 0.00282
[0.00120] [0.329] [2.85e‐06] [0.00329] Constant 3.814 ‐0.0186 [67.54] [0.127] Observations 29303 29303 30007 30007
Note: Robust standard errors are reported between brackets. * Significant at the 10% level. ** Significant at the 5% level.
*** Significant at the 1% level.