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Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science University of Waterloo CCSES Workshop April 28, 2014

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Page 1: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Smart Grid: Status and Challenges

S. Keshav School of Computer science University of Waterloo

CCSES Workshop April 28, 2014

Page 2: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Outline

¡  The grid has real problems ¡  that smart grids can solve

¡  These problems are intrinsic and difficult ¡  so progress has been slow

¡  Three areas where changes are imminent are solar, storage, and sensing ¡  I’ll give some examples of my work in these areas

Page 3: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

The grid has some real problems

Page 4: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

   

4  

1. Overprovisioned

capacity

Page 5: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

2. Inefficient

5% better efficiency of US grid

= zero emission from 53 million cars

http://www.oe.energy.gov/

Page 6: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

3. Aging

Post-war infrastructure is reaching EOL

Page 7: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

4. Uneven

TWh generated

¡ China 4,938

¡ US 4,256

Daily W/capita (2012 est.)

395

1402

Wikipedia

Page 8: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

5. Poorly measured

Page 9: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

6. Poorly controlled

¡  Electrons are not addressible

Page 10: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

7. Huge carbon footprint

Page 11: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Smart grid vision

Page 12: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Current grid

¡  Renewables/low carbon

¡  Storage rich

¡  Sensing rich

¡  Control rich

¡  Flexible

¡  Energy frugal

¡  Decentralized generation

High carbon footprint

Little to no storage

Poorly measured

Poorly controlled

Ossified

Inefficient

Centralized generation

“Smart” grid

Page 13: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Source: European technology platform: Smart Grids

Page 14: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Intrinsic challenges

Page 15: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

1. Matching demand and supply

Barnhart et al, Proc. Energy and Environment, 6:2804, 2013

Page 16: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

2. Controlling distributed generators

US EIA

Page 17: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

3. Control over many time scales

Jeff Taft, Cisco

Page 18: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

4. Complex control architecture

Wid

e A

rea

Mon

itorin

g an

d C

ontro

l Sys

tem

(WA

MC

S) N

etw

orks

Conventional Wind Solar Storage

Internet

Distributed Energy Resources (DER)

(large scale)

Converged Voice, Data, and Video

Area ControlError (ACE)

Control

Virtual Power Plant (VPP)/Demand Response (DR)

Application

Reference Model

Trans-Regional Balancing Org.

Interchange Authority/Reliability Coordinator Grid Direct Current (DC) Inter-Ties Other Regions

Other Energy Traders

Utility EnergyTrading

UtilityNOC

• Customers• Suppliers• Retail Energy Providers (REP)• Third Parties

Third PartyStabilization

Services

Other TransmissionSystem Operators (TSO)/

Distribution System Operators (DSO) and Verticals

IndependentPower

Producers(IPP)

Other Region Phasor Measurement Unit

(PMU) Data

Other TSO PMU Data

Web Portals

Balancing Authority

VPP/DRApplication

ACEControl

Other Balancing Authorities

Trans-Regional Energy Markets

Wholesale Energy Markets

Trans-Regional/Trans-National TierTrans-Regional Networks

System Control TierInter-Substation Networks

Interchange TierInterchange Networks

Balancing TierControl Area Networks

Synchronous Grid Inter-Tie Control

WAMCS Network Operations Center (NOC)/

Data Center

Inter-Control Center NetworksEnterprise Networks Utility Tier

Intra-Control/Data Center Tier

AncillaryServices

VPP/DR Data/Signals

Control CenterNetwork

FieldDispatch

CallCenter

Control Center Control CenterControl CenterApplicationsand Users

EnterpriseApplicationsand Users

Control CenterNetwork

Data CenterData Center

Network

Transmission PMU Data

Substation Tier

D Level 1 Tier

D Level 2 Tier

Transmission Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Sensor Networks

PhasorMeasurement

Unit (PMU)

Distribution Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Sub-Transmission Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Traction Substation

Intra-Substation Networks

Urban FANs Rural FANs

Sensor Networks

Electric Vehicle (EV)Sub-networks

Prosumer Tier

Third Party Aggregator of DR, Distributed

Generation (DG), etc.

FeederD-PMU

Nets

Sensors

Controls

Home Energy Controller

Controls

Displays

ChargerMeter

Inverter Control

Protection and Control

Inverter Control

Distribution PMU

Feeder

DistributeResourc

(large

Streetlight Systems

Line Sensor

Volt/ VAR Regulation

Fault Isolation and Service Restoration Nets

Sensor Subsystems

Inverter Control

DA Devices

DER Protection

Distribution Automation (DA) Sub-networks

Gateway

Transmission LevelStabilization

© 2011 Cisco and the Cisco Logo are trademarks of Cisco and/or its affiliates in the U.S. and other countries. A listing of Cisco’s trademarks can be found at www.cisco.com/go/trademarks. Third-party trademarks mentioned are the property of their respective owners. The use of the word partner does not imply a partnership relationship between Cisco and any other company. (1009R) C82-676734 6/11

Distribution LevelStabilization

(DSTATCOM)

Neighborhood Area Networks (NAN) (Residential, Commercial and Industrial)

Residential Networks Building Networks Private Microgrid Networks In-Vehicle Networks

In

D

Cisco

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5. Consumers lack incentives

¡  Energy savings of 10% ¡  $10/month

Page 20: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

6. Utilities also lack incentives!

Page 21: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

7. Huge legacy infrastructure

Page 22: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

8. Storage is complex and expensive

¡ No clear winner in terms of technology

¡ Need to balance energy and power

Page 23: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Status

Page 24: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Depressing…

A.  Demand response – only time of use pricing

B.  Storage - tiny

C.  Smart buildings and homes – demo stage

D.  Microgrids – rare

E.  Electric vehicles – early stage

F.  Security and privacy – mostly missing

Page 25: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Three inflection points

¡  Solar

¡  Storage

¡  Sensing

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Page 28: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

McKinsey, 2014

Page 29: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Storage

¡ Global investment to reach $122 Billion by 2021

Pike Research

Page 30: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Storage alternatives

“Bytes”

“Bits/s”

Declining to $125/KWh

Page 31: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Process storage

Page 32: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Thermal storage

Page 33: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Sensing

Michigan Micro Mote

Page 34: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

So what?

Page 35: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Grid

Solar

Electrons

Storage

Transmission line

Transmission network

Distribution network

Demand response

Internet

= Variable bit-rate source

= Bits

= Buffer

= Communication link

= Tier 1 ISP

= Tier 2/3 ISP

= Congestion control

Page 36: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Equivalence theorem

Server(C)

L1

Ln

Buffer (B)

Storage(B)

L1

Ln

.

.

.

Transformer (C)

PCS

Every trajectory on the LHS has an equivalent on the RHS •  can use teletraffic theory to study transformer sizing

O. Ardakanian, S. Keshav, and C. Rosenberg. On the Use of Teletraffic Theory in Power Distribution Systems, e-Energy ’12.

Page 37: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Guidelines for transformer sizing

HydroOne’s guidelines

Prediction from teletraffic theory

O. Ardakanian, S. Keshav, and C. Rosenberg. On the Use of Teletraffic Theory in Power Distribution Systems, e-Energy ’12.

Can also quantify impact of storage

Page 38: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Real%Time%Distributed%Congestion%Control%for%Electrical%Vehicle%Charging%

Smart%Grid%Architecture%%

4%

O. Ardakanian, C. Rosenberg and, S. Keshav, “Distributed Control of Electric Vehicle Charging”. e-Energy ’13

“TCP” for EV charging

¡  1 EV = 5 homes ¡  Creates hotspots

¡  Real-time AIMD control of EV charging rate

¡  Solution is both fair and efficient

Page 39: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Stochastic network calculus

Joint work with Y. Ghiassi-Farrokhfal and C. Rosenberg

Page 40: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

“Rainbarrel” model

uncontrolled stochastic input

uncontrolled stochastic output

range What barrel size to avoid overflow and underflow “with high probability”?

Page 41: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Envelope idea

lower envelope ≤ Σinput ≤ upper envelope

lower envelope ≤ Σ output ≤ upper envelope

Envelopes are computed from a dataset of trajectories

Page 42: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Stochastic envelopes

P((Σinput - lower envelope) > x) = ae-x

P((upper envelope –Σinput) > x) = be-x

Page 43: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Stochastic network calculus

Equivalence

Wang, Kai, et al. "A stochastic power network calculus for integrating renewable energy sources into the power grid.” Selected Areas in Communications, IEEE Journal on 30.6 (2012): 1037-1048.

Page 44: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Analytic results

¡ Minimizing storage size to smooth solar/wind sources

¡ Optimal participation of a solar farm in day-ahead energy markets

¡ Modeling of imperfect storage devices

¡ Optimal operation of diesel generators to deal with power cuts in developing countries

Joint work with Y. Ghiassi-Farrokhfal, S. Singla, and C. Rosenberg

Page 45: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Load reduction using extreme sensing

Page 46: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Smart Personal Thermal Comfort

Fine-grained thermal control of individual offices

P.X. Gao and S. Keshav, Optimal Personal Comfort Management Using SPOT+, Proc. BuildSys Workshop, November 2013. P. X. Gao and S. Keshav, SPOT: A Smart Personalized Office Thermal Control System, Proc. ACM e-Energy 2013, May 2013.

Page 47: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Our insight

Page 48: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

In a nutshell

¡ Mathematical comfort model

¡ When occupied, reduce comfort to the minimum acceptable level

¡ When vacant, turn heating off

¡  Pre-heat

¡ Optimal model-predictive control

20 21 22 23 24 25 26

6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tem

pe

ratu

re

Time of a day

Occupancy

Page 49: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Extreme sensing

Microsoft Kinect

5°  infrared  sensor Servos

90°  infrared  sensor

Weatherduck sensor Microcontroller

Page 50: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Comparision of schemes

0

5

10

15

20

25

0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9

Ave

rage

Dai

ly E

ne

rgy

(kW

h)

Average Absolute PPV

FixedScheduledReactive TempReactive PPVOptimal

Discomfort

Page 51: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Reflections on the research area

Page 52: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Energy research

Pros ¡  Rapidly growing area

¡  Many open problems

¡  Industry interest and support

¡  Motivated students

¡  Potential for impact

Cons ¡  Requires learning new

concepts and ideas

¡  Entrenched interests

¡  Difficult to obtain data

¡  Field trials nearly impossible

Page 53: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Many open research problems

¡  Renewables integration

¡  Multi-level control

¡  Non-cash incentive design for consumers

¡  Energy efficiency policies for utilities

¡  Storage size minimization in energy systems

¡  Incentives for EV adoption

¡  Data mining of energy data sets

¡  Peak load reduction

¡  HCI for energy applications

¡  Data center energy minimization

¡  Microgrid/nanogrid design

¡  Building energy use monitoring and reduction

Page 54: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Many publication venues

Conferences/workshops

¡  ACM eEnergy

¡  IEEE SmartGridComm

¡  ACM Buildsys

¡  ACM GreenMetrics

¡  IEEE CCSES

¡  ACM Sustainability

¡  AAAI AAMAS

Journals

¡  IEEE Trans. Smart Grid

¡  IEEE PES magazine

¡  Energy and Buildings

¡  J. Solar Power

¡  J. Power Sources

¡  Transportation

Page 55: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

ACM e-Energy 2014

¡  Premier conference at the intersection of Internet technologies and energy systems

¡  Sponsored by ACM SIGCOMM

¡  June 11-13, 2014 in Cambridge, UK

¡  Early registration deadline is Wednesday!

Page 56: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Conclusions

¡  The grid has some real problems

¡  Smart grid offers solutions, but it is still early days

¡  Three areas to watch out for ¡  Solar

¡  Storage

¡  Sensing

Page 57: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Acknowledgements

Page 58: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

ISS4E

Co-Director

Affiliated faculty

http://iss4e.ca

Page 59: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

ISS4E students

Page 60: Smart Grid: Status and Challenges - University of Waterlooblizzard.cs.uwaterloo.ca/keshav/home/Papers/data/... · Smart Grid: Status and Challenges S. Keshav School of Computer science

Our next project