SMOC Group Presentation Golden Arches ver 1 25Sept final version

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  • 8/7/2019 SMOC Group Presentation Golden Arches ver 1 25Sept final version

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    SMOC Group PresentationSMOC Group Presentation

    Scenario Planning forScenario Planning for

    Golden Arches RestaurantGolden Arches Restaurant

    SdnSdn BhdBhd (McDonald)(McDonald)

    by,by,Christine ChewChristine Chew

    LamLam SienSien TziTzi

    LewLew PuiPui MangMang

    RustamRustam AffandiAffandi

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    Objective of Study:Objective of Study:

    To study the strategic planning of Golden

    Arches Restaurant Sdn Bhd (GARSB)

    Study was done based on Scenario Planning

    (initiated by Paul Schoemaker)

    Scenario Planning is a planning tool to identify

    the basic trends and uncertainty of GARSB

    To develop tool to forecast near-term future and

    anticipation of plausible future events that might

    happen which give rise to significant effect on

    GARSB

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    1980Dec

    29Apr1982

    Todate2010

    License

    obtainedfor McD

    for Msia

    1st McD

    at JalanBukit

    Bintang

    194Restaurants

    Nationwide

    Important Development Milestones of Golden

    Arches Restaurant Sdn Bhd (GARSB)

    History in Malaysia

    (Source: www.mcdonals.com.my)

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    To be our customers favourite placeand way to eat

    To provide Simple Easy Enjoyment toevery customer at every visit

    McDonalds mission is to be our customers favourite place and way to eat with inspired people who delight each customer with unmatchedquality, service, cleanliness and value every time.

    Brand

    Mission

    (Source: www.mcdonals.com.my)

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    McDonalds 40% of quick-service

    market, 72 million burgers

    End of 2010 82 million burgers, 208outlets

    By 2014 300 outlets, 50% market share

    of quick-service, investment up to

    RM530million

    Source: (Ganesan, 2010).

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    Time frame &

    Scope of analysis:

    Review Past 5 years

    Anticipation for Next 5 years

    External forces e.g. Govt Policies, supplies,

    consumers demand, competitors, economy

    situation & social

    Shall GARSB develop & extend

    healthy product menu?

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    Source: (Kaur, 2005), (Singh 2007)

    Highlights encountered in passed 5 years:i. Banned advertisement from kids health issues

    such as obesity & diabetes

    ii. April 2005: shortage of chicken due to HALAL

    certification chicken prices 20%

    iii. Encourage Bumiputra to be entrepreneur, financial

    scheme, training, encourage rapid franchising

    iv. Enforcement of nutrition facts labellingv. Pricing strategy

    Lunch value meal RM5.95

    vi. Operation hours

    24 hours

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    Stake-holders

    Share-holders

    Employees

    CustomersMalaysia

    Government

    Suppliers

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    Political-Legal Factors

    Regulation and de-regulation trends :

    Social & employment legislation

    ax policy, trade & tariff controls

    he stronger opposition parties inParliament ouse

    Economic Factors

    International Sourcing for raw materials

    ax on Profit

    Franchise fee to US Q outflow ofForex

    Unemployment rate & inflation rate

    Social Factors

    Lifestyle changed

    Cultural Factors

    Environment Factors

    Technological

    IC advancement

    Insignificant and not giving direct impactto technology

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    Political-Legal Factors

    Regulation and de-regulation trends :

    y Government policies on the

    regulation of Fast Food Operation

    y Government controlling on the

    marketing of Fast Food Restaurantsdue to Health issues such as obesity,

    cardiovascular diseases & etc

    y Government controls the licenserelease of Fast Food Restaurants

    Social & employment legislation

    y Seek for balance relationship to

    achieve mutual benefit ofemployment

    Tax policy, trade & tariff controls

    y The implementation of the GST innear future

    y Foreign workers policy

    The stronger opposition parties inParliament House

    Economic Factors

    International Sourcing for raw materials

    y Global supply trends

    y Currency Exchange (USD vs RM)

    y Import Beef & Potatoes demand >supply in local market

    Tax on Profit

    Franchise fee to US HQ outflow ofForex

    Unemployment rate & inflation rate

    Social Factors

    Lifestyle changed

    y Higher income

    y Trend to dine out & demand for

    higher food quality

    y Ambient, hygiene environment

    requirement

    y Facilities available: wireless, online-menu, delivery service

    Cultural Factors

    y HALAL certification

    y Localized menu such as Fried

    Chicken, chicken porridge

    Environment Factors

    y Critics from environmentalists one

    of the largest of potatoes, beef andchicken consumption

    y Causes of Green House Effect

    methane gas from cows ranch

    y Use of polystyrene boxes to servefood

    Technological

    ICT advancement

    y Leverage of Supply ChainManagement on inventory

    management, ordering procedure,

    payment system to suppliers etc

    y Implementation of technology

    promotes cost saving, improveeffectiveness and efficiency

    Insignificant and not giving direct impactto technology

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    Porters 5 Forces

    Suppliers

    Power

    Mac Food (M) Sdn Bhd

    near monopolyLow bargain power on price

    Competitors Compete with others Fast food e.g. A&W, KFC

    Compete with local restaurants e.g. Old Town Ipoh

    White coffee, Secret Recipe

    Customers High Power in customers many choices

    Price driven, attracted by promotion e.g. value

    meal at RM5.95

    Substitutes Wide range of substitutesGARSB: low power

    Threat of New

    Entrant

    Market leader in hamburger

    Established & outlets in major cities/towns

    Threat low towards GARSB

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    Trend Perceived Trend in McDonalds

    T1 Political Legal : regulation & deregulation

    T2 Economy Factors : International sourcing forraw materials, inflation rate, unemployment

    T3 Social : life style change

    T4 Technology : ICT advancement (not givingdirect impact to technology)

    T5 Fast Food Lovers

    T6 Switching to Vegetarian

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    Uncertainties in 5 years Possible outcomes of Uncertainties

    1st Local Politics & Policies y Election in every 4-5 years interval

    Political status y New Policies maybe implemented

    2nd Uncertainty

    Competitors

    3rd Uncertainty y Decreased in sales

    Health conscious y Loss market share

    4th Uncertainty

    Inflation rate

    5th Uncertainty y Cost Effect

    Raw Material supply y Quality Effect

    6th Uncertainty

    Withdrawal of franchise license

    7th Uncertainty y Tarnish market image

    Extremists to boycott Western F&B y Low Public Relation

    y Increasing number of competitors to take

    over the market share

    y Government reduces commodity subsidies

    (Eg: petrol)

    y Possibility of changes in master franchise

    licensing for McDonald

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    Correlation Matrix U1 U2 U3 U4 U5 U6 U7

    U1 - ocal Politics & Policies x + + + + +

    U2 - Competitors x x ? + + 0

    U3 - Health Concious x x x + + ?

    U4 - nflation Rate x x x x + ? ?

    U5 - Raw Material & Supply Chain x x x x x + +

    U6 - Withdrawal of Franchise isence x x x x x x 0

    U7 - xtremist to boycott Western Food x x x x x x x

    Legend:

    + : Positive 0 : Zero

    - : Negative ? : Indetermination x : access via mirror image

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    Key

    Drivers

    Govt Policies

    (regulations)

    Social

    (lifestyle)

    Raw Materials

    supply

    Economy

    (tax & subsidy)

    Govt banned advertisement on

    children

    Govt may ban carbonated

    beverage in fast food restaurants,

    only fruits juice and plain waterpackage

    Consumers are more health

    conscious, avoiding high calories,

    high fat & high sodium

    Govt may increase higher taxon import materials & reduce

    subsidy

    Higher tax & reduce subsidy

    higher raw material cost

    Tiger

    roar

    Scenario

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    Key

    Drivers

    Reinvigorate

    Food by

    competitors

    Market Leader inInnovative and

    Creative Health

    Based

    Health Consciousness

    And Health Initiatives

    Employees as

    The Advocator

    Healthier As

    Hercules

    Scenario

    Specific health food providers

    and lifestylesb

    enefits Market leader in innovative

    and creative health-food-based

    promotion

    Longer life expectancy

    Decrease NGOs demand Range food and daily

    consumptions regularly

    Vigorously health initiative

    Employees as advocates of

    healthy lifestyles as internalchange agents

    Ray Kroc once quotes,

    Look after the customer and

    the business will take care of

    itself.

    New Innovation

    on Menu by

    competitors(Source: www.mcdonals.com.my)

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    QuestionTiger Roar

    Scenario

    Healthier as

    Hercules

    Scenario

    Q1: Are the trends compatiblewithin the chosen time frame?

    Yes. Yes.

    Q2: Do the scenarios combine

    outcomes of uncertainties that

    indeed go together?

    Yes. Yes

    Q3: Are the Major Stakeholders

    placed in positions they do not

    like and can change?

    No. Yes

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    Govt policies promote healthy lifestyle

    Consumers increasing awareness in health

    management

    Competitors develop low cal, low fat, low

    sodium menu

    GARSB: To develop & extend

    healthy product menu locally

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    Thank you