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©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP1 111
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SNF Services and Payment: Preparation for Today, Tomorrow, and 2020
63rd Annual AHCA/NCAL
October 9, 2012
Accountable Care and the Comprehensive Landscape
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP2
The Future Under Health Care Reform
How We Pay for Care– Bundled payments
– Payment reductions
– Shared Savings
– Value-based payment
– Independent Payment Advisory Board
How Care is Organized – Accountable care organizations
– Medical homes
– Episodes of care
– Health information exchange
How Care is Delivered– Center for Medicare and
Medicaid Innovation
– Comparative effectiveness (evidence-based best practices)
– Multidisciplinary care teams across sites of service
– Electronic Health Records
– Care Transitions
– Improved coordination of care for dual eligibles
Health care reform is designed to significantly alter:
2
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP3
Accountable Care Organizations
General Definition
A group of health care providers working together to manage and coordinate care for a defined population, that share in the risk and reward relative to the total cost of care and patient outcomes.
Medicare ACO Programs
• Medicare Shared Savings Program
• Pioneer ACOs
• Advanced Payment Initiative
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP4
Medicare ACO Programs
Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP) = 115 ACOs
• Established January 1, 2012
• Program requires the participating providers to form an ACO
• 5,000 Medicare beneficiary minimum for participation
• Two tracks: Savings only, Savings/Losses• Two 2012 start dates: 4/1/2012 & 7/1/2012
Pioneer ACO Program = 31 Pioneer
• For organizations with prior ACO-like experience
• Must enter into outcomes-based contracts with multiple payers.
• 15,000 Medicare beneficiaries minimum
• Model transitions to greater financial accountability(risk) faster. • January 1, 2012 start
4
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP5
Advanced Payment Initiative
• To be eligible, applicants for this initiative must apply for MSSP for an April or July 2012 start AND: – Not include any inpatient
facilities AND have less than $50 million in total annual revenue. OR
– Include only inpatient facilities that are critical access hospitals and/or Medicare low-volume rural hospitals AND have less than $80 million in total annual revenue.
• Application deadlines
– For April 1, 2012 start date• Applications accepted
between January 3 and February 1, 2012
– For July 1, 2012 start date• Applications accepted
between March 1 and March 30, 2012 (consistent with Shared Savings Program)
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP6
ACOs: Advanced Payment Model
Started April 1, 2012:
• Coastal Carolina Quality Care, Inc(New Bern, NC)
• Jackson Purchase Medical Associates, PSC (Paducah, KY)
• North Country ACO (Littleton, NH)
• Primary Partners, LLC (Clermont, FL) RGV ACO Health Providers, LLC(Donna, TX)
Started July 1, 2012:• Accountable Care Partners ACO, LLC (FL, GA)
• Coastal Medical, Inc. (MA, RI)
• Cumberland Center for Healthcare Innovation, LLC (TN)
• Golden Life Healthcare LLC (CA)
• Harbor Medical Associates PC (MA)
• Maryland Accountable Care Organization of Eastern Shore, LLC (MD)
• Maryland Accountable Care Organization of Western Maryland (MD, PA, WV)
• Medical Mall Services of Mississippi (MS)
• MPS ACO Physicians, LLC (CT)
• Physicians ACO, LLC (TX)
• PriMed, LLC (CT)
• Quality Independent Physicians, LLC (IN, KY)
• Reliance Healthcare Management Solutions(FL)
• St. Thomas Medical Group, PLLC (TN)
• Texoma ACO, LLC (TX)
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP7
Medicare ACO Requirements
Requirements:• Accountable for quality, cost and care
• Legal structure to receive/distribute incentives
• Sufficiency of PCPs to accept a minimum of 5,000
• Promote evidence-based medicine & patient engagement
• Patient-centered care processes
• Leadership and management structure
• Report on quality measures and other performance data
• Three-year agreement
7
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP8
Final Medicare ACO Rules:
Beneficiary Assignment
Methodology• Identify all primary care services
provided by physicians within most recent 12 months
– FQHCs/RHCs primary care services included if meet certain criteria
• Beneficiary assigned to the ACO whose PCP provided the greatest portion of primary care services
• For unassigned beneficiaries, they will look at primary care services received by other non-primary care physicians and/or other ACO professionals such as nurse practitioners.
Beneficiary assignment is:• Prospective at the beginning of
each performance year
• Updated quarterly based upon most recent 12 months of data
• Reconciled at the end of the performance year
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP9
One-sided Model Two-sided Model
Maximum Sharing Rate 50% 60%
Minimum Savings Rate (MSR)
2.0-3.9% 2.0%
Shared Savings • Share in first dollar savings after MSR met
• Share in first dollar savings after MSR met
Shared Savings Cap 10% 15%
Shared Losses Not applicable After 2% Minimum Loss RateShared Losses = 1- Quality RateYear 1: 5%Year 2: 7.5%Year 3: 10%
Final Medicare ACO Rules:
Comparing the Two MSSP Payment Models
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP10
Pioneer ACO Payment ModelsCore Option A Option B Alternative 1 Alternative 2
Year 1
60% - two-sided
10% sharing cap
10% loss cap,
1% MSR
50% - two-sided
5% sharing cap
5% loss cap,
1% MSR
70% - two-sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
50% - one-sided
5% sharing cap
2-2.7% MSR
(depends upon #
of beneficiaries)
60% - two-sided
10% sharing cap
10% loss cap,
1% MSR
Year 2
70% - two-sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
60% - two-sided
10% sharing cap
10% loss cap,
1% MSR
75% - two-sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
70% - two-sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
70% - two-sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
Year 3
Population-based
pymt of up to 50%
of expected Part A
& B revenue
Risk: 70% - two-
sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
Population-based pymt
of up to 50% of
expected Part A & B
revenue
Risk: 70% - two-sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
Population-based
pymt of up to 50%
of expected Part A
& B revenue
Risk: 75% - two-
sided
15% sharing cap
15% loss cap,
1% MSR
Population-based
pymt of up to
100% of expected
Part B revenue,
less 3% discount
Risk: Full risk for
all Part B w/3-6%
discount
(depending upon
quality scores) and
shared risk for Part
A (same as Yr 2)
Population-based
pymt of up to
100% of expected
Part A& B
revenue, less 3%
discount
Risk: Full risk for
all Part A & B w/3-
6% discount
(depending upon
quality scores)
Year 4
Same as above.
Rebase using 2011,
2012, 2013 data
Same as above.
Rebase using 2011,
2012, 2013 data
Same as above.
Rebase using
2011, 2012, 2013
data
Same as above.
Rebase using
2011, 2012, 2013
data
Same as above.
Rebase using
2011, 2012, 2013
data
Year 5 Same as above. Same as above. Same as above. Same as above. Same as above.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP11
Final Medicare ACO Rules Determining Shared Savings
Shared Savings Formula
BYr. 1
Historical
ACOSpecific
Benchmark
ACOSpecific
Benchmark
ACOSpecific
Benchmark
Y 1 Y 2 Y 3
Benchmark: Three-year risk & growth trend adjusted per beneficiary spending rate. Projected and updated based on National FFS spending rate.
Minimum Savings Rate(MSR): One-sided model = 2.0 to 3.9 %,based upon # of assigned Medicare beneficiaries. Max savings = 10% of benchmark. Two-sided model = 2%. Max savings : 15% of benchmark.
BYr. 2
BYr 3
10%
30%
60% Most recent3 years actual spending rate, weighted by
year.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP12
2012 Medicare ACOs
Brown & TolandPhysiciansHealthcare Partners Medical GroupHeritage California ACOMonarch Healthcare
Primecare Medical NetworkSharp Healthcare System
Healthcare Partners of
Nevada
North Texas ACO
Seton Health Alliance
Allina Hospitals & ClinicsFairview Health SystemsPark Nicollet Health Services
Bellin-ThedacareHealthcare PartnersAllina Hospitals & Clinics
Genesys PHOMichigan PioneerUniversity of MI
Presbyterian Healthcare
Services
OSF Healthcare System
Franciscan AllianceTriHealth, Inc.
Atrius Health
Beth Israel Deaconess
Physician Org
Mt. Auburn Cambridge
IPA
Partners Healthcare.
Steward Health Care
Systems
Eastern Maine Healthcare System
Dartmouth-Hitchcock ACO
RenaissanceMedical Mgmt Co.
JSA Medical Group, a division of HealthCare Partners
BronxAccountableHealthcare Network
= Pioneer & MSSP ACOs
= Pioneer ACOs only
= MSSP ACOs onlyAs of July 2012
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP13
Proposed Medicare ACO Rules
The ACO Paradigm
Patient Centered
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP14
Medicare Accountable Care Organizations
Providers eligible to form an ACO:– ACO professionals in group practice
– Networks of individual practices of ACO professionals;
– Partnerships and joint ventures between hospitals and ACO Professionals;
– Hospitals employing ACO professionals
– Critical Access Hospitals under Method II
– Federally Qualified Health Centers
– Rural Health Centers
•Cannot include providers participating in other shared savings programs or demos or the Independence at Home pilot.
ACO professionals :
• Physicians
• Nurse Practitioners
• Physician Assistants
• Clinical Nurse Specialists
Other eligible ACO participants
• Skilled Nursing Facilities
• Home Health Care
• Hospice
• Comprehensive outpatient rehabilitation facility
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP15
ACO Network
ACO Providers:Bonus-Eligible
Non-ACO Preferred Providers
Non- Preferred Providers
ACO Network: “A Team of Rivals”
•Primary Care Practitioners
•Hospitals
• “Value” Providers • Low Quality, High Cost Providers
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP16
ACO Configurations Will Vary: PCP Model
Contracted Services
Primary Care Group Practice
OrIndependent Practice
Association
•Hospitals
•Specialists
•Post-acute
ACO
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP17
ACO Configurations Will Vary: Multi-Specialty
Contracted Services
Multi-Specialty Group PracticeOr
Independent Practice Association
•Hospitals
•Post-acute
ACO
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP18
ACO Configurations Will Vary: Integrated Acute
Contracted Services
Integrated Acute Care Delivery Systems
•Post-acute
ACO
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP19
ACO Configurations Will Vary: Continuum
The Integrated Continuum
ACO
• PCPs
•Hospitals
• Specialists
• Post Acute
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP20
ACO Configurations will vary: Others?
20
Contracted/Preferred Provider Services
Chronic Care Management Alliance
• Specialists
• Hospitals
ACO
Value provider on orthopedic
Value provider on Cardiac Care
Specialists
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP21
• Beneficiary Choice maintained
– Choice of Providers in/out of ACO
– Can opt out
– ACO prohibited from offering beneficiaries inducements for certain behavior.
• Contract Terms– ACO can add or remove participants or providers throughout the
contract. Requires a 30-day notice to CMS.
– CMS can terminate an ACO contract when a “significant change” occurs –ACO is no longer able to meet the eligibility or program requirements.
Key Aspects of Final Medicare ACO Rules
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP22
• Must establish processes as part of a quality assurance and improvement program that:– Promote evidence-based medicine
– Promote patient/beneficiary engagement
◊ Patient experience of care survey
◊ Mechanism for evaluating health needs of ACO population
• Identifying community stakeholder partnerships to improve health
◊ Communicate clinical information and evidence-based medicine to beneficiaries
◊ Patient engagement and shared decision making
◊ Patient medical record access
– Internally report on quality and cost metrics
– Coordinate care among all providers ◊ Individualized care plans, care transition processes, etc.
Final Medicare ACO Rules’ Eligibility Requirements
Required Processes
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP23
Proposed Medicare ACO Rules Determining Shared Savings
Shared Savings Formula
Final Shared Savings=
ACO achieved savings
x ((Maximum Shared Savings %) x (Quality Score %))
Example:
ACO savings $800,000
Maximum under Model I x 50% ACO-specific Quality Score x 87%
= $348,000
Notes•CMS withholds 25% of earned Shared Savings until end of agreement to offset potential losses.
•Failure to complete full three years = withhold forfeited
•Must be 90% or above on all quality metrics in order to achieve maximum savings rate.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP24
What needed to be successful ACO…
• According to Center for Health Care Quality and Payment Reform
1. Complete and timely information
2. Technology and skills for population management and care coordination
3. Adequate resources for patient education and self-management support
4. Culture of teamwork
5. Coordinated relationships
6. Ability to measure and report on quality
7. Infrastructure and skills to manage financial risk
8. Commitment to “value” by organizational leadership
24
Source: “How to Create Accountable Care Organizations, “ Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform, 2009.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP25
So What Does All of This Mean?
While none of us has a perfect crystal ball, here are some of the expectations for the next few years:
1. We expect a decline in hospitalizations by up to 30% over the next ten years.
2. More care will likely move to home care & SNF; it is likely that remaining post-acute volume willbe spread across fewer providers.
3. At present, MSSP ACOs will not have the authority to waive restrictive payment rules; Pioneer ACOs, however, have been afforded some greater flexibility
4. Bundled payments will change models of care, reduce length of stay, increase integration before & after services & change relationships w/ physicians
5. Volume of “care” provided in typically “residential” settings (like AL or even IL) will likely increase.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP26
What are the ACOs Doing?
• Many of the ACOs are focused right now in two major tasks:
1. Attribution – sorting out which Medicare beneficiaries may be “IN” or “OUT’ of the ACO.
2. Physician Participation – figuring out which primary care physicians are going to participate.
Secondarily
Some are still sorting out IT/EMR issues, quality management, communication and so on.
Post-acute care, while recognizably important, is not far up on the priority list for many.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP27
Why Isn’t Post-Acute a Burning Issue?
Here’s Why:
SNF care, or home health, accounts for very small fraction of the total healthcare dollar in any given market.
They’ll get to us.
Will you be ready?
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP28
What We Think We Know….
1. The move to TCOC/ACO/Bundled Payment has created new models of care and experimentation
2. Care delivery changes have moved faster than payments.
3. Clinical quality improvements are expected to reduce acute care use by about 20% over the next five to eight years.
• Implications:
Care is moving to a lower cost settings that are patient-centered
Clients served in the community are likely to be sicker and frailer and will be served for longer periods or more episodes
Care delivery model changes have not seen reimbursement follow
Value-based payments will grow
Patients and their families are struggling
Community-based care models must also change to include effective technology, caregiver supports, specialty programming, frequency of interventions, greater integration, improved hand-offs, etc.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP29
Reducing Potentially Preventable Admissions
May 8th the 2011 4th Q data was released showing a reduction of 1,915 potentially preventable readmissions or about a 9+% reduction in year 1.
Collaborations appear to be improving performance outcomes at a faster rate.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP30
Health Provider Strategies
• Hospital/Physician Integration
• Collaborations w/ new partners – payers, vendors, etc.
• New Health Venture Capital Firms with non-traditional investors
• Joint venture between University of Pittsburgh Medical Center's health plan and the Advisory Board to provide ACO technology and outsourcing services.
• Post-acute providers creating a seamless care continuum –Kindred, Genesis, LifeCare, Select, etc. Developing exclusive contracts to serve as PAC providers in selected markets.
• Implementation of Lean, Six Sigma and other cost efficiencies
• Advocate Health System in Chicago offers training for care integration and total cost of care management
• 980 Health Care Mergers in 2011 valued at $227B Source: ACO service industry blooms - Healthcare business news and research | Modern Healthcarehttp://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20111114/MAGAZINE/311149948#ixzz1k9bSVgZk?trk=tynt
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP31
Changing Health Care Use – One Example
45,000
47,000
49,000
51,000
53,000
55,000
57,000
59,000
Wisconsin Medicare Hospital Admission Rates
Wisconsin is one state that has made significant progress on reducing both admissions and readmissions to acute care.
There are currently discussions about how low admission and readmissions can be without impacting quality of care.
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP32
What Can We Expect?
We believe seven emerging themes will prevail:
1. Providers will be asked to accept greater financial risk for outcomes
2. Operational efficiency will be critical
3. Collaboration among all providers will be required for survival
4. Significant investments in technology will be necessary
5. Increased quality expectations, reporting and monitoring
6. Elevated regulatory risk
7. Increased focus on community-based services and carewill result
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP33
“Strawman” Strategic Priorities for Health Care Providers
1. In each market in which you operate, position your organization to be #1 or 2 for key referral sources and collaborative partners
2. Develop / coordinate / collaborate to create a full continuum of capabilities in each market
3. Continue to investing technology and update physical plants to meet contemporary requirements
4. Improve operating performance and build balance sheet
Overall focus: assemble basic performance data – tighten pre- and post-acute network – focus on developing relationships with Providers that will ultimately control or influence flow of funds
33
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP34
Possible Future Visions
- Expand into Independent and Assisted Living
- Private Duty Services
- Focus is Age 75+ Market
(Otherwise known as Retirement Living)
- Continued emphasis on “rehab” as core business driver
- Cultivate rehab “excellence”
- Focus is Age 65+ Market
(Otherwise known as Sub-Acute Care)
- Multi-service continuum for complex care
- Service offered in multiple settings
- Potentially Age 55+ Market
(Otherwise known as Chronic Disease Management)
Community
Focus
Rehab
Focus
Clinically
Complex
Focus
©2012 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP35
Contact Us
John Richter
Managing Partner, Health Care
CliftonLarsonAllen