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SOCIAL SHIFTS
Nation States
Private Enterprises Civil Society
Driven by
- Globalisation of the Market Economy- Globalisation of Information
SECTORAL POWER SHIFTS
SKILLS
and
RESOURCES
STATE
PRIVATE SECTOR
CIVILSOCIETY
Segregation of Powers
Military (Security Agencies)
Strong Political Partiesbased on values
Administration
LegislationJudiciary
Professional
Civilian Accountability
Liberal
Conservative
Social Democratetc
Sustainable, independent and diverseGood infrastructure commercial / financialRegulatoryenvironment
Independent & strong
Well - resourced
Diverse interest groups
Distribution of Power and Influence:SWEDEN
CIVIL SOCIETY SECTOR
11%PUBLIC SECTOR
27%
PRIVATE SECTOR
62%
Distribution of Power and Influence:EUROPE
CIVIL SOCIETY SECTOR
30%PUBLIC SECTOR
40%
PRIVATE SECTOR
30%
Sources: World Population Data Sheet 2010, Population Reference Bureau 2012 Data Sheet
Population projection (2012)
(millions):
2025 2050750 732
Population (2012): 740 million
Urban population: 73%
Life expectancy at birth: 77 years
Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births):
5.22
Adult population (aged 15-49) with HIV/AIDS (2012):
Male Female0.5% 0.4%
GNI PPP per capita (2011): US$ 27533
Population living on less than US$ 2 per day: 0%
Population using improved sanitation (2011):
Urban Rural99% 99%
Concentration of Power and Influence:AFRICA
Population (millions):2025 2050
1,446 2,358(750 732)
Population (2012): 1,072 million(740 million)
Urban population:39%
(73%)
Life expectancy at birth:58 years
(76 years)
Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births):
67
Adult population (aged 15-49) with HIV/AIDS (2009/2011):Male Female3.0% 4.7(0.5% 0.4%)
GNI PPP per capita (2011): US$ 2,251(US $25,580)
Population living on less than US$ 2 per day: 65% (0%)
Population using improved sanitation (2010):Urban Rural42% 23%(99% 99%)
State
Private Sector
Civil SocietyPEOPLEPEOPLE
Sources: World Population Data Sheet 2010, Population Reference Bureau 2012 Data Sheet
Distribution of Power and Influence:SOUTH AFRICA
CIVIL SOCIETY SECTOR
23%
PUBLIC SECTOR
18%
PRIVATE SECTOR59%
Centre and Periphery:SOUTH AFRICA
Centre 30%Periphery 70%
Distribution of Power and Influence:BURUNDI
Civil Society Sector4%
Public Sector61%
Private Sector35%
Centre and Periphery:BURUNDI
Centre 5%
Periphery 95%
Africa’s Dilemma
Indigenous Methods of CR
and PB
ACCORD Interventions
Developed Market
Developed Democracy
Burundi South Africa Sweden
100% education and economic prosperity
New normative Framework: e.g. ICC, R2P
GlobalisationMultinational Corporations
Managing conflict instead of solving it
Economic and political marginalisation