Southern New England High Country Regional …...An economic development strategy for Armidale Regional Council Community strategic plans Armidale 2017 – 2027 Uralla 2017-2027 Walcha

Southern New England High Country Regional Economic Development Strategy

2018-2022 — Supporting Analysis

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Page 2 Southern New England High Country

Regional Economic Development Strategy 2018-2022: Supporting Analysis

Preamble The economic development strategy for the Southern New England High Country is presented in the ‘Southern New England High Country 2018–2022’ (the Strategy). This document, the ‘Southern New England High Country Regional Economic Development Strategy 2018–2022: Supporting Analysis’ (Supporting Analysis), details the Strategy’s methodology, evidence and development process. Both documents are available to the public at dpc.nsw.gov.au/cerd.

Both the Strategy and Supporting Analysis have been developed with the support of the NSW Government as part of the Regional Economic Development Strategies program to assist local councils and their communities in Regional NSW.

For further information about the program please contact the Centre for Economic and Regional Development (CERD) on 02 6391 3025 or [email protected].

Disclaimer

This publication is protected by copyright. With the exception of (a) any coat of arms, logo, trade mark or other

branding; (b) any third party intellectual property; and (c) personal information such as photographs of people,

this publication is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence

(https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode).

First published: June 2018

© Photography courtesy of: (unless specified) Armidale Regional Council Uralla Shire Council Walcha Council

Contents

1. Introduction ...................................................................................................... 5

Geographic Parameters ...................................................................................... 5 Objectives and timeframe .................................................................................. 7 Strategic context ................................................................................................ 8

2. Regional Profile ................................................................................................. 9

Regional Overview ............................................................................................. 9 Demographic profile .........................................................................................10 Industry analysis ...............................................................................................14 Institutions ........................................................................................................22 Infrastructure ....................................................................................................23

3. Considerations: Endowments, weaknesses and drivers of change ...................30

Endowments (Strengths) ...................................................................................30 Weaknesses and issues .....................................................................................33 Drivers of change ..............................................................................................35

4. Economic Future of the Region.........................................................................36

Long Term Economic Vision for the Region ........................................................36 Economic opportunities for the Region .............................................................36 Risks facing the Region ......................................................................................40

5. Strategies and actions ......................................................................................42

Strategies ..........................................................................................................42 Regional Action Plan .........................................................................................48

Appendices Appendix 1 : Consultation methodology ........................................................................61

Appendix 2 : Additional regional profile data .................................................................62

Appendix 3 : Road infrastructure ...................................................................................64

Appendix 4 : Institutions ................................................................................................67

Appendix 5 : Drivers of change ......................................................................................69

Appendix 6 : Infrastructure improvements ....................................................................73

Tables Table 1: Key plans/strategies of relevance to the review 8

Table 2: Commuting flows within the SNEHC region 9

Table 3: Exports and Gross value added (GVA) in SNEHC for selected industries 15

Table 4: Shift share analysis 17

Table 5: Employment forecasts by industry 63

Table 6: Institutions important for economic development 67

Table 7: Drivers of changes and implications 69



Figures Figure 1: The SNEHC region 6

Figure 2: Net internal migration 10

Figure 3: Population age profile – SNEHC, NSW 11

Figure 4: Household composition profile – SNEHC, NSW 11

Figure 5: Participation and unemployment rates by age 12

Figure 6: Education attainment of the labour force 13

Figure 7: Median weekly income 13

Figure 8: SNEHC Employment by industry in 2016 14

Figure 9: Employment by sector – growth and relative concentration 16

Figure 10: Employment by sector – relative growth and relative concentration 18

Figure 11: Value of agricultural production by LGA, 2015-16 ($M) 19

Figure 12: Value of agricultural production $ per capita, 2015-16 19

Figure 13: Summary of strengths and weaknesses 33

Figure 14: Risks facing the Region 40

Figure 15: SNEHC Regional Economic Development Strategy Consultation Process 61

Figure 16: Population mix projections 62

Figure 17: Employment share by LGA 62

Figure 18: Historical employment by industry 63

1. Introduction

This Regional Economic Development Strategy (Strategy) has been developed for the Southern New England High Country (SNEHC) functional economic region (the Region)1 that encompasses the Armidale Regional, Uralla Shire and Walcha Local Government Areas (LGA). The boundary of the Region was determined though an examination of commuting patterns and confirmed with local councils. While the SNEHC region is largely self-contained, it also has strong linkages with other industries and communities in the broader New England - North West region.

The Strategy aims to align with the aspirations of the residents and businesses in the Region. It identifies the strengths of the regional economy, articulates a long term economic vision (i.e. decades into the future) and identifies the immediate actions required to deliver that vision. This Strategy also takes into consideration the regional risk factors present and provides actions to mitigate these risks.

The Strategy has been developed in consultation with the three councils in the Region (the councils) and the community (see Appendix 1 for the consultation methodology), using an approach developed by the Centre for Economic and Regional Development (CERD) under the guidance of its panel of experts. A core focus of the methodology is to build on the strengths of the Region and reflect best practice economic development strategy formation.

While the councils are the custodian of the Strategy and the primary stakeholders, the councils, local institutions, businesses and the broader community each have a role to play in implementing the Strategy.

Geographic Parameters The SNEHC region incorporates an area of 18,108 square kilometres located on the northern tablelands of NSW, in the area known as the New England region. The Region is located approximately half-way between Sydney and Brisbane and around 200 kilometres inland from the NSW Mid North Coast. It is part of the broader New England North West region but is distinguished from the regions to the west by its elevation on the tablelands.2 The Region houses a resident population of 39,6143 and is comprised of a number larger population centres (in decreasing order of population) Armidale, Walcha, Uralla and Guyra.

1 Functional economic regions are intended to represent the boundaries of the regional economy. Local Government boundaries define regions for administrative purposes. Often these borders are an artefact of history and bear little resemblance to the economic activity that now takes place in a region. A functional economic region is a concept developed to more accurately reflect the boundaries of regional economies and economic interaction. These boundaries are developed by considering Australian Bureau of Statistics data such as residents’ journeys to work and the jobs to housing ratio for the Region. Using this economic data, an iterative process derives functional economic regions that are relatively self-contained for economic purposes.

2 All the population centres on the tablelands have an elevation of around 1,000 meters. The elevation of nearby centres is significantly lower: Tamworth (404m) to the south west, Inverell (582m) to the north-west and Gloucester (111m) to the east.

3 Based on the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Estimated Resident Population (ERP). According to ABS, the ERP is ‘based on Census counts of usual residents that are adjusted to account for usual residents missed in the Census, including residents estimated to have been temporarily overseas on Census night’.



Armidale, with a population of 24,1144, is an important service centre for the communities in the Region and for residents of surrounding LGAs. Other nearby population-centres include Tamworth, Inverell and Glen Innes, each within 90 minutes driving distance from Armidale.

Figure 1: The SNEHC region

Source: Analysis using data from NSW Government spatial services.

4 ABS Estimated Resident Population, Significant Urban Areas.

Objectives and timeframe This document sets out the long-term vision for the economic future of the Region and identifies the strategies and immediate actions that can be undertaken in the next four years to pursue this vision. The objectives of the Strategy are to:

build on existing strengths in the Region and enhance those strengths;

identify new opportunities to enhance the development, performance and competitiveness of the Region; and

set the Region on the path towards its sustainable development.

A regional economic development strategy should identify the aspirations and goals of the Region, and lay out a pathway that its residents can follow in order to reach these objectives. As well as steering the Region towards its objectives, a successful strategy must take into consideration the strengths and weaknesses of the Region, as well as the capacity of its industries, institutions and infrastructure, and identify actions that can foster these strengths whilst mitigating any weaknesses. The economic fortune of a region does not however rest entirely in the hands of its residents. Exogenous factors, such as international and domestic megatrends, as well as the development of other parts of NSW (and Australia), can present both opportunities and challenges to a region’s development. For this reason, an economic development strategy should be viewed as a living document and updated at appropriate intervals to take into account changes in the external environment.



Strategic context This Strategy aligns with the NSW Government’s ‘Making it Happen in the Regions: Regional Development Framework’ and ‘Economic Development Strategy for Regional NSW’.

The strategic intent and direction is consistent with the locally developed Community Strategic Plans (CSPs). The Strategy also aligns with and leverages other plans and strategies developed for the Region. Notably these include Unleashing Our Opportunities: Draft Armidale Region Economic Development Strategy, 2017-2025, the New England North-West Regional Plan 2036 and the work by the Namoi Joint Organisation of Councils (Namoi JOC) which encompasses 7 LGAs in the North West including Uralla Shire and Walcha.

Table 1: Key plans/strategies of relevance to the review5

Plan / strategy Objectives/ relevance

Unleashing Our Opportunities: Armidale Region Economic Development Strategy 2017-2025

An economic development strategy for Armidale Regional Council

Community strategic plans

Armidale 2017 – 2027

Uralla 2017-2027

Walcha 2017– 2027

Expresses how the communities in each LGA want to develop into the future

Council Delivery Programs

Outlines what the council proposes to achieve towards the strategic objectives within the CSP

Council Operational Plans Outlines activities and services the council will provide

New England North-West Regional Plan 2036

Provides the overarching framework guide for the NSW Government’s land use planning priorities and decisions

Shaping the Future in the Namoi - The Namoi JOC and the Regional Australia Institute (RAI)

The report was developed for the Namoi JOC Councils which in 2015 included Walcha and 5 other Councils

Namoi Investment Prospectus The prospectus highlights the economic opportunities of the Region. It covered the SNEHC regions LGAs of Uralla Shire and Walcha in addition to other LGAs

Armidale Regional Airport – Master plan

Identifies future needs to ensure longer term flexibility of the airport precinct

5 There are many other documents that were examined as part of the review but are not listed in the table.

2. Regional Profile

Regional Overview The SNEHC region occupies the southern half of the Northern Tablelands of NSW. The Region is an elevated plateau, ranging from 850 metres to over 1,350 metres above sea level. It straddles the drainage divide between the coastal river systems to the east, and the Namoi and Gwydir Rivers which are part of the Murray-Darling Basin, to the west. The Region has a cool temperate climate, with four distinct seasons, low humidity and relatively high, reliable rainfall.

The Region is located on the New England Highway, approximately mid-way between Sydney and Brisbane. The Waterfall Way, Oxley Highway and Thunderbolts Way are important east-west routes, connecting the Region with the NSW Mid-North Coast.

The Region has a strong agricultural base, dominated by the production of beef cattle and sheep for wool and meat. The area is known for producing very high quality, fine and superfine merino wool.

The city of Armidale is the regional service centre for the broader New England region. Armidale is the home of the University of New England (UNE) and is a dominant player in research and development in agricultural technology (Ag Tech). Armidale is the only city in Australia that has the NBN fibre to the premise. The smaller towns of Uralla, Walcha and Guyra are district centres servicing their surrounding rural communities and highway travellers.

There is a great deal of interconnectivity within the Region. Driving times between the main centres are reasonably short.6 The data on place of usual residence and place of work from the recent Census (see table below) indicates that a large number of residents commute between the LGAs. More Uralla residents worked in Armidale than Uralla. The majority (94%) of those working in the Region reside in the Region and the majority (94%) of resident workers work in the Region. Some residents appear to use the Region as a base for working in other areas, with a number (123, ~0.8%) of workers residing in the SNEHC region reported working in Greater Sydney.7

Table 2: Commuting flows within the SNEHC region

Place of work

Place of usual residence

Armidale Regional

Uralla Shire

Walcha Outside the Region

Working population*

Armidale Regional 11,007 185 34 705 11,931

Uralla Shire 1,229 1,056 40 180 2,505

Walcha 70 16 1,192 83 1,361

Outside the Region 795 95 98

Total resident workers 13,101 1,352 1,364

Source: ABS 2016 Census of Population and Housing. Note: Counts of workers exclude those reporting No Fixed [work] address.

6 Approximate driving times are: Walcha to Uralla 35 minutes, Uralla to Armidale 20 minutes, Armidale to Guyra 30 minutes.

7 Those working in Greater Sydney earn higher incomes. The opportunity to expand this source of income is explored in the strategy section of this document.



Demographic profile

Population The SNEHC region has an estimated residential population of 39,614, around three quarters of whom reside in the population centres of Armidale (61%), Uralla (6%), Guyra (5%), and the town of Walcha (4%).8

The Region’s population has been growing at an annual rate of around 0.2 per cent since 2001, which is significantly slower than that of inland NSW (0.6%) and much slower than NSW overall (1.1%). The growth rate varies across the Region’s urban centres, with cities like Armidale growing at a rate closer to the NSW level.

The lower growth is consistent with the net migration trends shown in Figure 2 below. Despite the higher-education opportunities there is a significant net migration of young people away from the Region, although this is less significant than in other inland regions. Most striking is the significant net migration of working age people (aged 25 to 44 years) away from the Region. This may be related to a lack of employment opportunities, however there is no objective data available to assess this.

It appears that the Region is a population destination for people with families (as indicated by the positive shift in the people aged 0-14) and retirees (aged 65+). These trends are consistent with, but more pronounced than, other inland regions in NSW.

Figure 2: Net internal migration

Source: ABS Cat. No. 3412.0.

Notes: SNEHC* is the SA3 Armidale region which closely matches the SNEHC region. Inland Regional NSW comprise LGAs outside the metropolitan areas of Sydney, Newcastle and Wollongong not adjacent to the coast.

The age profile of the Region is illustrated in Figure 3. Like all of regional NSW, the Region has relative to the NSW average, a lower proportion of people aged 25 to 49 and a higher proportion of people aged 65 and over. The Region has a similar age profile to other inland regions, with the exception of having a relatively high proportion of people aged 15 to 24. This exception can be explained by the large student population that resides in Armidale.

8 SNEHC and Armidale population numbers are based on ABS Estimated Resident Population. Uralla, Guyra and Walcha population numbers are based on Census 2016 which could be slightly undercounted.

-2.0% -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0%

Greater Sydney

Inland Regional NSW

SNEHC*

Net regional internal migration (% of total population)annual average 2006-07 to 2015-16

65+

45-64

25-44

15-24

0-14

Figure 3: Population age profile – SNEHC, NSW

Source: ABS Estimated Resident Population 2016.

Notes: Regional NSW refers to NSW LGAs excluding LGAs in greater Sydney, Newcastle and Wollongong. Inland Regional NSW excludes those LGAs adjoining the coast.

The NSW Department of Planning and Environment forecast that the population of those aged 65+ will increase by 3,200 people, reaching 22 per cent of the Region’s population by 2031 (See Figure 16: Population mix projections

The household composition profile (illustrated in Figure 4) differs from that of NSW overall and other inland NSW areas with the Region having a relatively lower proportion of households with children. This difference is largely explained by the age-profile.

Figure 4: Household composition profile – SNEHC, NSW

Source: ABS 2016 Census of Population and Housing.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

0-14 15-24 25-49 50-64 65+

Age profile SNEHC vs NSW 2016

NSW

Regional NSW

Inland Regional NSW

SNEHC

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Couple familywith

no children

Couple familywith children

Singleparent family

Lone person

Other

Household composition SNEHC vs NSW 2016

NSW

Inland Regional NSW

SNEHC



Labour force The Region’s labour force (including those employed and those seeking work) in 2016 was 17,597 people which represents 46 per cent of the census population (Census 2016).

The profile of the labour force is skewed relative to comparable regions due to the high student population. Around 18 per cent of the labour force is aged 15-24, which is relatively high compared to the NSW average (15%) and for Inland Regional NSW (16%).

Part-time workers make-up 38 per cent of the workforce (compared with NSW average of 33% and the inland regional average of 35%).

The labour force participation rate is similar to comparable regions, with the exception of the lower participation rate among youth, which would likely reflect the higher student population.

The local unemployment rate is 7 per cent which appears relatively high compared to the NSW (6.3%) and Inland Regional NSW (6.2%) rates. However, this is largely driven by younger people seeking part-time work. The unemployment rate as measured by people seeking full-time work is 3.5 per cent, which is similar to the NSW average and lower than the average for regional areas of Australia.

Figure 5: Participation and unemployment rates by age


The labour force has a relatively high-level of educational attainment compared with regional NSW with a significantly greater proportion of the labour force having a university qualification (see Figure 6 below). Of note, the proportion of those with Certificate level III and above (including high levels of attainment) is only slightly higher for the Region than other inland NSW regions.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

15-24 25- 34 35-44 45 - 64 65+

Labour force paticipation rate by age

NSW Regional NSW

Inland regional NSW SNEHC

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

15-24 25- 34 35-44 45 - 64 65+

Unemployment rate by age

NSW Regional NSW

Inland regional NSW SNEHC

Figure 6: Education attainment of the labour force


Income The median weekly income (personal, household and family) of residents by LGA and for the regions of NSW outside of Greater Sydney is shown in Figure 7. The median personal incomes are all similar. The median household and family incomes are slightly higher in the Armidale regional than in other NSW regional areas and in the SNEHC region. The results are consistent with other data that show that incomes tend to be higher in larger population centres.

Figure 7: Median weekly income

Source: ABS 2016 Census Community Profiles.

32%18% 18%

28%

11%

10% 10%

9%

18%

27% 26%21%

29%33% 33% 31%

10% 12% 12% 11%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

NSW Regional NSW Inland regionalNSW

SNEHC

Highest educational level - percentage of labour force

Other (inc. not applicable and nonstated)

Secondary Education - Years 10and above

Certificate III & IV Level

Advanced Diploma and Diplomalevel

Bachelor Degree level and above

$0 $300 $600 $900 $1,200 $1,500

Walcha

Uralla Shire

NSW (excl. Greater Sydney)

Armidale Regional

Median weekly income

Total family income Total household income Total personal income



Industry analysis

Overview A snapshot of the Region’s employment by industry is summarised in Figure 8. As illustrated, the highest employing industries are Education and Training followed by Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing. The profile varies by LGA, with relatively more employed in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing in Uralla Shire and Walcha and relatively more employed in Education and Training in the Armidale Regional LGA (see Figure 17: Employment share by LGA

The employment mix by industry has changed significantly over the last 15 years (see Figure 18: Historical employment by industry

Figure 8: SNEHC Employment by industry in 2016


Note: 1. Industries are classified according to standard ABS industry classifications. 2. The number employed will understate the true number due to missing records and missing data (relating to industry and place of work). Data on some industries may not be accurate for seasonal industries because the census is taken at a point in time (during August). Furthermore it reflects the employment in the main job only.

For the purposes of regional development, it is useful to classify industries as:

Engines — industries that bring money into the region (e.g. agriculture) and that drive the local economy;

Enabling — industries that support the engines (e.g. veterinary services to agriculture); and

Population serving — industries that support the local population (e.g. retail).

As reflected in the figure above, many people are employed in population serving industries (e.g. Retail Trade, Education and Public Administration and Safety). Typically, the fortunes of the

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000

Education and Training

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing

Health Care and Social Assistance

Retail Trade

Accommodation and Food Services

Public Administration and Safety

Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

Construction

Other Services

Administrative and Support Services

Transport, Postal and Warehousing

Manufacturing

Financial and Insurance Services

Wholesale Trade

Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services

Information Media and Telecommunications

Arts and Recreation Services

Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services

Mining

population serving industries depend on the success of the engines, therefore it useful to focus on the engine sectors that drive growth.

An indication of the engine industries can be found by examining the value of exports from the Region by industry. This is summarised in Table 3 for selected key industries based on Input-Output tables (IO tables)9 constructed by the CERD. ‘Agriculture & related processing’, ‘Other manufacturing’ and ‘Higher Education’ contribute to over three-quarters of the Region’s exports. Within the ‘Agriculture & related processing’ sector the key sectors are ‘Sheep, Grains, Beef and Dairy Cattle’ and ‘Meat & meat product Manufacturing’.

Exports, as measured in the IO table, may not be a good guide for measuring the contribution of some sectors. Another limitation is that the standard industry classifications do not neatly align to the key engine sectors of interest. As discussed below, additional analysis is required to measure the impact of tourism (the visitor economy).

The table also lists each industry’s gross value added (GVA) which is the contribution to gross regional product (GRP). Industry GVA is closely aligned to the number of full-time equivalent (FTE) people employed in the industry.

Table 3: Exports and Gross value added (GVA) in SNEHC for selected industries

Industry Exports $m

Exports as % of region

total

GVA $m

GVA as % of total

GVA per FTE

Agriculture & related processing 219 43% 155 10% $83,395

Other manufacturing 70 14% 55 3% $107,885

Higher education 90 18% 216 13% $158,237

Accommodation and Food Services 42 8% 103 6% $75,484

Population serving industries 36 7% 763 47% $150,274

Transport & logistics 29 6% 59 4% $120,125

Professional & technical services 16 3% 86 5% $100,469

Mining 8 2% 3.3 0.2% $298,128

Utility & supporting services 2.4 0% 107 7% $118,087

Aged care and social assistance 0.4 0% 80 5% $89,564

Total 512 100% 1627 100% $122,056

Source: CERD IO Tables.

Note: Population serving industries include retail trade, health care services etc. Agriculture & related processing includes leather product manufacturing, fruit and vegetable product manufacturing, bakery product manufacturing and others.

Specialisations In analysing engine sectors, it is important to consider the extent to which the Region has a specialisation in the sector. Research by the CERD has shown that regions in NSW are becoming increasingly specialised in terms of their engine industries.

9 Input-output tables describe purchases (the inputs) of industries and the sales (use of the outputs). They can be used to estimate how value is created by industry and how much value is exported out of a region.



An indicator of industry specialisation is found in the relative concentration of employment of the industry. This is measured by the employment location quotient (LQ) which is the industry’s employment share in the Region divided by the industry’s employment share for NSW. For example, a value of 2 means that as a share of those employed, twice as many people are employed in the Region than the NSW average. The employment LQs and employment growth for selected industries is illustrated in the bubble diagram (see Figure 9 below). The size of the bubble represents the number of people employed in the industry. The colour of the bubble indicates whether the industry is likely to be an engine industry (brown), an enabling industry (orange) or a population serving industry (white). The position on the horizontal axis indicates the percentage employment change since the last Census. The position on the vertical axis shows the relative concentration as measured by the employment LQ. An LQ above the horizontal axis (which is set at LQ=1.25) suggests the industry is a specialisation of the Region.

As highlighted in the figure, ‘Livestock farming’, ‘Horticulture’ and ‘Tertiary Education’ are sectors that are strong specialisations (i.e. relatively concentrated in the Region). Non-food related manufacturing is another potential export industry but is relatively small in significance and has been declining as a source of employment. ‘Accommodation and food services’ is used as a proxy for tourism in this diagram; this sector has been growing but is not a specialisation.

Figure 9: Employment by sector – growth and relative concentration

Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing 2016 & 2011.

Note: Industries match the ANZSIC employment categories. ‘Manufacturing’ (excluding agri-related) refers to employment in Manufacturing excluding those deemed to be agricultural related which includes all ‘Food Product Manufacturing’ (exception ‘Bakery Product Manufacturing’), ‘Leather Tanning, Fur Dressing and Leather Product Manufacturing’, ‘Agricultural Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing’, ‘Wood Product Manufacturing’ and ‘Pulp, Paper and Paperboard Manufacturing’. 'For determining the rate of employment growth, some imputed data from the 2016 Census data was excluded so as to improve comparability with the 2011 Census data. See http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/Lookup/2901.0Chapter47402016 for more detail.

In understanding specialisations, it is useful to consider the relative growth (or decline) of an industry sector. Growth in a sector in a region may be in response to overall growth in the economy, or it could reflect growth in the industry across all regions, or may be a consequence of the local industry growing more strongly than industry elsewhere. To isolate these different effects a

Retail TradeHealth Care and Social Assistance


Professional, Scientific and

Technical Services


Livestock farming

Manufacturing (excluding agri-

related)

Tertiary Education

0.3

0.5

1

2

4

8

16

-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

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Employment growth % 11-16

http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/Lookup/2901.0Chapter47402016

technique called ‘Shift Share Analysis’ is used to decompose a sector’s growth (shift in employment) into a NSW State effect, an industry effect and a local effect.

The results of this analysis are summarised in Table 4 below. The shifts have been expressed in percentage terms. For brevity, the State and industry mix shifts have been combined.

For example, the first row of the table shows the broad category of ‘Livestock farming’. This category employed 1665 people in the Region in 2016, with an LQ of 8.2. Since 2011, employment in this sector fell by 11.9 per cent in the Region and by 13.7 per cent in NSW. Therefore, the local effect was to grow by 1.8 per cent relative to the State benchmark for the industry.

Additional rows show the results within this broader category and other industries of interest. As can be seen from the table there are cases where local employment has

Grown but at a lower rate than elsewhere in NSW, e.g. School Education.

Fallen but at a lower rate than elsewhere in NSW, e.g. Manufacturing (excluding agri-related).

Table 4: Shift share analysis

Industry Employed

2016

LQ 2016

(relative

to NSW)

Growth

(2011 to

2016)

% growth

(2011 to

2016)

State +

Industry

effect %

Local

effect %

Livestock farming 1,665 8.20 -213 -11.9% -13.7% 1.8%

Sheep, Beef Cattle and Grain

Farming 1,621 10.0 -227 -12.9% -18.2% 5.4%

Horticulture 275 5.05 108 67.1% 12.1% 55.0%

Fruit and Tree Nut Growing 31 1.3 5 19.2% -0.6% 19.8%

Mushroom and Vegetable

Growing 237 14.8 110 89.4% 4.7% 84.7%

School Education 1,183 1.5 107 10.2% 13.9% -3.7%

Tertiary Education 1,498 4.8 89 6.5% 5.4% 1.1%


related) 317 0.4 -52 -14.6% -30.7% 16.1%

Accommodation and Food Services 1,187 1.0 54 5.0% 8.9% -3.9%

Retail Trade 1,648 1.1 -57 -3.5% -3.3% -0.2%

Health Care and Social Assistance 2,051 1.0 238 13.5% 12.5% 1.0%

Total 15,817 642 4.5% 2.6% 1.9%


Note: The ‘Employed 2016’ and ‘LQ 2016 (relative to NSW)’ columns include imputed values. To facilitate comparability with 2011 data, the data in other columns exclude imputed values. (See http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/Lookup/2901.0Chapter47402016 for more detail). See also notes accompanying Figure 8.

Figure 10 shows a revised ‘bubble’ figure that incorporates the local effect of the shift share analysis as the horizontal axis. In this figure, the colour of the bubbles reflects whether employment in the industry has grown (Blue and Green) or shrunk (Red and Grey) relative to the NSW industry average

http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/Lookup/2901.0Chapter47402016



and whether, as measured by an LQ>1.25 there is a specialisation (Blue and Red) or not (Grey and Green).

Figure 10: Employment by sector – relative growth and relative concentration


Notes: See note below Figure 9.

Key industries

Agriculture Agriculture is the main export industry of the Region contributing to 40% of exports. Within the agriculture sector the main industries are sheep and beef cattle farming which together employ around 10 per cent of the workforce, and account for about one third of regional exports. Since the last census, employment in the industry has declined but this has been in line with industry changes.

Horticulture is another important industry employing about 270 people. The industry has grown substantially since 2011, largely as a result of the growth of Costa’s tomato operations in Guyra.

Figure 11 shows the value of agricultural production in the Region by LGA based on the 2015-16 Agricultural Census. As reflected in the figure the main agricultural commodities are cattle, sheep (meat and wool) and horticulture (largely reflecting Costa’s operations in Guyra).

Professional, Scientific and

Technical Services

Retail Trade


Tertiary Education

Livestock farming

School Education



Construction


related)0.3

0.5

1.0

2.0

4.0

8.0

-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

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Employment growth in the region relative to NSW % 2011-16

Figure 11: Value of agricultural production by LGA, 2015-16 ($M)

Source: ABS Agricultural Census 2015-16.

The relative significance of (and degree of specialisation in) agricultural is illustrated in Figure 12 which shows the value of agricultural production per capita (i.e. per resident in the LGA). On a per-capita basis the value of agricultural production in the Region is significantly higher than that of NSW excluding Sydney. The value per capita is particularly high in the Walcha LGA which has a highly agricultural community.

Figure 12: Value of agricultural production $ per capita, 2015-16

Source: ABS Agricultural Census 2015-16 and ABS 2016 Census of Population and Housing.

Ag Tech Ag Tech is a term to describe technology related services to agriculture including:

Decision Support: Data Inputs and storage, Software and Apps.

Internet of Things: Micro processing, Networking, Sensors.

79 81

32

20

31

28

23

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Armidale Regional Walcha Uralla Shire

Cattle Fruit, nuts, horticulture Sheep - meat and wool Other

$0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000

Armidale Regional

Walcha

Uralla Shire

SNEHC

NE NW

NSW excl Sydney

NSW

Cattle Fruit, nuts, horticulture Sheep - meat and wool Other



Genetics: Tissue inputs such as livestock, plant and environment.

Armidale is home to a diverse mix of private and public organisations that are part of the Ag Tech cluster. These include:

well-established Ag Tech companies that are beginning to achieve scale;10

Ag Tech start-up companies; and

other organisations including the Agricultural Business Research Institute (ABRI), Animal Genetics and Breeding Unit (AGBU) a joint venture between the NSW DPI and a number of national breed societies.11

Armidale has been selected by the NSW Government as a location for an ‘Ag Tech Cluster Initiative’.12

Manufacturing, services and other According to the Census 2016, non-food related manufacturing directly employs around 320 people (decreased by approximately 15% since 2011), and the employment LQ is low (<0.5). However, this data may understate the extent of manufacturing as it may not capture the employment of some of the larger manufacturers that produce items that are exported to other regions in Australia.13

Other notable services include:

Several road freight transport companies that provide livestock and general freight services to the broader Northern NSW region based in Walcha.

Aircraft maintenance and other services are located at Armidale airport.

A number of IT service companies based in Armidale.

Education and research The education and research sector is a major employer. As shown in Table 4, there are around 1200 people employed in the school education sector and 1500 people in the tertiary education sector, with the employment LQs being 1.5 and 4.8 respectively. Approximately 100 people are also employed in scientific research services (LQ of 2.4). Recently, TAFE NSW was selected as the site for the headquarters for TAFE NSW Digital which will bring additional employment to the Region.

Education and research is an engine industry for the SNEHC region. In addition to primary and secondary public schools, Armidale is home to the University of New England, three K-12 years independent boarding schools, and a TAFE facility which provide services to students from outside of the Region (see Box 1 below).

These institutions bring income to the Region in several ways:

The educational institutions receive income from student fees and Government to pay for teaching services.

The UNE receives funding (pubic and some private) for research activities.

Students, and their visiting families, spend on additional local services.

10 A notable example is ICT International.

11 See http://armidale.info/breedsocieties/index.htm

12 See https://www.jobsfornsw.com.au/whats-happening/news/state-wide-pilot-program-champions-agtech-in-armidale

13 These manufacturers include Uniplan (http://www.uniplangroup.co/, a producer of portable buildings) and Aspen Interiors (http://aspeninteriors.com.au) based in Armidale.

http://armidale.info/breedsocieties/index.htm

https://www.jobsfornsw.com.au/whats-happening/news/state-wide-pilot-program-champions-agtech-in-armidale

https://www.jobsfornsw.com.au/whats-happening/news/state-wide-pilot-program-champions-agtech-in-armidale

http://www.uniplangroup.co/

http://aspeninteriors.com.au/

The education sector also contributes to the local economy as a provider of low-cost student labour.

Box 1: Educational institutions in Armidale serving people outside of the Region

The University of New England (UNE) has its main campus in Armidale — The UNE has over 18,000 students, 5,000 of whom are on the Armidale campus. UNE programs include Law, Medicine, Health, Education, Business, Science and Technology, Environment and Rural Science, Arts, Humanities and Behavioural, Cognitive and Social Sciences.

New England Girls School (NEGS) — NEGS is the largest girls boarding school in the southern hemisphere. It is renowned for its equestrian focus and facilities.

The Armidale School (known as TAS), is an independent, co-educational, Anglican, day and boarding school.

Presbyterian Ladies College (PLC) (which offers boarding from Year 5) and accepts international students. The school has introduced an innovative ‘pathways’ program for university access, for Chinese students.

Tourism (the visitor economy) Tourism is an important industry to the Region. Destination NSW provides estimates of visitation and tourism expenditure based on survey research. In 2016 the annual estimated tourism expenditure for the Armidale Regional LGA was $154 million which is effectively export income14 comparable to estimates of exports in Table 3 above.15

However, consideration of the purpose of visit is important. Tourism data classifications by purpose are categorised as holiday, visiting friends and relatives (VFR), business and other.16 The volume of ‘holiday’ visitation can be influenced through product development and marketing whereas the remainder is more significantly determined by the size of the local population and/or by growth in other businesses. Data on purpose of visit suggests that about a third of overnight visitation to Armidale is holiday related and over half is related to VFR and business. Anecdotal sources suggest a large amount of the VFR visitation is associated with families visiting students of the university or private schools.

The Region is promoted as New England High Country. Its key attractions include:

four distinct seasons, with the autumn colours being a characteristic of the Region;

the National Parks and World Heritage Wilderness Areas renowned for their wild rivers, spectacular waterfalls, and deep rain forested gorges;

heritage, arts and culture – historic towns and villages, galleries and art installations and festivals and events;

food and wine – cool climate wines, artisan beers and ciders, boutique distilleries and quality local produce; and

scenic drives, with the steep, winding escarpment roads very popular with motorcyclists.

Popular activities that bring visitors into the Region include trout fishing, bush walking, rock sports, mountain biking, cycling and fossicking. Business events and sports-related tourism are also

14 Some of the expenditure will be by residents of Uralla and Walcha.

15 Tourism is a difficult industry to analyse. Industry data is based on what good or service is provided, whereas tourism is defined by who consumes the good or service.

16 There is also an ‘other’ category which would include sport events etc.



significant, with Armidale hosting a number of sporting events and having a range of conference, meeting, exhibition, sporting and entertainment venues.

Institutions Improving economic development in part depends on the strengths of institutions to deliver on the Strategy and support economic development.

The key institutions are the councils which have a key role in setting strategy, provide leadership, developing and implementing local regulations and undertaking direct investments. The capacity of the councils varies with the size and rate base of the LGA. Armidale Regional Council has the greatest capacity with dedicated resources to economic development. Although there is no regular forum through which they meet, the councils work together on common issues.

The University of New England (UNE), located in Armidale is an important institution that plays multiple roles in the Region. The UNE is a major employer and source of income for the Region. In addition it is an educational provider to the workforce, a key lifestyle asset and a partner with business. The UNE Smart Farm in particular plays an important role in partnering with local Ag Tech firms in developing and testing technology. The UNE is the only university campus in the New England North West and provides the Region with a relative advantage to most other areas of Regional NSW.

There are a number of other institutions that can play an important role in the implementation of the Strategy including:

Public sector bodies that support councils and businesses on regional economic development matters (RDA Northern Inland, Office of Regional Development, Namoi JOC)

Business groups and associations, including:

Business chambers providing support and networking services to a broad range of industries.

Sector specific associations.

Educational institutions delivering training and educational courses to meet the needs of the local workforce (In addition to UNE, TAFE NSW and the Community Colleges)

Research institutions that help develop and diffuse technologies and innovations (NSW DPI, CRC for Sheep Industry Innovation).

Community organisations working on local issues to improve the environment for business and workers. These can play an important role in addressing issues affecting business and the community. Sporting and recreational clubs can have a direct impact on tourism growth through establishing facilities and events that bring people to the Region and that then establish a basis for tourism.17

A summary of other institutions and their role is provided in Table 6 in Appendix 4.

17 For example, the New England Mountain Bike Club has been proactive in attracting mountain biking events to the Armidale region.

Infrastructure

Transport infrastructure

Road The road network and the condition and capacity of roads impacts significantly on connectivity which in turn impacts on the efficiency and cost of freight transport, inter and intra-regional travel, and tourism. Safety is also a significant consideration.

The Region is traversed by the New England and Oxley Highways, and several significant regional roads, including Thunderbolts Way, Waterfall Way, Bundarra Road and Inverell-Guyra-Ebor Road.

The road traffic along these routes include general, agriculture and mining related freight, local and regional commuter traffic, and long haul inter-regional and interstate traffic. Several of the routes are important touring routes for holiday makers.

The key priorities identified through consultation for improving road-infrastructure are:

Upgrading Thunderbolts Way between the northern boundary of Walcha and the New England Highway at Uralla to permit B-double (25-26m trucks) access along the route from Nowendoc to Uralla.

Upgrading the mountain-pass sections of the Waterfall Way, Oxley Highway and Thunderbolts Way to improve safety and connectivity to the NSW Mid North Coast, Port of Newcastle and Newcastle Airport, including providing B-double access on Thunderbolts Way from Nowendoc to the Pacific Motorway to provide access to the Port of Newcastle.

Replacing low load-bearing timber bridges to facilitate freight movements to and from and within the Region.

Further detail on the road infrastructure is provided in Appendix 3 and further discussion on the rationale for individual road (and other) projects is provided Appendix 6.

Rail The Region is serviced by the Main North Line. This line links Sydney to Armidale via the Hunter Valley, Liverpool Plains and Tamworth LGAs. Within the Region, stations are located at Armidale, Uralla and Walcha Road. Walcha Road is approximately 21 kilometres west of Walcha, with access to Walcha being via the Oxley Highway.

The line is used primarily for passenger services (North West Xplorer), with daily passenger services to Newcastle and Sydney. The line terminates at Armidale, with NSW Trains providing connecting coach services from Armidale, north along the New England Highway to Tenterfield and north-west along Bundarra Road – Thunderbolts Way to Inverell. At Inverell and Glen Innes, the coach route links with coach services operating along the Gwydir Highway from Grafton to Moree.

Within the Region, the existing rail infrastructure that could potentially be used to support freight is limited to sidings and passing loops in the vicinity of the Walcha Road, Uralla and Armidale railway stations.

There is scope to use the closed rail line between Armidale and Wallangarra in Queensland to develop a rail trail (210 km) for recreational and tourist use. Armidale Regional Council has identified



Stage 1 (34km), from Black Mountain to Ben Lomond via Guyra, as an infrastructure priority.18 It is expected this would be a significant tourist attraction for the Region.

Air The Region is serviced by the Armidale Regional Airport. Armidale Regional Airport is the second largest airport in the New England – North West area (second to Tamworth).19 Armidale Regional Airport has extensive regular passenger transport (RPT) services and a strong general aviation base, with activities including charter flights, flight training (fixed wing and helicopters), emergency services, helicopter services (Fleet Helicopters) and scenic flights for visitors.

The airport has three RPT operators; QantasLink and Rex Airlines which provide around 95 flights per week between Armidale and Sydney; and Fly Corporate which operates 12 flights per week between Armidale and Brisbane; and Fly Corporate which operates 6 return flights per week to Brisbane. In 2016/17, there were around 130,000 passenger movements through the Airport; with movements increasing relatively faster than other locations in NSW.20

The airport (and the RPT and general aviation services it provides) is critical infrastructure for several key sectors:

The growing Ag Tech sector relies on the airport as a means of transporting product to markets outside of the Region and enabling key staff to connect to the international airport in Sydney.

The education sector provides access to Armidale for students, staff and visiting professionals. It also facilitates visitation by family members.

Business event tourism — strengthening Armidale’s capacity to attract and host a range of conferences, meetings and other business events.

Medical and health sector — providing access to Armidale for visiting medical and allied health specialists and other service providers and for the transport of patients to high-order hospitals.

The airport is also a lifestyle asset that is important in attracting and retaining highly skilled staff.

The current runway is at the end of its useable life. QANTAS are looking to introduce Q400 Series on the Armidale – Sydney route. The current runway is too short to accommodate these planes.

Potential options for improving the runway21 are:

Resurfacing the existing runway. This would necessitate a temporary closure of the airport for several months.

Upgrading the existing runway. This would include lengthening it to take fully loaded Q400 Series turbo prop.22 This will also necessitate a runway closure.

A new runway parallel to the existing runway, to cater for larger aircraft as well as jets. Benefits include that it can be constructed without needing to close the airport and that it would enable export opportunities to Asia and interstate.

18 Armidale Regional Council (2017), Regional Infrastructure Priorities.

19 There is also an airstrip at Walcha.

20 Over the last 10 years domestic passenger movements grew by over 4% per year in Armidale (in contrast to 2.5% across NSW). Source BITRE Airport traffic data at https://bitre.gov.au/publications/ongoing/airport_traffic_data.aspx

21 Armidale Regional Council (2017), Regional Infrastructure Priorities.

22 The introduction of Q400 planes triggers the need to screen passengers.

https://bitre.gov.au/publications/ongoing/airport_traffic_data.aspx

The third (new runway) option is preferred as it would not impact on existing air services nor on the businesses and services dependent on these services, and would provide the facilities and infrastructure to support further growth in passenger, freight and general aviation services.

Other airport improvements required to support growth include:

an Instrument Landing System (ILS) which will eliminate delays and aircraft redirections caused by inclement weather;

improved security infrastructure and systems; and

additional parking for passengers and other airport users. Parking is at capacity and Armidale Regional Council is seeking funding to increase the number of spaces available from 81 to 219.23

There is sufficient land for future expansion of the airport. The Armidale Regional Council has developed a Masterplan for the Airport Precinct, with the Plan making provision for the development of a Highway Service, Hotel, industrial and business parks and an aviation-based residential estate adjacent to the airport.

Utilities

Water and wastewater Water security varies across the Region. Town water supplies are secure in Armidale,24 Uralla and Bundarra, but not in Walcha and Guyra.

The water supply of Walcha is not secure, with water restrictions frequently imposed in the town. These restrictions are a barrier to the town attracting new residents and businesses, and diversifying its agricultural base to include intensive production (e.g. covered horticulture, piggeries, feedlots, poultry farms etc.)25

Guyra does not have a secure water supply, with the storage capacity of Guyra Dam not sufficient to meet the demands for reliable town water and facilitate growth in covered horticulture. Securing the water supply requires the construction of a pipeline from Malpas Dam to the Guyra Water Treatment Plant. Armidale Regional Council has identified the pipeline as the highest infrastructure priority in the LGA.26

The current sewerage system in the Armidale Regional Council LGA is in reasonable condition and will cater for around 20% growth in population – around 15 years. However, the treatment plant needs immediate attention and these works total approximately $10M.

23 Armidale Regional Council (2016) Armidale Regional Airport – Masterplan.

24 The water supply for Armidale comes from Malpas Dam which has sufficient capacity for current and projected demand, (one of the few larger towns in inland NSW that has water security). Malpas Dam has been designed to enable the storage capacity to be doubled if required.

25 Water security issues in Walcha were identified in the Australian Government’s Water Infrastructure White Paper (2014), with the Paper identifying the possibility of constructing a dam on the Apsley River, upstream of Walcha. This was one of 63 potential water-developments (Australia-wide) identified in the White Paper. The White Paper classified the Apsley Dam proposal as ‘Likely to be suitable for further consideration for possible assistance to accelerate feasibility studies, cost benefit analysis or design’. Walcha Council is seeking grant funding for a feasibility assessment.

26 Armidale Regional Council (2017) Regional Infrastructure Priorities.



Energy

Electricity

Power to the Region is provided by TransGrid, which owns and operates the high voltage transmission network that delivers electricity to the Region, and Essential Energy which owns and operates the distribution network.

The main TransGrid high voltage lines (330KV) from the Hunter Valley power stations to Queensland provide power to a major substation at Armidale. TransGrid is upgrading the substation as part of its 2014/15 – 2018/19 infrastructure program.27

According to Essential Energy, there are no issues or constraints within its distribution networks. 28

Consumers (residential and business) have a choice of energy retailers. A recent review of retail pricing found that residential bills in regional areas were on average around 15 per cent higher than in metropolitan areas but that this gap was falling. 29

Gas

Within the New England-North West Region, Tamworth City is the only location with reticulated natural gas, with this delivered via the Central Ranges Pipeline from Dubbo. There are no plans to extend the pipeline north of Tamworth. Simulated Natural Gas (which allows the use of natural gas appliances) is available from a local supplier.

Renewable Energy

The University of New England is about to build a small solar farm on site. A significant solar farm, Infinergy Pacific Metz Solar Farm, has been approved for the Metz area to the east of Armidale.

Telecommunications Telecommunication services vary across the Region. The NBN fibre to the premise (FTTP) is available in Armidale, with Armidale being the only town in the NBN Network with this service. Fixed wireless services are available in proximity of Armidale.

The building of fixed line services has commenced in Walcha and Uralla townships. The NBN (fixed wireless) is available in some other locations including Guyra, Bundarra and the areas surrounding Uralla and Tingha.

The rural areas and smaller villages within the Region have access to the NBN via the Sky Muster Satellite.

Within the Region, 4G/4GX mobile phone coverage is available along the New England Highway corridor from Guyra through to Bendemeer, in Walcha and along most of the Waterfall Way and Oxley Highway corridors. Most of the rural areas within the Region have 3G coverage, with some areas — particularly along Thunderbolts Way and in the eastern and western parts of the Region — requiring external antennas to access the service. Within the rural areas, the service is often intermittent with download speeds being slow.

The reliability, speed and affordability of both the NBN and mobile phone is a key concern for many businesses outside of Armidale city.

27 TransGrid Projects 2014/15 – 2018/19.

28 Essential Energy Asset Management – Distributed Annual Planning Report, 2016.

29 IPART, Review of the performance and competitiveness of the retail electricity market in NSW. Section 3.3.

Industry specific infrastructure

Agricultural specific Infrastructure which supports the agricultural sector includes:

livestock saleyards in Armidale (cattle), Guyra (sheep) and Walcha; and

research facilities — including the Livestock Industries Centre and the CRC for Sheep Industry Innovation.

Industrial and commercial land and premises Currently there is a shortage of industrial land in both Uralla and Armidale. Armidale is establishing a business park adjacent to the Armidale Regional Airport. Uralla is also looking to extend its New England Highway industrial precinct on the southern edge of the town.

Armidale is home to the UNE SMART Region Incubator, which is a shared work space with administrative and business support services. The connected space aims to link regional businesses which have growth potential, with academic business research, business mentors, corporate and community partners.30

Education and health

Educational infrastructure Armidale has excellent higher education facilities. It is home to the University of New England which has its main campus on the edge of Armidale.

TAFE New England Institute also has an Armidale campus which specialises in agriculture, childcare, information technology and tertiary preparation for university entry. It also offers courses in music, biological science, multimedia, massage therapy, ecotourism, film industry (screen), tourism and hospitality, automotive, carpentry and joinery, and engineering.

There are no TAFE or University facilities in the Region outside of Armidale.31

Other notable educational infrastructure includes:

Tablelands Clinical School (on the grounds of the Armidale Hospital) established in 2009 which runs the Joint Medical Program offered by the UNE and University of Newcastle in partnership with Hunter New England and Central Coast Local Health Districts.

The UNE Kirby Smart Farm Innovation Centre — a facility that showcases the latest technologies aimed at ‘improving productivity, environmental sustainability, safety, workflow and social/business support networks on Australian farms.’32

Three large independent K-12 schools, with boarding facilities – The Armidale School (TAS), Presbyterian Ladies College (PLC) and New England Girls School (NEGS) plus O’Connor Catholic College.

Armidale Future School — an amalgamation of Armidale and Duval High Schools is a purpose-built, state-of-the-art school with a large performing arts centre, indoor and outdoor sporting

30 http://www.une.edu.au/about-une/academic-schools/unebs/centre-for-agribusiness/smartincubator

31 The New England Community College Inc (NECC) located in Guyra, Uralla, Walcha, Glen Innes and Armidale, offers a diverse range of certificate courses, general interest courses, computer training and Literacy and Numeracy tuition.

32 See https://www.une.edu.au/research/research-centres-institutes/smart-farm/sfic

https://www.une.edu.au/research/research-centres-institutes/smart-farm/sfic



facilities and a school farm. The school will open in 2020-21 and have the capacity for 1,500 students.

Health infrastructure The Region is well served with hospital, medical and allied health infrastructure and services. The key health facilities in the Region are:

Armidale Hospital in Armidale — a rural referral and teaching hospital with services including medicine, surgery, obstetrics, paediatrics, geriatrics, orthopaedics, a 24-hour emergency department, outpatient clinics and allied health. The hospital is undergoing a $60M upgrade.

Armidale Private Hospital — a 30 bed facility providing medical, surgical and allied health services.

Guyra Multi-Purpose Service — A small regional hospital with an emergency department.

Walcha Multi-Purpose Service — A regional hospital with an emergency department.

There are aged care facilities in all major towns in the Region, with additional facilities currently being developed in Guyra (Kolora Aged Care Facility) and Armidale.

Lifestyle and Tourism

Armidale City Centre

Armidale Regional Council has embarked on a program to upgrade and activate the Beardy Street Mall to attract more people into the Armidale shopping centre (CBD). The CBD Vibrancy Plan includes new facilities and infrastructure, performance spaces, landscaping and public art, supported by an increase in the number of events held in the mall and effective marketing and promotion.

Tourist infrastructure Armidale has a concentration of visitor accommodation, with accommodation also available in Guyra, Uralla, Walcha and Bundarra. Additional accommodation, including a boutique hotel, serviced apartments and motel and caravan park accommodation are proposed in Armidale. Armidale Regional Council is also looking to repurpose the Saumarez Homestead heritage-listed farm to provide accommodation and to establish camping and cabin facilities at Dumaresq Dam.

Recreation and sporting facilities The Region has good recreational and sporting facilities and hosts a range of regional, state and national events. Each of the towns has a showground that are used for a range of events.

Notable sport and recreation assets include:

Armidale Regional Council facilities including playing fields, netball and tennis courts, outdoor and indoor aquatic centres, skate parks, cycleways, parks, playgrounds and reserves;

SportUNE, the UNE’s facilities which include a 15 hectare outdoor sports complex Bellevue Oval (Armidale’s premier stadium), 11 playing fields, cricket turf and netball and tennis courts, two indoor multi-purpose sports halls, gym, climbing wall, pool, squash courts and extensive mountain biking trails;

Dumaresq Dam and Malpas Dam (the latter is home to a Sailing Club and rowing and fishing clubs);

gorges, spectacular waterfalls (Wollomombi and Dangarsleigh Falls), National Parks, State Forests and trout streams; and

other sporting fields and facilities associated with the private schools, including extensive equestrian facilities at NEGS.33

In conjunction with the UNE, Armidale Regional Council is seeking funding to upgrade Bellevue Oval to expand the seating capacity and crowd capacity allowing for state, national and potentially international sporting events (predominantly Rugby Union and Rugby League) to be held in Armidale.

The council is also looking to develop the Dumaresq Dam Recreational Area which will include upgraded facilities for overnight camping and cabins for longer stays by families, school groups or business team-building groups.

There is also a proposal to progressively convert the closed rail line from Armidale north to Wallangarra into a rail trail (the New England Rail Trail) for cycling, walking, jogging and horse riding. This could become a significant tourist attraction, if the trail is linked to other attractions and activities and supported with accommodation, food and beverage, shuttle transport services etc.

Cultural facilities and activities The Region is well endowed with cultural facilities and programs including:

New England Regional Art Museum: (NERAM) in Armidale.

Armidale Region Aboriginal Cultural Centre and Keeping Place.

TAS Hoskins Centre – Arts venue – 240 seat theatre, 2 drama studios, 3 art studios.

New England Conservatorium of Music.

Armidale Drama and Musical Society.

McCrossin's Mill Museum in Uralla.

Open Air Gallery of Sculptures and Artworks in Walcha.

A significant upgrade and extension (a new wing to the gallery that will include a 200 seat education or learning centre, and more exhibition space) to the NERAM is proposed. The proposed Armidale Future’s School will include a Performing Arts Centre with the main performance space accommodating up to 1,000 people. This centre will be available for community use.

33 The Armidale School (TAS) hosts the Armidale School Rugby Carnival, which is the largest Under 12s rugby carnival held in Australia (attracting over 1000 young rugby enthusiasts).



3. Considerations: Endowments, weaknesses and drivers of change

Endowments (Strengths) In the context of the Strategy, strengths are described as endowments — features of the SNEHC region that can be leveraged to develop economic opportunities. They include natural features (e.g. climate, agricultural land and water), built infrastructure (e.g. roads and airports), institutions (e.g. established industry clusters, local university) and other features that have some permanency.

Natural endowments

Climate Located on the Northern Tablelands at elevations of over 1,000 metres, the SNEHC region has a cool temperate climate with warm to hot summers and very cold winters. The climate is markedly different to that of the coastal areas to the east and the western slopes and plains to the west. The Region has four distinct seasons which make it attractive for tourism and lifestyle activities. The high altitude and lower maximum temperatures makes it an attractive place for sports tourism.

Across the Region, average annual rainfall ranges from 788mm to over 1,200mm per annum. The rainfall is relatively reliable, which is a significant benefit for agriculture.34

The high levels of solar radiation due to the altitude, plus the cool temperate climate is ideal for glasshouse horticulture. Climate change is expected to result in increased temperatures and higher rainfall variability across NSW. This may heighten the Region’s relative climate advantages.

Setting The Region is known for its high country scenery, national parks, waterfalls and gorges, historic towns and vibrant autumn colours.

The Region is home to several National Parks, World Heritage Areas and State Forests suitable for outdoor-adventure based activities including hiking, canyoning, mountain biking, bird watching and trout fishing. National Parks include the New England National Park, 85 kilometres east of Armidale off the Waterfall Way, the Cathedral Rock National Park 70 kilometres east of Armidale and the Oxley Rivers National Park near Armidale and Walcha. The Green Gully Track near Walcha is an award-winning signature walk.

The National Parks and other outdoor areas are accessible through key touring routes such as Waterfall Way. Helicopter gorge rides operate from Armidale Airport.

34 Relative to regions on the plains.

Agricultural land The soil in the Region is of good quality with very fertile basaltic soils in some areas. The Region is home to some of the most productive perennial pastures in Australia making it highly suitable for livestock breeding and production. The Region produces some of the best fine and superfine merino wool in the world.

Built infrastructure

Transport infrastructure The Region is well connected from a transport perspective. The New England Highway provides links to Sydney and South East Queensland markets, the east coast ports and the Wellcamp Airport at Toowoomba. Thunderbolts Way, the Oxley Highway and Waterfall Way link the Region with the NSW Mid North Coast. Thunderbolts Way forms part of the fastest route from regions north and west of Uralla to Newcastle/Sydney.

Located half-way between Brisbane and Sydney, the Region is a convenient central location to serve regional markets in northern NSW and Southern Queensland, and a useful stopping point for travellers.

The Region is well served by Armidale airport with RPT services to Sydney and Brisbane. The rail line is also an asset with the passenger rail service supporting residents, students and visitors. The de-commissioned rail corridor to the north of Armidale has the potential to be converted to a rail trail.



Communication and other The NBN infrastructure is an important asset, particularly for Armidale which is the only city in Australia with widespread FTTP connections. NBN is being rolled out to other regions.

The high-voltage transmission-lines that pass through the Region are an asset, which coupled with favourable climatic conditions are creating opportunities for renewable energy generation.

Education, lifestyle and other facilities Relative to most of regional NSW, the Region has very good educational facilities including the UNE and a number of high-quality schools. These facilities are an industry in themselves and an important addition to lifestyle.

The Region has a number of valuable cultural, sport, recreation and tourist infrastructure assets that contribute to and enhance its reputation as a desirable destination to live, study and visit.

Institutional and other

Established institutions and clusters The Region is home to a number of well-established industries and institutions that can be leveraged for economic growth.

There are established industry clusters in education and livestock production, and a growing Ag Tech cluster and horticultural sector. Associated with these clusters, the Region has a positive reputation for research, innovation and education in agricultural industries.

The higher education cluster includes the UNE, TAFE (including TAFE Digital NSW) and private schools.

Armidale has an established cluster of Ag Tech companies and a growing reputation for developing and commercialising Ag Tech. The UNE SMART Farm is a key institution that contributes to the strengths of this cluster.

Labour force The Region has several labour force strengths. Relative to other regional areas of NSW, the labour force is well educated. The visiting students are a potential labour source that can be leveraged for part-time and casual work. The attractive lifestyle and airport connections assist in attracting high-skilled labour for the Region.

Weaknesses and issues Weaknesses and issues were identified through the consultation and the survey. A summary of the respondent’s ratings of strengths and weaknesses is presented in the figure below. Consistent with surveys conducted elsewhere, it was more common for respondents to rate factors as a relative weakness.

Key weaknesses identified in the survey were access to skilled labour, planning and development regulations, other government regulations and communications infrastructure and road infrastructure. In contrast, innovation (adoption of technology, research and development), attractive lifestyle and higher education and training were viewed as relative strengths of the Region.

Figure 13: Summary of strengths and weaknesses

Note: Factors are sorted by weighting responses: Key weaknesses (-3), weakness (-1), Strength (1), Key strength (3).

Access to semi-skilled and skilled labour — Despite the relatively highly educated labour force, consistent with other regions, access to semi-skilled and skilled labour was a significant issue identified in both the survey and consultation. There appear to be labour shortages across many sectors. Many skilled resources are recruited from outside of the Region.35

35 The labour shortages include people with trade skills, experienced professionals (e.g. programmers with 5–10 years’ experience) and experienced managerial staff.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Higher education & training

Research and development

Attractive lifestyle for labour

Adoption of technology and innovation

Labour relations

Financial risk management

Access to finance

Availability and quality of water

Brand/reputation

Regional collaboration of expertise

Access to unskilled labour

Strategic business alliances

Openness to foreign business

Business networks and associations

Participation in international markets

Availability of business support

Entrepreneurship

Industry marketing capabilities

Access to markets

Other transport infrastructure

Road infrastructure

Availability, affordability of energy

Communications infrastructure

Other regulations (State & Local government)

Planning and development regulation

Access to skilled labour

Strength or Weakness Overview, SNEHC

Important and a key weakness Important and some weakness Important but no issues

Important and some strength Important and a key strength



Communications infrastructure issues — Although the NBN is seen as a relative strength in the Armidale urban area, stakeholders raised significant concerns about:

general communications service levels in other areas throughout the Region; and

most significantly, with mobile telephony coverage.

The significance of these issues was emphasised in survey comments.36

Regulation as a barrier to growth — Survey respondents and direct consultations highlighted concerns over regulation at both the council and state government level.

Many of those interviewed and survey respondents raised concerns over lack of support for economic development by previous councils in Armidale.

Other regulations/policies raised as issues included the need to update regulations around the road transport sector (e.g. truck driver licencing, transferring registration of interstate vehicles/trailers), the Native Vegetation Act, Farm Bio-security plans and gaining EPA approval.

Roads infrastructure

The importance of connectivity (including road and air infrastructure) was emphasised as important for economic development in consultations and survey. A number of issues with specific roads were identified (see Appendix 2).

Access to finance

Access to finance was raised as an issue in consultation (although it was not raised as a significant issue in the survey). A general concern in regional areas is that local lending institutions are risk-averse and that non-local institutions lack a familiarity with the Region and its opportunities. There is significant local private wealth, which may provide an opportunity to overcome any finance issues. It was also noted that financial constraints could hinder councils from undertaking valuable initiatives.

36 Indicative comments included: “TOO MANY black spots in telecommunications, really holds us back. We would move our head office if this changed.”; Lack of Mobile phone towers hinder economic development in rural areas.; Lack of access to internet and mobile phone services are a serious threat to long-term profitability.

Drivers of change Drivers of change (trends and events) and their potential implications for the SNEHC region were examined. A list is provided in Table 7 in Appendix 5. Key drivers considered include:

Global factors: Changes in global markets

Climate change

Growth in digital Economy

Increasing productivity of agriculture

Australian factors

Growing interest in sustainability

Changing population dynamics (e.g. aging population)

Regional (NSW) factors

Growth of Tamworth

Development of Wellcamp Airport and Business Park, Toowoomba

Growth of Sydney

Joint Organisation of Councils

The pace of change is increasing and the Region needs to ensure that it is adaptable and receptive to change where it is beneficial to the community.



4. Economic Future of the Region

Long Term Economic Vision for the Region The economic vision for the Region has been developed through consultation, using as a foundation the visions expressed in the Community Strategic Plans for each LGA, and in the case of Armidale Regional, the draft Economic Development Strategy Unleashing the Opportunities.37

The vision is:

The Region will be known as:

A premier location for technology-driven agri-business in livestock and horticulture

A location of choice for innovative and globally-connected ‘knowledge-based’ businesses

A centre for quality education and research

An attractive choice for tree-change professionals

As part of the New England High Country, a premium visitor destination

A sophisticated country lifestyle

Economic opportunities for the Region The key economic opportunities for the Region are:

Improving the productivity of the livestock industry

Expanding the horticultural sector

Growing Ag Tech industries

Growing specialised industry and manufacturing

Maintaining and expanding opportunities for micro-businesses and lifestyle / tree change professionals

Growing tourism (the Visitor Economy)

Maintaining and growing education and training

Leveraging local advantages for renewable energy

Improving productivity of livestock industry Beef cattle and sheep farming are major industries in the Region. Although employment in these industries (as elsewhere) has declined, the industries will continue to be a dominant contributor to the local economy for the foreseeable future.

37 The vision in Unleashing the Opportunities is that ‘The Armidale Region is Australia’s premier location for technology-driven agri-business in livestock and horticulture, a premium visitor destination and a location of choice for innovative and globally-connected ‘knowledge-based’ businesses enjoying a vibrant city-region lifestyle.’

A reinvigorated and resilient economy with strong and sustainable growth on the back of the agriculture, innovation,

and quality lifestyle in the high country of New England.

Opportunities for the sector involve increasing productivity to grow output and increase the value of the products. There is an opportunity to improve productivity through the application of technology (leveraging local strengths in Ag Tech) and improved land and water management practices (dependent in part on access to telecommunications). Improving transport links will reduce costs and increase efficiency.

There are also opportunities for increasing the value of products through innovation such as improved quality control and customised services.

Expanding the horticulture sector In recent years there has been a significant growth in controlled environment horticulture (CEH) (i.e. greenhouse) sector in the SNEHC region led by Costas tomato development in Guyra.

A recent report into CEH in NSW notes that the (northern tablelands) region has the natural advantages for CEH, stemming from the high altitude, which results in lower maximum temperatures and relatively high levels of solar radiation.38 It identifies the potential for further growth in other crops including ‘capsicum, lettuce and other leafy greens, cucumbers, eggplant, herbs, and some types of cut flowers’ and notes that large-scale CEH offers the potential to provide significant employment possibilities.

The key barriers to further growth appear to be related to securing adequate water supplies and sufficient access to unskilled labour.

Growing the Ag Tech industry The Ag Tech industry provides a strong growth opportunity for the SNEHC region. The industry is a rapidly growing sector internationally.

Armidale has been selected by the NSW Government as one of three locations (along with Orange and Wagga Wagga) for an Ag Tech Cluster initiative. The Region has an established cluster of Ag Tech businesses and has the environment for further growth. Key strengths include:

Established cluster including start-ups, well-established private firms and mature non-private organisations.

Strong coalition of the willing, including Chamber of Commerce and Local Government as key local enablers & UNE Smart Farm & Smart Region Incubator/s.

Strong history in developing livestock genetics and decision support software around breeding – moving to next gen livestock sensor and real-time monitoring.

Location. The Region is surrounded by diverse and productive agriculture landscapes, including livestock (grazing and intensive production), mixed farming and broadacre and irrigated cropping in the New England – North West region.

Connectivity including the FTTP NBN in Armidale and the Armidale Regional Airport (which provides fast access to key markets).

Facilities, including the UNE SMART Farm which is a key facility for trialling and promoting new technologies.

The UNE SMART Regional Incubator.

A relatively highly educated workforce and access to academic and student resources.

Maximising the growth opportunity will require additional investments and initiatives. In particular:

38 ‘Controlled Environment Horticulture Industry Potential in NSW’, UNE Business School, Dr David Hadley, September 2017



maintaining and strengthening the Region’s connectivity by air.

improving mobile telecommunications in the Region to encourage the adoption of technology and innovative land management and business practices in the rural areas neighbouring Armidale.

leveraging ‘successes’ to raise awareness and strengthen and build Armidale’s profile nationally and internationally.

marketing the Region’s endowments for Ag Tech and attracting additional enterprises to build the Ag Tech cluster to a critical mass.

Growing specialised industry and manufacturing The combination of an attractive lifestyle and good road and transport infrastructure makes the Region an attractive place for speciality industry and manufacturing businesses. While small, this sector adds to the diversity of the employment opportunities and has the potential to support the Ag Tech sector.

An existing constraint to further development is the lack of available industrial and commercial land, particularly in Armidale. Addressing this constraint is likely to lead to further development. Improving road and air connectivity will also facilitate growth in specialised industries and manufacturing.

Maintaining and expanding opportunities for micro-businesses and lifestyle/tree change professionals The attractive lifestyle, access to education, good transport connectivity to Sydney and northern NSW, and NBN infrastructure in Armidale, makes the Region an attractive base for people serving a range of markets. These include tree-changers, professionals and micro-business owners. The Region is particularly attractive to knowledge-based industries that can leverage the good communications infrastructure. The Region is likely to be relatively more attractive to micro-business owners (i.e. <4 employees) who are more interested in lifestyle and do not rely on deep labour pools of large population centres.

A growth opportunity is to further leverage these advantages. Key opportunities include:

improving the frequency and reliability of air connections to facilitate professionals servicing markets in Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne.

encouraging micro-businesses to move to, and establish in, the Region leveraging the good connectivity.

gaining a reputation as a lifestyle destination with good dining/cafes/bars.

Growing tourism (the Visitor Economy) Tourism (the visitor economy) is directly and indirectly contributing around 8-9% of the Region’s economy.39 Tourism can be expected to grow steadily with forecast growth in both visitation and expenditure per visit for regional NSW.

There are several growth opportunities including:

drive (and ride) touring, building on the good road connectivity (north, south, east and west) and many natural and cultural assets in the Region;

39 Estimate provided by CERD.

outdoor-adventure based tourism through further leveraging of existing assets (e.g. mountain biking facilities, the proximity to national parks) and development of new assets (e.g. a rail-trail);

sports-based tourism, leveraging Armidale’s good sporting facilities, its climate (including elevation) and its location between Sydney and Brisbane;

business events — attracting conferences, meetings and other events to the Region; and

education-based tourism, leveraging the University, other education facilities and other assets such as the UNE SMART Farm.

Maintaining and growing education The UNE has a reduced role in its relative significance as an engine industry for the Region. Nevertheless, higher and secondary education continues to grow as an employer and contributor to the regional economy. The Region’s strengths for higher education include the established facilities (such as the UNE, TAFE, the Fire Rescue NSW Training Centre and local private schools), good connectivity (including the NBN and the airport) and the attractive climate and setting.

The sector is of strategic importance to the Region. In addition to being a major employer,40 tertiary education indirectly contributes to the local economy in other ways. The students and their visiting families and friends inject money into the Region through their local expenditure. Students can be a source of much-needed labour for horticulture and other growing industries while they are studying in the Region and can be a source of skilled labour in the future.

Leveraging local advantages for renewable energy The Region’s proximity to high-voltage transmission networks and its position on the tablelands, make it a potentially attractive location for renewable energy resources particularly wind and solar.

Other economic opportunities raised In addition to those described above, other potential economic opportunities for the Region include

Expansion of avionics industry, leveraging the existing industry and airport infrastructure.

Growing the retirement and aged care services sectors.

40 Employing around 9.5% of the workforce (Census 2016).



Risks facing the Region Through the survey, consultations and analysis, risks to the Region’s economic development were identified. In the survey, respondents were asked to rate five key factors in terms of risks for their industry sector. The results are shown in the following figure.

Figure 14: Risks facing the Region

Specific risks identified through the surveys and consultations and analysis include the following:

Economic risks

UNE –reduction in students/staff on campus. Risk of reduced funding for higher education resulting in further cuts, closure of private schools.

Changes in commodity prices affect livestock industry.

Production risks

Reduction in RPT services at Armidale Airport. A temporary closure of the airport (e.g. for a runway upgrade) would have significant impacts on a number of sectors.

Insufficient depth of pool of skilled resources is hampering growth.

Communications infrastructure issues outside of Armidale limit productivity growth.

Lifestyle factors hinder skilled resource growth – e.g. poor retail experience, lack of lifestyle – entertainment precinct, limited career progression opportunities, limited employment for partners etc.

Governance

Local government not sufficiently supportive of business development.

Changes in government (local/state & federal) policy.

State and federal regulation hinders growth opportunities.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Economic risks(changes in competition,

demand, exchange rates etc.)

Governance risks(changes in regulation etc.)

Production risks(changes in input costs,labour disruptions etc.)

Societal risks(adverse community attitudes

toward development etc.)

Environmental risks(Natural or man-made disasters,

pollution, disease, pests etc.)

Risks, SNEHC

Low Medium low Medium Medium high High

Environmental risk factors:

Climate change and severe weather events (possibly a relative strength of the Region).41

41 As noted in Appendix 5, project impacts of climate change are relatively benign compared to regions at lower altitudes and include fewer cold nights in the NE-NW table lands.



5. Strategies and actions

Strategies A set of strategies to capture the opportunities and address the risks have been identified, from an analysis of the endowments, specialisations and opportunities, and in consultation with the community and relevant councils.

These key opportunities and strategies are:

Strategies

1. Strengthen the Region’s connectivity

2. Secure the inputs for growth

3. Strengthen, consolidate and grow key sectors

4. Promote an attractive, desirable lifestyle

5. Effective marketing and promotion

Opportunities:

Improving the productivity of the livestock industry

Expanding the horticultural sector

Growing Ag Tech industries

Growing specialised industry and manufacturing

Maintaining and expanding opportunities for micro-businesses and lifestyle / tree change professionals

Growing tourism (the Visitor Economy)

Maintaining and growing education and training

Leveraging local advantages for renewable energy

Strategy 1: Strengthen the Region’s connectivity

Strategy overview The Region has a number of existing strengths in its connectivity to other regions including good air and road transport links and the NBN in Armidale. However, the success of the many of the Region’s opportunities (including the Ag Tech industry, agricultural industries and education and training sector) will depend on further strengthening the connections, in particular to address issues in transport and communications infrastructure.

The keys initiatives within this strategy are:

Ensuring the ongoing sustainability of and increasing the services provided by Armidale Airport. The airport is critical for growth in sectors and businesses that service markets outside of the Region, including Ag-tech, education, tourism, professional services and specialty manufacturers. It is also a key factor affecting lifestyle and desirability of the location for skilled labour.

Investing in key road-infrastructure to improve productivity and facilitate further growth in agriculture and tourism.

Upgrading the telecommunication network, addressing the mobile black-spots, thereby enabling productivity enhancements in livestock and other agricultural industries. Improvements in the network will also improve liveability and facilitate the development of further value-added businesses throughout the Region.

Potential benefits and implications This strategy has direct benefits and provides a foundation for economic growth upon which other strategies can build. The potential benefits include:

increasing the productivity and profitability of existing industries;

increasing confidence of established businesses to invest and grow;

providing a signal to other firms interested in investing in the Region; and

increasing the attractiveness of the Region to visitors and potential tree change professionals and other skilled workers.

Challenges and other considerations

Limited funds and resources available to invest in the infrastructure needed.

Upgrading of the telecommunications network requires direct investment by the telecommunication companies. Arrangements with telecommunication providers need to be carefully managed to maximise the opportunity.

Implementation can take significant time — it will be important to manage expectations.

Infrastructure priorities

Expansion of Armidale Airport to provide the capacity for larger planes, improve the air-services and position the Region for further growth.

Road infrastructure — in particular, key routes for improvement are Thunderbolts Way, Oxley Highway and Waterfall Way.

Mobile telephone infrastructure —to address coverage issues in rural areas and enable adoption of technology in land management, production systems and business management.



Strategy 2: Secure the inputs for growth

Strategy overview Building a platform for growth requires ensuring that inputs needed by businesses are in place. These include availability of skilled and unskilled labour, water and energy security, suitable land and premises and a stable business environment. This strategy focuses on providing key inputs and removing barriers to growth.

Key initiatives are:

Invest in infrastructure that will support and facilitate growth, including water, power and commercial and industrial land.

Build the size and capacity of the local workforce, through training and skills development, student placements and the attraction of skilled workers.

Provide a positive, supportive environment for business to establish and grow.

Potential benefits and implications This strategy helps to position the Region as a favourable, competitive location for businesses seeking to invest and grow.

Infrastructure priorities The key infrastructure priorities under this theme include investments in:

Water security, including the Malpas pipeline project.

Business parks and industrial precincts to provide space for new industry.


Funding for infrastructure investment is an ongoing challenge.

There is potential for business park development in both Uralla and Armidale — coordination is desirable to ensure that the developments are not competing.

Addressing labour shortages, skill gaps and training requirements is a major issue that requires a coordinated approach from all levels of government.

Strategy 3: Strengthen, consolidate and grow key sectors

Strategy overview This strategy focuses on providing targeted support to key sectors that will drive the Region’s economy in the foreseeable future.

Key initiatives under this theme are providing support (including support for sector-specific marketing, development of partnerships etc.) to:

Agriculture, including horticulture.

Ag Tech.

Education and training.

Micro-businesses and knowledge-based industries.

Specialised industry and manufacturing.

Visitor Economy (tourism).

Emerging sectors that have potential to leverage the Region’s endowments.

Potential benefits and implications Strong engine industries create income and employment opportunities within the Region, and provide nuclei for the attraction of new businesses and investment. Increasing employment opportunities should lead to greater retention of skilled-labour and further growth.

Infrastructure priorities The key infrastructure priorities under this theme include investments in:

Ongoing upgrades of the Walcha, Armidale and Guyra saleyards.

Product and infrastructure development to support the growth of tourism, including the upgrading and expansion of visitor facilities at Dumaresq Dam, construction of the New England Rail Trail (Stage 1), expansion of mountain bike trails and the expansion of the Walcha Outdoor Sculpture Park.


Limited funds and resources at council level and higher priorities in relation to delivering facilities, services and infrastructure. Saleyards and tourism infrastructure are not services that councils are required to deliver.

Challenge of working with individual businesses.



Strategy 4: Enhance the Region’s attractive, desirable lifestyle

Strategy overview An attractive, desirable lifestyle is critical to the Region attracting and retaining residents including skilled personnel, retirees, businesses and visitors. Key lifestyle considerations include the presentation of the area, access to facilities and services, suitable housing, employment prospects and the vibrancy and inclusiveness to the community.

The key initiatives under this strategy are:

Ensuring services are appropriate for growth.

Continuing to develop, position and promote the Region’s towns as lifestyle centres.

Potential benefits and implications

Retention and expansion of facilities and services.

Retention and growth of existing businesses.

Attraction of new businesses, residents and visitors.

Growth areas have the potential to attract additional government funding and support.

Greater retention of skilled-labour.

Infrastructure Priorities

Implementation of the Armidale Mall Vibrancy Plan to improve the presentation and attractiveness of the Armidale City Centre and stimulate market demand.

Progressive upgrading and expansion of sporting, recreation and cultural facilities.

Challenges and other Considerations

Limited funds and resources, constraining the ability of councils to deliver non-core facilities and services.

Marketing and promoting the lifestyle attributes of the Region.

Competition from other regional centres also offering lifestyle opportunities.

Strategy 5: Effective marketing and promotion

Strategy overview This strategy focuses on raising the profile and awareness of the Region as a highly desirable location to live, invest and visit. It includes:

Supporting existing businesses and industry clusters, including positioning Armidale/Guyra as a centre of excellence for Ag Tech, horticulture and knowledge based industries.

Marketing to attract new residents, businesses and investment.

Destination marketing as part of growing the visitor economy.

Marketing to enhance graduate retention.

Potential benefits and implications

Increased awareness of the Region’s strengths as a location to establish and grow a business, in providing a good lifestyle and a visitor destination.

Infrastructure Priorities Nil


Finding the funds and resources to effectively market and promote the Region.

Ensuring that marketing is consistent with what the Region provides.



Regional Action Plan An initial set of initiatives, actions and infrastructure priorities consistent with the strategic framework have been identified to accompany the strategies. It is expected that over time other actions capable of contributing to the attainment of the Region’s vision will be identified. An action’s alignment with the Strategy is the primary strategic consideration. Actions will be subject to further qualitative and quantitative evaluative processes.

Legend: Importance — How important is the action relative to its impact or significance. Rated from Low, Low-medium, Medium, Medium-high, High.

Responsibility — First name indicates which party takes the lead e.g. All councils + business community. ARC (Armidale Regional Council), WSC (Walcha Shire Council), USC (Uralla Shire Council), UNE, ORD (Office of Regional Development), All Councils, BC = Business Community.

Additional funding required — Whether the action will require some application for additional funding

Ref# Initiative / action

Importance

Responsi

bility

Additional Funds Rqd.

1 Strengthen the Region’s connectivity

Air services

1.1 Expand the capacity of Armidale Airport

1.1.a Advocate for funding from the State and Federal Governments to implement the Armidale Regional Airport Master plan with building the second runway, installing an Instrument Landing System (ILS) and an Airport Security Scanning System being the priority projects.

High AC Yes

1.1.b Triple the capacity of the Airport car park to support the growth in Airport use. M ARC

1.2 Improve the RPT services at Armidale Airport

1.2.a Advocate for continued access to Sydney Airport and additional flight slots as required. H AC

1.2.b Engage with the major airlines to secure more flights to/from Armidale including more Brisbane and Melbourne flights, flights to Wellcamp airport and other regional areas.

LM AC

Road and rail

1.3 Improve the quality and capacity in key road and bridge infrastructure to improve access to and throughout the Region – improving safety, and increasing connectivity, capacity and efficiency

1.3.a Upgrade Thunderbolts Way, including bridges, from the Walcha Shire boundary to the New England Highway to enable B-double (25-26m) and HML access to the New England Highway at Uralla.

High AC Yes

1.3.b Upgrade Thunderbolts Way, including bridges, from Uralla to Inverell to HML improve freight connectivity. MH USC & WSC

Yes

1.3.c Improve connectivity between the Region and the NSW mid north coast through the progressive upgrading of Thunderbolts Way south of Walcha, the Oxley Highway and Waterfall Way.

M USC & WSC

Yes

1.3.d Upgrade the Waterfall Way to encourage / assist in Freight options and grow the Visitor Economy. M ARC Yes

1.3.e Progressively upgrade or replace timber and load restricted bridges and improve the capacity of bridges to achieve a 44T load limit.

MH AC Yes

1.3.f Upgrade Kingstown Road to provide access for B-doubles to the hard rock aggregate quarry at Balala. M USC Yes

1.3.g Upgrade Torryburn Road to provide improved access to Thunderbolts Way. LM USC Yes

1.3.h Progressively upgrade Topdale Road to improve the link between Thunderbolts Way and Tamworth.

1.3.i Investigate upgrading of railway bridges to enable trains to travel faster. L AC Yes

1.3.j Upgrade unsealed section of Bingara Road to provide for B Double & HML capability from Bundarra to Bingara. MH USC

1.4 Maximise the use of rail connections

1.4.a Retain passenger rail services to the Region, where viable. H AC

1.4.b Explore options to leverage the rail network for freight transport by leveraging the of inland rail project. M AC



Telecommunications

1.5 Improve telecommunications infrastructure

1.5.a Prepare a mobile phone tower development strategy including recommended positioning and criteria for additional towers. High AC

1.5.b Advocate for funding to address mobile black spots and invest in additional mobile phone towers to extend and improve coverage, speed and reliability outside of the townships.

High AC

1.5.c Review all new residential, commercial and industrial developments to ensure they have in place state of the art telecommunications infrastructure, with all new properties in Armidale having fibre to the premise to consolidate the City’s competitive advantage.

MH AC Yes

1.6 Improve support for use of telecommunications services

1.6.a In support of the NBN roll-out organise forums to brief and educate residents and businesses in Uralla and Walcha about the NBN, connection process and opportunities.

M AC

1.6.b Expand the scope of the Digital Economy Implementation Group to support NBN roll-outs in Uralla and Walcha. M AC

2 Secure the inputs for growth

Land, utilities and finance

2.1 Plan for growth in land use

2.1.a Monitor trends in the supply and demand for land for residential, commercial and industrial development, and periodically review Local Environmental Plans (LEPs) to ensure a sufficient supply of residential, lifestyle, commercial and industrial zoned land.

M AC

2.1.b Work with NSW Planning and Environment to assess the development potential of the land identified in the New England North West Regional Plan as future growth areas in Armidale.

LM ARC

2.1.c Advocate for Government funding to assist in providing enabling infrastructure to facilitate subdivision and development of residential, rural residential and industrial land.

LM AC

2.1.d Review LEPS and other planning instruments and streamline processes to encourage and facilitate quality residential, commercial and industrial development throughout the Region.

LM AC

2.1.e Review planning regulations to ensure they facilitate diversification of agricultural activities, including diversification, value-add, and farm-based tourism.

M AC

2.2 Secure and expand the Region’s water supply

2.2.a Provide additional off creek storage capacity to drought proof Walcha while minimising the impact of water extraction from the Macdonald River.

MH WSC

2.2.b Identify possible new water supply sources including investigating the feasibility of damming the Apsley River upstream of Walcha.

M WSC

2.2.c Assess future needs and evaluate options to provide water security for Uralla and Bundarra. MH USC & ARC

2.2.d Secure funding for project implementation for Guyra to Malpas Dam Pipeline. High ARC

2.2.e Review horticultural projects to ensure they are designed to be highly water efficient. LM AC

2.2.f



2.3 Ensure that the sewerage system will support growth

2.3.a Upgrade the capacity of the Armidale sewerage treatment plant to support growth. M ARC

2.4 Improve access to finance

2.4.a Investigate crowd-funding for some public goods/services. L AC & BC

2.4.b Encourage investment by local institutions and high net-worth individuals (e.g. through encouraging local networks). High AC & BC

Labour: Build the size and capacity of the local workforce

2.5 Define and address labour force needs

2.5.a Work with Regional Development Australia Northern Inland (RDANI), business groups and employment agencies to identify the labour force requirements and skills gaps within the SNEHC Region and formulate a work force strategy.

M AC & BC

2.6 Address skills gaps

2.6.a Encourage educational institutions to better align courses to local business and industry needs. LM AC & BC

2.6.b Investigate the potential to increase adult education and re-training opportunities within the Region to increase workforce participation.

LM AC & BC

2.6.c Work with business and industry groups to identify incentives or programs that could be introduced to attract critical workforce skills to the Region.

LM AC & BC

2.6.d Work with RDANI to explore opportunities to address labour force issues and skills gaps through the various skilled migration and seasonal and temporary worker programs.

LM AC & BC

2.6.e Participate in RDANI and NSW Government labour and investment attraction initiatives, including the Come-On-Inland promotion.

LM AC

2.7 Develop employment pathways for local youth

2.7.a Organise information sessions to brief businesses about trainees and apprenticeships – procedures, requirements and the support programs available.

LM AC & BC

2.7.b Encourage businesses to become involved in school-based, UNE (e.g. placements) and TAFE programs and other activities, which will strengthen education and industry links.

LM AC & BC

2.7.c Explore options to expand youth-based volunteer and mentoring programs to develop leadership and communication skills and work ethics in young people.

LM AC & BC

2.7.d Hold an annual jobs/careers expo to provide information regarding careers in local businesses and industries. M AC & BC

2.7.e Develop information / promotional materials / on-line resources and workplace programs (e.g. industry trails) to assist young people to understand career pathways offered by key local industry sectors.

M AC & BC

2.7.f Explore opportunities to provide incentives for local youth who study and work locally in an area of identified skill shortage, for an agreed number of years.

LM AC & BC

Provide a positive, supportive environment for business to establish and grow

2.8 Make the Region ‘open for business’

2.8.a Undertake a pro-business review of key council review policies, plans, processes and regulations. MH AC & BC

2.8.b Prepare a regional economic profile and investment prospectus with information available on each of the council websites. MH AC Yes

2.8.c Provide and promote information and resources relevant to regional businesses. M AC & BC

2.8.d Provide opportunities for networking, training and development. M AC & BC

2.9 Strengthen communication and alliances within the Region

2.9.a Continue to improve communication between the councils, Government agencies, UNE, local business, industry and community groups and with business operators.

M AC & BC

2.9.b Establish a strategic alliance between the three councils to facilitate and drive economic development. H AC

2.10 Endeavour to improve the regulatory environment for businesses

2.10.a Advocate and/or support industry and business associations to reduce State and Australian Government ‘red tape’ and remove regulatory barriers.

LM BC



3 Strengthen, consolidate and grow key sectors

3.1 Support and strengthen the agricultural sector and build on competitive advantages

3.1.a Protect productive agricultural land and water resources within the Region. H AC

3.1.b Advocate for the retention and expansion of agricultural research and development institutions and programs within the SNEHC and broader NE-NW region.

MH AC

3.1.c Advocate for the State Government, to improve extension services in the Region, to facilitate the roll-out and take up of improved land and business management practices and technology.

MH AC & BC

3.1.d In consultation with the livestock industry, upgrade the Armidale, Guyra and Walcha saleyards, to retain the economic benefits generated by sales, within the regional community. M ARC &

WSC Yes

3.1.e Continue to improve the local and regional road network to facilitate the efficient and cost effective transport of livestock, wool and other commodities. M AC Yes

3.1.f Encourage and support diversification, including on-farm value-adding and farm-based tourism. M AC

3.2 Encourage the expansion of horticulture

3.2.a Publicise and leverage the results of the UNE assessment of localities for controlled environment horticulture in NSW – focussing on Guyra / the Region as a prime location. MH ARC

3.2.b Leverage promotional opportunities to raise awareness of the Costa operation and to position the Region as a prime location for glasshouse operations and horticulture.

MH ARC

3.2.c Provide water and power infrastructure to support development. M AC Yes

3.2.d Explore labour force requirements to facilitate expansion of horticulture sector. M ARC

3.2.e Collaborate with UNE, the NSW Department of Industry and the Office of Regional Development to establish a business case and prospectus to attract further private sector investment to expand controlled environment horticulture in the Region.

MH AC

3.2.f As the horticulture sector develops, explore opportunities for value-adding / processing. M AC

3.2.g Develop case to establish a UNE Centre for Horticulture to provide research and educational services to the businesses associated with horticulture and supporting industries. The Centre will serve as a scientific hub for development of alternative

M ARC

energy sources for agriculture and horticulture, information science, innovation in plant propagation and husbandry and regional development around horticulture.

3.3 Facilitate the development of Armidale as an Ag Tech cluster

3.3.a Actively market and promote the Ag Tech cluster both nationally and internationally, capitalising on opportunities to leverage research findings, innovations and other outputs from the cluster.

High AC

3.3.b Partner with TAFE Digital NSW, UNE, local industry stakeholders and the secondary schools within the Region to design integrated training pathways for school-leavers looking for careers in technology-driven agribusiness.

M AC & BC

3.3.c Leverage opportunities arising from the relocation of the Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority (AVPMA) to Armidale.

MH AC

3.4 Continue to support the expansion of education and training facilities within the Region

3.4.a Advocate for the expansion of courses at Armidale TAFE, with the courses aligned with the key industry sectors, including Ag-Tech, specialist manufacturing and the tourism / hospitality sector.

M AC & BC

3.4.b Encourage the Community College to provide a range of vocational courses within the Region, targeted to addressing skill gaps and improving work-readiness.

LM AC & BC

3.4.c Continue to promote Armidale as a centre for quality education and training. M ARC

3.5 Support micro-businesses and knowledge-based industries

3.5.a Endeavour to attract technology businesses, including national and international businesses to the Region. MH AC

3.5.b Support the UNE SMART Region incubator program to encourage start-up businesses. MH AC & BC

3.5.c Support the development of programs to increase home-based and micro-business capacity-building and innovation in the Region. Provide information and referrals to existing business development and/or mentoring programs or networks available through the NSW Department of Industry.

M AC

3.5.d Host ‘hobby to business’ workshops to encourage people to grow their hobby into an income stream. LM AC

3.5.e Continue to participate in the Evo Cities, Come-on-Inland and other promotional initiatives to target potential tree-changers. M ARC

3.5.f Explore opportunities to use the Visitor Information Centres as ‘touch points’ to market and promote the Region as a lifestyle / tree-change destination to visitors.

MH AC



3.6 Expand and improve the attraction, experience and activity base of the Region

3.6.a Progress the New England Rail Trail (Stage 1) as a key attraction and a focal point for cycle tourism in the Region. M AC Yes

3.6.b Implement the master-plan for the development of Dumaresq Dam as a regional nature and water-based activity park. M ARC Yes

3.6.c Continue to develop and leverage the Walcha Outdoor Sculpture Park, with new installations and art / sculpture based events and activities.

M WSC Yes

3.6.d Position and promote Armidale as a centre for mountain-biking, progressively upgrading existing MTB tracks and developing new tracks and experiences.

M-MH ARC Yes

3.6.e Encourage the establishment of outdoor and adventure-based tours and activities. M-MH AC

3.6.f Continue to improve the fossicking experiences in Uralla. M-MH USC Yes

3.6.g Support the upgrading of Bellevue Oval and the expansion of the Stadium to enable the venue to cater for high profile sporting events.

M-MH AC Yes

3.6.h Progress the Saumarez Homestead Development Project. L ARC Yes

3.6.i Facilitate provision of electrical car charging stations. MH AC Yes

3.7 Build the events sector (include sporting, business and cultural events) High

3.7.a Implement changes to council processes and regulations to facilitate and support the hosting of events. MH AC

3.7.b Work with the UNE, other institutions, business and industry associations, local businesses and community groups to identify potential conferences, meetings and other business events that could be hosted in the region, and target these events.

M AC

3.7.c Encourage and support sporting clubs and associations to attract and host carnivals, competitions, camps, clinics etc. M AC & BC

3.7.d Encourage and support local events, working with event organisers to grow their events and increase visitation. M AC

4 Enhance the Region’s attractive, desirable lifestyle

4.1 Ensure that services are in place to support growth

4.1.a Advocate for continued improvement in education, health, aged care and social assistance services, programs and facilities. H AC

Continue to develop, position and promote the Region’s towns as lifestyle centres. H AC

4.2 Create strong, positive impressions

4.2.a Implement the Armidale Central Mall Vibrancy Plan to increase the attractiveness and appeal of the Armidale city centre. MH ARC Yes

4.2.b Continue to develop vibrant and attractive public spaces, including the installation of public art in each of the town centres. M AC

4.2.c Encourage quality landscaping to be a feature of new residential and industrial estates. M AC

4.3 Provide a choice of housing types

4.3.a Ensure that urban development strategies and the LEPs provide for a range of housing options. H AC

4.4 Continue to improve and expand the recreation, sporting and leisure facilities within the Region

4.4.a Advocate for funds to develop an athletics centre with a synthetic, competition standard running track. MH AC

4.4.b Advocate for the development of quality indoor and outdoor sporting facilities at the Armidale Futures School, and for community access to these facilities.

M ARC

4.5 Provide a rich cultural environment and a vibrant and active arts scene

4.5.a Advocate for funding to upgrade and potentially relocate/ expand the New England Regional Art Museum. High AC Yes

4.5.b Advocate for community access to the proposed Performing Arts Centre / facilities at the Armidale Futures School. LM ARC

4.5.c Prepare a feasibility study and business case for the Old Courthouse Arts and Creative Industries hub proposal in Armidale. LM ARC

4.5.d Develop an Armidale Region Arts and Culture Program. L ARC

4.5.e Identify and promote night-time economy opportunities in the Armidale CBD to improve amenity and the appeal of Armidale as a destination for locals, residents from the wider region and visitors.

LM ARC



4.5.f Actively target ‘foot loose’ events that could be hosted within the Region. High AC & BC

4.6 Support aging population

4.6.a Ensure that facilities and services are adequate to support ageing in place. H AC

4.6.b Encourage the development of Over 55’s housing and supported aged care accommodation in Armidale, Uralla, Walcha and Guyra.

M AC & BC

5 Effective marketing and promotion

Business Attraction and Investment

5.1 Formulate the marketing framework for attraction of business, investment and new residents

5.1.a Articulate the positioning and key marketing messages for the Region and formulate a communications and marketing strategy.

MH AC

5.1.b Develop marketing and promotional collateral and supporting information, including video clips that showcase the Region’s accessibility, lifestyle, endowments and successful businesses.

MH AC Yes

5.1.c Encourage business and industry groups, and individual businesses involved in marketing and promotion, to incorporate the key marketing messages and images for the Region.

M AC & BC

5.2 Leverage opportunities for raising awareness, generating publicity and cooperative marketing

5.2.a Continue to participate in regional economic development promotional initiatives provided by the NSW and Australian Governments, RDA Northern Inland, Evo Cities and the Joint Organisation of Councils.

M AC & BC

5.2.b Participate in relevant trade missions and endeavour at attract and host trade delegations and industry tours. M AC & BC

5.2.c Capitalise on opportunities to showcase the Region; its innovative and successful businesses, research programs and products; and lifestyle.

MH AC & BC

5.2.d Encourage businesses, researchers, producers and community groups to enter awards and celebrate achievements. Leverage achievements through PR marketing.

M AC & BC

5.2.e Capitalise on ‘touch point’ opportunities (e.g. Visitor Information Centres, people attending University and School open days and other functions, sporting events etc.) to showcase and promote the area.

MH AC

5.3 Direct market the Region to targeted industries High

5.3.a Working with the Ag Tech cluster, position and promote Armidale, nationally and internationally as a world class centre for Ag Tech leveraging the established Ag Tech cluster and the UNE Smart Farm.

High AC & BC

5.3.b Leverage Armidale’s NBN infrastructure to market the City to knowledge based and professional businesses. High AC & BC

5.3.c Package and promote the New England Highway industrial precincts in Uralla and at Armidale Airport to transport, storage and logistics companies and others.

MH ARC/UC

5.3.d Leverage the success of Costa’s Guyra operation and the UNE report on the suitability of the Region’s climate for controlled environment horticulture to encourage horticultural producers to establish operations in the Region.

High AC

5.3.e Package and promote opportunities in Armidale, Uralla, Walcha and Guyra for the development of aged care facilities, over 55’s housing and delivery of services to facilitate ageing in place.

M AC & BC

Destination Marketing – building the profile of the Region as a tourism destination

5.4 Leverage opportunities for cooperative marketing and promotion

5.4.a Continue to partner with the New England councils to market the unique natural characteristics and diverse tourism opportunities available within the New England High Country Region.

High AC

5.4.b Participate in relevant Tourism Australia, Destination NSW and Destination Network marketing campaigns. MH AC Yes

5.4.c Continue to participate in touring route marketing initiatives – Waterfall Wall and Thunderbolts Way, and explore opportunities to work with Councils in the New England Highway and Oxley Highway corridors to position and promote these Highways as touring routes.

MH AC

5.4.d Explore opportunities for joint promotions with the National Parks and Wildlife Service to raise the profile of the National Parks within the New England High Country Region.

LM AC

5.4.e Explore opportunities to partner with commercial organisations (e.g. airlines, motoring organisations, motorcycle companies etc.) to market the Region.

M AC

5.4.f Explore opportunities to use the Region’s events to showcase the area and generate publicity for the Region. MH AC

5.4.g Support the marketing undertaken by the UNE, TAFE and Schools. LM AC



5.4.h Destination NSW to review its current marketing support funding to move to a more local option as against run from Sydney. MH AC

5.5 Build the Region’s digital presence

5.5.a Formulate and implement a digital media strategy, including harnessing social media and user generated content. MH AC

5.5.b Capitalise on opportunities to promote the New England High Country Region and the individual localities through third party websites, online directories, You Tube, blogs etc.

MH AC

5.5.c Encourage operators to continue to upgrade their websites, with links to the NEHC websites and e-brochure. M AC

5.5.d Direct market to key target groups. MH AC

5.5.e Tailor promotional collateral and direct market the Region to key target markets and special interest – activity based markets including: Business events, Touring caravan and RV markets, Car, motorcycle and 4WD clubs, Cyclists and mountain bikers, Bushwalkers / Walking Clubs, Bird Watchers, Rock Sport Enthusiasts, School, TAFE and University excursions, Industry / business tour and study groups, Coach tour companies.

MH AC Yes

Appendix 1: Consultation methodology

Consultation has been an important part of the development of the Regional Economic Development Strategy. In conjunction with local councils, a community engagement process was conducted involving workshops, an online survey and face-to-face and telephone interviews with businesses and members of the community. Figure 15: SNEHC Regional Economic Development Strategy Consultation Process

provides an overview of the consultation process.

Figure 15: SNEHC Regional Economic Development Strategy Consultation Process

Analysis — Background analysis was undertaken prior to all consultation. This facilitated more informative discussions.

Survey — An online survey (~15 minutes) was conducted in October 2017. 65 responses were received from a mix of businesses and other stakeholders. The web-link to the survey was sent directly to key businesses and stakeholders and to Business Chambers to circulate. The survey covered strengths, weaknesses, risks, issues and opportunities.42

Workshops — Three workshops were conducted with the community.

The first workshop (held in Uralla) was an open invite and had around 45 attendees. Participants discussed key endowments, issues and opportunities.

The second workshop (selected invited of 12 attendees) focussed on key findings.

The third workshop was attended by around 35 people. Invitations were sent those who attended (or expressed interest) in the prior workshops. The focus of the third workshop was on refining the visions, discussing the strategies, initiatives and actions to achieve the vision.

Interviews — Around 25 information gathering interviews were conducted with selected people from industry, government and others in the community.

42 The web-link to the survey was sent directly to key businesses and business chambers to circulate. The survey covered 21 questions relating to: Background of the respondent, Matters relating to their chosen industry including economic outlook, strengths, weaknesses, risks, issues and opportunities, and Issues and opportunities for the Region. A similar survey had been conducted in other regions within New England and North West.

Workshop 1 Workshop 2

Interviews

Workshop 3

Online surveyRegional

economic

development

strategy

Analysis



Appendix 2: Additional regional profile data

Demographic profile Figure 16: Population mix projections

Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment – Population Projections

Industry analysis Figure 17: Employment share by LGA

Source: Census 2016

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

0-14

15-24

25-49

50-64

65+

Population mix projections SNEHC vs NSW

2016 NSW

2031 NSW

2016 SNEHC

2031 SNEHC

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Walcha Uralla…Armidale Regional

Employment share by LGA

Other

Manufacturing


Construction




Retail Trade




Figure 18: Historical employment by industry

Source: CERD and analysis of the ABS Census 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016. Non-imputed data is used for 2016.

Table 5: Employment forecasts by industry

Industry sector

Forecast growth from 2017 to 2022

New England North West

NSW (excl Sydney) Australia

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing -9.7% -4.9% -8.3%

Mining -7.4% -1.1% -9.8%

Manufacturing -9.3% -8.3% 10.5%

Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services -12.2% -9.8% 1.5%

Construction 11.0% 10.5% 1.7%

Wholesale Trade 4.2% 1.5% 6.5%

Retail Trade -10.3% 1.7% -2.0%

Accommodation and Food Services 7.0% 6.5% 10.8%

Transport, Postal and Warehousing -0.9% -2.0% 2.4%

Information Media and Telecommunications 9.6% 10.8% 2.9%

Financial and Insurance Services 2.2% 2.4% 8.1%

Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 3.0% 2.9% 4.5%

Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 2.2% 8.1% 11.1%

Administrative and Support Services -8.5% 4.5% 12.5%

Public Administration and Safety 18.9% 11.1% 18.8%

Education and Training 10.7% 12.5% 14.9%

Health Care and Social Assistance 19.2% 18.8% 1.6%

Arts and Recreation Services 15.5% 14.9% 6.3%

Other Services 1.8% 1.6% 0.0%

Total (industry) 4.6% 6.3% 1.4%

Source: Department of Employment, 2017 Employment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2001 2006 2011 2016

Historical employment SNEHC




Retail Trade




Construction

Administrative and Support Services



Appendix 3: Road infrastructure

The road network and the condition and capacity of roads impacts significantly on connectivity, which in turn impacts on the efficiency and cost of freight transport, inter and intra-regional travel, and tourism. Safety is also a significant consideration.

Existing Infrastructure – Strategically Important Roads

The Region is traversed by the New England and Oxley Highways, and several significant regional roads, including Thunderbolts Way, Waterfall Way, Bundarra Road and Guyra Road.

Highways

The New England Highway (878 kilometres) is the main inland route linking Sydney and Newcastle with Brisbane and South Eastern Queensland via the Hunter and New England regions. The Highway provides connectivity for national, interstate, regional and local traffic and carries high volumes of general, agriculture and mining related freight, local and regional commuter traffic, and long haul inter-regional and interstate traffic. The Highway is also a popular touring route.

The New England Highway is part of the National Land Transport Network. For the Region, the Highway provides access to the Port of Newcastle and Port Botany in NSW, and to the Port of Brisbane in Queensland. It also provides access to the intermodal terminals at Toowoomba (Wellcamp Airport) and Bromelton (Beaudesert) and the proposed intermodal terminal at Ebenezer (West Brisbane).

The Highway links the Region to Tamworth. The Highway is rated PSB Level 1 and is an approved B Double Route for trucks up to 26 metres in length. Issues with road geometry, grades, intersection configuration, pavement strength and narrow and low clearance bridges, prevents the use of HPV / HML vehicles on the road.

The Oxley Highway (514 kilometres) is an east-west route linking the Pacific Highway at Port Macquarie on the NSW North Coast to the Mitchell Highway at Nevertire in Central NSW. The Oxley Highway intersects with Thunderbolts Way at Walcha, the New England Highway at Bendemeer, Fossickers Way at Tamworth, the Kamilaroi Highway at Gunnedah and the Newell Highway at Coonabarabran.

The Oxley Highway is an approved B double route (26m trucks) between Yarrowitch (Walcha Council boundary) and Gilgandra, with 35.5m trucks permitted west of Gilgandra. B-Doubles are not permitted between Yarrowitch and Wauchope due to steep grades, tight corners and narrow width.

The Oxley Highway is the main route used for transporting livestock (primarily cattle and sheep) between Walcha and the Livestock Exchange and Meat Processing Plants in Tamworth. Other freight on the route includes wool, timber and general freight. For non-livestock transport, the Oxley Highway is the only approved route for articulated vehicles (19m and 25/26m) to access the New England Highway from Walcha.

The Oxley Highway between Port Macquarie and Walcha is very popular for motor-cycle touring, with the Highway often linked with Thunderbolts Way or Waterfall Way to create coast-tablelands touring loops.

Intra and Inter-Regional Link Roads

Other significant routes into and/or through the Region include:

Thunderbolts Way is a key north-south route that provides access between the Region and the Mid North Coast and Lower Hunter Regions. Thunderbolts Way links the Pacific Highway just north of Raymond Terrace to the New England Highway at Uralla, with the route passing through Gloucester and Walcha. From Uralla, Thunderbolts Way connects through to Inverell, via Bundarra. From Bundarra, there are local road links to Guyra, Bingara in Gwydir Shire and Barraba in Tamworth Regional LGA.

Thunderbolts Way is a popular touring route, particularly for motorcycling.

For the transport of livestock, single articulated combination vehicles and B-doubles up to 19 metres, are permitted along the length of Thunderbolts Way.43 For other freight, these vehicles, plus 25/26m B-doubles are only permitted between the Nowendoc area and to 9km north of Walcha.44

Other freight carried includes logs from the Walcha area to sawmills on the coast and direct to the Port of Newcastle, fertiliser and raw and processed milk.

In August 2017, many of the local roads in Walcha were classified, under the NSW Livestock Loading Scheme,45 as suitable for 25/26 metre B-doubles for the transport of livestock. These vehicles cannot use Thunderbolts Way to access the New England Highway.

The Waterfall Way (B78) is a state road that links the New England Highway at Armidale to the Pacific Highway at Raleigh, via Ebor, Dorrigo and Bellingen. The route is a very popular touring route, with attractions including World Heritage areas and National Parks, waterfalls and gorges and the Dorrigo Rainforest Centre.

Short combination vehicles are permitted along the length of the route. B-doubles (19+ metres in length) are not permitted on the escarpment section between Thora and Dorrigo. From Dorrigo to Armidale, 19m and 25/26m B-doubles are permitted on the route.46

Local freight carried on the route includes cattle, sheep, wool, timber and hard rock aggregate.

Bundarra Road is a local road linking Armidale and Bundarra. From Bundarra, there are links through to Inverell, Bingara and Barraba. The road primarily services local and regional residents. It is approved for single articulated vehicles and B doubles (19m) for the transport of livestock only.47

Guyra Road, extends from the Waterfall Way at Ebor west to Guyra and then north-west to link with Thunderbolts Way at Gilgai, just south of Inverell. The road primarily services local and regional residents. Along its complete length, it is approved for single articulated vehicles and B doubles (19m) for the transport of livestock only.48

43 RMS (2017) NSW Livestock Loading Scheme Map

44 National Heavy Vehicle Regulator – Journey Planner

45 RMS (2017) Roads and Bridges Approved for Access by Combinations Operating Under the NSW Livestock Loading Scheme (2017).

46 National Heavy Vehicle Regulator – Journey Planner and RMS (2017) NSW Livestock Loading Scheme Map





Proposed Upgrades

NSW Road and Maritimes Services (RMS) has prepared draft Corridor Strategies for the New England and Oxley Highways, and Waterfall Way. The strategies identify priorities for upgrading the routes to improve safety, reduce travel times and increase access for HPV / HML vehicles.

For the New England Highway, the RMS is proposing to upgrade the route to provide HPV / HMV access for trucks up to 30 metres (PBS Class 2B heavy vehicles). This has a 20 year time frame. Short-term priorities include by-passes around Singleton, Muswellbrook and Scone,49 which will decrease travel times between the Region and the Hunter. Also proposed is addressing grade issues at Bolivia Hill at Tenterfield, to the north of the Region. Medium to longer term, the RMS is proposing to address issues with the steep sections of the Highway over the Moonbi Range to the south of the Region and at Ben Lomond near Glen Innes and build a heavy vehicle by-pass around Tenterfield. This will make the route more attractive to, and suitable for heavy vehicles.

For the section of the Oxley Highway between Port Macquarie and Tamworth, RMS is improving safety by progressively up-grading and widening the pavement, providing more opportunities for overtaking and improving intersections.50

Along the Waterfall Way, RMS will be progressively improving safety, particularly on the mountain pass, providing more opportunities to overtake, upgrading culverts and improving intersections. Within Armidale, the Strategy proposes upgrading intersections to better accommodate larger vehicles and to Work with Armidale Regional Shire Council to develop a strategic traffic model to determine whole of network solutions addressing traffic and transport issues within Armidale.51

Road Improvement Priorities

Armidale Regional

Upgrade or replace 32 timber bridges and improve the capacity of bridges to achieve a 44T load limit.

Triple the size of the parking area at Armidale Airport.

Uralla Shire

Thunderbolts Way Within Uralla Shire there are 13 bridges on the section of Thunderbolts Way that require assessment to determine capacity for HML vehicles and identify and prioritise works required for the route to comply with HMV standards for livestock, grain and general freight movements.

Upgrade Kingstown Road to provide access for b-doubles to the hard rock aggregate quarry at Balala.

Upgrade Torryburn Road to provide improved access to Thunderbolts Way

Walcha

Upgrade Topdale Road link – Thunderbolts Way to Tamworth. Upgrade road (widening, alignment and improved pavement) and intersections to B-double standard.

Thunderbolts Way, south of Walcha. Upgrade road (widening, alignment and improved pavement) and intersections to B-double standard and remove pinch points.

49 RMS (2017) New England Highway Draft Corridor Strategy

50 RMS (2016) Oxley Highway Draft Corridor Strategy

51 RMS (2017) Waterfall Way Draft Corridor Strategy, July 2017

Appendix 4: Institutions

Table 6: Institutions important for economic development

Institution Role in economic future of the Region Capacity/linkages/notes

Government bodies

Councils Provide leadership and coordination. Sets and implements local regulations, provides support to businesses and make direct investments on key assets.

Capacity varies by council. Strong linkages with each other and other institutions. Important linkages with business chambers and community organisations.

NSW Office of Regional Development (ORD)

Provide advice and assistance to councils, businesses and other stakeholders on a range of matters including grant applications and facilitating and linkages.

Strong linkages with key organisations. Works with councils and other government and non-government organisations including private businesses.

NSW Department of Planning

Develop land-use policy and plans. Assesses significant development.

Strong linkages with councils.

Jobs for NSW Run a suite of programmes. A key focus in SNEHC is in developing the Ag Tech cluster. Also develops and implements regional innovation strategy which supports and promote best practice start-ups.

Has 1 FTE located in NE + Sydney based resources that can be leveraged.

Works with closely with industry, council, government agencies and other key institutions with regards to Ag Tech and innovation across NSW.

Regional Development Australia Northern Inland

Aims to enhance the development of Australia's regions through growing businesses and employment.

Has 4 FTEs in NE. Part of a national network of RDA committees. Work closely with ORD and councils

The Namoi joint organisation of Councils

Takes the lead on some key economic development projects such as Namoi Prospectus.

Strong linkages with Uralla Shire and Walcha Councils. Membership of JOC does not currently include Armidale Regional Council.

Local land services Provides agricultural production advice and training and is responsible for biosecurity, natural resource management and emergency management.

NSW Government agency with strong linkages with local land holders.

NSW DPI Works to increase the value of primary industries. Key role in undertaking agriculture productivity research.

DPIs Livestock Industries Centre is located in Armidale at the UNE.

Maintains close linkages with other research groups, government departments and industry organisations.

NSW DPI has limited engagement with land-holders.

AusIndustry Facilitate access to Commonwealth Government programmes.

Has 1 FTE across Northern / Central NSW.

Business organisations

Chambers of commerce (Armidale and District, Guyra and District) Locals 4 Locals, Walcha Together

Provide support and network services to local businesses.

Active in the Regional Economic Development Strategy process.

Strong links to business community.

Chambers are linked through NSW Business Chamber.

New England North West NSW Business Chamber

NENW Chamber also has an advocacy role at all levels of Government.

Strong links to individual business chambers.



Institution Role in economic future of the Region Capacity/linkages/notes

New England North West NSW Business Enterprise Centre (BEC)

Not-for-profit organisation located in Armidale that provides low cost business and financial advice.

Receives government support in providing services. Provides networking services and advice on government programs.

Employment service providers

Support local businesses and job seekers with employment services. Have insights into training and development needs.

Main links are with local businesses.

Peak industry bodies (eg.

Meat Livestock Australia, NSW Farmers Federation

Represent and support local industry sectors. Can support spread of innovation, marketing and address sector specific issues.

Engages with government agencies on policy matters.

Works with local land owners and businesses.

Education & research

University of New England Major employer in region and provider of education. Divisions within University involved with research development and economic development. Runs UNE SMART farm and UNE SMART Region Incubator.

UNE SMART Farm has strong linkages with Ag Tech cluster, council and key government agencies.

TAFE NSW (Armidale Campus)

Aims to provide education and training aligned to the employment needs in the Region.

Recently strengthened to become home of TAFE NSW Digital. Linkages with businesses and council.

The Community College (New England)

Provide educational programs. Delivers a range of vocational and business courses.

Livestock Industries Centre

Research and development into increasing the profitability and sustainability of livestock production.

Part of the Livestock productivity partnership which includes the CSIRO, UNE & Meat & Livestock Association.

CRC for Sheep Industry Innovation

Performs research and develops technologies to enhance the Australian sheep industry.

Works with industry partners to bring products to market.

Other

Community organisations Can play an important role in managing local issues, improving local amenity and tourism events.

Generally have limited financial but good human resources. Establish linkages with key parties on particular issues.

SNEHC REDS – Draft Page 69

Appendix 5: Drivers of change

The table below describe drivers of change (trends and forecast events) and potential implications for the SNEHC region.

Table 7: Drivers of changes and implications

Drivers of change Implications for the SNEHC region

Global factors

Changes in global markets —

Increase demand for agricultural product driven by strong economic growth in Asian and India, free trade agreements, world population growth and concerns over food security

Growing demand for agricultural staples including meat, dairy products, wool, fruit and vegetables, providing opportunities for intensification and diversification of production, including horticulture

Changing Australian/State Government policy with a greater focus on agricultural production and support infrastructure.

Increased awareness of and willingness to pay for ‘clean, green’ produce.

The opening up of new export markets. Potential for direct export.

Growth in the northern hemisphere creates opportunities for counter seasonal production in the southern hemisphere.

Increased exposure to fluctuating global demand and commodity prices.

Growing competition from emerging agricultural producers (e.g. Brazil), with low cost structures – with Australian farmers needing to be more strategic, efficient and productive.

New sources of capital from overseas investors.

Climate Change – increasing variability in climate and weather patterns is creating uncertainty regarding long term temperature and rainfall patterns as well as an increase in extreme weather events. Key projected impacts for NE NW region are:52

fewer cold nights in NE-NW particularly in the tablelands;

Increased risk for agricultural producers and agricultural dependent industries and services.

Potential strengthening of the Region’s relative advantages over regions at lower altitudes and further west.

Opportunities for development/adoption of technologies and/or land and water management practices to reduce risk.

Increase in ‘climate protected’ production systems (e.g. greenhouse horticulture).

52 NSW Office of Environment and Heritage, (2014), New England North West Climate Change Snapshot, Sydney




reductions in winter rainfall and increases in autumn rainfall; and

an increase in number of hot days in the North West plains.

Digital Economy – the internet and mobile technologies are transforming production techniques, business models and operations, communication modes and consumer behaviour.

Opportunities for Armidale to continue to leverage the superiority of its NBN infrastructure.

Increased opportunities for local businesses to improve their decision making and productivity, raise their profile, communicate directly with customers and access new markets.

Increased opportunities for some businesses and workers to relocate away from the cities and continue to operate nationally / internationally.

Potential for greater access to health, education and training, financial and other services through on-line delivery.

Introduction of disruptive technologies and activities. Increased competition for local businesses from external businesses (e.g. internet shopping and service delivery).

Growth in home-based, on-line and mobile businesses, moving away from shop-fronts and commercial premises.

Increased applications (e.g. remote monitoring, automation and robotics, 3D printing) in agriculture and manufacturing – resulting in a reduction in demand for unskilled workers and increased demand for workers with IT / digital skills.

Need to improve telecommunications infrastructure to ensure reliable, cost effective high speed internet access and digital coverage.

Increasing productivity of agriculture, arising from changing technology, improved land and water management, genetic breeding, and Increased intensification of production.

Opportunity for the Ag-Tech cluster to expand through the establishment of new technology-based service providers and/or new products and services for existing businesses.

Opportunities to showcase the UNE Smart Farm and other research institutions and programs

Potential for local businesses to provide knowledge-based services, regionally, nationally and potentially internationally

Potential for further reductions in traditional on-farm labour

Changing skill needs within the agriculture and agri-business sectors, with workers increasingly needing IT skills as part of the skill mix.

Changes in farming practices, including a shift to more intensive production methods (e.g. feedlots, glasshouses)

Need for reliable, high speed, affordable internet / digital access to utilise emerging technologies.

Australian factors

Eco Efficiency and Sustainability – Australian Government Renewable Energy Target - the transition to a more sustainable and resource efficient economy moving towards

Opportunities for new industries and businesses in energy and water efficient technologies; waste management, reduction and reuse; carbon farming; and alternative energy.



a ‘closed-loop’ economy whereby all outputs become either inputs for other activities or are returned to natural systems as benign emissions rather than pollutants.

Shift to investment in renewable energy and demand for land and/or materials for alternative energy production (e.g. solar and wind farms, bio-fuel production etc.).

Increased demand for ‘green skills’ within the workforce.

Changing purchasing criteria and behaviour, with businesses increasingly needing to meet / comply with environmental / sustainability targets and accreditation criteria.

Heightened community awareness and interest in ‘clean – green’ and locally produced products, creating opportunities for value-adding, niche marketing and premium pricing.

Changing population dynamics in Australia including:

Ageing population and workforce.

Generational change with ‘baby boomers’ moving into retirement and Gen X and Y becoming dominant in the work place.

Increasing focus on work-life balance and quality of life.

Diversified and growing cultural mix.

Consumers are becoming more aware, sophisticated and demanding.

Ageing population – increased demand for health, aged care and allied facilities and services.

The need to re-skill older workers, particularly in the use of IT and technology.

The need to be cognisant of the implications of generational change and social trends in developing investment and marketing strategies and marketing and promoting the region.

Lifestyle and work-life balance is playing an increasingly important role in decision-making and needs to be incorporated in the marketing and promotional strategies.

Increase in ‘tree’ change Increase in travel by baby boomers, including an increase in the touring caravan and RV markets.

Improvements in transport and freight – improving road and rail infrastructure to facilitate freight movements; increasing utilisation of high productivity vehicles.

For farmers - increase in freight options and potentially, reduced freight costs.

Increasing use of high productivity vehicles - need to continue to invest to improve capacity / safety of the roads and remove pinch points. There may also be potential for increased driver training and services for the road transport sector.

Regional factors

Growth of Tamworth – Tamworth is growing as a regional centre and attracting significant investment including expansion of industrial areas and food processing activities; proposed intermodal terminal adjacent to airport; growth in aviation industry; expansion of ALEC; development of a Centre of Excellence for sport.

Ongoing and increased competition from Tamworth in servicing the regional market (health, education, retail etc.); attracting new businesses and residents; securing government services, funds and resources; growth in air services; livestock sales; and attracting sporting, equine and business events.

Tamworth’s population and business growth will increase opportunities for businesses located in SNEHC region to provide goods and services.

Tamworth is potential source of day and short-break visitors for the SNEHC region.

Growth of Sydney — Sydney is continuing to grow rapidly with increasing pressures on affordability of land for business and residential use.

Increased opportunities to attract skilled people and businesses seeking more affordable land and better lifestyle.




Growing health and education sectors

Providing services to support aging in place and people with disabilities.

Increased opportunities for training and skills development.

Expanding tertiary education opportunities in Tamworth and Armidale – students remaining in the NE-NW region for tertiary education increases the likelihood of students and graduates seeking work within the Region.

Changes in the structure of TAFE services in the smaller towns throughout the Region – potentially lose more students to Tamworth and Armidale TAFEs.

Changing energy costs – energy costs within the Region are 20% higher than Sydney. Focus is on solar farms, windfarms, biomass conversion, and energy saving. There is also investment in liquid biofuels with trials underway to produce diesel fuel from crop oils and green waste.

Higher gas prices may reduce relative disadvantage of no gas connection.

Alternative energy investment within the Region. Business / community initiatives to reduce power consumptions / costs.

Solar technology – facilitates development in areas not well serviced by electricity grids or where the cost to connect to grid is prohibitive.

Potential future market for green waste.

Development of Wellcamp Airport and Business Park, Toowoomba

Air freight access to Asian markets – new market opportunities as well as opportunities to diversify production – dairy products, live export of stud cattle and sheep, horticulture.

Joint Organisation of Councils — NSW Government has introduced new laws that would allow the voluntarily creation of the New England Group of Councils: Armidale Regional, Glen Innes Severn, Gwydir Shire, Inverell Shire, Moree Plains Shire, Tenterfield Shire and possibly Uralla Shire Council.

Facilitate Councils in approaching the State Government for investment opportunities.

Possible economies of scale for Councils and access to additional resources, skills and knowledge. Stronger ‘voice’ in relation to Government policies and accessing funding.

Participation in joint projects – infrastructure enhancement, business and investment attraction, education and workforce development etc.

Increased exposure / profile through development and leveraging of brands and cooperative marketing and promotional activities.

Issue as to relationship with Namoi JOC.

Population growth on the Mid-North Coast Potential day trip, short breaks and event visitor markets for the SNEHC region.

Potential market for local businesses to provide a range of goods and services, including commercial and professional services.


Appendix 6: Infrastructure improvements

In alignment with the Strategy, a number of infrastructure improvements have been identified. These are listed in the table below.

Improvement Rationale

Communications

Investment in additional mobile phone towers to broaden and improve coverage outside of key townships.

Key barrier to development of some sectors including adoption of innovations.

Important lifestyle factor for all residents.

Telco providers have insufficient incentive to provide optimal coverage.

Airport related

New runway and Instrument Landing System (ILS) to take fully loaded Q400 Series turbo prop. + Airport Security Scanning System.

Airport is of high strategic importance to multiple sectors.

Current runway is at the end of its useable life and too short to operate fully loaded Q400 planes during summer.

Resurfacing of existing runway would necessitate a temporary closure of airport which could be devastating for local business.

Armidale Regional Airport Industrial Precinct. Existing shortage of adequate industrial land to meet demand from new and existing businesses.

The land is ideally located to capitalise on access to and visibility from, the New England Highway.

Triple the size of the Airport parking area. The parking area at Armidale Regional Airport does not have the capacity to meet the existing and proposed future needs to Airport users.

Road

Upgrade Thunderbolts Way from Walcha to Uralla - improve condition and provide B-double access.

Substantially improve freight connectivity; in particular, a direct freight link between Walcha and Inverell would reduce travel distances by approximately 130km for non-livestock freight and 70km for livestock.

Improve route for tourism and lifestyle benefits.

Upgrade Thunderbolts Way, south of Walcha (widening, alignment and improved pavement, provide overtaking lanes on the mountain pass).

As above.

Improve safety.




Strengthen the connectivity between the Region and Newcastle – Lower Hunter Region, including providing access to the Port of Newcastle for export, the Pacific Motorway for access to the Sydney market, and to Newcastle Airport for flights to a range of domestic destination, and in the near future, to international flights to the Asia – Pacific Region.

Increases attractiveness of Walcha.

In Armidale Regional Council area, upgrade or replace 32 timber bridges and improve the capacity of bridges to achieve a 44T load limit.

The load limit on the bridges restricts vehicle size and impacts on the transport of livestock, agricultural produce and general freight. The program will improve the condition of the bridges from class 4-5 (20 bridges) to class 1 and extend the usable life of the bridges by 80 years. It will enable the local road network to be used by trucks up to a 44T load limit and provide better, safer and more efficient roads for the local and regional community, visitors and freight operators.

Upgrade Kingstown Road to provide access for b-doubles to the hard rock aggregate quarry at Balala.

Enable B-double access from the Quarry to the New England Highway and Thunderbolts Way (when upgraded). The quarry services the New England Region.

Upgrade Torryburn Road to provide improved access to Thunderbolts Way.

Improve access for the transport of produce and livestock from farms to Thunderbolts Way, and onto the New England Highway.

Upgrade Topdale Road link – Thunderbolts Way to Tamworth (widening, alignment and improved pavement) and intersections to B-double standard.

Topdale Road links Thunderbolts Way at Nowendoc to Tamworth, via Dungowan. For freight movements (primarily logs and livestock) from the eastern part of Walcha, this would reduce travel distance by approximately 56km (40-45 minutes).

Increase safety.

(Note: Tamworth Regional and Liverpool Plains Shire Councils have also identified the upgrading of this route as a priority).

Water

Malpas Dam Pipeline to secure Guyra’s water supply. Water security in Guyra is needed to facilitate and support further development of the horticulture industry and enable growth of the town.

Construction of a dam on the Apsley River, upstream of Walcha.

The water supply of Walcha is not secure. Security of supply will enhance the ‘liveability’ of the town and support both population and business growth.

Tourism related

Bellevue Oval upgrade - Upgrade/ expansion of the stadium.

The upgrade to the stadium will bring the sporting facilities up to “A grade” standard allowing for state, national and potentially international sporting events (predominantly Rugby Union and League) to be held in Armidale. This will strengthen Armidale’s position and profile as a sports tourism destination, raise Armidale’s profile through media coverage of events, attract additional visitors to the area and provide the regional community with world class sporting facilities.



Overflow from major sporting events held at the Oval will directly benefit accommodation and other businesses in surrounding towns and villages.

Saumarez Homestead tourism development. Development of heritage listed Saumarez Homestead and Estate to enable increased tourism and visitation to the estate; targeting of the education (school children) and “grey nomad” sectors.

New England Rail Trail (Stage 1). Expand and diversify the cycling infrastructure in the Region, creating a recreational asset for the regional population and a significant tourism attraction. The trail would strengthen the link between Armidale and Guyra, and potentially link through to Glen Innes and Tenterfield Shires.

Continued development of Walcha outdoor Sculpture Park.

The sculpture park is a significant attraction within the Region. Continuing to develop the experience will encourage increased visitation with flow-on benefits for local businesses. It will also strengthen the Region’s appeal and reputation for arts and cultural activities, which will strengthen the appeal of the area to some potential residents and also to visitors.

Consistent with the small, but growing creative industries sector within the Region.

Mountain bike development (Idea raised from consultation).

The area has a number of mountain bike trails and hosts a number of high profile mountain bike events. Mountain biking is a growth activity that attracts a young, relatively high yield demographic.

Improving the MTB infrastructure will add to the liveability and appeal of Armidale for young professionals; enable Armidale to host more MTB events thereby increasing visitation and exposure; and strengthen the Region’s position as a destination for outdoor and adventure-based activities with a resultant increase in visitation.

Fossicking experiences – Uralla. Fossicking is a popular activity within the NE-NW region, appealing to both the grey nomad and family markets. It is an activity that encourages visitors to stay longer in the area, which increases visitor spend locally and also enables visitors to gain an appreciation of the area which can lead to a ‘tree-change’.

Strengthens the products and experiences offered by the Fossickers Way touring route, which encourages visitor dispersal through the NE-NW region.

Other

Upgrade Armidale saleyards including replacing the Crush Units to improve WHS; water capture; improved lighting; renewals of RFID scanners and upgrading the office and amenities.

The Armidale and Guyra saleyards are part of the sales and distribution infrastructure for producers; provide employment; and support local businesses including livestock agents, vets, livestock transport, feed and chemical suppliers etc.

Weekly sales bring visitors (farmers, buyers, transport operators etc.) into town with flow-on benefits for local businesses.

Sales also provide an opportunity for farmers to socialise and network, reducing ‘isolation’ and providing positive social outcomes.




Upgrade Guyra saleyards replacing all wooden structures with steel; upgrading / replacing the ramps and drafts; upgrading roads, fencing and lighting; and expanding facilities to meet demand.

Guyra Saleyards is the premium sheep saleyards in the New England region (rated at 6th in NSW), servicing all of the New England region and parts of the North West. The yards were built in the 1960’s and are past the end of their economic life. Significant upgrading is required for safety, animal welfare and productivity purposes.

Uralla Industrial estate. Improve opportunities for local businesses.

New England Regional Art Museum. Potential tourism & lifestyle benefits.

Dumaresq Dam Recreational Area development. To improve local amenity.

Armidale CBD Precinct Development. To improve local amenity.

Old Courthouse Creative Arts Industry Development. Potential tourism & lifestyle benefits.

Documents

Southern New England High Country Regional …...An economic development strategy for Armidale Regional Council Community strategic plans Armidale 2017 – 2027 Uralla 2017-2027 Walcha