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City of Spruce Grove
Expansion of Transit Services and Park & Ride Development
Business Case to Support Application for GreenTRIP Funding
November 2014
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 i
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This business case outlines how the City of Spruce Grove (City) plans to use GreenTRIP funding
for on-going transit services and facility upgrades. Since the introduction of the transit service
in 2006, the City has partnered with the Edmonton Transit System (ETS) for contracted services
for the inter-city commuter service. Over the years, ETS has been an excellent supplier of
services to the City, but as Edmonton has grown and expanded so has its demands for
increased transit service. This is a trend that is also expected to be seen and experienced within
the City.
As a result of the City of Edmonton’s growth and corresponding transit demands, there will be
no additional capacity to expand in order to accommodate the City’s transit needs with new
equipment. Based on this limitation, the City is preparing this GreenTRIP application with goals
of continuing to work with and utilize the resources of ETS for contracted services. The City will
however provide the needed capital required for buses and a contractual arrangement with ETS
for operation, maintenance and storage of the City buses; In order to meet City growth
expectations towards the end of this decade.
This GreenTRIP application and plan includes funding for:
Purchase of buses
Purchase of land for a park and ride facility
Construction of a park and ride facility
Construction of a bus storage facility
It is understood that the GreenTRIP Program will fund qualified capital infrastructure under the
grant formula of 2/3 funding from the Province and 1/3 funding from the City.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 ii
Acknowledgements:
Charlie Stolte, Director Edmonton Transit
Bill Sabey, Director Customer Service Development
Oswald Fereira, Regional Service Planner, Customer Service Development
Cathy Ashton, Scheduler, Edmonton Transit
Kevin Wenzel, Manager of Public Transportation, City of Leduc
Matt Carpenter, Director Strathcona County Transit
Chris MacIsaac, Transit Coordinator, City of Airdrie
Robert McGowan, County of Parkland
Amber Nicol, City of Spruce Grove
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 iii
Contents _Toc404001684
1.0 Background ....................................................................................................................................... 1
Transportation Master Plan ...................................................................................................................... 1
Capital Region Board ................................................................................................................................. 3
CUTA (Canadian Urban Transit Association) ............................................................................................. 4
2.0 Why is this project needed? ............................................................................................................. 4
Current Service and Planning for Growth ................................................................................................. 5
The on-board survey results key findings: ............................................................................................ 6
On-going customer feedback: ............................................................................................................... 7
3.0 Proposed Transit Implementation Plan - Transit Service Review: .................................................... 8
Results of the Phase 1 Transit Review ...................................................................................................... 8
Stage 1 (Approved by Council in May 2014 and Implemented September 2014) ............................... 8
Stage 2 (Proposed local routing changes) Start 2015 ......................................................................... 10
Stage 3 (Proposed) September 2016 , Express Reduced Coverage WEM Route, Evenings................ 13
Stage 4 –September 2017 , Express Reduced Coverage WEM Route, Saturdays .............................. 13
Proposed Transit Park & Ride (Transit Centre) ....................................................................................... 14
Regional Service ...................................................................................................................................... 15
Stony Plain........................................................................................................................................... 15
Parkland County .................................................................................................................................. 15
Proposed Transit Implementation Plan Summary .................................................................................. 16
4.0 Costs and Benefits ........................................................................................................................... 21
Spruce Grove Transit Costs ..................................................................................................................... 23
Capital Costs: ....................................................................................................................................... 23
Summary of Statement of Operational Analysis Findings .................................................................. 25
Spruce Grove Transit Benefits ................................................................................................................ 26
Ridership Growth ................................................................................................................................ 26
Green House Gas Reduction ............................................................................................................... 26
5.0 On-going Benefits Monitoring Plan ................................................................................................ 27
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 iv
List of Figure: Figure 1. Population Trends City of Spruce Grove ........................................................................................ 4
Figure 2. Spruce Grove Ridership .................................................................................................................. 6
Figure 3. Current Service Spruce Grove ........................................................................................................ 9
Figure 4. Downtown Edmonton Service Phase 1 (current) ........................................................................... 9
Figure 5. Transit Review 2014: Option (A) Two local Routes within Spruce Grove .................................... 10
Figure 6. Transit Review 2014 Option C -Express reduced coverage route to WEM and South Campus LRT
– Spruce Grove Component ........................................................................................................................ 12
Figure 7. Transit Review 2014 Option C - Express reduced coverage route to WEM and South Campus
LRT – Edmonton component ...................................................................................................................... 12
Figure 8. Three identified Park and Ride ..................................................................................................... 15
Figure 9. Commuter Bus Concept ............................................................................................................... 19
Figure 10. Local Bus Concept ...................................................................................................................... 20
Figure 11. Transit Centre Shelter Concept .................................................................................................. 20
Figure 12. Ridership projections 2013 to 2024 ........................................................................................... 26
List of Tables: Table 1. Proposed plan and operational options ........................................................................................ 17
Table 2. Public Transport Benefits and Costs .............................................................................................. 22
Table 3. Capital Summary ........................................................................................................................... 23
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 1
Community sustainability is a holistic approach that works toward achieving long term prosperity and continued quality of life for the present and future residents of Spruce Grove...This perspective focuses on the connections between the economy, the environment and society. Decisions and actions take into account the links between these three elements.
Your Bright Future – Municipal Development Plan 2010-2020
1.0 BACKGROUND The City of Spruce Grove (City) has operated a public bus service since 2006. Over that period a
total of 480,400 passenger trips have been taken (up to September 2014). In July, 2007 the City
engaged Stantec Engineering to conduct a feasibility study based on the early operations of the
commuter services between Spruce Grove and Edmonton. The objective of this study was to
examine the growth of service and the development of a possible regional service. Although
discussions for a regional service were not successful, this early work served as a solid
foundation for continued discussion for regional service.
TRANSPORTATION MASTER PLAN
In May 2012 the City commissioned Urban Systems to develop a Transportation Master Plan.
The primary focus of this report was to assist with long term planning to construct the best
network of roads to support all forms of commuter travel; vehicles, public transit, cycling, and
walking. The Transportation Master Plan has been the foundation of the transit growth strategy
for the City.
Key findings from the development of this plan show the following:
a) Work trip travel behaviour
o 77% Drove alone
o 18% Carpooled
o 4% Walked
o 1% Transit
b) In 2010 Daily Road Volumes (Vehicles per day)
o Hwy 16 East of Spruce Grove = 36,000
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 2
o Hwy 16 West of Spruce Grove = 28,000
o Hwy 16A West of Spruce Grove = 31,000
o Hwy 16A East of Spruce Grove = 27,000
o Jennifer Heil Way = 17,000
o Century Rd. = 12,000
o Calihoo Rd. = 8,000
o Golden Spike Rd. = 10,000
c) Peak Hour Travel Behaviour Targets:
Mode of Travel for Commuters Year 2010
Year 2020
Year 2030
Year 2040
Drive Alone or Single Occupant Vehicle (SOV) 77% 73% 69% 65%
Carpool or High Occupant Vehicle 18% 19% 20% 21%
Public Transit 1% 3% 5% 7%
Walking & Cycling 4% 5% 6% 7%
100% 100% 100% 100%
d) Trends and Possible Future Demands:
o Based on (2010) existing travel and population/employment projections growth
by mode.
Mode 2010 2040
Drive Alone (SOV) 73,600 (77%) 178,500 (77%)
Carpool (HOV) 17,100 (18%) 41,500 (18%)
Transit 700 (1%) 1,600 (1%)
Walk 2,900 (3%) 7,200 (3%)
Bicycle 1,000 (1%) 2,400 (1%)
o Based on a 30 year plan to encourage all other modes of transport other than
single occupancy vehicles.
Mode 2040 (Population Growth Scenario)
2040 Vision Model
Drive Alone (SOV) 178,500 (77%) 150,300 (65%)
Carpool (HOV) 41,500 (18%) 48,600 (21%)
Transit 1,600 (1%) 16,200 (7%)
Walk 7,200 (3%) 9,300 (4%)
Bicycle 2,400 (1%) 6,900 (3%)
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 3
The Transportation Master Plan established the following Transportation Goals, which were
adopted by the City’s Council on May 28, 2012:
Connect residential, business and industrial communities effectively and efficiently.
Enhance mobility and economic vitality by providing reasonable transportation choices
to all residents and businesses.
Promote the safety and security of the transit system.
Reduce vehicular travel with higher degree of mixed land uses.
Promote healthy and environmentally responsible transportation choices.
CAPITAL REGION BOARD
The City has been a member of the Capital Region Board (Board) since its inception in 2008 and
has actively participated in the Transit Committee. The objective of the Transit Committee has
been to seek out quick win’s related to supporting an Inter-municipal Network Plan. The Board
has also provided some excellent policy and operational direction documents to support
regional transit.
Capital Region Board supporting documents:
2012 Inter-municipal Transit Governance Study and Implementation Plan.
2013 Regional Fare Strategy and Implementation Plan
30 Year Transit Plan and Priority System for the GreenTRIP Program
2014 Inter-municipal Transit Governance Study Report
The City believes that because of the economies of scale and the complexity involved in the
operation and administration of the modern transit system. A regional model such as a
commission for the Greater Capital Region is the desired ultimate goal. The City will continue to
support and plan accordingly to be complimentary to a regional system. A regional based
transit system will help meet the needs of City residents, but also the regional neighbours of
the Town of Stony Plain and Parkland County.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 4
CUTA (CANADIAN URBAN TRANSIT ASSOCIATION)
The City has been a member of CUTA since 2012 and has found the association to be wealth of
support and information regarding transit planning. In particular transit operations and
administration of educational resources. The annual Transit Fact Book provides a benchmarking
of transit system performance both operationally and financially. The most recent Fact book
covers the 2012 operational year.
2.0 WHY IS THIS PROJECT NEEDED?
We will provide efficient and effective transportation and mobility options for our residents. We need to anticipate future transportation needs with well planned neighbourhoods and gathering places that incorporate broad, accessible streets and paths, as well as technologies that facilitate the smooth flow of people, whether on foot, cycle, vehicle and other mode of transportation. We need to anticipate future transportation needs ... and be prepared to offer, sponsor or support movement-related solutions...to continually make transportation an important part of municipal planning investment and service delivery.
Spruce Grove Strategic Plan 2015-2035
The City has experienced significant growth, averaging 3.9% annually since 1986, almost a
tripling of population over this period. This rapid population growth can be attributed to the
City being located west of the City of Edmonton, which is a centre for industrial, commercial,
and institutional employment.
Figure 1. Population Trends City of Spruce Grove
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
19
89
19
92
19
96
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
20
06
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
14
20
16
20
18
20
20
20
22
20
24
20
26
20
28
20
30
20
32
20
34
20
36
City of Spruce Grove - Population Growth
High Growth Conservative Growth
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 5
It is believed that with consistent service and a reasonable fare system, transit growth will
increase proportional to population growth. Using 2010 conservative population growth
models, transit use could grow by 129% over 30 years equalling 4.3% per year (based on a
linear growth model). Should there be a significant price increase in automotive fuels, it is
expected that transit ridership could increase further increase from 3.4% to 6.5% (as based
upon 35% increase in fuel prices from 2007 and 2008)1.
Although like many other large and medium size cities in Alberta, the citizens of Spruce Grove
appear to be financially secure. However, there are some citizens that are less fortunate. Many
are trying to make ends meet while being employed. These individuals are referred to as the
“working poor”. These individuals may be single parents who are on social assistance and need
to get children to day care or to a friend so that they can work. Most in these situations do not
have the advantage of a personal vehicle, as a result they are forced to walk or get a taxi.
Transit service is a common benefit to the entire community which will help to break the
barriers to prosperity: Employment + Affordable wage + Mobility + Health = Affordable
Housing. This plan takes a firm step to start addressing the mobility part of the cycle.
Transit also has many environmental benefits for the City, besides reducing emissions that not
only affect the global environment, but also the local air quality. In the United States it is
estimated that vehicle pollution contributes to 30,000 premature deaths annually2. By
providing citizens with the option to take transit, it keeps cars off congested roadways, reduces
the likelihood of motor vehicle accidents and reduces use of our limited petroleum resources.
CURRENT SERVICE AND PLANNING FOR GROWTH
The City has operated under contract with ETS since 2006. Since this time growth of the system
has increased based on the level of available service. Fare adjustments that have been
introduced have impacted transit volumes over the short term. However, continual
1 Transit Elasticities and Price Elasticities, Victoria Transport Policy Institute, Victoria B.C.; 2014. Accessed: October
24, 2014 from http://www.vtpi.org/tranelas.pdf 2 Union of Concerned Scientists, Accessed Oct. 28, 2014 from: http://www.ucsusa.org/our-work/clean-
vehicles/vehicles-air-pollution-and-human-health#.VGoTYPnIZgh
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 6
improvement in timing on the part of ETS has helped to keep overall ridership stable and
complainants to a minimum.
Figure 2. Spruce Grove Ridership
In 2013 and 2014, the City conducted additional research and analysis of the short term
operation of the transit system. Work over this period included:
Route analysis and costs (DanTech Associates), City of Spruce Grove with ETS support
Transit On-board Rider Survey - Spring 2014
Public consultation on short term route options
THE ON-BOARD SURVEY RESULTS KEY FINDINGS:
The on-board survey was conducted on March 26, 2014 (Wednesday) on all morning trips
between Spruce Grove and Edmonton. In total 237 people completed the survey.
A large majority of riders use the service every day or 5-8 times per week.
Riders are typically commuting to work or attending post-secondary institutions. A
number of regular riders are using the system to access K-12 schools (~10%).
Approximately 10% of riders transfer to ETS. A desire to see an integrated pass was a
common theme in the open ended question responses.
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note: 2014 data is not complete - Data Jan to Sep.
Spruce Grove Annual Transit Ridership
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 7
Forty-five percent (45%) of riders said they either drive or get a ride to their bus stop.
Over one –third of these (41 riders) live in the City and prefer this option because the
bus stop is too far away or the route is too time consuming. This is a significant increase
from past surveys.
A little over a quarter of riders have a U-Pass.
Approximately two-thirds of riders use a commuter-pass while the other one-third uses
a cash fare.
The most common reason riders cited for riding is ‘it’s cheaper than driving/parking a
car’. The next highest responses were ‘environmentally friendly’ and ‘prefer riding the
bus’.
As in past surveys, approximately thirty-percent of riders come from outside the City.
When asked what factors would make riders use the bus more, the most common
responses were ‘able to transfer to ETS with the same passes’, ‘more frequent service’
and ‘new midday service’. Strong support also existed for WEM service and evening
service.
Highest areas of dissatisfaction were crowding and the time of the last trip in the
afternoon. Other areas of concern were the time of the last trip in the morning and first
trip in the afternoon, the value for money of the passes, and the frequency of the
service.
Other findings include (1) less ‘choice riders’ (i.e. people who could take a car or catch a
ride instead of riding) are using the system than in previous surveys, and (2) more riders
are accessing the system initially by vehicle (driving and parking, getting dropped off)
than historical data.
ON-GOING CUSTOMER FEEDBACK:
While feedback received through customer service processes tends to be quite specific, some
themes are apparent:
Issues with schedule adherence, i.e. bus showing up late (most common) or early.
Concern about City’s non-participation in the U-Pass program.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 8
Specific suggestions for service improvements, i.e. modified routing and an expanded
schedule.
Concern about crowding and buses passing up riders at the stops, and to a lesser extent,
the use of the system by non-Spruce Grove residents.
Concern about the value of the system, i.e. high cost but limited service when compared
with systems such as St. Albert and Strathcona County which both offer cheaper passes
and much higher levels of service.
3.0 PROPOSED TRANSIT IMPLEMENTATION PLAN - TRANSIT SERVICE REVIEW: On June 23, 2014 Council was presented with the findings from Phase 1 of the Transit Service
Review.
Phase 1 - short term service changes (2014 - 2018). Broken down into 4 stages.
Phase 2 - long term service changes (2018 and beyond)
RESULTS OF THE PHASE 1 TRANSIT REVIEW
STAGE 1 (APPROVED BY COUNCIL IN MAY 2014 AND IMPLEMENTED SEPTEMBER 2014)
Improved on-time schedule issues by discontinuing direct service to U of A and relying
on the LRT for service to the University (Figure 4)
The addition of a midday trip
Increasing bus pass options to City Residents
o Standard adult pass $135
o Student pass (Spruce Grove Residents) $95. This represents a 27% reduction
from the standard adult pass.
o Integrated pass -Spruce Grove plus ETS Transit pass (1-year pilot) $165. If sold
separately the passes would cost $224, this represents a combined discount of
$59.
No changes to the route within the City (Figure 3)
No reduction in summer service (July/August)
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 9
Figure 3. Current Service Spruce Grove
Figure 4. Downtown Edmonton Service Phase 1 (current)
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 10
STAGE 2 (PROPOSED LOCAL ROUTING CHANGES) START 20153
Option (A) Two Local Routes, More Coverage, both travel to City Centre:
In Option A, the existing peak hour route is split into two routes as identified in the DanTech
2013 concept. The two routes will continue to service areas already covered by existing Route
197 and add service to Spruce Ridge, Harvest Ridge, Hilldowns, Stoneshire, Linkside, Aspenglen,
Deer Park, and Greenbury.
Figure 5 illustrates the two proposed routes within the City and areas with access to these
routes within a five minute walk (400-meter buffer). These initial changes increase the
percentage of residential parcels within a five minute walk from 76% to 96%.
In this scenario five trips will be provided on each route for the AM peak period and four trips in
the PM peak period. The midday trip running the existing Route 197 (Figure 3) will still be
offered to provide riders with additional flexibility for getting home and alleviate peak period
crowding. The fifth trip in the morning provides additional flexibility to riders travelling to
work/schools and is more cost effective than a fifth trip in the PM as fewer busses are required.
High ridership levels would be required before adding an additional PM trip on each route.
Figure 5. Transit Review 2014: Option (A) Two local Routes within Spruce Grove
3 This start date is currently under consideration by Council to be implemented by 2016.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 11
Option B – Existing Local Route, More Trips, Medium Coverage:
In Option B, the existing Route 197 would remain the same however an additional trip would be
added in each direction (Figure 3.). This would respond to rider demand for later service in the
morning and in the evening. The midday service would be maintained. In this scenario, no new
neighbourhoods would be added and coverage would remain at 76% within a 5-minute walk.
Option C - New Local Express Route to WEM and South Campus (Recommended):
Option C emerged out of the May 2014 open house input and was refined through further
analysis. In this option a second route would be added travelling an express reduced coverage
route within the City and then running to the West Edmonton Mall (WEM) and South Campus
LRT (~60% of households within a 5-minute walk)(Figure 6 and 7). Three trips during peak
periods would be provided. The WEM transfer station provides convenient connections to a
number of other areas within Edmonton while the South Campus LRT significantly reduces
travel time to the U of A campus and adjacent health care centers. Upgrades will be required at
some bus stops on this route to ensure each location has a shelter. With the exception of
Century Road this will benefit both this route and Route 197. Lower ridership levels may
warrant this route terminating at WEM between May and August.
A downtown Edmonton express reduced coverage option was explored as an alternative to the
existing Route 197 (in addition to the WEM-South Campus route). Further analysis
demonstrated that the anticipated time savings were not realized to the degree expected, with
total daily service hours only reduced by one hour and the number of buses required remaining
the same. While the small service hour reduction is about a $30,000 cost savings over the
course of the year, this is not enough to justify the inconvenience to residents and the risk of
potential ridership declines from disruptions to the existing route. In the case of the new route
to WEM and South Campus, this would be primarily targeting new ridership and would be
viewed as a service enhancement rather than a decline.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 12
Figure 6. Transit Review 2014 Option C -Express reduced coverage route to WEM and South Campus LRT – Spruce Grove Component
Figure 7. Transit Review 2014 Option C - Express reduced coverage route to WEM and South Campus LRT – Edmonton component
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 13
Each of the options was evaluated on their strengths and weaknesses. Option (c) emerged as
the preferred and recommended route to Council. Council supported the route, however it was
decided that an evaluation of Stage 1 and another public consultation on Option C in the fall of
2014 should be conducted and reported back to Council.
STAGE 3 (PROPOSED) SEPTEMBER4 2016, EXPRESS REDUCED COVERAGE WEM ROUTE, EVENINGS
Stage 3 changes in September 2016 would see expanding the services hours of the express
reduced coverage (i.e. Stage 2 – Option C) to a service that runs hourly between Spruce Grove
and WEM between 5:30pm – 10:30pm Monday to Friday (note: does not extend to South
Campus LRT). While not depending on the implementation of Option C, this addition would
reinforce the peak service on this route and on Route 197. Evening service enhances the
daytime service by increasing flexibility for riders and serving students with evening classes or
workers looking to stay late. WEM is a major transfer station with excellent connections to and
from most of Edmonton (Note: ETS is advising that WEM is becoming very congested at peak
travel periods and is recommending the use of the Lewis Farms Transit Centre on the west side
of the Anthony Henday Highway. This transit centre has high volume connections to WEM and
the distributed Edmonton transit network.).
The express nature of this route within the City and terminating at WEM, makes the route
efficient and allows it be operated by only one bus. Public feedback at the open houses was
very supportive of this route addition. Riders were excited by the increased flexibility it offers to
the daytime service.
STAGE 4 –SEPTEMBER 2017 5, EXPRESS REDUCED COVERAGE WEM ROUTE, SATURDAYS
Stage 4, proposed for September 2017 extends the route discussed in Stage 3 and Stage 2 –
Option C, to Saturdays. This service would run between the City and WEM on an hourly basis
between 9:00am and 7:00pm. This service is not dependent on the implementation of Stage 2 –
4 With the possible deferral of stage 2 to 2016 subsequent stages may be deferred by one-year – this stage would
move to 2017. 5 With the possible deferral of stage 2 to 2016 subsequent stages may be deferred by one-year. This stage would
move to 2018.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 14
Option C or Stage 3; however, it would reinforce these two options. Surveys suggest there is
some demand for weekend service to Edmonton currently. By travelling to WEM, riders can
conveniently reach other locations in Edmonton. Demand for this service should be verified
prior to implementing as it may make sense to delay this service addition. As with the Stage 3
proposal, public feedback at the open houses was very supportive of this addition.
PROPOSED TRANSIT PARK & RIDE (TRANSIT CENTRE)
Each of the transit concepts developed so far for the City conceive options for a transit Park and
Ride – Transit Centre location. The development of additional intercity (commuter) services and
local transit service that can feed the commuter service makes a facility such as this very
important. These facilities also increase the potential for future regional partnership with Stony
Plain and Parkland County, as they open the doors for regional feeder routes and access to
transit for more rural residents.
The best location for a transit centre should be at the outer edge of the City, located nearest to
the express portion of each of the routes. This allows park and riders to avoid a slow circuitous
trip through the City. On this basis a transit centre should be located on the Southeast,
Southwest or Northeast corners of the City6.
The construction of a Park and Ride Transit Centre should if possible be combined with some
commercial enterprise that would be supportive to transit riders such as a coffee shop or
restaurant. Figure 8 identifies three potential sites; additional sites may be available and would
need to be evaluated early on in the process. In the 2020 timeframe only one site is required,
but long term planning should consider two or three additional sites as the system grows and
becomes more robust.
6 Transit Comprehensive Operations Review, April 2013, DanTec Associates p. 32
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 15
Figure 8. Three identified Park and Ride
REGIONAL SERVICE
STONY PLAIN
From the very start of the transit service in the City there has been discussions and
considerations in planning for expanded regional transit coverage. The 2007 Stantec Report:
Spruce Grove & Stony Plain Transit Feasibility study examined a possible route between Stony
Plain and the City with connection to the Spruce Grove-Edmonton commuter service. The same
report also looked at direct service from Stony Plain to Edmonton and a park and ride option on
the west side of Spruce Grove. None of these were adopted, possibly due to costs and unknown
interest on the part of Stony Plain residents.
PARKLAND COUNTY
There are a number of residential and business areas within Parkland County that could benefit
from transit service. North of Spruce Grove, Parkland Village has a population of 1,7837 and the
Acheson Business Area with a current employment base of 9,000 with growth estimated to be
13,000 to 16,0008 was included as a potential regional transit location in the 2007 Spruce
Grove & Stony Plain Transit Feasibility Study. ISL Engineering explored options for the Acheson
7 Parkland County 2009 Municipal Census. Accessed October 30, 2014 from :
http://www.parklandcounty.com/Assets/About+Us/general/2009+Municipal+Census+Report.pdf 8 Draft Acheson Industrial Area Structure Plan 2014, Accessed October 30, 2014 from:
http://www.parklandcounty.com/Assets/About+Us/Projects+and+Studies/Acheson+ASP/2014+ASP+data/Acheson+ASP+-+Sept+2014.pdf
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 16
Industrial Area in the 2012 Parkland County – Acheson Industrial Park Transit Feasibility Study.
This report recommended that Parkland County contract directly from ETS or considers
contracted Vanpooling as options. A follow up report in 2013 made a further case for the
Vanpool option9.
Recently, discussions between Parkland County, the Acheson Business Association and the City
are indicating that cooperating with traditional transit into Acheson and utilizing Vanpools to
take workers from a single pickup location to their places of work is the most efficient method.
For this reason the City is exploring inclusion of Acheson as a stop on the deadhead (trip out)
from Edmonton to Spruce Grove.
PROPOSED TRANSIT IMPLEMENTATION PLAN SUMMARY
Public transit is of critical importance to a city`s development because it is an essential part that enables the functionality of the urban setting. In particular, inefficient transportation systems incur extra costs to city residents and the government in terms of increased spending, higher taxes and the loss of city competitiveness. Also, it causes environmental problems such as car exhaust, road congestion and loss of green space. An efficient public transit system is increasingly viewed as one major competitive drivers for a city in the national and international arena.
Efficient Cities: The interrelationship Between Effective Transit Systems and Optimal Utilization of Land Use Entitlements – Canada West Foundation 2011
Given the previous research, and the level of growth the City is experiencing, it is
recommended that we continue with expansion of service as planned and presented to City
Council in June 2014. Table 1 below is a summary of the total plan. Two additional
enhancements are being proposed for consideration in this plan that was not presented to
Council:
9 Acheson Industrial Area Transit Feasibility Study: A case for Vanpools. Huculak, M, Zeggelaar, D and Levy, D. 2013
Accessed Oct 31, 2014 from: http://www.cite7.org/conferences/compendium/2013_Transit_AchesonIndustrialAreaTransitFeasibilityStudy_CaseVanpools.pdf
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 17
Service from Edmonton to Acheson (this has been included due to current discussions
with Parkland County).
Local service and or regional services targeted for 2019.
Table 1. Proposed plan and operational options
Year Routes Operating Changes Operating Options Capital Cost Implications
2014 197
Direct service to U of A cut. Service within SG stays same to Edmonton City Centre. Additional mid-day trip added. Schedule adherence issues fixed (i.e. extra time added).
N/A
Capital costs reduced because service can now run on 6-buses. Additional trips also cheaper to add.
2015 560
Route 197 is re-numbered into route 560. Includes three buses stopping at Acheson10 North in deadhead direction. Two trips are via NAIT. One trip via downtown.
(1) Include a stop at NAIT for third Acheson North trip. (2) Route travels via WEM instead of NAIT LRT in Yr 1
No change
Acheson covers portion of operating, common and capital costs. SG sees benefit from sharing capital. Increased GHG benefits because the deadhead trip is now fully utilized.
2016 560, 562
No change 560. Route 562 introduced. This is three peak trips using express SG route between SG & WEM/SC. Deadhead direction includes three trips to Acheson11 South. Two trips leave from WEM. One trip from South Campus.
(1) Include a stop at WEM for third Acheson South trip.
SG purchases three 40-ft transit buses. Ready for Sept 2016 to run 562.
Acheson covers portion of operating and capital costs for both 560 and 562. Need to determine new contract arrangement with ETS for bus storage, maintenance, etc.
10
Date of implementation is dependent upon agreement by Parkland County and the Acheson Business Association. 11
Date of implementation and final routes associated with Acheson is dependent upon agreement by Parkland County and the Acheson Business Association.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 18
Year Routes Operating Changes Operating Options Capital Cost Implications
Will not pay traditional capital fees for 562 but will need to cover other costs.
2017 560, 562
Status quo from 2016, however capacity to increase trips is possible.12
(1) Do not offer this and/or do not go to Acheson. (2) Can offer mid-morning or later evening trip if more demand exists, lots of flexibility for trip time based on existing schedule.
SG purchases three 40-ft transit buses. Ready for use in Sept 2017 on 560.
Will see capital savings in ETS contract however somewhat offset by other fees, e.g. storage
2018 560, 562
Evening service added on route 562.
If demand warrants, additional peak services is possible on both 560 and 562. Benefit is greater flexibility in system as whole is anticipated to increase ridership in peak periods.
No change Cost effective addition.
2019 560, 562, 'local'13
562 introduce hourly Saturday service using the base route (no Acheson). Local service introduced in SG.
Delay 562 Saturday service. Focus on local service.
SG purchases two (2) cutaway buses to run local service. In house storage, main-tenance &
(1) Costs associated with in house operations and new operating hours for 562 Saturday and local operating. (2) Cutaway bused are much cheaper but have a shorter
12
No increase in service is factored into the financial costs presented in this business case 13
No route numbers have been established for local routes
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 19
Year Routes Operating Changes Operating Options Capital Cost Implications
operations. Con-struction starts on Park and Ride.
lifecycle (6 to 8 years).
2020 560, 562, 'local'
No change. Possibly minor schedule changes
Inclusion of regional services to Stony Plain and Parkland Village.14 Spruce Grove may consider peak service from Spruce Grove to Acheson.
SG purchases two (2) more cutaway buses. SG builds storage garage for these buses. Park and Ride (Transit Centre completed and operational
Garage expansion/building costs.
The following figures show the various components of the project:
Figure 9. Commuter Bus Concept
14
Expansion to Stony Plain and Parkland Village and additional expansion for Acheson - Edmonton service is dependent upon agreement with the Municipality of Stony Plain and Parkland County
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 20
Figure 10. Local Bus Concept
Figure 11. Transit Centre Shelter Concept
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 21
4.0 COSTS AND BENEFITS
From an individual household’s perspective, public transit investments are often very cost effective. According to analysis described in our study, Raise My Taxes, Please! Evaluating Household Savings from High Quality Public Transit Service, providing high quality public transit service typically requires about $268 in annual subsidies and $108 in additional fares per capita, but reduces vehicle, parking and road costs an average of $1,040 per capita. This is more than a 300% annual financial return on investment, in addition to other benefits including congestion reductions, reduced traffic accidents, pollution emission reductions, improved mobility for non-drivers, and improved public fitness and health.
Todd Litman15, 2014
The provision of public transit has costs and benefits for every municipality and very few
operate on a full cost recovery model. Transit is regarded as a public good and a component of
core transportation infrastructure funded by the greater community for the benefit of all
residents. The reality however, is that public transit does benefit from an economy of scale. The
larger the system and the more riders that utilize the system the more cost effective the system
becomes. It is for this reason that although the City is putting forth this plan for the expansion
of service, it is recognized that there would be an increased benefit from a total Capital Region
integrated transit System.
Table 2 below offers a summary of common benefits and costs associated with public transit. In
most cases they apply to the City, but for many the benefits certainly extend beyond and
certainly apply to the City of Edmonton as well.
15
Responding to Transit Funding Criticism, Opinion – Planetizen. May 2014. Accessed from http://www.planetizen.com/node/69020
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 22
Table 2. Public Transport Benefits and Costs16
Category Improved Transit Service
Increased Transit Travel
Reduced Automobile Travel
Transit-Oriented Development
Indicators Service Quality (speed, reliability, comfort, safety,
etc.)
Transit Ridership (passenger-miles or mode share)
Mode shifts or Automobile Travel
Reductions
Portion of Development with
TOD design features
Benefits
Improved convenience and comfort for existing users.
Increased user security, as more users ride transit and wait at stops and stations.
Reduced traffic congestion
Additional vehicle travel reductions (`leverage effects`).
Equity benefits (since exciting users tend to be disadvantaged).
Mobility benefits to new users.
Road and parking facility cost savings.
Improved accessibility particularly for non-drivers.
Option value (the value of having an option for future use).
Increased fare revenue.
Consumer savings.
Reduced crime risk.
Improved operating efficiency (if service speed increases).
Increased public fitness and health (if transit travel stimulates more walking and cycling trips).
Increased traffic safety
More efficient development (reduced infrastructure costs).
Improved security (reduced crime risk)
Energy conservation
Farmland and habitat preservation
Air and noise pollution reductions
Costs Increased capital and operating costs and therefore subsidies.
Transit vehicle crowding
Reduced automobile business activity
Various problems associated with more compact development
Land and road space
Traffic congestion and accident risk imposed by transit vehicles.
16
Evaluating Public Transit Benefits and Costs – Best Practices Guidebook, Victoria Transport Policy Institute. Todd Litman, August 2014. Accessed from: http://www.vtpi.org/tranben.pdf
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 23
SPRUCE GROVE TRANSIT COSTS
CAPITAL COSTS:
The capital requirements for the plan are separated according to how they have been included
into the City’s Corporate Plan. Each component is listed in Table 3 and includes all aspects of
the recommended plan.
Transit System Growth - Bus Purchase is the acquisition of a total of six, 40 foot high efficiency
commuter buses. These are owned by the City and operated, stored and maintained by ETS.
Transit Infrastructure – Permanent Park & Ride is the selection, land acquisition, design and
construction of a Park & Ridge facility with parking for 100, with expansion to 300. A heated
transit centre shelter with associated furniture and bike storage.
Transit System Growth – Local/sub regional Bus is the acquisition of four 24 passenger size,
and the land acquisition, design and construction of a bus storage facility, with capacity for up
to eight buses, staff facilities and bus wash bay.
Table 3 below describes the estimated capital costs of implementing the recommended plan.
Each item breaks down the contribution requirements from the City of Spruce Grove and the
GreenTRIP program.
Table 3. Capital Summary
Transit System Growth – Bus Purchase (DP266.2)
Per unit Total Cost GreenTRIP City of Spruce Grove
2016 Bus Purchase (3 – 40’ High Efficiency) $505,000 $1,515,000 $1,009,748 $505,253
2017 Bus Purchase (3 – 40’ High Efficiency) $505,000 $1,515,000 $1,009,748 $505,253
TOTAL $3,030,000 $2,128,230 $1,010,505
Transit Infrastructure – Permanent Park and Ride (DP265.2)
Per Unit Total Cost GreenTRIP City of Spruce Grove
2015 Park & Ride - Site selection analysis $55,000 $36,658 $18,343
2018 Design and Engineering $130,000 $86,645 $43,355
2019 Park & Ride Construction $340,000 $226,610 $113,390
2020 Park & Ride Construction including Shelter and fixtures
$2,875,000 $1,916,188 $958,813
TOTAL $3,400,000 $2,254,200 $1,133,900
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 24
Transit System Growth – Local/Sub regional Per Unit Total Cost GreenTRIP City of
Spruce Grove 2019 -2 Community Feeder/sub regional buses (24 Passenger)
$199,000 $398,000 $265,267 $132,733
2020 – 2 Community Feeder/sub regional buses (24 Passenger)
$199,000 $398,000 $265,267 $132,733
2018 – Bus storage Land acquisition and design $470,000 $313,255 $156,745
2019 – Bus Storage Construction $1,944,000 $1,295,676 $648,324
2020 – Bus Storage Construction $1,980,000 $1,319,670 $660,330
TOTAL $5,190,000 $3,459,135 $1,730,865
Total Project Total Cost GreenTRIP City of Spruce Grove
$11,620,000 $7,744,730 $3,875,270
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 25
SUMMARY OF STATEMENT OF OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS FINDINGS
Projected operating costs and bus purchase costs are detailed in Appendix 1 and include two options for comparing the status quo (No service
change) and the full plan, based on services provided as detailed in Table 1 contained within the plan. The information that follows in table 4 is a
summary which include all operational costs (including amortization expenses for all components of the plan), ETS Contract costs, bus storage and
maintenance costs (under contact to the City of Edmonton), in-house expenses, and revenue projections based upon each option. Only limited
operational costs for the local/sub regional service, the Park and Ride facility and the local/sub regional service storage have not been included due
to a lack of certainty around these costs. Capital acquisitions and their related GreenTRIP funds are not included in this summary analysis.
Table 4. Summary of projected revenues, expenditures and the recovery/cost ratio
Status Quo, i.e. no expansion 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue* $570,389 $451,005 $444,289 $450,662 $461,099 $486,703 $502,271 $512,934 $516,794 $543,518
Expenses $1,261,115 $1,286,935 $1,313,311 $1,339,158 $1,365,697 $1,392,691 $1,420,280 $1,448,060 $1,475,945 $1,505,790
Annual Surplus (Deficit) ($690,726) ($835,930) ($869,022) ($888,496) ($904,598) ($905,988) ($918,010) ($935,126) ($959,151) ($962,272)
Recovery/Cost Ratio 45.2% 35.0% 33.8% 33.7% 33.8% 34.9% 35.4% 35.4% 35.0% 36.1%
* Revenue includes MSI operating funds in 2015 ($107K) and GreenTRIP funds for Park and Ride Site Analysis ($37K). This is factored in the R/C ratio.
Acheson + Spruce Grove, All Expansions 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue* $620,375 $543,104 $664,416 $701,163 $781,584 $942,903 $975,477 $1,013,676 $1,026,555 $1,068,876
Expenses** $1,282,839 $1,328,101 $1,496,713 $1,568,788 $2,120,543 $3,303,167 $3,368,385 $3,425,678 $3,478,657 $3,543,237
Annual Surplus (Deficit) ($662,463) ($784,997) ($832,297) ($867,625) ($1,338,959) ($2,360,264) ($2,392,908) ($2,412,002) ($2,452,102) ($2,474,360)
Recovery/Cost Ratio 48.4% 40.9% 44.4% 44.7% 36.9% 28.5% 29.0% 29.6% 29.5% 30.2%
* Revenue includes MSI operating funds in 2015 ($107K) and GreenTRIP funds for Park and Ride Site Analysis ($37K). This is factored in the R/C ratio.
**Expenses include all amortization expenses and limited and park and ride/local bus storage facility operating costs starting in 2020.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 26
SPRUCE GROVE TRANSIT BENEFITS
RIDERSHIP GROWTH
Figure 12 illustrates ridership projections based upon system growth as outlined in Table 1. These projections
are estimated based upon previous research; current ridership and model split models developed in previous
research. The growth of ridership is seen as most substantial with the addition of commuter service on
Highway 16A and with the addition of local/sub regional service (Stony Plain, Parkland Village and Spruce
Grove to Acheson). The potential for Acheson service in both directions may exceed our projections based
upon growth estimates for the area as an employment centre. Detailed data on ridership projections are
contained in Appendix 2.
Figure 12. Ridership projections 2013 to 2024
GREEN HOUSE GAS REDUCTION
The Royal Society and the National Academy of Science have said in their 2014 report, Climate Change
Evidence and Cause: “Climate Change is one of the defining issues of our time. It is now more certain than
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Ridership Projections
560 A -Status Quo 562 A - WEM/South Campus 562 B - WEM Evening
562 C - WEM Saturday Local/Subregional service Acheson Service
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 27
ever, based on many lines of evidence, that humans are changing Earth’s climate. The atmosphere and oceans
have warmed, accompanied by sea-level rise, a strong decline in Arctic sea ice and other climate-related
changes”17.
One of the key benefits of transit is the reduction in local emissions NOX and SO2. Equally as important is the
reduction of Carbon Dioxide (CO2) all of which are classified as Greenhouse Gases (GHG). Transit benefits GHG
reductions through the removal of single occupancy vehicles from the roads. Based on the implementation of
the GreenTRIP program for the City, it is estimated that a total of 8,956.01 Tonnes CO2E will be avoided from
2015 to 2020 through the removal of such single occupancy vehicles. Details on the methodology for
calculating GHG reductions and the application of this formula through each step of the project are detailed in
Appendix 3.
It is also important to note although improvements are being made with all mobile source technologies
through increased efficiency and the use of hybrid, electric and natural gas fuels. The emissions released from
the tailpipe are significant and not only effect world climate, but the local environment. The City of Toronto
Medical Officer has noted: “Pollution from vehicles travelling Toronto’s routinely-jammed streets and
expressways contributes to about 280 premature deaths and 1,090 hospitalizations each year — a significant
portion of the total. Furthermore, that burden isn’t shared equally, with residents living near major
thoroughfares exposed to considerably more toxins and health risks”18.
5.0 ON-GOING BENEFITS MONITORING PLAN
As our population ages, transit services of all kinds must introduce a higher standard of accessibility and security. Fares will need to be customized. Customer service will become more critical.
Barbara Myers19, 2014
17
Climate Change Evidence and Causes: An overview from the Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences, 2014, Accessed Oct. 30, 2014 from: https://royalsociety.org/~/media/Royal_Society_Content/policy/projects/climate-evidence-causes/climate-change-evidence-causes.pdf 18
Toronto can do more to reduce premature deaths from air pollution: Editorial, Toronto Star. April 21, 2014. Accessed Nov. 4, 2014 from: http://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2014/04/21/toronto_can_do_more_to_reduce_premature_deaths_from_air_pollution_editorial.html?app=noRedirect 19
Transit in Canada, The Overwhelming Canadian Issue – Barbara Myer, 2014 – Accessed from Plan Canada
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 28
Reporting both on the project and the benefits will be maintained throughout the project as defined in the
GreenTRIP Administrative Procedures and Guidelines. The City will ensure all reports are complete and
submitted on-time using the GreenTRIP Annual Benefits Summary Report. This will report will accurately
record the anticipated project benefits as outlined in the original GreenTRIP application and Business Case
against the actual benefits as the project progresses. More specifically the City will report on project benefits
such as GHG reduction, increased ridership, variations in safety levels and travel times. In addition the City will
commit to maintain regular contact with the Ministry of Transportation on an informal on-going basis to keep
them apprised of progress and any potential issues that might develop.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 29
Appendix 1 – Details of Operating Costs
A. Status Quo – No Capital Purchase
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue
Government Tranfers (MSI)
MSI (Operating) 107,709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
User Fees - Route 560a 459,680 448,005 441,289 447,662 458,099 483,703 499,271 509,934 513,794 540,518
Ad revenue 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Total Revenue 570,389 451,005 444,289 450,662 461,099 486,703 502,271 512,934 516,794 543,518
Expenses
ETS Contract Expenses
Service Hour Operating Expenses 951,053 970,951 991,278 1,011,196 1,031,648 1,052,450 1,073,712 1,095,120 1,116,609 1,139,609
Bus Related Operating Expenses 225,043 229,751 234,561 239,274 244,113 249,036 254,067 259,132 264,217 269,660
Misc. ETS Admin Expenses 58,019 59,233 60,473 61,688 62,935 64,204 65,501 66,807 68,118 69,522
Sub-total 1,234,115 1,259,935 1,286,311 1,312,158 1,338,697 1,365,691 1,393,280 1,421,060 1,448,945 1,478,790
Misc. Spruce Grove Expenses (Schedule 4) 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000
Total Expenses 1,261,115 1,286,935 1,313,311 1,339,158 1,365,697 1,392,691 1,420,280 1,448,060 1,475,945 1,505,790
Annual Surplus (Deficit) (690,726) (835,930) (869,022) (888,496) (904,598) (905,988) (918,010) (935,126) (959,151) (962,272)
Notes
1 Revenue projections are rough numbers based on past trends, comparable services, and future bus capacity. 2 Add revenue potential not explored. Anticipated revenue will increase.
3 Inflation not applied to misc. in-house operating expenses at this time.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 30
Schedule 1 - Misc. Spruce Grove Operating 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Misc. Spruce Grove Expenses
Professional fees/CRB 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000
CUTA Membership fees 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Advertising 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Bus Passes 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Sub-total 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 31
B. Acheson + Spruce Grove, All Planned Expansion
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue
Government Transfers (MSI, GreenTRIP)
MSI (Operating) 107,709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
GreenTRIP (Park and Ride Site Selection Only) 36,667 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sub-total 144,376 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
User Fees (Schedule 1) 473,000 540,104 661,416 698,163 778,584 939,903 972,477 1,010,676 1,023,555 1,065,876
Ad revenue 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Total Revenue 620,375 543,104 664,416 701,163 781,584 942,903 975,477 1,013,676 1,026,555 1,068,876
Expenses
Amortization (incl. local + commuter) 0 75,750 151,500 151,500 208,357 456,594 456,594 456,594 456,594 456,594
ETS Contract Expenses (Schedule 2)
Service Hour Operating Expenses 977,565 1,173,582 1,476,748 1,548,847 1,691,612 1,777,519 1,813,429 1,849,585 1,885,879 1,924,724
Bus Related Operating Expenses 225,043 250,084 199,466 203,508 207,618 211,807 216,085 220,405 224,744 229,328
Misc. ETS Admin Expenses 58,019 59,233 60,473 61,688 62,935 64,204 65,501 66,807 68,118 69,522
Sub-total 1,260,626 1,482,899 1,736,686 1,814,043 1,962,166 2,053,531 2,095,015 2,136,798 2,178,741 2,223,574
Acheson Portion (Schedule 3) (59,788) (257,549) (418,473) (423,755) (426,214) (434,288) (442,809) (451,391) (460,005) (469,218)
Local/Subregional Service - Operating 0 0 0 0 349,233 1,160,329 1,192,584 1,216,677 1,236,327 1,265,286
Misc. Spruce Grove Expenses (Schedule 4) 82,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 67,000 67,000 67,000 67,000 67,000
Total Expenses 1,282,839 1,328,101 1,496,713 1,568,788 2,120,543 3,303,167 3,368,385 3,425,678 3,478,657 3,543,237
Annual Surplus (Deficit) (662,463) (784,997) (832,297) (867,625) (1,338,99) (2,360,26) (2,392,98) (2,412,002) (2,452,102) (2,474,360)
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 32
Notes
1 Revenue projections are rough numbers based on past trends, comparable services, and future bus capacity.
2 Add revenue potential not explored. Anticipated revenue will increase.
3 The PnR site analysis is expensed in 2015 so related GreenTRIP funds included to illustrate offset. No other GreenTRIP funds included.
3 Capital acquisitions and GreenTRIP-related funds excluded. This covers: bus purchases, park and ride facility, local bus storage facility.
4 Amortization and capital-related operating expenses are included.
6 Lifecycle schedule: commuter buses (20-yrs), cutaway buses (7-yrs), park and ride (30-yrs), bus storage facility (50-yrs).
5 Inflation not applied to misc. in-house operating expenses at this time.
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Schedule 1 - User Fees
560a 459,680 448,005 441,289 447,662 458,099 483,703 499,271 509,934 513,794 540,518
562 A - WEM/South Campus - 38,819 140,207 155,723 167,330 171,828 177,965 188,524 188,309 199,377
562 B - WEM Evening - - - 6,034 18,763 19,666 20,317 20,954 21,063 22,197
562 C - WEM Saturday - - - - 5,156 46,401 46,401 58,001 58,001 58,001
Local/Subregional Service - - - - 40,492 127,396 130,621 133,031 134,996 137,892
Acheson Service 13,320 53,280 79,920 88,745 88,745 90,909 97,902 100,233 107,393 107,892
Sub-total 473,000 540,104 661,416 698,163 778,584 939,903 972,477 1,010,676 1,023,555 1,065,876
Schedule 2 - ETS Contract Expenses
Service Hour Operating Expenses
560b - City Centre + Acheson North 977,565 1,036,323 1,058,019 1,079,278 1,101,107 1,123,310 1,146,003 1,168,853 1,191,788 1,216,337
562d - South Campus/WEM + Acheson South 0 137,259 418,729 427,143 435,782 444,569 453,550 462,593 471,671 481,386
562b - WEM Evenings, Weekdays 0 0 0 42,426 129,336 131,944 134,610 137,294 139,988 142,871
562c - WEM Saturday 0 0 0 0 25,387 77,696 79,265 80,846 82,432 84,130
Sub-total 977,565 1,173,582 1,476,748 1,548,847 1,691,612 1,777,519 1,813,429 1,849,585 1,885,879 1,924,724
Bus Related Operating Expenses
560b - City Centre + Acheson North 225,043 229,751 157,947 161,155 164,409 167,727 171,114 174,537 177,976 181,597
562d - South Campus/WEM + Acheson South 0 20,333 41,518 42,353 43,209 44,080 44,971 45,868 46,768 47,731
562b - WEM Evenings, Weekdays 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
562c - WEM Saturday 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 33
Sub-total 225,043 250,084 199,466 203,508 207,618 211,807 216,085 220,405 224,744 229,328
Misc. ETS Admin Expenses
CVIP Inspection, $8.79 2014 27,031 27,596 28,174 28,740 29,322 29,913 30,517 31,126 31,736 32,390
Daily Admin fee, $101 in 2014 25,883 26,424 26,978 27,520 28,076 28,642 29,221 29,804 30,388 31,014
Insurance/Registration, $5000 in 2014 5,105 5,212 5,321 5,428 5,538 5,649 5,763 5,878 5,994 6,117
Sub-total 58,019 59,233 60,473 61,688 62,935 64,204 65,501 66,807 68,118 69,522
Total ETS Contract Expenses 1,260,626 1,482,899 1,736,686 1,814,043 1,962,166 2,053,531 2,095,015 2,136,798 2,178,741 2,223,574
Schedule 3 - Acheson Portion
Acheson Portion of Costs
560b - City Centre + Acheson North (52,170) (159,264) (156,135) (159,212) (162,368) (165,578) (168,859) (172,164) (175,481) (179,025)
562d - South Campus/WEM + Acheson South 0 (67,052) (213,532) (215,332) (214,887) (219,047) (223,300) (227,581) (231,879) (236,479)
ETS Misc. Admin (2,401) (8,601) (11,840) (11,756) (11,234) (11,200) (11,435) (11,671) (11,909) (12,163)
Spruce Grove Admin Fee (10%) (5,217) (22,632) (36,967) (37,454) (37,725) (38,463) (39,216) (39,975) (40,736) (41,550)
Sub-total (59,788) (257,549) (418,473) (423,755) (426,214) (434,288) (442,809) (451,391) (460,005) (469,218)
* Some of these costs cover additional expenses associated with adding the Acheson extensions. This value does not reflect the 'benefit cost' to Spruce Grove.
Schedule 4 - Misc. Spruce Grove Operating
Misc. In-House Expenses
Professional fees/CRB 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000
CUTA Membership fees 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Advertising 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Bus Passes 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Park and Ride & Bus Storage Facility
Site Selection Analysis 55,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Utilities 0 0 0 0 0 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000
Snow removal, garbage, recycling 0 0 0 0 0 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Sub-total 82,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 67,000 67,000 67,000 67,000 67,000
* The 10% Spruce Grove Admin fee charged for the Acheson service would help cover their portion of these expenses.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 34
Appendix 2 – Calculations of Transit Ridership Growth
Projections for transit growth are based upon past trends, previous research, current ridership. Factors that can increase ridership range from poor weather in winter to a significant increase in the cost of motor fuel. Increased service and more reliable/predictable service also help to promote ridership. Route Category 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
560 A -Status Quo, 40-ft urban coach
Annual daily load factor 0.64 0.65 0.66 0.63 0.62 0.62 0.63 0.66 0.67 0.675 0.675 0.7
Number of trips 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Service days per year 250 250 251 251 252 252 250 250 252 252 251 252
Projected ridership 82622 84175 91941 87762 86713 86713 87413 91575 93706 94406 94031 97902
562 A - WEM/SC, 40-ft urban coach
Annual daily load factor 0 0 0 0.5 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.7 0.725 0.75 0.75 0.775
Number of trips 0 0 0 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Service days per year 0 0 0 83 252 252 250 252 252 252 251 252
Projected ridership 0 0 0 9213 33566 36364 38850 39161 40559 41958 41792 43357
562 B - WEM Evening, 40-ft urban coach
Annual daily load factor 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.3 0.3 0.325 0.35 0.35 0.375
Number of trips 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Service days per year 0 0 0 0 0 83 250 252 252 252 251 252
Projected ridership 0 0 0 0 0 3071 11100 11188 12121 13054 13002 13986
562 C - WEM Saturday, community shuttle
Annual daily load factor 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.125 0.125 0.125
Number of trips 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 12 12 12
Service days per year 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 52 52 52 52 52
Projected ridership 0 0 0 0 0 0 458 1373 1373 1716 1716 1716
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 35
Local Service, community shuttle
Annual daily load factor 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.125 0.125 0.125
Number of trips 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 28 36 36 36 36
Service days per year 0 0 0 0 0 0 250 252 252 252 251 252
Projected ridership 0 0 0 0 0 0 13200 15523.2 19958.4 24948 24849 24948
Acheson Service, 40-ft urban coach
Annual daily load factor 0 0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.325 0.325 0.325 0.35 0.35 0.375 0.375
Number of trips 0 0 3 3 & 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Service days per year 0 0 83 83 & 251 252 252 250 252 252 252 251 252
Projected ridership 0 0 2764 11122 16783 18182 18038 18182 19580 19580 20896 20979
Estimated total daily riders per direction
33
67 72 72 72 78 78 83 83
Total Projected Ridership 82622 84175 94705 108097 137063 144330 169058 177002 187298 195662 196285 202888
% Total Ridership is Acheson
2.9% 10.3% 12.2% 12.6% 10.7% 10.3% 10.5% 10.0% 10.6% 10.3%
Rate of Increase year over year 1.9% 12.5% 14.1% 26.8% 5.3% 17.1% 4.7% 5.8% 4.5% 0.3% 3.4%
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 36
Appendix 3 - GHG Benefits
Methodology Calculations for Green House Gas emissions will be based upon current approaches to transit based emission modeling. Emission calculations will be based upon primary emission sources and not secondary and supporting sources such as the Park and Ride construction and the transit storage facility. Our baseline is based upon current ridership and estimated direct calculations of transit kilometers travelled using the most current emission factors. The project that is being proposed is one that is intended to change modal shift from automobile use to public transit. As described earlier projections for increased ridership have been made on the basis of current ridership, previous research projecting growth and the growth of the system. There is no standardized approach to determining the exact amount of model shift. For consistency of calculation we are assuming that each passenger utilizing transit will displace a single occupant car. Assumptions
Distance used will be the same for bus and vehicles
Estimated vehicle use Edmonton Region = 55% Passenger Car, 45% Light Duty Truck – The emission factor used will be for a midsize car.
Bus emissions factors used will remain constant over the project period however; number of buses, number of trips and bus kilometers will increase as the system grows.
Automobile use will grow corresponding to the bus growth reflecting the same vehicle kilometers. Sources: For Bus Emission Factor: Travel Emission Based on Travel Distance – Bus (City) 0.1158 (Kg CO2E/passenger-Kilometer)20 For Automobile Emission Factor: Travel Emissions Based on Fuel Efficiency – Car (Gasoline) 10.3 L/100 Km = 2.326 Kg/L CO2E21
CO2e = 2.326 kg/L Fuel Efficiency = 10.3 L/100km Co2e in Kg/km = 2.326kg/L * 10.3L/100 Km = 23.9578 kg/100km / 100 = 0.239 kg/km
20
2013 B.C. Best Practices Methodology for Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions, December 2013. Ministry of Environment. P. 28 21
Ibid, p. 26
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 37
GHG Calculations based upon project reflecting system growth vs. Equivalent automobile use
BUS Passenger/bus Kilometers Km*PSG
Emission Factor Kg
CO2E/ PKT Kg CO2E Tonnes
CO2E/Trip Trips/day CO2E /day # Days
Total Annual
CO2
2013 21.900
75.190
1,646.661
0.115
189.366
0.189
15.000
2.840
250.000
710.123
2014 22.400
75.190
1,684.256
0.115
193.689
0.194
15.000
2.905
250.000
726.335
2015 24.400
81.280
1,983.232
0.115
228.072
0.228
15.000
3.421
251.000
858.690
2016 - 560 23.300
81.280
1,893.824
0.115
217.790
0.218
15.000
3.267
251.000
819.978
2016 - 562 18.500
92.280
1,707.180
0.115
196.326
0.196
6.000
1.178
83.000
97.770
2017 - 560 22.900
81.280
1,861.312
0.115
214.051
0.214
15.000
3.211
252.000
809.112
2017 - 562 22.200
92.280
2,048.616
0.115
235.591
0.236
6.000
1.414
252.000
356.213
2018 - 560 22.900
81.280
1,861.312
0.115
214.051
0.214
15.000
3.211
252.000
809.112
2018 - 562 24.000
92.280
2,214.720
0.115
254.693
0.255
6.000
1.528
252.000
385.096
2018 - 562E 9.250
53.880
498.390
0.115
57.315
0.057
4.000
0.229
83.000
19.029
2019 - 560 23.300
81.280
1,893.824
0.115
217.790
0.218
15.000
3.267
250.000
816.712
2019 - 562 25.900
92.280
2,390.052
0.115
274.856
0.275
6.000
1.649
250.000
412.284
2019- 562E 11.100
53.880
598.068
0.115
68.778
0.069
4.000
0.275
250.000
68.778
2019 - 562S 2.200
51.790
113.938
0.115
13.103
0.013
12.000
0.157
17.000
2.673
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 38
BUS Passenger/bus Kilometers Km*PSG
Emission Factor Kg
CO2E/ PKT Kg CO2E Tonnes
CO2E/Trip Trips/day CO2E /day # Days
Total Annual
CO2
2019 - 564LA 3.300 27.000 89.100 0.115 10.247 0.010 24.000 0.246 83.000 20.411
2019 - 564LB
3.300
21.000
69.300
0.115
7.970
0.008
24.000
0.191
83.000
15.875
2020 - 560 24.000
81.280
1,950.720
0.115
224.333
0.224
15.000
3.365
252.000
847.978
2020 - 562 25.900
92.280
2,390.052
0.115
274.856
0.275
6.000
1.649
252.000
415.582
2020- 562E 11.100
53.880
598.068
0.115
68.778
0.069
4.000
0.275
252.000
69.328
2020 - 562S 2.200
51.790
113.938
0.115
13.103
0.013
12.000
0.157
52.000
8.176
2020 - 564LA 1.100
27.000
29.700
0.115
3.416
0.003
24.000
0.082
252.000
20.657
2020 - 564LB 1.100
21.000
23.100
0.115
2.657
0.003
24.000
0.064
252.000
16.067
TOTAL
8,305.98
CAR Individual Cars
Kilometers/ car
Total Car Km
Emission Factor Kg CO2E/Km Kg CO2E
Tonnes CO2E/Trip Trips/day CO2E /day # Days
Total Annual CO2
2013 21.900
75.190
1,646.661
0.239
393.552
0.394
15.000
5.903
250.000
1,475.820
2014 22.400
75.190
1,684.256
0.239
402.537
0.403
15.000
6.038
250.000
1,509.514
2015 24.400
81.280
1,983.232
0.239
473.992
0.474
15.000
7.110
251.000
1,784.582
2016 - 560 23.300
81.280
1,893.824
0.239
452.624
0.453
15.000
6.789
251.000
1,704.129
2016 - 562 18.500
92.280
1,707.180
0.239
408.016
0.408
6.000
2.448
83.000
203.192
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 39
CAR Individual Cars
Kilometers/ car
Total Car Km
Emission Factor Kg CO2E/Km Kg CO2E
Tonnes CO2E/Trip Trips/day CO2E /day # Days
Total Annual CO2
2017 - 560 22.900
81.280
1,861.312
0.239
444.854
0.445
15.000
6.673
252.000
1,681.546
2017 - 562 22.200
92.280
2,048.616
0.239
489.619
0.490
6.000
2.938
252.000
740.304
2018 - 560 22.900
81.280
1,861.312
0.239
444.854
0.445
15.000
6.673
252.000
1,681.546
2018 - 562 24.000
92.280
2,214.720
0.239
529.318
0.529
6.000
3.176
252.000
800.329
2018 - 562E 9.250
53.880
498.390
0.239
119.115
0.119
4.000
0.476
83.000
39.546
2019 - 560 23.300
81.280
1,893.824
0.239
452.624
0.453
15.000
6.789
250.000
1,697.340
2019 - 562 25.900
92.280
2,390.052
0.239
571.222
0.571
6.000
3.427
250.000
856.834
2019- 562E 11.100
53.880
598.068
0.239
142.938
0.143
4.000
0.572
250.000
142.938
2019 - 562S 2.200
51.790
113.938
0.239
27.231
0.027
12.000
0.327
17.000
5.555
2019 - 564LA 3.300
27.000
89.100
0.239
21.295
0.021
24.000
0.511
83.000
42.419
2019 - 564LB 3.300
21.000
69.300
0.239
16.563
0.017
24.000
0.398
83.000
32.993
2020 - 560 24.000
81.280
1,950.720
0.239
466.222
0.466
15.000
6.993
252.000
1,762.319
2020 - 562 25.900
92.280
2,390.052
0.239
571.222
0.571
6.000
3.427
252.000
863.688
2020- 562E 11.100
53.880
598.068
0.239
142.938
0.143
4.000
0.572
252.000
144.082
2020 - 562S 2.200
51.790
113.938
0.239
27.231
0.027
12.000
0.327
52.000
16.992
2020 - 564LA 1.100
27.000
29.700
0.239
7.098
0.007
24.000
0.170
252.000
42.931
2020 - 564LB
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 40
CAR Individual Cars
Kilometers/ car
Total Car Km
Emission Factor Kg CO2E/Km Kg CO2E
Tonnes CO2E/Trip Trips/day CO2E /day # Days
Total Annual CO2
1.100 21.000 23.100 0.239 5.521 0.006 24.000 0.133 252.000 33.390
TOTAL
17,261.99
If all transit trips were taken by car, the total emissions created from 2013 to 2020 = 17,261.99 Tonnes CO2E
Emissions created by transit for the projected ridership from 2013 to 2020 = 8,305.98 Tonnes CO2E
Difference (Emissions avoided) = 8,956.01 Tonnes CO2E
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 41
Appendix 5 - GreenTRIP Annual Benefit Summary Report
GreenTRIP Annual Benefits Summary Report
REPORT #_____ REPORTING PERIOD: From__ (mm/yy)___ to _____ (mm/yy)____ [THE FIRST REPORT SHOULD BE SUBMITTED TO ALBERTA TRANSPORTATION ONE YEAR AFTER PROJECT IS
COMPLETE OR OPERATIONS BEGIN AND SUBMITTED ANNUALLY FOR 10 YEARS THEREAFTER.]
(FORMAT MAY BE ADAPTED BY MUNICIPALITY/APPLICANT AS REQUIRED)
1. PROJECT INFORMATION
Municipality/Applicant:
Project Description/Scope:
Date of Approval and Funding Agreement:
Approved Grant Amount::
Contact Name:
Phone: Email:
Project Start Date:
Project Completion Date:
Start of In-Service Operations (if applicable):
2. ANTCIPATED BENEFITS (AS PER APPLICATION, TO BE COMPLETED WITH FIRST REPORT)
(Examples: Increased ridership, reduced GHG, improved safety/route travel times, etc.)
Application Business Case – Ridership Numbers:
Application Business Case – Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions:
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 42
Application Business Case – Other:
2A. QUANTIFIED MEASURES
Expected Additional Ridership:
Number of Cars Taken off Roads (Mode Shift):
Annual GHG Emissions Reduction (tonnes):
Lifetime GHG Emissions Reduction
Method/Formula Used to Calculate (summarized):
Please attach a more detailed report describing the methods used for calculations.
Comments/Other:
2B. QUALITATIVE MEASURES (I.E. PASSENGER SAFETY, COMFORT ETC.)
Measure: Rationale:
REMAINDER OF REPORT TO BE UPDATED ANNUALLY
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 43
ONGOING BENEFITS REPORT SUMMARY (To be updated annually)
REPORTING PERIOD: FROM__ (MM/YY)___ TO _____ (MM/YY)____
3. ACTUAL BENEFITS
(I.e. Increased ridership, reduced delays, improved safety and travel times etc.)
3A. QUANTIFIED MEASURES
Ridership Numbers (new riders/year):
Number of Cars Taken off Roads
(Mode Shift) (Cars/Year):
GHG Emissions Reduction (tonnes/year):
3B. QUALITATIVE MEASURES (I.E. PASSENGER SAFETY, COMFORT ETC.)
Measure: Rationale:
4. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 44
Additional space for comments and notes.
Applicant Contact: (Print Name and Title)
Signature:
Date:
Please note that all reported benefits are subject to audit by the Provincial Government, including the Office of the Auditor General.
The City of Spruce Grove | GreenTRIP Business Case 2014 45
Appendix 6 - Supporting Documents