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Standard Bank Group financial results
presentation for the year ended 31 December 2015
standardbank.com
1
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /2
Macroeconomic environment
1011121314151617
Jan
-14
Jul-
14
Jan
-15
Jul-
15
Jan
-16
USDZAR exchange rate
FY15 opening = 11.57
FY15 closing = 15.50
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
11.0
Jan
-14
Jul-
14
Jan
-15
Jul-
15
Jan
-16
%
SA inflation and interest rates
SA CPI yoy Prime overdraft rate
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
Commodity prices
Metals price index Fuel (energy) price index
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan
-14
Jul-
14
Jan
-15
Jul-
15
Jan
-16
%
Major African countries interest rates
Kenya Nigeria Uganda
Source: IMF data
Financial resultspresentation
Standard Bank Group 2015
RESULTS PRESENTATION
2 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /4
FY15 FY14
Discontinued operation
Share of associate
TotalDiscontinued
operation
Rm Rm Rm Rm
SB Plc operating loss (378) (378) (2 121)
Write-down of aluminium asset (276) (276) (1 624)
Partial insurance recovery for aluminium 595 347 942
Separation costs incurred (45) (45)
Deferred prosecution agreement accounted in ICBCS as a 40% associate
(226) (226)
ICBCS share of eleven months performance as a 40% associate (1 294) (1 294)
Headline loss recognised in CIB (104) (1 173) (1 277) (3 745)
Insurance proceeds for aluminium paid by group entity (54) (54)
Deferred prosecution agreement amount payable to ICBC under indemnity
(336) (336)
Cash flow hedge release on disposal of SB Plc 404 404
Headline loss recognised in SBG (90) (1 173) (1 263) (3 745)
Headline earnings impact of the discontinued operation
Financial results presentation / page /3
change FY15 FY14
%
Headline earnings (Rm) 27 22 002 17 323
Headline earnings – pro-forma continuing operations* (Rm) 13 22 056 19 570
Headline EPS (HEPS) (cents) 27 1 359.3 1 070.3
DPS (cents) 13 674 598
NAV per share (cents) 9 9 395 8 625
ROE (%) 15.3 12.9
Credit loss ratio (%) 0.87 1.00
Cost-to-income ratio (%) 56.7 55.0
Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio (%) 13.3 12.9
Key metrics
* Pro-forma continuing operations includes 40% of the discontinued operation given that 40% of the operation has been held by the group
3
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /6
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
PBB 15 11 232 9 797
South Africa 13 10 579 9 388
Rest of Africa 85 192 104
Outside Africa 51 461 305
CIB 59 7 923 4 980
Central and other 54 596 388
Banking activities 30 19 751 15 165
Liberty 4 2 251 2 158
Liberty operating earnings
8 1 513 1 407
LibFin Investments – SIP (2) 738 751
SBG 27 22 002 17 323
57%29%
2%12%
51%
36%
3%
10%
More even distribution of contribution from business units
PBB
CIB
Central and other
Liberty
Business unit view of headline earnings
FY14
FY15
Financial results presentation / page /5
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
Net interest income 9 49 314 45 256
Non-interest revenue 8 41 801 38 813
Total income 8 91 115 84 069
Operating expenses 10 51 434 46 596
Pre-provision operating profit 6 39 681 37 473
Credit impairment charges 4 9 371 9 009
Headline earnings – Banking activities 30 19 751 15 165
Continuing operations 5 19 841 18 910
Discontinued operation 98 (90) (3 745)
Headline earnings – Liberty 4 2 251 2 158
SBG headline earnings 27 22 002 17 323
Summarised income statement
RESULTS PRESENTATION
4 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /8
Deposit and current accounts from customers
change FY15 FY14
% Rbn Rbn
Retail priced 20 404 337
Wholesale priced 5 660 629
Deposit and current accounts from customers
10 1 064 966
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15Rbn
Retail priced deposits
South Africa Rest of Africa Outside Africa
8% CAGR
28% CAGR
32% CAGR
Financial results presentation / page /7
Loans and advances
change FY15 FY14
% Rbn Rbn
PBB 6 576 544
Mortgage loans 3 326 317
Vehicle and asset finance 11 80 73
Business lending and other 18 83 70
Card debtors 4 31 30
Personal unsecured lending 3 56 54
CIB 29 383 298
Corporate loans 22 291 239
Commercial property finance 17 56 48
Loans granted under resale agreements >100 36 11
Other services 50 (4) (10)
Loans and advances to customers 15 955 832
Loans and advances to banks 25 145 116
Gross loans and advances 16 1 100 948
5
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /10
Non-interest revenue
19.8 21.7 23.2 26.1 26.9
7.96.8 7.8
9.2 11.02.0 3.9
3.3
3.53.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15Rbn
Non-interest revenue
Other revenue
Trading revenue
Net fee and commission revenue
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
Rates, currencies and commodities
16 9 646 8 312
Equities 51 1 368 904
Trading revenue 20 11 014 9 216
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
Banking and property-related revenue
16 2 175 1 876
Insurance – bancassurance income
3 1 692 1 642
Other revenue 10 3 867 3 518
Financial results presentation / page /9
Net interest income and margin analysis
2.923.09
3.673.80
3.50
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %Rbn
Net interest income
Net interest income Net interest margin4
69
43
8
11
13
424
1
11
11
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
490
FY14
PB
B lo
anp
rici
ng
CIB
loan
pri
cin
g
Fun
din
gco
st
Hig
her
HQ
LA
En
dow
-m
ent
Mix
Oth
er
FY15
bps
Margin analysis on interest earning assets
RESULTS PRESENTATION
6 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /12
Credit impairment charges
0.87
1.08
1.12
1.00
0.87
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %RbnPortfolio credit impairments
Specific credit impairments
Credit loss ratio
FY15 FY14
% %
PBB 1.27 1.41
Mortgage loans 0.66 0.79
Vehicle and asset finance 1.50 1.55
Card debtors 4.83 4.08
Other loans and advances 1.68 2.05
CIB 0.24 0.22
Corporate loans 0.26 0.26
Commercial property finance 0.09 (0.16)
Credit loss ratio 0.87 1.00
Financial results presentation / page /11
Non-performing loans and provision adequacy
4.13.8
3.53.2
3.2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %Rbn
NPLs
NPLs NPL ratio
30
41
4744 45
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %Rbn
Balance sheet impairments
Specific impairments
Performing impairments
Coverage ratio
7
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /14
Capital
1.71.9 1.8
2.4
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
FY12* FY13 FY14 FY15 %Rbn
Closing RWA Average RWA Return on RWA
10.6
12.6 12.412.911.2
13.2 12.913.3
14.3
16.215.5 15.7
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
FY12* FY13 FY14 FY15%
Common equity Tier 1 CAR
Tier 1 CAR
Total CAR
*FY12 shown on a pro-forma Basel 3 basis
Financial results presentation / page /13
Operating expenses
58.6
55.256.3
55.056.7
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
58
60
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %%
Cost-to-income ratio
Income growth (LHS)
Cost growth (LHS)
Cost-to-income ratio (RHS)
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
Staff costs 12 27 968 24 961
Other operating expenses
8 23 466 21 635
IT 7 5 755 5 355
Amortisation 31 1 519 1 156
Other 7 16 192 15 124
Total operating expenses
10 51 434 46 596
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
IT and amortisation 12 7 274 6 511
IT staff costs 15 3 172 2 757
Other 4 2 446 2 358
Total IT function spend 11 12 892 11 626
RESULTS PRESENTATION
8 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Personal & Business Banking
Financial results presentation / page /15
425 455 533 598 6740.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 timescps
Dividend Dividend cover Dividend cover - pro-forma continuing operations*
Dividends
12% CAGR
* Pro-forma continuing operations includes 40% of the discontinued operation given that 40% of the operation has been held by the group
9
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /18
Our digital journey
Financial results presentation / page /17
• SA financial performance pleasing in a tough market with headline earnings growth of 13%
• Profitability in the Rest of Africa grew 85% despite challenging trading conditions
• Continued to solidify the turnaround in the VAF division with headline earnings growing by 79%
• Good customer growth in chosen segments
• Strong deposit growth consistent with our strategy
• Solid revenue growth relative to macro economic environment
• Improving traction in supporting clients with cross-border ambitions
• New capabilities in a digital world
PBB highlights
RESULTS PRESENTATION
10 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /20
454m trns 1%R332bn value 8%
974m trns 2%R826bn value 7%
1.2bn trns flatR54tn value 6%
Internet banking
Higher volumes with strong growth in digital interactions
344m trns 387%R88bn value 310%
480m trns 14%R230bn value 16%
SBG app
61m trns 18%R243bn value 11%
ATMs
Card Legacy system Enquiry and Teller volumes
Electronic Physical
Financial results presentation / page /19
Fully functional core banking solution delivered, processing substantial volume
• South Africa• 570m transactions processed in 2015, increase of 27%
• Real-time transfers enabled, reflecting immediate value (legacy system up to 2 days)
• Single customer master file implemented – migrated 34m profiles and legacy customer information files decommissioned
• Radically reduced product deployment life-cycle – recent launches less than 6 weeks
• Faster regulatory implementations using improved functionality combined with enhanced customer information
• Reduced on-line and branch origination processing times
• System decommissioning journey commenced with eight systems decommissioned to date
• Rest of Africa• Operational in seven key countries
• 73% of banking customers on the new platform
• 310m transactions processed during 2015, up 24%
We remain committed to complete our core banking programmes by end 2017
Core banking journey – end is in sight
11
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /22
change FY15 FY14
% Rbn Rbn
Loans and advances to customers 6 576 544
Mortgage loans 3 326 317
Vehicle and asset finance 11 80 73
Business lending and other 18 83 70
Card debtors 4 31 30
Personal unsecured lending 3 56 54
Deposit and current accounts from customers 19 498 417
Current accounts 13 139 123
Savings and Investments 22 359 294
Reliance on wholesale priced treasury funding (23) 96 124
PBB summarised balance sheet
Financial results presentation / page /21
PBB summarised income statement
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
Net interest income 11 35 051 31 720
Non-interest revenue 7 25 342 23 679
Total income 9 60 393 55 399
Credit impairment charges (5) 7 815 8 204
Income before operating expenses 11 52 578 47 195
Operating expenses 10 36 380 33 008
Headline earnings 15 11 232 9 797
Net interest margin (%) 5.45 5.31
Credit loss ratio (%) 1.27 1.41
Cost-to-income ratio (%) 60.1 59.4
ROE (%) 18.1 18.1
RESULTS PRESENTATION
12 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /24
• South Africa delivered respectable growth in a muted economic environment whilst absorbing investment in digital and core banking capabilities
• Rest of Africa continued to be profitable
– 13 out of 15 countries grew HE
– Despite• Declining commodity prices impacting key countries such as Nigeria, Angola and Zambia
• Regulatory impact of fee caps in various countries
• Electricity disruptions
– Excluding Nigeria, Rest of Africa improved HE by R219m in total, representing approximately 400% growth
• Outside Africa delivered strong growth as a result of increased client activity, assisted by rand weakness
PBB geographic view of headline earnings
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
South Africa 13 10 579 9 388
Rest of Africa 85 192 104
Outside Africa 51 461 305
PBB 15 11 232 9 797
Financial results presentation / page /23
16.9
19.2 19.418.6 18.1 18.1
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %RbnHeadline earnings ROE
Sustained headline earnings growth
21% CAGR
13
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /26
Good ROA geographic diversification
FY15 revenue by region FY15 assets by region
East: Kenya, Uganda, Zambia, Tanzania, Malawi, South Sudan
South: Namibia, Botswana, Lesotho, Zimbabwe, Swaziland, Mozambique
West: Nigeria, Ghana, Angola, DRC
Financial results presentation / page /25
Increasing momentum in ROA
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
1Q14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15 %Rm
Total income (LHS) Operating expenses (LHS) Cost to income ratio (RHS)
RESULTS PRESENTATION
14 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /28
Total income Headline earnings
change FY15 FY14 change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm % Rm Rm
Retail Banking 6 33 228 31 246 17 5 455 4 679
Business and Commercial Banking 11 8 989 8 063 13 3 650 3 243
Bancassurance and Wealth 7 3 972 3 702 1 1 474 1 466
PBB SA 7 46 189 43 011 13 10 579 9 388
• Retail banking benefited from balance growth, endowment and VAF turnaround
• Business and commercial banking benefited from strong NII growth mainly due to robust balance growth and endowment impact
• Agricultural exposures remain constant at 4% of total loans and advances with the NPL coverage ratio increasing from 35% to 42%
• Bancassurance impacted by slower sales of embedded credit life protection, increased investment in systems and people to position the business ahead of regulatory changes
PBB SA customer segments
Financial results presentation / page /27
PBB product reporting
28%
22%14%
13%
3%
20%
Product contribution to headline earnings
Transactional products
Mortgage lending
Card products
Lending products
Vehicle and asset finance
Bancassurance and wealth
Total income Headline earnings
change FY15 FY14 change FY15 FY14
% Rbn Rbn % Rbn Rbn
Transactional products
11 25.9 23.3 9 3.2 2.9
Mortgage lending 8 7.5 7.0 25 2.5 1.9
Card products 12 6.6 5.9 9 1.5 1.4
Lending products 3 9.8 9.6 14 1.4 1.3
Vehicle and asset finance
7 3.4 3.2 79 0.3 0.2
Bancassurance and wealth
12 7.2 6.4 11 2.3 2.1
PBB 9 60.4 55.4 15 11.2 9.8
FY14
FY15
15
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /30
PBB non-performing loans and provision adequacy
• Bolstered provision for performing loans by 14% (R615m) to R4.9bn
• Impact of the SARB directive contributed 31bps to the NPL increase and 51bps to the early arrears increase, with no material impact on the income statement impairment charge as this had already been envisaged in the prior years
FY15 FY14
NPL ratio % %
Mortgage loans 4.5 4.4
Vehicle and asset finance 3.9 3.7
Card debtors 6.6 5.0
Other loans and advances 3.7 3.8
Personal unsecured lending 8.3 7.3
Access Loans 14.5 17.4
Business lending and other 2.0 2.0
PBB 4.3 4.2
FY15 FY14
Coverage ratio % %
Mortgage loans 26 26
Vehicle and asset finance 50 53
Card debtors 69 69
Other loans and advances 63 65
Personal unsecured lending 73 69
Access Loans 85 85
Business lending and other 47 57
PBB 42 42
Financial results presentation / page /29
PBB credit impairments
FY15 FY14
% %
Mortgage loans 0.66 0.79
Vehicle and asset finance 1.50 1.55
Card debtors 4.83 4.08
Other loans and advances 1.68 2.05
Personal unsecured lending 4.07 4.20
Access Loans 8.21 11.75
Business lending and other 0.59 0.90
PBB credit loss ratio 1.27 1.41
By geography
South Africa 1.34 1.53
Rest of Africa 2.02 1.83
Outside Africa 0.01 0.01
1.24
1.39
1.471.41
1.27
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %Rbn
Credit impairment charges Credit loss ratio
RESULTS PRESENTATION
16 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Corporate & Investment Banking
Financial results presentation / page /31
• We believe our PBB strategy is working and we will improve delivery on our strategy
• We seek to radically redefine customer experience by
– Further turning the entire organisation towards our customers
– Using new system and insight capabilities to deliver what matters to customers
• Accelerate our digital journey by leveraging new systems and processing capabilities
• Address increasing regulatory challenges across geographies
• Given the macroeconomic outlook, non-performing loans and early arrears are expected to remain under
pressure
• Even stronger focus on risk management
• Invest for growth, whilst maintaining proactive cost management discipline
• Continue to improve customers’ lives and fulfill aspirations, even in uncertain times
Moving fast forward
17
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /34
• Robust client revenue performance from South African franchise
• Strong client revenue growth from South and Central, West Africa and East Africa, offset by muted performance
in Nigeria
• Footprint on the continent remains a competitive advantage with a diversification impact
• Played pivotal roles in transformative, landmark deals
– Mandate to provide a full range of solutions for the South African Government Employees Pension Fund
– Sole bookrunner, underwriter and transaction sponsor for the Oceana rights offer and financial advisor for their
acquisition of Daybrook Fisheries
– Financial advisor and transaction sponsor to AB InBev on the R3.1 trillion secondary inward listing on the JSE
– Sole corporate finance advisor for Brait’s R12.2 billion acquisition of Virgin Active and joint-lead bank and
funder for its GBP780 million acquisition of New Look
• Supporting our clients throughout the economic cycle
Growth across the continent
Financial results presentation / page /33
• Sustained growth in a volatile market, compounded by ongoing regulatory change
• Strong headline earnings growth of 59% to R7.9bn, with an ROE of 14.3% (FY14: 10.2%)
• Rationalisation of operations outside Africa
• Expanded footprint in Africa to support our clients’ growth journeys
• Partnering our clients as they grow their businesses
CIB highlights
RESULTS PRESENTATION
18 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /36
• Progress in investment in key strategic systems
– New Business Online
– eMarket Trader
– International Trade and Payments Solution
• Significant strides made to improve and simplify core processes
• Continued focus on through the cycle risk management processes
• Living a culture of compliance by doing the right business the right way
Efficient business operations
Financial results presentation / page /35
Awards
emeafinanceAfrican Banking 2015
• Best investment bank in Africa Standard Bank
emeafinanceTreasury Service 2015
• Best FX services in Africa• Best transactional bank for financial institutions in Africa
EuromoneyAwards of Excellence 2015
• Best bank in Africa• Best risk advisor in Africa
Global Finance World’s Best Emerging Markets Banks 2015
• Best bank in Africa
Global Finance Worlds Best Investment Banks 2016
• Best investment bank in Africa• Best M&A bank in Africa
Global Finance World’s Best Treasury & Cash Management Providers2016
• Best overall bank for cash management in Africa• Best bank for financial risk management in Africa
The Banker InvestmentBanking Awards 2015
• Most innovative investment bank from Africa
19
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /38
CIB business units
Total income Headlineearnings
change FY15 FY14 change FY15 FY14
% Rbn Rbn % Rbn Rbn
Transactional Products and Services
8 11.4 10.5 4 2.7 2.5
Global Markets 12 11.8 10.5 19 3.9 3.3
Investment Banking 6 7.8 7.4 1 2.6 2.6
Real estate and PIM (59) 0.3 0.8 (84) 0.0 0.3
Share of loss from ICBCS associate
(1.2)
Discontinued operation 97 (0.1) (3.7)
CIB 7 31.3 29.2 59 7.9 5.0
TPS SA
17%
TPS ROA 19%
GM SA 16%
GM ROA 22%
IB 25%
Other 1%
Business unit contribution to total income
FY 14
FY 15
Financial results presentation / page /37
CIB summarised income statement
change FY15 FY14
% Rm Rm
Total Income 7 31 319 29 171
Operating expenses 10 17 439 15 791
Pre-provision operating profit 4 13 880 13 380
Credit impairment charges 59 1 279 804
Income from operations 0 12 601 12 576
Share of (loss)/profit from associates (>100) (1 123) 64
Discontinued operation 97 (104) (3 745)
Headline earnings 59 7 923 4 980
Headline earnings – pro-forma continuing operations 10 7 985 7 227
ROE (%) 14.3 10.2
Credit loss ratio (%) 0.24 0.22
Cost-to-income ratio (%) 57.8 54.0
Jaws (%) (3.1) 4.0
RESULTS PRESENTATION
20 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /40
31
63
41
22 24
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 bpsRbn
Gross loans Credit loss ratio
CIB credit performance
Financial results presentation / page /39
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15Rm
CIB revenue trend
13% CAGR
21
Notes
Conclusion
Financial results presentation / page /41
• Global economic outlook remains weak
• Focus on growth sectors on the continent, whilst remaining cautious on those sectors under pressure
• Continue to put our clients at the heart of everything we do
• Maintain cost management discipline
• Resolute on our African strategy
Moving forward
RESULTS PRESENTATION
22 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /44
SBSA delivering growth
8.0 9.5 11.5 10.7 12.0 13.4
17.1
18.4 18.3
14.415.1
15.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %Rbn
Headline earnings ROE
SBSA a key contributor to group headline earnings
SBSA
11% CAGR
Financial results presentation / page /43
• These results are a testament to our balanced portfolio of businesses
• Good performance from PBB SA
– Impact on revenue of interchange regulations
– Increase in costs from conversion of temporary employees to permanent
– Continued IT investment and delivered a number of successes during the year
• Made progress in PBB in the Rest of Africa
• CIB’s underlying earnings grew off a high base
– Business units connected to underlying economic fundamentals slower
– Balance sheet expanded to high quality corporate names
– Completion of the sale of a controlling interest in SB Plc to ICBC
• Wealth’s customer-focused strategy to capture market share in SA and the significant growth potential in the
Rest of Africa nearing completion
Reflecting on the results
23
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /46
• We are a customer-centric universal financial services group focused on Africa
• Strategy and commitment to Africa unchanged
– Africa is our home, we drive her growth
– Partnering with ICBC to connect China to Africa
• Robust balance sheet has been reinforced over the year
– Strong capital adequacy ratios, high levels of available liquidity, higher portfolio provisioning
• Disciplined credit, risk and cost management in response to weaker macroeconomic environment
• Creating consistently excellent customer experiences
– Major investment in core banking transformation on track for completion in 2017
• Well-positioned portfolio of businesses across sub-Saharan Africa, including SA
– Measured growth expected from portfolio
– Careful management of resource exposures
– Work still to be done to improve competitiveness in the Rest of Africa, including growth where appropriate
Moving upwards through the ROE range: what we can control
Financial results presentation / page /45
ROA trend over 5 years
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15Rbn
Revenue
South and central East West
15.616.6
19.7
21.520.9
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 %Rbn
Headline earnings
South and central East West ROE
26% CAGR
25% CAGR
53% CAGR
24% CAGR
RESULTS PRESENTATION
24 Standard Bank Group analysis of financial results 31 December 2015
Notes
Financial results presentation / page /48
14.3 14.0 14.1
12.9
15.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15%
Medium term ROE target range 15 – 18%
• We remain committed to making progress in lifting
ROE further into the target range over the medium
term
• Further progress dependent on stable economic
environment, particularly in South Africa
Financial results presentation / page /47
• We need to respond appropriately to macroeconomic developments
– China’s economic growth and rebalancing
– Growth in sub-Saharan Africa expected to pick up slightly to 4.2% but risks are tilted to the downside
– Continued low commodity prices
– Global interest rate cycle
• 2016 likely to be a more difficult year for consumers and businesses in SA
• Manage SA country risk by active engagement with ‘SA Inc’
– We are working hard with the authorities and others to promote a stable, growth-friendly environment
– Early indications are promising
– Risk of lower than expected growth and SA sovereign being downgraded to sub-investment grade
Moving upwards through the ROE range: what we can respond to